Indicia Knowledge Brief A Daily Assessment on Indian Defence and Internal/Homeland Security April 05, 2015. Primary aims of Indicia Daily Brief are two-fold. First, it distills infinite information into a capsule form, thus saving precious time of its clients. Second, it tries to link micro-events to larger strategic canvas through its analyses, thus providing support knowledge for better understanding and decision-making. Indicia Analysis of the Day The DRDO’s assurance that it is working on Agni VI project which would hit targets beyond 10000 kms can be taken heart from as it would ideally give the country the capability to successfully create a nuclear deterrence not only in the region but its extended neighbourhood. In what will be a build-up from President Obama’s visit to India in January, the new US defence secretary, Ashton Carter, will be visiting India next month to take forward the proposed co-development and coproduction of military technologies, ranging from aircraft carrier launch systems to mini spy drones. The NIA’s efforts in successfully warding off a major terrorist attack in India’s east, of the magnitude of 26 coast have proven the agency’s credibility in carrying out covert operations. I. National Defence and Security: India Capable of Developing ICBM Beyond 10,000 Kilometre Range: DRDO: "India has successfully test fired the nuclear capable Agni V missile recently, which has a range of 5,000 kilometres. But we are capable of developing ICBM that can hit targets beyond the range of 10,000 kilometres," Mr Salwan said on the sidelines of 6th National Conference themed 'Emerging Vistas of Technology in 21st Century' being held in Vadodara. At the conference, organised by a citybased educational group, Mr Salwan said such seminars should be held by academic institutes across the country so that there is a greater interaction between students, academicians, and other stakeholders with the scientific institutions. He also suggested that the Human Resource Development (HRD) Ministry, University Grants Commission (UGC) should organise such seminars and conferences. Mr Salwan said beside the Agni-VI's ground version, the DRDO is simultaneously working out on its underground variant. He said that after ban on import of components for laser technology, imposed by the USA, UK and other countries, India has indigenously developed laser technology and has become self-sufficient. "We adopt synergic approach towards national needs and priorities in the field of armaments, yet keeping in focus the global advancements in order to develop competence in key areas," he said. On the role of Armament Research Board, he said it helps in creating self-sufficiency in critical technologies needed for development of competitive armament stores and put the armament discipline at the fore-front in global scenario. "The Board's objective is to lead to technological innovations useful for combat multiplier, both for the near term and future," he said. During the conference, he spoke on anti-defence missiles, electronic warfare and cyber security..... Source: http://www.ndtv.com/india-news/india-capable-of-developing-icbm-beyond-10-000-kilometerrange-drdo-752239 * Changes planned in offset clauses: In line with the government’s assurances to streamline defence procurements, the Defence Ministry is set to bring about major changes in offset provisions in the new Defence Procurement Procedure (DPP) 2015, to be released in the next two months. Offset obligations were introduced in 2005 to develop the defence industrial base in the country. It stipulates that for deals worth over Rs. 300 crore, the Original Equipment Manufacturer (OEM) has to reinvest 30 per cent of the contract value in the country. One of the key changes in the DPP will be an option to migrate from offset obligations to ‘Buy and Make’ category, sources said. Under the new provision, the value of Foreign Direct Investment by the OEM and the eligible products being manufactured in India will be counted against offset obligations. This will provide a boost to ‘Make in India’ programme in defence and bring in greater FDI, sources said. Of the 24 contracts signed between 2007 and 2013, total offset obligations were close to Rs. 30,000 crore. Ninety per cent of them under-performed their targets and annual offset obligations remained unfulfilled, the sources observed. In addition, the cost of contract goes up as OEMs charge for technology transfer and also significantly slowed the procurement process while no meaningful technology was accrued. Speaking at Aero India 2015 in Bengaluru, Prime Minister Narendra Modi stressed the importance of offsets and said, “I