Reprinted With Permission Of The Publisher AUTO INSURANCE REPORT The Authority on Insuring Personal and Commercial Vehicles Vol. 22#23/1031 March 16, 2015 INSIDE Google partners with carriers and comparison sites. Page 3 Google’s prefill works well, but some questions will stump shoppers. Page 4 Google Compare’s starting lineup of insurers. Pages 4-5 Georgia personal auto premiums, market share and loss ratios. Page 6 THE GRAPEVINE USAA May Have Passed Farmers in Market Share Though working with preliminary data from SNL Financial, we’re confident enough in the numbers to report that thanks to a 7.8% rise in personal auto premium written in 2014, USAA, with $9.8 billion, has surpassed shrinking Farmers Insurance, down 1.2% to $9.7 billion, to become the fifth-largest auto insurer in the United States. What’s more, Liberty Mutual grew 5.1% to $9.5 billion and is now hot on Farmers’ heels. Unless something dramatic happens, Farmers will drop yet another spot to seventh in 2015. Farmers was the third-largest auto insurer as recently as 2003. Passed by Progressive in 2004, it fell to fourth, and then to fifth in 2007, when it was passed by Geico. AIR Google Comes to Market As Biggest Disrupter Since Geico Google wants to revolutionize auto insurance shopping, and the Internet search giant has taken its first steps this month by offering California consumers a price quote service with 14 insurers and promises of more to come. The launch answered a wide range of questions that have been rolling around since Google’s plans to enter the U.S. auto insurance business became the worst-kept secret in the market. Google’s service is not materially different than existing online price comparison sites in the United States, such as Coverhound, Compare.com, The Zebra, Goji and AutoInsurance.com. In fact, a few of those sites are working with Google to provide the prices from insurers that are presented to consumers. What makes Google’s entrance into the marketplace unique is the company’s enormous scale and reach. Please see GOOGLE on Page 2 All Trends Are Heading Higher In Georgia Auto, Except for Profits The top 10 personal auto insurance groups in Georgia raised rates an average 8.6% last year, the highest in the country, according to preliminary data. In 2013, Georgia’s average rate increase of 4.9% was second highest, after Michigan. The preliminary data comes from Perr & Knight, whose RateWatch product tracks rate changes for top 10 insurance groups by line and by state (except Wyoming and the District of Columbia). The Georgia Department of Insurance reports that the average of all personal auto insurance rate requests totaled 5% last year. The difference in methodology produces different figures, but this fact remains: Georgia auto insurers are raising rates more than insurers in most other states, and the reason is apparent. In 2013, Georgia’s 71.5% personal auto loss Please see GEORGIA on Page 7 33765 Magellan Isle • Dana Point, CA • 92629 • (949) 443-0330 • www.riskinformation.com Reprinted With Permission Of The Publisher Page 2 GOOGLE Continued from Page 1 AUTO INSURANCE REPORT Most auto insurance shopping experiences today begin online, and the vast majority of online searches take place on Google’s search engine. Thus, every one of those shoppers will be presented with the opportunity to shop through Google. That power is exponentially greater than anything generated by the sites that currently share prices online with consumers or the online lead-generating shopping sites, such as Bankrate’s Autoinsurance.com. In the near term, Google’s ability to raise awareness of Internet price shopping will benefit all online shopping sites. Though it is reasonable to fear that Google will overwhelm the other sites, European experience suggests that is not likely to happen. Confused.com, a cousin of Compare.com, for example, continues to thrive after Google Compare UK launched in 2012. But the weak won’t survive the more robust marketplace Google’s presence will create. This entry is a nightmare for carriers that fear price transparency in auto insurance. We don’t believe greater price transparency will make auto insurance a commodity. There is already ample evidence on shopping sites that many consumers will buy a higher-priced policy to get the brand March 16, 2015 they want, even in online comparison marketplaces that lack State Farm, Geico, Allstate and other top brands. But make no mistake, quality online price comparisons will make price much more important than it is today. Insurance executives we speak with agree that online price comparisons benefit small insurers more than large insurers. While Geico shows up on almost every shopper’s set of potential insurers, small insurers are not always part of the consideration set, especially if they sell only through agents. But online comparison shopping brings