Bladder Cancer Bladder Cancer Clinical Guideline Update Panel Members: M. Craig Hall, M.D., Chair Sam S. Chang, M.D., Vice-chair Guido Dalbagni, M.D. Raj Som Pruthi, M.D. Paul F. Schellhammer, M.D. John Derek Seigne, M.B. Eila Curlee Skinner, M.D. J. Stuart Wolf, Jr., M.D. Consultants: Hanan S. Bell, Ph.D. Patrick M. Florer Diann Glickman, Pharm.D. Suzanne Pope AUA Staff: Heddy Hubbard, Ph.D. Edith Budd Michael Folmer Katherine Moore Kadiatu Kebe Guideline for the Management of Nonmuscle Invasive Bladder Cancer: (Stages Ta,T1, and Tis): 2007 Update Chapter 1: The Management of Bladder Cancer: Diagnosis and Treatment Recommendations Table of Contents Introduction..................................................................................................................................... 3 Background ..................................................................................................................................... 4 Epidemiology.............................................................................................................................. 4 Etiology....................................................................................................................................... 4 Molecular Mechanisms of Urothelial Carcinogenesis................................................................ 5 Major Pathologic Subtypes......................................................................................................... 5 Presentation and Diagnosis ............................................................................................................. 6 Urine-based Markers................................................................................................................... 7 Fluorescence Cystoscopy............................................................................................................ 7 Diagnostic Transurethral Resection of Bladder Tumor .............................................................. 8 Tumor Characteristics..................................................................................................................... 8 Staging ........................................................................................................................................ 8 Grading ..................................................................................................................................... 10 Other Prognostic Indicators ...................................................................................................... 11 Risk Stratification ..................................................................................................................... 12 Treatment Alternatives.................................................................................................................. 12 Transurethral Resection of Bladder Tumor .............................................................................. 14 Intravesical Chemotherapy and Immunotherapy...................................................................... 14 Bacillus Calmette-Guérin ..................................................................................................... 15 Interferon .............................................................................................................................. 15 Thiotepa ................................................................................................................................ 15 Mitomycin C.......................................................................................................................... 16 Intercalating Agents (Doxorubicin, Epirubicin, and Valrubicin)......................................... 16 Other Therapies......................................................................................................................... 17 Photodynamic Therapy ......................................................................................................... 17 Laser Ablation Therapy ........................................................................................................ 18 Conservative Management.................................................................................................... 18 Follow-up.................................................................................................................................. 18 Copyright © 2007 American Urological Association Education and Research, Inc.® 1 Methodology ................................................................................................................................. 19 Literature Search and Data Extraction...................................................................................... 19 Evidence Combination.............................................................................................................. 19 Results of the Outcomes Analyses................................................................................................ 22 Treatment Guideline Statements................................................................................................... 23 For All Index Patients ............................................................................................................... 24 Future Research Needs ................................................................................................................. 30 Reporting of Bladder Cancer Data............................................................................................ 31 Acknowledgements and Disclaimers............................................................................................ 33 References………………………………………………………………………………………..35 Copyright © 2007 American Urological Association Education and Research, Inc.® 2 Introduction More than 60,000 new cases of bladder cancer are diagnosed each year in the United States accounting for approximately 13,000 deaths annually.1 In recent decades the overall incidence of bladder cancer has appeared to be rising2 and this may be due to the latent effects of tobacco abuse and industrial carcinogens, as well as the overall aging of our population. When initially diagnosed, most bladder cancers are nonmuscle invasive (also referred to as “superficial”) – i.e., either noninvasive and confined to the mucosa or invading the lamina propria but not yet invading the detrusor muscle. In 1999, the American Urological Association (AUA) published a report by Smith and associates on the Bladder Cancer Clinical Guidelines Panel Summary Report on the Management of Nonmuscle Invasive Bladder Cancer (Stages Ta, T1 and Tis) (AUA Guideline) produced by the AUA’s Bladder Cancer Clinical Guideline Panel (Appendix 1).3 That expert panel developed a practice guideline for three types of patients: (1) the patient who presents with an abnormal growth on the urothelium but not yet diagnosed with bladder cancer; (2) the patient with established bladder cancer of any grade, stage Ta or T1, with or without carcinoma in situ (Tis) who had not had prior intravesical therapies; and (3) the patient with Tis or high-grade T1 cancer who had at least one course of intravesical therapy. The report provided an evidence-based guideline for the patient with nonmuscle invasive bladder cancer and included management standards, guidelines, and options based on the strength of evidence and expected amount of variation in patient preferences. Since 1999 the field of nonmuscle invasive bladder cancer has changed substantially with regard to the understanding of the molecular biology and clinical behavior of this heterogeneous disease. In addition, the growing body and quality of clinical research methodologies have improved during this period. The more recent publication of randomized controlled trials, the gold standard of treatment evaluation, has allowed the evaluation and comparison of various treatment modalities. For these reasons, the AUA Practice Guidelines Committee has elected to update the initial report by appointing a panel (Appendix 2) to develop a new guideline for the management of nonmuscle invasive bladder cancer founded on evidence-based outcomes in the literature as well as expert opinion. Only topics having sufficient evidence on which to base conclusions were addressed in this guideline. Copyright © 2007 American Urological Association Education and Research, Inc.® 3 Background This section will provide a current overview of nonmuscle invasive urothelial carcinoma including a discussion of epidemiologic features and possible etiologic factors, and a review of the histology and tumor subtypes of this disease. Epidemiology In the United States in 2007 an estimated 67,160 new cases of bladder cancer are expected to be diagnosed (approximately 50,040 men and 17,120 women), with an overall-lifetime risk of developing bladder cancer of approximately 1 in 28.1,4 During the last three decades, i.e., since 1975, there has been a gradual rising trend in bladder cancer incidence by approximately 40% according to the National Cancer Institute’s Surveillance Epidemiology and End Results (SEER) Registry.2 There will be approximately 13,750 deaths from bladder cancer in the United States this year.1,4 Despite the increasing incidence of this disease, the death rate from bladder cancer has been gradually declining. Currently there are approximately 500,000 survivors of bladder cancer in the United States.5 Bladder cancer is three times more common in men than women and is the fourth most common cancer (and second most common urologic cancer) found in men in the United States. Caucasian Americans have approximately a two-fold increase in risk of developing bladder cancer compared with African Americans. Latin Americans have an even lower risk of bladder cancer development than African Americans.5 The underlying reasons for differences in gender and racial incidence are currently not well understood. Bladder cancer is a disease of older individuals with greater than 90% of diagnoses in patients more than 55 years of age; although uncommon, bladder cancer can occur in young adults and even in children.5 Etiology The etiology of bladder cancer appears to be multifactorial with exogenous environmental factors, as well as endogenous molecular factors, playing possible roles. First postulated by Rehn in 1895, the link between bladder cancer and environmental carcinogens has long been observed.6 A large body of epidemiologic evidence linking bladder cancer to certain chemical agents, occupations, and industries has been generated since that time. As the bladder functions as a reservoir of urine, it is therefore possible that it is susceptible to the effects of a variety of potential environmental carcinogens in the process of waste elimination. Rising rates of bladder Copyright © 2007 American Urological Association Education and Research, Inc.® 4 cancer in recent decades, the increased incidences observed in industrial countries, and the relatively long latency periods observed between exposure and cancer development suggest a potential cumulative effect of carcinogens on malignant transformation of the urothelial lining of the bladder. Molecular Mechanisms of Urothelial Carcinogenesis Abnormal metabolic pathways and molecular instabilities may likewise play a role in bladder cancer development and progression. These include: (1) altered metabolism/detoxification of carcinogens, and (2) inherent or acquired genetic abnormalities that may promote tumor development (oncogenes), inhibit tumor cell proliferation (tumor suppressor genes), or impair DNA repair (DNA repair enzymes). Pathways involved in altered chemical metabolism of exogenous carcinogens have included aberrant cytochrome P450 metabolism (associated genetic defects), glutathione-s-transferase abnormalities, and N-acetyltransferase genetic and metabolic derangements.7-10 In addition, DNA abnormalities may be inherent or acquired secondarily to carcinogenic exposure. Genetic instability may result in abnormal activity of oncogenes (e.g., ras and myc families) resulting in aberrant protein expression (e.g., GDP/GTP binding proteins), cellular proliferation, and resistance to apoptosis.10,11 Abnormalities in tumor suppressor genes associated with bladder cancer have also been well studied and include p53, p21, p16, and Rb (retinoblastoma) tumor suppressor genes that may be mutated or inactivated, and such defects may thereby predispose to cell cycle dysregulation and tumor cell development and progression.12-15 Alterations in DNA repair (e.g., ner genes, ber genes, and dsb repair genes) have likewise been associated with polymorphisms that may result in bladder urothelial carcinogenesis.10,16,17 Other potential inherent and acquired pathways have also been identified and may also be involved including telomere dysfunction, apoptosis, and cellular inflammation.18,19 Major Pathologic Subtypes Transitional cell carcinoma, the most common pathologic subtype of bladder cancer, is observed in over 90% of tumors.20 Less common subtypes include squamous cell carcinoma observed in approximately 5% of bladder cancers in the United States and adenocarcinomas observed in approximately 1% of bladder cancers.21,22 Not infrequently, bladder tumors that are predominantly transitional in histology may have areas of squamous and/or glandular Copyright © 2007 American Urological Association Education and Research, Inc.® 5 differentiation. Recently recognized variants of transitional cell carcinoma (nested and micropapillary) may have prognostic and therapeutic significance. Squamous cell carcinoma accounts for up to 75% of bladder cancers in certain regions of the world in which schistosomiasis (also known as Bilharziasis) infection is endemic.23,24 Other uncommon types of nonurothelial cancers of the bladder include small cell (neuroendocrine) carcinomas, mesenchymal tumors, lymphomas, lymphoepithelial variants, and secondary malignancies (either via direct extension or as a site of distant metastases). Presentation and Diagnosis Hematuria, occurring in the majority of patients with bladder cancer, is continuous or intermittent and either visible (gross) or microscopic. From microscopic hematuria screening studies, it has been estimated that approximately 1.3% of patients will have an underlying diagnosis of bladder cancer (range 0.4% to 6.5%), although this is more likely in patients with gross hematuria.25-27 As such, the 2001 AUA Best Practice Policy on Asymptomatic Microscopic Hematuria28 recommends that all patients with hematuria, particularly those without evidence of infections, stones, or other causative factors, should undergo cystoscopy and upper tract imaging.3 Irritative voiding symptoms including frequency, urgency, and dysuria are particularly associated with carcinoma in situ. Indeed, the diagnosis of bladder cancer is a consideration in patients with irritative voiding symptoms in the absence of infection. The physical exam of patients with bladder cancer is often unremarkable especially in the case of nonmuscle invasive disease. A bimanual exam at the time of transurethral resection of the bladder tumor (TURBT) may help with clinical staging, especially for patients with muscle invasive disease. Cytology, either voided or upon barbotage, is an important adjunct in the diagnosis and surveillance of patients with urothelial carcinoma. The urinary tract and its unique epithelium (urothelium) are particularly suitable for cytologic sampling. Urinary cytology can be used to screen and evaluate patients at high risk for urothelial tumors (e.g., those with hematuria or irritative voiding symptoms) and to monitor recurrence, progression, or response to treatment in patients with a known history of transitional cell carcinoma. Sensitivity and positive predictive value of urinary cytology are particularly high in high-grade urothelial tumors as well as in cases of carcinoma in situ in which sensitivities can exceed 90%. Cytology is less effective for lowgrade tumors and as a qualitative technique is subject to considerable variation in interpretation.29-33 Radiologic imaging is often performed in conjunction with cystoscopy and is Copyright © 2007 American Urological Association Education and Research, Inc.® 6 part of the hematuria evaluation in the patient undergoing assessment for urothelial cancer. In addition, in patients with a known history of bladder cancer, imaging can be useful in evaluating the presence of upper tract tumors that occur in less than 5% of patients with a known history of lower tract (i.e., bladder) cancer.31,34 Common imaging techniques include intravenous urogram, retrograde pyelography, computerized tomography, and magnetic resonance imaging. Urine-based Markers Whereas the diagnosis and surveillance of patients with nonmuscle invasive urothelial cancers rely on cystoscopy, cytology, and biopsy when necessary, in recent years there has been an intense search for noninvasive adjunctive urine-based markers that could improve or perhaps replace cytology and cystoscopy. These may aid both in the diagnosis and the surveillance of patients with nonmuscle invasive urothelial cancers. Currently available Food and Drug Administration (FDA)-approved tests include the bladder tumor antigen STAT test (Bard Diagnostics, Redmond, WA, USA), the BTA TRAK test (Poly Med Co, Cortlandt Manor, NY, USA), the nuclear matrix protein (NMP) 22, and NMP22 BladderChek assays (Matritech, Newton, MA, USA), ImmunoCyt test (Diagnocure Inc, Quebec City, Quebec, Canada), and fluorescence in situ hybridization (FISH) analysis (Urovysion Systems Vysis, Abbott Laboratories, Abbott Park, IL, USA). Other recently investigated tests and identified markers include Quanticyt (Gentian Scientific, Niawer, The Netherlands), BLCA-4, hyaluronic acid, telomerase, LewisX blood group antigens, microsatellite polymorphism analysis, cytokeratins, and survivin.32,35 Despite their present and future potential, the critical evaluation and comparison of urine-based markers is beyond the scope of the current guideline involving the management of nonmuscle invasive bladder cancer. Fluorescence Cystoscopy In recent years, fluorescence cystoscopy, in contrast to conventional white light cystoscopy, has been investigated as a tool to enhance detection of occult papillary lesions and carcinoma in situ. Recent fluorescence photo detection strategies have used 5-aminolevulinic acid (5-ALA) – a precursor of heme biosynthesis. Intravesical installation of 5-ALA results in selective enhancement of protoporphyrin IX visualization through uptake by neoplastic cells. Upon excitation with blue light, protoporphyrin IX becomes readily visible with an appropriate observation filter on the cystoscope.36 5-Aminolevulinic acid-enhanced cystoscopy does appear Copyright © 2007 American Urological Association Education and Research, Inc.® 7 to have improved sensitivities in detecting nonmuscle invasive bladder tumors such as carcinoma in situ.36,37 Improved detection may enhance tumor identification and facilitate eradication thereby lowering recurrence rates.38,39 Unfortunately, the specificity of fluorescence cystoscopy is limited; false-positive results may occur in patients with inflammatory lesions especially after use of intravesical therapies. Ongoing studies determining the effect of its use on disease free survival are accruing patients. Diagnostic Transurethral Resection of Bladder Tumor Ultimately, the diagnosis of urothelial carcinoma is made upon excision of the vesical lesion by TURBT.40 Transurethral resection of bladder tumor provides essential histopathologic information for bladder tumor diagnosis as well as staging and grading of the cancer. At the time of TURBT, it is essential not only to resect the tumor itself but to provide a deep enough resection and biopsy to adequately assess the depth of invasion (i.e., sampling of the muscularis propria) for adequate staging information.41 As outlined in subsequent text, repeat TURBT (restaging TURBT) provides additional diagnostic and potentially prognostic information for patients with high-grade T1 tumors as well as select patients with high-grade Ta tumors.42,43 Tumor Characteristics Staging The staging for bladder cancer is divided into clinical and pathological stages. Clinical stage reflects the histologic findings at TURBT, the clinician’s physical exam (including bimanual exam under anesthesia), and findings on radiologic imaging. Pathological staging (also known as surgical staging) is based on the extent of disease following surgical resection of the bladder (partial versus radical cystectomy) and of the adjacent pelvic lymph nodes. In the past, the Panel avoided using the term "superficial" in their report when categorizing the three nonmuscle invasive stages of bladder cancer, Ta, T1, and Tis. The Panel agrees with the International Society of Urological Pathology's recommendation that such use of the term should be discouraged44 as Ta, T1, and Tis tumors behave differently from one another particularly with regard to tumor recurrence and progression.44-46 Currently, the staging system of the American Joint Committee on Cancer, also known as the Tumor-Node-Metastases (TNM) classification, is the most commonly used and universally accepted staging system for bladder cancer.47 Under this system, nonmuscle invasive tumors Copyright © 2007 American Urological Association Education and Research, Inc.® 8 include: (1) papillary tumors confined to the epithelial mucosa (stage Ta), (2) tumors invading the subepithelial tissue (i.e., lamina propria; T1), and (3) Tis (Table 1). Table 1: Staging of primary tumors (T) in bladder cancer47 TX: Primary tumor cannot be assessed Ta: Noninvasive papillary carcinoma Tis: Carcinoma in situ T1: Tumor invades lamina propria T2: Tumor invades muscularis propria T2a: Invades superficial muscularis propria (inner half) T2b: Invades deep muscularis propria (outer half) T3: Tumor invades perivesical tissue/fat T3a: Invades perivesical tissue/fat microscopically T3b: Invades perivesical tissue fat macroscopically (extravesical mass) T4: Tumor invades prostate, uterus, vagina, pelvic wall, or abdominal wall T4a: Invades adjacent organs (uterus, ovaries, prostate stoma) T4b: Invades pelvic wall and/or abdominal wall Data gathered during the past few decades demonstrate that approximately 70% to 75% of bladder cancers present as nonmuscle invasive tumors.31,48 Of these tumors, the majority (70% to 75%) are confined to the bladder mucosa (stage Ta).20,31,48 Ta tumors are typically papillary in appearance and are often solitary lesions. The vast majority of lesions are categorized as low grade with only 2% to 4% categorized as high grade.20,49,50 Recent studies, however, have reported a greater prevalence of high-grade tumors.51 Ta tumors, like all bladder tumors, have a high rate of recurrence after TURBT but the risk of stage progression, particularly for low-grade papillary Ta tumors, remains low (less than 5%).31,50 Tumors that invade beyond the basement membrane into the subepithelial connective tissue (i.e., lamina propria) are stage T1 tumors and represent approximately 25% of all nonmuscle invasive tumors at initial presentation.20,31,50 T1 tumors can be papillary or nodular in appearance. T1 bladder cancers have a worse prognosis than Ta tumors with a greater risk of progression to muscle invasive disease.52-54 The lamina propria maintains abundant vascular and Copyright © 2007 American Urological Association Education and Research, Inc.® 9 lymphatic channels that may predispose to tumor dissemination, and contains a variable layer of smooth muscle fascicles termed the muscularis mucosa. Carcinoma in situ, a unique subtype of nonmuscle invasive transitional cell carcinoma, warrants its own unique stage and classification. Tis may appear as flat erythematous or “velvety” lesions of the mucosa or can be occult lesions not readily visualized on standard cystoscopy. Histologically, Tis are flat lesions in which surface epithelium-contained cells are cytologically malignant with severe cytological atypia and nuclear aplasia. The marked architectural and cytological abnormalities and disorderly appearance represent a process that is truly high grade. Tis is considered an ominous lesion due to its occult and multicentric nature that makes it difficult to readily identify and survey.55 Furthermore, its propensity for progression to invasion in up to 83% of untreated cases is indicative of a potentially aggressive tumor.56 The majority of Tis cases occur in association with high-grade nodular tumors; only 3% to 5% occur as isolated Tis disease.57 Grading Tumor grade has long been recognized as one of the most important prognostic indicators with regard to the potential for disease recurrence and progression.44,48,58 The most widely used classification for grading of nonmuscle invasive urothelial neoplasms has been the 1973 World Health Organization (WHO) classification. This system has designations for papilloma and Grades 1, 2, and 3 carcinomas. In 2004, members of the WHO and International Society of Urologic Pathologists published and recommended a revised consensus classification for papillary neoplasms (Table 2).59 A new category of papillary urothelial neoplasm of low malignant potential was created to describe lesions with an increased number of urothelial layers when compared with papilloma but without cytologic features of malignancy.59 The authors also categorized nonmuscle invasive papillary carcinomas as either low or high grade. This classification attempts to avoid the classification of intermediate grade (1973 WHO Grade 2), the grade that often represented the default grade diagnosis.59,60 Indeed some reports have shown that Grade 2 tumors represent up to 65% of urothelial carcinoma diagnosed.60,61 Under the new system, some Grade 2 lesions will be classified as low grade and others will now be categorized as high-grade tumors. This new system will potentially allow for enhanced prognostic significance but certainly will be greatly dependent on the pathologist for making these distinctions. Copyright © 2007 American Urological Association Education and Research, Inc.