want our offsets policy not as a means to export low-end products, but to acquire state-of-the art technology and skills.” He further added: “We have introduced significant reforms in our offsets policy. I am acutely aware that it still needs a lot of improvements. We will pursue them in consultation with domestic industry and our foreign partners.” Defence Minister Manohar Parrikar too had assured that the offset policy would be made more lucrative to derive better value out of it. However, noted defence analyst Brigadier (Retd.) Gurmeet Kanwal sounded a note of caution. “At present our defence industry’s technological base is not of the level that we can absorb 50 per cent offsets of the project like the Rafale. The proposed amendments to the policy are unlikely to change this substantially.” The industry responded positively. “The new policy will help in getting work in India and technology which will develop our manufacturing capability further,” said Ashok Wadhawan, president, Manufacturing Business, Punj Lloyd. Source: http://www.thehindu.com/news/national/defence-ministry-plans-changes-in-offsetclauses/article7066445.ece * Three Missiles set for Test Fire this Month: Four tests of three indigenously built nuclear capable missiles will be test-fired off the Odisha coast this month. While an updated version of Advanced Air Defence (AAD) interceptor missile has been scheduled to be test-fired against an electronic target on April 6, the weapon system will be fired to intercept an actual target, mimicking a modified Prithvi missile on April 22. The ballistic interceptor missiles will be flight tested by the Defence Research and Development Organisation (DRDO) at endo-atmospheric zone (below the altitude of 40 km). Prior to it, Strategic Forces Command (SFC) will carry out user trials of Dhanush missile on April 9 and Agni-III on April 16. The Nuclear capable Dhanush missile will be test-fired from a warship to be positioned at an undisclosed location in Bay of Bengal off Paradip coast and the China specific Agni-III missile would be launched from the Wheeler Island off Dhamra coast. Preparations have been completed for the AAD test from Wheeler Island while Dhanush team has started integrating the missile with the ship. Dhanush, the indigenously developed Naval version of the Prithvi short-range ballistic missile (SRBM), has a striking range upto 350 km and can carry single warhead, conventional or nuclear upto 500 kg. Similarly, 3,000-km range Agni-III missile can carry both conventional and nuclear warheads weighing around 1500 kg. Developed by the DRDO under its ambitious Integrated Guided Missile Development Programme (IGMDP), Dhanush missile is about 8.53 metres in length and 0.9 metre in diametre. Agni-III is 16.7 metres tall with a diametre of 1.8 metres and weighs 48.3 tonnes. While both Dhanush and Agni-III have been inducted into the Armed Forces and are under production after the successful completion of their developmental trials, AAD missile would be inducted very soon. Source: http://www.newindianexpress.com/states/odisha/Three-Missiles-set-for-Test-Fire-thisMonth/2015/04/04/article2746861.ece * US defence secretary to visit India in May to push aircraft carrier technologies: The new US defence secretary, Ashton Carter, will be visiting India next month to take forward the proposed co-development and co-production of military technologies, ranging from aircraft carrier launch systems to mini spy drones, identified during Barack Obama's visit in January. US defence under-secretary Frank Kendall, who now co-chairs the bilateral Defence Trade and Technology Initiative (DTTI), on his part, told a news agency in Washington that the Obama government would back the selling of General Atomics' EMALS (electromagnetic aircraft launch systems) and other key technologies to India. As reported by TOI earlier, this is important because India wants its next 65,000-tonne aircraft carrier, which will be built domestically, to have CATOBAR (catapult assisted take-off but arrested recovery) configuration for launching fighters as well as heavier aircraft from its deck. Till now, India's two operational aircraft carriers INS Viraat and INS Vikramaditya, as also the under-construction INS Vikrant, all have angled ski-jumps for fighters to take off under their own power in STOBAR (short take-off but arrested recovery) operations. But, unlike CATOBAR, only a few aircraft can be launched from carrier decks using STOBAR operations. Interestingly, Carter had started the entire DTTI initiative with India when he was earlier serving as the deputy secretary of defence at Pentagon. Under it, India and the US agreed