big and small together on the same page. Big brands still reap benefits from their advertising, but not as much as they enjoy today. For agents, Google Compare’s arrival is not a death knell, but it is an ominous warning: If you don’t provide service commensurate with your cost, you’ll be going out of business. The defining characteristic of a successful agent in the future will be excellent advice, not the quality service that is the benchmark today. Quality service will be table stakes. The Opening Game It makes sense for Google to start in CalPlease see GOOGLE on Page 3 Warning: Auto Insurance Report is a confidential, copyrighted newsletter for subscribers only. No part of this publication may be reproduced by any form or means, including photocopying, scanning, fax or email, without prior permission of the Publisher. For information call (949) 443-0330. Reprinted With Permission Of The Publisher March 16, 2015 AUTO INSURANCE REPORT Page 3 After entering name, address and selected coverages for a clean risk, Google Compare returned six prices and reported that seven insurers chose not to offer a price. Some insurers are working directly with Google, such as Mercury Insurance, which in this shopping session had the lowest rate. Click on Mercury and you are taken directly to Mercury’s website to buy online “and get your own agent, too!” 21st Century, a subsidiary of Farmers Insurance Group, prefers to work through online insurance agency Coverhound, and clicking on the Google result for 21st Century directs you to the Coverhound website, rather than directly to 21st Century. Insurers using Compare.com will have the same pattern. GOOGLE Continued from Page 2 ifornia, the nation’s largest market, because both Coverhound and Compare.com are deeply penetrated there, and key insurers on Google Compare are active in the state online. Google said it will roll out to other states as the company becomes more comfortable with its operations. Google is partnering directly with insurers, such as Mercury and MetLife, as well as with online price comparison/agencies, such as Coverhound and Compare.com. It stands to reason that Google, wanting to get into the market quickly, would work with online shopping companies that might otherwise be considered competitors. For one thing, many in- surers are not capable of delivering a rate quickly and directly to Google. The price comparison sites have done the heavy lifting of connecting with insurers, and many have built valuable analytic engines that can tell insurers when they should bother to offer a quote. How It Works Google Compare (which can be reached directly at www.google.com/compare) includes a very impressive prefill function. If consumers opt in, Google can look at the customer’s entered name and address and pull information about vehicles and drivers in that household. Google Please see GOOGLE on Page 4 Warning: Auto Insurance Report is a confidential, copyrighted newsletter for subscribers only. No part of this publication may be reproduced by any form or means, including photocopying, scanning, fax or email, without prior permission of the Publisher. For information call (949) 443-0330. Reprinted With Permission Of The Publisher Page 4 GOOGLE Continued from Page 3 AUTO INSURANCE REPORT buys this from an outside source, so time will tell if it is cost-effective. But it certainly goes a long way toward speeding the quote and ensuring that a real person is filling out the form. In tests conducted by us and others, the data was almost always accurate. It is a far better experience than the one you find on sites where the questions about the insured vehicle are very specific and take significant time to figure out. Despite the prefill at the front end, the questions that come later on can be pretty stiff. If the consumer reports an at-fault accident, Google asks several questions that are difficult to answer, such as has much your insurer paid to the person you hit. We doubt many people will be able to answer that question, and you can’t continue without an answer. These are the kinds of kinks Google must work out before expanding. Can Google pull data from claims databases, such as LexisNexis’ CLUE or Verisk’s A-Plus, on behalf of insurers who are eligible to use them? The short-term answer is no. The longterm answer is maybe, but there’s a ton of work to be done before that. Google executives believe that their service can ask more questions than single-carrier websites because users who want a multitude of quotes will be willing to do the additional work to get them. Time will tell if that is true. After Google collects the user’s data, it doesn’t use its own rating system to generate prices. Google follows the model of most, though not all, price comparison sites in reaching out to insurers directly. It also reaches out to partner comparison sites for