We d n e s d ay 1 8 , M a rc h 2015 News & Report Analysis Currency Market Precious Metal Base Metal Energy Market Goa mining to resume soon as MoEF revokes suspension of green nod Centre re-examining bids for 9 auctioned coal blocks: Anil Swarup Panels on mining and coal bills adopt reports on them Gold imports for Apr-Dec period stands at $26 bn Mukand to transfer alloy steel business to its subsidiary for Rs 1,590 cr 2 Wednesday 18, March 2015 Daily MMR Landed Prices London Metal Exchange : Tuesday 17, March 2015 Pr. Sell (1) Morning Session Buy Sell * (2) Afternoon Session Buy Sell Kerb Change (2) - (1) Value Stk(tns) change $/ton Rs/ton Copper Grade A Spot 5853.00 5764.50 5765.00 5777.00 5777.50 5805.00 -88.0 3,42,200 MMR LP 3,92,374 3-mth 5835.00 5745.00 5746.00 5759.00 5760.00 5785.00 -89.0 4625 14-D MA 3,55,867 PP (HCL) 3,88,044 Average 10-days - 5807.80 20-days - 5796.90 30-days - 5754.70 Tin High Grade Spot 17350.00 17355.00 17360.00 17264.00 17265.00 17321.00 10.0 10,280 -- -- 3-mth 17400.00 17400.00 17450.00 17300.00 17300.00 17350.00 50.0 -30 -- -- -- -- Average 10-days - 17703 20-days - 17845 30-days - 18012.30 -- Lead Spot 1757.00 1723.00 1724.00 1721.00 1722.00 1715.00 -33.0 2,25,825 MMR LP 1,22,221 3-mth 1764.00 1726.00 1728.00 1728.00 1729.00 1723.00 -36.0 -1800 14-D MA 1,13,716 PP (HZL) 1,37,000 Average 10-days - 1785.60 20-days - 1770.80 30-days - 1790.80 Zinc Special High Grade Spot 2001.00 1984.00 1985.00 1992.00 1993.50 2001.75 -16.0 5,33,650 MMR LP 1,44,794 3-mth 2013.00 2004.50 2005.00 2006.00 2007.00 2015.50 -8.0 -2925 14-D MA 1,31,029 PP (HZL) 1,53,500 Average 10-days - 2003 20-days - 2028.80 30-days - 2063.20 Aluminium Spot 1761.00 1769.50 1700.00 1775.00 1776.00 1788.50 -61.0 39,42,800 MMR LP 1,41,816 3-mth 1766.00 1767.50 1768.00 1776.00 1777.00 1786.00 2.0 35425 14-D MA 1,26,900 Average 10-days - 1764.10 20-days - 1777.90 30-days - 1797.20 PP (Nalco) 1,46,900 Aluminium Alloy Spot 1720.00 1730.00 1740.00 NA NA NA 20.0 26,960 3-mth 1745.00 1755.00 1765.00 NA NA NA 20.0 460 Average 10-days - 1784.50 20-days - 1794.50 30-days - 1796.70 Nickel Spot 13805.00 13555.00 13560.00 13649.00 13650.00 13677.50 -245.0 4,32,120 -- -- 3-mth 13945.00 13595.00 13600.00 13700.00 13700.00 13725.00 -345.0 3210 -- -- -- -01-Mar 11-Mar Average 10-days - 13947.50 20-days - 13994 30-days - 14240.80 Note: 1. MMR LP = MMR Landed Prices, excluding excise duty. 2. PP = Producer Prices ex-smelter, excl. excise Copper Aluminium Minor Metals ($/LB) Antimony 99.65% 9,100 Cadmium 99.80% 90.00 Cobalt HG Moly.oxide 99.80% 14.00 9.00 Tantalite 30% Ta2O5 81.00 Titanium Ferro-vana Con. Ti02 550.00 24.90 Silicon Zinc Lead 2,050 16-Mar 16-Mar Week ended Avg of Steel Prices: 13/03/2015 (Incl. Excise duty) Sponge Iron Pig Iron Ferro Alloys : Mandi 26,100 HMS 31,400 CRP(LSLP) Mumbai Mkt rates in kgs : Mumbai Kolkata 28,800 29,400 30,800 Ferro Moly 990 Delhi Chennai Bhiwandi 29,400 27,500 MS Ingots 39,300 28,900 Ferro Silicon 83 Titanium 172 Indicative Domestic Market Rates (Rs./kg) Mumbai 17-Mar Prev Virgin Metals Copper Pat Copper W/Bar Delhi 17-Mar Comex Copper (cents/lb) Chennai Prev 17-Mar Prev Mar'15 - Apr'15 416.0 - May'15 - -458.0 -461.0 413.0 - Alum Ingot Zinc Slab Lead Ingot Tin Slab Nickel (4x4) Scrap Copper Heavy Copper Uten. 158.0 168.0 132.0 1,360.0 1,020.0 158.0 168.0 132.0 1,365.0 1,030.0 158.0 179.0 130.0 1,355.0 1,020.0 158.0 179.0 130.0 1,355.0 1,030.0 434.0 408.0 435.0 410.0 --- --- 154.0 - Copper Mixed Brass Utensil Brass Huny Brass Sheet Alum Utensil -316.0 315.0 325.0 127.0 -317.0 313.0 327.0 127.0 398.0 --138.0 401.0 --138.0 - 154.0 - Metal Gold Std Silver Gold Silver Gold Silver Rate 264.15 263.35 263.30 Change -1.3 -1.3 -1.3 Kanpur 38,900 Durgapur 35,300 Comex Al (cents/lb) Rate - Change - Precious Metals : Indicative Rates Market Mumbai Mumbai London London Comex Comex Unit Rs./10g Rs./kg $/tr.oz. $/tr.oz. $/tr.oz. $/tr.oz. 17-Mar 26,050 36,000 1,150.8 15.56 1,148.3 15.56 Prev 26,250 36,500 1,150.8 15.58 1,153.3 15.60 Forex: Mar 17, 2015 (Rs/Unit Currency) - Buy - Sell - Buy USD 62.78 62.69 EURO 66.54 GBP 92.64 92.53 SGD 45.18 ----AUD 47.98 YEN 0.5179 0.5170 SFR 62.62 Sell 66.46 45.10 47.93 62.51 Customs Notified Rates: Mar 06, 2015 [Rs.