Bioethanol and Biodiesel in Brazil JOAQUIM DIB COHEN

Bioethanol and Biodiesel in
Brazil
JOAQUIM
JOAQUIM DIB
DIB COHEN
COHEN
Managing
Managing Director
Director –– Petrobras
Petrobras Europe
Europe Limited
Limited
Agenda
::
:: General
General View
View of
of Company
Company
::
:: Biofuels
Biofuels Investments
Investments
::
:: Business
Business Plan
Plan –– 2007
2007 // 2011
2011
::
:: R
R&
&D
D Projects
Projects on
on Biofuels
Biofuels
::
:: Downstream
Downstream –– Investments
Investments
::
:: Final
Final Comments
Comments
General View of Company
Corporate Strategy
The strategic positioning with regard to the 2015 Mission and Vision has not been
modified. The Corporate Strategy began to give more visibility and focus in the
positioning in Renewable Energies.
Corporate Strategy
Development
Profitability
Social and Environmental
Responsibilities
To lead the
oil, natural
gas,deoil
by-products
and biofuels
in Latin
America,
acting as an
Liderar
o mercado
petróleo,
gás natural
e derivados
na América
Latina,
integrated energy
company,
with the integrada
selective de
expansion
of petrochemical,
renewable energy
atuando
como empresa
energia, com
expansão seletiva
and international
activity
da petroquímica
e da atividade
internacional.
Consolidate and
extend the
competitive
advantages in
the Brazilian and
south-american
markets of oil
and oil byproducts.
Develop the
Brazilian market
of natural gas and
act in an
integrated manner
in the gas and
electric power
markets in South
America.
Selectively
expand the
international
performance in
an integrated
manner with
Company’s
businesses.
Selectively
expand the
performance in
the
petrochemical
market.
Expand participation
in the fuel market,
being the leader in
the national
production of
biodiesel and
increasing the
participation in
ethanol business.
Operational Excellency in management, human resources and technology
General View of Company
An integrated energy company with a Gross Income of US$ 76.5 billion,
US$ 10,3 billion in net income, US$ 17,6 billion in EBITDA (2005 BR GAAP)
Exploration
Exploration and
and
Production
Production
• Proven Reserves: 11,8 Billion boe (SEC 2005)
• Oil and Gas Production: 2,22 million boed (2005)
• 16 Refineries • Capacity: 2.214 mil bpd
Refining,
Refining,
Transportation
Transportation and
and • Pipeline: 30.343 km • Vessels (Own fleet): 50
Trading
Trading
Distribution
Distribution
• 6.933 service stations (34% of the Brazilian market)
• More than 850 centers in South America (Argentina,
Uruguai, Paraguai, Bolivia and Colombia)
Natural
Natural Gas
Gas
• Gas Sales: 52 million cu.m/day
Petroquímica
Petroquímica
• Ethylene Production:
460 thousand tons/year
• Estirene Production:
250 thousand tons/year
• Polyestirene Production: 120 thousand tons/year
Petrobras in the World
UK
USA
Nova York
Japan
Turkey
Houston
Iran
China
Libia
Mexico
Nigeria
Colombia
Venezuela
Equador
Peru
BRASIL
Tanzania
Bolivia
Paraguai
Angola
Singapore
Rio de
Janeiro
Uruguai
Argentina
HEAD OFFICE
SUPPLY
MARKETING
E&P
GAS AND ENERGY
AGENCIES
Focused in Latin America and Atlantic Basin
Business Plan –
2007 / 2011
Business Plan for 2007-2011
PN 2007-11
US$ 87.1 billion
56%
49,3
31,0
3%
1,8
2,3 3,3
3% 4%
23,0
7,5
26%
9%
Upstream
Downstream
G&E
Petrochemical
Distribution
Corporate
Note: Includes International area
Business Plan for 2007-2011
The oil products market in Brazil presents a high dynamism
Thousand bpd
2500
2,117
3.1% a.a.
