How to Supersize Retirement Incomes www.fsc.org.nz How to Supersize Retirement Incomes Saving our Savers NZ Super is a wonderful scheme to stop people falling into poverty in old age, provided they own their own home, mortgage free, by retirement. Our work shows that NZ Super alone is not enough, and to have a comfortable retirement we need to save to buy a second pension to provide an income about twice the level of NZ Super. Most people look at using KiwiSaver as the vehicle. We did the numbers last year to see just how much people would have to save to have a secure and comfortable retirement with an income that is double NZ Super. On the current settings people need to save 10% of their income every year over 40 years from age 25. If you wait another 10 years you’ll need to save 15% of your income and on it goes and if you wait till you are 55 then you’ll need to save 50% of your income! Many of the 2 million people enrolled in KiwiSaver are not actively contributing and many of those who are saving are saving 6% of their income – it is not enough, especially for those closer to retirement, and way short of being able to buy a second pension sufficient to fund a comfortable retirement. We know from our research that people know they have to save if they want more than NZ Super which they say is not enough on its own for a comfortable retirement. The trouble is that it is too big an ask for many people to save 10% of their annual income from day one. So how can we make KiwiSaver fair, accessible and affordable for everyone so that all New Zealanders can have a comfortable retirement with sufficient savings to buy a second pension to have income double NZ Super? ounger at for a y th e v e li e nal “I don’t b that natio r la u c ti r a p g to be person in on is goin ti a u n n a so r supe term, and g n lo e th r ble life in enough fo comforta a t n a w ve to if you oing to ha g e ’r u o y t, save.” retiremen il food reta in a fastr e d y ie lo rr p a m 8, e rua, m Female, 5 ean, Roto f p o e ro u m E o c Z ,N ehold in s u o business h , k e 0 5 s at hom under $ and no kid www.fsc.org.nz PAGE 3 PAGE 4 How to Supersize Retirement Incomes We have a plan to: •g radually increase the KiwiSaver contribution rate to 7% starting at 1% for new KiwiSavers so you can buy a second pension to provide a retirement income double NZ Super- that’s only 1% more if you are already putting aside 6% (3% from the employee and 3% from the employer) •keep NZ Super as is To get to the 7% KiwiSaver contribution target four things need to happen: •move savings to higher earning funds depending on your life stage •offset the higher risk with insurance to guarantee a level of savings at retirement •level the tax playing field for KiwiSaver with other forms of savings •target the money spent on KiwiSaver incentives to fund the lower tax rates to make it fiscally neutral And to get that to happen we need all the parties represented in Parliament to agree and commit to providing a new, updated retirement savings policy that: •continues to support KiwiSaver to help New Zealand employees save for a comfortable retirement over their working lives •progressively steps up KiwiSaver contributions and coverage •does not put New Zealanders who save for retirement in KiwiSaver at a disadvantage compared with other savers •lowers taxes on KiwiSaver funds over time to level the playing field so KiwiSavers are not at a tax disadvantage in saving for retirement www.fsc.org.nz PAGE 5 New Zealanders can achieve a comfortable retirement by contributing 7% of their income into KiwiSaver over 40 years Tax payer funded NZ Super Self-funded pension KiwiSaver 70000 60000 50000 40000 30000 20000 0 65 66 67 68 69 70 71 72 73 74 75 76 77 78 79 80 81 82 83 84 85 86 87 88 89 90 91 92 93 94 95 $pa 10000 Age Source: Infometrics 2013 Safe and Sound Political Decision •The FSC has developed options, supported by independent consumer research, expert analysis and financial modelling that show that the majority of people want to save but need and want help, so it is a safe issue for all political parties to bring in a new agreement on retirement income that updates the one last negotiated 20 years ago in 1993. •Our independent research (Horizon Research December 2012) shows that at least 60% of Kiwi adults are behind a universal (compulsory) KiwiSaver scheme for employees. •The way is clear for cross-party consensus for a new retirement income policy agreement with the people already signalling their openness for a universal employee KiwiSaver scheme and their willingness to save more for a comfortable retirement and quality of life. PAGE 6 How to Supersize Retirement Incomes f the en a fan o e b s y a lw “I’ve a s ch e m e ntributor y o c a f o n been notio Australia’s . d n la a e e.” in New Z , long tim g n lo a r uranga, doing it fo gallery, Ta e, er, art h, employ ids at hom Male, 60is ean, married, no k 0 er $5 k NZ Europ me of und o c in ld o h house www.fsc.org.nz PAGE 7 PAGE 8 How to Supersize Retirement Incomes The Financ ial Services Council w ishes to ac our sponso knowledg rs for thei e r generous contributio n: Future of Super Conferen ce Options for Consideration Monday 14 FSC’s options, presented at the Future ofDowSuper Conference on nload the conference app October 14 in Auckland, provide policymakers with researchGo to your supported scenarios on how to: app store an d •Keep NZ Super available on the current formula October, P ullman Auc kland search for “Future of Super Conf erence” OR go to ht tps://crowd .cc/s/1m1K OR scan th e QR code . Conference WiF i •Provide a new Year One KiwiSaver starting option of a 1% 1. Select the Pullman conference 2. When WiFi from contribution rate split between employeracand employee cessing th your device e intern Any issues, please see et, enter th e code “Sup er2013”. the registra tion desk. •Progressively increase year-by-year the contribution rate to 7% (3.5% from employer and 3.5% from employee). This will enable New Zealanders to use the power of compounding interest www.fsc.o rg.nz •For people already contributing to KiwiSaver at 6% this only requires a 1% increase in annual contributions split with your employer •Move default KiwiSaver assets from conservative to balanced or growth investment portfolios so they earn more •Provide an insurance-based capital guarantee to offset the increased risk and a tax payer funded top up for those who contribute for 30 years or more but don’t quite save enough in their KiwiSaver account to purchase a full second pension •Level the playing field for taxing KiwiSaver investments so they face the same effective tax rates as investments in other forms of retirement savings such as rental property •Pay for most of this by removing the incentives for participating in KiwiSaver •Look at possibly reducing investment management fees in the future. The Issue The shortfall in retirement income is an increasingly urgent issue for decision makers to get to grips with and every adult, even if you’re just starting your working life, needs to take charge and help yourself because the forecasts are for a long life and a long, long life in retirement. Do you fancy working into your dotage or having your well off Aussie cousins gloating about the lifestyle they enjoy? That’s cold comfort and not the future New Zealanders work for - nor what they deserve. There’s no political panacea in sight. The current retirement income policy is 20 years old. It’s done a good job on the whole, but our population of 65 pluses is growing faster than ever envisaged. It’s time to wake up and reach a new consensus on how we can make the KiwiSaver savings scheme fairer, harder working and more accessible to all, including women and the low paid, to provide a comfortable retirement for all employees. www.fsc.org.nz PAGE 9 PAGE 10 How to Supersize Retirement Incomes The Financial Services Council Ready with Possible Remedies The Financial Services Council (FSC) has 21 member companies from the financial and insurance sector and 18 associate members who are entrusted to manage more than $80 billion in savings from 2 million New Zealanders. The FSC uses independent research and a wide network of New Zealand and international experts and specialists to develop and promote evidence-based policies and practices to help Kiwis build and protect their net wealth and make KiwiSaver more affordable for everyone. The FSC wants to spark a national debate on retirement income policies and is putting up for consideration safe and sound options to enable a cross party policy consensus on retirement income, based on NZ Super and KiwiSaver. We’ve gone out to research middle New Zealand’s needs, wants and fears, and have done the financial analysis and modelling to provide people with choices about how they save for their retirement. The FSC options show that a stronger, deeper national savings base is achievable and the majority of people want it, so it is a safe issue for all political parties to bring in an agreement on retirement income that updates the one last negotiated in 1993. We’ve identified a number of routes that politicians can look at that would make KiwiSaver fairer, more affordable, accessible and harder working and provide ordinary Kiwis with a comfortable retirement with the ability to fund a second pension to give them a retirement income double their NZ Super - and more choice of when to retire. Getting the issue out in the open The FSC’s options (released at the Future of Super Conference on 14 October 2013 in Auckland) provide policymakers with research-supported scenarios on how to: 1.Leave NZ Super as is to provide stability and surety even if there is a gradual move to a higher age of eligibility 2. L ift KiwiSaver contributions and coverage progressively over a number of years so that most New Zealanders could fund a second pension for a comfortable retirement av e r ake KiwiS m ld u o w dI “I 3. Reduce the taxes on KiwiSaver retirement savings so people an ll a r fo y r ye r s compulso KiwiSavers are not disadvantaged compared to ake emplo m ly b a b o ut … it’s would pr other investment options as well. B it b le tt li ity not pay a sponsibil e r ’ s e e y yers.” 4.Move more KiwiSavers out of default conservative funds into the emplo the emplo il t-food reta balanced or growth funds to match their needs and life stage er in a fas y d lo ie p rr m a e m , , 8 otorua Female, 5 of ropean, R e u E (and the potential for reviewing fee structures as the savings m o Z c N , in s ld busines , househo k. s at home under $50 pool grows). and no kid www.fsc.org.nz PAGE 11 Join the Discussion •The conference, focused on The Future of Super, provided a platform to debate and discuss the viability of our current retirement income policy, based on NZ Super and some take up of KiwiSaver, and what we can do about it. •A cross section of international and local speakers were asked to present different perspectives on how to make our retirement income policy both fair and affordable, with keynote conference speakers including OECD Private Pensions Unit member, Stéphanie Payet, who works with public and private sectors from 37 countries on the operation and regulation of retirement income systems, and former NSW Liberal Leader and CEO of the Australian Financial Services Council, John Brogden, telling the story of how our neighbours have built a mighty cache of retirement savings. •The conference also featured discussions on how best to combine Pay as You Go (PAYGO ) schemes like NZ Super and Save as You Go (SAYGO) schemes like KiwiSaver. We also presented research findings on middle New Zealand’s hopes, fears, needs and being resigned to KiwiSaver becoming compulsory – and not a bad thing either. •Panel discussions looked at how to make KiwiSaver fairer and more accessible for those women who spend more time out of the workforce and also for employees, the low paid and employers. The day ended with expert presentations on developing a post retirement annuity pension or drawdown market, followed by a networking event. PAGE 12 How to Supersize Retirement Incomes at it ’s ju s t th to [s a v e ] e v lo rs a y ll ll re a tw o d o “ I w o u ld o re th a n m t e g e in ew I’ m a e v e ry ti m happens. g in th e m so d e s ti n e d to g e th e r th a t is n ’t p u ro g tg o in g o n o m ic much ou s o c io -e c e re ’s s o th e m e, s u a ec r own ho to s a v e b u y in g o u b e ’r e W e. o s t th in g a ll th e ti m a n d fo re m t rs fi e s th o t to g o a n d th a t’ ash has g c re a p s it ’s and any save but w it h u s , u ld lo v e to o w g.” I in t. n a e th app to wa rd s ju s t n o t h h children arried wit sehold m , n to il h, Ham t, hou Male, 50is f European descen 0k o r s t ov e r $ 3 e Z ju N e , incom at home A snapshot of our future – reality bites •The first person in New Zealand to live to 120 has already been born. •Our life expectancy after age 65 is increasing by more than two years each decade. •By 2055 New Zealand is forecast to have 1.7 million people aged 65 or older with an expected life span of 95 – that is one person over 65 for every two people of working age. •Something has to give if we are to avoid huge tax hikes and inadequate retirement incomes that in no way can match the living standards we had when we were employed. •Taxation funded NZ Super alone and our current rates of contributions for retirement under KiwiSaver will not cover