Beyond Distribution: Ensuring and Evaluating the Adoption of Clean Cooking and Its Benefits Donee Alexander, Program Manager, Environment & Health Global Alliance for Clean Cookstoves 1 | JULY 2014 Challenge: Moving Beyond Distribution to Adoption Yearly 80 New households adopting clean cooking solutions each year add together to reach the 100M by 2020 goal. 70 60 50 40 30 20 10 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 Clean+Efficient Efficient Improved Business as usual 2 | JULY 2014 250 Stoves/fuels adopted by households (Millions) Stoves/fuels adopted by households (Millions) 90 Cumulative Over 3 Phases PHASE 1 PHASE 2 PHASE 3 200 150 100 50 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 Efficient Clean+Efficient 3 | JULY 2014 Techniques & Tools for Measuring Stove Use & Adoption How do objectively we measure stove use? What tools exist to measure stove use? How do we know which stoves are being used in the homes? • How often are the clean cooking technologies being used? • Is stove stacking occurring? • If so, to what extent? • Has displacement of other technologies occurred? What are the benefits and drawbacks to using tools such as Stove Use Monitors (SUMs)? • What is the added cost associated with these systems? • Who analyzes the data? 4 | JULY 2014 Critical Implications of Fuel-Device Stacking for Initial Diagnosis, Monitoring and Evaluation of Stove Programs Dra. Ilse Ruiz-Mercado Innovación y Adopción Ecotecnológica Ecosystems and Sustainability Research Institute Universidad Nacional Autónoma de México (UNAM) Lima, Perú, Mayo 4-5 2015 Ruiz-Mercado I, et al. Critical Implications of Fuel-Device Stacking for Initial Diagnosis, Monitoring and Evaluation of Stove Programs - Conference Presentation. in Beyond Distribution: Ensuring and Evaluating the Adoption of Clean Cooking and its Benefits. 4-5 May 2015. Lima, Peru. Lima, Perú, Mayo 4-5 2015 Roadmap Monitoring stacking: Rationale Measuring usage in the context of stacking: The case of rural Mexico Critical implications for initial diagnosis, monitoring and evaluation of stove programs in the Latin American context Lima, Perú, Mayo 4-5 2015 Adoption as a Process Ruiz-Mercado I, et al. (2011). Adoption and sustained use of improved cookstoves. Energy Policy 39(12): 7557-7566. Adoption as a Process Ruiz-Mercado I, et al. (2011). Adoption and sustained use of improved cookstoves. Energy Policy 39(12): 7557-7566. INITIAL ADOPTION ACCEPTANCE DISPLACEMENT Adopción Exitosa Elementos críticos que como mínimo deben estar presentes en el proceso de adopción para que las cocinas brinden impactos 1. Las cocinas satisface necesidades/tareas críticas 2. Se incorporan a prácticas diarias y son usadas 3. Se mantiene el desempeño (técnico y de hogares) para obtener el impacto deseado 4. Se desplazan los impactos negativos de las cocinas y prácticas contaminantes Seminario-Taller latinoamericano Sobre Cocinas Limpias. Lima, Perú, Junio 16-18 2014 Stacking Processes Masera, et al. (2015). Environmental Burden of Traditional Bioenergy Use. Annual Review of Environment and Resources. Vol. 40. Forthcoming Stacking Stacking and, specifically, the residual use of traditional fires have strong implications for two agendas critical to the cookstove sector: the implementation of fuel-stove programs that deliver tangible and sustained benefits and the design of evaluation and monitoring schemes that effectively and realistically assess these benefits. The rationale and implications of stacking hinge on key aspects: END USES COOKING TASKS STOVE NICHES Ruiz-Mercado and Masera, 2015 LIVELIHOOD STRATEGIES Nuevos enfoques, mismas realidades End-uses Tasks Niches Adaptation/livelihood strategies