(Imp/Exp)]: US$ 62.30/61.80;Pound Sterling 98.10/93.95;Euro 69.10/93.95 Daily 3 Wednesday 18, March 2015 US equity market opened with negative weigh whether the U.S. recovery can hold up terrain on Tuesday and finally it ended with against collapsing oil prices and a soaring dollar. a flat note in ahead of the two day FOMC The U.S. central bank's latest policy meeting will meet. The indices were under pressure on FED likely discard a pledge to remain "patient" before nervousness. The Dow Jones industrial average hiking rates, trimming one of the final verbal cues fell 128.34 points, to 17,849.08, the S&P 500 it has used through crisis, recession and recovery lost 6.91 points, to 2,074.28 and the Nasdaq to describe its intent to keep rates near zero for a Composite added 7.93 points, to 4,937.44. period of time. Asian stocks opened with mix sentiment Among the global macro updates, the on Wednesday as markets waiting for the U.S. Bank of Japan maintained its massive stimulus Federal Reserve's policy statement regarding programme on Tuesday and signaled its interest rates announcement. Fed officials will conviction that a steady economic recovery will assess the economy and debate the timing of help achieve its ambitious price target without the first U.S. interest-rate increase since 2006. immediate, additional monetary easing. Currency Market The U.S. dollar index saw another corrective pullback Tuesday after hitting a 12-year high last week. A dollar that has soared more than 20 percent against major currencies over the past year also means imported goods are cheaper, while U.S. exports may be nicked, dragging down growth. The pullback in the greenback is tied to position evening ahead of the FOMC meeting results on Wednesday afternoon. Meantime, the Janet Yellen, US Federal Reserve The prospect of the Fed hiking rates in the Euro currency is firmer on more short-covering after hitting a 12-year low Monday. summer and drawing liquidity away from the rest of the world has caused the dollar's peers 62.71 62.73 and South Korea's Kospi also gained. The Federal Reserve on Wednesday is expected to lay the groundwork for its first interest rate hike in nearly a decade, as it continues to USD/INR Overnight VAR Data releases today 17:00 16:00 since May 2008, while Hong Kong's Hang Seng 15:00 62.79 14:00 Shanghai Composite Index reached its highest 9:00 62.77 13:00 62.75 monetary stimulus, added to gains. The 12:00 multi-year highs reached on hopes of more 62.69 11:00 market equities. Chinese shares, sitting atop 10:00 to tumble and triggered tumult in emerging USD/INR - 17/03/15 62.67 0.3522 Forecast Previous EUR Trade Balance 21.1B 23.3B USD Crude Oil Inventories 4.0M 4.5M Source : Mecklai Financial Daily 6 mth LIBOR 4 Wednesday 18, March 2015 Major Currencies Today’s Crosses Spot Cash v/s INR 0.40 USD / INR - ATM Options (put/call) 0.15 Forward Rates v/s INR (Export/ Import) March April May August November February 62.70/ 71 62.67/ 68 62.86/ 89 63.32/ 34 63.69/ 71 64.87/ 90 66.00/ 03 67.04/ 07 - - - 0.57/0.58 0.75/0.76 0.92/0.93 1.30/1.35 1.59/1.69 1.83/2.00 EUR / USD 1.0607 66.51/ 51 66.48/ 48 66.68/ 71 67.19/ 22 67.61/ 64 68.98/ 00 70.33/ 34 71.59/ 60 0.14 USD / JPY(100) 121.33 51.67/ 68 51.65/ 66 51.82/ 84 52.21/ 24 52.54/ 56 53.60/ 62 54.64/ 67 55.62/ 65 0.68 GBP / USD 1.4761 92.55/ 57 92.51/ 53 92.79/ 83 93.45/ 50 93.96/ 00 95.67/ 70 97.33/ 36 98.89/ 92 -0.71 USD / CHF 1.0054 62.35/ 36 62.32/ 33 62.52/ 55 63.02/ 04 63.51/ 53 64.97/ 98 66.38/ 44 67.76/ 68 3.06 AUD / USD 0.7624 47.80/ 81 47.78/ 79 47.89/ 91 48.15/ 17 48.34/ 36 49.00/ 01 49.64/ 65 50.28/ 29 Source : Mecklai Financial "The stronger dollar is not going to be a decisive factor in the Fed's thinking," Capital Market Highlights - Gold (% change) Gold Unit Last Economics chief global economist Julian Jessup wrote last week. "The U.S. recovery is robust enough to weather a firmer currency." The dollar index, which advanced to a 12year high