® 10 Table 2: 2004 World Health Organization/ International Society of Urologic Pathologists: Classification of Nonmuscle Invasive Urothelial Neoplasia59 Hyperplasia (flat and papillary) Reactive atypia Atypia of unknown significance Urothelial dysplasia Urothelial carcinoma in situ Urothelial papilloma Papillary urothelial neoplasm of low malignant potential Nonmuscle invasive low-grade papillary urothelial carcinoma Nonmuscle invasive high-grade papillary urothelial carcinoma Other Prognostic Indicators Although stage and grade represent perhaps the most important features of nonmuscle invasive urothelial neoplasm with regard to prognosis, other important clinical, histologic, and molecular features may also help predict prognosis and therapeutic response (Millan-Rodriquez European meta-analysis). Tumor multiplicity and tumor size represent two often used clinical features with prognostic significance in regard to disease recurrence.62-66 Some authors have evaluated the potential prognostic value of substaging T1 tumors histologically to portend disease recurrence, response to therapy, and ultimately progression.67-71 A variety of other molecular markers in bladder cancer have been studied with regard to their ability to predict disease recurrence, response to therapy, and progression. These include flow cytometry, blood group antigens (e.g., LewisX), tumor suppressor genes (e.g., p53 and Rb), proliferative indices (Ki-67), urinary growth factors (e.g., epidermal growth factor, basic fibroblast growth factor, and CD44), matrix metalloproteinses (e.g., MMP-9), and urinary plasminogen activator (uPA).35,72,73 In the future such indicators may prove to be valuable adjuncts to stage and grade in the management of nonmuscle invasive urothelial cancers. Copyright © 2007 American Urological Association Education and Research, Inc.® 11 Risk Stratification Nonmuscle invasive bladder cancer represents a wide range of tumor biology and behavior. It is this heterogeneity that complicates the ability to compare therapeutic efficacy of different treatment modalities and thereby establish a common treatment guideline. For example, patients with the micropapillary variant of bladder cancer uniformly do poorly with bladder conservation.74 This difficulty highlights the need to group or classify patients according to tumor behavior and prognosis. Such risk stratification could help classify patients with similar risk of stage progression and like prognoses. Index patients defined by the Panel below will assist in determining appropriate therapy for different risk categories. The European Association of Urology (EAU) has supported recent efforts in the development of risk stratification schemes and has included them in guidelines for nonmuscle invasive bladder cancer.75 Treatment Alternatives In most cases of nonmuscle invasive bladder cancer, tumors are treated initially with TURBT. A careful cystoscopic examination of the entire urethra and all bladder surfaces precedes resection.55 The position of tumors with reference to the bladder neck and ureteral orifices, the tumor configuration, whether tumors are papillary or sessile, and estimates of the number of tumors and their sizes should be noted to assist in future evaluation and follow-up. After resection of all visible tumors, adjuvant intravesical immunotherapy or chemotherapy can be used (Table 3).31 Photodynamic therapy and laser ablation have been evaluated as secondary treatments in specific settings. Copyright © 2007 American Urological Association Education and Research, Inc.® 12 Table 3. Current Treatment Alternatives Treatment Indication(s) Transurethral resection of • bladder tumor (TURBT) Intravesical chemotherapy and immunotherapy • • • Laser ablation therapy • • • Conservative management (office fulguration or cystoscopic surveillance) • • Any suspected urothelial carcinoma; can be the sole treatment but only in nonmuscle invasive urothelial carcinoma40 Perioperatively or postoperatively in an adjuvant fashion To prevent recurrence following TURBT 76-84 Adjunctive therapy in carcinoma in situ where diffuse tumor prevents complete resection 31,56,85 Treatment of select lower- and upper-tract cancer55,86 Treatment of low-grade papillary tumors Not appropriate for new lesions prior to tumor staging/grading Low risk and recurrent nonmuscle invasive papillary bladder tumors Well-documented history of low-grade Ta tumors87-89 Depending on patient and tumor characteristics, a number of patients may benefit from some form of intravesical therapy. The focus of this Panel’s analyses was largely on the most commonly employed agents in the United States, bacillus Calmette-Guérin (BCG) and mitomycin C; however, interferon and other chemotherapeutic agents have been used as well (Table 4). Copyright © 2007 American Urological Association Education and Research, Inc.® 13 Table 4. Intravesical Immunotherapy and Chemotherapy Agent Mechanism of Action Immunomodulatory Agents Bacillus Calmette-Guérin • (BCG) • Inflammatory host response; release of cytokines May be combined with interferons90-94 • • • Lymphocyte activation; cytokine release; phagocyte stimulation Antiproliferative actions Antiangiogenic31,90 Chemotherapeutic Agents Thiotepa • Alkylating agent; cross-links nucleic acids95 Mitomycin C • Antibiotic; inhibits DNA synthesis76-78 Doxorubicin, epirubicin, valrubicin Gemcitabine • Intercalating agents; inhibits DNA synthesis75,96-98 • Deoxycytidine analog; inhibits DNA synthesis99-103 Interferons Transurethral Resection of Bladder Tumor Transitional resection of bladder tumor provides histologic assessment as to tumor type, grade, and depth of invasion (stage). In addition to potentially improving staging accuracy, repeat TURBT may also improve local control of disease.42,43 Complete eradication of all visible tumors is accomplished by either resection or fulguration. Intravesical Chemotherapy and Immunotherapy Intravesical therapy can be administered in an adjuvant fashion, or as part of a maintenance regimen to prevent recurrence. Perioperative installation of chemotherapy immediately after TURBT has been advocated since the 1970s, and is becoming an increasingly common practice today.76-78 The rationale for perioperative instillation includes the destruction of residual microscopic tumor at the site of TURBT and of circulating cells, thereby preventing reimplantation at the time of TURBT. Intravesical therapy can also be employed in a maintenance fashion as opposed to an induction course alone to provide long-term immunostimulation or chemotoxicity and thereby prevent disease recurrence.79,80 Copyright © 2007 American Urological Association Education and Research, Inc.® 14 Bacillus Calmette-Guérin Bacillus Calmette-Guérin, a live attenuated strain of Mycobacterium bovis, first indicated as a tuberculosis vaccine, has had widespread use in intravesical immunotherapy since the 1970s.104 It has since become a first-line treatment for carcinoma in situ and has been shown to be effective as prophylaxis to prevent bladder cancer recurrences following TURBT.85,105-108 Several products containing different substrains of BCG are available; the viability of BCG organisms per milligram of vaccine may vary with different substrains and from lot to lot within the same substrain.31,109,110 Initiation of intravesical BCG therapy is usually delayed for two to three weeks following TURBT to allow for healing of the urothelium and thereby decrease the risk of systemic side effects. Most patients develop an inflammatory immunologic response to BCG during a typical induction course of six weekly instillations. Optimal dosing and instillation schedules have not yet been established but some recent trials have demonstrated that a reduced dosing regimen (one-third dose) may be as effective as standard dosing but with fewer side effects.111-113 Metaanalyses (including our own) suggest that maintenance BCG be administered,84,114 although the optimal schedule and duration of therapy is unknown. Interferon Recombinant interferon alpha-2b has been the most commonly utilized interferon to treat nonmuscle invasive urothelial carcinoma. Intravesical interferon alpha-2b has been shown to have activity in nonmuscle invasive urothelial carcinoma both as monotherapy and most recently in combination with low-dose BCG therapy.90-94 These phase II trials have suggested durable responses in both BCG-naïve and BCG-refractory patients but long-term randomized trials have yet to be conducted to validate these results. Thiotepa Introduced in 1961, thiotepa is the oldest and one of the least expensive of the intravesical drugs. Doses range from 30 mg in 30 mL of sterile water or saline to 60 mg in 60 mL of water or saline. The lower dose appeared to be as effective as the higher one in a comparative study when the concentrations were the same.95 The Medical Research Council Working Party on Urological Cancer Thiotepa, reported that the lower concentration of 30 mg in 50 mL was not effective.115 The usual regimen consists of six to eight weekly instillations followed by monthly instillations for one year. A low molecular weight of 189 kd allows partial absorption through the urothelium Copyright © 2007 American Urological Association Education and Research, Inc.® 15 with possible systemic toxicity. Myelosuppression is a risk, especially with the 60 mg dose. Leukocyte and platelet counts are obtained before each instillation and treatment is delayed if necessary. Mitomycin C Because of its moderately high molecular weight of 329 kd, there are few problems with transurothelial absorption, and myelosuppression is therefore rare with mitomycin C. Dosage varies from 20 to 60 mg per instillation; the most commonly used dose is 40 mg in 40 mL of saline or sterile water administered weekly for eight weeks followed by monthly instillations for one year. Although the optimal method of mitomycin C administration is uncertain, Au et al116 have demonstrated improved recurrence free survival and a prolonged median time to recurrence using methods to enhance the concentration and activity of mitomycin C in the urine. In this phase III trial, a six-week intravesical course of 20 mL of mitomycin C at a concentration of 20 mg/mL was found to be inferior to an “optimized” six-week course of mitomycin C which consisted of a period of dehydration (no fluids for eight hours prior to treatment), urinary alkalinization (1.3 g NaHC03 by mouth, the night prior, the morning of, and 30 minutes prior to the intravesical therapy), confirmed complete bladder drainage prior to intravesical instillation of mitomycin C (postvoid residual <10 mL by ultrasound bladder scanner) and a higher mitomycin C concentration (40 mg in 20 mL of sterile water).116 Recently, mitomycin C has been commonly used in a perioperative fashion delivered intravesically immediately after TURBT (or in some studies within 24 hours postoperatively). Optimal timing post-TURBT has not yet been determined. Several randomized trials and recent meta-analyses (including our own) have demonstrated a relative-risk reduction with a single perioperative dose of mitomycin C in patients with nonmuscle invasive urothelial carcinoma with both low- and high-risk features.76-78 Perioperative mitomycin C should not be administered to patients with a known or suspected bladder perforation following TURBT as a small number of serious complications related to mitomycin C extravasation have been reported.117-119 Intercalating Agents (Doxorubicin, Epirubicin, and Valrubicin) Because its molecular weight of 580 kd is high, absorption and systemic toxicity of the anthracycline derivative doxorubicin are extremely rare. Doses vary widely, from 10 mg to 100 mg, in instillation schedules that range from three times a week to once a month. At this time, epirubicin is not currently available in the United States for the treatment of bladder cancer. Copyright © 2007 American Urological Association Education and Research, Inc.® 16 Valrubicin, a semisynthetic analog of doxorubicin, was approved by the U. S. FDA in 1998 for the treatment of BCG refractory carcinoma in situ of the bladder in patients who are medically unfit or refuse a cystectomy, with modest efficacy observed in this setting.98 Although valrubicin has not been commercially available in the United States over the last few years, it is anticipated to again become an available chemotherapeutic agent for this disease. Gemcitabine Gemcitabine has a broad spectrum of antitumor activity and was first approved in the United States for the treatment of pancreatic cancer. In recent phase III trials of patients with metastatic bladder cancer, systemic gemcitabine in combination with cisplatin has been shown to result in similar survival rates compared to traditional systemic chemotherapeutic regimens, but with overall better patient tolerability and a better safety profile.99 Recently, intravesical gemcitabine has been shown to have activity in nonmuscle invasive bladder cancer in intermediate risk and high risk patients.100-103 Although early results are promising, the limited patient population evaluated supports the need for additional phase II and randomized phase III trials. Typical intravesical doses employed include 2 g in 50 to 100 mL of saline given weekly for six weeks with two-hour dwell times. Other Therapies Photodynamic Therapy Several investigators have evaluated the efficacy of photodynamic therapy in the management of nonmuscle invasive urothelial carcinoma. The antitumor effects of photodynamic therapy primarily are due to the creation of reactive oxygen species that result from activation of a photosensitizing agent within the tissue. The agent is activated by absorbance of wavelengths of light specific for the spectrum of the agent.120,121 The clinical trials of photodynamic therapy in the last 30 years have most commonly employed porfimer sodium as its sensitizing agent, but more recent studies have evaluated the therapeutic effects of 5-ALA. There are very few reports of the success of photodynamic therapy for bladder carcinoma with long-term follow-up.122,123 Enthusiasm for its use is tempered by its side effects including skin photosensitivity similar to that in patients with porphyria. In addition, local symptoms including irritating voiding symptoms, notable tissue sloughing, bladder contracture, and reflux have also been reported.124,125 Photodynamic therapy is not readily available in the United States. Copyright © 2007 American Urological Association Education and Research, Inc.® 17 Laser Ablation Therapy The neodymium-doped: yttrium aluminum garnet laser has so far proven to provide the most versatile wavelength for treating bladder cancer but other wavelengths also have been used.55,86 Lasers are not optimal for the treatment of new bladder lesions as tissue samples are requisite to determine depth of invasion (stage) and tumor grade. Appropriate patients for this therapy have papillary, low-grade tumors and a history of low-grade, low-stage tumors.55 Conservative Management Certain patients with low risk and recurrent nonmuscle invasive bladder tumors may be managed conservatively with office fulguration of the lesions or even cystoscopic surveillance.87-89 Only those patients with a well-documented history of low-grade Ta tumors have been considered for such an approach, in that the surgical and anesthetic risks of multiple repeated TURBTs in these patients may exceed the low risk of disease progression. Certainly, larger experiences and confirmatory trials are indicated to validate and support a conservative approach. Follow-up The high frequency of local recurrence and the potential for stage progression especially for high-risk disease highlights the importance of vigilant surveillance with cystoscopy for patients with nonmuscle invasive bladder cancer. Furthermore the potential for disease recurrence and progression even in the long term typically requires and necessitates lifelong follow-up.31,88,126,127 Although a variety of different follow-up strategies have been advocated, the most common approach has included patient assessment every three months in the first two years after initial diagnosis followed by every six months for the subsequent two to three years, and then annually thereafter.31,128 Clinical follow-up involves an appropriate patient history including voiding symptoms and hematuria, urinalysis, cystoscopy, and urine cytology. Some studies have suggested that three-month post-TURBT clinical response as determined by follow-up cystoscopy is an important predictor of recurrence and progression.64,129 At the present time, the use and utility of urine-based molecular markers in the follow-up of patients remains uncertain. Surveillance often includes periodic upper tract imaging, especially for high-risk patients.31,34 Copyright © 2007 American Urological Association Education and Research, Inc.® 18 Methodology The methodology of this guideline update was similar to that used in the previous guideline. The intention was to determine the impact of the various available treatments on the outcomes of importance to patients. The efficacy outcomes examined were recurrence of bladder tumors and progression in stage or to cystectomy. The Panel also attempted to estimate the occurrence of side effects and complications of treatments and focused on post-TURBT treatments. It was assumed that all patients had TURBT eradication of all visible tumors. The Panel examined the efficacy of alternative follow-up treatments including repeat TURBT, intravesical immuno- and chemotherapies and photodynamic therapy. The impact of tumor stage, grade, multiplicity, and recurrence status on outcomes was also considered. Excluded were treatments that were not generally available in the United States and were not expected to be approved for general use by the time the guideline was published. The Panel also decided not to update outcomes for thiotepa and doxorubicin, treatments included in the previous guideline but deemed less effective than other agents by the previous panel, and as a result were not included in their analysis. Literature Search and Data Extraction The review of the evidence began with a literature search and data extraction. Articles included were identified on four MEDLINE searches beginning in October 2004 and concluding in February 2006, and supplemented with existing meta-analyses. Articles published between January 1, 1998 and December 31, 2005 were included in the analysis. The searches were limited to human subjects, English language, publication date from 1998 (the cutoff from the previous guideline) and contained the MeSH heading “bladder neoplasms.” A total of 5,020 citations and abstracts were reviewed for relevance by the Panel chair and vice chair. In total, data from 322 articles were extracted by the Panel members. Inconsistencies in data recording were reconciled, extraction errors were corrected, and some articles were excluded by the Panel. A total of 158 articles were accepted for data analysis. Evidence Combination The analytic goals were expanded from the previous guideline. In addition to meta-analyzing the randomized controlled trials to determine if there were significant differences among the treatments, the Panel also decided to develop outcomes tables which actually provided estimates of outcomes for the different treatment modalities. For this guideline, the Panel elected to use the Copyright © 2007 American Urological Association Education and Research, Inc.® 19 confidence profile method,130,131 which provides methods for analyzing data from studies that are not randomized controlled trials. Three different meta-analyses of the efficacy data were performed. 1. Meta-analysis of the comparable randomized controlled trials to determine the differences between pairs of available treatments. This analysis provides estimates of the absolute differences. 2. Meta-analysis of the individual arms of the randomized controlled trials to combine all the data from such trials for each treatment. This “single-arm” analysis provides an estimate of the actual rate of occurrence of each outcome. 3. Meta-analysis of the individual arms from all studies regardless of study design. For complications and side effects, only this method was used. Hierarchical meta-analysis was used throughout due to the lack of homogeneity among the studies. The outcomes analyzed for efficacy included recurrence and progression. For recurrence, only probability of recurrence (percentage of patients with recurrence) provided sufficient data for analysis. Time between recurrences, frequency of recurrences, and number of individual tumor recurrences could not be meta-analyzed. Similarly, the Panel decided that only probability of overall progression could be analyzed. Overall progression included progression in stage or to cystectomy. Grade progression could not be analyzed. The way in which complications were grouped varied from study to study. Different names were also used for similar complications. The Panel attempted to group complications by including similar complications in a single group. Only studies that specifically reported data concerning occurrences of complications were included in the analysis. The Panel attempted to evaluate outcomes based on a variety of patient characteristics including stage, grade, tumor multiplicity, and recurrence. However, in most cases, the outcomes data were not fully or consistently stratified by these conditions. Ultimately, the Panel elected to include all studies and analyze the data based on high and low risk as well as an analysis including all studies. Low risk was defined as Grade 1 or low grade. High risk included groups that had no Grade 1 (low grade) patients or were entirely Tis and/or T1. Although the Panel originally considered a wide variety of treatments, limited data were available for many of those of interest. The Panel decided that it could not distinguish between Copyright © 2007 American Urological Association Education and Research, Inc.® 20 the different types of TURBT, including repeat TURBT, so all forms of TURBT were considered the same. The Panel also considered maintenance therapy versus induction only. A wide variety of induction and maintenance schedules have been used and reported in the literature. Because the issues concerning the comparison of BCG with mitomycin C and of maintenance with induction were so important, the Panel elected to incorporate all randomized controlled trials of these agents in the analyses including those from the original guideline. After the evidence was combined and outcome tables were produced, the Panel met to review the results and identify anomalies. From the evidence in the outcome tables and expert opinion, the Panel drafted the treatment guideline. As in the previous guideline, the guideline statements were graded with respect to the degree of flexibility in their application. Although the terminology has changed slightly, the current three levels are essentially the same as in the previous guideline. A "standard" has the least flexibility as a treatment policy; a "recommendation" has significantly more flexibility; and an "option" is even more flexible. These three levels of flexibility are defined as follows: 1. Standard: A guideline statement is a standard if: (1) the health outcomes of the alternative interventions are sufficiently well known to permit meaningful decisions and (2) there is virtual unanimity about which intervention is preferred. 2. Recommendation: A guideline statement is a recommendation if: (1) the health outcomes of the alternative intervention are sufficiently well known to permit meaningful decisions, and (2) an appreciable but not unanimous majority agrees on which intervention is preferred. 3. Option: A guideline statement is an option if: (1) the health outcomes of the interventions are not sufficiently well known to permit meaningful decisions, or (2) preferences are unknown or equivocal. Options can exist because of insufficient evidence or because patient preferences are divided and may/should influence choices made. The draft was sent to 88 peer reviewers; the Panel revised the document based on the comments received from 38. The guideline was submitted for approval to the Practice Guidelines Committee of the AUA and then to the Board of Directors for final approval. The guideline is published on the AUA website (http://www.auanet.org). A summary will be published in The Journal of Urology. Copyright © 2007 American Urological Association Education and Research, Inc.® 21 Results of the Outcomes Analyses Detailed findings of the efficacy and complications outcomes analyses are found in Chapter 3 of the guideline while a summary of the results of the complications analysis also is provided in this section. As mentioned previously, although the Panel considered a wide variety of treatments, data on the use of TURBT, BCG, and mitomycin C induction and maintenance regimens only were sufficient for analysis. The Panel reviewed and analyzed treatment complications from both randomized controlled and nonrandomized trials. However, a number of limitations precluded meaningful combination and comparison among treatments, such as various undefined descriptors used among studies for the same complication. The degree of overlap between different complications was also impossible to glean from many reports. For example, within the category of lower urinary tract symptoms (LUTS), if “frequency” was noted in 20% of patients and “urgency” in 18%, it is likely that a large number of patients had both symptoms, but the exact number is unknown. In addition, few studies listed the total number of patients who experienced complications or how many had more than one complication. Complications were combined into several large categories of bladder contracture, epididymitis/prostatitis/urethral infections, hematuria, LUTS, fever/chills/flu symptoms, and systemic infection (See Chapter 3). Lower urinary tract symptoms (including frequency, urgency, dysuria, etc.) were the most common side effects reported with all of the treatment options. Such symptoms were reported in 2% of patients treated with TURBT alone, or TURBT combined with single-dose post-TURBT mitomycin C. This is compared to a rate of 22% to 24% with multiple-dose mitomycin C with or without maintenance treatment, 38% with induction BCG, and 57% with induction plus maintenance BCG. Other local symptoms such as hematuria, bladder pain and prostatitis were also common, and were similar across all intravesical treatments. Bladder contracture is a rare event for all intravesical therapies, including both immunotherapy and chemotherapy. Systemic complications including immunologic reactions (arthralgia, skin rash, and fever/chills/flu symptoms) and other systemic side effects (malaise/fatigue, nausea/vomiting, altered liver function tests, neurologic symptoms, cardiovascular or pulmonary problems, and sepsis) were also reported, and were more common Copyright © 2007 American Urological Association Education and Research, Inc.