rates. The prices presented to consumers are estimates because insurers don’t want to pay for the data on credit, driving history, etc., that is necessary to create a bindable quote for every query. That is no different than every other site on the Internet, including individual company sites. (Stay tuned for more on this in a future issue.) Once consumers select an insurer, they are March 16, 2015 directed to the carrier’s website or to a partner price comparison site for closing. The quotes Google Compare generates are ranked in an unbiased way: by price. We suspect there will at least be a conversation about insurers paying to be pushed up in the ranking, though that might bring out many insurers (and possibly consumer groups) to march with pitch forks and torches on the Googleplex in Mountainview, California. Nevertheless, the conversation has to take place, right? When we searched for auto insurance prices in Google’s search engine, the Google Compare site came up after three advertisers in every case. (Compare.com and lead generators, such as NetQuote and QuoteWizard, were regulars.) So the early fear that Google would favor itself over all others is unfounded, at least so far. Google lives and dies by advertising, and it will be careful not to disrupt that business in the name of a fledgling auto insurance marketplace. This isn’t a unique behavior: search “air travel,” and Kayak, Orbitz and Hipmunk all appear before Google’s flight search (which, in our opinion, is the best of all). The Lineup The list of insurers participating on Google Compare today is sure to grow. Here is the initial list, in no particular order (with the parent company in parentheses): • Mercury Insurance • Workmen’s (Mercury) • MetLife Auto & Home • The General (American Family) • 21st Century (Farmers) • Foremost (Farmers) • Infinity Auto Insurance • Titan Insurance (Nationwide) • Dairyland Auto (Sentry) • Stillwater Insurance Group • CSE Insurance Group • Kemper Specialty Please see GOOGLE on Page 5 Warning: Auto Insurance Report is a confidential, copyrighted newsletter for subscribers only. No part of this publication may be reproduced by any form or means, including photocopying, scanning, fax or email, without prior permission of the Publisher. For information call (949) 443-0330. Reprinted With Permission Of The Publisher March 16, 2015 AUTO INSURANCE REPORT Google Still Has Work to Do GOOGLE Continued from Page 4 • Safeway • Arrowhead General Agency, writing through Everest National, which is part of Everest Re. The system does seems to have some kinks. When we entered a clean risk with a long-insured tenure, a garaged late-model sedan and a mature male driver, MetLife didn’t return a quote. Since that risk is right in MetLife’s target wheelhouse, we have to assume the company either couldn’t return a quote quickly enough, or it needs to work the bugs out of the system. We didn’t run a hundred quotes, but the tests we tried last week didn’t yield any MetLife quotes. We also didn’t see any Compare.com quotes. It is early. Dispelling the Rumors We never believed the rumors that Google was buying or investing in Coverhound, and it turns out we were right. Coverhound is an agency that takes responsibility for customer service with hundreds of licensed agents in a call center. Google has shown little inclination to get involved in such a handson way. Google is better structured to be Ebay, which takes a piece of the transaction between two unrelated parties, rather than Amazon, which makes much of its living selling products stocked in its own warehouses. From Coverhound’s perspective, a Google investment isn’t necessary, at least not right now. Just two days after Google Compare started, Coverhound announced the closing of another Page 5 During one test shopping session, we reported an at-fault accident. This brought up a set of questions that included a required entry of the total amount the insurer paid to the other party. Few, if any, drivers would have access to that information, and without giving an answer, it was not possible to continue the quote. We made something up and continued, not the best outcome. round of investments by venture capital firms, this time for $14 million. Existing investors RRE Ventures, Blumberg Capital and Bullpen Capital participated in the latest round, as did new investors Core Innovation Capital, Thomas Lehrman, Tugboat Ventures, Route 66 Ventures and American Family Ventures, the venture capital arm of American Family Insurance. American Family’s investment in Coverhound continues an interesting expansion from its captive agency roots. In recent years the company has purchased direct response home insurer Homesite and direct response nonstandard auto insurer The General. American Family also has taken a major stake in the online direct commercial insurance broker AssureStart. We