above the 100.00 threshold over the Gold (Spot) Gold (Spot -Mumbai) Comex Gold MCX Gold (Apr’15) Prev. day as on March 17, 2015 WoW MoM YoY $/oz 1148.6 -0.46 -0.5 -6.7 -16.9 Rs/10 gms 25625.0 -0.49 -1.0 -5.8 -14.0 $/oz 1148.7 0.03 -0.2 -4.8 -16.3 Rs /10 gms 25617.0 -0.64 -0.3 -4.1 -16.3 Source: Angel Broking past week thanks largely in part to the euro tumbling on the ECB's quantitative easing Comex gold was last down $6.30 at $1,146.90 an scheme. The dollar was flat at 121.35 yen JPY=, ounce. having been confined to a narrow range after May Comex silver was last down $0.72 at touching an eight-year peak of 122.04 last week. $15.545 an ounce. Gold and copper were little The dollar was flat at 121.35 yen JPY=, having changed, bracing for the Fed's statement and its been confined to a narrow range after touching potential effect on the dollar. an eight-year peak of 122.04 last week. Spot Gold was up 0.2 percent at $1,151.10 an USDINR opened at 62.68 levels, flat against ounce and three-month copper on the London its previous close of 62.70 levels. The pair is Metal Exchange CMCU3 edged 0.3 percent expected to remain in a range of 62.50-62.85 higher to $5,737 per ton. Spot silver prices levels. IMF chief Christian Lagarde warns India declined by 0.6 percent on Tuesday to close at to be prepared if US hikes the interest rate as it $15.5/oz. The fall is in tandem with declining could make global markets unstable. gold prices. Weakness in Nickel prices stronger Precious Metal dollar exerted downside pressure on prices. Gold yesterday made a low of $1142 per Base Metal ounce marking a four month low ahead of FOMC Base metal prices ended with mixed to meet. Gold prices ended the U.S. day session negative note as the housing data from US failed moderately lower on Tuesday after hitting a to attain the expected levels for the month of Feb, four-month low in mid-morning dealings. April probably due to the harsh weather conditions. Daily 5 Wednesday 18, March 2015 Besides, steady dollar, which was earlier trading On the fundamental note, the LME monitored at the peaks of 100 marks, weighing upon the inventories continue to rise at a stupendous rate base metals sector. along with the fall in the cancelled warrants, Copper continued to trail along the bearish however to its contrast the metal has recently note as the metal was weighed down by a run into backwardation at LME at $2.5 MT, giving renewed drop in oil prices. In addition to this, mixed cues for the metal. looming uncertainty of US Federal Reserve Nickel three months contract continues to meeting and a slow recovery in Chinese demand be one of the worst performing metal amongst after February's Lunar New Year added negative the base metals sector as the metal ended down factor. For today, all keys are glued to the Fed at $13725 MT, down by around 1.44% from its economic projections and FOMC statement previous close. Nickel prices were hit after the which is likely to be the trend setter for selective LME said it may stop issuing warrants for metal metals. Overall, Karvy Commodity recommend stored in Malaysian warehouses which is the selling Copper and Lead from higher levels largest warehouse for Nickel, due to planned whereas suggest buying Al from lower levels. In tax reforms. On a fundamental note, inventories case of Zinc and Nickel, they expect the metals continued to rise with a tad decline in the to remain range bound for the day. cancelled warrants. In today’s session, we expect Copper inched a percent lower yesterday and closed around $5785 MT, from its previous close. the metal to remain range bound for the day. Copper prices have fallen, weighed down by a Energy Market renewed drop in oil prices, uncertainty ahead Market Highlights - Crude Oil (% change) of a US Federal Reserve meeting and a slow as on March 17, 2015 Crude Oil Unit Last Prev. day WoW MoM YoY Brent (Spot) $/bbl 52.8 0.3 -7.5 -14.2 -51.5 Nymex Crude (Apr’ 15) $/bbl 43.5 -1.0 -10.0 -16.6 -55.7 ICE Brent Crude (Apr’15) $/bbl 53.5 0.1 -7.0 -12.9 -50.7 MCX Crude (Mar ’15) Rs/bbl 2885.0 -1.1 -8.2 -14.2 -52.5 