the cost of this retirement boom. •And why is the effect of taxation on savings in KiwiSaver so much higher than on rental properties? New Zealand taxes retirement savings heavily unlike most countries and that means: –more than half of your KiwiSaver fund potential savings will go because of the impact of income tax –almost half of your bank term deposit potential earnings will go because of the impact of time and taxes –e ffective tax rates on savings are much higher than what a typical owner of a rental property pays if that’s their way of saving for retirement. www.fsc.org.nz PAGE 13 Retirement in the 20th Century Retirement in the 21st Century Funding retirement incomes in 1955 Funding retirement incomes in 2055 • Over 65 population less than 300,000 • Over 65 population reaches almost 1.7 million • Life expectancy at 65 - 12.8 years for males - 16.9 years for females • Life expectancy at 65 - 30.9 years for males - 30.7 years for females (Statistics NZ 2012 VLM Series) • Seven working age people support one pensioner • Two working age people support one pensioner • Age pensions cost 3% of GDP when the universal pension was available from 65 • Age pensions will cost around 8% of GDP if the age of eligibility for NZ Super stays at 65 • Currently age pensions cost around 4% of GDP • Later this century age pensions will cost around 10% of GDP Now KiwiSaver is six… •Six years on KiwiSaver has attracted more than 2 million members – just over half of them women. Looks good, but many people signed up are not currently contributing any savings, some are children or already retired. •Some are just putting in the minimum $1042 each year to receive the $1000 up front and then the annual $521 tax credit contribution from the Government. •Most KiwiSavers who are contributing to the scheme are doing so at the 6% level – that’s 3% from the employee and 3% from the employer - insufficient to fund a comfortable retirement even with NZ Super. •Under the current savings and tax policies, New Zealanders need to save 10% of their income each year over a 40-year working life to fund a comfortable income that is double NZ Super. Help wanted •Most New Zealanders are realists. Independent research by Horizon shows only 9% believe that the pension (currently $357 per week after tax for a person on their own or $512 for a couple) will provide an adequate income in retirement. The research shows that most Kiwi adults want to save, know they have to save, but can’t afford to save enough to have an adequate got retirement income and want help. I haven’t e s u a c e b ... yet, and “Ner vous ings plan v a s t n e ink •At least 60% of Kiwi adults are behind a universal (compulsory) a retirem d I don’t th n a , 0 5 g I’m pushin enough to live on.” KiwiSaver scheme for employees. The politicians are not yet is , n, Timaru NZ Super committed but see the benefits of having a healthy culture of savings Z Europea N , , h e is m 0 o 5 c old in Female, 0k househ children 4 $ r, e contributing to a more resilient economy with investments in New v a non-KiwiS ) and two teenage ve, and parated Zealand’s productive sector and a deeper pool of long term capital hard to sa g ry e sin le (se v s it s d Fin h she say at home. aver whic iS ” a iw e K available to allow infrastructure investment, job creation and keep t id a d goo is looking is a “jolly taxes down. PAGE 14 How to Supersize Retirement Incomes And then there’s Australia •Younger New Zealanders could double their retirement income by moving to Australia (This compares New Zealand Super to what someone in Australia would receive from their compulsory regime, the age pension plus the Super annuation guaranteed income for someone on the medium or average income in either country). 2055 NZ pension Australia Ratio (AU/NZ) pension median income Australia Ratio (AU/NZ) pension average income Retirement income Dollars $NZ 31000 $A 60800 2.31* $A 69000 2.67** % per capita GDP 34% 52% 1.5 59% 1.70 Contributions 2011 4.3% 7.2% 1.66 2055 7.4% 9.9% 1.34 Average 2011-2055 6.4% 9.2% 1.44 Source: Australian Treasury and Andrew Coleman Motu Research •Australia has a treasure chest of over A$1.6 trillion from their 20-year-old compulsory Superannuation Guarantee scheme – and it is growing. If we had the same contribution rates and coverage as Australia we would have more than $1000 billion dollars invested in KiwiSaver by 2066. New Zealand scrapped compulsory retirement savings in 1975 a move most New Zealanders now regret. OECD Retirement: Income Replacement Rates in 2008 for Someone on an Average Wage* 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 0% Australia new Zealand OECD average * Replacement rates are the proportion of a persons previous working income that their retirement income represents for someone on the average wage in that country Source: AMP While our NZ Super provides a better, base age pension than most countries provide for their poorest retirees, New Zealand lags well behind in terms of pensions for people on average incomes or better compared with other developed countries. www.fsc.org.nz PAGE 15 No Easy Country for Savers •Our grandparents could look forward to 10-15 years in retirement. Our children can expect 20-30 years living in retirement on average with the rise in the 65 plus population and increasing longevity after age 65. The cost to taxpayers of more people receiving NZ Super for longer will increase from 4% to nearly 10% of GDP later this century. (Statistics NZ VLM 2012 Projection.) I’ve got feel that “I like to s to own fund y m f o t n sufficie do come e when I m r e ft a k aving loo without h e r ti e r to uts from around ut hand-o o b a y r r o nment.” to w the gover employer uropean, E Z N , h about Male, 70is ckland business, u one. A t r except in a Wes KiwiSave n o void a ll a to , ings ten staff nty of sav le tion p a u s a n h n e ra upe Says h needing s •To contain that cost more New Zealanders would prefer the age of eligibility for NZ Super to move out rather than reduce the value of NZ Super. •A majority of New Zealanders consider they would be comfortable if their retirement income was about two times NZ Super. This requires savings of between $300,000 and $450,000 in your KiwiSaver account at retirement depending on how you invest after you retire. •We’ve estimated that you can achieve a comfortable retirement if you contribute 7% of your income each year to KiwiSaver over 40 years. That would be sufficient to buy a second pension, on top of NZ Super, and provide a combined income that is twice NZ Super. But, this is only achievable if KiwiSaver investments are taxed fairly to level the playing field with other investments and people move to balanced or higher