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30th International
Workshop on
Statistical Modelling
Johannes Kepler University Linz
July 6 – 10, 2015
Programme
30th IWSM 2015 - Contents
1
Programme
2
2
Schedule
3
3
Poster Presentations
11
4
List of Participants
14
5
Venue
20
6
Venue Map
21
Coffee Break
(16.20–16.50)
Contributed Session 8
(16.50–18.10)
Coffee Break
(16.40–17.00)
Contributed Session 4
(17.00–18.00)
Welcome Reception
(18.30–21.00)
Contributed Session 7
(15.00–16.20)
Contributed Session 3
(15.20–16.40)
Coffee Break
(14.50–15.20)
Poster Session 1
(13.00–15.00)
Contributed Session 2
(13.30–14.50)
Contributed Session 6
(11.20–12.00)
Lunch
(12.00–13.00)
Contributed Session 10
(11.30–12.50)
Invited Talk 2
(10.20–11.20)
Invited Talk 1
(11.00–12.00)
Lunch
(12.00–13.30)
Invited Talk 3
(10.20–11.20)
Short Break
Coffee Break
(09.50–10.20)
Coffee Break
(10.30–11.00)
Excursion
(14.00–23.00)
Lunch
(12.50–13.30)
Coffee Break
(09.50–10.20)
Contributed Session 9
(08.30–09.50)
Contributed Session 5
(08.30–09.50)
Contributed Session 1
(09.30–10.30)
Wednesday
Tuesday
Monday
Opening
(09.15–09.30)
Conference Dinner
(20.00–23.00)
Contributed Session 13
(16.50–18.10)
Coffee Break
(16.20–16.50)
Contributed Session 12
(15.00–16.20)
Happy Birthday IWSM
Poster Session 2
(13.00–15.00)
Lunch
(12.00–13.00)
SMS AGM & IWSM31 Advert
(11.20–12.00)
Invited Talk 4
(10.20–11.20)
Coffee Break
(09.50–10.20)
Contributed Session 11
(08.30–09.50)
Thursday
Lunch
(12.45–13.30)
Contributed Session 15
& Bye-Bye (11.50–12.45)
Invited Talk 5
(10.50–11.50)
Coffee Break
(10.20–10.50)
Contributed Session 14
(09.00–10.20)
Friday
30th IWSM 2015 - Programme
30th IWSM 2015 - Schedule
Monday July 6th
08.15–09.15 Registration
Note that the Registration Desk will be open during all Coffee/Lunch Breaks.
09.15–09.30 Opening
09.30–10.30 Contributed Session 1
Chair: Helga Wagner
09.30–09.50
Gillian Heller, Dominique-Laurent Couturier, Stephane Heritier: Dispersion
modelling for Poisson-inverse Gaussian regression
09.50–10.10
Amanda Fern´
andez-Fontelo, Pere Puig, Anna Alba: Generalized INAR models with trend and seasonality for veterinary syndromic surveillance
10.10–10.30
Izabela R.C. Oliveira, Geert Molenberghs, Clarice G.B. Dem´
etrio, Carlos
T.S. Dias, Cl´
audio L. Souza: Quantifying the genetic contribution to the variability of count traits
10.30–11.00 Coffee Break
11.00–12.00 Invited Talk 1
Chair: Jeff Simonoff
John Hinde: All statistical models are wrong, some are usable!
12.00–13.30 Lunch
13.30–14.50 Contributed Session 2
Chair: Alan Agresti
13.30–13.50
Moritz Berger, Gerhard Tutz: An extended adjacent categories model accounting for response styles
13.50–14.10
Matthew Weldon, Andrew Titman: Estimation of two-sided choice models: an
application to public school choice
14.10–14.30
Jean Peyhardi: New qualitative choice models incorporating individual and
choice characteristics
14.30–14.50
Marianna Siino, Salvatore Fasola, Vito M.R. Muggeo: Penalized logistic regression for small or sparse data: interval estimators revisited
14.50–15.20 Coffee Break
30TH IWSM 2015 - SCHEDULE
15.20–16.40 Contributed Session 3
4
Chair: Herwig Friedl
15.20–15.40
Jose Luiz P. da Silva, Enrico A. Colosimo, Fabio N. Demarqui: Doubly
robust-based GEE for the analysis of longitudinal ordinal missing data
15:40–16.00
Maria Kateri, Alan Agresti: Average effect measures for group comparisons in
ordinal response models
16.00–16.20
Roberto Colombi, Sabrina Giordano: A mixture model for multidimensional
ordinal data
16.20–16.40
Micha Schneider, Gerhard Tutz: Variable selection in mixture models for ordinal response with an uncertainty component
16.40–17.00 Coffee Break
17.00–18.00 Contributed Session 4
Chair: Jutta Gampe
17.00–17.20
Marco Bottone, Mauro Bernardi, Lea Petrella: Quantile regression: a Bayesian
robust approach
17.20–17.40
Federico Torretta, Vito M.R. Muggeo, Paul H.C. Eilers: P-spline quantile
regression with a mixed model algorithm
17.40–18.00
Elisabeth Waldmann, David Taylor-Robinson: Joint modelling of quantile
regression and survival time of lung function decline in cystic fibrosis patients
18.30–21.00 Welcome Reception (Venue: Uni-Center, 2nd floor)
30TH IWSM 2015 - SCHEDULE
5
Tuesday July 7th
8.30–9.50 Contributed Session 5
Chair: Vito M.R. Muggeo
8.30–8.50
Abdelkader Ameraoui, Kamal Boukhetala, Jean-Fran¸
cois Dupuy: Bayesian estimation of the tail index of a heavy tailed distribution with censoring
8.50–9.10
Stijn Jaspers, Dankmar B¨
ohning, Geert Verbeke, Marc Aerts: Estimation of an
MIC distribution using the Vertex Exchange Method
9.10–9.30
Laura Vana, Bettina Gr¨
un, Kurt Hornik: Modeling creditworthiness using a generalized linear mixed-effects approach
9.30–9.50
Denis Larocque, Jeffrey S. Simonoff: Model-based mixed effects trees for longitudinal and clustered data