worried about the wisdom of allowing Google to invest in Coverhound without buying the whole thing. Google lacks insurance agency experience in the United States. For what would amount to pocket change, Google could invest in Coverhound, go to school on years of research and development, and then improve its own performance to the detriment of Coverhound. While that would undermine Google’s investment, it would be a small price to pay. Maybe we have a Machiavellian turn of mind, but we’d keep Google at arm’s length for now. (There is, of course, a price for everything.) Kudos to Ellen Carney of Forrester Research, whose sleuthing identified Google’s activity and predicted its imminent arrival. Her suggestion that Google might buy Coverhound has not come true, but that doesn’t mean it won’t happen some day. AIR Warning: Auto Insurance Report is a confidential, copyrighted newsletter for subscribers only. No part of this publication may be reproduced by any form or means, including photocopying, scanning, fax or email, without prior permission of the Publisher. For information call (949) 443-0330. Reprinted With Permission Of The Publisher AUTO INSURANCE REPORT Page 6 Georgia Personal Auto Insurers March 16, 2015 Groups Ranked by Total 2013 Direct Premium Written (000) Group Name Mkt Loss 2013 share Ratio Premium 2013 2013 Mkt Loss 2012 share Ratio Premium 2012 2012 State Farm Mutual $1,325,167 22.8% 77.1% $1,226,165 22.4% 65.8% $1,175,168 22.1% 64.9% Progressive Corp. $701,666 12.1% 65.6% $680,767 12.4% 63.9% $663,801 12.5% 61.7% Allstate Corp. $676,707 11.6% 64.7% $655,640 12.0% 58.1% $655,556 12.3% 57.7% Berkshire Hathaway/Geico $580,892 10.0% 74.2% $543,687 9.9% 69.3% $531,777 10.0% 73.2% USAA Insurance Group $440,825 7.6% 83.8% $402,872 7.4% 78.7% $373,774 7.0% 79.2% Liberty Mutual $299,832 5.2% 75.2% $268,492 4.9% 60.0% $250,423 4.7% 62.5% Nationwide Mutual Group $205,154 3.5% 72.4% $182,694 3.3% 71.1% $166,270 3.1% 69.5% Georgia Farm Bureau Mutual Ins Co. $187,599 3.2% 59.0% $170,489 3.1% 59.2% $180,703 3.4% 61.6% Travelers Companies $141,277 2.4% 62.6% $151,086 2.8% 61.6% $160,191 3.0% 63.7% Auto-Owners Insurance Co. $112,522 1.9% 71.3% $106,881 2.0% 71.6% $101,086 1.9% 71.9% Country Financial $104,546 1.8% 71.3% $96,739 1.8% 69.4% $94,640 1.8% 63.3% American Family Mutual $69,287 1.2% 96.2% $54,980 1.0% 91.9% $38,588 0.7% 79.5% MetLife Inc. $58,365 1.0% 69.2% $57,102 1.0% 59.5% $56,741 1.1% 54.9% Alfa Mutual Group $52,301 0.9% 79.6% $42,967 0.8% 76.0% $39,660 0.8% 73.0% Safeway Financial Holding Co. $50,494 0.9% 71.1% $51,213 0.9% 65.8% $37,670 0.7% 57.7% Hartford Financial Services $39,452 0.7% 72.2% $36,123 0.7% 59.9% $34,359 0.7% 55.1% Farmers Insurance Group $39,395 0.7% 74.0% $36,075 0.7% 64.7% $29,189 0.6% 69.3% Infinity Property and Casualty Corp. $38,684 0.7% 64.4% $54,334 1.0% 70.7% $49,711 0.9% 68.1% First Acceptance Corp. $37,624 0.7% 63.8% $38,528 0.7% 73.0% $35,730 0.7% 62.2% Cincinnati Financial Corp. $36,905 0.6% 66.8% $34,871 0.6% 59.9% $33,416 0.6% 64.8% Grange Mutual Casualty Co. $34,906 0.6% 57.5% $30,698 0.6% 47.4% $32,145 0.6% 56.8% Fortegra Financial Corp. $34,647 0.6% 6.3% $27,645 0.5% 4.7% $26,140 0.5% 5.4% Mercury General Corp. $31,696 0.5% 68.4% $35,903 0.7% 66.3% $34,026 0.6% 67.2% ACCC Insurance Co. $31,633 0.5% 64.4% $19,449 0.4% 59.6% $18,159 0.3% 59.3% Assurant Inc. $30,346 0.5% 25.4% $30,986 0.6% 24.3% $31,663 0.6% 25.6% Everest Re Group Ltd. $27,706 0.5% 67.5% $21,464 0.4% 64.0% $20,953 0.4% 58.2% Amica Mutual Insurance Co. $26,564 0.5% 63.4% $26,138 0.5% 57.0% $26,520 0.5% 65.3% Southern General Insurance Co. $24,552 0.4% 70.3% $21,998 0.4% 64.1% $23,300 0.4% 52.5% United Automobile Insurance Group $23,020 0.4% 78.9% $18,648 0.3% 54.7% $20,940 0.4% 49.3% Safe Auto Insurance Co. $20,135 0.4% 62.1% $20,343 0.4% 57.7% $23,158 0.4% 52.4% Hanover Insurance Group Inc. $18,790 0.3% 71.8% $22,592 0.4% 64.5% $22,501 0.4% 58.8% Direct General Group $18,741 0.3% 63.0% $17,523 0.3% 58.0% $21,014 0.4% 74.6% State Auto Insurance Companies $18,426 0.3% 91.6% $17,034 0.3% 76.0% $15,209 0.3% 77.0% Central Mutual Insurance Co. $18,342 0.3% 60.5% $17,751 0.3% 64.9% $17,779 0.3% 51.0% Kemper Corp. $17,558 0.3% 67.7% $20,103 0.4% 77.1% $22,145 0.4% 67.9% American Independent Companies $17,304 0.3% 69.3% $10,367 0.2% 81.1% $8,469 0.2% 50.7% Donegal Insurance Group $17,287 0.3% 60.8% $17,315 0.3% 66.5% $17,238 0.3% 70.3% 71.5% $5,476,596 65.4% $5,314,932 Statewide Totals $5,823,461 Mkt Loss 2011 share Ratio Premium 2011 2011 64.7% Source: SNL Financial, by permission, and the Auto Insurance Report database. Loss ratio is incurred losses as a percentage of direct premium earned. The ratio does not include dividends or loss adjustment expense. Single year data can be skewed by reserve adjustments. Warning: Auto Insurance Report is a confidential, copyrighted newsletter for subscribers