® 22 with regimens containing BCG and/or interferon than those using intravesical chemotherapy or TURBT alone. Only a few studies identified the number of patients who were unable to complete the initial course of therapy due to the side effects, a phenomenon that appeared to be relatively uncommon.132 Additionally, no significant difference in complications has been reported between maintenance therapy versus an induction course. This contradicts the experience of the Panelists and other reports noting side effects do occur fairly frequently during maintenance regimens especially with immunotherapy regimens. In the Southwest Oncology Group (SWOG) trial, for example, only 17% of patients in the maintenance arm completed the treatment as planned largely because of side effects.80 In general, Panel members felt that in patients with tumors that carry considerable risk of progression and ultimate death from bladder cancer, the potential benefits of intravesical treatments such as BCG seem to outweigh the risk of serious complications. On the other hand, the risk of possible serious side effects from intravesical immunotherapy may outweigh the potential benefit of therapy for those with low-risk lesions. Consequently, intravesical chemotherapy, especially single-dose chemotherapy, is an important alternative for low-risk patients. Treatment Guideline Statements The Panel based the majority of the following guideline statements on a careful analysis of comparative outcomes from randomized controlled trials. Included were data published after the previous guideline was completed as well as results from previous studies involving TURBT and intravesical therapies. These statements apply to the treatment of patients with nonmuscle invasive transitional cell carcinoma of the bladder including Tis as well as stages Ta and T1 tumors. Inherent in these guideline statements is the importance of individualizing patient diagnostic evaluation and therapy. Some of the treatment paradigms addressed below were not based on data but on Panel experience alone. In an attempt to recognize commonly encountered clinical variations, the Panel has designated certain example settings as “index patients.” In establishing these index patients, the Panel closely examined pressing questions involving the use of intravesical chemotherapy versus immunotherapy and the role of maintenance therapy. Each guideline statement addresses a specific index patient. Copyright © 2007 American Urological Association Education and Research, Inc.® 23 For All Index Patients Standard: Physicians should discuss with the patient the treatment options and the benefits and harms, including side effects, of intravesical treatment. [Based on Panel consensus.] Although a variety of the adjuvant intravesical treatments studied decrease the probability of bladder cancer recurrence when compared with TURBT alone, published data do not support the conclusion that the rate of progression to muscle invasive disease is necessarily significantly altered, especially with low-risk tumors. Physicians should discuss these potential benefits as well as the possible complications with the patient. Currently, there is little evidence defining and/or verifying the optimal dose, number of doses, and timing of instillations for either induction or maintenance intravesical therapy. This lack of uniformity renders the establishment of a guideline statement regarding specific regimens impossible and increases the difficulty of comparing therapy types. For Index Patient No. 1: A patient who presents with an abnormal growth on the urothelium but who has not yet been diagnosed with bladder cancer. Standard: If the patient does not have an established histologic diagnosis, a biopsy should be obtained for pathologic analysis. [Based on Panel consensus.] Although laboratory diagnoses can indicate the likelihood of bladder cancer, the definitive diagnosis is established by pathologic examination of tissue removed by TURBT or biopsy. Transitional cell carcinoma of the bladder often has a characteristic appearance, but other conditions can mimic the gross appearance of bladder cancer. Standard: Under most circumstances, complete eradication of all visible tumors should be performed. [Based on Panel consensus.] When feasible, surgeons should attempt to resect all tumors. The size and/or multiplicity of tumors or obvious deep muscle invasion may prevent complete resection. Also, comorbid conditions must be considered and may occasionally influence a decision about whether or not to Copyright © 2007 American Urological Association Education and Research, Inc.® 24 attempt entire endoscopic removal of bladder tumors. Tumor resection can be accomplished with electrocautery resection, fulguration, or application of laser energy. Adequate tissue should be available for determination of clinical stage, but in some cases endoscopic ablative techniques may not permit submission of all material for histologic evaluation. Standard: If bladder cancer is confirmed, periodic surveillance cystoscopy should be performed. [Based on Panel consensus.] Neither the ideal interval nor the duration of follow-up cystoscopy has been defined. Given the variable risk of recurrence and progression, a risk-adapted approach should be considered. Patients with high-risk disease should undergo more intensive followup. Option: An initial single dose of intravesical chemotherapy may be administered immediately postoperatively. [Based on Panel consensus.] The immediate use of intravesical chemotherapy was considered an option and not a standard by the Panel because of potential cost issues, uncertainty of pathology, side effects, and patient preference. In addition, the use of immediate intravesical chemotherapy would not be beneficial for bladder tumors that are most likely muscle invasive. In cases where the tumor appears to be papillary (Ta) by visual inspection and there are no contraindications to therapy, such as bladder perforation, immediate intravesical chemotherapy should be considered. For Index Patient No. 2: A patient with small volume, low-grade Ta bladder cancer. Recommendation: An initial single dose of intravesical chemotherapy may be administered immediately postoperatively. [Based on review of the data.] Although outcomes data pertaining specifically to patients with low-grade, Ta bladder cancer are limited, the risk of recurrence and more importantly progression is relatively low. Metaanalyses including our own, do confirm, however, for nonmuscle invasive cancer, single Copyright © 2007 American Urological Association Education and Research, Inc.® 25 postoperative instillation does decrease recurrence. In our comparison, the combination of TURBT and single-dose mitomycin C resulted in 17% (95% confidence interval [CI]: 8, 28) fewer recurrences than TURBT alone when all patient risk groups were considered. There is no evidence that multiple adjuvant instillations of either BCG or chemotherapy have additional benefit in patients at initial diagnosis of Ta Grade 1 bladder cancer. For Index Patient No. 3: A patient with multifocal and/or large volume, histologically confirmed, low-grade Ta or a patient with recurrent low-grade Ta bladder cancer. Recommendation: An induction course of intravesical therapy with bacillus Calmette-Guérin or mitomycin C is recommended for the treatment of these patients with the goal of preventing or delaying recurrence. [Based on review of the data.] Adjuvant intravesical therapy is useful for nonmuscle invasive tumors. The Panel identified BCG and mitomycin C because they are the most widely available of the intravesical therapies and are used in the United States. The results of the analysis demonstrated a decreased probability of recurrence with either BCG or mitomycin C when compared to TURBT alone. In our meta-analysis of randomized controlled trials, regardless of patient risk, recurrences were reduced by 24% (95% CI: 3, 47) with the combination of TURBT and BGG induction only and by 3% (95% CI: -10, 16) with TURBT and mitomycin C induction only compared with TURBT alone. While it may appear from these data that BCG is superior to mitomycin C, the wide confidence intervals do not permit this conclusion. Option: Maintenance bacillus Calmette-Guérin or mitomycin C may be considered. [Based on review of the data.] Maintenance therapy with BCG or mitomycin C is more effective in decreasing recurrences, when compared to induction alone. However, when considering cost, possible side effects, lack of a uniform and accepted dosing schedule and, importantly, the low risk of progression in this index patient, the Panel believes that routine maintenance therapy is an option. The Panel’s metaanalysis of randomized controlled trials published between 1990 and 2006 demonstrated that Copyright © 2007 American Urological Association Education and Research, Inc.® 26 compared to TURBT alone, recurrences are decreased by 31% (95% CI: 18, 42) with TURBT and BGG maintenance and by 18% (95% CI: 6, 30) with TURBT and mitomycin C maintenance. It is unclear whether any intravesical therapy affects the ultimate rate of progression to muscle invasive disease in these low-risk patients. The progression rate estimate in all patient risk groups was 8% (95% CI: 0, 15) with TURBT and BCG maintenance and 4% (95% CI: -26, 32) with TURBT and mitomycin C maintenance. Although maintenance therapy reduces recurrence and may reduce progression, the side effects and discomfort of the treatment and possibly the costs of the treatment may outweigh the benefits for some patients. Thus, discussion of the tradeoffs and consideration of patient preferences are important before beginning or continuing maintenance therapy. The optimal maintenance schedule and duration has yet to be determined. However, the best available evidence supports the use of the SWOG regimen 80,133 a six-week induction course of BCG followed by a three-week maintenance course at 3, 6, 12, 18, 24, 30, and 36 months (if tolerated by the patient). This regimen was used in, by far, the largest trial that demonstrated the benefit of maintenance BCG therapy. For Index Patient No. 4: A patient with initial histologically confirmed high-grade Ta, T1, and/or carcinoma in situ bladder cancer. Standard: For patients with lamina propria invasion (T1) but without muscularis propria in the specimen, repeat resection should be performed prior to additional intravesical therapy. [Based on review of the data and Panel consensus.] Disease-appropriate therapy is predicated on accurate staging. Despite continued attempts to improve clinical staging, however, a significant percentage of patients are understaged. In the absence of muscularis propria in the specimen, data suggests that 20% to 40% of patients will have either residual tumor and/or unrecognized muscle invasive disease.134-136 With the lack of accurate noninvasive clinical staging modalities, efforts should be focused on acquiring a definitive tissue diagnosis. Repeat resection may also be appropriate for patients with high-grade Ta tumors as well as patients with T1 tumors and muscularis propria in the specimen to increase the accuracy of clinical staging. Copyright © 2007 American Urological Association Education and Research, Inc.® 27 Recommendation: An induction course of bacillus Calmette-Guérin followed by maintenance therapy is recommended for treatment of these patients. [Based on review of the data.] As with Index Patient No. 3, both BCG and mitomycin C are intravesical therapies that can favorably prolong recurrence-free rates. However, in this high-risk group, maintenance BCG is superior to mitomycin C with or without maintenance. In our single-arm meta-analysis of randomized controlled trials of high-risk patients, the estimated five-year recurrence rate was 34% in patients receiving TURBT and BCG maintenance and 62% with mitomycin C maintenance. The meta-analysis of all risk groups found that, compared with TURBT and mitomycin C maintenance, TURBT and BCG maintenance therapy reduced recurrence by 17% (95% CI: 7, 26). In addition, there are limited data suggesting a trend to preventing progression with maintenance BCG. The progression in one study of 380 patients was reduced by 5% (95% CI: -1, 11) with TURBT plus BCG maintenance when compared with TURBT plus mitomycin C maintenance.84 Although maintenance therapy reduces recurrence and may reduce progression, the side effects and discomfort of the treatment and possibly the costs of the treatment may outweigh the benefits for some patients. Thus, discussion of the tradeoffs and consideration of patient preferences is important before beginning or continuing maintenance therapy. Option: Cystectomy should be considered for initial therapy in select patients. [Based on review of the data and Panel consensus.] Because there is risk of initially understaged muscle invasive disease or progression to muscle invasive disease even after intravesical therapy, cystectomy may be considered as an initial treatment option in certain cases.137,138 It is not certain whether intravesical therapy alters this risk of progression. In addition, the high cure rate associated with patients undergoing cystectomy further justifies this decision choice.139-141 Among factors associated with increased risk of progression are large tumor size, high-grade, tumor location in a site poorly accessible to complete resection, diffuse disease, the presence of carcinoma in situ, infiltration of lymphatic or vascular spaces, and prostatic urethral involvement.64,66,129,142 Cystectomy, however, is not without its possible complications and morbidity. Physicians should present specific information about the risks of cystectomy and methods for urinary reconstruction to patients who are contemplating bladder removal. Copyright © 2007 American Urological Association Education and Research, Inc.® 28 For Index Patient No. 5: A patient with high- grade Ta, T1, and/or carcinoma in situ bladder cancer which has recurred after prior intravesical therapy. Standard: For patients with lamina propria invasion (T1) but without muscularis propria in the specimen, repeat resection should be performed prior to additional intravesical therapy. [Based on review of the data and Panel consensus.] This guideline statement is the same for Index Patient 4. In this setting, accurate clinical staging is crucial for appropriate therapy. Recommendation: Cystectomy should be considered as a therapeutic alternative for these patients. [Based on review of the data.] Even more so than patients who initially present with high-risk disease, those who fail initial intravesical therapy should be considered for cystectomy.137 There is a substantial risk of progression to muscle invasive cancer in these patients. The high likelihood of intravesical treatment failure and adverse consequences of delaying cystectomy make cystectomy the preferred treatment for these patients. Option: Further intravesical therapy may be considered for these patients. [Based on review of the data and Panel consensus.] There is some evidence that select patients will respond to second induction regimens, particularly with BCG.80,143,144 Repeat intravesical therapy may be appropriate in patients who develop a late recurrence after previous complete response to an intravesical agent. However, in patients at high risk for progression, further intravesical therapy puts the patient at risk for muscle invasion and/or metastasis.137 Data are insufficient, however, to support conclusions about the role of drug combination regimens or the beneficial effect of alternating therapies. . Copyright © 2007 American Urological Association Education and Research, Inc.® 29 Future Research Needs As illustrated in this evidence-based review, large, often multicenter, randomized, controlled trials have helped define the role of TURBT and the added benefits and risks of intravesical immunotherapy and chemotherapy for the treatment of bladder cancer. To date, most studies have focused primarily on the risk of recurrence and if recurrence can be decreased with intravesical therapy. However, progression is a more important outcome with lethal implications, and yet, the reduction of progression to muscle invasion remains definitively unproven and the endpoint of disease-specific survival is often unexamined. Although many published studies have tested a variety of drugs and delivery regimens, they have failed to separate outcomes based on initial patient tumor characteristics such as number, size, stage, and grade. This lack of uniformity makes it very difficult to compare results between different observational or randomized trials. Although meta-analyses have been performed, it is difficult not to include discordant groups and thus compare groups of patients with inherently different risks of recurrence and progression or who receive different treatments. Many newer treatments and combinations of treatments have not yet been tested in large phase III trials. The clinician who today is faced with a patient who presents with a specific clinical picture is still often uncertain as to which treatment to recommend. This guideline attempts to provide a rational approach to these complex patients. While tumor grade and the stage of nonmuscle invasive tumors can stratify risk for progression to muscle invasion, clinical understaging remains a difficult treatment situation and only contributes to the importance of better determining a patient’s real prognosis. Profiling of tissue and urine promise to provide better risk assignment and optimally to direct targeted treatment so as to increase efficacy and minimize toxicity. The risk and significance of urothelial carcinoma outside the bladder must be further determined. Especially in patients with carcinoma in situ, urothelial cancers within the ureter or intrarenal collecting system may also occur at a frequency far exceeding the 5% previously accepted incidence. Periodic monitoring of the upper urinary tract is of value, and studies are needed to better determine the efficacy of administration of chemotherapy or immunotherapy to the upper urinary tract. Prostatic urethral involvement may occur, especially in patients with carcinoma in situ, even in the absence of identifiable disease within the bladder. Copyright © 2007 American Urological Association Education and Research, Inc.® 30 Historically, cystoscopic bladder surveillance for patients with nonmuscle invasive bladder cancer has been performed every three months for at least a year and with a progressively declining frequency after that point. Advances in molecular biology hold the promise of some day accurately predicting in advance which therapy is most likely to succeed and which tumors will not respond to intravesical therapy. With that knowledge, cystectomy can be offered early to those most likely to benefit. Reporting of Bladder Cancer Data The discoveries that will improve diagnosis and predict the biologic activity of urothelial cancer and response to various therapies are forthcoming. One strategy that is immediately available to improve the database of information and therefore the validity of conclusions regarding diagnosis, therapy, and outcomes is the construction of and adherence to a uniform system of reporting. The extraordinary individual variability of both observational and randomized controlled trials makes it very difficult to consolidate data in a meaningful fashion to permit robust conclusions despite the large number of patients that might be involved in the trial. The Panel suggests that authors refer to the CONSORT guidelines145 and also proposes the following suggestions for authors to follow in their reporting of randomized controlled trials or observational cohort studies. This template does not in any way attempt to compromise or marginalize current data but provides an organization that will allow future guidelines to be more informative. To allow optimal comparison between treatment outcomes, the Panel proposes that future research in Ta and T1 bladder cancer include the following standard parameters for either observational studies or prospective clinical trials: 1. A table delineating outcomes stratified by stage (Ta, T1, Tis, or Ta, T1 with or without Tis) and grade, as the risk associated with these tumor categories is different. 2. A table delineating outcomes stratified by whether tumors are primary or recurrent and solitary or multiple. This would allow comparison of individual patient situations. 3. Reporting of endpoints, including recurrence and/or progression, using Kaplan-Meier methodology for graphic and tabular data at defined 12-month intervals and specifying the number of patients followed at each interval. 4. Separate reporting of grade or stage of progression with emphasis on progression from nonmuscle involvement to muscle invasion. Copyright © 2007 American Urological Association Education and Research, Inc.® 31 5. The specific total number of complications that occurred and the number of patients reporting each complication. Similarly, it has been almost impossible to compare complications associated with various treatments because of the tremendous variability in reporting methods. Ideally, we would develop a standardized system of reporting similar to that of the National Institutes of Health Common Toxicity Assessment system which would allow us to compare the type and severity of complications experienced by patients treated in different studies. However, until that is available and accepted, we would propose that the following minimum reporting information on complications be included with each study report: 1. The number of patients for whom complications either resulted in a delay in therapy or withdrawal from therapy. In addition, it is important to report when this occurred (i.e., at what point during therapy). 2. The total number of patients who experienced local or systemic side effects or both. 3. Combination of specific lower urinary tract symptoms (frequency, urgency, dysuria) into a “LUTS” category. 4. The number of patients who developed severe side effects such as debilitating bladder contracture or complications requiring surgery or hospitalization. If clinical studies of new treatments follow these reporting criteria, we will have powerful tools to compare treatment outcomes in the future. Copyright © 2007 American Urological Association Education and Research, Inc.® 32 Acknowledgements and Disclaimers AUA Guideline for the Management of Nonmuscle Invasive Bladder Cancer: (Stages Ta, T1, and Tis): 2007 Update The supporting systematic literature review and data analysis, and the drafting of this document were conducted by the Bladder Cancer Guideline Update Panel (the Panel) created in 2005 by the American Urological Association Education and Research, Inc. (AUA). The Practice Guidelines Committee (PGC) of the AUA selected the Panel chair and vice chair who in turn appointed the Panel members, urologists with specific expertise in this disease. The mission of the Panel was to develop either analysis- or consensus-based recommendations, depending on the type of evidence available and Panel processes to support optimal clinical practices in the management of nonmuscle invasive bladder cancer. This document was submitted to 88 urologists and other health care professionals for peer review. After revision of the document based upon the peer review comments, the guideline was submitted to and approved by the PGC and the Board of Directors of the AUA. Funding of the Panel and of the PGC was provided by the AUA, although Panel members received no remuneration for their work. Each member of the PGC and of the Panel furnished a current conflict of interest disclosure to the AUA. The final report is intended to provide medical practitioners with a current understanding of the principles and strategies for the management of nonmuscle invasive bladder cancer. The report is based on an extensive review of available professional literature, as well as clinical experience and expert opinion. Some of the medical therapies currently employed in the management of bladder cancer have not been approved by the U. S. Food and Drug Administration (FDA) for this specific indication. Thus, doses and dosing regimens may deviate from that employed for FDA-approved indications, and this difference should be considered in the risk-versus-benefit assessment. This document provides guidance only, and does not establish a fixed set of rules or define the legal standard of care. As medical knowledge expands and technology advances, the guideline will change. Today the guideline statements represent not absolute mandates but provisional proposals or recommendations for treatment under the specific conditions described. For all these reasons, the guideline does not preempt physician judgment in individual cases. Also, treating physicians must take into account variations in resources, and in patient tolerances, needs, and preferences. Conformance with the guideline reflected in this document cannot guarantee a successful outcome. Copyright © 2007 American Urological Association Education and Research, Inc.® 33 References 1. Cancer Facts and Figures 2007. 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Copyright © 2007 American Urological Association Education and Research, Inc.® 51 Chapter 2: Methodology Table of Contents Introduction..................................................................................................................................... 2 Problem Definition.......................................................................................................................... 2 Literature Search and Data Extraction............................................................................................ 2 Evidence Combination.................................................................................................................... 3 Efficacy Analysis........................................................................................................................ 5 Complications ............................................................................................................................. 6 Patient Groups................................................................................................................................. 7 Treatments....................................................................................................................................... 7 Guideline Generation and Approvals.............................................................................................. 8 Dissemination ................................................................................................................................. 8 References....................................................................................................................................... 9 Copyright © 2007 American Urological Association Education and Research, Inc.