9.50–10.20 Coffee Break
10.20–11.20 Invited Talk 2
Chair: Brian Marx
Sonja Greven: A general framework for functional regression
11.20–12.00 Contributed Session 6
Chair: Brian Marx
11.20–11.40
Sarah Brockhaus, Andreas Fuest, Andreas Mayr, Sonja Greven: Functional
regression models for location, scale and shape applied to stock returns
11.40–12.00
Bernhard Spangl, Sascha Desmettre, Peter Ruckdeschel: Statistical models
for dynamics in extreme value processes
12.00–13.00 Lunch
13.00–15.00 Poster Session 1
15.00–16.20 Contributed Session 7
Chair: Philippe Lambert
15.00–15.20
Andreas Groll, Trevor Hastie, Gerhard Tutz: Regularization in Cox frailty
models
15.20–15.40
Andreas Mayr, Benjamin Hofner, Matthias Schmid: Boosting the discriminatory power of survival models via the C-index and stability selection
15.40–16.00
Robson J.M. Machado, Ardo van den Hout: Functional forms for transition
intensities in a progressive three-state model
16.00–16.20
Lida Fallah, John Hinde: Modelling homogeneous and heterogenous populations
under joint progressive type-II censoring
30TH IWSM 2015 - SCHEDULE
6
16.20–16.50 Coffee Break
16.50–18.10 Contributed Session 8
Chair: Ardo van den Hout
16.50–17.10
Rafael A. Moral, John Hinde, Clarice G.B. Dem´
etrio, Edwin M.M. Ortega:
Assessing goodness-of-fit for accelerated failure rate models: An insect ecology
case-study
17.10–17.30
Chiu-Hsieh Hsu, Jeremy Taylor, Chengcheng Hu: Analysis of accelerated failure time data with dependent censoring
17.30–17.50
Vincent Bremhorst, Michaela Kreyenfeld, Philippe Lambert: Time dependent variables in cure survival models: An application to the timing of a third
pregnancy
17.50–18.10
Jutta Gampe, Hein Putter, Paul H.C. Eilers: Hazard modelling for intervalcensored data by smoothing within the EM algorithm
30TH IWSM 2015 - SCHEDULE
7
Wednesday July 8th
8.30–9.50 Contributed Session 9
Chair: Mikis Stasinopoulos
8.30–8.50
Bernhard Klingenberg: Multiple comparisons of marginal probabilities following
GEE estimation
8.50–9.10
Maria Iannario, Joseph B. Lang: Testing conditional independence in sets of I ×J
tables
9.10–9.30
Gunther Schauberger, Gerhard Tutz: BTL-Lasso – A penalty approach to heterogeneity in paired comparison data
9.30–9.50
Ioannis Kosmidis, Anyi Zou, Kavya Jagan: Beyond beta regression: modelling
percentages and fractions in the presence of boundary observations
9.50–10.20 Coffee Break
10.20–11.20 Invited Talk 3
Chair: Stefan Lang
Richard Chandler: Spatiotemporal modelling for environmental applications:
challenges and opportunities
11.20–11.30 Short Break
11.30–12.50 Contributed Session 10
Chair: Claire Miller
11.30–11.50
Reto Stauffer, Nikolaus Umlauf, Jakob W. Messner, Georg J. Mayr, Achim
Zeileis: Spatio-temporal censored model of precipitation climatology
11.50–12.10
Benjamin Hofner, Adam Smith: Boosted negative binomial hurdle models for
spatiotemporal abundance of sea birds
12.10–12.30
Nadja Klein, Helmut Herwartz, Thomas Kneib: Geoadditive stochastic frontier analysis
12.30–12.50
Nadja Klein, Thomas Kneib: Scale-dependent priors for variance parameters
in distributional regression
12.50–13.30 Lunch
14.00–23.00 Excursion
Meeting time & place: 14.00, in front of Unicenter, JKU, see p. 20
30TH IWSM 2015 - SCHEDULE
8
Thursday July 9th
Chair: Jean-Fran¸
cois Dupuy
8.30–9.50
Contributed Session 11
8.30–8.50
Marco Grzegorczyk, Andrej Aderhold, Dirk Husmeier: Network reconstruction
with realistic models
8.50–9.10
Wim De Mulder, Andr´
e Grow, Geert Molenberghs, Geert Verbeke: Application of statistical emulation to an agent-based model: assortative mating and the
reversal of gender inequality in education in Belgium
9.10–9.30
Matthew C. Edwards, Renate Meyer, Nelson Christensen: Signal extraction
and power spectral density estimation: A Bayesian semi-parametric approach
9.30–9.50
Gianluca Frasso, Philippe Lambert, Wilfried Bonou: A Bayesian model for the
Ebola epidemic in Sierra Leone
9.50–10.20 Coffee Break
10.20–11.20 Invited Talk 4
Chair: Thomas Kneib
Andrew O. Finley: Bayesian functional data models for coupling high-dimensional
LiDAR and forest variables over large geographic domains
11.20–12.00 SMS AGM & IWSM 31 Advert
12.00–13.00 Lunch
13.00–15.00 Happy Birthday IWSM
Poster Session 2
15.00–16.20 Contributed Session 12
Chair: Carlo G. Camarda
15.00–15.20
Lisa Hermans, Geert Molenberghs, Michael G. Kenward, Wim Van der Elst,
Vahid Nassiri, Marc Aerts, Geert Verbeke: Clusters with random size: maximum likelihood versus weighted estimation
15.20–15.40
Damien McParland, Isobel Claire Gormley: Clustering mixed data via latent
variable models
15.40–16.00
Francesco Bartolucci, Brian Francis, Silvia Pandolfi, Fulvia Pennoni: Robust
maximum likelihood estimation of latent class models