only. No part of this publication may be reproduced by any form or means, including photocopying, scanning, fax or email, without prior permission of the Publisher. For information call (949) 443-0330. Reprinted With Permission Of The Publisher AUTO INSURANCE REPORT March 16, 2015 Page 7 State Market Focus: GEORGIA Continued from Page 1 ratio was seventh highest in the country, but worst among the 10 largest states. (We discount Michigan because the reporting of reinsured catastrophic claims makes it look worse than it is.) Insurers are clearly responding to a problem with liability losses, though physical damage losses jumped in 2013 – due largely to severe thunderstorms, hail and tornadoes – to produce a 62.3% loss ratio. But looking back to 1999, Georgia’s physical damage loss ratio has never exceeded the national average. The liability loss ratio, on the other hand, has been steadily rising since 2009. In 2013, it was second highest in the country at 77.8% compared with the 67.9% national average. The last time Georgia’s liability loss ratio was higher was 82.2% in 2001. Traffic congestion in the fast-growing metro Atlanta area is a major factor driving up the number of accidents, said Steve Manders, the Insurance Department’s director of insurance products review. The state House recently passed a bill that would provide nearly $1 billion to fund transportation improvements. At press time, the bill was pending in the Senate. The transportation research group TRIP has found that 10% of Georgia’s major locally and state-maintained urban roads and highways have pavements in poor condition, while an additional 39% of the state’s major urban roads are rated as mediocre or fair. After-tax profit margins show the profitability challenge is not a short-term issue. For the decade that ended in 2013, Georgia personal auto insurers recorded an average annual profit margin of 4.3%, compared with the national average of 6.3%. Georgia ranked 45th in the country. Even as insurers struggle with profitability in Georgia, it’s a competitive market and it has an especially vibrant nonstandard market. Manders said there are no policies in the residual market. The appeal is size and growth. Georgia is the nation’s ninth-largest market with $5.8 billion in 2013 written premium, a 6.3% increase over 2012. Nationwide personal auto premium grew Please see GEORGIA on Page 8 Georgia Auto Insurance Profit Margins Ten-Year Summary, Percent of Direct Premiums Earned Line of Business Personal Auto Liab 2013 2012 2011 2010 2009 Total Total Total Total Total Profit Profit Profit Profit Profit -5.8 -3.9 -2.9 -1.2 -2.6 2008 Total Profit -0.8 2007 Total Profit 0.7 2006 Total Profit 2.2 2005 Total Profit 1.9 2004 Avg Total Total Profit Profit 0.0 -0.2 14.3 12.1 Personal Auto Phys 3.1 11.1 9.3 14.4 9.7 10.0 13.4 14.0 12.5 Personal Auto Total -2.2 2.4 2.4 5.6 3.0 4.3 6.7 7.7 6.8 6.8 5.5 5.6 1.9 8.6 7.8 1.1 11.0 11.1 10.0 8.6 12.4 7.2 Comm. Auto Phys -5.2 6.1 1.5 6.8 5.5 6.9 10.3 8.0 6.2 14.1 7.7 Comm. Auto Total 3.4 2.8 7.1 7.6 2.1 10.0 10.8 9.6 8.0 12.9 7.3 Total All Lines* 6.4 10.4 4.3 8.6 -7.3 -1.5 9.6 13.0 9.6 7.0 5.5 Comm. Auto Liab *Auto; Home, Farm & Commercial Multiperil; Fire; Allied; Inland Marine; Med Malpractice; Other Liability; Workers Comp; All Other Note: Profit calculations are by Auto Insurance Report using data from the National Association of Insurance Commissioners. Calculations are estimates, some based on national averages. Warning: Auto Insurance Report is a confidential, copyrighted newsletter for subscribers only. No part of this publication may be reproduced by any form or means, including photocopying, scanning, fax or email, without prior permission of the Publisher. For information call (949) 443-0330. Reprinted With Permission Of The Publisher Page 8 AUTO INSURANCE REPORT Georgia Commercial Auto Insurers March 16, 2015 State Market Focus: GEORGIA Continued from Page 7 policies.Written (000) Groups Ranked by Total 2013 low-limits Direct Premium 4.6%. Among top 20 markets, only Texas, MichInsurers hope that a bill passed in 2014 will Mkt Loss Mkt Loss Mkt Loss igan and Colorado grew faster. The population stem some of the abuse in2011 auto insurance 2013 share Ratio help 2012 share Ratio share Ratio Group Name Premium Premium 2013 2013 claims. 2012law 2012 2011 2011 surpassed 10 million last year,Premium having grown The new prohibits paid intermediProgressive 7.9aver% 60.4%aries$65,838 61.9% cappers $64,405 9.1% 65.4% 4.2% sinceCorp. 