We d n e s d ay 1 5 , A p r i l 2015 News & Report Analysis Currency Market Precious Metal Base Metal Energy Market We have 2,269 MT iron ore resources, K’ taka tells SC Adani in talks with Oz aboriginal group to end land row Govt to auction 23 blocks next week Centre inks accord with 9 PSUs who have been allotted coal blocks Kanishk plans B2B outlets for gold brand Krizz 2 Wednesday 15, April 2015 Daily MMR Landed Prices London Metal Exchange : Tuesday 14, April 2015 Pr. Sell (1) Morning Session Buy Sell * (2) Afternoon Session Buy Sell Kerb Change (2) - (1) Value Stk(tns) change $/ton Rs/ton Copper Grade A Spot 6011.50 5916.00 5916.50 5948.00 5949.00 5955.00 -95.0 3,37,500 MMR LP 4,01,256 3-mth 5995.50 5912.00 5913.00 5938.00 5939.00 5945.00 -82.5 3700 14-D MA 4,08,101 PP (HCL) 3,88,044 Average 10-days - 6031.10 20-days - 6005.40 30-days - 5944 Tin High Grade Spot 16410.00 16100.00 16150.00 16294.00 16295.00 16221.00 -260.0 9,715 -- -- 3-mth 16500.00 16150.00 16200.00 16349.00 16350.00 16275.00 -300.0 -20 -- -- -- -- Average 10-days - 16601.50 20-days - 16928.50 30-days - 17210.50 -- Lead Spot 1986.00 1962.50 1963.00 1974.00 1975.00 1972.00 -23.0 2,14,650 MMR LP 1,37,654 3-mth 1990.50 1968.00 1969.00 1981.00 1982.00 1979.00 -21.5 -4200 14-D MA 1,33,221 PP (HZL) 1,47,600 Average 10-days - 1900.20 20-days - 1840.60 30-days - 1821.60 Zinc Special High Grade Spot 2217.50 2176.00 2176.50 2187.00 2188.00 2183.00 -41.0 5,03,750 MMR LP 1,57,027 3-mth 2220.00 2185.00 2186.00 2196.00 2197.00 2194.00 -34.0 -2600 14-D MA 1,54,025 PP (HZL) 1,64,900 Average 10-days - 2135.10 20-days - 2086 30-days - 2061.20 Aluminium Spot 1781.50 1770.00 1770.50 1791.00 1792.00 1792.00 -11.0 38,87,250 MMR LP 1,41,449 3-mth 1771.00 1767.00 1767.50 1786.00 1787.00 1789.00 -3.5 -1625 14-D MA 1,41,567 Average 10-days - 1776 20-days - 1775.10 30-days - 1773.10 PP (Nalco) 1,46,900 Aluminium Alloy Spot 1775.00 1800.00 1805.00 NA NA NA 30.0 25,460 3-mth 1795.00 1815.00 1820.00 NA NA NA 25.0 -220 Average 10-days - 1777 20-days - 1753 30-days - 1768.30 Nickel Spot 12520.00 12255.00 12260.00 12504.00 12505.00 12546.00 -260.0 4,31,346 -- -- 3-mth 12630.00 12310.00 12320.00 12549.00 12550.00 12595.00 -310.0 132 -- -- -- -02-Apr 11-Mar Average 10-days - 12597 20-days - 13163.80 30-days - 13429 Note: 1. MMR LP = MMR Landed Prices, excluding excise duty. 2. PP = Producer Prices ex-smelter, excl. excise Copper Aluminium Minor Metals ($/LB) Antimony 99.65% 9,100 Cadmium 99.80% 90.00 Cobalt HG Moly.oxide 99.80% 14.00 9.00 Tantalite 30% Ta2O5 81.00 Titanium Ferro-vana Con. Ti02 550.00 24.90 Silicon Zinc Lead 2,050 13-Apr 13-Apr Week ended Avg of Steel Prices: 11/04/2015 (Incl. Excise duty) Sponge Iron Pig Iron Alum. Alloy : Mandi 26,100 HMS 31,000 CRP(LSLP) Mumbai Mkt rates in kgs : Mumbai Kolkata 28,800 29,700 31,300 ADC 12 138 Delhi Chennai Bhiwandi 29,900 27,700 MS Ingots 39,550 29,300 AlSi 9 Cu3 141.5 LM6 146.5 Indicative Domestic Market Rates (Rs./kg) Mumbai 14-Apr Prev Virgin Metals Copper Pat Copper W/Bar Delhi 14-Apr Comex Copper (cents/lb) Prev Chennai 14-Apr Prev Apr'15 - May'15 - Jun'15 - -463.0 -463.0 418.0 - 418.0 - Alum Ingot Zinc Slab Lead Ingot Tin Slab Nickel (4x4) Scrap Copper Heavy Copper Uten. 156.0 180.0 133.0 1,290.0 965.0 156.0 180.0 133.0 1,290.0 965.0 157.0 183.0 129.0 1,310.0 958.0 157.0 183.0 129.0 1,310.0 958.0 438.0 408.0 438.0 408.0 --- --- 153.0 - Copper Mixed Brass Utensil Brass Huny Brass Sheet Alum Utensil -318.0 320.0 325.0 127.0 -318.0 320.0 325.0 127.0 403.0 --137.0 403.0 --137.0 - 154.0 - Metal Gold Std Silver Gold Silver Gold Silver Rate 271.95 270.00 270.25 Change -0.6 -0.7 -0.7 Kanpur 39,150 Durgapur 35,550 Comex Al (cents/lb) Rate - Change - Precious Metals : Indicative Rates Market Mumbai Mumbai London London Comex Comex Unit Rs./10g Rs./kg $/tr.oz. $/tr.oz. $/tr.oz. $/tr.oz. 14-Apr 26,900 37,200 1,194.8 16.08 1,194.6 16.15 Prev 27,050 37,300 1,198.9 16.27 1,199.3 16.28 Forex: April 13, 2015 (Rs/Unit Currency) - Buy - Sell - Buy USD 62.60 62.51 EURO 65.89 GBP 91.41 91.31 SGD 45.59 ----AUD 47.37 YEN 0.5188 0.5179 SFR 63.52 Sell 65.82 45.50 47.33 63.41 Customs Notified Rates: April 01, 2015 [Rs.