16.00–16.20
Jesus Crespo Cuaresma, Bettina Gr¨
un, Paul Hofmarcher, Stefan Humer,
Mathias Moser: Understanding economic growth regressions using latent class
analysis
30TH IWSM 2015 - SCHEDULE
9
16.20–16.50 Coffee Break
16.50–18.10 Contributed Session 13
Chair: Emmanuel Lesaffre
16.50–17.10
Antonio Gasparrini, Ben Armstrong, Michael G. Kenward: Penalized distributed lag non-linear models
17.10–17.30
Paul H.C. Eilers: Separation of signals with tailored penalties
17.30–17.50
´
Mar´ıa Xos´
e Rodr´ıguez-Alvarez,
Mar´ıa Durb´
an, Dae-Jin Lee, Paul H.C. Eilers: Fast estimation of multidimensional adaptive P-spline models
17.50–18.10
Brian Marx: Varying single-index signal regression
20.00–23.00 Conference Dinner (Venue: Arcotel)
30TH IWSM 2015 - SCHEDULE
10
Friday July 10th
9.00–10.20 Contributed Session 14
Chair: Gillian Heller
9.00–9.20
Philippe Lambert, Michel Denuit: Density estimation from tabulated summary
statistics
9.20–9.40
Ariane W¨
urbach, Sabine Zinn: Estimation of a general heaping model via randomwalk Metropolis algorithms
9.40–10.00
Carlo G. Camarda, Paul H.C. Eilers: Regression models with digit preference
10.00–10.20 Georg M. Goerg, Yuxue Jin, Nicolas Remy, Jim Koehler: How many people
visit YouTube? Imputing missing events in panels with excess zeros
10.20–10.50 Coffee Break
10.50–11.50 Invited Talk 5
Chair: Bettina Gr¨
un
Sylvia Fr¨
uhwirth-Schnatter: Recent advances in sparse Bayesian factor analysis
11.50–12.45 Contributed Session 15 & Bye-Bye
Chair: Bettina Gr¨
un
11.50–12.10
Sylvia Fr¨
uhwirth-Schnatter, Alexandra Posekany: Merging parallel MCMC
output with Yin-Yang sampling
12.10–12.30
Johannes Reichl: Estimating marginal likelihoods from the posterior draws
through a geometric identity
12.30–12.45
Bye Bye
12.45–13.30 Lunch
30th IWSM 2015 - Poster Presentations
Tuesday July 7th, 13.00 - 15.00, Venue: HS 17
[1] George Agogo, Hilko van der Voet, Laura Trijsburg, Fred A. van Eeuwijk, Pieter
van’t Veer, Hendriek Boshuizen: Measurement error modelling for accelerometer activity data using Bayesian integrated nested Laplace approximation
[2] Danilo Alvares, Carmen Armero, Anabel Forte, Luis Galipienso, Antonio Vicent,
Luis Rubio: Bayesian multinomial logit model: an application to agriculture
[3] Orasa Anan, Dankmar B¨
ohning, Antonello Maruotti: Population size estimation in
capture-recapture data based upon the Conway-Maxwell-Poisson distribution
[4] Autcha Araveeporn: Estimating nonlinear autoregressive models using smoothing spline
and penalized spline methods
[5] Haakon Bakka: Log-Gaussian Cox processes with spatially varying second order properties
[6] Somsri Banditvilai, Saowapa Mahakeeta: A receiving process simulation model of the
consumer product distribution center
[7] Edan Bar, Haim Bar: A bivariate index for stock classification
[8] Eva Benkov´
a, Radoslav Harman: Barycentric algorithm for computing D-optimal sizeand-cost constrained designs of experiments
[9] Theophile Bigirumurame, Nolen Perualila-Tan, Adetayo Kasim, Ziv Shkedy: Integrated analysis of multi-source data in drug discovery experiments using structural
equation models
[10] Angela Bitto, Sylvia Fr¨
uhwirth-Schnatter: Achieving shrinkage in the time-varying
parameter models framework
[11] Betsab´
e Blas: Skew-normal controlled calibration model
[12] Marie B¨
ohnstedt, Jutta Gampe: Density Estimation From Uncertain Observations –
Comparing Parametric and Nonparametric Methods
[13] Stella Bollmann, Andreas H¨
olzl, Helmut K¨
uchenhoff, Moritz Heene, Markus B¨
uhner:
Evaluation of a new k-means approach for exploratory clustering of items
[14] Robin Bruyndonckx, Niel Hens, Marc Aerts, Katrien Latour, Boudewijn Catry,
Samuel Coenen: Using generalized estimating equations to study persistence of antimicrobial resistance in respiratory streptococci
[15] Sabit Cakmak, C. Hebbern, J. Vanos, D. Crouse, C. Blanco: Using spatial and land
use regression models in investigating the modifying effect of socioeconomic status on the
interaction between traffic, air pollution and asthma
[16] Marcella Corduas: Modelling correlated ordinal data by a copula approach
[17] Kevin D. Dayaratna, Benjamin Kedem: A probabilistic examination of the efficacy of
tort reform via Bayesian semiparametric density ratio modeling
[18] Fernanda De Bastiani, Audrey Helen Mariz de Aquino Cysneiros, Miguel Angel
Uribe-Opazo, Manuel Galea: Local influence on Gaussian spatial linear model with
multiple replications
[19] Vera Djordjilovi´
c, Monica Chiogna: An improved shrinkage procedure for the estimation of covariance matrices in graphical models
[20] Michael Espendiller, Maria Kateri: Measures of association for 2 × 2 tables with a
φ-divergence origin
[21] Rosemeire L. Fiaccone, Robin Henderson: Dynamic analysis for event history data:
Recurrent infant diarrhoea
[22] Eder Lucio da Fonseca, Airlane Pereira Alencar, Pedro Alberto Morettin: Timevarying cointegration via wavelets
[23] Khuneswari Gopal Pillay, John H. McColl: Model selection and model averaging using
restrictive strategies for imputation in linear models
[24] Yann Gu´
edon: Slope heuristics for multiple change point models
[25] Jingyi Guo, H˚
avard Rue, Andrea Riebler: Making Bayesian bivariate meta-analysis
practice friendly
30TH IWSM 2015 - POSTER PRESENTATIONS
12
[26] Markus Hainy, Christopher C. Drovandi: Approximate Bayesian computation for spatial extremes using composite score functions
[27] Philipp Hermann, Milan Stehl´ık: On some issues on statistical analysis for Wilms
tumor
[28] Freddy Hern´
andez, Mabel Torres-Taborda, Lina Arteaga, Cristina Castro: GAMLSS
applied to study bacterial cellulose yield
[29] Manuel Higueras, David Mori˜
na, Pedro Puig, Liz Ainsbury, Kai Rothkamm: A new
inverse regression model and software for radiation biodosimetry
[30] Abu Hossain, Robert Rigby, Mikis Stasinopoulos, Marco Enea: Modelling a proportion response variable using generalised additive models for location, scale and shape
[31] Maria Iannario, Domenico Piccolo: Analysing ordinal categorical data by means of a
generalized mixture model
[32] Amirhossein Jalali, Alberto Alvarez-Iglesias, John Newell: Dynamic nomogram in R
[33] Gregor Kastner, Sylvia Fr¨
uhwirth-Schnatter, Hedibert Freitas Lopes: Dynamic covariance estimation using sparse Bayesian factor stochastic volatility models
[34] Lenka Kom´
arkov´
a, T´
an
ˇ a Hajd´ıkov´
a, Arnoˇ
st Kom´
arek: Model based segmentation of
the Czech hospitals according to their longitudinal financial performance in 2007 – 2011
[35] Altea Lorenzo-Arribas, Mark J. Brewer, Antony M. Overstall: A simulation study
assessing the advantages of cumulative link models
[36] Gertraud Malsiner-Walli, Bettina Gr¨
un, Paul Hofmarcher: Bayesian variable selection
in semi-parameteric growth regression
[37] Valentina Mameli, Monica Musio, Laura Ventura: Simulated adjustment of the signed
scoring rule root statistic
[38] Alessandra Marcelletti, Antonello Maruotti, Giovanni Trovato: A flexible bivariate
location-scale finite mixture approach to economic growth
[39] Kenan Matawie, Arshad Mehar, Anthony Maeder: An approach to determine clusters
overlap for K-means clustering
[40] Lu´ıs Meira-Machado, Marta Sestelo, Andreia Gon¸
calves: Nonparametric estimation
of the survival function for ordered multivariate failure time data: a comparative study
Thursday July 9th, 13.00 - 15.00, Venue: HS 17
[41] Silvia Bacci, Francesco Bartolucci, Silvia Pandolfi: Longitudinal data with informative
dropout: an approach based on an AR(1) latent process
[42] Mileno Calvacante, Betsab´
e G. Blas: Beta calibration model with measurement errors
[43] Annette M¨
oller: Spatially adaptive probabilistic temperature forecasting using Markovian EMOS
[44] Shirin Moghaddam, John Hinde, Milovan Krnjaji´
c: Flexible models in survival analysis: an illustration
[45] Leacky Muchene, Ziv Shkedy, Tom Jacobs: Estimation of order-restricted mean structure for independent and correlated data using Bayesian Variable Selection (BVS) models
[46] Luiz R. Nakamura, Robert A. Rigby, Dimitrios M. Stasinopoulos, Roseli A. Leandro, Cristian Villegas: The Birnbaum-Saunders generalized-t distribution for positive
skewed data
[47] Mu Niu, Maurizio Filippone, Dirk Husmeier, Simon Rogers: Inference in nonlinear
differential equations
[48] Umberto No`
e, Maurizio Filippone, Dirk Husmeier: Emulation of ODEs with Gaussian
processes
[49] Ruth O’Donnell, Claire Miller, Marian Scott: Within lake clustering of high resolution
satellite retrievals - a functional data and clustering approach
30TH IWSM 2015 - POSTER PRESENTATIONS
13
[50] Adrian O’Hagan: Bayesian Model Averaging for Copula-based Estimation of Upper Tail
Dependence in Loss Distributions
[51] Thiago P. Oliveira, Rafael A. Moral, John Hinde, Clarice G.B. Dem´
etrio, Silvio
S. Zocchi, Ana B.R. Zanardo, Italo Delalibera Jr.: Generalized linear mixed models
applied to overdispersed proportion data in a fungal occurrence study
[52] Willian Lu´ıs de Oliveira, Carlos Alberto Ribeiro Diniz, Mar´ıa Durb´
an: A general
class of bivariate regression models for mixed discrete and continuous responses
[53] Johann Ospina-Galindez, Mercedes Andrade-Bejarano, Ram´
on Giraldo-Henao:
Functional regression model of pentadal rainfall of Valle del Cauca (Colombia) in the
period (1993 – 2011), integrating data from meteorological stations and satellite
[54] Daniela Pauger, Helga Wagner: A comparison of different priors for sparse Bayesian
modelling in regression models with ordinal predictors