2000
1,766
1500
128
108
211
97
935
777
1000
282
237
500
0
LNG
315
368
201
224
2005
2011
Gasoline
Naphta
Does not include own consumption of refineries.
Diesel* + Jet
FuelOil
Coke/Others
* Includes biodiesel in 2011.
Business Plan for 2007-2011
Total Production – Oil & LNG and Natural Gas
7.5% a.a.
Mil bpd
4,556
278
Investment in E&P of
US$ 49.3 billion in
2007-2011
7.8% a.a.
742
3,493
185
2,217
2.036
,
2,020
85
94
161
168
250
265
1. 540
2003
96
163
2,403
383
101
551
724
133
289
274
2. 812
1. 493
1. 684
2004
2005
1. 880
M
eta 2006
Goal
Oile o+ LNG
Brazil
Ól
+ LGN
Br asi l
Ól
+ LGN
I nt e r nac i ona l
Oile o+ LNG
International
2. 374
M
eta
Goal
Projection
M eta
2011
22015
015
G ás N aGas
t u r aBrazil
l Br asi l
Natural
GInternational
ás N a t u r a lNatural
I n t e r Gas
na ci ona l
Corporate Goals
Production of Oil and LNG x Refining Throughput (Thousand bbl/day)
4000
,
3.554
3.201
,
3500
2.757
,
3000
2500
2000
2.013
,
,
2.376
1.908
,
1500
1000
500
0
2006
Total Production
of Oil
and LNG
bbl/day)
Produção
de Óleo
e LGN
Total(thousand
(Mil bbl/dia)
2011
2015
Carga
Fresca Throughput
Processada
Total (Mil
bbl/dia)
Total Refining
(thousand
bbl/day)
The increase of the oil and LNG production and of the processed load of the refining
assure the maintenance of a balance between the E&P and Downstream segments of
the Company, as well as open options of vertical integration due to the materiality of
these activities in Brazil and foreign countries.
11
Business Strategies
Renewable Energy
Investment 2007-2011
Goal 2011
Bio-diesel Plants
Availability of 855 Thousand cu.m/year
HBio (Bio-Refining)
Vegetable oil Processing
1,033 Thousand cu.m/year
Alcohol pipelines
Alcohol Project Vessel
Aeolic Energy
Solar Energy
Other Sources of Renewable Energy
Export of 3.5 million cu.m/year of Ethanol
Installed Capacity of Generation of
Electric Power from 240 MW Renewable
Sources
Total investments in energetic development of renewable sources and
biofuels of US$ 0.7 billion
Downstream – Investments
Downstream Challenges
Biofuels Investments
Land use in Brazil
Type
• Total country
• Native Amazon Forest
• Secondary Amazon Forest and Others
• Native Forests
• Pasture
• Temporary Cultures
• Permanent Cultures
• Available land
• Available land with low impact (*)
Source: FAO, 2002 and EMBRAPA (*)
Area
(Mha)
851
370
180
6
197
59
7.6
263
90
Raw Material Comparison
Raw Material
Energy Output / Energy Input
Wheat
1.2
Corn
1.3 – 1.8
Sugar Beet
1.9
Sugar Cane
8.3
(under Brazilian production conditions)
Raw Material
Production / ha
(kg)
Quantity of
Ethanol / ha
Energy Output
/ Energy Input
Sugar Cane
85,000
7,080 liter
8.3
Corn
10,000
4,000 liter
1.3 – 1.8
Biodiesel
In 2005, Biodiesel was integrated to the Brazilian energy matrix
Legislation
The Act 11097 of 13/01/05
Defines percentage and time for using biodiesel
Provides that mandatory acquisition and use times may be accelerated and define criteria
for acceleration
2005
2008
to
to
2007
2012
2% upon
authorization
2% mandatory
2013
on
5% mandatory
Decree 5448 of May 2005
Higher percentages may be used, when authorized by ANP for test or use in:
proprietary or specific vehicle fleets
sea, river, or railroad transport
electric power generation
specific industrial process
Biodiesel Estimated Demand
Biodiesel Demand
(Thousand cu.m/year)
3.000
2.571
2.500
2.666
2.771
2% Mandatory
2.000
1.500
ANP
Public Sale
1.000
500
871
898
926
958
993
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
5% Mandatory
620
240
0
2006
2007
Year
2013
2014
2015
Industrial Plants
3 Projects Being Implemented
Quixadá
Capacity: 171 thousand m3/year
CE
Investments: ~ US$ 60 million
Inputs
Family Agriculture: castor, cotton, and palm.