Ruiz-Mercado I and Masera O. (2015). Patterns of stove use in the context of fueldevice stacking: Rationale and implications. EcoHealth Ruiz-Mercado and Masera, 2015 1. END USES Traditional fires satisfy energy uses and household needs that extend beyond cooking, and thus, most of the times a single clean fuel-stove combination does not cover all end uses, does not work for all cooking tasks and is not a perfect substitute for traditional fires. Imperfect substitution leads to residual use of traditional fires, whose impacts can outweigh the benefits of clean fuel-stoves. Ruiz-Mercado and Masera, 2015 2-3. COOKING TASKS & STOVE NICHES Cooking is a combination of tasks and techniques. Each task has specific and often contrasting demands for fuel rate and type, cooking times, frequency and temperatures and type of cooking vessels. The requirements to fulfill a task cannot be understood by its technical specifications alone, but also depend on the cultural significance of the task and other social aspects and household preferences that may vary from one task to another. Ruiz-Mercado and Masera, 2015 4. LIVELIHOOD/ADAPTATION STRATEGIES Stacking is also a livelihood strategy that allows households to cope with periods of uncertain income, fuel prices, access to fuels and stove repairs Stacking embodies the complex dynamic interplay among household behavior, culture, energy, environment and technology. Thus, the factors that affect usage, stacking and displacement are usually interrelated and depend on the household and community contexts. It is important to consider the seasonal patterns of usage, stacking and displacement and to move from spotting single factors that enable/prevent adoption to the characterization of the processes and interaction of factors that regulate the benefits brought by clean fuel-stoves Ruiz-Mercado and Masera, 2015 Measuring usage in the context of stacking Ruiz-Mercado and Masera, 2015 Stove Use Monitors (SUMs) Ruiz-Mercado, et al. (2008). Low-cost temperature dataloggers as Stove Use Monitors (SUMs. Boiling Point 55: 16-18. Ruiz-Mercado, et al. (2012). Temperature dataloggers as Stove Use Monitors (SUMs): Field methods and signal analysis. Biomass and Bioenergy 47: 459-468. Quantitative Metrics Ruiz-Mercado, et al. (2013). Quantitative metrics of stove adoption using Stove Use Monitors (SUMs). Biomass & Bioenergy 57: 136-148. Stove Use Monitors (SUMs, wSUMs,…) Ruiz-Mercado, et al. (2015). Vodafone Project “100 Million Stoves” to develop prototype Wireless Stove Use Monitors (wSUMs) for remotely measure usage levels of Cookstoves. Project Report to the Vodafone Foundation. 66 p. Measuring usage in the context of stacking THE CASE OF RURAL MEXICO Ruiz-Mercado and Masera, 2015 STACKING CLUSTERS Lima, Perú, Mayo 4-5 2015 STACKING, DISPLACEMENT, RESIDUAL USE Ruiz-Mercado and Masera, 2015 Levels of usage: SEASONAL STACKING Ruiz-Mercado and Masera, 2015 Levels of usage: SEASONAL STACKING Ruiz-Mercado and Masera, 2015 Levels of usage: TASK-DRIVEN - WEEKLY SCALE Ruiz-Mercado and Masera, 2015 Levels of usage: TASK-DRIVEN - WEEKLY SCALE Ruiz-Mercado and Masera, 2015 Levels of usage: MULTI-TASKING –DAILY SCALE Ruiz-Mercado and Masera, 2015 Levels of usage: MULTI-TASKING –DAILY SCALE Ruiz-Mercado and Masera, 2015 STOVE NICHES: Distribution of tasks Ruiz-Mercado and Masera, 2015 STOVE NICHES: Distribution of tasks Ruiz-Mercado and Masera, 2015 CONCLUSIONS: Critical Implications Ruiz-Mercado and Masera, 2015 CONCLUSIONS: Critical Implications Ruiz-Mercado and Masera, 2015 CONCLUSIONS: Critical Implications Ruiz-Mercado and Masera, 2015 CONCLUSIONS: Critical Implications Ruiz-Mercado and Masera, 2015 For further Reading: Ruiz-Mercado, I., Masera, O. (2015). “Patterns of use in the context of fuel-device stacking: rationale and implications”. Ecohealth 12(1): 42-56. Masera, O., et al. (2015). “Environmental Burden of Traditional Bioenergy Use”. Annual Review of Environment and Resources. Vol. 40. Forthcoming. Ruiz-Mercado, I., E. Canuz, et al. (2013). "Quantitative metrics of stove adoption using Stove Use Monitors (SUMs)." Biomass & Bioenergy 57: 136-148. Ruiz-Mercado, I., E. Canuz, et al. (2012). "Temperature dataloggers as stove use monitors (SUMs): Field methods and signal analysis." Biomass & Bioenergy 47: 459-468. Ruiz-Mercado, I. (2012). The Stove Adoption Process: Quantification Using Stove Use Monitors (SUMs) in Households Cooking with Fuelwood. Civil and Environmental Engineering. Berkeley, University of California Berkeley. Ph.D. Ruiz-Mercado, I., O. Masera, et al. (2011). "Adoption and sustained use of improved cookstoves." Energy Policy 39(12): 7557-7566. Pine, K., R. Edwards, et al. (2011). "Adoption and use of improved biomass stoves in Rural Mexico." Energy for Sustainable Development 15(2): 176-183. Zamora, H. (2010). Impactos Socio-Ecológicos Del uso Sostenido de Estufas Eficientes de leña en Comunidades de Michoacan. Morelia, Universidad Nacional Autónoma de México. M.Sc. Ruiz-Mercado, I., N. Lam, et al. (2008). Low-cost temperature loggers as stove use monitors (SUMS). Boiling Point. 55: 16-18. Berrueta, V. M., R. D. Edwards, et al. (2008). "Energy performance of wood-burning cookstoves in Michoacan, Mexico." Renewable Energy 33(5): 859-870. Troncoso, K., A. Castillo, et al. (2007). "Social perceptions about a technological innovation for fuelwood cooking: Case study in rural Mexico." Energy Policy 35(5): 2799-2810. Masera, O. R., B. D. Saatkamp, et al. (2000). "From linear fuel switching to multiple cooking strategies: A critique and alternative to the energy ladder model." World Development 28(12): 2083-2103. GRACIAS Hogares participantes en nuestros estudios en Michoacán, por su paciencia y hospitalidad Equipos de campo y laboratorio Grupo Interdisciplinario de Tecnología Rural Apropiada Centro de Investigaciones en Ecosistemas UNAM Laboratorio de Innovación de Estufas de Biomasa Red de colaboradores y organizaciones ilse.ruiz@cieco.unam.mx 1 Beyond Distribution: Ensuring and Evaluating the Adoption of Clean Cooking and Its Benefits • 5 May 2015 Extending the Stove Use Monitoring System Updated hardware & software Ajay Pillarisetti, MPH Doctoral Candidate, University of California, Berkeley 2 Motivations iButtons deployed far and wide Instrumenting traditional stoves difficult Not surprisingly, lots of mixed use almost everywhere Valid data on traditional stoves is difficult to obtain 3 Tough 3 4 Tougher 5 Expanding the universe of stove use monitors 6 iButtons Solid-state data-logging thermometer Commercially available in quantity Easy to place on some stoves; rapid download Max temp 140C 1-year Life 7 Data-logging Infrared Thermometer Commercially available 100 - 150 USD Mounted in homes nearby open fires -20 to 250 ºC 8 iButton 250 Stove Use Monitoring 200 iButton and IRT on Open Fire 150 100 50 loc AMBIENT STICK degC 0 STV1 Infrared Thermometer gadget 250 iButton Infrared Thermo 200 150 100 50 0 09-03 09-04 09-05 09-06 09-07 09-08 09-09 09-10 8 09-11 09-12 09-13 09-14 09-15 09-16 09-17 09-18 09-19 9 10 Data-logging thermocouple 0 - 1250 Celsius 75 - 100 USD 2-3 month battery life Rechargeable 10 Programmable 11 300 200 Chula value 100 v 0 150 Haara 100 50 0 Nov 13 12:00 Nov 13 18:00 dt Nov 14 00:00 Nov 14 06:00 Nov 14 12:00 12 13 14 iButtons 15 - 120 USD -40 to 85, 125, 140 ºC Built-in battery 1 year lifetime Infrared thermometer 100 USD -20 to 250 ºC Replaceable 