® 1 Introduction This guideline used an explicit approach to address the relevant factors for choosing among alternative interventions.1 These factors included outcomes of the interventions, patient preferences, and the relative priorities of interventions given limited health care resources. In developing the guideline, the Panel used scientific evidence to estimate outcomes of treatment modalities as accurately as possible. Panel members themselves served as proxies for patients in considering preferences with regard to health and economic outcomes. The steps taken to develop this guideline are summarized in Chapter 1 and described in detail in the present Chapter. Steps included problem definition, literature search, data extraction, systematic evidence combination, guideline generation, approval, and dissemination. Problem Definition This guideline update was based on the original American Urological Association (AUA) guideline, Report on The Management of Non-Muscle-Invasive Bladder Cancer (Stages Ta, T1 and Tis) published in 1999.2 The methodology was similar to that used in the previous guideline. The intention was to determine the impact of the various available treatments on outcomes of importance to patients. The efficacy outcomes examined were recurrence of bladder tumors and progression in stage or to cystectomy. The Panel also attempted to estimate the occurrence of side effects and complications of treatments. The Panel focused on treatments given to patients after transurethral resection of bladder tumor (TURBT). It was assumed that all patients had TURBT eradication of all visible tumors. The Panel examined the efficacy of alternative followon treatments including repeat TURBT, phototherapy, intravesical chemotherapy, and intravesical immunotherapy. The Panel also considered the impact of tumor stage, grade, multiplicity, and recurrence status on outcomes. Treatments that were not generally available in the United States and were not expected to be approved for general use by the time of the release of the guideline were excluded from the analysis. The Panel also decided not to update outcomes for treatments that were deemed less effective in the previous guideline, namely thiotepa and doxorubicin. Literature Search and Data Extraction The review of the evidence began with a literature search and data extraction. Articles were selected from a database, based on a series of four MEDLINE searches beginning in October Copyright © 2007 American Urological Association Education and Research, Inc.® 2 2004 and concluding in February 2006. Articles published between January 1, 1998 (the closing date of the search for the previous guideline) and December 31, 2005 were included in the analysis. The searches were limited to human subjects, English language, and contained the MeSH heading “bladder neoplasms.” Additional searches were conducted using various treatment options and the term “bladder cancer,” but no additional records were detected. Finally, a review of existing meta-analyses revealed two articles published during the time period captured in the previous guideline that had been missed and were thus included in the dataset for the update. A total of 5,020 citations and abstracts were reviewed for relevance (Appendix 3). The abstracts were reviewed by the Panel chair and vice chair, and an article was selected for data extraction if either chair felt it might have useful data. In total, 322 articles entered the extraction process. A data extraction form was developed, tested, and revised (see Appendix 4). The Panel was trained in data extraction. After double review and quality control of the initial extractions, single Panel members extracted data from the articles. The final versions of the extracted data were entered into a Microsoft Access® (Microsoft, Redmond, WA) database. The Panel met in person and via conference calls to review the extracted data. Inconsistencies in data recording were reconciled, extraction errors were corrected, and some articles were excluded. Reasons for excluding articles from further analysis were as follows: 1. The article was included in the previous guideline. 2. The article did not provide usable data on the outcomes of interest. 3. Results for patients with muscle invasive tumors could not be separated from those without muscle invasion. 4. Either the treatments used were not current or they were not the focus of this analysis. 5. The article was a review article or only provided data reported elsewhere. A total of 158 articles were accepted although some were later rejected for specific uses. A complete list of these citations ordered by primary author is provided in Appendix 5. Note that articles excluded from evidence combination remained candidates for discussion in the text of the guideline. Evidence Combination The analytic goals were expanded from the previous guideline. In addition to meta-analyzing the randomized controlled trials to determine if there were significant differences among the treatments, the Panel also decided to develop outcomes tables and to actually provide estimates Copyright © 2007 American Urological Association Education and Research, Inc.® 3 of outcomes for the different treatment modalities. To generate an outcome table, estimates of the probabilities and/or magnitudes of the outcomes are required for each intervention. Ideally, these come from a synthesis or combination of the evidence. Such a combination can be performed in a variety of ways depending on the nature and quality of the evidence. For example, if there is one good randomized controlled trial, the results of that trial alone may be used in the outcome table while findings of other studies of lesser quality are ignored. Alternatively, if there are no studies of satisfactory quality for certain outcome table cells or if available studies are not commensurable, expert opinion may be used to complete those cells. Finally, if a number of studies have some degree of relevance to a particular cell or cells, then meta-analytic mathematical methods may be used. A variety of specific meta-analytic methods are available, and selection of a particular method depends on the nature of the evidence. For this guideline, the Panel elected to use the confidence profile method,3,4 which provides methods for analyzing data from studies that are not randomized controlled trials. Three different meta-analyses of the efficacy data were performed: 1. Meta-analysis of the comparable randomized controlled trials to determine the differences between pairs of available treatments. This analysis provides estimates of the absolute differences. 2. Meta-analysis of the individual arms of the randomized controlled trials to combine all the data from such trials for each treatment. This “single-arm” analysis provides an estimate of the actual rate of occurrence of each outcome. 3. Meta-analysis of the individual arms from all studies regardless of study design. For complications and side effects, only this method was used. The Fast*Pro software was used to perform the meta-analyses.5 Many of the studies included in the meta-analysis had varying results. The variation in outcomes from study to study may have resulted from differences in patient populations, in how the intervention was performed, or in the skill of those performing the intervention. Given these differences, a random effects or hierarchical model was used to combine the studies. A random-effects model assumes that there is an underlying true rate for the outcome being assessed for each study. It further assumes that this underlying rate varies from site to site. This Copyright © 2007 American Urological Association Education and Research, Inc.® 4 site-to-site variation in the true rate is assumed to be normally distributed. The method of metaanalysis used in analyzing the data attempts to determine this underlying distribution. The results of the Confidence Profile Method are probability distributions that are described using the median of the distribution with a confidence interval.4 In this case, the 95% confidence interval indicates that the probability (Bayesian) of the true value being outside the interval is 5%. These Bayesian confidence intervals are sometimes called credible intervals. The Bayesian method of computation assumes a “prior” distribution that reflects knowledge about the probability of the outcome before the results of any experiments are known. The prior distributions selected for this analysis are among a class of “noninformative” prior distributions, which means that they correspond to little or no prior knowledge. The existence of such a prior distribution can cause small changes in results, particularly for small studies. The prior distribution for all probability parameters is Jefferey’s prior (beta distribution with both parameters set to 0.5). The prior for the variance for the underlying normal distribution is gamma distributed with both parameters set to 0.5. In addition to the outcomes tables, graphs (Appendices 6 to 8) were developed to visually show selected treatment differences. It is important to note that, for certain outcomes, more data were reported for one or another treatment modality. While resulting confidence intervals reflect available data, the probabilities for certain outcomes can vary widely from study to study within one treatment modality. In addition, the fact that data from only one randomized controlled trial were evaluable may have somewhat biased results. For example, differences in patient selection may have had more weight in analyses than differing treatment effects. Nevertheless, the results obtained reflect the best outcome estimates presently available. Efficacy Analysis The outcomes analyzed for efficacy included recurrence and progression. A variety of methods of measuring recurrence were extracted, including probability of recurrence (percentage of patients with recurrence), time to recurrence, and time between recurrences. However, only probability of recurrence provided sufficient data for analysis. Similar measures also existed for progression, including time to progression and probability of progression. Moreover, there were different types of progression recorded including stage, grade, metastasis, and cystectomy. Copyright © 2007 American Urological Association Education and Research, Inc.® 5 Ultimately, the Panel decided that only probability of progression could be analyzed. Progression was defined as progression in stage or to cystectomy. The meta-analyses were conducted in three ways: 1. Meta-analysis of comparable randomized controlled trials—this method used controlled trial data as reported to determine the difference between two treatments. The meta-analytic result gives an estimate of the absolute magnitude of the difference and whether it reaches statistical significance (p<0.05). 2. Meta-analysis of comparable arms of randomized controlled trials—this method combines the individual arms reflecting the same treatment from controlled trials. For example, if one randomized controlled trial compared TURBT alone to mitomycin C and another compared mitomycin C to bacillus Calmette-Guérin (BCG), the two mitomycin C arms would both be included in creating the mitomycin C estimate. 3. Meta-analysis of comparable arms from all studies—this method combines arms as in method two but includes data from clinical series as well as randomized controlled trials. Thus three outcomes tables exist for the efficacy data. The outcomes tables for methods two and three are formatted the same. Because the first method produces pair-wise results, the table is necessarily formatted differently. Data from randomized controlled trials dealing with mitomycin C and/or BCG from the data extracted for the previous guideline were included in all three analyses. Other data from the previous guideline were not included. One issue that is problematic when meta-analyzing data about time points is how to deal with losses to follow-up. Although most studies reported Kaplan-Meier data for recurrence (fewer for progression), not all studies provided the number of patients at risk. In order to avoid penalizing those studies which included numbers at risk, the initial study size was used as the denominator in all meta-analyses at all time points. Complications Different studies grouped complications into varying categories. They also used different terms for similar complications. The Panel grouped complications in an attempt to include all similar complications. Complications were variably reported. Only studies that specifically reported data concerning occurrences of complications were included in complication analyses. The Panel did Copyright © 2007 American Urological Association Education and Research, Inc.® 6 not assume that the lack of reporting implied the lack of occurrence of any specific complication. Also, some investigators may only have reported complications that had occurred and did not report that a complication did not occur. Combining complications into categories reduced the possibility of an overestimation of the complication rate. The probability that a patient would have a complication was still most likely slightly overstated because some patients experienced multiple complications. Thus, the result of the meta-analysis was best interpreted as the mean number of complications the patient may experience rather than as the probability of having a complication. There were insufficient data to permit meaningful meta-analyses of patient deaths. The estimates of death rates provided in the guideline result from the Panel's expert opinion and the limited available data. Patient Groups The Panel attempted to evaluate outcomes based on a variety of patient characteristics including stage, grade, tumor multiplicity, and recurrence. However, in most cases, the outcomes data were not fully or consistently stratified by these conditions. Ultimately, the Panel elected to analyze the combined data from all studies and also the individual data sets for high- and low- risk patients. Low risk was defined as Grade 1. High risk included groups that had no Grade 1 patients or were entirely carcinoma in situ and/or T1. Treatments The Panel considered a wide variety of treatments. However, limited data were available for many of the treatments of interest. Ultimately, the Panel decided that it could not distinguish between the different types of TURBT, including repeat TURBT. All forms of TURBT were considered the same. The Panel also considered maintenance therapy versus induction only. A wide variety of induction and maintenance schedules have been used and reported in the literature. The Panel ultimately decided that any treatment administered for a longer time period than an initial induction regimen would be considered as maintenance therapy. Finally, a single postoperative dose of mitomycin C was examined as a third alternative dosing regimen. Because the issues surrounding the comparison of BCG and mitomycin C maintenance therapy and induction alone were so important, the Panel elected to combine data from the randomized controlled trials included in the original guideline with the data from the current Copyright © 2007 American Urological Association Education and Research, Inc.® 7 analyses. Nonrandomized studies or studies of other regimens from the earlier guideline were not included. Guideline Generation and Approvals After the evidence was combined and outcome tables were produced, the Panel met to review the results and identify anomalies. Additional teleconferences were held to review updates to the outcomes tables based on the problems identified. From the evidence in the outcome tables and expert opinion, the Panel drafted the treatment guideline. The draft was sent to 88 peer reviewers of whom 38 provided comments; the Panel revised the document based on the comments received. The guideline was submitted for approval first to the Practice Guidelines Committee of the AUA. It was then forwarded to the Board of Directors for final approval. Dissemination The guideline is published on the AUA website http://www.auanet.org/. A summary will be published in The Journal of Urology. Copyright © 2007 American Urological Association Education and Research, Inc.® 8 References 1. Eddy DM: Manual for Assessing Health Practices & Designing Practice Policies: The Explicit Approach. Philadelphia: American College of Physicians – American Society of Guternal Medicine 1992; p 126. 2. Smith JA Jr, Labasky RF, Montie JE, Rowland RG, Cockett ATK and Fracchia JA: Report on the management of non-muscle-invasive bladder cancer (stages Ta, T1 and Tis). http://www.auanet.org/guidelines/. Accessed September 4, 2007. 3. Eddy DM: The confidence profile method: a Bayesian method for assessing health technologies. Oper Res 1989; 37: 210. 4. Eddy DM, Hasselblad V and Shachter R: A Bayesian method for synthesizing evidence: The Confidence Profile Method. Int J Technol Assess Health Care 1990; 6: 31. 5. Eddy DM and Hasselblad V: Fast*Pro. Software for Meta-analysis by the Confidence Profile Method. Boston: Academic Press 1992; p 196. Copyright © 2007 American Urological Association Education and Research, Inc.® 9 Chapter 3: Outcomes Analysis for the Treatment of Nonmuscle Invasive Bladder Cancer Table of Contents Introduction..................................................................................................................................... 2 Efficacy Outcomes: Recurrence and Progression........................................................................... 2 Types of Treatment Interventions................................................................................................... 3 Efficacy Outcomes - Results of the Analysis ................................................................................. 3 Primary Therapy ......................................................................................................................... 9 Maintenance Therapy ............................................................................................................... 13 Previously Published Meta-analyses............................................................................................. 19 Complications of Treatment ......................................................................................................... 22 References..................................................................................................................................... 32 Copyright © 2007 American Urological Association Education and Research, Inc.® 1 Introduction The patient with nonmuscle invasive bladder cancer is concerned with the prevention of tumor recurrence and progression in addition to the discomfort, inconvenience, cost, and side- effect profile of the available treatment alternatives. Since publication of the initial report of the American Urological Association (AUA) Bladder Cancer Guideline Panel in 1999,1 much has been learned about the efficacy of various intravesical agents and of other potential treatment strategies such as the efficacy of immediate postoperative intravesical chemotherapy and the use of intravesical maintenance therapy. However, considerable uncertainty still exists regarding the relative value of the different intravesical agents as well as the efficacy of the newer treatment strategies. The report reflects the current Panel’s careful meta-analysis of published studies and attempts to address the outcomes of importance to the patient and treating physician. Our meta-analysis combined with published data is the basis for the treatment guidelines presented in Chapter 1. Efficacy Outcomes: Recurrence and Progression The primary treatment for nonmuscle invasive transitional cell cancer is transurethral resection (TURBT). Although TURBT is an essential diagnostic tool and an effective therapy, 45% (confidence interval [CI]: 37 to 54) of patients will have tumor recurrence within 12 months of TURBT alone. Tumor recurrence is hypothesized to be due to a combination of missed tumors, an incomplete initial resection, implantation of tumor cells shed at the time of the resection, and/or a de novo tumor occurrence from “at-risk” urothelium. A second, less frequent, but more consequential outcome is the 3% to 15% risk of tumor progression to muscle invasive and/or metastatic bladder cancer. Progression can also include the chance of cancer-related death. In this analysis, we have examined both the early and late risk of recurrence as well as the risk of progression following intravesical chemo- or immunotherapy. Every attempt was made to report outcomes stratified by risk of recurrence based on known clinicopathological parameters (e.g., grade, stage, size of tumor, and multiplicity). Assessing the effect of intravesical therapy on overall and bladder cancer-specific survival was hindered and limited by the small number of events reported in the literature. Every attempt was made to distinguish outcomes between different types of nonmuscle invasive cancer (e.g., Ta versus T1, or versus carcinoma in situ). Despite these efforts, our ability to do so was limited because many of the studies analyzed did Copyright © 2007 American Urological Association Education and Research, Inc.® 2 not provide outcomes data stratified by various risk factors such as stage and grade. Furthermore, we were limited in assessing progression and survival because of a paucity of data for these endpoints, which was most likely a consequence of the comparatively short length of follow-up provided in most randomized controlled trials compared to the long, natural history of nonmuscle invasive bladder cancer. Types of Treatment Interventions The literature is replete with a variety of novel interventions to prevent recurrence and possibly progression of nonmuscle invasive bladder cancer. The breadth of the variety reflects the ingenuity of urologists and physicians worldwide, however, the consequence of testing many hypotheses in small, often inadequately powered trials is the paucity of useful data to generate guidelines that can be applied in general urological practice to patients with Ta, T1, and carcinoma in situ bladder cancer. To formulate a useful guideline, the Panel first excluded therapies that are not readily available in the United States. Second, for the purposes of the new meta-analysis, the Panel chose to focus on data and outcomes reported in randomized controlled trials. The use of less rigorous selection criteria makes comparisons of outcome data difficult because of the wide variations in both the nature of the disease and the types of treatments. The use of strict criteria provides the most direct and accurate information for the purpose of developing treatment guidelines. Finally, in an attempt to provide specified therapy based on clinical risk, the Panel did accumulate data on patients defined as low risk (Ta, low-grade tumors) versus those defined as high risk (T1, high grade, and/or carcinoma in situ tumors), however the number of studies reporting stratified data were few and stratification by stage and grade was rare. Efficacy Outcomes - Results of the Analysis For the purpose of the Guideline, the Panel chose to focus the analysis on a series of clinically relevant questions concerning specific primary therapies and maintenance therapies. Summary data relevant to these questions are presented in Tables 1 and 2a to 2c and are discussed in the text that follows. The full set of outcomes tables are presented in Appendix 6. As discussed in Chapter 2, the efficacy outcomes were analyzed in three ways: meta-analysis of comparable randomized controlled trials (Table 1 and Appendix 6), analysis of comparable arms Copyright © 2007 American Urological Association Education and Research, Inc.® 3 from randomized controlled trials (Table 2 and Appendix 7), and analysis of comparable arms from all studies (Appendix 8). The result of the meta-analysis of comparable studies is the central result (best estimate) of the absolute difference between the two treatments. This number is the median of the posterior distribution. Negative numbers indicate that the first treatment has fewer occurrences of the outcome compared to the second treatment in the comparison. For example, the first line of Table 1 shows that the absolute difference in the rate of recurrence with single-dose mitomycin C is 17% less than with TURBT alone. If the recurrence rate with TURBT alone were 50%, the rate with single-dose mitomycin C is expected to be 33%. The CI columns show the credible intervals (Bayesian CI) for that estimate. If the CI does not include 0 (zero), the estimate is statistically significantly different from zero at p<0.05 (two-tailed). Note that all presented numbers are rounded to the nearest whole percent. The number negative zero (-0) denotes a number less than zero that has been rounded up to zero. Similarly, zero usually denotes a positive number that has been rounded down to zero. These rounded numbers only become an issue when determining whether a CI with a zero boundary is statistically significant. The column labeled S/P shows the total number of studies included in the meta-analysis and the total number of patients in all study arms included in the analysis. From Table 1, it is clear that both mitomycin C and bacillus Calmette-Guérin (BCG) therapy in combination with TURBT reduce the probability of disease recurrence in the time frame of the studies. All the results are statistically significant except for the two studies examining an induction course of mitomycin C versus no mitomycin C. The results of this pair-wise metaanalysis are detailed in the discussions of specific therapeutic questions below. No treatment appears to reduce progression or mortality. Bacillus Calmette-Guérin with maintenance therapy combined with TURBT, however, just misses reaching a statistically significant improvement in overall progression in our meta-analysis. No studies comparing an induction series of mitomycin C with an induction series of BCG were found on review of the literature. Thus, the Panel attempted to estimate this difference by using studies that compared induction mitomcyin C with TURBT alone and studies comparing induction BCG with TURBT alone. Mathematical techniques were used to estimate the difference between mitomycin C and BCG by creating a distribution for the difference of the two previous results. This cross-comparison approach did not appear to add useful information. Copyright © 2007 American Urological Association Education and Research, Inc.