(Imp/Exp)]: US$ 63.00/62.00;Pound Sterling 94.20/92.10;Euro 68.20/66.50 3 Wednesday 15, April 2015 US stock market ended higher on Tuesday, USD/INR - 13/04/15 helped by energy stocks and quarterly earnings 62.30 reports that topped modest expectations 62.34 62.38 62.42 result, the Dow and S&P 500 Index also ended 62.46 at higher level on Tuesday. Asian markets 62.50 by poor readings on consumer demand and industrial activity, underlining the need for more policy action by Beijing. USD/INR Overnight VAR Data releases today 17:00 16:00 15:00 14:00 13:00 12:00 matched its own growth target was soured 62.54 9:00 stumbled on Wednesday as relief China had 11:00 following worries about a strong dollar. As a 10:00 Daily 0.3537 Forecast Previous USD Empire State Manuf.Index 7.2 6.9 USD Industrial Production m/m -0.3% 0.1% Growth in China's colossal economy did slow Source : Mecklai Financial to a six-year low of 7 percent in the first quarter, dollar has since regained some lost ground. On but that was better than many feared after a Tuesday, dollar index slid 0.7 percent, posting woeful trade performance in March. its biggest one-day fall in nearly two weeks China grew at its slowest pace in six years at as Treasury yields sank. The two-year yield the start of 2015 and weakness in key sectors touched a low of 0.500 percent, pulling away suggested the world's second-largest economy from Monday's high of 0.576 percent. Major was intensifying currencies were little moved, with the dollar Beijing's struggle to find the right policy mix to up 0.19 percent against a basket of its peers shore up activity. DXY. The euro held around $1.0634 EUR= after still losing momentum, A series of cuts in interest rates, lower bouncing on Tuesday following a soft report on reserve ratios at banks and easing measures U.S. retail sales. As a renewed weakness in the in the property sector look to have mostly greenback helped the euro currency to climb flowed into stock market speculation without as far as $1.0708 and moderated its gains to last delivering much support to fundamentals. Still, stand at $1.0651. the economy's persisting slowdown means more stimulus measures are expected soon. Against the yen, the dollar sank as deep as 119.07, well off a recent high of 120.84. It Among the other regional data reported was at 119.39 in early Asian trade. The euro includes include U.S. retail sales rose 0.9 percent managed to recover a bit of ground against the in March, just undershooting the consensus yen, having slumped to a near two-year low forecast of a 1.0 percent gain, while core sales of 126.08 on Tuesday. It last stood at 127.19. were much softer. Investors cut short yen positions early this week Currency Market after comments from a key economic adviser to Japan's Prime Minister were taken to mean US dollar currency posted broad losses early the currency was too weak. Yet Koichi Hamada on Wednesday, having snapped six straight has since told Reuters in an interview that sessions of gains after retail sales data failed he thought the yen was fairly valued around to meet the market's lofty expectations. The current levels. 4 Wednesday 15, April 2015 Daily 6 mth LIBOR Major Currencies Today’s Crosses Spot Cash v/s INR 0.41 USD / INR - ATM Options (put/call) 0.15 Forward Rates v/s INR (Export/ Import) April May June September December March 62.43/ 44 62.40/ 42 62.60/ 63 63.00/ 02 63.42/ 46 64.64/ 68 65.80/ 84 66.88/ 92 - - - 0.50/0.50 0.66/0.67 0.83/0.84 1.21/1.26 1.50/1.60 1.75/1.93 EUR / USD 1.0630 66.36/ 37 66.33/ 35 66.56/ 58 67.00/ 03 67.48/ 52 68.88/ 92 70.26/ 30 71.56/ 59 0.14 USD / JPY(100) 119.64 52.17/ 18 52.14/ 16 52.33/ 35 52.68/ 70 53.05/ 09 54.16/ 20 55.26/ 30 56.28/ 32 0.69 GBP / USD 1.4756 92.12/ 13 92.08/ 10 92.38/ 42 92.94/ 99 93.53/ 59 95.28/ 33 96.97/ 02 98.57/ 61 -0.72 USD / CHF 0.9742 64.08/ 09 64.05/ 06 64.26/ 28 64.73/ 75 65.28/ 31 66.82/ 84 68.33/ 37 69.71/ 78 3.06 AUD / USD 0.7599 47.43/ 45 47.41/ 43 47.53/ 55 47.74/ 76 47.99/ 01 48.68/ 70 49.35/ 37 50.02/ 03 Source : Mecklai Financial weeks' time," said Howie Lee, analyst at Phillip Precious Metal Futures. The Federal Open Market Committee Gold prices opened with a negative sentiment on Wednesday as US dollar currency recovered from losses spurred by weaker-thanexpected U.S. retail sales data. Besides, China's economy data grew by 7 percent in the first quarter, the slowest in six years, suggesting that physical demand from China, the world's No. 2 consumer would remain tepid this year. (FOMC) next meets April 28-29, with recent signals from most policymakers suggesting the U.S. central bank is still keen on raising interest rates in June despite recent weak economic data. That has pulled gold from a recent sevenweek top of $1,224.10 an ounce, as a potential rate hike curbs the appeal of non-interest yielding assets. Premiums for physical gold Spot gold was down 0.1 percent at $1,191.80 an ounce, after touching its lowest in two weeks at $1,183.68 on Tuesday. Bullion fell as much as 1.2 percent overnight but pared losses at the on the Shanghai Gold Exchange picked up to $2-$3 an ounce over spot from just above a dollar earlier this week, although analysts say a slowing economy could cap Chinese demand. close as the dollar retreated after data showed U.S. retail sales rose 0.9 percent in March, just Base Metal below market forecasts for a 1-percent increase. Base metal prices closed on a mixed note "The gold market is quite subdued at this on Wednesday as the widely used Copper time. There's no clear direction. I think we need dipped ahead of China’s first quarter GDP a clearer catalyst down the road and that will while Nickel took a u-turn and closed higher come in the form of the FOMC meeting in two as the strike at BHP Billiton's Cerro Matoso mine in Colombia began Tuesday, following a Market Highlights - Gold (% change) Gold Gold (Spot) Gold (Spot -Mumbai) Comex Gold MCX Gold (Jun’15) Unit Last Prev. day as on April 14, 2015 WoW MoM breakdown in negotiations. As per the recent YoY developments, China’s GDP hit on target at 7% $/oz 1193.1 -0.43 -1.3 -9.5 as per the expectations, however, the industrial Rs/10 gms 26775.0 0.66 0.3 4.0 -10.2 production and fixed asset investment dipped $/oz 1192.1 -0.06 -0.9 2.0 -10.2 to 5.6% and 13.5% respectively, maintaining a Rs /10 gms 26707.0 -0.54 -1.1 3.1 downside pressure on the metals. For the day, 3.4 -6.2 Source: Angel Broking we have ECB Press Conference followed by 5 Wednesday 15, April 2015 Daily Empire state Man index, capacity utilization rate and industrial production m/m data from US Market Highlights - Crude Oil (% change) as on April 14, 2015 Crude Oil Unit Last Prev. day month and are likely to keep a check on the Brent (Spot) $/bbl 57.5 1.0 0.4 9.3 -46.6 upside swing in the metals. As per the Karvy Nymex Crude (Apr’ 15) $/bbl 53.3 2.7 -1.3 21.4 -48.8 ICE Brent Crude (Apr’15) $/bbl 58.4 0.9 -1.1 9.3 -45.6 MCX Crude (Apr ’15) Rs/bbl 3342.0 2.1 0.5 21.9 -46.9 which are expected to decline from the prior analyst report suggest to sell Copper, Lead and Zinc for the day whereas suggest buying Al from lower levels. In case of Nickel, expect the market WoW to remain range bound for the day. from its January swoon to five-year lows down at $5,340 per tonne. But the recovery lost momentum at a late-march high of $6,295 and prices are once again heading south. As the ongoing concern regarding China economy impacting on the country's copper consumption and by implication on its import demand is currently hotly contested by analysts. The losses for the metal continued to widen yesterday ahead of China’s macro-economic data as the concerns continued to brew over the growth of the Chinese economy. Nickel metal ended at a gainers side after a long time and closed at $12595 MT, up by around 1.53% from