1/2 AA Thermocouple 90-100 USD 0 - 1250 ºC Rechargeable LiPo Replaceable probes 15 User-friendly tools for SUMs analysis 16 User-friendly tools for SUMs analysis Single file analysis Study-wide analysis Kirk Smith Research Group Danny Wilson Jeremy Coyle Upload a file Optional: Ambient temp data Upload many files Visualize Trace Select algorithm + tweak parameters Label cooking events on subset of data Submit to machine learning Data labeled for entire study Download Summary 17 User-friendly tools for SUMs analysis Single file analysis Study-wide analysis Kirk Smith Research Group Danny Wilson Jeremy Coyle Upload a file Optional: Ambient temp data Upload many files Visualize Trace Select algorithm + tweak parameters Label cooking events on subset of data Submit to machine learning Data labeled for entire study Download Summary 20 User-friendly tools for SUMs analysis Single file analysis Study-wide analysis Kirk Smith Research Group Danny Wilson Jeremy Coyle Reduce the complexity to get metrics from raw data Facilitate site / study / goal-specific customization & output 21 Open questions & future directions How much monitoring is enough monitoring? Secondary stoves? Tertiary stoves? Dictated by study aims, personnel, budgets "Instant" processing A Wireless Sensor to Understand and Improve Stove Usability Contact: Tara Ramanathan tara@nexleaf.org StoveTrace is a wireless thermal sensor that demonstrates the usability of any stove. Real-Time Data House 1 House 2 House 3 House 4 House 5 House 6 Stove Usage Patterns Over Time Wireless Stove Usage Data from 130 Homes Odisha, India Installation Period Forced Draft Stove Usage Data from 1,059 Households by District Grouping Households by Usage Sharing Usage Data with Households to get real answers Monthly Usage (Hours) Exported from StoveTrace Website House 1: Dropped User Low User Medium User High User Before and After Field Visits Field Visit Field Visit consisted of: Surveyed Homes in Odisha N=40 1. Inquiring about reasons behind stove use behavior 2. Showing homes their Forced Draft usage for past 4 months 3. Sharing the statistic of 4 million people dying globally from mud stoves Understanding the behavior before trying to change it StoveTrace Results 135 Households in the State of Odisha 6 months 1.14 Hours = Average Daily Stove Usage (St Dev 0.86) 16.29% (of 135 hh) using stove more than 2 hours per day 65 Tons of CO2 equivalent $388 Earned 13 StoveTrace can identify the most usable stoves Front Feed TERI Improved Mud Stove Forced Draft Double Burner Experimental Prototype TBD Top Feed TERI Improved Steel Stove Forced Draft Provide Chopped Wood Implementation Wireless Device Sensor Connector Sim Card Data & Analytics Dashboard Power Source Provided by Nexleaf? Unit Cost ($) 75-100 <1 1-2 per month 4-6 1-5 per month Installation Time 5-10 2 2 5-10 <1 Nexleaf provides all necessary guides, in country connections and remote support Scaling Up Stove Usage Data TERI Forced Draft Stove (Odisha & UP, India) Kopernik Natural Draft (Indonesia) Envirofit Natural Draft Stove (Pune, India) InStove Rocket Stove (TBD) Approaching the Challenges of Wireless • What if the phone or sim card gets stolen? • We are designing a wireless device without phone • Can you lower the cost? • Working on building thermistor directly into the stove will not only lower cost but also make installation simpler • What kind of maintenance is required? • Need somebody who is dedicated and knowledgeable about the sensors nearby as part of the field team • What about areas with poor or no connectivity? • The data gets stored on the phone until connectivity is available, so need not have 24/7 connectivity. Looking into moving to a