recovery in Chinese demand after February's Lunar New Year. On the fundamental note, the rise in the inventories followed by a decline in the cancelled warrants further propelled the metal to remain on the lower side. However, to its contrast, backwardation for the metal at LME widened to $20 MT, indicating a slight ray Source: Angel Broking hope for the metal. Overall, Karvy expect good Oil prices were weaker and Nymex futures volatility in the market and recommend selling poked to another six-year low on Tuesday. Copper from higher levels for the day in ahead An already glutted world oil market faces the of the FOMC statement in the evening, prospect of Iranian oil exports re-entering the Aluminum continues to be the best world supply equation. Western nations and Iran performer amongst the base metals sector are presently meeting and trying to agree on a on Tuesday rising by around 0.88% from its deal that would lift Western sanctions against previous close. The metal prices ended on a Iranian oil. Serious technical damage has been positive note around $1786 MT, despite the inflicted on the crude oil charts with the new weaker than expected housing data from US. for-the-move low in crude oil this week, which Wednesday 18, March 2015 Daily suggests prices falling still farther, with upper $30s per barrel now very possible in the coming weeks or few months—or sooner. Slumping oil prices are a bearish underlying factor for most raw commodity market, including the precious metals. WTI crude oil prices declined by 1 percent on Wednesday to close at $43.5/bbl. Oil prices came under renewed pressure in Tuesday's post settlement trade, after a 3-day losing streak, as an industry group reported a huge build in U.S. crude inventories ahead of official data from EIA. Industry group American Petroleum Institute (API) said after the market's settlement that crude stockpiles rose by 10.5 million barrels in the week to March 13, far ahead of the 3.8 million forecast by analysts polled by Reuters. If correct, the API number would lift total U.S. inventories to 450 million barrels. News & Report Analysis Goa mining to resume soon as MoEF revokes suspension of green nod Iron mining in Goa will soon resume as the Union Ministry of Environment and Forest on Tuesday revoked the suspension of environmental clearances (ECs) of mines in the coastal state, Chief Minister Laxmikant Parsekar said. "The MoEF on Tuesday withdrew the suspension of ECs. The mining industry will resume operations immediately now," Parsekar stated. then Environment Minister Jayanti Natarajan in September 2012 for alleged violation of rules. The Chief Minister also said that the state government would request the Centre to abolish export duty on the ore with low ferrous content. "We are sure that the Centre will abolish duty on low-grade ore and reduce that on highgrade ore," he said. Currently there is uniform 30% export duty on the ore. Centre re-examining bids for 9 auctioned coal blocks: Anil Swarup The government is re-examining the bids for The suspension of 72 out of the total 89 nine recently auctioned coal blocks, including approved mining leases in the coastal state those where Jindal Steel & Power and Balco had been lifted, said Parsekar, adding that the emerged top bidders, amid speculation of remaining ones were within the one-kilometre cartelisation during the bidding process. radius of wildlife sanctuaries. The environmental Expecting the details would emerge in "a clearances of mines had been suspended by the couple of days" on what actually transpired 6 Daily Wednesday 18, March 2015 during the bidding process for these mines, Palma IV 3 mines, while Balco successfully bid Coal Secretary Anil Swarup insisted that the Gare Palma IV/1 mine and BS Ispat bagged government wasn't looking at cartelisation Marki Mangli III mine. aspect at the moment. The coal blocks which do not figure in the list There have been reports that some bidders of successful bidders of schedule III mines are could have indulged in cartelisation to keep the Brinda and Sasai mine (one