to begin co-development and co-production of four modest "pathfinder projects" as well as explore development of aircraft carrier technologies and jet engines during Obama's visit in January. The pathfinder products are the Raven mini unmanned aerial vehicles (UAVs), "roll-on, roll-off" mission modules for C-130J Super Hercules aircraft, mobile electric hybrid power sources, and chemical-biological warfare protection gear for soldiers. Source: http://timesofindia.indiatimes.com/india/US-defence-secretary-to-visit-India-in-May-to-pushaircraft-carrier-technologies/articleshow/46810313.cms * Samba attack: Western Command analyses its military prowess: Top brass of Army's Western Command has come out with a bird view analysis of the success of troops in foiling recent terrorist attack in Samba (Jammu & Kashmir). The credit for the same, according to an official press release, goes to the evolution of an efficient response mechanism, which helped the soldiers react with exemplary promptness. It is attributable also to the effectiveness of battle drills carried out as a part of their day-to-day training. Apprehending a second strike following the one on Rajbagh a day earlier, the determined bid of the desperados to enter the Samba garrison on March 21 was thwarted by preventing their entry and even pinning them down by effective fire till a proper cordon was established, thus finely exhibiting the alertness of the Army, said the release. "The success of the operation would not have been possible without a flawless communication mechanism of the Army which facilitated the passage of information to all concerned within a few minutes," Western Command release mentioned. One of the posts of Samba garrison had come under heavy fire from terrorists on March 21. Source: http://timesofindia.indiatimes.com/india/Samba-attack-Western-Command-analyses-its-militaryprowess/articleshow/46810167.cms * INS Mumbai Evacuates 441 Indians From Yemen in 'War-Like Conditions': The Indian Navy on April 04 evacuated 441 people, including a pregnant woman and children, from the Port of Aden in strife-torn Yemen in almost 'war-like conditions'. "Absolute tough environment at Aden... Evacuation of stranded Indians were carried out in almost war-like conditions by Indian Naval Ship Mumbai," a Navy official said. INS Mumbai, one of the warships sent to Yemen for rescue operations, was unable to enter the port due to heavy firing in Aden, and had to wait at the anchorage area of the port. 12 small crafts, which were hired by the warship, were used to move 30-35 Indians at a time from the port to INS Mumbai. The warship has now set sail for Djibouti across the Red Sea, a journey that takes about nine hours to cover. From Djibouti the rescued people will be flown back to India. Meanwhile, INS Sumitra was unable to rescue any Indian nationals from Al Mukalla port, which has been overrun by Al Qaeda terrorists. Almost 2,000 Indians have been rescued so far from Yemen, with over 800 just on April 04. 11 Indian nationals were rescued as well by Pakistan on April 04. Over 2,000 Indians are still estimated to be in Yemen..... Source: http://www.ndtv.com/india-news/ins-mumbai-evacuates-439-indians-from-yemen-in-war-likeconditions-752293 * 800 More Indian Nationals Evacuated From Strife-Torn Yemen as Navy Carries Out Massive Operations: About 800 Indians have been evacuated from strife-torn Yemen where the situation has deteriorated significantly due to escalation in fighting between warring groups. With April 04's 800 evacuations, India has so far taken out over 1,800 of its citizens from the country. Minister of State for External Affairs VK Singh, who was overseeing the massive evacuation operation from Djibouti, had also gone to Sana'a, the capital of Yemen from where Air India rescued Indian nationals after getting permission to land. Mr Singh has gone back to Djibouti on April 04. Meanwhile, Navy ship INS Mumbai sent to evacuate Indians from Aden could not dock at the city port due to heavy shelling and small boats were used to ferry the people to the ship. "There is heavy shelling in Aden. The ship is anchored 5-6 kilometres off the coast. Indian nationals are being taken by boat to board the ship there," External Affairs Minister Sushma Swaraj said. Official sources said the evacuation operation was going on despite the deteriorating situation across Yemen..... Source: http://www.ndtv.com/india-news/800-more-indian-nationals-evacuated-from-strife-torn-yemenas-navy-carries-out-massive-operations-752282 * Government plans nuclear missile shield in Delhi: Modi Sarkar has taken the first real step in giving India's capital city, Delhi, a security