[55] Gilberto Paula, C. Relvas: Partially linear models with autoregressive symmetric errors
[56] Elisa Perrone, Werner M¨
uller: Ds -optimality for discriminating between copula models:
a first example
[57] Eliane C. Pinheiro, Silvia L.P. Ferrari: A comparative review of generalizations of the
Gumbel extreme value distribution
[58] Hildete P. Pinheiro, Pranab K. Sen, Alu´ısio Pinheiro, Samara F. Kiihl: Constrained
hypotheses testing via quasi U-statistics and its application to undergraduate performance
assessment
[59] Hauke Rennies, Thomas Kneib: Structural equation models for dealing with spatial
confounding
[60] Jose S. Romeo, Renate Meyer: Bayesian approach for modelling bivariate survival data
through the PVF copula
[61] Helene Roth, Stefan Lang: Posterior sensitivity of variance priors in Bayesian structured
additive regression
[62] Bruno Santos, Heleno Bolfarine: Analysis of Brazil’s presidential election via Bayesian
spatial quantile regression
[63] Lukas M. Sch¨
afer, Bruce J. Worton: Modelling wind direction with an application
[64] Sabine K. Schnabel, Federico Torretta, Matthias Westhues: Quantifying LD decay
by quantile regression – a case study
[65] Max Schneider, Gilles Blanchard, Christian Levers, Tobias K¨
ummerle: Spatial variation of drivers of agricultural abandonment with spatially boosted models
[66] Aliakbar Mastani Shirazi, Kalyan Das, Aluisio Pinheiro: Self-modeling ordinal model
with time invariant covariates – an application to prostate cancer
[67] Georgy Yu. Sofronov, Nikolay V. Glotov, Olga V. Zhukova: Statistical analysis of
spatial distribution in populations of microspecies of Alchemilla L.
[68] Katia Stefanova, Wallace Cowling, Arthur Gilmour: Use of genetic relationship matrices in the prediction of breeding values and their accuracy assessment
[69] James Sweeney: A modified binomial likelihood model for zero and n-inflated count data
[70] Fraser Tough, Charlotte M. Wright, John H. McColl: Conditional weight gain using
an external reference
[71] Diego Tovar-Rios, Rafael Tovar-Cuevas, Mercedes Andrade-Bejarano: Prior elicitation for estimation in a mixed effect logistic model
[72] Nikolaus Umlauf, Reto Stauffer, Jakob W. Messner, Georg J. Mayr, Achim Zeileis:
A conceptional Lego toolbox for Bayesian distributional regression models
[73] Yannick Vandendijck, Christel Faes, Niel Hens: Geostatistical analysis using K-splines
in the geoadditive model
[74] Kim Van Kerckhove, Christel Faes, Philippe Beutels, Niel Hens: Do contacts over
distance follow a power-law distribution? Estimation of the social contact distance kernel
[75] Paul Wilson, Jochen Einbeck: A simple and intuitive test for number-inflation or
number-deflation
30th IWSM 2015 - List of Participants
Agogo, George
Agresti, Alan
Alvares da Silva, Danilo
Anan, Orasa
Andrade-Bejarano, Mercedes
Araveeporn, Autcha
Bakka, Haakon
Banditvilai, Somsri
Bar, Edan
Bar, Haim
Bartolucci, Francesco
Benkov´
a, Eva
Berger, Moritz Maximilian
Bigirumurame, Theophile
Bitto, Angela
Blas Achic, Betsab´
e Grimalda
Blix, Katalin
B¨
ohnstedt, Marie
Bolfarine, Heleno
Bollmann, Stella
Bottone, Marco
Bremhorst, Vincent
Brewer, Mark
Brockhaus, Sarah
Bruyndonckx, Robin
Cakmak, Sabit
Camarda, Carlo Giovanni
Cavalcante, Mileno
Cazzaro, Manuela
Chandler, Richard
Wageningen University
agogogeorge@gmail.com
University of Florida
aa@stat.ufl.edu
University of Valencia
danilo.alvares@gmail.com
University of Southampton
orasaanan99@gmail.com
University of Valle
mercedes.andrade@correounivalle.edu.co
King Mongkuts Institute of Technology Ladkrabang
kaautcha@hotmail.com
Norwegian University of Science and Technology
haakon.c.bakka@gmail.com
King Mongkuts Institute of Technology Ladkrabang
kbsomsri@kmitl.ac.th
Cornell University
eb538@cornell.edu
University of Conneticut
haim.bar@uconn.edu
University of Perugia
francesco.bartolucci@unipg.it
Johannes Kepler University Linz
eva.benkova@jku.at
Ludwig-Maximilians-University Munich
moritz.berger@stat.uni-muenchen.de
Hasselt University
Theophile.Bigirumurame@uhasselt.be
Vienna University of Economics and Business
angela.bitto@wu.ac.at
Federal University of Pernambuco
betsabe.bg@gmail.com
University of Tromsø
katalin.blix@uit.no
Max-Planck-Institute for Demographic Research
boehnstedt@demogr.mpg.de
University of S˜
ao Paulo
hbolfar@ime.usp.br
Ludwig-Maximilians-University Munich
stella.bollmann@psy.lmu.de
Sapienza University of Rome
marco.bottone@uniroma1.it
Universit´
e catholique de Louvain
vincent.bremhorst@uclouvain.be
Biomathematics and Statistics Scotland
M.Brewer@bioss.ac.uk
Ludwig-Maximilians-University Munich
sarah.brockhaus@stat.uni-muenchen.de
Hasselt University
Robin.Bruyndonckx@uhasselt.be
Health Canada
sabit.cakmak@hc-sc.gc.ca
French Institute for Demographic Studies
carlo-giovanni.camarda@ined.fr
Petrobras S.A.