its previous close. The u-turn in Nickel prices was mainly due to the strike at BHP Billiton's Cerro Matoso mine in Colombia began Tuesday, following a breakdown in negotiations which has supported the prices of the metal. While three forward contract of Lead and Zinc went on a reversal after both the metals rose stupendously during the last week, as the markets change to the correction mode. prices remain growth slowing to a six-year low. Front-month Brent crude futures LCOc1 were trading up 47 cents at $58.90 a barrel, while U.S. crude CLc1 was up 28 cents at $53.57. In the United States, North Dakota's February oil production fell 15,000 barrels per day (bpd) versus January, although the number of producing wells hit a record high. This followed a U.S. Energy Information Administration (EIA) report forecasting U.S. shale production would fall by 45,000 bpd to 4.98 million bpd in May, which would be the first monthly decline in four years. Analysts said the U.S. figures were pushing prices up. "We expect Brent Jun'15 and WTI Jun'15 to end today breaking resistance of $60.3 and $55.34 (per barrel)," Phillip Futures said. But the slowing Chinese economy prevented prices from rising further. On a quarterly basis, China's economic growth slowed to 1.3 percent between January and March after seasonal adjustments, the National Bureau of Statistics said on Wednesday, compared with growth of 1.5 percent in the previous three months. Energy Market Oil YoY Source: Angel Broking Copper three-month delivery has recovered Global MoM March factory output rose 5.6 percent from bullish on Wednesday after signs of a dip in U.S. production, but gains were capped by Chinese quarterly a year earlier, below the 6.9 percent seen in a Reuters poll and its lowest level since the global financial crisis in 2008. Daily Wednesday 15, April 2015 News & Report Analysis 15 mines before April 10, a bench headed by We have 2,269 MT iron ore resources, K’ taka tells SC these reserves even after the cancellation of Karnataka has total 2,268.818 million tonne of iron ore resources, the state government has told the Supreme Court. However, it said that the data were not sufficient for getting the reserve position of a particular mine. Citing the Indian Bureau of Mines report, the Karnataka government said the state has 380 million tonne of reserve and 1,888 million tonne Justices Ranjan Gogoi had last month observed that the state had made no progress in assessing the mining leases in April 2013. It has directed the state to inform the court on or before April 10 the mineral reserve position in the mining leases, apart from six mines where auction process has been finalised. Seeking approval for putting six mines up for e-auction, the affidavit filed through counsel Anitha Shenoy said that the state government is following the direction of the apex court in letter and spirit. of resource as on April 1, 2013 and this reserve position of iron ore is known to the authorities. The affidavit has come in the wake of the SC coming down heavily on the Karnataka Adani in talks with Oz aboriginal group to end land row government for failing to assess its mineral Indian conglomerate Adani Group said on reserves and asking it to give details of the iron Tuesday it is in talks with an aboriginal group, ore reserves before auctioning 15 category C which is attempting to stop its 16.5 billion dollar mines in its three districts —Bellary, Chitradurga mine project being established on its ancestral and Tumkur. land in Australia’s Queensland state, to provide While asking the Karnataka government to submit details of the mineral reserves in these them significant and lasting benefits. The development came after Wangan and Jagalingou (W&J) people mounted pressure to block Adani’s Carmichael mine project and rejected the ‘Indigenous Land Use Agreement’ with the company. The Adani statement said that W&J native title applicants and company’s top official Samir Vora held discussions