smaller box with an embedded solution which will strengthen connectivity, but if there is 0 connectivity, this will not work We thank all of our partners! Stove Manufacturers Telecom Providers Public Sector Partners Charlie & Ellen Kennel Supporting program implementation and evaluation with stove usage data Michael Johnson Berkeley Air Monitoring Group mjohnson@berkeleyair.com Clean Cooking and Adoption Workshop Lima, May 2015 Clean Cooking and Adoption Workshop – Lima, 20151 Overview Connecting stove usage and programmatic impacts Integrating stove usage with additional data sources Coordinating programmatic needs and stove use monitoring. Clean Cooking and Adoption Workshop – Lima, 2015 Fuel savings 80% 70% Multiple pathways to achieve substantial fuel savings. Balancing usage and performance key to maximizing household-level impact. 60% Fuel savings Stoves with highest lab performance may not provide the best fuel savings. 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 0% 0% 25% 50% 75% Percent displacement TSF by new stove 100% Johnson and Chiang, in press Clean Cooking and Adoption Workshop – Lima, 2015 Air quality Only ultra-low indoor emissions stoves are likely to reduce concentrations to WHO PM targets. Multiple pathways to achieve less ambitious air quality goals. What about health? 24 hour PM2.5 concentation (μg/m3) 800 Particulate Matter 700 600 500 400 300 50% reduction relative to TSF 200 100 WHO Interim 1 Target 0 100% 75% 50% 25% 0% 0% 25% 50% 75% 100% Percent TSF displacement by new stove Johnson and Chiang, in press Clean Cooking and Adoption Workshop – Lima, 2015 Health Going from here to here still has meaningful benefits (RR 3→2) We want everyone to be here Difficult to rapidly transition here for many populations Johnson and Chiang, in press Clean Cooking and Adoption Workshop – Lima, 2015 Integrating usage with other data Combining with survey data can inform on: Stove-task associations Person-stove task associations Ergonomics, user perceptions/qualitative data etc…. Combine with performance or air quality data Segregate emissions or fuel use contributions by stove Analyze impact of stove use on air quality or exposure Clean Cooking and Adoption Workshop – Lima, 2015 Usage and air quality 10 Segregate impacts of specific stoves or combination of stoves. May be able to identify tasks which are causing high concentrations. PM (mg/m3) Identify potential with increased displacement of new stove. 8 Particulate matter New stove is on Traditional stove is on 6 4 2 0 Clean Cooking and Adoption Workshop – Lima, 2015 Matching usage measurement and program needs Tools for perceived usage - Surveys, cooking diaries, focus groups, etc… - Concerns: reliability and bias Devices that measure proxy for usage - Temperature - Concerns: technical, physical, and cost barriers Clean Cooking and Adoption Workshop – Lima, 2015 Matching usage measurement and program needs Study type Considerations Stove types / locations Initial R&D Initial scale-up Mature program Pilots for feasibility/ compatibility Feedback on implementation M&E, Impact evaluations - Low initial costs. - Quick snapshots are OK - Generally want relatively rich data on what is working and what is not working. - Network for relatively long-term measurements in representative sample. - Usage sensors need to be compatible with stove types (portability, stove temperature, stove material/structure). - How difficult is it to reach houses? Can you get reliable mobile connections? Clean Cooking and Adoption Workshop – Lima, 2015 Thanks! mjohnson@berkeleyair.com www.berkeleyair.com Clean Cooking and Adoption Workshop – Lima, 2015
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