milenoc@yahoo.com
University of Milano-Bicocca
manuela.cazzaro@unimib.it
University College London
r.chandler@ucl.ac.uk
30TH IWSM 2015 - LIST OF PARTICIPANTS
Colombi, Roberto
Colosimo, Enrico
Corduas, Marcella
Dama, Elisa
Dayaratna, Kevin
De Bastiani, Fernanda
De Mulder, Wim
De Oliveira, Willian
Dem´
etrio, Clarice G.B.
Dittrich, Regina
Djordjilovi´
c, Vera
Duller, Christine
Dupuy, Jean-Fran¸
cois
Dvorzak, Michaela
Edwards, Matt
Eilers, Paul
Espendiller, Michael
Fallah, Lida
Fasola, Salvatore
Fern´
andez, Amanda
Fiaccone, Rosemeire
Finley, Andrew
Fonseca, Eder Lucio da
Frasso, Gianluca
Friedl, Herwig
Fr¨
uhwirth-Schnatter, Sylvia
Gampe, Jutta
Gasparrini, Antonio
Giordano, Sabrina
Goerg, Georg
15
University of Bergamo
ingegneria@unibg.it
Federal University of Minas Gerais
enricoc@est.ufmg.br
University of Naples
corduas@unina.it
European Institute of Oncology
elisa.dama@ieo.it
The Heritage Foundation
kevin.dayaratna@heritage.org
Federal University of Pernambuco
fernandadebastiani@gmail.com
KU Leuven
wim.demulder@cs.kuleuven.be
Federal University of S˜
ao Carlos
willian26oliveira@gmail.com
University of S˜
ao Paulo
clarice.demetrio@usp.br
Vienna University of Economics and Business
regina.dittrich@wu.ac.at
University of Padova
djordjilovic@stat.unipd.it
Johannes Kepler University Linz
christine.duller@jku.at
National Institute for Applied Sciences
jean-francois.dupuy@insa-rennes.fr
Joanneum Research Graz
michaela.dvorzak@joanneum.at
University College London
the.hanataua@gmail.com
Erasmus University Medical Center
p.eilers@erasmusmc.nl
RWTH Aachen University
Espendiller@stochastik.rwth-aachen.de
National University of Ireland Galway
l.fallah22@gmail.com
University of Palermo
salvofaso@yahoo.it
Autonomous University of Barcelona
amanda@mat.uab.cat
Federal University of Bahia
rose.fiaccone@gmail.com
Michigan State University
finleya@msu.edu
University of S˜
ao Paulo
efonseca@ime.usp.br
University of Li`
ege
Gianluca.Frasso@ulg.ac.be
University of Technology Graz
hfriedl@tugraz.at
Vienna University of Economics and Business
sylvia.fruehwirth-schnatter@wu.ac.at
Max-Planck-Institute for Demographic Research
gampe@demogr.mpg.de
London School of Hygiene and Tropical Medicine
antonio.gasparrini@lshtm.ac.uk
University of Calabria
sabrina.giordano@unical.it
Google, Inc.