Complementary: soy.
Jobs Generations:
Construction: 1,200 direct and 400 indirect
Operation: 105 direct
Raw material production:70,000 families
Start up:
4 Q/2007
BA
MG
Montes
Claros
semi-arid region
All Petrobras Biodiesel has Government Social Seal
Biodiesel in Petrobras
First phase of program: implementation of 3 biodiesel units in Northeast
region and Brazilian semiarid. Each unit consists of a plant for multioleaginous species of 50 thousand tons/year.
Production Route: Oil
Oleaginous species considered: soybean, castor bean, cotton, and
pinhão manso
Species Location:
• Quixadá (CE)
• Candeias (BA)
• Montes Claros (MG)
Other phases: production units to be installed in other regions
Goal: in 2011 produce 855 thousand cu.m/y
Partnerships are being studied to implement other units
Plants will be producing in January 2008
Biodielsel Distribution
Already over 2900 stations offering Biodiesel
January 2007
September 2006
October 2006
January 2007
October 2007
September 2006
B100 sales estimates up to Dec 2006:
• 26,688 m3 for 3520 stations
• 25,000 m3 for 3000 large consumers
Biodiesel in Petrobras
Considers units implementation flexible as to:
• raw material (multi-oleaginous species);
• routes: ethylic or methylic;
Location:
• Transesterification: considers product flow logistics;
• Extraction: close to transesterification and/or close to
oleaginous production;
Technology:
• Industrial units of up to 50 thousand tons/year, with worldwide
consolidated technology
Challenges
Availability of oil and seeds:
• Raw material (oleaginous species) in adequate quantity and
quality to produce biodiesel
Commercial and logistics chain for new product
• Distance between producing plants and final consumer market
Product quality
• According to raw material and production
• Biodiesel stability
New uses for by products
• New markets for other products generated in production process
HBIO Process- Diesel Oil
Production from Vegetal Oil
in Refinery
HBIO
HBIO is a process of:
• Oil Refining that uses vegetable oil as raw material to
get diesel oil.
• Hydrogenation of the mixture diesel + vegetable oil
HBIO Process in Refinery
OIL
ATMOSPHERIC
DISTILLATION
atmospheric
residue
VACUUM
DISTILLATION
Gas-oil
FCC
DIESEL FCC
Existing
HDT
DIESEL
Process
HBIO
Vacuum
Residue
DELAYED
COKING
OTHER
FRACTIONS
OF DIESEL
VEGETABLE
OIL
DIESEL DD
DIESEL COKE
Cargo Options for HBIO Process
Castor-Oil Plant
Sun-flower
Soy
African Oil Palm
Cotton
Likely Output of Culture
1,500 kg/ha
1,500 kg/ha
3,000 kg/ha
20,.000 kg/ha
3,000 kg/ha
Percentage of Vegetable Oil
47%
42%
18%
20%
15%
4.000
450
Vegetable Oil Production (kg/ha)
705
630
540
Production in 2005 in Brazil cu.m/y
90,000
SOURCES: Embrapa, MDA, IBGE, CONAB
23,000
5,600,000
151,000
CENPES HAS ALREADY TESTED IN A PILOT
• CASTOR-OIL PLANT – SOY – BABASSU
• PALMISTE (SEED OF PALMA)
• OURICURI
315,000
Potential of HBIO Use
Goal 2011 – 1,033 thousand cu.m/year of vegetable oil
Total Investiments in 10 Refineries US$ 60 MM
Short Term – 2006 / 2007
HBIO in four refineries
• Use of up to 256 thousand cu.m/year of vegetable oil
•Payment Balance
• Volume equal to 15% of imports of Diesel
• Reduction of US$ 145 million/year in imports