bid was invited for prices low for the concerned mines. both the mines), Meral mine, Dumri mine, Tara "In the schedule II, we were looking at four mine and Mandla South mine. mines and in schedule III we are looking at five Asked why re-examination was required, mines...Prima facie we found that it requires a he said: "On the face of it, we felt that the bids re-examination, so it has been re-examined that that were offered were not at the same levels is about all," Swarup stated. as similar blocks in the same group. However, He, however, reiterated that the government that was not a decision per se. That was first was only re-examining and not reviewing, impression and that needed to be examined "because there was no decision taken. Review and that is why it has been examined." happens when you take a decision". Panels on mining and coal bills adopt reports on them The bids of four coal blocks of the schedule II mines (ready to produce) which are being reexamined are Gare Palma IV 2, Gare Palma IV 3, Gare Palma IV-1 and Marki Mangli III. Jindal Steel and Power (JSPL) was the successful bidder for Gare Palma IV 2 and Gare The government moved a step closer on Tuesday to clearing the decks for the Bills amending the mines and minerals Act and the coal mines Act, after the two select committees of the Rajya Sabha that were scrutinising the 7 Daily Wednesday 18, March 2015 laws adopted their reports. The Congress, Left parties, Janata Dal (United) and Samajwadi Party, however, gave dissent notes to the reports; both panels are chaired by members of the ruling Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP), Anil Dave and Bhupender Yadav. They’d be presenting their reports to the House today. The government is in a minority in the Rajya Sabha and has managed to get the Trinamool Congress, the Biju Janata Dal and the All India Anna Dravida Munnetra Kazhagam (AIADMK) on board, tilting the power scales within the committees in its favour. JD(U) leader K C Tyagi, a member of the coal committee, said, “Our efforts for a consensus did not materialise.” The Congress said it had key reservations on both Bills. On coal mines, it said allocations to state governments had not been spelt out transparently; there was no mention of cess and royalty that accrued to states. The Congress is also opposed to deletion of Section 3 of the Coal Mines (Nationalisation) Act, which gave the government the sole right for commercial exploitation of coal. The party in its dissent has also raised the issue of clearly delineating compensation to villagers and affected families. Gold imports for Apr-Dec period stands at $26 bn India imported gold worth about USD 26 The country exported 38.11 tonne of gold during the nine month period, worth USD 1.55 billion. Sinha said that on February 18, the Reserve Bank has allowed Star and Premier Trading Houses to import gold without any end-use restrictions. In reply to a separate query, Sinha said the government has received representation from the Gems and Jewellery Export Promotion Council to grant banking licence to ABN Amro Bank, which is one of the largest financiers to billion during the April-December period of the diamond industry. the current fiscal, Parliament was informed on Mukand to transfer alloy steel business to its subsidiary for Rs 1,590 cr Tuesday. In a written reply to a query in the Rajya Sabha, Minister of State for Finance Jayant Sinha said 664.29 tonne of gold worth over USD 25.74 billion was imported during April- December period of 2014-15. Steel maker Mukand Ltd will transfer its special and alloy steel business to its subsidiary Mukand Alloy Steels Pvt Ltd on a slump sale basis for Rs 1,590 crore, in a move aimed at 8 Daily Wednesday 18, March 2015 Jewellers body hopes govt will resolve Pan card issue this week The All India Gems and Jewellery Trade Federation has written to the Government to drop the Budget proposal making submission of PAN card copy mandatory for purchase of gold jewellery worth Rs. 1 lakh and above. Until now, PAN card was required only in the case of purchase of