Challenges of Integrating Renewables Experiences of 50Hertz and in Germany IWPC, Session 9 Istanbul, 01.04.2015 Olaf Ziemann Agenda − Who is 50Hertz? − Which are the challenges with renewables? − Which solutions do we apply? Requirements for System Operation Requirements for Grid Extension − How do we see the future? Challenges of Integrating Renewables / Istanbul, 01.04.2015 / Olaf Ziemann 2 / 38 50Hertz as a fully unbundled TSO Energinet.dk 60 % 40 % TenneT TenneT PL Amprion CZ F Transnet BW CH Challenges of Integrating Renewables / Istanbul, 01.04.2015 / Olaf Ziemann A 3 / 38 50Hertz as a part of the European Electricity System 1 3 2 4 3 1.50Hertz 2.TenneT TSO 3.Amprion 4.TransnetBW Challenges of Integrating Renewables / Istanbul, 01.04.2015 / Olaf Ziemann 4 4 / 38 TSOs are the Backbone for the Energy Supply The four Core Activities: Responsibility for Society - Transmission Grid Operator (Assets On- and Offshore) - System Operator - Market Facilitator - ”Trustee“ for RES- and CHP-Processes EU Market Development The TSO and especially 50Hertz play a key role for the German Society. Challenges of Integrating Renewables / Istanbul, 01.04.2015 / Olaf Ziemann 5 5 / 38 50Hertz at a glance – situation in late 2014 Value (Share in DE) 109,360 km² (31%) Total length of lines 9,855 km (29%) Maximum load ~ 16 GW (21%) Energy consumption (based on electricity supplied to final consumers in acc. with the EEG) ~ 95 TWh (20%) Installed capacity: - of which Renewables - of which Wind ~ 47,802 MW (~24%) 24,938 MW (~29%) 14,637 MW (~38%) Workforce Turnover - of which grid Challenges of Integrating Renewables / Istanbul, 01.04.2015 / Olaf Ziemann 893 8,569 billion € 0.976 billion € 6 6 / 38 Provisional data, approved values will be available on June 2015; Source: 50Hertz as at 31/12/2014 Area Agenda − Who is 50Hertz? − Which are the challenges with renewables? − Which solutions do we apply? − How do we see the future? Challenges of Integrating Renewables / Istanbul, 01.04.2015 / Olaf Ziemann 7 / 38 EU and GermanTargets for 2030 EU: Binding CO2 Reduction 40% compared to 1990 GER: CO2 Reduction 55% EU: No binding target of 30% for energy efficiency (review for 27% by 2020) GER: Set of concrete targets Challenges of Integrating Renewables / Istanbul, 01.04.2015 / Olaf Ziemann EU: Binding EU-wide share of RES 27% GER: share of RES 47% (2014: achieved 27%) 8 / 38 Three phases of RES development in Germany Phase I RE as niche < 10% RES • Strong onshore wind development, first PV development • First adaptations for system operations to accommodate volatile RES (e.g. weather forecasts, data exchange and direct control, billing for RES) Phase II RE going mainstream 10-40% RES Phase III RE becoming dominant > 40% RES • Strong PV development, first offshore wind, continued onshore wind development (incl. ‘repowering’) • Strong offshore wind development, continued PV and onshore wind development • Flexibility of conventional generation increasingly important (redispatch, decrease must run) • Major system changes required (new support programs, new market design, new grid design and structure, TSO-DSO-coop) • Real-time data exchange and direct control of RES • System increasingly approaching n-1-limits leads to develop grid infrastructure Challenges of Integrating Renewables / Istanbul, 01.04.2015 / Olaf Ziemann • RES to fulfill role of conventional (system services as control power, inertia contribution) 9 / 38 Expansion of Renewable Energy Sources in Germany, 97% installed at DSO level 2000 2025 Forecast * 2006 ~ 30,000 plants ~ 1,500,000 plants wind photovoltaics biomass Challenges of Integrating Renewables / Istanbul, 01.04.2015 / Olaf Ziemann ~ 3,000,000 plants *) Scenario B of the 2025 GDP Area proportional to installed capacity Source: 50Hertz, TenneT, Amprion, TransnetBW, Google Earth 10 / 38 Increasing distance between consumption and production