® 4 Table 1. Pairwise Meta-analysis of all Randomized Controlled Trials Comparing Different Treatments - Recurrence, Progression, Disease-free Survival and Overall Survival in all Risk Levels* Recurrence Difference S/P Progression Difference Treatment 1 Treatment 2 TURBT + MMC Single Dose TURBT + MMC Induction TURBT + MMC + Maintenance TURBT Alone 2/427 -17 (-28, -8) TURBT Alone 2/321 -3 TURBT Alone 6/559 TURBT+ BCG Induction TURBT + BCG + Maintenance TURBT + BCG + Maintenance TURBT Alone TURBT + MMC + Maintenance TURBT + BCG + Maintenance CI Est Rate % (2.5, 97.5)% S/P Disease-Specific Survival Difference CI (2.5, 97.5)% 1/306 Est Rate % 3 (-16, 10) 1/43 8 (-12, 28) -18 (-30, -6) 2/126 4 (-26, 32) 1/47 -24 (-47, -3) TURBT Alone 5/629 -31 (-42, -18) 3/1,680 8 (0, 15) TURBT + BCG Induction 4/645 -14 (-26, -1) 2/510 -14 (-37, 10) TURBT + BCG Induction TURBT + MMC + Maintenance 3/1,066 -7 (-15, -0) 1/387 0 (-5, 5) 2/594 -17 (-26, -7) 1/380 -5 (-11, 1) S/P Est Rate % 1/126 -1 2/494 3 CI (2.5, 97.5)% Overall Survival Difference S/P Est Rate % CI (2.5, 97.5)% (-9, 6) 2/510 1 (-7, 8) (-3, 8) 1/244 -3 (-11, 7) (-4, 10) Cross study comparison analysis combined with randomized controlled trials Difference Treatment 1 Treatment 2 TURBT + BCG Induction TURBT + BCG + Maintenance TURBT + MMC Induction TURBT + MMC + Maintenance S/P CI (2.5, 97.5)% 3/368 Est Rate % -21 9/1,554 -4 (-31, 24) (-48, 9) *Shading indicates a statistically significant difference between treatments. Negative value indicates benefit favoring treatment in column 1 (treatment 1). Blank cells indicate absence of data. BCG, bacillus Calmette-Guérin; CI, confidence interval; Est Rate, estimated occurrence rate; MMC, mitomycin C; S/P, Number of studies/Number of patients; TURBT, transurethral resection of bladder tumor. Copyright © 2007 American Urological Association Education and Research, Inc.® 5 Table 2a. Recurrence by Treatment – Randomized Controlled Trials: All Risk Groups* Treatment TURBT alone TURBT + MMC Single dose TURBT + MMC Induction TURBT + MMC + Maintenance TURBT + BCG Induction TURBT + BCG + Maintenance 18/1,057 1 Year Est Rate % 45 CI (2.5, 97.5) % (37, 54) 2/206 13 3/310 21/802 2 Year Est Rate % 56 CI (2.5, 97.5)% (50, 63) (1, 40) 2/206 28 40 (30, 52) 3/310 8/890 32 (23, 41) 9/787 26 11/1,426 25 G/P 12/586 3 Year Est Rate % 56 CI (2.5, 97.5)% (47, 65) 4/299 (11, 50) 2/206 31 (14, 53) 2/206 53 (41, 63) 3/310 59 (47, 70) 8/890 42 (35, 51) 7/853 44 (33, 56) 6/728 43 (17, 36) 9/787 38 (30, 47) 6/627 37 (28, 46) 5/520 (17, 36) 11/1,426 33 (25, 41) 10/1,398 37 (30, 45) 7/694 G/P G/P G/P 4 Year Est Rate % 44 5 Year Est Rate % 41 CI (2.5, 97.5)% (30, 59) 5/413 (28, 54) 2/206 46 (37, 55) 3/310 66 (56, 74) (31, 56) 4/574 49 (39, 59) 39 (29, 51) 6/581 38 (27, 50) 39 (31, 47) 7/1,169 42 (33, 51) 40 G/P CI (2.5, 97.5)% (29, 55) Overall/Unspecified CI Est G/P (2.5, Rate 97.5)% % TURBT alone TURBT + MMC Single dose TURBT + MMC Induction TURBT + MMC + Maintenance TURBT + BCG Induction TURBT + BCG + Maintenance 19/1,019 55 (49, 61) 1/92 46 (36, 56) 11/1,086 32 (25, 39) 10/816 36 (27, 45) 19/1,427 29 (23, 36) * Please see text for data qualification. BCG, bacillus Calmette-Guérin; CI, confidence interval; Est Rate, estimated occurrence rate; G/P, Number of groups/Number of patients; MMC, mitomycin C; TURBT, transurethral resection of bladder tumor. Copyright © 2007 American Urological Association Education and Research, Inc.® 6 Table 2b. Recurrence by Treatment – Randomized Controlled Trials: High-Risk Groups* Treatment TURBT alone TURBT + MMC Induction TURBT + MMC + Maintenance TURBT + BCG induction TURBT + BCG + maintenance G/P 2/132 1 Year Est Rate % 60 CI (2.5, 97.5)% (50, 70) 2/132 G/P 2 Year Est Rate % 76 CI (2.5, 97.5)% (66, 84) 2/124 G/P 3 Year Est Rate % 77 CI (2.5, 97.5)% (56, 91) G/P 4 Year Est Rate % CI (2.5, 97.5)% G/P 5 Year Est Rate % CI (2.5, 97.5)% 2/79 26 (16, 39) 2/79 54 (29, 78) 2/79 64 (40, 83) 2/79 70 (50, 85) 1/16 62 (38, 83) 4/197 15 (8, 23) 4/197 25 (18, 34) 4/197 29 (21, 37) 3/136 33 (24, 43) 3/170 32 (21, 44) 4/322 16 (6, 32) 4/322 24 (15, 35) 3/294 28 (15, 43) 2/229 40 (29, 52) 3/294 34 (18, 54) Overall/Unspecified TURBT alone TURBT + MMC Induction TURBT + MMC + Maintenance TURBT + BCG Induction TURBT + BCG + Maintenance G/P Est Rate % CI (2.5, 97.5)% 11/441 60 (51, 68) 3/91 44 (32, 57) 4/186 34 (24, 45) 5/573 27 (16, 40) * High risk included groups that had no Grade 1 patients or were entirely carcinoma in situ and/or T1. Please see text for data qualification. BCG, bacillus Calmette-Guérin; CI, confidence interval; Est Rate, estimated occurrence rate; G/P, Number of groups/Number of patients; MMC, mitomycin C; TURBT, transurethral resection of bladder tumor. Copyright © 2007 American Urological Association Education and Research, Inc.® 7 Table 2c. Progression, Disease-Specific Survival, Overall Survival by Treatment: Randomized Controlled Trials* Treatment Progression Overall Progression High Risk† Disease-Specific Survival Overall Survival Overall/Unspecified Overall/Unspecified Overall/Unspecified Overall/Unspecified G/P Est Rate % CI (2.5, 97.5)% G/P CI Est Rate (2.5, 97.5)% % G/P Est Rate % CI (2.5, 97.5)% G/P CI Est Rat (2.5, 97.5)% e % TURBT alone 17/917 12 (9, 17) 2/48 17 (3, 46) 4/383 94 (89, 97) 5/505 84 (73, 92) TURBT + MMC Single dose TURBT + MMC Induction TURBT + MMC + Maintenance 1/57 3/343 9/928 2 6 11 (0, 8) (2, 12) (8, 16) 1/63 10 (4, 19) 1/92 7/740 91 93 (84, 96) (91, 95) 7/914 81 (71, 89) 8/546 17/1,701 10 9 (7, 13) (7, 12) 4/260 5/341 14 14 (9, 19) (8, 22) 3/325 10/1,442 89 95 (79, 96) (92, 97) 3/335 13/1,557 73 84 (56, 87) (78, 89) TURBT + BCG Induction TURBT + BCG + Maintenance * Please see text for data qualification. † A subgroup of the first column. High risk included groups that had no Grade 1 patients or were entirely carcinoma in situ and/or T1. BCG, bacillus Calmette-Guérin; CI, confidence interval; Est Rate, estimated occurrence rate; G/P, Number of groups/Number of patients; MMC, mitomycin C; TURBT, transurethral resection of bladder tumor. Copyright © 2007 American Urological Association Education and Research, Inc.® 8 In addition to the randomized controlled trial comparisons, the Panel developed tables presenting the actual probability of recurrence, progression, and survival for each of the treatments. The tables that include the results of the analysis of all randomized controlled trial arms are shown in Tables 2a to 2c. These tables present the central estimate or median from the posterior distribution resulting from the meta-analysis and the credible CI for that estimate. The number of patient groups and total number of patients included in each analysis is shown in the G/P column. Usually the number of groups is the same as the number of articles, but in a few cases it may be larger if the patient groups within an article were very different from each other. Keeping the data separate allows the hierarchical meta-analysis techniques to more accurately estimate the credible CI. Where possible, estimates were made by yearly time point. Some articles only reported overall data and did not provide Kaplan-Meier or other estimates of results by time. These articles are included in the “overall/unspecified” column. The studies providing these “overall/unspecified” results are usually different from the studies providing the yearly results. Thus the resulting estimates are not always consistent. Moreover, not all studies that offered yearly results reported them for all five years. Most commonly, both year four and/or year five data were not reported. For example, in Table 2a, for TURBT, the year four recurrence total is higher than that for year five. Four studies were used for the year four total while five were used for the year five totals. Only three studies reported data for both years and thus were used in both estimates. Since the estimates presented in Table 2 are based on a greater number of studies and a greater variety of studies than the estimates in Table 1, the results are not always consistent. The comparative results in Table 1 are probably the most meaningful when choosing between treatments. The results in Table 2 are most useful when direct comparative randomized controlled trials are not available, or to provide estimates by time point. The Panel examined certain key clinical questions to provide guidance for common clinical case scenarios. These questions and scenarios are presented herein. Primary Therapy Copyright © 2007 American Urological Association Education and Research, Inc.® 9 1. What is the effect on recurrence of TURBT combined with a single, postoperative intravesical instillation of mitomycin C versus TURBT alone? In the initial randomized studies of thiotepa as an adjuvant treatment, the greatest decrease in tumor recurrence was noted in the studies using a single, early postoperative instillation.2, 3 This finding suggested that a single, immediate postoperative treatment was a viable alternative to multiple instillations. Subsequently, several randomized studies comparing different chemotherapeutic agents with TURBT alone confirmed the efficacy of a single, prophylactic postoperative instillation.4-7 A European Organization for Research and Treatment of Cancer (EORTC) study comparing epirubicin to water immediately following TURBT demonstrated that patients with primary and solitary Ta tumors had a 50% decrease in recurrence with epirubicin.4 These favorable results were confirmed by a randomized controlled trial using mitomycin C for patients with a single, primary or recurrent, nonmuscle invasive tumor.6 The beneficial effects of a single instillation in the prevention of tumor cell implantation were mainly noted during the first 12 months.6 Two prospective, randomized studies demonstrated a positive effect with a single, postoperative dose of epirubicin among patients with multiple as well as solitary papillary tumors.6, 7 In a recent meta-analysis of seven randomized trials of 1,476 patients with 3.4 years median follow-up, Sylvester et al demonstrated a 39% reduction in the odds of recurrence (36.7% recurrence versus 48.4% recurrence) when a single dose of cytotoxic chemotherapy (epirubicin in three trials, mitomycin C in two trials, thiotepa in one trial and pirarubicin in one trial) was delivered postoperatively after TURBT.8 Patients with either single or multiple tumors benefited; however, 65% of patients with multiple tumors eventually had a recurrence compared to 36% with single tumors. This analysis was not designed to determine the superiority of one agent versus another. The Panel focused its analysis on a single postoperative instillation of mitomycin C as it is the most commonly used agent in the United States. Two trials were identified as suitable for meta-analysis 6, 9 and included a combined 427 patients. In the larger trial by Tolley et al,9 60% of the subjects treated with TURBT alone had recurrences at five years compared to 45% of those receiving a single, postoperative instillation of 40 mg of mitomycin in 40 mL of water. Solsona et al6 found a statistically significant decrease in early recurrence of up to two years in patients who received the single dose of mitomycin C. However, a significant difference in Copyright © 2007 American Urological Association Education and Research, Inc.® 10 recurrence was not maintained at the final follow-up of nearly eight years. When these trials were combined for meta-analysis by the Panel, a statistically significant 17% decrease (95% CI: -28%, -8%) in median recurrence rate was found. Neither of the trials of a single, postoperative dose of mitomycin C nor our meta-analysis demonstrated an effect on progression. This was primarily due to the inclusion of relatively low-risk subjects with a consequent small number of progression events. In summary, the literature and the current meta-analysis support the use of a single postoperative instillation of a chemotherapeutic agent (e.g., mitomycin C) in the immediate postoperative period to decrease the risk of recurrence in patients following an uncomplicated TURBT of a nonmuscle invasive bladder tumor. 2. What is the effect on recurrence and progression of combining TURBT with an induction course of intravesical chemotherapy versus TURBT combined with an induction course of intravesical BCG? Intravesical therapy of bladder cancer has evolved considerably over the last 30 years. Early trials demonstrated the effectiveness of intravesical instillation of thiotepa and doxorubicin to decrease the risk of recurrence of nonmuscle invasive bladder cancer. Follow-up randomized trials and a subsequent meta-analysis performed by the 1999 AUA Bladder Guideline Panel clearly demonstrated the superiority of BCG compared to thiotepa and doxorubicin for nonmuscle invasive cancer. Subsequently, BCG intravesical immunotherapy has been compared to several different chemotherapeutic agents in terms of recurrence efficacy. The results have been nonuniform. Possible reasons for the inconsistent findings include varied patient populations, differing treatment schedules, different types and intrinsic variability of tumors being treated, and/or actual efficacy differences between the treatments or individual institutions. Several studies have shown a greater efficacy of BCG, particularly with maintenance therapy in patients with Tis, while others could not demonstrate this difference.10 For example, in a threearm, prospective, randomized trial of 469 patients, the Dutch Southeast Cooperative Urological Group compared the efficacy of an induction course of mitomycin C chemotherapy combined with maintenance to an induction course of BCG-RIVM strain and BCG-Tice strain, in patients with stages Ta, T1, or carcinoma in situ bladder cancer.11 Mitomycin C was given in a 30-mg dose once a week for four weeks, followed by a monthly dose for a total of six months. Both Copyright © 2007 American Urological Association Education and Research, Inc.® 11 strains of BCG were given once a week for six consecutive weeks. Time to recurrence was the primary endpoint with a mean follow-up of 36 months (range, 2 to 81 months). For stages Ta and/or T1 without Tis, recurrence was observed in 58 of 136 (43%) evaluable patients treated with mitomycin C, 75 of 117 (64%) treated with BCG-Tice, and 62 of 134 (46%) treated with BCG-RIVM. Mitomycin C and BCG-RIVM were equally effective, while mitomycin C was more effective than BCG-Tice. For patients with Tis the complete response rate was 67% for mitomycin C, 74% for BCG-Tice, and 60% for BCG-RIVM. Progression in tumor stage was noted in eight (6%) of the mitomycin C group, seven (5%) of the BCG-Tice group, and eight (6%) of the BCG-RIVM group.11 Due to varying reported results from single trials, several groups have attempted to synthesize the data with the use of meta-analyses. Unfortunately, even the meta-analyses did not support a consensus result. In one meta-analysis, Huncharek and Kupelnick reported that BCG does not offer a recurrence advantage over intravesical chemotherapy.12 However, in a pooling of nine randomized trials comparing BCG (induction plus maintenance therapy in six trials and induction only in three trials) to either mitomycin C, epirubicin, doxorubicin or sequential mitomycin C, and doxorubicin (in an induction plus maintenance regimen in eight trials and induction only in one), Sylvester et al were able to demonstrate that the intravesical BCG induction plus maintenance regimen significantly reduced treatment failure in patients with Tis.13 The long-term benefit of BCG was smaller in comparison with mitomycin C and appeared superior to mitomycin C only in the trials where maintenance BCG was given.13 In our meta-analysis we are unable to answer the question: Which intravesical chemotherapy is the most effective to reduce recurrence and progression of bladder cancer? The meta-analysis performed by the 1999 AUA Bladder Guideline Panel clearly demonstrated the superiority of the immunotherapy (BCG) compared to thiotepa and doxorubicin. However, there are few randomized trials that directly compare different intravesical chemotherapies. Specifically, there are few trials that compare mitomycin C to other intravesical chemotherapy agents. Our current meta-analysis confirms that epirubicin, mitomcycin C, mitoxantrone, and interferon all have activity in preventing bladder cancer recurrence. We were unable to identify any trials that demonstrated that these agents were superior to BCG. In contrast, however, we identified three trials with a total of 1,066 patients (Table 1) which when combined for meta-analysis showed that mitomycin C with maintenance was superior to BCG induction without maintenance. Copyright © 2007 American Urological Association Education and Research, Inc.® 12 Therefore, by inference, it appears that mitomycin C may be the most active of currently available intravesical chemotherapies. However, this perceived superiority of mitomycin C remains to be proven by direct clinical trials. At this point, no single chemotherapy agent can be considered superior, nor can an induction course of BCG without maintenance be considered superior to an induction course of mitomycin C without maintenance. Similarly, the results are not definitive with regard to cancer progression. Sylvester et al could not demonstrate a statistically significant advantage for BCG versus mitomycin C for progression in Tis (overall 14% difference favoring BCG).13 Using a larger database including non-English studies, Böhle et al did find a statistically significant reduction in risk of progression in trials comparing BCG immunotherapy versus mitomycin C (odds ratio [OR]=0.66).14 However , two caveats that may have biased the results toward BCG need to be kept in mind. First, the analysis included studies involving BCG maintenance, not a single induction course.15 Second, the studies with mitomycin C did not routinely incorporate more recent modifications in mitomycin C administration that have been shown in a randomized trial to optimize efficacy.15 In summary, the literature and the current meta-analysis do not demonstrate clear superiority of an induction course of any particular intravesical chemotherapy or of BCG over other therapies. Based on multiple studies, an induction course of either intravesical chemotherapy or BCG should be administered for the treatment of nonmuscle invasive bladder cancers that have an increased risk of recurrence but a low risk of progression. Maintenance Therapy 1. What is the effect on recurrence and progression of TURBT combined with an induction course of intravesical mitomycin C versus TURBT combined with an induction course of mitomycin C and maintenance mitomycin C? We did not identify any trials that directly compared an initial induction course of mitomycin C to mitomycin C induction with maintenance therapy. Huncharek et al16 performed a metaanalysis examining only primary tumors without carcinoma in situ that were treated with a variety of agents including thiotepa, epirubicin, doxorubicin, mitomycin C, peplomycin, neocarzinost, and mitoxantrone.16 When the authors compared a short postoperative course (single dose or a less than two-month postoperative course) to either one or two years of maintenance therapy, they reported a significant reduction in recurrence rates in patients who received maintenance therapy. Combining studies that utilized short-term therapy yielded a total Copyright © 2007 American Urological Association Education and Research, Inc.® 13 of 1,258 subjects and a decrease in recurrence rate at two years of 32% compared to TURBT alone. Combining studies that used one year of maintenance therapy yielded a total of 1,721 subjects and a decrease in recurrence rate at two years of 31% compared to TURBT alone. Combining studies that used two years of maintenance therapy yielded a total of 575 subjects and a decrease in recurrence rate at two years of 73% compared to TURBT alone. Importantly, at least two years of maintenance therapy was necessary before a substantial difference in recurrence was noted. In a follow-up meta-analysis of patients with recurrent Ta and/or T1 bladder tumors, Huncharek et al demonstrated a similar result in favor of maintenance therapy.17 We identified six trials (Table 1) containing a total of 559 subjects that compared the recurrence rates following mitomycin C plus maintenance therapy with or without an induction course to that of TURBT alone. A variety of different treatment schedules (Table 3) were used and patients were followed for two through seven years.5,18-22 In our meta-analysis, mitomycin C with maintenance therapy significantly reduced the recurrence rate by 18% (95% CI: -30%, -6%) compared to TURBT alone. Although none of the trials reported a direct comparison between maintenance and a single postoperative intravesical instillation of mitomycin C, the decrease in recurrence rate was substantially greater in the subjects undergoing maintenance therapy than with the single postoperative instillation (18% versus 3%). When interpreting these results one should remember that these studies did not routinely incorporate more recent modifications in mitomycin C administration that have been shown in a randomized trial to optimize mitomycin C efficacy than with induction alone (18% versus 3%).15 Copyright © 2007 American Urological Association Education and Research, Inc.® 14 Table 3. Mitomycin C Maintenance Schedules Reference Concentration* Induction Tsushima et al18 30 mg in 100 mL Once a week x6 Maintenance Total Duration 2 Consecutive 2 Years days every 4 weeks for 2 years 20 mg in 40 mL Once a week Every other week 2 Years Hirao x2 for 14 weeks et al19 Every month for 8 months Every 3 months for 1 year Huland and 20 mg in 20 mL Every other week 2 Years Otto20 for 12 months Every 4 weeks for 1 year Tolley et 40 mg in 40 mL Single dose Every 3 months 1 Year al5 after TURBT for 1 year Akaza et 40 mg in 20 mL Once a week Every other week 2 Years al21 x2 for 14 week Every month for 8 months Every 3 months for 1 year 40 mg in 50 mL Every other week 2 Years Krege et for 12 months al22 Every 4 weeks for 1 year * All mitomycin C was diluted in normal saline except in Tolley’s study where the diluent was water. TURBT, transurethral resection of bladder tumors. We were unable to identify published studies suitable for meta-analysis that examined the effect of mitomycin C induction with maintenance therapy on the risk of progression of bladder cancer. Thus, the impact on progression is still unclear. In summary, although the Panel did not identify any randomized trials that directly compared an induction course of mitomycin C to an induction course of mitomycin C plus maintenance therapy, the literature and the current meta-analysis suggest that maintenance therapy enhances the effectiveness of mitomycin C induction in preventing tumor recurrence. Copyright © 2007 American Urological Association Education and Research, Inc.® 15 For the practicing physician, however, a critical problem exists in that the optimal maintenance dose, schedule, and duration have yet to be determined. 2. What is the effect on recurrence and progression of TURBT combined with an induction course of intravesical BCG versus TURBT combined with an induction course of intravesical BCG and maintenance BCG therapy? Using strict criteria, the Panel identified only four trials comparing the recurrence rates following an induction course of intravesical BCG to BCG combined with maintenance therapy that were suitable for meta-analysis.10,23-25 These trials contained a total of 645 subjects. A variety of different treatment schedules were used as outlined in Table 4 and duration of patient follow-up ranged from 16 and 90 months. In our meta-analysis, BCG induction with maintenance BCG therapy significantly reduced the recurrence rate by 14% (95% CI: -26%, -1%) when compared to a single induction course of BCG. Han and Pan performed a similar meta-analysis evaluating the efficacy of BCG in reducing recurrence rates in patients with Ta, T1, and/or Tis bladder cancer.26 Separate analyses examined the effects of maintenance therapy administered by a variety of different protocols. Induction BCG administered to 2,072 patients in 10 separate studies was compared to some form of maintenance therapy administered for at least 1 year in 1,070 patients in eight separate studies. Maintenance BCG significantly decreased the risk of recurrence with a combined random effect OR of 0.47 (95% CI: 0.28, 0.78; p=0.004). The effect of BCG maintenance on progression was not examined in this study.26 Table 4. Bacillus Calmette-Guérin (BCG) Maintenance Schedules Reference Strain/Concentration* Induction Maintenance Total Duration Badalament et al23 Hudson et al24 Palou et al25 Lamm et al10 Pasteur 120 mg in 50 mL Pasteur 120 mg in 50 mL Connaught 81 mg Monthly for 2 years 2 Years Every 3 months Not defined Every week for 6 weeks every 6 months Every week for 3 weeks at 3,6,12,18,24,30, & 36 months 2 Years Connaught 81 mg in 50.5 mL Every week for 6 weeks Every week for 6 weeks Every week for 6 weeks Every week for 6 weeks 3 Years * All BCG was diluted in normal saline. Copyright © 2007 American Urological Association Education and Research, Inc.® 16 Sylvester et al13 drew a similar conclusion to Han and Pan26 regarding recurrence in patients with Tis. However, they did not directly compare the efficacy of induction BCG to induction BCG plus maintenance BCG, but rather compared each arm to mitomycin C. In two small trials containing a total of 90 patients, there was no suggestion of superiority of an induction course of BCG compared to induction and maintenance mitomycin C. However, in three trials containing a total of 257 patients, there was a 43% reduction in the odds of treatment failure in the induction BCG plus maintenance BCG group (OR 0.57; 95% CI: 0.34, 0.97; p=0.04) compared to those who received mitomycin C induction and maintenance therapy. In a separate meta-analysis of 24 trials including 4,863 patients, Sylvester et al examined the ability of a course of intravesical BCG (with or without maintenance) to decrease the rate of progression of Ta and T1 bladder cancer compared to TURBT alone or TURBT plus another intravesical chemotherapy.27 BCG therapy decreased the rate of progression from 13.8% to 9.8% (OR 0.73; 95% CI: 0.06, 0.89; p=0.001) compared to TURBT alone with or without intravesical chemotherapy. The BCG group had a nonsignificant decrease in the odds of death from bladder cancer (OR 0.81; 95% CI: 0.58, 1.13; p=0.20). Of interest, only the group receiving maintenance BCG benefited. However, in the Panel’s meta-analysis of comparable studies, although approaching statistical significance, progression was not reduced with maintenance BCG (95% CI: -15, -0). In summary, the literature and the current meta-analysis support the use of an induction course of intravesical BCG combined with maintenance BCG therapy as compared to an induction course of BCG alone to decrease recurrence and possibly progression in patients with higher risk nonmuscle invasive bladder tumors. The optimal maintenance schedule and duration have yet to be determined. However, randomized, controlled trials have been conducted using the Southwest Oncology Group regimen10 of a six-week induction course of BCG followed by three-week maintenance therapy at 3, 6, 12, 18, 24, 30, and 36 months (if tolerated by the patient). 