cover that cities such as Beijing and Washington already have — a nuclear missile shield. Two long-range missile-tracking radars have been placed in the national capital region. When completed, the shield will be able to intercept missiles fired from as far as 5,000 km away. Senior government officials familiar with the matter told ET placing the radars is the beginning of an accelerated process in creating a missile cover for major Indian cities. The next Indian city to be covered is Mumbai. Major cities around the world such as Washington, Beijing, Paris, London and Tel Aviv all have missile shields. India's missile shield programme has fallen behind over the past two years. The programme started in real earnest in 2006 and 2009-12 saw many tests. However, say senior officials, 2013 and 2014 were lull years for the programme. There was a failed test in April 2014..... Source: http://economictimes.indiatimes.com/news/politics-and-nation/government-plans-nuclearmissile-shield-in-delhi/articleshow/46801046.cms * US says would back India in buying electromagnetic launching system for aircraft carriers: The US government would support selling General Atomics' electromagnetic launching system for aircraft carriers, and other key technologies, to India, the Pentagon's chief weapons buyer told Reuters on April 03. Defense Undersecretary Frank Kendall, who heads a joint US-India defense trade and technology effort, said he was optimistic about the two countries' efforts to cooperate on a planned aircraft carrier for India. "I'm optimistic about cooperating with them on that," Kendall told Reuters in an interview, when asked about the possibility of India acquiring the Electromagnetic Aircraft Launch System (EMALS) built by privately held General Atomics, which is based in San Diego, California. "They're going to have to make their own decision about what technology they want, but I don't see any fundamental obstacles to them acquiring some of our carrier technologies, if they want them," he said. India wants to use state-of-the-art US technology to boost the range and potency of a planned aircraft carrier, in a move that would deepen cooperation between both countries and counter China's military influence in the region. General Atomics, which has also proposed selling the system to Brazil, says selling the system to foreign countries could help lower the cost of installing the system on the new Gerald R. Ford class of US Navy aircraft carriers being built by Huntington Ingalls Industries Inc. The new system helps jets launch off a flat deck at a faster rate and with less fatigue to the aircraft. Source: http://economictimes.indiatimes.com/news/defence/us-says-would-back-india-in-buyingelectromagnetic-launching-system-for-aircraft-carriers/articleshow/46802617.cms * Indian rescue ship unable to enter Yemeni port due to heavy shelling: An Indian warship sent to evacuate stranded Indian nationals in Yemen was unable to enter Aden on April 04 because of heavy shelling in the southern port city, which has witnessed heavy fighting between Houthi rebels and forces loyal to President Abd-Rabbu Mansour Hadi. The guided missile destroyer INS Mumbai, one of the Indian Navy’s most powerful warships, was anchored a few kilometres from the coast and the Indians were being ferried to it by boat, external affairs minister Sushma Swaraj said. Source: http://www.hindustantimes.com/chunk-ht-ui-homepage-topstories/indian-rescue-ship-unable-toenter-yemeni-port-due-to-heavy-shelling/article1-1333910.aspx * Vietnam seeks deepened security cooperation with India: Vietnam wants to deepen cooperation with India in all fields on the basis of their special trust, particularly in national defence and security, according to Prime Minister Nguyen Tan Dung. At his meeting on April 3 with India’s national security adviser Ajit Kumar Doval, who has been on a visit to Vietnam, the PM said Vietnam and India has a special friendship relationship that has been built up through many generations of leaders. He affirmed that Vietnam always remember the great support and assistance the Indian people gave to Vietnam during its struggle for independence as well as national reconstruction. The PM made it clear that Vietnam supports India’s “Act East” policy as well as its strengthening of strategic partnership with the Association of Southeast Asian Nations. While suggesting the two sides should boost cooperation in all fields from politics-foreign affairs to economy-trade and investment, the PM asked India to increase cooperation with Vietnam in defence and military technology, particularly in personnel training in the air force, navy and intelligence. He