2010 compared with$60,375 a national – known9.4 as%runners, or steerers Travelers Companies Inc. $57,618 7.6 % 70.4 % $61,493 8.8 % 81.7 % $58,761 8.3% 86.8% age of 3.3%, and more than 53% since 1990. – from soliciting accident victims and prohibits Auto-Owners Insurance Co. $43,638 5.7% 64.5% $40,037 5.7% 51.8% $39,548 5.6% 47.2% Some blame Georgia’s problems on an inhealth care providers and attorneys from using Nationwide Mutual Group $35,950 4.7% 80.5% $31,677 4.5% 84.9% $28,545 4.0% 78.2% crease in fraud, especially after no-fault reforms them to do so. “Often times, unscrupulous lawAmerican International Group $33,036 4.3% 8.7% $21,301 3.1% 50.6% $53,956 7.6% 42.6% in neighboring Florida eroded the potential yers $14,142 and medical providers are$7,999 involved1.1in using Berkshire Hathaway/National Indemnity $29,707 3.9% 63.2% 2.0% 47.8% % 3.2% profits of unscrupulous lawyers and health care runners to solicit accident victims and assist Zurich Insurance Group $27,954 3.7% 93.8% $36,421 5.2% 59.4% $35,256 5.0% in 37.5% providers who abused the system. Georgia3.5is% not bogus insurance Haskins5.2said. Liberty Mutual $26,617 43.9%filing$27,704 4.0% 58.4claims,” % $36,667 % 62.6% aWestfield no-fault state, but as Alan Haskins, governInsurers have responded to adverse conGroup $24,286 3.2% 74.0% $21,957 3.1% 60.7% $21,166 3.0% 53.0% ment affairs director Cincinnati Financial Corp. for the National $24,130Insurance 3.2% 58.1%ditions $19,768 2.8% 64.2 % and reunderwriting, $17,297 2.4% 59.6% with higher rates GA Farm Bureau, Bureau Mutual 3.0% 43.7%Manders $24,945 3.6 % 53.6 % $27,310 3.9% 57.9% Crime putIns it:Co. “Frankly,$22,909 the criminals said. Selective Insurance Group Inc. $19,291 2.5 % 49.7 % $15,722 2.3 % 54.7 % $13,597 % 46.7% don’t care what you call the insurance coverage. Georgia was one of several states in1.9which Old Republic International Corp. $18,103 2.4% 76.4% $18,012 2.6% 59.8% $15,366 2.2% 81.1% They still bill for services that aren’t warranted.” State Auto implemented a remediation effort State Farm Mutual $16,625 2.2% 71.8% $17,093 2.5% 59.5% $17,891 2.5% 58.1% The NICB documented a 14% increase in including “pricing and agency$11,567 management acCanal Insurance Co. $13,652 1.8% 46.9% $12,051 1.7% 67.7% 1.6% 76.9% suspicious claims in Georgia between 2011 and tion”$11,803 in 2013 1.7 because of poor$11,503 profitability. In its FCCI Mutual Ins Hldg Co. $12,566 1.7% 53.2% % 74.6% 1.6% 72.4% 2012 and another 6% increase to 4,359 in 2013. report 1.4 for%2014, the% Grange Mutual Casualty Co. $11,241 1.5% 57.8%annual $9,887 61.5%the company $10,353 reported 1.5% 63.9 A fear of bad faith awards also drives inremediation actions reversed unfavorable loss ra-% Hartford Financial Services $11,227 1.5% 49.3% $10,840 1.6% 88.1% $10,337 1.5% 61.5 surers toInsurance offer larger especially on 93.3% Columbia Groupsettlements,$10,523 1.4% $11,398 1.6% 93.0 % see $12,666 93.4% Please GEORGIA1.8 on%Page 9 Allstate Corp. $10,392 1.4% 72.8% $8,737 $10,343 1.4% 61.4% $10,895 Employers Mutual Casualty Co. $10,169 1.3% 67.2% $8,872 1.3% American Financial Group Inc. $9,118 1.2% 48.9% $8,172 1.2% Sentry Insurance Mutual 1.3% 44.9% $7,927 1.1% 43.6% 1.6% 100.1% $10,323 1.5% 63.4% 52.8% $6,339 0.9% 53.5% 74.9% $9,122 1.3% 63.4% 1.2% 83.6% Georgia Commercial Auto Insurers Hanover InsuranceGroups Group Inc. ACE Ltd. 1.2%2013 53.0%Direct $9,833 1.4% Written 57.7% Ranked$9,073 by Total Premium W. R. Berkley Corp. Tokio Marine Group NameGroup CNA Financial Corp. Progressive Corp. Markel Corp. Travelers Companies Inc. $8,284 1.1% 212.6% Mkt $7,049 0.9% 2013 share $6,834 2013 0.9% Premium $6,357 $60,375 $6,308 $57,618 0.8% % 7.9 0.8 % 7.6% Utica National Insurance Group $5,478 American International Group $33,036 Infinity P&C Corp. $5,392 Berkshire Hathaway/National Indemnity $29,707 Atlantic American / Delta Grp $5,326 Zurich Insurance Group $27,954 0.7% % 4.3 0.7 % 3.9% QBE Insurance (Gen Cas/Unigard) Auto-Owners Insurance Co. White Mountains Nationwide MutualInsurance Group OOIDAMutual RRG Inc. Liberty FederatedGroup Mutual Insurance Co. Westfield IAT Reinsurance (U.S.) Cincinnati Financial Corp. Arch Capital Group Ltd. Ins Co. GA Farm Bureau Mutual SPARTA Insurance Insurance Group Holdings Selective Inc.Inc. Old Republic International Statewide Totals Corp. $6,040 $43,638 $5,658 $35,950 $5,084 $26,617 $5,019 $24,286 $4,928 $24,130 $4,876 $22,909 0.8% % 5.7 0.7% % 4.7 0.7% % 3.7 0.7% % 3.5 0.7% % 3.2 0.7 % 3.2% $4,440 $19,291 0.6% % 3.0 0.6% % 2.5 $18,103 $763,226 2.4% Loss 73.8% Ratio 31.6% 2013 99.7% % 60.4 48.6 % 70.4% 71.7% % 64.5 39.1% % 80.5 38.0 % 8.7% 67.1 % 63.2% 71.3% % 93.8 72.2% % 43.9 38.8% % 74.0 28.7 % 58.1% 83.3% % 43.7 76.7% % 49.7 76.4 64.6% % $7,361 1.1% $7,672 $65,838 $2,178 $61,493 1.1% % 9.4 0.3 % 8.8% $4,597 $21,301 $4,867 $14,142 0.7% % 3.1 0.7 % 2.0% Mkt $7,157 1.0% 2012 share $6,120 2012 0.9% Premium $5,904 $40,037 $3,248 $31,677 $5,250 $36,421 $2,815 $27,704 $4,091 $21,957 $4,453 $19,768 $3,954 $24,945 $3,408 $15,722 $18,012 $698,695 0.8% % 5.7 0.5% % 4.5 0.8% % 5.2 0.4% % 4.0 41.9% Loss 90.6% Ratio 60.5% 2012 64.8% % 61.9 20.6 % 81.7% 83.6% % 51.8 42.3% % 84.9 65.8% % 50.6 60.9 % 47.8% 53.9% % 59.4 98.5% % 58.4 0.6% % 60.7 61.0% % 