growth funds. •If you don’t have 40 years before you retire then your contribution rate needs to be very much higher than 7% to fund a comfortable retirement. •At the other end of the income scale, many potential KiwiSavers cannot afford to go straight to contributing 3% of income (along with 3% from their employer). Currently there is no option to start at 1% and steadily move up contributions by say 1% each year. •Some potential contributors are concerned that with their money tied up till they are 65, for they may struggle to deal with a financial crisis following the death or ke, that’s li d I’ s a u ch e b o dy “Not as m sickness of a major bread winner in their household. oan, som m a S g in be y or gets sure... Me a birthda s a h r o s o it’s . either die months. S h I would e is e r w I th r y o r ey could arried eve guess h av e m o n m I I t .. a !. “I wish I ? th r e e r nsw king su that.” t for an a about ma tribute to e enough n k o a c m How’s tha to ’t n o o young I just d rt.” married, tw f $80k , s 0 of an effo 3 y rl , ea eo st), (inner we , Auckland t probably n ia d In , h Male, 40is give his income bu k or so 0 uldn’t t that around $7 single, wo e] it’s jus ve to [sav lo y ars ll a re n two doll “I would more tha t e g e ir w u e t req es every tim ppens tha a h g in th at isn’t some together ic group th m o n o c -e socio s o m u ch it. I’m in a e there’s s u a c e b wn to save ying our o destined . We’re bu e m g ti e th th all most in outgoing t and fore rs fi e th g s got to o d that’ cash has home, an re a p s y n nd a it’s just with us, a s av e b u t to e v lo ld ning.” at. I wou not happe towards th h children arried wit sehold m , n to il m h, Ha t, hou Male, 50is f European descen 0k o r s t ov e r $ 3 e Z ju N e , e m inco at hom PAGE 16 How to Supersize Retirement Incomes Male, Pas m ifika ehold inco kids, hous oI e scar y. S it u q ’s it est, ’s really To be hon out it... It b a t e g r nd tend to fo rement, a ti e r r fo e t to sav . But I importan nest egg.. a e v a h e I’d love to tant and th r o p im y r it’s ve lp us d o k n ow able to he e b ’t n o w on.” nt me goes g ov e r n m e ti s a t u o d, all tt, marrie u ropean, H g ish, NZ Eu 5 4 -o). Workin , -y le 5 a 1 m to Fe (8 u e o e ab t at hom hold incom $80k four kids e s u o h , e ll tim almost fu Hear the People Verbatims from Horizon-Tasman qualitative research July 2013 with 23 employees and 10 employers. They were from one on one interviews with: •Employees on below-average incomes, who found it hard to save, were not enrolled with KiwiSaver but weren’t strongly opposed to the idea of a compulsory savings scheme •Employers who said their business was finding it “tight” at the moment, and weren’t strongly opposed to the idea of a compulsory savings scheme •A smaller group of employees who were already in KiwiSaver to test for consistency in the results. “I haven’t ye a r s last 5 or 6 e th r e v O “ d off as droppe h d a lo k r st o u r wo we are ju d n a ly b oing considera actually g e ’r e W r. o, wate t as we g b e treading d in r e s. Deep ve to b a c k wa r d ing we ha th y r e v e r l.” y fo in genera fe just to pa li in r pay fo , builder, done any thing.” , l Auckland an, centra as done e p ro u E Z ,N dh Male, 40s e debt an , IT, in som ing for retirement le g in s , k $60 no plann t. of though ts lo it e iv ilty. I g bout it. “I feel gu attacks a ty ie x n a age I h av e the mortg w o n k I . ut then Worried.. rement, b ti e r y b id ke e p will be pa e n e ra l u p g e th s y a it does there’s alw ell. Yeah, w s a e s u ially of the ho lot. Espec l fu w a n a r own.” s c a re m e ’re on you u o y n e h w Zer of , single, N an Z Europe at Maori / N , h ied, kids is rr 5 a 4 M , . re o Male h S atly, but ’s North varies g re 100k Auckland e m o c in $ usehold $30k and home. Ho between certainly than ch better u m is e d do it lots “My attitu , I should in s A t. p n I do.” my attem more tha argill, ean, Inverc p ro u E , Z N 0ish, s at home Female, 5 o older kid income. tw h it w rking $40k single, wo s stchurch (low wage 0ish, Chri Female, 5 w income ’t lo n t, s n e e o c d s , e n d ducatio e l European o o h e c v s a r ime), high rt of KiwiS and part-t e at all and not pa s av “I mainly save for retireme should h nt. I ave retire d ye a r s a I suppose g o... it’s part o f the rea I ke e p w son orking... obligatio But I feel n to the s an taff to ke ep the Male, 70is place go h, NZ Euro ing.” pean, em ployer in a West Auckland business “Im It really possible. ible is imposs ” [to save]. n, builder, Z Europea kids at N / ri o a M h, ied, Male, 45is hore. Marr atly, but ’s North S d gre n s la e k ri c a u A ome v k and $100 sehold inc u k o 0 H 3 . $ e n m e e ho tw e b ly certain www.fsc.org.nz PAGE 17 Taxing Issues The current tax system strongly discourages longer term saving using the preferred vehicles of KiwiSaver and bank term deposits, which feature compounding returns, while strongly encouraging investment in rental property. Understanding Compound Returns and the Impact of Tax and Time: Applying the Rule of 72 - if you can do this you are smarter than most New Zealanders Have you ever wondered if there is an easy way to calculate how long it takes to double your savings? There is a way, just divide the number 72 by the interest or growth rate. Example: aland e Z w e N If the s by w o r g y m econo r 2% a yea 2 it takes 7 ÷2 us to r o f s r a e = 36 y omes. c n i r u o double e1 During th 990s was y m o n o c China’s e 10% a year by growing bling u o d e r e so they w mes ever y their inco 7.2 years. 72 ÷ 10 = The rule of 72 provides a very good estimate of how compound returns (interest on interest) works. It is less accurate once the interest or growth rate exceeds 20%, but if you are promised a 20% interest rate or growth rate it is probably a scam. A simple illustration of how tax and time can eat into your potential savings Suppose your Grandmother gives you a $1000 investment bond earning 6% a year tax free as a 17th birthday present for you to cash in when you are 65. How much will you have at 65 (using the rule of 72)? 