also wanted stronger cooperation in cyber security and preventing and fighting terrorism and hi-tech crimes. Ajit Kumar Doval said India will be always a companion with Vietnam in any circumstances and a stable, developed and prosperous Vietnam is of India’s interest. The adviser affirmed India would do all it can to assist Vietnam in defence and security, specifically defence industry, military technology, intelligence, personnel training, cybercrimes and cybersecurity. Regarding East Sea issues, Ajit Kumar Doval reiterated India’s stance that ensuring navigation freedom in the East Sea is of great importance and that India would not accept any unilateral action to change the status quo. All disagreements and disputes must be solved through peaceful measures in conformity with international law, he said, adding that this point of view has been affirmed by Prime Minister Narendra Modi at all international forums. Deputy PM greets Indian National Security Adviser Deputy Prime Minister and Foreign Minister Pham Binh Minh hosted a reception for India’s National Security Adviser Ajit Kumar Doval in Hanoi on April 3, during which he declared that Vietnam consistently attaches great importance to developing traditional friendship and strategic partnership with India. Vietnam supports India’s Act East Policy and its connections with the region and the world, while backing the country’s bid to become a permanent member of an expanded United Nations Security Council, he stated. He suggested that the two sides promote the efficiency of existing cooperation mechanisms, including the Inter-Governmental Committee, political consultations, strategic dialogues defence policy dialogues and sub-committees on affiliation in trade, science, technology and education.... Source: http://english.vietnamnet.vn/fms/government/127285/vietnam-seeks-deepened-securitycooperation-with-india.html * India: Where Aerospace Shines and Aeronautics Whines: Built at a modest cost of just $74 million Isro’s Mangalyaan Mars craft got world attention which highlighted India’s Scientific achievements. Western media too were all praise for Isro’s MOM Mars craft successful insertion to mar orbit, Achievement which very few have succeeded in doing it in their first try. In a Country where each ISRO mission hypnotizes millions of ordinary common man, each mission keeps them glued to their television sets. Each PSLV or GSLV Rocket launch is watched with same interest as was with last launch. ISRO’s professional culture and success are also much revered by students, academics, and common man and Isro is followed very keenly and after each successful mission ” Whats Next ?” is the war cry of Common man who associates himself with each Isro mission, each success and failure is directly reflected on Citizens of this country . India is also the same country where an organization like ISRO are shining and are followed by a Common man with key Interest and then there is an organization like HAL which are whining. A Country which can insert Probe in Mars orbit, launch ballistic missiles from submerged platform but still struggles to build even basic trainer aircrafts for its armed forces shows Two opposite level of the talent in the country. Lost Start Aeronautics in India got a head start and early developmental projects by HAL of HF-24 and HT-2 too saw some level of success, but the early momentum gained were lost after it failed get further developmental projects. While Isro had visionary leaders like Dr. Vikram Sarabhai who visioned Space development and were able to link growth of India will success in space. lack of visionary leaders in Aeronautics did hurt the Industry later which limited itself in assembling Prodcuts developed by other countries, then in developing their own products..... Source: http://idrw.org/india-where-aerospace-shines-and-aeronautics-whines/ * India, Pak & the nuclear threat: General Khalid Kidwai, who headed the Strategic Plans Division (SPD) of Pakistan’s Nuclear Command Authority for 15 long years, laid out the doctrinal basis of Pakistan’s nuclear programme during an expansive interaction in Washington, DC, recently. The General said that the rationale for developing tactical nuclear weapons, including the nuclear missile Nasr, that has a range of 37 miles, is to respond to India’s Cold Start doctrine. The ostensive Cold Start doctrine that has not been officially acknowledged by India envisages a blitzkrieg of a number of armoured battle groups simultaneously attacking Pakistan after being mobilised in 48 to 72 hours. Clearly, conceding the asymmetry between conventional forces of India and Pakistan, he preached that