3.1 0.6 % 105.6 % 2.8% 64.2% 0.6 % 33.2 % 3.6% 53.6% $8,760 (000) $7,293 1.0% $9,892 $64,405 $1,223 $58,761 1.4% % 9.1 0.2 % 8.3% $5,266 $53,956 $4,089 $7,999 0.7% % 7.6 0.6 % 1.1% Mkt $5,531 0.8% 2011 share $4,967 2011 0.7% Premium $7,672 $39,548 $2,431 $28,545 $5,601 $35,256 $1,582 $36,667 $3,655 $21,166 $4,118 $17,297 1.1% % 5.6 0.3% % 4.0 0.8% % 5.0 0.2% % 5.2 0.5% % 3.0 0.6 % 2.4% 0.5% % 2.3 44.1% % 54.7 $2,530 $27,310 $1,385 $13,597 0.4% % 3.9 0.2% % 1.9 2.6% 59.8 64.8% % $15,366 $708,478 2.2% 74.6% $11,503 1.6% 56.3% Loss 44.3% Ratio 34.6% 2011 33.6% % 65.4 57.7 % 86.8% 30.2% % 47.2 37.1% % 78.2 28.0% % 42.6 60.0 % 3.2% 52.3% % 37.5 5.0% % 62.6 30.0% % 53.0 63.7 % 59.6% 12.2% % 57.9 63.6% % 46.7 81.1 60.8% % State FarmSNL Mutual $16,625 % Insurance 71.8% $17,093 2.5% 59.5% $17,891 2.5% 58.1% Source: Financial, by permission, and the 2.2 Auto Report database. Loss ratio is incurred losses as a percentage direct earned. The 1.7 ratio dividends or loss Canal Insurance Co. $13,652 of 1.8 % premium 46.9% $12,051 % does 67.7not % include $11,567 1.6% 76.9% adjustment expense. Single year data can be skewed by reserve adjustments. FCCI Mutual Ins Hldg Co. $12,566 1.7% 53.2% $11,803 1.7% 72.4% Grange Mutual Casualty Co. $11,241 1.5% 57.8% $9,887 1.4% 61.5% $10,353 1.5% 63.9% Warning: Auto Insurance Report is a confidential, copyrighted newsletter for subscribers only. Hartford Financial Services $11,227 1.5 % 49.3 % $10,840 1.6 % 88.1 % $10,337 1.5%scan61.5% No part of this publication may be reproduced by any form or means, including photocopying, ning, fax or email, without prior permission of the Publisher. For information call (949) 443-0330. Columbia Insurance Group $10,523 1.4% 93.3% $11,398 1.6% 93.0% $12,666 1.8% 93.4% Allstate Corp. $10,392 1.4% 72.8% $8,737 Sentry Insurance Mutual $10,343 1.4% 61.4% $10,895 1.3% 44.9% $7,927 1.1% 43.6% 1.6% 100.1% $10,323 1.5% Employers Mutual Casualty Co. $10,169 1.3% 67.2% $8,872 1.3% 63.4% 52.8% $6,339 0.9% 53.5% American Financial Group Inc. $9,118 1.2% 48.9% $8,172 1.2% 74.9% $9,122 1.3% 63.4% Reprinted With Permission Of The Publisher AUTO INSURANCE REPORT March 16, 2015 Page 9 State Market Focus: GEORGIA Continued from Page 8 tio trends and will continue in 2015. State Auto, ranked 33rd in Georgia in 2013, saw its loss ratio rise from 53.5% in 2010 and into the 70s in 2011 and 2012 before spiking at 91.6% in 2013. The nonstandard insurer Infinity, the 15th-largest personal auto group in Georgia, stopped writing new business in the state on Jan. 1. Chairman and CEO James Gober said in an earnings conference call that the company looked at three criteria in deciding whether to continue writing, among them a large market, a significant Hispanic population in large urban zones and a manageable regulatory and legal environment. Georgia, along with Nevada and Pennsylvania, didn’t make the cut. Adverse loss experience in Georgia was one of the factors that A.M. Best cited in downgrading its rating of Peachtree Casualty, a small nonstandard writer. The regulatory environment under Insurance and Fire Safety Commissioner Ralph Hudgens allows insurers to change rates in response to challenging conditions, though regulators do not always approve increases as large as insurers request. “We turn some of them back,” Manders said. “But I guess we are trying to be a little more flexible with them.” When TV and newspaper reporters shined a spotlight on rising home and auto insurance rates, Hudgens noted that the rate actions were a response to rising claim costs. He also pointed out that if he denied rate increases, insurers would leave the state, leaving consumers fewer choices. Hudgens, who was first elected in 2010, was re-elected in November. In 2012, Georgians spent on average $768 for auto insurance, the 20th highest in the country. On our PAIN Index, which compares premium to income as an indicator of affordability, Georgia ranked 19th. Please see GEORGIA on Page 10 Georgia Snapshot Regulator: Commissioner Ralph Hudgens Rate regulation: prior approval for minimum liability limits; file and use for all others Size of personal auto market: $5.82 billion (2013 DPW) Rank: 9th Average policy expenditure: $768 (2012) Rank: 20th Auto Insurance Report PAIN Index rank: 19th (2012) Property Insurance Report HURT Index rank: 17th (2012) Auto registrations: 3.44 million (2013) Truck registrations: 4.1 million (2013) Vehicle miles traveled (VMT): 108.45 billion (2013) Traffic fatalities: 1.09 per 100 million VMT; U.S.: 1.11 (2013) Vehicle thefts: 268.5 per 100,000 residents; Region: 190 per 100,000 residents (2013) Liability defense: modified comparative fault, 50% bar Minimum Insurance Requirements: BI: $25,000/$50,000 • PD: $25,000 Safety Laws Safety Laws Graduated licensing Primary safety belt law Motorcycle helmets required for all riders Cellphone ban for young