72 ÷ 6% = 12 years PAGE 18 How to Supersize Retirement Incomes So your money doubles every 12 years at 6% interest tax free: $1000 $2000 $4000 $8000 becomes becomes becomes becomes $2000 in 12 years $4000 in 24 years $8000 in 36 years $16000 in 48 years After 48 years your $1000 would have grown to $16,000 by the time you get to 65, assuming you kept reinvesting all the interest each year and paid no tax on the interest earnings. So $1000 of savings has produced a $16,000 nest egg at retirement. Now…… Imagine instead of it being tax free you were taxed at 50 cents in the dollar on any interest you earned. That is a 50% tax rate. That means that rather than 6% interest each year you are earning just 3% interest after tax. 72 ÷ 3% = 24 years So your money only doubles every 24 years at 3% $1000 becomes $2000 in 24 years $2000 becomes $4000 in 48 years After 48 years your $1000 would have grown to only $4,000 when you get to 65 because of the impact of tax. Ouch.... You can see the impact of the 50% tax rate on that initial $1000 investment, but what you can’t see is that the effective tax rate is actually 75% over 48 years Rule of 72 provides a good estimate of returns over time No tax Tax at 50% (The nominal tax rate is 50%, but the effective tax rate is 75%) $20,000 $16,000 $16,000 6% $12,000 $8,000 $8,000 $4,000 $4,000 $1,000 $0 effective tax rate 75% $2,000 $2,000 $2,828 $1,414 age 17 age 29 age 41 age 53 $4,000 3% (6% net of 50% tax) age 65 Moving from 6% with no tax to 3% after tax does not halve your retirement nest egg it cuts it by three quarters. That’s the difference between the marginal tax rate and the effective tax rate, when you earn compound returns over time . www.fsc.org.nz PAGE 19 How do New Zealanders currently build their wealth? Step by Step STEP 5 STEP 4 STEP 3 STEP 2 Use your funds left over to invest in rental property, KiwiSaver, term deposits or shares to prepare for retirement Insure your assets, life and ability to earn Buy a house or flat with the aim to owning your accommodation without a mortgage by the time you retire. Homes are a very tax advantaged investment Get a good job and keep as many members of your family in employment as possible and save to invest STEP Get the best possible education and training to earn a good income. 1 At all levels education is strongly subsidised by the taxpayer 0 2 AGE 10 20 30 32 40 45 50 60 70 Most New Zealanders traditionally have started saving seriously for retirement only when they reach their late 40s or early 50s. High price for procrastination On our proposed policy settings people will need to save about 7% of their income every year over 40 years from age 25. If you wait another 10 years to start saving you’ll need to save about 10% of your income and on it goes, and if you wait till you are 55 then you’ll need to save 50% of your income! Growth Portfolio Balanced Portfolio Target account balance at 65 $450,000 $450,000 Starting age Required contribution rate (%) 25 5.2 6.0 35 8.8 9.8 45 18.6 20.0 55 57.3 59.1 y should idea. The t a e r g a go.” ’s in years a “I think it it t h g u o n. Not h av e b r an, Nelso NZ Europe ve at the arly 20s, hard to sa it Female, e s d n fi d moment iSaver an part of Kiw PAGE 20 How to Supersize Retirement Incomes Why saving a little for a long time in KiwiSaver does not work in New Zealand The effective tax rate impact increases the longer the term of saving Annual savings required After tax Before tax Impact of tax on cumulative returns 10 $37,481 $40,479 44.3% 20 $15,112 $17,918 47.7% 30 $8,,024 $10,529 51.2% 40 $4,730 $6,930 54.7% 50 $2,948 $4,845 58.2% Years of saving Assumptions: 4% real rate of return, 2% inflation, 28% PIR (Prescribed Investor Rate). Required annual savings shown is in 2013 dollars and is assumed to increase with inflation. (Source: EY estimates prepared for the FSC) The longer you save in KiwiSaver the greater the tax impact on the cumulative returns but if you try to save over a shorter period of time the contributions required each iSaver aking Kiw m is p te s year are not affordable for most New Zealanders. Over 10 years it would require utions “The first the contrib e.... g in s a re c employe ry, and in someone one the average wage to save almost all their income in KiwiSaver. compulso loyers and In most countries it is usually considered easier to save by putting a little away each week for a long time and earning compound returns (the interest on your interest) to help build up most of your retirement nest egg. Researchers estimate that for someone saving for retirement over 40 years only 10% of your final KiwiSaver balance would derive from your initial contributions and 90% from compounding returns. So how we tax those compounding returns is crucial. mp uld not for both e utions sho ib tr n o over time c e of th on them s that are The taxing e x ta e th ds to be t... to ibility nee be subjec g li e f o e g to look k the a k we need as it in now. I thin th I . e m , over ti tion again increased uperannua ll the parties s g n ti s e -t a at means ke to see y usly... I’d li ve some cross-part io v re p s a a w h d n rd a a rw .” er... ce going fo get togeth la p in g Z in someth ng firm, N ideas and r, accounti employe e $130k, Male, 44, hold incom home. e s u o h , in , Duned o kids at European married, tw We wanted to know why New Zealanders seem to prefer to invest in property rather than KiwiSaver and why saving for retirement tends to occur late in our working lives and tends to favour rental property over KiwiSaver. New Zealand’s tax system has a strong bias in favour of investment in rental property, the opposite of what happens in other similar countries. The greater the leverage (level of debt) in the rental property and the shorter the time it is held, the lower the effective tax rate Years before rental Leverage ratio (Proportion of the property value funded by debt) property is sold 0% 50% 80% 100% 10 years 22.68% 10.22% (4.55%)* (6.05%) 20 years 23.42% 12.83% 1.47% (2.83%) 30 years 24.13% 14.79% 5.20% (1.02%) 40 years 24.80% 16.37% 7.90% 0.37% 50 years 25.45% 17.71% 10.02% 1.55% *These examples are for an investor in the 33% tax bracket. The tax rates in (brackets) are negative. In effect, the tax system pays you (subsidises you) to receive this form of income. www.fsc.org.nz PAGE 21 What New Zealanders Think About Super Superannuation: agreement with statements Disagree Neutral Agree 80 60 40 20 0 20 40 60 80 The NZ Super pension is enough for me to retire on New Zealand should not have a compulsory super retirement savings scheme Source: Horizon Research 2012 PAGE 22 How to Supersize Retirement Incomes It was a mistake for New Zealand to abolish its compulsory Super scheme in 1975 New Zealand needs to catch up with other countries with a policy to keep NZ Super but also make a scheme like KiwiSaver compulsory for employees Do Something …. Our plan, based on independent expert analysis and researching the needs, wants and preferences of ordinary New Zealand, looks at answering the following key questions: •Can we get the KiwiSaver contribution rate to fund a comfortable retirement down below the 10% required on current policy settings to a more affordable level, say 7%? •Can we remove the tax bias so there is a level playing field between investing in KiwiSaver