other luxury goods worth over Rs. 1 lakh. Ashok Minawala, Director, GJF, said he expects a decision to be taken on withdrawal of this provision in the Budget by this week. “These kinds of measures will penalise lawabiding businessmen and set back the family-run industry which is now professionalising itself,” he said, addressing a press conference. About 89 per cent of the country’s population providing greater focus on alloy steels business does not have the PAN card and there are only and help induct a strategic partner to drive its 14 crore card issued as per last count, he said. future growth plans. “It is absurd to say that people without PAN Commenting on the development, Suketu card are the source of black money,” he added, V Shah, joint managing director, Mukand Ltd, even while welcoming the Government’s move said: "We want to achieve a sharper focus in each to crack down on black money. business. Since the businesses are different, they The domestic jewellery industry is worth have to be realigned. This will allow us to give each Rs. 2.50 lakh crore. Of this, the rural market business its due importance." Incidentally, Mukand accounts for Rs. 1.75 lakh crore. For NRIs and Alloy Steels is 99% owned by Mukand Ltd. agriculturists without PAN card, the Government Following the transfer of special and alloy has a provision for them to fill up form 60 and steels, Mukand's engineering and stainless steel 61, but Minawala feels that such forms would business will remain with the parent company. scare away customers, especially in rural areas. "The deal is subject to deduction of debt The industry, he said, has already shrunk 25 per and net working condition adjustment. The cent because of Government’s restrictions on transaction will be effective on approvals, imports, import duty of 10 per cent and fall in including the approval of lenders," Mukand said gold prices. in its statement to the BSE. Mukand Alloy Steels, Except for rings and earrings, any jewellery which has an annual installed capacity of 3.7 purchased above 35 grams will now require a lakh tonne in Hospet, Karnataka, accounts for PAN card proof as it costs over Rs. 1 lakh. bulk of Mukand's steel business. 9 Daily Wednesday 18, March 2015 Bhushan Steel bankers nearing $3.7 bn debt restructuring Bhushan Steel Ltd.’s creditors are in advanced talks to restructure about Rs 23,000 crore ($3.7 billion) of long-term loans to the Indian steel producer, a knowledgeable source said. Lenders led by State Bank of India and Punjab National Bank are discussing extending the tenor of about Rs 20,000 crore of local-currency term loans to around 25 years, from an average eight years, according to three of the people. The banks may ask for a claim over Bhushan managing director Neeraj Singal’s stake in the company and restrict dividend payments, the people said, asking not to be identified as the information is private. The Indian steel industry has been battling record imports that have eating into their market share, forcing them to cut prices. Total debt at Bhushan, which said last month it’s “constantly facing stress in cash flow,” more 10 than doubled to 345 billion rupees in the four years through 30 September, according to data compiled by Bloomberg. The plan from the group of Bhushan creditors, referred to as a joint lenders’ forum, involves changing the terms of the company’s rupee term loans as well as export credit agency- backed credit, according to the people. The tenor of the debt would be extended under central bank rules for “flexible structuring” of loans to infrastructure and industrial companies, a programme known locally as the “5:25 scheme.” The banks are still discussing the plan and details of the restructuring could change, the people said. Bhushan is in the final phase of a $3.2 billion plan to boost its capacity and produce high-value steel products, according to a July presentation on its website. The company’s existing creditors are in the process of extending about Rs7,000 crore of new loans to complete the expansion, the people said.
© Copyright 2024