battlefield nuclear weapons would deter India from probing for gaps in Pakistani nuclear deterrence to find space for a conventional war under a nuclear overhang. (After the Kargil War, a theory was propounded by Indian strategists that there is space for a conventional war with Pakistan despite the nuclear equation. That is the rationale that Pakistan extends for battlefield nuclear weapons to stop Cold Start.) If strategic nuclear weapons had kept the peace for four decades in South Asia since 1971, tactical weapons would only perpetuate it further he argued. He further delineated that the logic of the Shaheen-III nuclear missiles, that have a range of 2,750 kilometres, was to knock out India’s second-strike capability even if it was located on the islands of Andaman and Nicobar. It would neutralise India’s bluster by conveying that any use of nuclear weapons of any kind would invite massive retaliation. He also acknowledged that Pakistan was well on its way to developing a submarine-based nuclear capability as a second strike option, thereby completing the nuclear triad. Gen. Kidwai was rather candid in implicitly acknowledging that Pakistan uses terrorist organisations as an instrument of state policy, though he blamed the Kashmir and Afghanistan bogey that Pakistan keeps raising to try and justify its actions.... Source: http://www.asianage.com/columnists/india-pak-nuclear-threat-179 II Homeland Security * How the NIA thwarted a 26/11-like attack by ISI agents based in Sri Lanka: A 26/11-like attack was in the making, but this time, from the east coast. That is how National Investigation Agency (NIA) Director-General Sharad Kumar sums up the agency's exhaustive nearly two-year investigation into what it says was a massive terror plot against India by Pakistan's Inter-Services Intelligence (ISI). This time, the NIA says, it was coordinated from the Sri Lankan soil. Similarities are glaring between the events that investigations revealed preceded the November 2008 Mumbai attack and those in the latest case, says the top terror probe agency. Major Iqbal and Major Sameer Ali of the ISI, according to an NIA investigation into the 26/11 case, plotted the strikes on Mumbai by sending in a US citizen to India for reconnaissance of targets in Mumbai and later sent in a group of terrorists by sea to India's financial hub on the west coast. India could not catch David Coleman Headley, the American who was later arrested by the US and is currently in a jail there. The two Pakistani officers remain just names with India not having any further clue of their identity or photographs. The NIA says it has much more evidence to pin down the conspirators in the latest plot. The agency has even a photo of the alleged mastermind, Amir Zubair Siddique, who was a counsellor (visa) at Pakistan's High Commission in Colombo.... Source: http://economictimes.indiatimes.com/news/politics-and-nation/how-the-nia-thwarted-a-26/11like-attack-by-isi-agents-based-in-sri-lanka/articleshow/46801263.cms * 2 SIMI militants killed in Telangana encounter had plans to kill PM: Khandwa jailbreak fugitives Mohammad Ejazuddin and Mohammad Aslam, who were shot in an encounter in Nalagonda district of Telangana on April 03 night, had formed a separate wing called 'Maal-e-Ganeemat' within SIMI to fund their terror activities. The wing was named after medieval practice of looting belongings of enemies defeated in battle to support the poor. Interrogation report of SIMI members Ejazuddin, Aslam and their chief Abu Faisal accessed by TOI shows they wanted to be the real face of home-grown terror, swearing allegiance to Taliban and Al Qaeda, looking beyond ISI patronage enjoyed by Indian Mujahedeen. They had plans to kill Prime Minister Narendra Modi and a plot to bomb the Sabarmati Jail to free their chief, Safdar Nagori. They had made attempts to link with Qaeda to free 9/11 accused and scientist Aafia Siddiqui from FBI custody in the US, where she is famously known as "prisoner number 650". The two resorted to bank robberies to plough in funds. Agencies claim it was the cash generated by a robbery in Bhopal in 2010 that was used in blasts at Modi's rally in Patna in 2014. SIMI ideologue Hyder Ali, who was arrested in connection with the October 27 blasts, revealed Abu Faisal had given him Rs 5 lakh. The team is wanted in more than 20 other robberies across India, said sources. ... Source: http://timesofindia.indiatimes.com/india/2-SIMI-militants-killed-in-Telangana-encounter-hadplans-to-kill-PM/articleshow/46809865.cms Indicia solicits comments and advice from readers on any aspect of the report. 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