gmg@google.com
30TH IWSM 2015 - LIST OF PARTICIPANTS
Gopal Pillay, Khuneswari
Greven, Sonja
Groll, Andreas
Gr¨
un, Bettina
Grzegorczyk, Marco
Gu´
edon, Yann
Guo, Jingyi
Hainy, Markus
Heller, Gillian
Hermann, Philipp
Hermans, Lisa
Hern´
andez Barajas, Freddy
Hinde, John
Hitzl, Wolfgang
Hofmarcher, Paul
Hofner, Benjamin
Hossain, Abu
Hsu, Chiu-Hsieh
Iannario, Maria
Jalali, Seyed Amirhossein
Jaspers, Stijn
Kastner, Gregor
Kateri, Maria
Klein, Nadja
Klingenberg, Bernhard
Kneib, Thomas
Kom´
arek, Arnoˇ
st
Kom´
arkov´
a, Lenka
Kosmidis, Ioannis
Kuchling, Sabrina
16
University of Glasgow
khuneswari@gmail.com
Ludwig-Maximilians-University Munich
sonja.greven@stat.uni-muenchen.de
Ludwig-Maximilians-University Munich
groll@math.lmu.de
Johannes Kepler University Linz
bettina.gruen@jku.at
University of Groningen
m.a.grzegorczyk@rug.nl
CIRAD, UMR AGAP
guedon@cirad.fr
Norwegian University of Science and Technology
jingyi.guo@math.ntnu.no
Johannes Kepler University Linz
markus.hainy@jku.at
Macquarie University
gillian.heller@mq.edu.au
Johannes Kepler University Linz
philipp.hermann@jku.at
Hasselt University
Lisa.Hermans@uhasselt.be
National University of Colombia
fhernanb@gmail.com
National University of Ireland Galway
john.hinde@nuigalway.ie
Paracelsus Medical University
wolfgang.hitzl@pmu.ac.at
Vienna University of Economics and Business
paul.hofmarcher@wu.ac.at
Friedrich-Alexander-University Erlangen-N¨
urnberg
benjamin.hofner@fau.de
London Metropolitan University
amh0446@my.londonmet.ac.uk
University of Arizona
pchhsu@email.arizona.edu
University of Naples
maria.iannario@unina.it
National University of Ireland Galway
a.jalali2@nuigalway.ie
Hasselt University
Stijn.Jaspers@uhasselt.be
Vienna University of Economics and Business
gregor.kastner@wu.ac.at
RWTH Aachen University
maria.kateri@rwth-aachen.de
Georg-August-University G¨
ottingen
nklein@uni-goettingen.de
Williams College Williamstown
bklingen@williams.edu
Georg-August-University G¨
ottingen
tkneib@uni-goettingen.de
Charles University Prague
komarek@karlin.mff.cuni.cz
University of Economics
komarkol@fm.vse.cz
University College London
I.kosmidis@ucl.ac.uk
Austrian Agency for Health and Food Safety Graz
sabrina.kuchling@ages.at
30TH IWSM 2015 - LIST OF PARTICIPANTS
K¨
uchenhoff, Helmut
Lambert, Philippe
Lang, Joseph
Lang, Stefan
Langthaler, Patrick
Lee, Dae-Jin
Lesaffre, Emmanuel
Long, Qi
Lorenzo-Arribas, Altea
Lu, Ying
Machado, Robson Jose Mariano
Malsiner-Walli, Gertraud
Marcelletti, Alessandra
Marx, Brian
Matawie, Kenan
Mayr, Andreas
McParland, Damien
Meira-Machado, Lu´ıs
Milhoran¸
ca, Igor Andr´
e
Miller, Claire
Moghaddam, Shirin
M¨
oller, Annette
Moral, Rafael
Muchene, Leacky
Muggeo, Vito M.R.
M¨
uller, Werner
Musio, Monica
Nakamura, Luiz
Niu, Mu
Noe, Umberto
17
Ludwig-Maximilians-University Munich
kuechenhoff@stat.uni-muenchen.de
University of Li`
ege
p.lambert@ulg.ac.be
University of Iowa
joseph-lang@uiowa.edu
University of Innsbruck
stefan.lang@uibk.ac.at
Paracelsus Medical University
langthalerpa@stud.sbg.ac.at
Basque Center for Applied Mathematics
dlee@bcamath.org
KU Leuven
emmanuel.lesaffre@med.kuleuven.be
Emory University Atlanta
qlong@emory.edu
Biomathematics and Statistics Scotland
aletalo@hotmail.com
New York University
yingtaichi@yahoo.com
University College London
robson.machado.14@ucl.ac.uk
Johannes Kepler University Linz
gertraud.malsiner walli@jku.at
University of Rome “Tor Vergata”
ale.marcelletti@gmail.com
Louisiana State University
bmarx@lsu.edu
University of Western Sydney
K.Matawie@uws.edu.au
Friedrich-Alexander-University Erlangen-N¨
urnberg
andreas.mayr@fau.de
University College Dublin
damien.mcparland@ucd.ie
University of Minho
lmachado@math.uminho.pt
KU Leuven
igor.andremilhoranca@kuleuven.be
University of Glasgow
claire.miller@glasgow.ac.uk
National University of Ireland Galway
s.moghaddam1@nuigalway.ie
Georg-August-University G¨
ottingen
annette.moeller@agr.uni-goettingen.de
University of S˜
ao Paulo
rafael.moral@usp.br
Hasselt University
Leacky.Muchene@uhasselt.be
University of Palermo
vito.muggeo@unipa.it
Johannes Kepler University Linz
werner.mueller@jku.at
University of Cagliari
mmusio@unica.it
University of S˜
ao Paulo
lrnakamura@usp.br
University of Glasgow
Mu.Niu@glasgow.ac.uk
University of Glasgow
u.noe.1@research.gla.ac.uk
30TH IWSM 2015 - LIST OF PARTICIPANTS
O’Donnell, Ruth
O’Hagan, Adrian
Oliveira, Thiago
Pauger, Daniela
Paula, Gilberto
Pennoni, Fulvia
Perrone, Elisa
18
University of Glasgow
Ruth.Haggarty@glasgow.ac.uk
University College Dublin
adrian.ohagan@hotmail.com
University of S˜
ao Paulo
thiago.paula.oliveira@gmail.com
Johannes Kepler University Linz
daniela.pauger@jku.at
University of S˜
ao Paulo
giapaula@ime.usp.br
University of Milano-Bicocca
fulvia.pennoni@unimib.it
Johannes Kepler University Linz
elisa.perrone@jku.at
Peyhardi, Jean