capacity balance 2012 (MW) capacity balance 2022 (MW) Source: GDP 2012, German TSO 31.01.2012 Challenges of Integrating Renewables / Istanbul, 01.04.2015 / Olaf Ziemann 11 / 38 2012 2013 17% 28% 2011 ____ Load ≤ 50% ____ 50% < Load < 70% > 70% 55% 19% 35% 45% 18% 34% 12% 38% 47% 2010 50% 63% 26% 11% Gap between RES and Grid Development lead to increased load flows in the 50Hertz area in 2014 >50%; ≤70% ≤ 50% 2014 ____ ____ Load ≥ 70% No Values Asynchronous line load > 5h/a Grid load increases dramatically due to the changes in energy production. Challenges of Integrating Renewables / Istanbul, 01.04.2015 / Olaf Ziemann 12 / 38 Fluctuating feed-in of renewable energies – wind energy data Data feed-in of wind energy at 50Hertz (2014) Maximum feed-in Minimal feed-in Feed-in wind energy (19/12/2014 – 25/12/2014) 11,972 MW 0 MW Biggest increase within ¼ hour 1,267 MW Biggest decrease within ¼ hour - 979 MW Biggest difference between Min and Max within one calendar day 8,789 MW Coreso Maximum at 24.12.2014, 11:15 a.m. with 11,972 MW High requirements on forecasts, controlling ability and system operation. Challenges of Integrating Renewables / Istanbul, 01.04.2015 / Olaf Ziemann 13 / 38 Need for Measures on December 24, 2014 Vertical load Net infeed Total RES (Wind, PV, others) Consumption Consumption load, load, calc. calc. Wind infeed, calc. PV infeed, calc. Others, calc. RES infeed > Consumption Load Redispatch: 01:30 – 24:00 hour, max. 5,492 MW, 69,6 GWh Curtailment: 00:30 – 20:45 hour, max. 200 MW, 3,6 GWh Challenges of Integrating Renewables / Istanbul, 01.04.2015 / Olaf Ziemann 14 / 38 Agenda − Who is 50Hertz? − Which are the challenges with renewables? − Which solutions do we apply? Requirements for System Operation Requirements for Grid Extension − How do we see the future? Challenges of Integrating Renewables / Istanbul, 01.04.2015 / Olaf Ziemann 15 / 38 Tool Box of Measures developed for Security of Supply (excerpt) Market related Measures Net related Measures Curtailment with RES Reserve Power Stations Cooperation Redispatch with Conv. Gen. Switchable Load Challenges of Integrating Renewables / Istanbul, 01.04.2015 / Olaf Ziemann 16 16 / 38 Increasing complexity for Redispatch and need for coordination Organization of Redispatch (fig. left) for flow reduction requires a lot of interfierings in generation and increasing demand for coordination (fig. above) for predictions and realization (Coreso and TSC are initiatives of TSO‘s to coordinate security of supply) Challenges of Integrating Renewables / Istanbul, 01.04.2015 / Olaf Ziemann 17 / 38 System security: Interventions to solve congestions Volumes and Costs for Redispatch (§ 13.1 EnWG) Volume in GWh Share of conv. Feed in1 5.000 6,00% 4.500 5,00% 4.000 120 4,00% 3.000 80 2.500 3,00% 60 2.000 2,00% 1.500 1.000 0 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 40 1,00% 20 0,00% 0 500 2 High yearly costs for Redispatch could be significantly reduced by Grid Expansion. 2 140 100 3.500 1 Cost in Mio. € 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 20142 TenneT Redispatch in direction 50Hertz Redispatch international Redispatch national control area 50Hertz Electricity consumption (supply to end users lt. EEG)within Control Area 50Hertz Preliminary values Challenges of Integrating Renewables / Istanbul, 01.04.2015 / Olaf Ziemann 18 / 38 System security: Interventions to solve congestions Volumes and Costs for Curtailment of feed in from Wind (§ 13.2 EnWG/§14 EEG) Volume in GWh Share from total Feed in of ES1 1,00% 500 Cost in Mio. € 30 450 0,80% 400 350 25 20 300 0,60% 250 15 200 0,40% 10 150 100 0,20% 5 50 0 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2 0,00% 0 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2 Curtailment of feed in from Wind still doesn‘t play an important role (0,66% of total feed in of RES). 