and other investment opportunities like rental property or by an offsetting reduction in KiwiSaver PIE tax rates. Would the removal of the KiwiSaver incentives pay for this? •What would be the benefit in lower contribution rates from moving default KiwiSaver investments into balanced or growth funds depending on their life stage rather than the current conservative assets? •What is the future potential for reducing fees as account balances and Funds Under Management (FUM) increase and greater competition occurs? Expert Modelling and Analysis We asked some experts to help us answer these questions and do the financial modelling and analysis to provide a package of options: Fair Taxation for Retirement Savings •Robin Oliver, Principal, Oliver Shaw, former IRD Deputy Secretary Policy •Paul Mersi, ex PWC and IRD, Member of Savings Working Group Effective Tax Rate and Tax Reform Analysis is based on modelling work done for FSC by EY with input from •Peter Goss, Director, Transaction Advisory Services, previously in Treasury tax policy •Aaron Quintal, Director, Tax, previously in Treasury tax policy •Blair Tomblin, Senior Consultant, Tax, formerly with IRD Policy Advice Division Retirement Income Policy Modelling •Adolf Stroombergen, Infometrics Peer Reviewers •Prof John Piggott, University of NSW, an expert on the taxation of superannuation and a member of the Henry Review •John Savage, former NZIER Researcher for the review of the financial and tax modelling Polling •Quantitative, Graeme Colman, Horizon Research •Qualitative, Andrew Stephenson, Tasman Research “I would look at th e Australi u p. A n d 2 an set3 [sic] ye ars after started th they eir comp ulsor y sy it’s totall stem ye think com mbedded. That’s w hy I pulsor y s uper at a level is th decent e right an swer... G ra d u a l Male, late introducti 5 0 on.” s, NZ Euro financia pea l advice b n, employ usiness, er with income o D u n edin, hou ver $150 sehold k, marrie d with tw o older kids at h ome www.fsc.org.nz PAGE 23 Pathways to retirement prosperity: Options to provide Kiwis comfort and security in retirement Universal KiwiSaver pathway (Compulsory for employees) Aim to achieve a comfortable retirement for employees at 2 x NZ Super Provide for the option to retire from age 65 even if the age of eligibility for NZ Super moves out o requirement for employees on low, benefit like incomes in that year to make contributions to KiwiSaver N (bottom income deciles 1 and 2) Move default investors from conservative funds to portfolios with more growth assets in them depending on their life stage Remove the tax bias against retirement savings to level the tax playing field with rental property investments by: - Lowering the PIE marginal tax rates to 4.3%, 8% and 15% from the current 10.5%, 17.5% and 28%. - Removing the annual $521 KiwiSaver tax credit to fund the change Add an option of starting KiwiSaver with a minimum contribution of 1% for Year One, split with the employer for those concerned about affordability Phase in an annual 1% increase as wages increase, split between employee and employer, to lift contributions to the target rate of about 7% needed to fund a comfortable retirement L ook at investment management fees reducing in the future as account balances, Funds Under Management (FUM) and competition all grow Require a proportion of your KiwiSaver balance at retirement to be used to buy a second pension to the value of NZ Super so you retire on 2 x NZ Super The balance of your KiwiSaver account not used to fund a second pension will be available as a lump sum Include insurance to top up KiwiSaver balances at retirement to ensure anyone can purchase a second pension, equivalent to NZ Super, even if you don’t quite get to the balance required after say 30 years of contributions L ook at the option of bundling a base level of life and income protection insurance into KiwiSaver to better meet hardship situations Allow the option of self-managed KiwiSaver but without the top up insurance dI tastic an n a f ’s it k d ally I thin re when I starte “Person e h t le n ad bee en peop wish it h up in a time wh n got seve rew work. I g out money... I’ve u f s ll nine o lk ab a a t d n ’t a n r id e . d t h money and a sis it s w r s e s h t le o br hope this bsolutely gs scheme like are all a it would d a savin ey into, If we ha n o m t u rfect.” had to p n just pe yer, e e b that we e v lo ha ori, emp ult ean/Ma Z Europ . Single, two ad N , 4 6 , le re as a o e m h z e S e F e ent squ d’s North Aucklan ees the retirem “frightening” home. S kids at PAGE 24 How to Supersize Retirement Incomes Voluntary KiwiSaver pathway Aim to assist those who want to achieve a comfortable retirement income at 2 x NZ Super Regular days of automatic enrolment, say every 3 years from 2015 Phase out tax bias against retirement savings as Governments achieve surpluses Possibly allow KiwiSaver balances to be used to fund a deposit on either a business or tertiary education or a home deposit as currently provided for To keep KiwiSaver incentives, make it a requirement to step up KiwiSaver contributions each year until they reach the level to fund a comfortable retirement. Currently you need to save 10% of your income over 40 years in the absence of tax reforms to level the playing field with rental property retirement investments Possibly allow KiwiSavers the option to insure for a capital guarantee on their KiwiSaver account balances priced on the type of fund chosen or defaulted into. (Estimated to cost less than 1% in additional contributions) Allow self-management of KiwiSaver investments This would only work if you chose not to take up the option of a capital guarantee “It’s actu ally a go od idea.. myself fo . I do kic r not star k ting whe n I starte in the co d mpany te n ye a r s a Male, 40is h, Indian go.” , Aucklan single, w d (inner w ouldn’t g est), ive his in employed c ome but with an in he’s surance company probably so around $ 70k or so www.fsc.org.nz PAGE 25 And here’s how it could work New Zealand stands out as the only country that combines: •Comprehensive accrual taxation of the returns from debt instruments (that includes much of your savings in term deposits and KiwiSaver) •No capital gains tax on rental property for most investors •Unconstrained deductibility of interest on debt used to purchase rental property. Levelling the tax playing field for savers New Zealand stands out as a country that taxes superannuation savings more than other investments 50 SUBSIDY (+) 40 30 20 TAX WEDGE +VE 10 0 TAX WEDGE +VE TAX (-) -10 -20 TAX WEDGE -VE -30 -40 -50 UK SUPER UK RENTAL PROPERTY Source: Mirrlees Report AUSTRALIAN SUPER Source: Henry Report Note: • For these examples it is