Pinheiro, Eliane
Pinheiro, Aluisio
Pinheiro, Hildete
Posekany, Alexandra
Puig, Pere
Quintero Sarmiento, Adri´
an
Rappold, Andreas
Reichl, Johannes
Rennies, Hauke
Rigby, Robert
Ringrose, Trevor
´
Rodr´ıguez-Alvarez,
Mar´ıa Xos´
e
Romeo, Jose
Roth, Helene
Sallinger, Katharina
Santos, Bruno Ramos
Schauberger, Gunther
Schleicher, Corina
Schnabel, Sabine
Schneider, Max
Schneider, Micha
Scinto, Philip
jean.peyhardi@gmail.com
University of S˜
ao Paulo
elianecp@ime.usp.br
State University of Campinas
Apinheiro.unicamp@gmail.com
State University of Campinas
hildete@ime.unicamp.br
Vienna University of Economics and Business
alexandra.posekany@wu.ac.at
Autonomous University of Barcelona
ppuig@mat.uab.cat
KU Leuven
luisadrian.quinterosarmiento@kuleuven.be
Johannes Kepler University Linz
andreas.rappold@jku.at
Energy Institute at the Johannes Kepler University Linz
office@energieinstitut-linz.at
Georg-August-University G¨
ottingen
hrennie@gwdg.de
London Metropolitan University
r.rigby@londonmet.ac.uk
Cranfield University
t.j.ringrose@cranfield.ac.uk
University of Vigo
mxrodriguez@uvigo.es
University of Santiago
jose.romeo@usach.cl
University of Innsbruck
helene.roth@uibk.ac.at
Johannes Kepler University Linz
katharina.sallinger@jku.at
University of S˜
ao Paulo
brunodosantos@gmail.com
Ludwig-Maximilians-University Munich
gunther.schauberger@stat.uni-muenchen.de
Austrian Agency for Health and Food Safety Graz
corina.schleicher@ages.at
Wageningen University & Research Centre
sabine.schnabel@wur.nl
University of Potsdam
maxsch03@uni-potsdam.de
Ludwig-Maximilians-University Munich
Micha.schneider@stat.uni-muenchen.de
The Lubrizol Corporation
phil.scinto@lubrizol.com
30TH IWSM 2015 - LIST OF PARTICIPANTS
Scott, Marc
Seeber, Gilg
Siebourg-Polster, Juliane
Siino, Marianna
Simonoff, Jeffrey
Sofronov, Georgy
Spangl, Bernhard
Stasinopoulos, Dimitrios
Stauffer, Reto
Stefanova, Katia
Strohmaier, Susanne
Sweeney, James
Torretta, Federico
Tough, Fraser
Tovar-Rios, Diego Alejandro
T¨
uchler, Regina
Umlauf, Nikolaus
Usuga Manco, Olga Cecilia
Van den Hout, Ardo
Van Kerckhove, Kim
Vana, Laura
Vandendijck, Yannick
Wagner, Helga
Waldmann, Elisabeth
Waterman, Richard
Weldon, Matthew
Wilson, Paul
Worton, Bruce
W¨
urbach, Ariane
Zhou, Caddie
19
New York University
marc.scott@nyu.edu
University of Innsbruck
gilg.seeber@uibk.ac.at
Roche
juliane.siebourg-polster@roche.com
University of Palermo
marianna.siino01@unipa.it
New York University
jsimonof@stern.nyu.edu
Macquarie University
georgy.sofronov@mq.edu.au
University of Natural Resources and Life Sciences
bernhard.spangl@boku.ac.at
London Metropolitan University
d.stasinopoulos@londonmet.ac.uk
University of Innsbruck
reto.stauffer@uibk.ac.at
University of Western Australia
katia.stefanova@uwa.edu.au
University of Oslo
susanne.strohmaier@medisin.uio.no
University College Dublin
james.sweeney@ucd.ie
University of Palermo
federico.torretta@unipa.it
University of Glasgow
f.tough.1@research.gla.ac.uk
University of Valle
diego.tovar@correounivalle.edu.co
Austrian Economic Chambers
regina.tuechler@wko.at
University of Innsbruck
Nikolaus.Umlauf@uibk.ac.at
Udea
olga.usuga@udea.edu.co
University College London
ardo.vandenhout@ucl.ac.uk
Hasselt University
Kim.VanKerckhove@uhasselt.be
Vienna University of Economics and Business
laura.vana@wu.ac.at
Hasselt University
Yannick.Vandendijck@uhasselt.be
Johannes Kepler University Linz
helga.wagner@jku.at
University of Liverpool
elisabeth.waldmann@liv.ac.uk
University of Pennsylvania
waterman@wharton.upenn.edu
Lancaster University
m.weldon@lancaster.ac.uk
University of Wolverhampton
pauljwilson@wlv.ac.uk
University of Edinburgh
bruce.worton@ed.ac.uk
Leibniz Institute for Educational Trajectories
araiane.wuerbach@lifbi.de
Sk˚
ane University Hospital
caddie.zhou@skane.se
30th IWSM 2015 - Venue
Managementzentrum
Sessions
Altenberger Strasse 69,
4040 Linz
The Managementzentrum is the main building for the
conference.
Registration as well as all sessions (talks and poster
presentations) and coffee breaks will be on the ground
floor.
Unicenter (Mensa)
Welcome Reception
Altenberger Strasse 69,
4040 Linz
The Welcome Reception will take place at Unicenter,
2nd floor.
All lunches are offered at the Unicenter, ground floor.
Friendly staff will help you to change your lunch
vouchers into tokens for one of two meals.
The busses for the excursions leave from the place near
the Unicenter, just in front of the library (Bibliothek).
Arcotel
Conference Dinner
Untere Donaul¨
ande 9,
4020 Linz
The Conference Dinner will take place in Arcotel Linz.
One of our staff members starts at 7.45 p.m. (19.45)
at the tram station ”Hauptplatz” for the short walk
to the location.
30th IWSM 2015 - Venue Map
30TH IWSM 2015 - VENUE MAP
Buildings at Johannes Kepler University Linz
Managementzentrum, ground floor
22