Potential of HBIO Use
Medium Term (2008)
HBIO in one additional Refinery
• Use of up to 425 thousand cu.m/year of vegetable oil, as from
December
• Volume equal to ~ 25% in Diesel Imports
• Reduction of US$ 240 millions/year in imports
R&D Petrobras Projects on Bio-fuels
HBIO –
Vegetable oil hydrogenation
Biodiesel
Non-conventional bioethanol
Lignocellulosic bioethanol
Castor oil seed cake bioethanol
Synthetic bio-fuel (BTL)
Biodiesel - Petrobras experimental plants in Guamaré (RN)
Technology: methyl & ethyl transesterification
Raw Materials: castor bean and soybean oil and seed
Plant 1: Oil Route:
• Operating, batch-producing
• Seed is crushed for extracting oil to be used
in biodiesel production
• May produce 6 thousand tons/year
Plant 2: Route Seed:
• In this route, oil is extracted directly from
seed, without crushing
• May produce 12 thousand tons/year
PS1
Petrobras Lignocellulosic Bioethanol Research
Raw material: sugar cane bagasse
Proprietary process
Successful ongoing bench-scale
experiments
Patent issued
End of tests: 4thQ 2006
Pilot plant start-up: 1sQ 2008
Demonstration plant start-up: 3rdQ 2010
Folie 34
PS1
PETROBRAS S.A.; 24.05.2004
HBIO - Current Stage and Next Steps
Current Stage
• Soybean oil industrial test performed in 3 refineries (REGAP /
REPAR and REFAP)
Results: Viability confirmed
• Patent applications filled
Next Steps
• Analyze processing conditions in other refineries
• Continue CENPES analyses (including other vegetal oils and non
refining soy oil)
Potential H-Bio Use
2006-2007
• H-BIO in 4 refineries – using up to 256 thousand m3/year of vegetable oil
• 9.1% of total soy oil export
• Equivalent to 15% of Diesel imports
2008
• H-BIO in 5 refineries
• Using up tp 425 thousand m3/year of vegetable oil
• 15.1 % of total soy oil export
• Equivalent to 25% of Diesel imports
Main advantages:
• No waste
• Simple logistics
• Improves diesel quality
• Flexible vegetable oil source
HBIO and Biodiesel – Complementary Processes
PS2
Synthetic bio-fuel (BTL)
GTL small pilot-plant on stream
since 1st Q 2004
High yield FT Catalysts patented
(2004-2005)
Combinatorial Catalysis Unit on
stream since 4th Q 2005
Start-up cold prototype unit for
fluid dynamic tests: 4th Q 2006
Start-up GTL 1 bpd pilot plant:
4th Q 2007
Start-up integrated biomass
gasification pilot plant:
2nd Q 2008
Start-up 300 bpd demonstration
plant: 4th Q 2011
Folie 38
PS2
PETROBRAS S.A.; 24.05.2004
Ethanol
Ethanol: 30 years of experience
Fuel Ethanol Program Evolution
Ethanol
Program
Implanted
(BLENDS)
Gasohol and
Ethanol Cars
(2nd oil shock)
Program for oil imports
reduction
70’s
80´S
Program of
Emission
Controls
(PROCONVE)
Gasohol and
Flex fuel Cars
Renewable
Hydrogen
Environmental Benefits
90´S
00´S
Future
Facts about Ethanol Market in 2005
• Ethanol global market is 46.5 Billion Liters (2005)
• Ethanol as a Fuel is 30.6 Billion Liters (67% of total ethanol
production)
• Today the ethanol consumption is 2.6% of gasoline MKT
• 10% of ethanol in gasoline will represent 118 Billion Lt
~
=
1 Ton Sugar Cane
SUGAR
153 KG
BAGASSE
(50% UMIDADE)
276 KG
LEAVES (*)
(15% HUMIDY)
165 KG
1 Ton-Field
1718 x 103 KCAL
1.2 boe