assumed there is no debt (leverage) in the property investment and the duration of ownership is 25 years. • In New Zealand the leverage level is typically much greater than zero per cent which substantially reduces the effective tax rate, as does owning the rental property for a shorter period of time than 25 years. AUSTRALIAN RENTAL PROPERTY NZ KIWISAVER NZ RENTAL PROPERTY Source: EY prepared for FSC doesn’t tirement e r r fo g of Savin eing part b n a e m ] rily ave to [necessa . I could s e m e h c s es... a savings l properti ta n e r . .. perty look at buy a pro o re h ow I m ly b a a b ture, than that’s pro fu e th r fo nt cheme.” investme savings s st), r we land (inne dian, Auck come but he’s In , h is 0 4 Male, e his in pany so uldn’t giv single, wo h an insurance com or so it 0k w 7 d $ around employe probably PAGE 26 How to Supersize Retirement Incomes New Zealand effective tax rates on different types of investments* Tax rate 0% 10.5% 17.5% 28% 30% 33% Owner-occupied home, debt-free 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% General rental property (100% leverage) 0% (1.13%)** (1.75%) (2.52%) (2.65%) (2.83%) General rental property (80% leverage) 0% 0.38% 0.68% 1.20% 1.31% 1.47% General rental property (50% leverage) 0% 4.27% 7.01% 10.99% 11.73% 12.83% General rental property (no leverage) 0% 7.70% 12.70% 20.02% 21.38% 23.42% PIE / KiwiSaver with no subsidies*** 0% 14.27% 23.78% 38.05% 38.05% 38.05% Foreign shares 0% 13.13% 21.88% 35.00% 37.50% 41.25% Bank account term deposit 0% 15.60% 26.10% 41.70% 44.70% 49.20% * For rental property it is assumed that the property is sold after 20 years ** Numbers in (brackets) are tax subsidies the investor is being paid to hold their assets. *** The KiwiSaver government incentives encourage people to join the scheme but do not increase return at the margin and so do not change these results. We have the largest tax bias in favour of investing in rental property and against saving for retirement in financial assets, such as KiwiSaver or bank term deposits, of any comparable country we could find. In most countries the tax system is strongly biased in favour of retirement savings and against investment in rental property. •The current tax system both discourages savings and encourages investment in real estate over investments in debentures, bank term deposits and KiwiSaver. •Almost every possible direct change to the taxation system to remove the bias in favour of real estate investment and to not penalise other forms of saving lacks political support. •Replacing income tax with a much higher rate for GST has no political support. •The tax benefit of having the imputed income value of equity in owner occupied homes as tax free income is estimated to be worth $4 billion a year - about twice the level of Government assistance for state house rental subsidies and accommodation benefits. •No political party has ever proposed removing the tax concession for the imputed rental income benefit of owner occupied homes. •Similarly, no political party has proposed having a capital gains tax on owner occupied homes even on a realisation basis. •If owner occupied homes are sacrosanct with respect to taxation then some 60% of real estate by value is outside the potential housing tax base. •A land tax on the unimproved value of land has also been proposed from time to time but this has difficulties when land owners are asset rich but cash poor. Possible Way of Reducing the Relative Over-taxation of Accumulating Savings •Reduce tax rates on certain types of income •Reduce tax rates on certain entities, Portfolio Investment Entities (PIEs) •Reduce tax rates only for KiwiSaver funds and similar entities holding locked-in savings which is what we recommend. If we can’t fix the tax base by having an accruals capital gains tax on property and only allowing the deduction of real interest rate costs, we should fix the PIE tax rate on KiwiSaver funds to level the playing field for KiwiSavers. www.fsc.org.nz PAGE 27 Getting down to a 7% KiwiSaver rate contribution rate for 40 years The big goal is to make it possible for most New Zealand employees to contribute at least 7% of their annual income into KiwiSaver so they then can fund a second pension, or have a drawdown facility, to provide for a comfortable retirement. Kiwis tell us that “comfortable” means an annual retirement income that is double NZ Super. “I do like KiwiSave thinking r, I like th behind it e . I like th can’t tou at you ch it, exc ept for yo home... b ur first ut becau se you ca n’t touch it, it just Female, 5 s it s there.” 0ish, Mao married ri, Au ckla , ma household in income earner, nd/Gisborne, non-KiwiS income a bout $60 k, mortga aver, ge paid off but litt le other s avings FSC’s options to achieve this contribution rate are to: •Keep NZ Super available on the current formula (66% of the average wage after tax). If income or means testing tied to prices was introduced the KiwiSaver contributions required to fund a retirement income at two times NZ Super would have to increase. Any reduction in the level of NZ Super would also mean contributions would have to increase. •Depending on the investor’s life stage, move default KiwiSaver assets from conservative to balanced or growth investment portfolios so they earn more with insurance to offset the additional risk. •L evel the playing field for taxing KiwiSaver investments so they face the same effective tax rates as investments in rental property. •Pay for this by removing the incentives for participating in KiwiSaver. Government could eliminate either the $1000 up front incentive and the annual $521 tax credit, or just the tax credit. •Look at possibly reducing investment management fees in the future as account balances and Funds Under Management (FUM) and competition grows. And what about making KiwiSaver universal (compulsory)? We conducted an independent survey late last year of 2,107 respondents who are members of the Horizon Research Horizon Poll national panel and we’ve followed it up with more qualitative research to gain deeper insights into how retirement savings can work harder, and be fairer, more accessible and sustainable. The sample is weighted on age, ethnicity, personal income level, employment status, education level and party vote in the 2011 general election, and has a maximum margin of error at a 95% confidence level of ±2.2% overall. Respondents were told: “Some argue they cannot afford compulsory savings and it is up to individuals to provide for their own retirement incomes if they want more than the state NZ Super pension”. They were then asked whether they thought making savings into KiwiSaver compulsory for all employees would be good or bad