drivers; all driver texting ban Demographics Population: 10.1 million (2014 est.) Change from 2010: +4.2%, U.S.: +3.3% Median household income: $49,179; U.S.: $53,046 (avg 2009-13) Population density: 168.4 per square mile; U.S: 87.4 per square mile (2010) Sources: SNL Securities, NAIC, U.S. Dept. of Transportation, PCIAA, NAMIC, U.S. Census Bureau, Insurance Institute for Highway Safety, FBI Warning: Auto Insurance Report is a confidential, copyrighted newsletter for subscribers only. No part of this publication may be reproduced by any form or means, including photocopying, scanning, fax or email, without prior permission of the Publisher. For information call (949) 443-0330. Reprinted With Permission Of The Publisher AUTO INSURANCE REPORT Page 10 Focus: GEORGIA Continued from Page 9 State Farm, which wrote almost 23% of the statewide personal auto direct premium in 2013, took the largest increases on a groupwide basis, raising rates 16.2% in 2014 after recording a loss ratio of 71.5% in 2013, according to RateWatch. Liberty Mutual raised rates 15% last year after generating a 2013 loss ratio of 75.2%. From the start of 2010 through Feb. 26 of this year, Liberty Mutual raised rates 56.2%. Travelers raised rates 44.2% and Nationwide raised rates 42.9% on a groupwide basis over the same period. USAA, which experienced the highest loss ratio in 2013 of the top 10 groups, at 83.8%, raised rates just 5.1% rate over that period, the lowest of all top 10 insurance groups. The rate increases may help insurers’ performance, but the trends driving the rate increases don’t seem to be improving much. Our sources tell us that frequency and severity for bodily injury jumped in recent months after experiencing a slight improvement in severity in the early part of last year. Property damage and collision frequency also continue to increase, none of it helped by the accidents and stranded vehicles after last year’s snow and ice storms walloped the Atlanta area. Medical payments coverage has also seen some deterioration. Uninsured motorists claim costs could also become more problematic if the legislature passes HB 303. That bill would increase the penalty for bad faith in uninsured motorists claims to the greater of $25,000 or 25% of damages. Currently the penalty is just 25% of damages, but those supporting the bill believe that on small claims 25% is not a sufficient penalty. Insurers oppose the bill, but they also view the current version as a much better alternative than previous drafts, which would have raised the percentage to 100% of damages. Perhaps the most significant legislation for auto insurers this session are competing bills re- March 16, 2015 AUTO INSURANCE REPORT Established 1993 Brian P. Sullivan, Editor Telephone: (949) 443-0330 Email: bpsullivan@riskinformation.com Leslie Werstein Hann, Managing Editor Telephone: (908) 574-5041 Email: leslie@hannwriting.com Patrick Sullivan, Associate Editor Telephone: (949) 412-5851 Email: bpsullivan@gmail.com Subscription Information: (800) 633-4931 On the Web: www.riskinformation.com Auto Insurance Report, © 2015, published weekly, 48 times a year, by Risk Information Inc., 33765 Magellan Isle, Dana Point, CA 92629. It is a violation of federal law to photocopy or reproduce any part of this publication without first obtaining permission from the Publisher. ISSN: 1084-2950 Subscription Rates: $1,087 per year in U.S. and Canada. Elsewhere $1,127 per year. lating to transportation network companies. The House passed HB 190, which was supported by the insurance industry because it makes plain that personal auto insurance policies provide no coverage for livery and because it would require the TNC or drivers to have primary commercial insurance coverage with limits of at least $100,000/$300,000/$50,000 for incidents that occur when the smartphone app is turned on but a fare has not yet been arranged. From the time the ride is arranged until the passenger departs, the bill requires primary TNC coverage limits of at least $1 million. Another provision, promoted by lenders that finance car purchases, would require first-party coverage to mirror the driver’s personal insurance policy. Senate Bill 196, which is supported by Uber, would provide commercial coverage from the time the fare is arranged until the passenger departs, but it would make TNC coverage of $25,000/$50,000/$25,000 for the period before a fare is arranged contingent on denial by the driver’s personal insurance. At press time, the fate of both bills was uncertain. AIR Warning: Auto Insurance Report is a confidential, copyrighted newsletter for subscribers only. No part of this publication may be reproduced by any form or means, including photocopying, scanning, fax or email, without prior permission of the Publisher. For information call (949) 443-0330.
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