3. What is the effect on recurrence and progression of TURBT combined with induction and maintenance intravesical mitomycin C versus TURBT combined with induction and maintenance BCG? Copyright © 2007 American Urological Association Education and Research, Inc.® 17 We identified two trials with a total of 594 subjects that compared the recurrence rates following an induction course of mitomycin C combined with maintenance mitomycin C to an induction course of BCG combined with maintenance therapy.22,28 When these two trials are combined for meta-analysis, BCG with maintenance therapy significantly reduced the recurrence rate by 17% (95% CI: -26%, -7%) when compared to mitomycin C induction plus maintenance. Previously published meta-analyses do not directly compare mitomycin C with maintenance to BCG with maintenance (Table 5). However, the mitomycin C group in these published analyses do include several trials in which maintenance therapy was administered. One of these by Böhle et al14 identified 11 trials of TURBT followed by BCG versus TURBT followed by mitomycin C for the prevention of recurrence of Ta and T1 bladder cancer that were suitable for meta-analysis. The analysis included six randomized, controlled trials as well as four observational studies, and one study published in abstract form. Recurrence information was available on 2,749 patients. In the subgroup of six studies assessing maintenance BCG, uniform superiority of BCG induction with BCG maintenance was noted (OR 0.43; 95% CI: 0.35, 0.53; p<0.001). Sylvester et al13 examined the efficacy of BCG compared to mitomycin C in patients with carcinoma in situ. BCG was superior to mitomycin C only in the subgroup that received maintenance BCG therapy. In three trials containing a total of 257 patients, there was a 43% reduction in the odds of treatment failure in the BCG plus maintenance group (OR 0.57; 95% CI: 0.34, 0.97; p=0.04). There was no difference in the rates of tumor progression and diseasespecific survival between the groups. In addition, one trial focused on higher risk patients. Lundholm et al29 reported the results of the Swedish-Norwegian Bladder Cancer Study Group, which enrolled 261 patients with carcinoma in situ, T1 Grade 3 disease, or multiple recurrent Ta and/or T1 Grade 1 or 2 disease. Patients were randomized to receive mitomycin C 40 mg or BCG Pasteur strain instilled weekly for six weeks, followed by monthly instillations for one year and every three months for another year. The median duration of follow-up was 39 months and the disease-free rates were 49% for BCG and 33% for mitomycin C. The disease-free rates for BCG and mitomycin among patients with Ta and/or T1 were 48% and 35%, respectively; among patients with carcinoma in situ, rates were 54% and 33%. Although BCG was superior to mitomycin C in preventing recurrence, no significant difference in progression was observed. Patients receiving BCG had more frequent Copyright © 2007 American Urological Association Education and Research, Inc.® 18 side effects. We only identified one study28 that addressed the issue of progression. No difference between two therapies was detected. In summary, the literature and the current meta-analysis of the use of an induction course of intravesical BCG combined with maintenance BCG therapy when compared to an induction course of intravesical mitomycin C plus maintenance mitomycin C indicate decreased recurrence and possibly decreased progression of Ta, T1, and/or carcinoma in situ bladder tumors in high-risk patients. The optimal maintenance schedule and duration have yet to be determined. However, high quality randomized controlled trials have been conducted using the Southwest Oncology Group regimen10 of a six-week induction course of BCG followed by three weeks of maintenance therapy at 3, 6, 12, 18, 24, 30, and 36 months (if tolerated by the patient). Previously Published Meta-analyses Since 1998, the results of several meta-analyses of studies comparing immuno- and chemotherapies with and without maintenance, or with TURBT, have been published. As discussed previously, the design of these analyses differs from the Panel’s design in study inclusion criteria, treatments, analytical methods, and outcomes. A summary of these differences is presented in Table 5. The Panel applauds such efforts, and its conclusions were similar to these reported although not identical. Copyright © 2007 American Urological Association Education and Research, Inc.® 19 Table 5. Results of Previously Published Meta-analyses of Studies Comparing Intravesical Therapies and Differences From the Panel’s Report Reference Comparisons Results Differences from the Present MetaAnalysis BCG vs. No BCG Han and Pan26 Treatments: BCG vs. no BCG, maintenance and no maintenance Outcome: recurrence BCG vs. Chemotherapy Treatments: BCG vs. MMC, maintenance and no Böhle and maintenance Bock30 Outcome: progression Shelley et al31 Treatments: BCG vs. MMC Outcome: recurrence and progression for highrisk patients Huncharek and Kupelnick12 Treatments: BCG vs. chemotherapy Outcome: progression BCG maintenance superior to no BCG (p<0.05) BCG no maintenance better but not reaching statistical significance BCG superior to MMC (p<0.05) with BCG maintenance No significant difference for all groups BCG superior to MMC in high risk group No significant differences Included - non-English language studies - studies rejected from the present analysis for various reasons, - nonrandomized studies Both control arms may have received other intravesical therapies Included - non-English language studies - nonrandomized studies Included - studies rejected from the present analysis for various reasons - studies using maintenance therapy only - studies of high-risk patients only Combined studies that use different chemotherapies with different durations (initial instillation and maintenance) Copyright © 2007 American Urological Association Education and Research, Inc.® Included agents (thiotepa, doxorubicin, epirubicin, etc.) not included in the present analysis Restricted to reports with a minimum of two-year follow-up and excludes Tis 20 1 Sylvester et al13 Treatments: BCG vs. chemotherapy for Tis, maintenance and no maintenance Outcome: complete response, recurrence, and progression Chemotherapy vs. TURBT alone Huncharek et al16 Treatments: Chemotherapy vs. no chemotherapy Outcome: recurrence Sylvester et al8 2 3 4 Treatments: Single postoperative dose of chemotherapy vs. TURBT alone Outcome: recurrence BCG superior to chemotherapy (p<0.05) for complete response and lack of recurrence in complete responders In a sub-analysis, BCG maintenance superior to MMC only Progression differences did not reach statistical significance Chemotherapy superior to no chemotherapy (p<0.05) Single-dose chemotherapy superior to TURBT alone (p<0.05), particularly in patients with single tumors Combined studies that use different chemotherapies and maintenance with studies using no maintenance Results for patients with a complete response to initial therapy only Combined studies that use different chemotherapies with different durations (single dose, initial instillation and maintenance) Included agents (thiotepa, doxorubicin, peplomycin, etc.) not included in the present analysis Included and combined multiple chemotherapies not included in the present analysis (i.e., pirarubicin, thiotepa, and epirubicin) Included studies of single-dose MMC only BCG, bacillus Calmette-Guérin; MMC, mitomycin C; Tis, carcinoma in situ; TURBT, transurethral resection of bladder tumor; vs., versus. Copyright © 2007 American Urological Association Education and Research, Inc.® 21 Complications of Treatment A review and evaluation of the complications reported with the treatment of nonmuscle invasive bladder cancer was undertaken using both randomized controlled trials and nonrandomized trials. As opposed to treatment efficacy comparisons, the inclusion of data from nonrandomized trials was thought important and necessary to capture as accurately as possible the side effects that may occur with therapy. The Panel noted a number of limitations in the reporting of complications in the publications available: 1) Complications were reported with a wide variety of descriptors, most of which are not specifically defined. Many reports made only passing mention of complications or listed only the most serious complications such as BCG sepsis. Because of this variation, comparing complications rates from different studies was problematic. 2) It was unclear in most instances whether the lack of reporting of a particular side effect indicated that none of the patients had that particular symptom or it simply was not recorded. 3) In addition to the variability of terms used for reporting complications, some studies used categorizations and combined complications into related groups but these categories varied among studies further limiting comparative analyses as the degree of overlap between different categories was impossible to glean. Moreover, few studies listed the total number of patients who experienced complications or how many patients had more than one complication. 4) Some of the complications reported seemed highly unlikely to be related to the treatment (e.g., impotence) or were reported in very few studies. To address these limitations, the Panel combined the reported complications into several larger categories: bladder contracture, epididymitis/prostatitis/urethral infections, hematuria, lower urinary tract symptoms (LUTS), fever/chills/flu symptoms, and systemic infection. Complications that were highly unlikely to be related to treatment were eliminated. From these categories, a maximum and minimal overlap could be assumed for each complication in the category. For example, within the category of LUTS, if “frequency” were noted in 20% of patients and “urgency” in 18%, it was likely that a large number of patients had both symptoms, but the exact number is unknown (i.e., in this example the total number of patients with LUTS Copyright © 2007 American Urological Association Education and Research, Inc.® 22 could be anywhere between 18%, if each patient has both frequency and urgency (maximal overlap), and 38% if each patient had only one symptom (minimal overlap). The incidence of each category of complication is listed by treatment in Table 6. For the categories of LUTS and fever/chills/flu symptoms, assumptions of maximum and minimal overlap between the complications included within that category are indicated on separate lines. The median and CIs of the most common complications are also shown graphically in the forest plots in Figures 1a to1f. Lower urinary tract symptoms (including frequency, urgency, dysuria, etc.) were the most common side effects reported with each treatment option. Such symptoms were reported in 2% of patients treated with TURBT alone, or TURBT combined with single-dose post-TURBT mitomycin C. In comparison, a rate of 22% to 24% (assuming maximal overlap) was reported with multiple-dose mitomycin C with or without maintenance treatment, 38% with induction BCG, and 57% with induction plus maintenance BCG. Other local symptoms such as hematuria, bladder pain, and prostatitis were also common, and were similar across all intravesical treatments. Bladder contracture is a rare event for all intravesical therapies including both immunotherapy and chemotherapy. Systemic complications including immunologic reactions (arthralgia, skin rash, and fever/chills/flu symptoms) and other systemic side effects (malaise/fatigue, nausea/vomiting, altered liver function tests, neurologic symptoms, cardiovascular or pulmonary problems, and sepsis) were also reported, and were more common with regimens containing BCG and/or interferon than those using intravesical chemotherapy or TURBT alone. One of the most important clinical outcomes related to complications was the percentage of patients who are unable to complete the course of treatment. Unfortunately, only a few studies identified the number of patients who were unable to complete the initial course of therapy due to side effects. From these data, patient discontinuation appeared to be relatively uncommon. In the Panelists’ experience, however, discontinuation of therapy occurs fairly frequently, especially with immunotherapy regimens. In general, Panel members felt that in patients with tumors that carry substantial risk of progression and ultimate death from bladder cancer the potential benefits of intravesical treatments such as BCG seem to outweigh the risk of serious complications. On the other hand, the risk of possible serious side effects from intravesical immunotherapy may outweigh the Copyright © 2007 American Urological Association Education and Research, Inc.® 23 potential benefit of therapy for those with low-risk lesions. These risks and benefits should be discussed with the patient. Consequently, intravesical chemotherapy, especially a single dose, is a primary option for low-risk patients. Copyright © 2007 American Urological Association Education and Research, Inc.® 24 Table 6. Complications Incidence by Category and Treatment Treatment Bladder Contracture Est Rate G/P CI* % TURBT alone 1/27 Minimal overlap ( or none) Epid/Prost/ Urethral Infections Est Rate G/P CI* % Hematuria Est Rate G/P CI* % G/P LUTS Est Rate % CI* 2 (0, 5) Fever/Chills/Flu Symptoms Est Rate G/P CI* % Systemic Infection Est Rate G/P % CI* 3/3,043 1 (0, 9) Maximal overlap (if minimal) TURBT + BCG Induct 1/21 Minimal overlap ( or none) 2/168 1 (0, 11) 11/527 4 (0, 16) 17/1,584 29 (21, 38) Maximal overlap (if minimal) TURBT + BCG Induct+ BCG Maint 8/949 Minimal overlap ( or none) 6/443 3 (2, 6) 17/1,523 4 (2, 6) 14/1,233 59 (42, 74) 26 (16, 39) 38 (28, 49) 19 (13, 28) 22/1,753 20 (13, 30) Maximal overlap (if minimal) TURBT + MMC: Single dose postop 1/23 20/1,667 1 (0, 10) 7 (2, 17) 4/255 71 (56, 83) 30 (22, 41) 57 (44, 69) 22 (16, 30) 2 (0, 8) 2/209 Minimal overlap ( or none) Maximal overlap (if minimal) TURBT + MMC Induct 5/418 Minimal overlap ( or none) 7/657 16 (9, 25) Maximal overlap (if minimal) TURBT + MMC Induct + MMC Maint Minimal overlap ( or none) 2/234 1/26 5 (2, 11) 4/544 8 (2, 22) Maximal overlap (if minimal) 3/309 58 (32, 81) 30 (17, 47) 24 (16, 24) 26 (13, 43) 16 (11, 23) 9/843 19 (10, 31) 2/220 31 (19, 44) 22 (15, 30) *Confidence interval (2.5, 97.5)% BCG, bacillus Calmette-Guérin; CI, confidence interval; Est Rate, estimated occurrence rate; Epid, epididymitis; G/P, Number of group/Number of patients; Induct, induction; LUTS, lower urinary tract symptoms; Maint, maintenance; MMC, mitomycin C; Prost, prostatitis; TURBT, transurethral resection of bladder tumor Copyright © 2007 American Urological Association Education and Research, Inc.® 25 Figure 1a. Estimated Occurrence Rates: Bladder Contracture TURBT alone TURBT + BCG Induction TURBT + BCG Induction + BCG Maint TURBT + MMC Induction + MMC Maint 0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100% Estimated Occurrence Rate with 95% CI BCG, bacillus Calmette-Guérin; CI, confidence interval; Maint, maintenance; MMC, mitomycin C; TURBT, transurethral resection of bladder tumor. Copyright © 2007 American Urological Association Education and Research, Inc.® 26 Figure 1b. Estimated Occurrence Rates: Epididymitis/Prostatitis/Urethral Infections TURBT + BCG Induction TURBT + BCG Induction + BCG Maint TURBT + MMC Induction + MMC Maint 0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100% Estimated Occurrence Rate with 95% CI BCG, bacillus Calmette-Guérin; CI, confidence interval; Epid, epididymitis; Maint, maintenance; MMC, mitomycin C; TURBT, transurethral resection of bladder tumor. Copyright © 2007 American Urological Association Education and Research, Inc.® 27 Figure 1c. Estimated Occurrence Rates: Hematuria TURBT + BCG Induction TURBT + BCG Induction + BCG Maint TURBT + MMC Induction TURBT + MMC Induction + MMC Maint 0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100% Estimated Occurrence Rate with 95% CI BCG, bacillus Calmette-Guérin; CI, confidence interval; Maint, maintenance; MMC, mitomycin C; TURBT, transurethral resection of bladder tumor. Copyright © 2007 American Urological Association Education and Research, Inc.® 28 Figure 1d. Estimated Rates: Lower Urinary Tract Symptoms TURBT alone TURBT + BCG Induction - Minimal overlap Maximal overlap TURBT + BCG Induction + BCG Maint - Minimal overlap Maximal overlap TURBT + MMC Single postop dose TURBT + MMC Induction - Minimal overlap Maximal overlap TURBT + MMC Induction + MMC Maint- Minimal overlap Maximal overlap 0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100% Estimated Occurrence Rate with 95% CI BCG, bacillus Calmette-Guérin; CI, confidence interval; Maint, maintenance; MMC, mitomycin C; TURBT, transurethral resection of bladder tumor. Copyright © 2007 American Urological Association Education and Research, Inc.® 29 Figure 1e. Estimated Occurrence Rates: Fever/Chills/Flu Symptoms TURBT + BCG Induction - Minimal overlap Maximal overlap TURBT + BCG Induction + BCG Maint - Minimal overlap Maximal overlap TURBT + MMC Induction - Minimal overlap Maximal overlap TURBT + MMC Induction + MMC Maint - Minimal overlap 0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100% Estimated Occurrence Rate with 95% CI BCG, bacillus Calmette-Guérin; CI, confidence interval; Maint, maintenance; MMC, mitomycin C; TURBT, transurethral resection of bladder tumor. Copyright © 2007 American Urological Association Education and Research, Inc.® 30 Figure 1f. Estimated Occurrence Rates: Systemic Infection TURBT + BCG Induction TURBT + BCG Induction + BCG Maint 0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100% Estimated Occurrence Rate with 95% CI BCG, bacillus Calmette-Guérin; CI, confidence interval; Maint, maintenance; TURBT, transurethral resection of bladder tumor. 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Böhle A and Bock PR: Intravesical bacille Calmette-Guérin versus mitomycin C in superficial bladder cancer: formal meta-analysis of comparative studies on tumor progression. Urology 2004; 63: 682. 31. Shelley MD, Wilt TJ, Court J, Coles B, Kynaston H and Mason MD: Intravesical bacillus Calmette-Guerin is superior to mitomycin C in reducing tumour recurrence in high-risk superficial bladder cancer: a meta-analysis of randomized trials. BJU Int 2004; 93: 485. Copyright © 2007 American Urological Association Education and Research, Inc.® 36 Guideline for the Management of Nonmuscle Invasive Bladder Cancer: 2007 Update Appendices American Urological Association Education and Research, Inc. Copyright © 2007 American Urological Association Education and Research, Inc.® October 2007 Appendix Pg. 1 Table of Contents Appendix 1: Bladder Cancer Clinical Guidelines Panel Members and Consultants (1999) 3 Appendix 2: Bladder Cancer Clinical Guidelines Panel Members and Consultants (2007) 4 Appendix 3: Details of the Article Selection Process 5 Appendix 4: Article Extraction Form 6 Appendix 5: Bibliography of Extracted Articles Listed by Primary Author (includes Procite number and citation) 15 Appendix 6: Efficacy Outcomes Balance Sheets: Dual Arm Analysis 27 Appendix 7: Efficacy Outcomes Balance Sheets and Forest Plots: Single Arm Analysis, RCTs only 29 Appendix 8: Efficacy Outcomes Balance Sheets: All Single Arm Analyses 61 Appendix 9: Complications and Adverse Events Categories 85 Appendix 10: Complications Balance Sheets 90 Copyright © 2007 American Urological Association Education and Research, Inc.® October 2007 Appendix Pg. 2 Appendix 1: Bladder Cancer Clinical Guidelines Panel Members and Consultants (1999) Panel Members Joseph A. Smith, Jr., M.D., Chair Richard F. Labasky, M.D., Facilitator James E. Montie, M.D. Randall G. Rowland, M.D. Abraham T. K. Cockett, M.D. John A. Fracchia, M.D. Consultants Hanan S. Bell, Ph.D. Patrick M. Florer Curtis Colby Copyright © 2007 American Urological Association Education and Research, Inc.® October 2007 Appendix Pg. 3 Appendix 2: Bladder Cancer Clinical Guidelines Panel Members and Consultants (2007) Panel Members M. Craig Hall, M.D., Chair Piedmont Urological Associates High Point, NC Sam S. Chang, M.D., Vice Chair Vanderbilt University Medical Center Department of Urologic Surgery Nashville, TN Guido Dalbagni, M.D. Memorial Sloan-Kettering Cancer Center New York, NY Raj S. Pruthi, M.D. Division of Urologic Surgery University of North Carolina Chapel Hill, NC Paul F. Schellhammer, M.D. Eastern Virginia Medical School Norfolk, VA John D. Seigne, M.B. Division of Urology Dartmouth Hitchcock Medical Center Lebanon, NH Eila C. Skinner, M.D. USC Department of Urology Norris Cancer Center Los Angeles, CA J. Stuart Wolf, Jr., M.D., Panel Facilitator University of Michigan Ann Arbor, MI Consultants Hanan S. Bell, Ph.D. Patrick M. Florer Diann Glickman, Pharm.D. Suzanne Boland Pope Staff Heddy Hubbard, Ph.D. Edith Budd Michael Folmer Kadiatu Kebe Katherine Moore Copyright © 2007 American Urological Association Education and Research, Inc.® October 2007 Appendix Pg. 4 Appendix 3: Details of the Article Selection Process Identified on PubMed Searches * Initial Search 1998 - 2004 = 4,422 Aug 2005 Search 12/2004 - 8/2005 = 362 Feb 2006 Search 08/2005 - 12/2005 = 236 Total = 5,020 Met Initial Screening Criteria † Initial Search 1998 - 2004 = 484 Aug 2005 Search 12/2004 - 8/2005 = 22 Feb 2006 Search 08/2005 - 12/2005 = 6 Total = 512 Met Criteria for Extraction ‡ Initial Search 1998 - 2004 = 285 Aug 2005 Search 12/2004 - 8/2005 = 22 Feb 2006 Search 08/2005 - 12/2005 = 6 Feb 2006 Review of RCTs = 9 Total = 322 Rejected n = 164 Accepted n = 158 Case Series/Report Case-control Study Cohort study Controlled trial Review policy 95 1 7 54 1 No outcomes data Cannot Separate stages Cannot interpret data to fit form Not about treatment Other Exclusion Duplicate article Unidentified 86 8 18 17 31 2 2 * Search Terms were the MeSH Major Topics of bladder cancer and bladder neoplasms. † Abstracts were screened for articles reporting outcomes (efficacy and safety) of bladder cancer treatment in patients with clinical stage T1 or T2 disease. ‡ Articles were rejected if outcomes were not reported or stratified for early-stage patients. Copyright © 2007 American Urological Association Education and Research, Inc.® October 2007 Appendix Pg. 5 Appendix 4: Article Extraction Form (continued on next page) Copyright © 2007 American Urological Association Education and Research, Inc.® October 2007 Appendix Pg. 6 Copyright © 2007 American Urological Association Education and Research, Inc.® October 2007 Appendix Pg. 7 Copyright © 2007 American Urological Association Education and Research, Inc.® October 2007 Appendix Pg. 8 Copyright © 2007 American Urological Association Education and Research, Inc.® October 2007 Appendix Pg. 9 Copyright © 2007 American Urological Association Education and Research, Inc.® October 2007 Appendix Pg. 10 Copyright © 2007 American Urological Association Education and Research, Inc.® October 2007 Appendix Pg. 11 Copyright © 2007 American Urological Association Education and Research, Inc.® October 2007 Appendix Pg. 12 Copyright © 2007 American Urological Association Education and Research, Inc.® October 2007 Appendix Pg. 13 Copyright © 2007 American Urological Association Education and Research, Inc.® October 2007 Appendix Pg. 14 Appendix 5: Bibliography of Extracted Articles Listed by Primary Author (includes Procite number and citation) 10601 Akaza, H., Koiso, K., Ozono, S., Kuroda, M., Kameyama, S., Okajima, E., Kotake, T., Kakizoe, T., Kawabe, K. A clinical study of PMCJ-9 (Bacillus Calmette-Guerin Connaught strain) treatment of superficial bladder cancer and carcinoma in situ of the bladder. Jpn J Clin Oncol. 2003 Aug; 33: 382-90 13407 Al Khalifa, M., Elfving, P., Mansson, W., Colleen, S., Hellsten, S., Duchek, M., Nyberg, G., Callaghan, P., Rademark, C., Eriksson, R., Olsson, R., Hagberg, G., Nelson, C. E. The effect of isoniazid on BCGinduced toxicity in patients with superficial bladder cancer. Eur Urol. 2000; 37 Suppl 1: 26-30 13636 Ali-El-Dein, B., Nabeeh, A., Ismail, E. H., Ghoneim, M. A. Sequential bacillus Calmette-Guerin and epirubicin versus bacillus Calmette-Guerin alone for superficial bladder tumors: a randomized prospective study. J Urol. 1999 Aug; 162: 339-42 12763 Altay, B., Girgin, C., Kefi, A., Cikili, N. The best management of superficial bladder tumours: comparing TUR alone versus TUR combined with intravesical chemotherapy modalities?. Int Urol Nephrol. 2000; 32: 53-8 10171 Andius, P., Holmang, S. Bacillus Calmette-Guerin therapy in stage Ta/T1 bladder cancer: prognostic factors for time to recurrence and progression. BJU Int. 2004 May; 93: 980-4 12397 Au, J. L., Badalament, R. A., Wientjes, M. G., Young, D. C., Warner, J. A., Venema, P. L., Pollifrone, D. L., Harbrecht, J. D., Chin, J. L., Lerner, S. P., Miles, B. J. Methods to improve efficacy of intravesical mitomycin C: results of a randomized phase III trial. J Natl Cancer Inst. 2001 Apr 18; 93: 597-604 17590 Babjuk, M., Soukup, V., Petrik, R., Jirsa, M., Dvoracek, J. 5-aminolaevulinic acid-induced fluorescence cystoscopy during transurethral resection reduces the risk of recurrence in stage Ta/T1 bladder cancer. BJU Int. 2005 Oct; 96: 798-802 1277 Badalament, R.A., Herr, H.W., Wong, G.Y., Gnecco, C., Pinsky, C.M., Whitmore, W.F., Fair, W.R., and Oettgen, H.F. A prospective randomized trial of maintenance versus nonmaintenance intravesical bacillus Calmette-Guerin therapy of superficial bladder cancer. Journal of Clinical Oncology. 1987; 5: 441-449 14046 Baniel, J., Grauss, D., Engelstein, D., Sella, A. Intravesical bacillus Calmette-Guerin treatment for Stage T1 grade 3 transitional cell carcinoma of the bladder. Urology. 1998 Nov; 52: 785-9 17130 Bartoletti, R., Cai, T., Gacci, M., Giubilei, G., Viggiani, F., Santelli, G., Repetti, F., Nerozzi, S., Ghezzi, P., Sisani, M. Intravesical gemcitabine therapy for superficial transitional cell carcinoma: results of a Phase II prospective multicenter study. Urology. 2005 Oct; 66: 726-31 11608 Bassi, P., Spinadin, R., Longo, F., Saraeb, S., Pappagallo, G. L., Zattoni, F., Pagano, F. Delayed highdose intravesical epirubicin therapy of superficial bladder cancer. A way to reduce the side effects and increase the efficacy--a phase 2 trial. Urol Int. 2002; 68: 216-9 12882 Bazarbashi, S., Raja, M. A., El Sayed, A., Ezzat, A., Ibrahim, E., Kattan, S., Kardar, A., Peracha, A., Lindstedt, E., Hanash, K. Prospective phase II trial of alternating intravesical Bacillus Calmette-Guerin (BCG) and interferon alpha IIB in the treatment and prevention of superficial transitional cell carcinoma of the urinary bladder: preliminary results. J Surg Oncol. 2000 Jul; 74: 181-4 11065 Berger, A. P., Steiner, H., Stenzl, A., Akkad, T., Bartsch, G., Holtl, L. Photodynamic therapy with intravesical instillation of 5-aminolevulinic acid for patients with recurrent superficial bladder cancer: a single-center study. Urology. 