on Tuesday on the implementation of arrangements to provide significant, lasting benefits to the traditional owners of the Carmichael mine site. “Adani’s relationship with Wangan and Jagalingou people is central to our commitment to build a long term future with Queensland. Adani considers that it is critical that the Wangan 6 Wednesday 15, April 2015 Daily and Jagalingou benefit directly from the jobs interest, there is no evidence that the project and economic benefits that the Carmichael will have any effect on the W&J’s way of life, mine will bring to Queensland. culture or traditions, or development of their “It is, and will always be, a central focus social, cultural or economic structures, and the of Adani to work with the W&J to deliver this project was unlikely to affect any areas or sites benefit to the community at every stage of of particular cultural heritage significance. our projects,” Adani Australia Chief Operating Adani has argued that the Carmichael mine, together with its other projects in Queensland, Officer Vora said. Adani, which had turned to National Native the North Galilee Basin Rail and the port at Title Tribunal (NNTT) recently to override W&J Abbot Point, was central to the company’s plan objection, said the tribunal has also handed to deliver 10,000 jobs to the state and 22 billion down its determination on the company’s dollar in taxes and royalties to be invested back remaining Carmichael mining leases which into frontline services over the half-life of the could be granted without further consideration projects. According to W&J native title applicant Irene of native title issues. NNTT White, “All members of the W&J native title determined that the project is in the public party negotiated with Adani in good faith and Adani said that “in summary 7 Daily Wednesday 15, April 2015 reached an agreement that will deliver genuine has garnered proceeds of Rs 2.09 lakh crore and lasting intergenerational benefits to our and the entire money would go to the state community for now and into the future. governments where these mines are located. Govt to auction 23 blocks next week Allocation of 38 mines to state-run companies is The government has finalised a list of 23 coal blocks to be auctioned in the third tranche beginning next week. These ready-to-operate mines are to be offered through forward and reverse bidding mechanism, which, the Centre is expecting, would fetch proceeds of over Rs 2 lakh crore. The coal ministry had originally planned to auction nearly 16 blocks, but last week it is learnt to have added eight more mines to the auction list. Of the 23 mines, 15 have been earmarked for the power sector while eight are for unregulated sectors like steel, cement and captive power. In the first two tranches of the auction of 29 coal blocks bids, the government likely to take total proceeds to Rs 3.35 lakh crore over the next 30 years. “Considering that the first two tranches mobilised huge proceeds, our expectation is that in the third tranche we should see total bids crossing Rs 2 lakh crore,” a source in the coal ministry said. The auction methodology would remain the same as in the earlier tranches. For the power sector mines it would be reverse bidding and forward bidding for the unregulated sectors. These mines classified as Schedule-III blocks are the ones which are ready-to-operate and successful bidders are expected to face minimum hassles in exploring them, the source said. At the behest of steel and industry ministries, the coal ministry is likely to allow 8 Daily Wednesday 15, April 2015 segmentation of utilities in the non-regulated all the allotment agreements were inked before sectors to enable them a level-playing field. March 31, 2015 which was the deadline given by The reason is that sectors like steel, cement and Supreme Court for bidding out all the operating sponge iron should not be competing against blocks. each other. After the third tranche of auctions is Under the 'allotment