1 2 Feed in of RES within Control Area 50Hertz Preliminary values Challenges of Integrating Renewables / Istanbul, 01.04.2015 / Olaf Ziemann 19 / 38 Stress on European neighbour grids due to unplanned load flows – 50Hertz-measures Phase shifters (physical PST) Redispatch („virtual PST“) - reduces SoS-relevant flows ensuring efficiency and cost effectiveness = challenge short-term - reduces SoS-relevant flows investment required middle-term Challenges of Integrating Renewables / Istanbul, 01.04.2015 / Olaf Ziemann Grid expansion - ensures SoS in entire system enables integrated European market long-term 20 / 38 The power system in the 50Hertz grid area TSO-Level 8 Windfarms 7 onshore 1 offshore 7 TSO Amprion TenneT TransnetBW 3 Steel corpor. 12 conv. power plants/storages Schwarze Pumpe Boxberg Jänschwalde Lippendorf (R+S) Reuter West Goldisthal CEPS Energinet.dk PSE 8 Distribution System Operators 1200 Windfarms E.DIS ENSO Netz HSN Magdeburg MITNETZ Strom PV-, biomass- and other RES Stromnetz Berlin Stromnetz Hamburg TEN WEMAG Netz Cascading DSO - 1. Level Markersbach Hohenwarte II Brunsbüttel (gpp) Moorburg Rostock Schkopau CHP & IPP DSO - 2. till m. Level 200 Windfarms 141 Distribution System Operators CHP & IPP Other DSOs CHP & IPP PV-, biomass- and other RES DSO - n. Level PV-, biomass- and other RES As at 12/2013 Challenges of Integrating Renewables / Istanbul, 01.04.2015 / Olaf Ziemann 21 21 / 38 The Energiewende has been a major driver for corporate development Examples of new corporate initiatives and business fields - Trading room for RE (‘Front Office’) - ‘GridLab’-center for grid simulations and operator training purposes - International system security entities such as Coreso, TSO Security Cooperation - Transnational market and capacity allocation initiatives such as EMCC, CASC, CAO - Coordinated grid planning among German TSOs and on European level - Extensive competence- and experience-building in RE forecasting - New departments and functions, new staff across all functions (+30% since 2009) New challenges have led to new areas of operation, new competences, and new jobs. Challenges of Integrating Renewables / Istanbul, 01.04.2015 / Olaf Ziemann 22 / 38 Investment in 2014 at record high 700 600 38 50 350 300 250 200 150 100 50 0 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 500 Instandhaltung Maintenance 37 400 154 300 51 200 37 100 0 308 45 40 3 114 38 46 107 43 131 39 110 72 105 535 248 114 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 264 Offshore 144 0 Onshore Offshore 350 300 250 200 150 100 50 0 Maintenance Instandhaltung Plan 350 300 250 200 150 100 50 0 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 Onshore Investment record high was driven by increased Offshore-Investment. Challenges of Integrating Renewables / Istanbul, 01.04.2015 / Olaf Ziemann 23 / 38 New Process of electricity grid planning in germany 2015 Government will adopt draft 2. Federal Requirement Plan Source: Federal Network Agency Challenges of Integrating Renewables / Istanbul, 01.04.2015 / Olaf Ziemann 24 / 38 Hybride-Grid AC/DC based on Federal Requirement Plan as foundation for the grid expansion Anhanced Network Development Plan by TSO’s 2014 Federal Requirement Plan (FRP) Act adopted by German Plan of the TSOs 2012 - 36 projects confirmed - 3 HVDC corridors - Current Grid Development Plan • confirms FRP • recommends 3 measures - Law of FRP about to be updated in 2015 and 2018 AC Reinforcement AC New Construction DC-Connections Challenges of Integrating Renewables / Istanbul, 01.04.2015 / Olaf Ziemann 25 / 38 Grid development is essential to allow higher RES penetration Tasks of the Grid: • Geographic balancing of volatile RES generation • Accommodate decentral generation and generation by smaller units on lower voltage levels ( upward feeds, i.e. change from supply to feed back) The grid of the future will be increasingly dense and more meshed. TYNDP and