2003 Feb; 61: 338-41 Copyright © 2007 American Urological Association Education and Research, Inc.® October 2007 Appendix Pg. 15 12671 Bernardini, S., Billerey, C., Martin, M., Adessi, G. L., Wallerand, H., Bittard, H. The predictive value of muscularis mucosae invasion and p53 over expression on progression of stage T1 bladder carcinoma. J Urol. 2001 Jan; 165: 42-6; discussion 46 10951 Bilen, C. Y., Inci, K., Erkan, I., Ozen, H. The predictive value of purified protein derivative results on complications and prognosis in patients with bladder cancer treated with bacillus Calmette-Guerin. J Urol. 2003 May; 169: 1702-5 13024 Bilen, C. Y., Ozen, H., Aki, F. T., Aygun, C., Ekici, S., Kendi, S. Clinical experience with BCG alone versus BCG plus epirubicin. Int J Urol. 2000 Jun; 7: 206-9 11252 Bogdanovic, J., Marusic, G., Djozic, J., Sekulic, V., Budakov, P., Dejanovic, N., Stojkov, J. The management of T1G3 bladder cancer. Urol Int. 2002; 69: 263-5 13148 Bono, A. V., Lovisolo, J. A., Saredi, G. Transurethral resection and sequential chemoimmunoprophylaxis in primary T1G3 bladder cancer. Eur Urol. 2000 Apr; 37: 478-83 13118 Brake, M., Loertzer, H., Horsch, R., Keller, H. Long-term results of intravesical bacillus CalmetteGuerin therapy for stage T1 superficial bladder cancer. Urology. 2000 May; 55: 673-8 13098 Brake, M., Loertzer, H., Horsch, R., Keller, H. Recurrence and progression of stage T1, grade 3 transitional cell carcinoma of the bladder following intravesical immunotherapy with bacillus CalmetteGuerin. J Urol. 2000 Jun; 163: 1697-701 10132 Campbell, P. A., Conrad, R. J., Campbell, C. M., Nicol, D. L., MacTaggart, P. Papillary urothelial neoplasm of low malignant potential: reliability of diagnosis and outcome. BJU Int. 2004 Jun; 93: 122831 10257 Canda, A. E., Tuzel, E., Mungan, M. U., Yorukoglu, K., Kirkali, Z. Conservative management of mucosal prostatic urethral involvement in patients with superficial transitional cell carcinoma of the bladder. Eur Urol. 2004 Apr; 45: 465-9; discussion 469-70 13701 Cheng, L., Cheville, J. C., Neumann, R. M., Leibovich, B. C., Egan, K. S., Spotts, B. E., Bostwick, D. G. Survival of patients with carcinoma in situ of the urinary bladder. Cancer. 1999 Jun 1; 85: 2469-74 13416 Cheng, L., Darson, M., Cheville, J. C., Neumann, R. M., Zincke, H., Nehra, A., Bostwick, D. G. Urothelial papilloma of the bladder. Clinical and biologic implications. Cancer. 1999 Nov 15; 86: 2098101 13167 Cheng, L., Neumann, R. M., Nehra, A., Spotts, B. E., Weaver, A. L., Bostwick, D. G. Cancer heterogeneity and its biologic implications in the grading of urothelial carcinoma. Cancer. 2000 Apr 1; 88: 1663-70 12793 Collado, A., Chechile, G. E., Salvador, J., Vicente, J. Early complications of endoscopic treatment for superficial bladder tumors. J Urol. 2000 Nov; 164: 1529-32 12581 Colombo, R., Brausi, M., Da Pozzo, L., Salonia, A., Montorsi, F., Scattoni, V., Roscigno, M., Rigatti, P. Thermo-chemotherapy and electromotive drug administration of mitomycin C in superficial bladder cancer eradication. a pilot study on marker lesion. Eur Urol. 2001 Jan; 39: 95-100 14390 Colombo, R., Da Pozzo, L. F., Lev, A., Salonia, A., Rigatti, P., Leib, Z., Servadio, C., Caldarera, E., Pavone-Macaluso, M. Local microwave hyperthermia and intravesical chemotherapy as bladder sparing treatment for select multifocal and unresectable superficial bladder tumors. J Urol. 1998 Mar; 159: 783-7 Copyright © 2007 American Urological Association Education and Research, Inc.® October 2007 Appendix Pg. 16 10553 Colombo, R., Da Pozzo, L. F., Salonia, A., Rigatti, P., Leib, Z., Baniel, J., Caldarera, E., PavoneMacaluso, M. Multicentric study comparing intravesical chemotherapy alone and with local microwave hyperthermia for prophylaxis of recurrence of superficial transitional cell carcinoma. J Clin Oncol. 2003 Dec 1; 21: 4270-6 13565 Dalbagni, G., Rechtschaffen, T., Herr, H. W. Is transurethral biopsy of the bladder necessary after 3 months to evaluate response to bacillus Calmette-Guerin therapy?. J Urol. 1999 Sep; 162: 708-9 11905 Davis, J. W., Sheth, S. I., Doviak, M. J., Schellhammer, P. F. Superficial bladder carcinoma treated with bacillus Calmette-Guerin: progression-free and disease specific survival with minimum 10-year followup. J Urol. 2002 Feb; 167: 494-500; discussion 501 10297 De Berardinis, E., Antonini, G., Peters, G. J., Loves, W. J., Van der Born, K., Codacci-Pisanelli, G., Di Silverio, F. Intravesical administration of gemcitabine in superficial bladder cancer: a phase I study with pharmacodynamic evaluation. BJU Int. 2004 Mar; 93: 491-4 15920 de Reijke, T. M., Kurth, K. H., Sylvester, R. J., Hall, R. R., Brausi, M., van de Beek, K., Landsoght, K. E., Carpentier, P. Bacillus Calmette-Guerin versus epirubicin for primary, secondary or concurrent carcinoma in situ of the bladder: results of a European Organization for the Research and Treatment of Cancer--Genito-Urinary Group Phase III Trial (30906). J Urol. 2005 Feb; 173: 405-9 12217 Dutta, S. C., Smith, J. A., Jr., Shappell, S. B., Coffey, C. S., Chang, S. S., Cookson, M. S. Clinical under staging of high risk nonmuscle invasive urothelial carcinoma treated with radical cystectomy. J Urol. 2001 Aug; 166: 490-3 13384 Fleshner, N., Garland, J., Moadel, A., Herr, H., Ostroff, J., Trambert, R., O'Sullivan, M., Russo, P. Influence of smoking status on the disease-related outcomes of patients with tobacco-associated superficial transitional cell carcinoma of the bladder. Cancer. 1999 Dec 1; 86: 2337-45 13523 Fujii, Y., Fukui, I., Kihara, K., Tsujii, T., Kageyama, Y., Oshima, H. Late recurrence and progression after a long tumor-free period in primary Ta and T1 bladder cancer. Eur Urol. 1999 Oct; 36: 309-13 10619 Fujii, Y., Kawakami, S., Koga, F., Nemoto, T., Kihara, K. Long-term outcome of bladder papillary urothelial neoplasms of low malignant potential. BJU Int. 2003 Oct; 92: 559-62 11040 Fujikawa, K., Matsui, Y., Kobayashi, T., Miura, K., Oka, H., Fukuzawa, S., Sasaki, M., Takeuchi, H., Okabe, T. Predicting disease outcome of non-invasive transitional cell carcinoma of the urinary bladder using an artificial neural network model: results of patient follow-up for 15 years or longer. Int J Urol. 2003 Mar; 10: 149-52 13947 Giannakopoulos, S., Gekas, A., Alivizatos, G., Sofras, F., Becopoulos, T., Dimopoulos, C. Efficacy of escalating doses of intravesical interferon alpha-2b in reducing recurrence rate and progression in superficial transitional cell carcinoma. Br J Urol. 1998 Dec; 82: 829-34 10484 Giannopoulos, A., Constantinides, C., Fokaeas, E., Stravodimos, C., Giannopoulou, M., Kyroudi, A., Gounaris, A. The immunomodulating effect of interferon-gamma intravesical instillations in preventing bladder cancer recurrence. Clin Cancer Res. 2003 Nov 15; 9: 5550-8 10276 Gofrit, O. N., Shapiro, A., Pode, D., Sidi, A., Nativ, O., Leib, Z., Witjes, J. A., van der Heijden, A. G., Naspro, R., Colombo, R. Combined local bladder hyperthermia and intravesical chemotherapy for the treatment of high-grade superficial bladder cancer. Urology. 2004 Mar; 63: 466-71 13911 Gohji, K., Nomi, M., Okamoto, M., Takenaka, A., Hara, I., Okada, H., Arakawa, S., Fujii, A., Kamidono, S. Conservative therapy for stage T1b, grade 3 transitional cell carcinoma of the bladder. Urology. 1999 Feb; 53: 308-13 Copyright © 2007 American Urological Association Education and Research, Inc.® October 2007 Appendix Pg. 17 11676 Griffiths, T. R., Charlton, M., Neal, D. E., Powell, P. H. Treatment of carcinoma in situ with intravesical bacillus Calmette-Guerin without maintenance. J Urol. 2002 Jun; 167: 2408-12 10780 Grimm, M. O., Steinhoff, C., Simon, X., Spiegelhalder, P., Ackermann, R., Vogeli, T. A. Effect of routine repeat transurethral resection for superficial bladder cancer: a long-term observational study. 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Multivariate evaluation of factors affecting recurrence, progression, and survival in patients with superficial bladder cancer treated with intravesical bacillus Calmette-Guerin (Tokyo 172 strain) therapy: significance of concomitant carcinoma in situ. Int Urol Nephrol. 2002; 33: 41-7 10718 Takashi, M., Wakai, K., Hattori, T., Ono, Y., Ohshima, S. Evaluation of multiple recurrence events in superficial bladder cancer patients treated with intravesical bacillus Calmette-Guerin therapy using the Andersen-Gill's model. Int Urol Nephrol. 2002; 34: 329-34 10113 Thalmann, G. N., Markwalder, R., Shahin, O., Burkhard, F. C., Hochreiter, W. W., Studer, U. E. Primary T1G3 bladder cancer: organ preserving approach or immediate cystectomy?. J Urol. 2004 Jul; 172: 70-5 Copyright © 2007 American Urological Association Education and Research, Inc.® October 2007 Appendix Pg. 24 12752 2610 Thalmann, G. N., Sermier, A., Rentsch, C., Mohrle, K., Cecchini, M. G., Studer, U. E. Urinary Interleukin-8 and 18 predict the response of superficial bladder cancer to intravesical therapy with bacillus Calmette-Guerin. J Urol. 2000 Dec; 164: 2129-33 Tolley, D.A., Hargreave, T.B., Smith, P.H., Williams, J.L., Grigor, K.M., Parmar, M.K., Freedman, L.S., and Uscinska, B.M. Effect of intravesical mitomycin C on recurrence of newly diagnosed superficial bladder cancer: interim report from the Medical Research Council Subgroup on Superficial Bladder Cancer (Urological Cancer Working Party). British Medical Journal - Clinical Research. 1988; 296: 17591761 12519 Torelli, F., Catanzaro, F., Conti, G., Comeri, C. G., Risi, O., Pino, R., Lissoni, G., Borin, R., Minocci, D., Monesi, G., Baresi, A., Perego, S., Caruso, G. M., Scardino, G. High-dose epirubicin in the prophylactic treatment of T1G2 superficial bladder tumors. Eur Urol. 2001 Jan; 39 Suppl 2: 11-4 11963 Tozawa, K., Okamura, T., Sasaki, S., Kawai, N., Ito, Y., Hayashi, Y., Kohri, K. Intravesical combined chemoimmunotherapy with epirubicin and bacillus Calmette-Guerin is not indicated for superficial bladder cancer. Urol Int. 2001; 67: 289-92 10512 Tsivian, A., Shtricker, A., Sidi, A. A. Simultaneous transurethral resection of bladder tumor and benign prostatic hyperplasia: hazardous or a safe timesaver?. J Urol. 2003 Dec; 170: 2241-3 1205 Tsushima, T., Matsumura, Y., Ozaki, Y., Yoshimoto, J., and Ohmori, H. Prophylactic intravesical instillation therapy with adriamycin and mitomycin C in patients with superficial bladder cancer. Cancer Chemotherapy & Pharmacology. 1987; 20 Suppl: S72-S76 12220 van der Meijden, A. P., Brausi, M., Zambon, V., Kirkels, W., de Balincourt, C., Sylvester, R. Intravesical instillation of epirubicin, bacillus Calmette-Guerin and bacillus Calmette-Guerin plus isoniazid for intermediate and high risk Ta, T1 papillary carcinoma of the bladder: a European Organization for Research and Treatment of Cancer genito-urinary group randomized phase III trial. J Urol. 2001 Aug; 166: 476-81 10638 van der Meijden, A. P., Sylvester, R. J., Oosterlinck, W., Hoeltl, W., Bono, A. V. Maintenance Bacillus Calmette-Guerin for Ta T1 bladder tumors is not associated with increased toxicity: results from a European Organisation for Research and Treatment of Cancer Genito-Urinary Group Phase III Trial. Eur Urol. 2003 Oct; 44: 429-34 11066 Waidelich, R., Beyer, W., Knuchel, R., Stepp, H., Baumgartner, R., Schroder, J., Hofstetter, A., Kriegmair, M. Whole bladder photodynamic therapy with 5-aminolevulinic acid using a white light source. Urology. 2003 Feb; 61: 332-7 12325 Waidelich, R., Stepp, H., Baumgartner, R., Weninger, E., Hofstetter, A., Kriegmair, M. Clinical experience with 5-aminolevulinic acid and photodynamic therapy for refractory superficial bladder cancer. J Urol. 2001 Jun; 165: 1904-7 13884 Wedderburn, A. W., Ratan, P., Birch, B. R. A prospective trial of flexible cystodiathermy for recurrent transitional cell carcinoma of the bladder. J Urol. 1999 Mar; 161: 812-4 15745 Wiesner, C., Pfitzenmaier, J., Faldum, A., Gillitzer, R., Melchior, S. W., Thuroff, J. W. Lymph node metastases in non-muscle invasive bladder cancer are correlated with the number of transurethral resections and tumour upstaging at radical cystectomy. BJU Int. 2005 Feb; 95: 301-5 14067 Witjes, J. A., Caris, C. T., Mungan, N. A., Debruyne, F. M., Witjes, W. P. Results of a randomized phase III trial of sequential intravesical therapy with mitomycin C and bacillus Calmette-Guerin versus mitomycin C alone in patients with superficial bladder cancer. J Urol. 1998 Nov; 160: 1668-71; discussion 1671-2 Copyright © 2007 American Urological Association Education and Research, Inc.® October 2007 Appendix Pg. 25 14112 Witjes, J. A., v, d., Meijden AP., Sylvester, L. C., Debruyne, F. M., van Aubel, A., Witjes, W. P. Longterm follow-up of an EORTC randomized prospective trial comparing intravesical bacille CalmetteGuerin-RIVM and mitomycin C in superficial bladder cancer. EORTC GU Group and the Dutch South East Cooperative Urological Group. European Organisation for Research and Treatment of Cancer Genito-Urinary Tract Cancer Collaborative Group. Urology. 1998 Sep; 52: 403-10 13422 Witjes, W. P., Konig, M., Boeminghaus, F. P., Hall, R. R., Schulman, C. C., Zurlo, M., Fittipaldo, A., Riggi, M., Debruyne, F. M. Results of a European comparative randomized study comparing oral bropirimine versus intravesical BCG treatment in BCG-naive patients with carcinoma in situ of the urinary bladder. European Bropirimine Study Group. Eur Urol. 1999 Dec; 36: 576-81 14294 Yalcinkaya, F., Kamis, L., Ozteke, O., Gunlusoy, B., Yigitbasi, O., Unal, S. Prospective randomized comparison of intravesical BCG therapy with standard dose versus low doses in superficial bladder cancer. Int Urol Nephrol. 1998; 30: 41-4 10155 Yin, H., Leong, A. S. Histologic grading of noninvasive papillary urothelial tumors: validation of the 1998 WHO/ISUP system by immunophenotyping and follow-up. Am J Clin Pathol. 2004 May; 121: 679-87 11659 Zieger, K., Olsen, P. R., Wolf, H., Hojgaard, K. Long term follow-up of superficial invasive bladder carcinoma with or without concomitant epithelial atypia--recurrence and progression. Scand J Urol Nephrol. 2002 Feb; 36: 52-9 13113 Zieger, K., Wolf, H., Olsen, P. R., Hojgaard, K. Long-term follow-up of noninvasive bladder tumours (stage Ta): recurrence and progression. BJU Int. 2000 May; 85: 824-8 158 articles listed Copyright © 2007 American Urological Association Education and Research, Inc.® October 2007 Appendix Pg. 26 Appendix 6: Efficacy Outcomes Balance Sheets* Dual Arm Analysis Efficacy – Recurrence Difference Treatment 1 TUR + Epirubicin TUR + Interferon TUR + Interferon TUR + Epirubicin TUR + BCG + Interferon TUR + BCG + Interferon TUR + Phototherapy TUR + Epirubicin + Maintenance TUR + Epirubicin + Maintenance TUR + BCG + Isoniazid TUR + Mitoxantrone 10 mg TUR + Mitoxantrone 20 mg TUR + Interferon + Maintenance TUR + Mitoxantrone 20 mg TUR + Interferon + Maintenance TUR + Interferon + Maintenance TUR + Interferon + Maintenance 40 TUR + Interferon + Maintenance 60 TUR + Interferon + Maintenance 80 TUR + Interferon + Maintenance 60 TUR + Interferon + Maintenance 80 TUR + Interferon + Maintenance 80 TUR + MMC TUR + MMC + Maintenance TUR + MMC + Maintenance TUR + BCG + Maintenance TUR + BCG + Maintenance TUR + BCG TUR + BCG + Maintenance TUR + MMC single dose Treatment 2 TUR TUR TUR + Epirubicin TUR + BCG TUR + BCG TUR + Epirubicin TUR TUR + Epirubicin TUR + BCG + Maintenance TUR + BCG TUR TUR TUR TUR + Mitoxantrone 10 mg TUR + Mitoxantrone 10 mg TUR + Mitoxantrone 20 mg TUR TUR TUR TUR + Interferon + Maintenance 40 TUR + Interferon + Maintenance 40 TUR + Interferon + Maintenance 60 TUR TUR TUR + BCG TUR + MMC + Maintenance TUR + BCG TUR TUR TUR S/P 1/134 1/132 1/134 1/560 1/558 1/556 1/102 1/72 1/344 1/160 1/101 1/99 1/97 1/110 1/109 1/107 1/42 1/44 1/43 1/46 1/47 1/47 2/321 6/559 3/1066 1/377 4/645 1/47 5/629 2/427 Median CI (2.5 - 97.5)% (-42 - -11) -27% (-20 - 11)% -5% (6 - 38)% 22% (6 - 22)% 14% (-6 - 10)% 2% (-22 - -6)% -14% (-39 - -6)% -24% (-12 - 26)% 7% (-9 - 19)% 5% (-15 - 16)% 1% (-42 - -5)% -25% (-43 - -5)% -25% (-50 - -13)% -33% (-18 - 18)% 0% (-25 - 10)% -8% -8% (-25 - 10)% (-54 - 1)% -28% (-60 - -7)% -35% (-65 - -13)% -41% (-32 - 20)% -7% -13% (-38 - 13)% (-30 - 18)% -6% (-16 - 10)% -3% (-30 - -6)% -18% (-15 - -0)% -7% (-25 - -5)% -15% (-26 - -1)% -14% (-47 - -3)% -24% (-42 - -18)% -31% (-28 - -8)% -17% S/P 1/560 1/558 1/556 1/344 1/101 1/99 1/97 1/110 1/109 1/107 1/42 1/44 1/43 1/46 1/47 1/47 1/43 1/306 2/510 3/1680 2/126 1/387 1/380 Median 4% 0% -4% 15% -10% -7% -15% 2% -5% -7% -16% -25% -25% -9% -9% 0% 8% 3% -14% 8% 4% 0% -5% Dual Arm Analysis Efficacy – Progression Difference Treatment 1 TUR + Epirubicin TUR + BCG + Interferon TUR + BCG + Interferon TUR + Epirubicin + Maintenance TUR + Mitoxantrone 10 mg TUR + Mitoxantrone 20 mg TUR + Interferon + Maintenance TUR + Mitoxantrone 20 mg TUR + Interferon + Maintenance TUR + Interferon + Maintenance TUR + Interferon + Maintenance 40 TUR + Interferon + Maintenance 60 TUR + Interferon + Maintenance 80 TUR + Interferon + Maintenance 60 TUR + Interferon + Maintenance 80 TUR + Interferon + Maintenance 80 TUR + MMC TUR + MMC single dose TUR + BCG + Maintenance TUR + BCG + Maintenance TUR + MMC + Maintenance TUR + MMC + Maintenance TUR + MMC + Maintenance Treatment 2 TUR + BCG TUR + BCG TUR + Epirubicin TUR + BCG + Maintenance TUR TUR TUR TUR + Mitoxantrone 10 mg TUR + Mitoxantrone 10 mg TUR + Mitoxantrone 20 mg TUR TUR TUR TUR + Interferon + Maintenance 40 TUR + Interferon + Maintenance 40 TUR + Interferon + Maintenance 60 TUR TUR TUR + BCG TUR TUR TUR + BCG TUR + BCG + Maintenance CI (2.5 - 97.5)% (0 - 8)% (-3 - 3)% (-8 - -0)% (1 - 28)% (-24 - 5)% (-23 - 8)% (-28 - -0)% (-11 - 15)% (-16 - 7)% (-19 - 5)% (-40 - 9)% (-45 - -3)% (-45 - -2)% (-26 - 8)% (-26 - 8)% (-13 - 13)% (-12 - 28)% (-4 - 10)% (-37 - 10)% (-0 - 15)% (-26 - 32)% (-5 - 5)% (-11 - 1)% *Italics indicate statistical significance Copyright © 2007 American Urological Association Education and Research, Inc.® October 2007 Appendix Pg. 27 Dual Arm Analysis Efficacy – Disease Specific Survival Difference Treatment 1 TUR + Epirubicin TUR + BCG + Interferon TUR + BCG + Interferon TUR + Epirubicin + Maintenance TUR + BCG + Maintenance TUR + MMC + Maintenance Treatment 2 TUR + BCG TUR + BCG TUR + Epirubicin TUR + BCG + Maintenance TUR + BCG TUR + BCG + Maintenance S/P 1/560 1/558 1/556 1/161 1/126 2/494 Median -3% -1% 2% -5% -1% 3% S/P 1/560 1/558 1/556 1/161 1/244 2/510 Median -3% 1% 4% -5% -3% 1% CI (2.5 - 97.5)% (-6 - -0)% (-4 - 1)% (-1 - 5)% (-16 - 6)% (-9 - 6)% (-3 - 8)% Dual Arm Analysis Efficacy – Overall Survival Difference Treatment 1 TUR + Epirubicin TUR + BCG + Interferon TUR + BCG + Interferon TUR + Epirubicin + Maintenance TUR + MMC + Maintenance TUR + BCG + Maintenance Treatment 2 TUR + BCG TUR + BCG TUR + Epirubicin TUR + BCG + Maintenance TUR + BCG + Maintenance TUR + BCG CI (2.5 - 97.5)% (-9 - 3)% (-5 - 7)% (-2 - 10)% (-17 - 7)% (-11 - 7)% (-7 - 8)% Copyright © 2007 American Urological Association Education and Research, Inc.® October 2007 Appendix Pg. 28 Appendix 7: Efficacy Outcomes Balance Sheets and Forest Plots Single Arm Analysis – RCT data only Efficacy – Recurrence – Overall 1 Year Treatmento TURBT TURBT + BCG TURBT + BCG + maintenance TURBT + BGC + Interferon TURBT + BGC + Interferon + maintenance G/P 18/1057 2 Years Median CI (2.5 - 97.5)% (37 - 54)% 45% G/P 21/802 3 Years Median CI (2.5 - 97.5)% (50 - 63)% 56% G/P 12/586 Median CI (2.5 - 97.5)% (47 - 65)% 56% 9/787 11/1426 26% 25% (17 - 36)% (17 - 36)% 9/787 11/1426 38% 33% (30 - 47)% (25 - 41)% 6/627 10/1398 37% 37% (28 - 46)% (30 - 45)% 3/220 11/1337 19% 28% (10 - 31)% (23 - 35)% 3/220 11/1337 28% 43% (16 - 43)% (36 - 49)% 3/220 11/1337 31% 50% (17 - 47)% (45 - 55)% TURBT + interferon TURBT + interferon + maintenance 1/53 0% (0 - 0)% 1/53 27% (16 - 39)% 4/122 30% (21 - 40)% TURBT + MMC TURBT + MMC single dose TURBT + MMC + maintenance 3/310 2/206 8/890 40% 13% 32% (30 - 52)% (1 - 40)% (23 - 41)% 3/310 2/206 8/890 53% 28% 42% (41 - 63)% (11 - 50)% (35 - 51)% 3/310 2/206 7/853 59% 31% 44% (47 - 70)% (14 - 53)% (33 - 56)% TURBT + doxorubicin + maintenance TURBT + epirubicin TURBT + epirubicin + maintenance TURBT + gemcitabine TURBT + Mitoxantrone + maintenance TURBT + Valrubicin Cystectomy TURBT + Phototherapy Copyright © 2007 American Urological Association Education and Research, Inc.® October 2007 Appendix Pg. 29 Single Arm Analysis – RCT data only Efficacy – Recurrence – Overall 4 Years Treatment TURBT TURBT + BCG TURBT + BCG + maintenance TURBT + BGC + Interferon TURBT + BGC + Interferon + maintenance G/P 4/299 5/520 7/694 5 Years Median CI (2.5 - 97.5)% (30 - 59)% 44% 39% 39% (29 - 51)% (31 - 47)% G/P 5/413 6/581 7/1169 Overall/Unspecified Median CI (2.5 - 97.5)% (29 - 55)% 41% 38% 42% (27 - 50)% (33 - 51)% TURBT + doxorubicin + maintenance TURBT + epirubicin TURBT + epirubicin + maintenance 3/220 5/753 33% 59% (20 - 49)% (53 - 65)% 3/220 3/408 33% 61% (20 - 49)% (51 - 70)% G/P 19/1019 Median CI (2.5 - 97.5)% (49 - 61)% 55% 10/816 19/1427 1/37 36% 29% 59% (27 - 45)% (23 - 36)% (43 - 74)% 2/30 32% (15 - 54)% 3/178 3/167 29% 44% (16 - 46)% (31 - 58)% 1/66 4/122 68% 30% (56 - 78)% (21 - 40)% 1/92 46% (36 - 56)% 11/1086 31% (25 - 39)% 1/51 16% (8 - 27)% TURBT + gemcitabine TURBT + interferon TURBT + interferon + maintenance TURBT + MMC TURBT + MMC single dose TURBT + MMC + maintenance 2/206 6/728 40% 43% (28 - 54)% (31 - 56)% 3/310 2/206 4/574 66% 46% 49% (56 - 74)% (37 - 55)% (39 - 59)% TURBT + Mitoxantrone + maintenance TURBT + Valrubicin Cystectomy TURBT + Phototherapy Copyright © 2007 American Urological Association Education and Research, Inc.® October 2007 Appendix Pg. 30 Single Arm Analysis – RCT data only Efficacy – Recurrence – Overall - Graph Recurrence - Overall TURBT - 1 yr 2 yr 3 yr 4 yr 5 yr Overall TURBT + BCG Induction - 1 yr 2 yr 3 yr 4 yr 5 yr Overall TURBT + BCG Induction + maintenance - 1 yr 2 yr 3 yr 4 yr 5 yr Overall TURBT + MMC Induction - 1 yr 2 yr 3 yr 4 yr 5 yr Overall TURBT + MMC single dose - 1 yr 2 yr 3 yr 4 yr 5 yr Overall TURBT + MMC Induction + maintenance - 1 yr 2 yr 3 yr 4 yr 5 yr Overall 0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100% Estimated Occurrence Rate with 95% CI Copyright © 2007 American Urological Association Education and Research, Inc.® October 2007 Appendix Pg. 31 Single Arm Analysis – RCT data only Efficacy – Recurrence – High Risk 1 Year Treatment# TURBT TURBT + BCG TURBT + BCG + maintenance TURBT + BGC + Interferon TURBT + BGC + Interferon + maintenance G/P 2/132 2 Years Median CI (2.5 - 97.5)% (50 - 70)% 60% G/P 2/132 3 Years Median CI (2.5 - 97.5)% (66 - 84)% 76% G/P 2/124 Median CI (2.5 - 97.5)% (56 - 91)% 77% 4/197 4/322 15% 16% (8 - 23)% (6 - 32)% 4/197 4/322 25% 24% (18 - 34)% (15 - 35)% 4/197 3/294 29% 28% (21 - 37)% (15 - 43)% 1/77 1/84 8% 46% (3 - 15)% (36 - 57)% 1/77 4/132 13% 44% (7 - 22)% (29 - 61)% 1/77 1/84 14% 65% (8 - 23)% (55 - 75)% 3/69 30% (18 - 44)% 2/79 64% (40 - 83)% TURBT + doxorubicin + maintenance TURBT + epirubicin TURBT + epirubicin + maintenance TURBT + gemcitabine TURBT + interferon TURBT + interferon + maintenance TURBT + MMC TURBT + MMC + maintenance 2/79 26% (16 - 39)% 2/79 54% (29 - 78)% TURBT + Mitoxantrone + maintenance TURBT + Valrubicin Cystectomy TURBT + Phototherapy Copyright © 2007 American Urological Association Education and Research, Inc.® October 2007 Appendix Pg. 32 Single Arm Analysis – RCT data only Efficacy – Recurrence – High Risk 4 Years Treatment G/P 5 Years Median CI (2.5 - 97.5)% G/P Overall/Unspecified Median CI (2.5 - 97.5)% TURBT TURBT + BCG TURBT + BCG + maintenance TURBT + BGC + Interferon TURBT + BGC + Interferon + maintenance 3/136 2/229 33% 40% (24 - 43)% (29 - 52)% 3/170 3/294 32% 34% (21 - 44)% (18 - 54)% TURBT + doxorubicin + maintenance TURBT + epirubicin TURBT + epirubicin + maintenance 1/77 1/84 17% 70% (10 - 26)% (60 - 79)% 1/77 4/132 17% 70% (10 - 26)% (43 - 89)% G/P 11/441 Median CI (2.5 - 97.5)% (51 - 68)% 60% 4/186 5/573 34% 27% (24 - 45)% (16 - 40)% 1/48 35% (16 - 58)% 4/125 3/48 36% 43% (20 - 54)% (23 - 66)% 3/69 30% (18 - 44)% 3/91 44% (32 - 57)% 4/72 20% (10 - 33)% TURBT + gemcitabine TURBT + interferon TURBT + interferon + maintenance TURBT + MMC TURBT + MMC + maintenance 2/79 70% (50 - 85)% 1/16 62% (38 - 83)% TURBT + Mitoxantrone + maintenance TURBT + Valrubicin Cystectomy TURBT + Phototherapy Copyright © 2007 American Urological Association Education and Research, Inc.® October 2007 Appendix Pg. 33 Single Arm Analysis – RCT data only Efficacy – Recurrence – High Risk – Graph Recurrence - High Risk TURBT - 1 yr 2 yr 3 yr 4 yr 5 yr Overall TURBT + BCG Induction - 1 yr 2 yr 3 yr 4 yr 5 yr Overall TURBT + BCG Induction + maintenance - 1 yr 2 yr 3 yr 4 yr 5 yr Overall TURBT + MMC Induction + maintenance - 1 yr 2 yr 3 yr 4 yr 5 yr Overall 0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100% Estimated Occurrence Rate with 95% CI Copyright © 2007 American Urological Association Education and Research, Inc.® October 2007 Appendix Pg. 34 Single Arm Analysis – RCT data only Efficacy – Recurrence – Low Risk 1 Year Treatment G/P 2 Years Median CI (2.5 - 97.5)% G/P Median CI (2.5 - 97.5)% 3 Years G/P Median CI (2.5 - 97.5)% TURBT TURBT + BCG TURBT + BCG + maintenance TURBT + BGC + Interferon TURBT + BGC + Interferon + maintenance TURBT + doxorubicin + maintenance TURBT + epirubicin TURBT + epirubicin + maintenance TURBT + gemcitabine TURBT + interferon TURBT + interferon + maintenance TURBT + MMC TURBT + MMC + maintenance TURBT + Mitoxantrone + maintenance TURBT + Valrubicin Cystectomy TURBT + Phototherapy Copyright © 2007 American Urological Association Education and Research, Inc.® October 2007 Appendix Pg. 35 Single Arm Analysis – RCT data only Efficacy – Recurrence – Low Risk 4 Years Treatment G/P 5 Years Median CI (2.5 - 97.5)% G/P Median CI (2.5 - 97.5)% TURBT Overall/Unspecified G/P 2/24 Median CI (2.5 - 97.5)% (8 - 46)% 23% TURBT + BCG TURBT + BCG + maintenance TURBT + BGC + Interferon TURBT + BGC + Interferon + maintenance TURBT + doxorubicin + maintenance TURBT + epirubicin TURBT + epirubicin + maintenance TURBT + gemcitabine TURBT + interferon TURBT + interferon + maintenance TURBT + MMC TURBT + MMC + maintenance TURBT + Mitoxantrone + maintenance TURBT + Valrubicin Cystectomy 1/9 TURBT + Phototherapy Copyright © 2007 American Urological Association Education and Research, Inc.® October 2007 Appendix Pg. 36 2% (0 - 24)% Single Arm Analysis – RCT data only Efficacy – Progression – Overall 1 Year Treatmento TURBT TURBT + BCG TURBT + BCG + maintenance TURBT + BGC + Interferon TURBT + BGC + Interferon + maintenance G/P 1/157 2 Years Median CI (2.5 - 97.5)% (5 - 13)% 8% G/P 1/157 3 Years Median CI (2.5 - 97.5)% (5 - 14)% 9% G/P 1/157 Median CI (2.5 - 97.5)% (8 - 18)% 12% 2/363 5/979 5% 4% (3 - 8)% (3 - 6)% 2/363 5/979 9% 8% (4 - 15)% (4 - 13)% 2/363 5/979 13% 9% (6 - 24)% (5 - 15)% 2/363 7% (2 - 16)% 2/363 14% (4 - 33)% 2/363 16% (5 - 36)% 1/149 1/173 6% 0% (3 - 11)% (0 - 1)% 1/149 1/173 9% 3% (5 - 14)% (1 - 6)% 1/149 1/173 9% 5% (5 -14)% (3 - 9)% TURBT + doxorubicin + maintenance TURBT + epirubicin TURBT + epirubicin + maintenance TURBT + gemcitabine TURBT + interferon TURBT + interferon + maintenance TURBT + MMC TURBT + MMC single dose TURBT + MMC + maintenance TURBT + Mitoxantrone + maintenance TURBT + Valrubicin Cystectomy TURBT + Phototherapy Copyright © 2007 American Urological Association Education and Research, Inc.