608 x 103 KCAL
598 x 103 KCAL
512 x 103 KCAL
1718 x 103 KCAL
1 boe
1,386 x 103 KCAL
thousand (m³/ton)
18,000
16,000
14,000
12,000
10,000
8,000
6,000
4,000
2,000
0
80/81
81/82
82/83
83/84
Anhydrous
84/85
85/86
86/87
88/89
90/91
91/92
93/94
Total
Crop Year
92/93
94/95
95/96
96/97
97/98
98/99
99/00
00/01
02/03
03/04
04/05
05/06
06/07
2006/07
Estimates
01/02
Ethanol Production
Hydrous
89/90
Brazilian Ethanol Production
87/88
Flex-Fuel Vehicles
Consumer wants to decide the fuel at the gas station
Fuel price is one the most important factor
Consumer is aware of pollution and renewable fuels
Today cars manufacturer is producing 80% of FFV in
Brazil
LIGHT VEHICLES TOTAL SALES
units
150,000
Ethanol
Gasoline
140,000
FFV
130,000
120,000
110,000
100,000
90,000
80,000
70,000
60,000
50,000
40,000
30,000
20,000
Feb-06
Mar-06
Jan-06
Dec-05
Nov-05
Oct-05
Sep-05
Aug-05
Jul-05
Jun-05
May-05
Apr-05
Mar-05
Feb-05
Jan-05
Nov-04
Dec-04
Oct-04
Sep-04
Aug-04
Jul-04
Jun-04
May-04
Apr-04
Mar-04
Feb-04
Jan-04
Dec-03
Nov-03
Oct-03
Sep-03
Aug-03
Jul-03
Jun-03
May-03
Apr-03
Mar-03
Feb-03
10,000
Jan-03
•
•
•
•
0
Driving Forces for Fuel Ethanol Adoption
Reduction of the oil dependence
Energy diversification
Agribusiness development
Kyoto Protocol
Carbon Credit Opportunities
Ethanol Investiments
Goal: Export 3,5 MM cu.m/year in 2011
Logistic to export – New investments in pipelines,
water way and vessels (US$ 454 MM)
Ethanol Logistic to Export
New Ethanol Pipeline
(800 km)
New Water Way
for Ethanol
Ethanol Export Capacity
8.0 Millions cu.m/ year in 2012
Marine Terminal
Rio de Janeiro
Marine Terminal
São Paulo
Petrobras Partnerships to Introduce Ethanol as a Fuel
PDVSA– march / 2005
Implement the fuel ethanol
program in Venezuela.
Today Petrobras is supplying ethanol
and providing technical assistance in
logistics and blending know-how
Introduction of E10 in Nigerian Market
in order to create a market for
Ethanol production in Nigeria.
NNPC– may / 2005
Introduction of E10 in South Africa in
order to create an internal market for
Ethanol production (E10).
Central Energy Fund –
september / 2006
Final Comments
Final Comments
The progressive absorption of heavy oil valorizes the
national production.
National Industry’s call for its qualification in order to meet the terms of the
enterprises at competitive costs.
Need to qualify work force and technological development by the National
industry, aiming competitive costs.
PETROBRAS shall keep on investing to adjust the profile of the production to the
profile of the demand of oil products and for the production of clean fuels.
The Petrobras HBIO process is a technological breakthrough which yields
renewable fuels. It is based on wide renewable feed stock availability and existing
refining infrastructure, providing social, economic and environmental
sustainability of Petrobras´ downstream operations. It also emerges as a
competitive advantage to our company.
PETROBRAS shall keep on investing to develop fuel ethanol international
markets, improving brazilian exportation infrastructure and researching new
production technologies (lignocellulosic process).
dib.cohen@petrobras-pel.com
www.petrobras.com.br