PCIs are agreed upon and monitored on European Level. TYNDP = Ten Years Network Development Plan PCI = Project of Common Interest Challenges of Integrating Renewables / Istanbul, 01.04.2015 / Olaf Ziemann 26 / 38 Agenda − Who is 50Hertz? − Which are the challenges with renewables? − Which solutions do we apply? − How do we see the future? Challenges of Integrating Renewables / Istanbul, 01.04.2015 / Olaf Ziemann 27 / 38 Future Needs for “Energiewende” Acceptance Cooperation/ Coordination Contributions from RES to System Stability Challenges of Integrating Renewables / Istanbul, 01.04.2015 / Olaf Ziemann Grid Extension European Perspective 28 28 / 38 Acceptance by Transparency, dialogue and information Publication of load flow data - - New approaches to project communication Compensation payments for municipalities - High degree of transparency Available online in a comprehensible format On-the-hour representation of the grid situation in the past 24 hours Online since 20/04/2012 - - Timely information for affected parties in grid expansion areas Better dialogue and more active participation Support instruments such as the mobile information office, project website, hotline, local meetings Challenges of Integrating Renewables / Istanbul, 01.04.2015 / Olaf Ziemann Cost sharing for municipalities pursuant to the provisions of section 5 of the StromNEV Max. 40,000 € per km Model agreement developed in 2012 Mechanism first applied to Northern Line between Schwerin and Hamburg 29 / 38 Future Demand for Storage Technologies Comparison of Storage Technologies Gas Grid with highest storage capacities in Germany hours 1 year 1 Month 1 day In Operation today: mainly Pump Storage (state: 0,04 TWh) Benefit for Future: - furtheron Pump Storage - many small contributions - big amount PtG? (demand: 2/20-200TWh) Many decentralized storages could deliver big contribution (peak shaving)? Exchange/Use with Interconnectors Challenges of Integrating Renewables / Istanbul, 01.04.2015 / Olaf Ziemann 30 30 / 38 Grid development and storage SE (34 TWh) DE (0,04 TWh*) CH (9 TWh) AU (3 TWh) 85,0 .85,0 100 80 60 34,0 .34,0 40 9,0 .9,0 20 NOR SWE CH 3,0 .3,0 0,05 AUT DE Yearly surpluses in Germany 60000 Surplus due to fluctuating inflow 40000 2012 2030 2050 2020 2040 20000 MW 0 -20000 -40000 Essential dispatchable power Hours per year generation -60000 1 1001 2001 3001 4001 5001 6001 7001 8001 Source: World Energy Council, 2012 NO (84 TWh) * Maximum available storage capacity of water reservoirs in 2011 Maximum available storage capacity of water storage in 2011 (in TWh) Study of World Energy Council proves high economic value between GER and Nordic countries (between 7 and 12 GW!) Challenges of Integrating Renewables / Istanbul, 01.04.2015 / Olaf Ziemann 31 / 38 Further challenges ahead The quality of RES and load forecasts has increased, but still should be further developed Online data exchange between TSOs and their customers is to be further improved, controllability of generators and loads in underlying grids should be ensured Large gradients of RES and changing weather forecasts are drivers for intraday markets and ¼ hour products. Trading of ¼ hour products should be strengthened, liquidity is to be further increased To further promote decarbonisation of the electricity supply, new options for ancillary services and flexibility must be made available Those responsible for balancing groups should be motivated to improve balancing group management. High penalties should ensure that balancing group deviations are significantly reduced Source: 50Hertz Challenges of Integrating Renewables / Istanbul, 01.04.2015 / Olaf Ziemann 32 / 38 Many thanks for attention! Olaf Ziemann 50Hertz Transmission GmbH Eichenstraße 3A 12435 Berlin +49 30 5150 4590 olaf.ziemann@50hertz.com www.50hertz.com Istanbul, 01.04.2015
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