for New Zealand’s future. Overall, 67% of respondents thought this would be good for New Zealand’s future, with only 9% saying it would be bad. KiwiSaver members were more likely than non-members to think it would be good. PAGE 28 How to Supersize Retirement Incomes Compulsory KiwiSaver – maybe not so bad after all Overall, do you think making savings into KiwiSaver compulsory for all employees would be good or bad for New Zealand’s future? ALL KiwiSaver member Non member In paid workforce Not in paid workforce Very good 24.8% 30.2% 18.5% 25.8% 23.3% Good 42.4% 42.3% 42.4% 42.5% 42.4% Neither good nor bad 16.2% 14.0% 19.1% 16.9% 15.2% Bad 5.6% 4.3% 7.3% 6.2% 4.6% Very bad 3.3% 3.2% 3.5% 3.5% 3.0% Not sure 7.6% 5.9% 9.1% 5.1% 11.6% Source: Horizon research Oppose KiwiSaver: overall support for approaches Neutral Support 100 Support 80 60 40 20 0 20 Oppose 40 The increase in the minimum contribution rate to KiwiSaver by both employers and employees from 2% to 3% on April 1 2013 A 1% increase in contributions to KiwiSaver, split between employer and employee, each year until contributions reach 10% and provide a comfortable level of retirement income Require all employees to belong to KiwiSaver Require all employees to belong to KiwiSaver with new members contributing 1%, increasing by 1% each year until a contribution of 10% of income per year is achieved Generally, an increase of 1% a year in contributions by KiwiSaver members until contributions reach 10% would be a good policy “For you ng people , I think it bloody g ’s a ood idea ... and it you the a gives bility to s ave, whe n you’re Female, 5 young.” 0ish, NZ single, Europ working with two ean, Inve rcargill, older kid s at hom e $40k inco , me www.fsc.org.nz PAGE 29 The Political Pendulum – time to move •Scrapping the compulsory retirement savings scheme in 1975 is now one of New Zealanders’ greatest regrets. •Hindsight is a wonderful thing and it is not too late for individuals and politicians to take action and help the vast majority of Kiwis who simply haven’t or can’t put enough away to fund their long life of retirement. •If we had the same contribution rates and coverage as Australia we would have more than $1000 billion dollars invested in KiwiSaver by 2066. •Think about what that would mean for our future. Think about what that would mean for our country and our wellbeing. If we expanded coverage and contributions into KiwiSaver we would have: - higher incomes in retirement - a lower dollar “ I h av e a - lower interest rates state-sec tor retire s a ving sche - more money to invest in New Zealand businesses and jobs ment me whic h into ever I p u t money y payday •While new employees are automatically being enrolled into the scheme, ... and ob my mortg v iously age, so th don’t rest easy. There’s no immediate fix from any quarter to get main thin ey’re the gs... The two be a diffe world’s g retirement income up to liveable levels and in line with what Australian oing to rent plac e in 20 y so I tr y n ears’ tim retirees can expect. ot to thin e, k that far There’s a a h e lo a d t •Politicians need to be shaken and stirred to do what’s right. The ... [of time] to go befo r e I problem of so many Kiwis facing a big shortfall in reaching a Male, 40is get there h , u rb .” an kids at h comfortable income in their retirement is not going to go away. It ome. NZe North Auckland, m r of Europ arried, ean desc is the elephant in the room. ent, $80k •There is an urgent need for a cross party policy framework agreement that makes it easy, fair and attractive for people to save sufficiently today so they can live a quality life in the future – starting with a fairer tax treatment for KiwiSaver savings. household income •We need a new cross party agreement on retirement income policy to update the one last negotiated back in 1993. PAGE 30 How to Supersize Retirement Incomes Tell them what you want We want a fair, accessible and affordable KiwiSaver for everyone so that all New Zealand employees can have a comfortable retirement with savings that enable them to buy a second pension to have an income double NZ Super. To get there our plan seeks to: •g radually increase the contribution rate by 1% a year, split with your employer each year, until you reach 7% so you can buy a second pension to provide a retirement income double NZ Super- that’s only 1% more if you are already putting aside 6% (3% from the employee and 3% from the employer) •keep NZ Super as is To get the required KiwiSaver contribution rate down to 7% four things need to happen: •move default KiwiSaver savings into higher earning funds depending on your life stage •offset the additional risk with insurance to guarantee a level of savings at retirement •level the tax playing field for KiwiSaver investments with other forms of retirement savings •re-target the money from the KiwiSaver incentives to fund the lower tax rates to make the new policy fiscally neutral And to get that to happen we need all the parties represented in Parliament to agree and commit to providing a retirement savings policy that: •continues to support KiwiSaver to help New Zealand employees save for a comfortable retirement over their working lives •progressively steps up KiwiSaver contributions and coverage •does not put New Zealanders who save for retirement in KiwiSaver at a tax disadvantage compared with other savers •lowers taxes on KiwiSaver funds over time to level the playing field so KiwiSavers are not at a tax disadvantage. Bring it on……. “It’s a gr e people ju at idea. Because st don’t s a lot of ave. Yes, difficult, it can be but it’s o bvio level of y our wage usly tied to the s... Proba difficult fo bly ver y r p e o incomes p ... People le earning lower really sh more tha ould h comforta n superannuation ave bly to hard to li in the future. It’s live ve on jus pretty t s u p e ra n now, let nuation alone in Female, 7 the futur 0ish, rura e.” l North A owns tw uc klan ob European usinesses and a fa d, married, descent, rm, NZer doesn’t s not part of KiwiSa of ave due to ve low incom r, e www.fsc.org.nz PAGE 31 Queries Susan Robinson-Derus Communications Manager DDI: 0-9 630 5406 M: 021 723 207 E: susan.robinson-derus@fsc.org.nz Website: www.fsc.org.nz Peter Neilson CEO, Financial Services Council (FSC) M: 021 395 891 E: peter.neilson@fsc.org.nz t to o g s ’ e r e Th o b e m o re t es, x a t n a h t life ent m e r i t e r long and death Financial Services Council of New Zealand Level 12, City Chambers Cnr. Johnston & Featherston Streets PO Box 1514, Wellington 6140 New Zealand Ph: +64 4 473 8730 Fax: +64 4 471 1881 Email: fsc@fsc.org.nz www.fsc.org.nz www.yourwealth.org.nz
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