order' which is the over, the coal ministry is expected to commence nomenclature given to the final agreement allotment of coal blocks to mining PSUs of by the Coal Ministry, the title and interests in different states for selling fuel to coal-starved the concerned coal blocks have formally been utilities. transferred to the PSUs to which they have been Centre inks accord with 9 PSUs who have been allotted coal blocks allotted. In a move that will expedite coal supply and enhance power transmission across states, the Centre has finalised the agreements with all the nine successful public sector undertakings (PSUs) - both Centre as well as State-owned - which have been directly allotted under production coal blocks in the auction process. Sources aware of the development said that The allotment orders have been inked between the successful PSUs and the Nominated Authority (a Joint Secretary of the Coal Ministry, who has been appointed by the Centre to oversee the entire coal blocks auction process). With the completion of this formality, the concerned PSUs will now be able to take control of the coal blocks and fulfill their generation targets. This in the long run, will ensure smoother transmission and distribution of power to states which have been facing shortage. 9 Daily Wednesday 15, April 2015 10 Apart from this, the Coal Ministry has also finalised the agreements with all the 19 successful bidders which had received operating blocks through the auction route. These too were signed before the aforementioned deadline of March 31, 2015. The Nominated Authority and the successful bidders signed the agreements, which are called the Mines Production and Development Agreement. While the pacts with under operation blocks have been finalised, the successful bidders as well as allottees of coal blocks which are yet to start production have been asked by the Centre to sign the agreements by April 30, 2015. In case of PSUs which have been directly allotted coal blocks which are yet to start production, the deadline for signing final agreements with the Nominated Authority is April 30, while for successful bidders which have received blocks through the auction route, the deadline is April 15, 2015. Blocks which are under production, had been placed under Schedule - II by the Centre for auction, while reserves which are yet to start operations, were put under Schedule - III. Schedule - I consists of all the 204 blocks which had been cancelled by the Supreme Court in October 2014. As of now 38 blocks have been directly allotted to PSUs by the Centre, while 29 coal blocks have been auctioned out. Kanishk plans B2B outlets for gold brand Krizz The company, which set up its manufacturing facility at Chengalpattu (south of Chennai) in 2010, has been supplying to many leading retailers in all major cities. “We believe setting up of B2B showrooms in Tier-I and Tier-II cities will enable us to reach more retail outlets with ease,” said Bhupesh Jain, Chairman and Managing Director of the company. According to him, retailers usually place orders through distributors and get them delivered at their stores. But, for the first time in the organised sector, Krizz B2B outlets will display and stock a range of jewellery to facilitate retailers to come and pick up designs and patterns of their choice personally. In the first phase, Krizz will set up 37 such Jewellery manufacturer Kanishk Gold plans showrooms in all major cities in the country, to set up a chain of B2B (business-to-business) and one each in Dubai, Singapore and Malaysia, outlets under the brand Krizz B2B, with the first at an overall investment of Rs.1,000 crore in the one be launched tomorrow in Chennai. The next 2-3 years. “We will fund the project from showroom will showcase 350 kg of jewellery in internal accruals and debt. We are also in talks over 4,000 designs. with a couple of private equity firms for funding,” Jain said.
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