® October 2007 Appendix Pg. 37 Single Arm Analysis – RCT data only Efficacy – Progression – Overall 4 Years Treatment TURBT TURBT + BCG TURBT + BCG + maintenance TURBT + BGC + Interferon TURBT + BGC + Interferon + maintenance G/P 1/157 2/363 3/421 5 Years Median CI (2.5 - 97.5)% (9 - 19)% 13% 17% 17% (7 - 31)% (13 - 23)% G/P 1/157 2/363 5/979 Overall/Unspecified Median CI (2.5 - 97.5)% (14 - 27)% 20% 20% 14% (9 - 37)% (8 - 21)% G/P 17/917 Median CI (2.5 - 97.5)% (9 - 17)% 12% 8/546 17/1701 1/37 10% 9% 19% (7 - 13)% (7 - 12)% (8 - 34)% 8/1160 5% (2 - 9)% 4/122 9% (4 - 17)% 3/343 1/57 9/928 6% 2% 11% (2 - 12)% (0 - 8)% (8 - 16)% TURBT + doxorubicin + maintenance TURBT + epirubicin TURBT + epirubicin + maintenance TURBT + gemcitabine TURBT + interferon TURBT + interferon + maintenance TURBT + MMC TURBT + MMC single dose TURBT + MMC + maintenance 1/149 1/173 12% 8% (8 - 18)% (5 - 13)% 1/149 1/173 16% 8% (11 - 23)% (5 - 13)% TURBT + Mitoxantrone + maintenance TURBT + Valrubicin Cystectomy TURBT + Phototherapy Copyright © 2007 American Urological Association Education and Research, Inc.® October 2007 Appendix Pg. 38 Single Arm Analysis – RCT data only Efficacy – Progression – Overall - Graph Progression - Overall TURBT - 1 yr 2 yr 3 yr 4 yr 5 yr Overall TURBT + BCG Induction - 1 yr 2 yr 3 yr 4 yr 5 yr Overall TURBT + BCG Induction + maintenance - 1 yr 2 yr 3 yr 4 yr 5 yr Overall TURBT + MMC Induction - Overall TURBT + MMC single dose - 1 yr 2 yr 3 yr 4 yr 5 yr Overall TURBT + MMC Induction + maintenance - 1 yr 2 yr 3 yr 4 yr 5 yr Overall 0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100% Estimated Occurrence Rate with 95% CI Copyright © 2007 American Urological Association Education and Research, Inc.® October 2007 Appendix Pg. 39 Single Arm Analysis – RCT data only Efficacy – Progression – High Risk 1 Year Treatment G/P 2 Years Median CI (2.5 - 97.5)% G/P 3 Years Median CI (2.5 - 97.5)% G/P Median CI (2.5 - 97.5)% TURBT TURBT + BCG TURBT + BCG + maintenance TURBT + BGC + Interferon TURBT + BGC + Interferon + maintenance 2/229 7% (3 - 13)% 2/229 12% (4 - 24)% 2/229 16% (8 - 26)% 1/84 12% (6 - 20)% 1/84 26% (18 - 37)% 1/84 29% (20 - 39)% 1/16 1% (0 - 14)% 1/16 13% (3 - 34)% 1/16 19% (6 - 42)% TURBT + doxorubicin + maintenance TURBT + epirubicin TURBT + epirubicin + maintenance TURBT + gemcitabine TURBT + interferon TURBT + interferon + maintenance TURBT + MMC TURBT + MMC + maintenance TURBT + Mitoxantrone + maintenance TURBT + Valrubicin Cystectomy TURBT + Phototherapy Copyright © 2007 American Urological Association Education and Research, Inc.® October 2007 Appendix Pg. 40 Single Arm Analysis – RCT data only Efficacy – Progression – High Risk 4 Years Treatment G/P 5 Years Median CI (2.5 - 97.5)% G/P Overall/Unspecified Median CI (2.5 - 97.5)% TURBT TURBT + BCG TURBT + BCG + maintenance TURBT + BGC + Interferon TURBT + BGC + Interferon + maintenance G/P 2/48 Median CI (2.5 - 97.5)% (3 - 46)% 17% 2/229 17% (10 - 26)% 2/229 20% (12 - 31)% 4/260 5/341 14% 14% (9 - 19)% (8 - 22)% 1/84 31% (21 - 40)% 1/84 30% (21 - 40)% 3/122 20% (5 - 46)% 3/69 10% (3 - 21)% 1/63 10% (4 - 19)% TURBT + doxorubicin + maintenance TURBT + epirubicin TURBT + epirubicin + maintenance TURBT + gemcitabine TURBT + interferon TURBT + interferon + maintenance TURBT + MMC TURBT + MMC + maintenance 1/16 38% (17 - 62)% 1/16 38% (17 - 62)% TURBT + Mitoxantrone + maintenance TURBT + Valrubicin Cystectomy TURBT + Phototherapy Copyright © 2007 American Urological Association Education and Research, Inc.® October 2007 Appendix Pg. 41 Single Arm Analysis – RCT data only Efficacy – Progression – High Risk - Graph Progression - High Risk TURBT - Overall TURBT + BCG Induction - Overall TURBT + BCG Induction + maintenance - 1 yr 2 yr 3 yr 4 yr 5 yr Overall TURBT + MMC Induction + maintenance - 1 yr 2 yr 3 yr 4 yr 5 yr Overall 0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100% Estimated Occurrence Rate with 95% CI Copyright © 2007 American Urological Association Education and Research, Inc.® October 2007 Appendix Pg. 42 Single Arm Analysis – RCT data only Efficacy – Progression – Low Risk 1 Year Treatment G/P 3 Years 2 Years Median CI (2.5 - 97.5)% G/P Median CI (2.5 - 97.5)% G/P Median CI (2.5 - 97.5)% TURBT TURBT + BCG TURBT + BCG + maintenance TURBT + BGC + Interferon TURBT + BGC + Interferon + maintenance TURBT + doxorubicin + maintenance TURBT + epirubicin TURBT + epirubicin + maintenance TURBT + gemcitabine TURBT + interferon TURBT + interferon + maintenance TURBT + MMC TURBT + MMC + maintenance TURBT + Mitoxantrone + maintenance TURBT + Valrubicin Cystectomy TURBT + Phototherapy Copyright © 2007 American Urological Association Education and Research, Inc.® October 2007 Appendix Pg. 43 Single Arm Analysis – RCT data only Efficacy – Progression – Low Risk 4 Years Treatment G/P 5 Years Median CI (2.5 - 97.5)% G/P Median CI (2.5 - 97.5)% Overall/Unspecified G/P Median CI (2.5 - 97.5)% TURBT TURBT + BCG TURBT + BCG + maintenance TURBT + BGC + Interferon TURBT + BGC + Interferon + maintenance TURBT + doxorubicin + maintenance TURBT + epirubicin TURBT + epirubicin + maintenance TURBT + gemcitabine TURBT + interferon TURBT + interferon + maintenance TURBT + MMC TURBT + MMC + maintenance TURBT + Mitoxantrone + maintenance TURBT + Valrubicin Cystectomy TURBT + Phototherapy Copyright © 2007 American Urological Association Education and Research, Inc.® October 2007 Appendix Pg. 44 Single Arm Analysis – RCT data only Efficacy – Disease Specific Survival – Overall 1 Year Treatment G/P 2 Years Median CI (2.5 - 97.5)% G/P 3 Years Median CI (2.5 - 97.5)% G/P Median CI (2.5 - 97.5)% TURBT TURBT + BCG TURBT + BCG + maintenance TURBT + BGC + Interferon TURBT + BGC + Interferon + maintenance 1/145 99% (97 - 100)% 1/145 97% (94 - 99)% 1/145 TURBT + doxorubicin + maintenance TURBT + epirubicin TURBT + epirubicin + maintenance TURBT + gemcitabine TURBT + interferon TURBT + interferon + maintenance TURBT + MMC TURBT + MMC + maintenance TURBT + Mitoxantrone + maintenance TURBT + Valrubicin Cystectomy TURBT + Phototherapy Copyright © 2007 American Urological Association Education and Research, Inc.® October 2007 Appendix Pg. 45 97% (94 - 99)% Single Arm Analysis – RCT data only Efficacy – Disease Specific Survival – Overall 4 Years Treatment G/P 5 Years Median CI (2.5 - 97.5)% G/P Overall/Unspecified Median CI (2.5 - 97.5)% TURBT TURBT + BCG TURBT + BCG + maintenance TURBT + BGC + Interferon TURBT + BGC + Interferon + maintenance 1/145 95% (91 - 98)% 1/145 95% (91 - 98)% G/P 4/383 Median CI (2.5 - 97.5)% (89 - 97)% 94% 3/325 10/1442 89% 95% (79 - 96)% (92 - 97)% 6/1018 96% (93 - 98)% 1/92 7/740 91% 93% (84 - 96)% (91 - 95)% TURBT + doxorubicin + maintenance TURBT + epirubicin TURBT + epirubicin + maintenance TURBT + gemcitabine TURBT + interferon TURBT + interferon + maintenance TURBT + MMC TURBT + MMC + maintenance TURBT + Mitoxantrone + maintenance TURBT + Valrubicin Cystectomy TURBT + Phototherapy Copyright © 2007 American Urological Association Education and Research, Inc.® October 2007 Appendix Pg. 46 Single Arm Analysis – RCT data only Efficacy – Disease Specific Survival – Overall - Graph Disease Specific Survival - Overall TURBT - Overall TURBT + BCG Induction - Overall TURBT + BCG Induction + maintenance - 1 yr 2 yr 3 yr 4 yr 5 yr Overall TURBT + MMC Induction - Overall TURBT + MMC Induction + maintenance - Overall 0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100% Estimated Occurrence Rate with 95% CI Copyright © 2007 American Urological Association Education and Research, Inc.® October 2007 Appendix Pg. 47 Single Arm Analysis – RCT data only Efficacy – Disease Specific Survival – High Risk 1 Year Treatmento G/P 2 Years Median CI (2.5 - 97.5)% G/P 3 Years Median CI (2.5 - 97.5)% G/P Median CI (2.5 - 97.5)% TURBT TURBT + BCG TURBT + BCG + maintenance TURBT + BGC + Interferon TURBT + BGC + Interferon + maintenance 1/145 99% (97 - 100)% 1/145 97% (94 - 99)% 1/145 TURBT + doxorubicin + maintenance TURBT + epirubicin TURBT + epirubicin + maintenance TURBT + gemcitabine TURBT + interferon TURBT + interferon + maintenance TURBT + MMC TURBT + MMC + maintenance TURBT + Mitoxantrone + maintenance TURBT + Valrubicin Cystectomy TURBT + Phototherapy Copyright © 2007 American Urological Association Education and Research, Inc.® October 2007 Appendix Pg. 48 97% (94 - 99)% Single Arm Analysis – RCT data only Efficacy – Disease Specific Survival – High Risk 4 Years Treatment G/P 5 Years Median CI (2.5 - 97.5)% G/P Overall/Unspecified Median CI (2.5 - 97.5)% TURBT TURBT + BCG TURBT + BCG + maintenance TURBT + BGC + Interferon TURBT + BGC + Interferon + maintenance 1/145 95% (91 - 98)% 1/145 95% (91 - 98)% G/P 1/118 Median CI (2.5 - 97.5)% (95 - 100)% 98% 2/164 3/294 87% 92% (66 - 98)% (87 - 95)% 1/84 83% (74 - 90)% TURBT + doxorubicin + maintenance TURBT + epirubicin TURBT + epirubicin + maintenance TURBT + gemcitabine TURBT + interferon TURBT + interferon + maintenance TURBT + MMC TURBT + MMC + maintenance TURBT + Mitoxantrone + maintenance TURBT + Valrubicin Cystectomy TURBT + Phototherapy Copyright © 2007 American Urological Association Education and Research, Inc.® October 2007 Appendix Pg. 49 Single Arm Analysis – RCT data only Efficacy – Disease Specific Survival – High Risk - Graph Disease Specific Survival - High Risk TURBT - Overall TURBT + BCG Induction - Overall TURBT + BCG Induction + maintenance - 1 Yr 2 Yr 3 Yr 4 Yr 5 Yr Overall 0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100% Estimated Occurrence Rate with 95% CI Copyright © 2007 American Urological Association Education and Research, Inc.® October 2007 Appendix Pg. 50 Single Arm Analysis – RCT data only Efficacy – Disease Specific Survival – Low Risk 1 Year Treatmento G/P 2 Years Median CI (2.5 - 97.5)% G/P Median CI (2.5 - 97.5)% 3 Years G/P Median CI (2.5 - 97.5)% TURBT TURBT + BCG TURBT + BCG + maintenance TURBT + BGC + Interferon TURBT + BGC + Interferon + maintenance TURBT + doxorubicin + maintenance TURBT + epirubicin TURBT + epirubicin + maintenance TURBT + gemcitabine TURBT + interferon TURBT + interferon + maintenance TURBT + MMC TURBT + MMC + maintenance TURBT + Mitoxantrone + maintenance TURBT + Valrubicin Cystectomy TURBT + Phototherapy Copyright © 2007 American Urological Association Education and Research, Inc.® October 2007 Appendix Pg. 51 Single Arm Analysis – RCT data only Efficacy – Disease Specific Survival – Low Risk 4 Years Treatment G/P 5 Years Median CI (2.5 - 97.5)% G/P Median CI (2.5 - 97.5)% Overall/Unspecified G/P Median CI (2.5 - 97.5)% TURBT TURBT + BCG TURBT + BCG + maintenance TURBT + BGC + Interferon TURBT + BGC + Interferon + maintenance TURBT + doxorubicin + maintenance TURBT + epirubicin TURBT + epirubicin + maintenance TURBT + gemcitabine TURBT + interferon TURBT + interferon + maintenance TURBT + MMC TURBT + MMC + maintenance TURBT + Mitoxantrone + maintenance TURBT + Valrubicin Cystectomy TURBT + Phototherapy Copyright © 2007 American Urological Association Education and Research, Inc.® October 2007 Appendix Pg. 52 Single Arm Analysis – RCT data only Efficacy – Overall Survival – Overall 1 Year Treatmento TURBT TURBT + BCG TURBT + BCG + maintenance TURBT + BGC + Interferon TURBT + BGC + Interferon + maintenance G/P 2/225 2 Years Median CI (2.5 - 97.5)% (93 - 100)% 98% G/P 2/225 3 Years Median CI (2.5 - 97.5)% (85 - 97)% 92% G/P 2/225 Median CI (2.5 - 97.5)% (81 - 95)% 90% 1/192 5/976 97% 97% (94 - 99)% (95 - 98)% 1/192 5/976 95% 93% (91 - 97)% (90 - 94)% 1/192 5/976 90% 88% (85 - 94)% (85 - 90)% 2/363 94% (91 - 97)% 2/363 87% (80 - 92)% 2/363 82% (75 - 87)% 2/192 95% (91 - 98)% 2/192 94% (90 - 97)% 2/192 91% (87 - 95)% TURBT + doxorubicin + maintenance TURBT + epirubicin TURBT + epirubicin + maintenance TURBT + gemcitabine TURBT + interferon TURBT + interferon + maintenance TURBT + MMC TURBT + MMC + maintenance TURBT + Mitoxantrone + maintenance TURBT + Valrubicin Cystectomy TURBT + Phototherapy Copyright © 2007 American Urological Association Education and Research, Inc.® October 2007 Appendix Pg. 53 Single Arm Analysis – RCT data only Efficacy – Overall Survival – Overall 4 Years Treatment TURBT TURBT + BCG TURBT + BCG + maintenance TURBT + BGC + Interferon TURBT + BGC + Interferon + maintenance G/P 2/225 1/192 3/421 5 Years Median CI (2.5 - 97.5)% (76 - 91)% 85% 84% 83% (78 - 88)% (75 - 88)% G/P 2/225 Overall/Unspecified Median CI (2.5 - 97.5)% (66 - 80)% 74% G/P 5/505 Median CI (2.5 - 97.5)% (73 - 92)% 84% 1/192 5/976 79% 77% (73 - 84)% (73 - 81)% 3/335 13/1557 1/37 73% 84% 92% (56 - 87)% (78 - 89)% (80 - 98)% 2/363 70% (60 - 79)% 6/1022 87% (79 - 93)% 2/192 82% (75 - 87)% 7/914 81% (71 - 89)% TURBT + doxorubicin + maintenance TURBT + epirubicin TURBT + epirubicin + maintenance TURBT + gemcitabine TURBT + interferon TURBT + interferon + maintenance TURBT + MMC TURBT + MMC + maintenance 2/192 86% (80 - 91)% TURBT + Mitoxantrone + maintenance TURBT + Valrubicin Cystectomy TURBT + Phototherapy Copyright © 2007 American Urological Association Education and Research, Inc.® October 2007 Appendix Pg. 54 Single Arm Analysis – RCT data only Efficacy – Overall Survival – Overall – Graph Overall Survival - Overall TURBT - 1 yr 2 yr 3 yr 4 yr 5 yr Overall TURBT + BCG Induction - 1 yr 2 yr 3 yr 4 yr 5 yr Overall TURBT + BCG Induction + maintenance - 1 yr 2 yr 3 yr 4 yr 5 yr Overall TURBT + MMC Induction + maintenance - 1 yr 2 yr 3 yr 4 yr 5 yr Overall 0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100% Estimated Occurrence Rate with 95% CI Copyright © 2007 American Urological Association Education and Research, Inc.® October 2007 Appendix Pg. 55 Single Arm Analysis – RCT data only Efficacy – Overall Survival – High Risk 1 Year Treatment G/P 2 Years Median CI (2.5 - 97.5)% G/P 3 Years Median CI (2.5 - 97.5)% G/P Median CI (2.5 - 97.5)% TURBT TURBT + BCG TURBT + BCG + maintenance TURBT + BGC + Interferon TURBT + BGC + Interferon + maintenance 1/229 98% (94 - 100)% 1/229 93% (87 - 97)% 1/229 87% (80 - 92)% 1/84 94% (87 - 98)% 1/84 84% (76 - 91)% 1/84 80% (70 - 87)% TURBT + doxorubicin + maintenance TURBT + epirubicin TURBT + epirubicin + maintenance TURBT + gemcitabine TURBT + interferon TURBT + interferon + maintenance TURBT + MMC TURBT + MMC + maintenance TURBT + Mitoxantrone + maintenance TURBT + Valrubicin Cystectomy TURBT + Phototherapy Copyright © 2007 American Urological Association Education and Research, Inc.® October 2007 Appendix Pg. 56 Single Arm Analysis – RCT data only Efficacy – Overall Survival – High Risk 4 Years Treatment G/P 5 Years Median CI (2.5 - 97.5)% G/P Overall/Unspecified Median CI (2.5 - 97.5)% TURBT TURBT + BCG TURBT + BCG + maintenance TURBT + BGC + Interferon TURBT + BGC + Interferon + maintenance G/P 1/118 Median CI (2.5 - 97.5)% (66 - 82)% 75% 1/229 80% (68 - 89)% 1/229 76% (63 - 87)% 2/184 4/322 75% 79% (45 - 94)% (66 - 89)% 1/84 70% (60 - 79)% 1/84 65% (55 - 75)% 1/84 57% (46 - 67)% TURBT + doxorubicin + maintenance TURBT + epirubicin TURBT + epirubicin + maintenance TURBT + gemcitabine TURBT + interferon TURBT + interferon + maintenance TURBT + MMC TURBT + MMC + maintenance TURBT + Mitoxantrone + maintenance TURBT + Valrubicin Cystectomy TURBT + Phototherapy Copyright © 2007 American Urological Association Education and Research, Inc.® October 2007 Appendix Pg. 57 Single Arm Analysis – RCT data only Efficacy – Overall Survival – High Risk – Graph Overall Survival - High Risk TURBT - Overall TURBT + BCG Induction - Overall TURBT + BCG Induction + maintenance - 1 yr 2 yr 3 yr 4 yr 5 yr Overall 0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100% Estimated Occurrence Rate with 95% CI Copyright © 2007 American Urological Association Education and Research, Inc.® October 2007 Appendix Pg. 58 Single Arm Analysis – RCT data only Efficacy – Overall Survival – Low Risk 1 Year Treatment G/P 3 Years 2 Years Median CI (2.5 - 97.5)% G/P Median CI (2.5 - 97.5)% G/P Median CI (2.5 - 97.5)% TURBT TURBT + BCG TURBT + BCG + maintenance TURBT + BGC + Interferon TURBT + BGC + Interferon + maintenance TURBT + doxorubicin + maintenance TURBT + epirubicin TURBT + epirubicin + maintenance TURBT + gemcitabine TURBT + interferon TURBT + interferon + maintenance TURBT + MMC TURBT + MMC + maintenance TURBT + Mitoxantrone + maintenance TURBT + Valrubicin Cystectomy TURBT + Phototherapy Copyright © 2007 American Urological Association Education and Research, Inc.® October 2007 Appendix Pg. 59 Single Arm Analysis – RCT data only Efficacy – Overall Survival – Low Risk 4 Years Treatment G/P 5 Years Median CI (2.5 - 97.5)% G/P Median CI (2.5 - 97.5)% Overall/Unspecified G/P Median CI (2.5 - 97.5)% TURBT TURBT + BCG TURBT + BCG + maintenance TURBT + BGC + Interferon TURBT + BGC + Interferon + maintenance TURBT + doxorubicin + maintenance TURBT + epirubicin TURBT + epirubicin + maintenance TURBT + gemcitabine TURBT + interferon TURBT + interferon + maintenance TURBT + MMC TURBT + MMC + maintenance TURBT + Mitoxantrone + maintenance TURBT + Valrubicin Cystectomy TURBT + Phototherapy Copyright © 2007 American Urological Association Education and Research, Inc.® October 2007 Appendix Pg. 60 Appendix 8: Efficacy Balance sheets Single Arm Analysis Efficacy – Recurrence – Overall 1 Year Treatment TURBT G/P 31/2118 TURBT + BCG 21/1283 TURBT + BCG + maintenance 18/1841 TURBT + BGC + Interferon 1/230 TURBT + BGC + Interferon + maintenance 3/583 2 Years Median CI (2.5 - 97.5)% (26 - 38)% 32% G/P 32/2079 3 Years Median CI (2.5 - 97.5)% (36 - 50)% 43% G/P 27/1758 Median CI (2.5 - 97.5)% (42 - 55)% 49% 23% 23% 16% 40% (18 - 29)% (17 - 30)% (12 - 21)% (36 - 45)% 21/1283 17/1800 2/262 3/583 36% 30% 31% 61% (31 - 42)% (25 - 37)% (24 - 40)% (31 - 86)% 19/1123 16/1598 1/230 39% 36% 42% (33 - 48)% (30 - 42)% (36 - 49)% 24% 27% (16 - 35)% (20 - 34)% 3/220 12/1381 28% 40% (16 - 43)% (33 - 48)% 3/220 12/1381 31% 47% (17 - 47)% (41 - 54)% TURBT + doxorubicin + maintenance TURBT + epirubicin 5/286 TURBT + epirubicin + maintenance 12/1381 TURBT + gemcitabine 1/116 75% (66 - 82)% TURBT + interferon TURBT + interferon + maintenance 1/53 0% (0 - 0)% 1/53 27% (16 - 39)% 4/122 30% (21 - 40)% 4/367 9/1012 29% 29% (13 - 51)% (23 - 37)% 4/367 9/1012 44% 41% (28 - 60)% (33 - 49)% 4/367 9/1012 50% 44% (32 - 67)% (35 - 54)% TURBT + Valrubicin 2/138 79% (69 - 87)% Cystectomy 2/78 19% (4 - 48)% 2/78 32% (9 - 63)% 2/78 32% (9 - 63)% 1/34 91% (78 - 97)% TURBT + MMC TURBT + MMC + maintenance TURBT + Mitoxantrone + maintenance TURBT + Phototherapy Copyright © 2007 American Urological Association Education and Research, Inc.® October 2007 Appendix Pg. 61 Single Arm Analysis Efficacy – Recurrence – Overall 4 Years Treatment TURBT G/P 8/449 TURBT + BCG TURBT + BCG + maintenance TURBT + BGC + Interferon 6/538 10/912 1/230 5 Years Median CI (2.5 - 97.5)% (35 - 54)% 44% G/P 20/1467 Overall/Unspecified Median CI (2.5 - 97.5)% (40 - 54)% 47% G/P 42/2359 Median CI (2.5 - 97.5)% (46 - 56)% 51% TURBT + BGC + Interferon + maintenance 23/1484 31/3521 2/262 3/583 45% 29% 62% 49% (37 - 53)% (24 - 34)% (47 - 75)% (44 - 54)% TURBT + doxorubicin + maintenance 2/30 32% (15 - 54)% 5/252 4/211 31% 39% (22 - 42)% (27 - 52)% TURBT + gemcitabine 1/116 26% (19 - 35)% TURBT + interferon TURBT + interferon + maintenance 1/66 4/122 68% 30% (56 - 78)% (21 - 40)% 3/159 14/1453 50% 31% (31 - 68)% (24 - 39)% TURBT + Valrubicin 1/90 93% (87 - 97)% Cystectomy 1/4 5% (0 - 44)% 4/117 45% (27 - 64)% TURBT + epirubicin TURBT + epirubicin + maintenance TURBT + MMC TURBT + MMC + maintenance 3/220 5/753 6/728 38% 35% 56% 33% 59% 43% (29 - 49)% (29 - 41)% (50 - 62)% (20 - 49)% (53 - 65)% (31 - 56)% 9/888 11/1681 1/230 3/220 4/452 4/367 6/874 43% 43% 64% 33% 51% 59% 51% (34 - 52)% (35 - 51)% (58 - 70)% (20 - 49)% (35 - 67)% (45 - 71)% (40 - 62)% TURBT + Mitoxantrone + maintenance TURBT + Phototherapy Copyright © 2007 American Urological Association Education and Research, Inc.® October 2007 Appendix Pg. 62 Single Arm Analysis Efficacy – Recurrence – High Risk 1 Year Treatment TURBT TURBT + BCG TURBT + BCG + maintenance TURBT + BGC + Interferon TURBT + BGC + Interferon + maintenance G/P 8/410 3 Years 2 Years Median CI (2.5 - 97.5)% (28 - 52)% 39% 12/601 5/414 19% 18% (14 - 26)% (8 - 33)% 1/5 59% (21 - 91)% TURBT + epirubicin TURBT + epirubicin + maintenance 1/77 1/80 8% 46% (3 - 15)% (36 - 57)% TURBT + gemcitabine 2/116 59% (17 - 92)% G/P 8/410 Median CI (2.5 - 97.5)% (38 - 64)% 51% G/P 8/402 Median CI (2.5 - 97.5)% (43 - 70)% 57% 12/601 5/414 6/45 30% 26% 34% (24 - 36)% (18 - 36)% (20 - 50)% 12/539 5/414 36% 30% (30 - 43)% (21 - 41)% 1/77 3/118 13% 44% (7 - 22)% (23 - 65)% 1/77 1/80 16% 65% (9 - 25)% (55 - 75)% 3/69 30% (18 - 44)% 2/79 64% (40 - 83)% 1/31 52% (35 - 68)% TURBT + doxorubicin + maintenance TURBT + interferon TURBT + interferon + maintenance TURBT + MMC TURBT + MMC + maintenance 2/79 26% (16 - 39)% 2/79 54% (29 - 78)% TURBT + Valrubicin 1/89 81% (72 - 88)% 1/89 85% (77 - 92)% Cystectomy 1/31 36% (21 - 53)% 1/31 52% (35 - 68)% TURBT + Mitoxantrone + maintenance ( TURBT + Phototherapy Copyright © 2007 American Urological Association Education and Research, Inc.® October 2007 Appendix Pg. 63 Single Arm Analysis Efficacy – Recurrence – High Risk 4 Years Treatment TURBT TURBT + BCG TURBT + BCG + maintenance TURBT + BGC + Interferon TURBT + BGC + Interferon + maintenance G/P 1/17 5/256 3/299 5 Years Median CI (2.5 - 97.5)% (9 - 47)% 24% 10/546 5/414 Overall/Unspecified Median CI (2.5 - 97.5)% (41 - 69)% 56% Median CI (2.5 - 97.5)% (48 - 68)% 58% 39% 34% (32 - 48)% (28 - 41)% 1/2 50% (6 - 94)% 1/22 28% (12 - 48)% 5/151 2/38 35% 39% (21 - 51)% (12 - 72)% TURBT + gemcitabine 1/46 35% (22 - 49)% TURBT + interferon TURBT + interferon + maintenance 2/37 3/69 75% 30% (52 - 91)% (18 - 44)% 1/10 5/119 79% 37% (50 - 96)% (24 - 51)% TURBT + Valrubicin 1/89 93% (87 - 97)% Cystectomy 1/31 5% (0 - 44)% TURBT + Phototherapy 7/72 35% (24 - 48)% 43% 37% (34 - 52)% (26 - 49)% G/P 14/480 17/736 15/945 32% 37% (26 - 39)% (28 - 46)% G/P 6/278 TURBT + doxorubicin + maintenance TURBT + epirubicin TURBT + epirubicin + maintenance TURBT + MMC TURBT + MMC + maintenance 1/77 1/84 2/79 17% 70% 70% (10 - 26)% (60 - 79)% (50 - 85)% 1/77 3/118 1/16 17% 63% 62% (10 - 26)% (35 - 86)% (38 - 83)% TURBT + Mitoxantrone + maintenance Copyright © 2007 American Urological Association Education and Research, Inc.® October 2007 Appendix Pg. 64 Single Arm Analysis Efficacy – Recurrence – Low Risk 1 Year Treatment TURBT TURBT + BCG TURBT + BCG + maintenance TURBT + BGC + Interferon TURBT + BGC + Interferon + maintenance G/P 6/554 3 Years 2 Years Median CI (2.5 - 97.5)% (15 - 33)% 23% 1/6 4% (0 - 33)% 1/18 28% (11 - 51)% G/P 5/468 1/6 Median CI (2.5 - 97.5)% (28 - 50)% 38% 4% (0 - 33)% G/P 5/468 1/6 Median CI (2.5 - 97.5)% (35 - 55)% 45% 19% TURBT + doxorubicin + maintenance TURBT + epirubicin TURBT + epirubicin + maintenance TURBT + gemcitabine TURBT + interferon TURBT + interferon + maintenance TURBT + MMC TURBT + MMC + maintenance TURBT + Mitoxantrone + maintenance TURBT + Valrubicin Cystectomy TURBT + Phototherapy Copyright © 2007 American Urological Association Education and Research, Inc.® October 2007 Appendix Pg. 65 (2 - 56)% Single Arm Analysis Efficacy – Recurrence – Low Risk 4 Years Treatment TURBT TURBT + BCG TURBT + BCG + maintenance TURBT + BGC + Interferon TURBT + BGC + Interferon + maintenance G/P 1/19 1/6 5 Years Median CI (2.5 - 97.5)% (31 - 73)% 53% 19% (2 - 56)% G/P 5/468 1/6 Overall/Unspecified Median CI (2.5 - 97.5)% (41 - 64)% 52% 19% (2 - 56)% G/P 8/546 Median CI (2.5 - 97.5)% (34 - 59)% 46% 1/6 19% (2 - 56)% 1/18 28% (11 - 51)% 2/29 10% (2 - 30)% 1/9 2% (0 - 24)% TURBT + doxorubicin + maintenance TURBT + epirubicin TURBT + epirubicin + maintenance TURBT + gemcitabine TURBT + interferon TURBT + interferon + maintenance TURBT + MMC TURBT + MMC + maintenance TURBT + Mitoxantrone + maintenance TURBT + Valrubicin Cystectomy TURBT + Phototherapy Copyright © 2007 American Urological Association Education and Research, Inc.® October 2007 Appendix Pg. 66 Single Arm Analysis Efficacy – Progression – Overall 1 Year Treatment# TURBT TURBT + BCG TURBT + BCG + maintenance TURBT + BGC + Interferon TURBT + BGC + Interferon + maintenance G/P 8/578 2 Years Median CI (2.5 - 97.5)% (3 - 14)% 7% G/P 10/646 3 Years Median CI (2.5 - 97.5)% (7 - 29)% 16% G/P 7/458 Median CI (2.5 - 97.5)% (12 - 40)% 24% 16/1229 8/1150 10% 6% (7 - 14)% (4 - 8)% 16/1229 8/1150 16% 8% (12 - 21)% (4 - 13)% 16/1229 8/1150 20% 9% (16 - 25)% (5 - 15)% 2/363 7% (2 - 16)% 2/363 14% (4 - 33)% 2/363 16% (5 - 36)% 2/415 0% (0 - 1)% 2/415 3% (2 - 6)% 2/415 5% (3 - 8)% 1/29 14% (5 - 30)% 1/29 28% (14 - 45)% 1/29 35% (19 - 53)% TURBT + doxorubicin + maintenance TURBT + epirubicin TURBT + epirubicin + maintenance TURBT + gemcitabine TURBT + interferon TURBT + interferon + maintenance TURBT + MMC TURBT + MMC + maintenance TURBT + Mitoxantrone + maintenance TURBT + Valrubicin Cystectomy TURBT + Phototherapy Copyright © 2007 American Urological Association Education and Research, Inc.® October 2007 Appendix Pg. 67 Single Arm Analysis Efficacy – Progression – Overall 4 Years Treatment TURBT TURBT + BCG TURBT + BCG + maintenance TURBT + BGC + Interferon TURBT + BGC + Interferon + maintenance G/P 1/28 5 Years Median CI (2.5 - 97.5)% (49 - 83)% 68% G/P 7/458 Overall/Unspecified Median CI (2.5 - 97.5)% (16 - 46)% 29% G/P 38/2193 Median CI (2.5 - 97.5)% (9 - 16)% 12% 20/1280 28/2627 2/267 3/502 16% 11% 20% 7% (12 - 20)% (9 - 14)% (15 - 27)% (4 - 11)% TURBT + epirubicin TURBT + epirubicin + maintenance 9/1204 5% (2 - 8)% TURBT + gemcitabine 1/116 6% (3 - 11)% TURBT + interferon TURBT + interferon + maintenance 4/122 9% (4 - 17)% 4/180 11/1180 7% 10% (3 - 13)% (7 - 14)% 1/90 49% (39 - 59)% 19% (10 - 30)% 19% (7 - 37)% 4/561 4/491 22% 17% (14 - 32)% (12 - 22)% 16/1139 8/1150 28% 15% (23 - 34)% (10 - 20)% TURBT + doxorubicin + maintenance TURBT + MMC TURBT + MMC + maintenance 1/173 8% (5 - 13)% 2/415 7% (4 - 11)% TURBT + Mitoxantrone + maintenance TURBT + Valrubicin 1/29 Cystectomy 35% (19 - 53)% 3/77 TURBT + Phototherapy Copyright © 2007 American Urological Association Education and Research, Inc.® October 2007 Appendix Pg. 68 Single Arm Analysis Efficacy – Progression – High Risk 1 Year Treatment TURBT TURBT + BCG TURBT + BCG + maintenance TURBT + BGC + Interferon TURBT + BGC + Interferon + maintenance G/P 5/191 2 Years Median CI (2.5 - 97.5)% (9 - 34)% 19% G/P 7/259 3 Years Median CI (2.5 - 97.5)% (16 - 42)% 27% G/P 5/191 Median CI (2.5 - 97.5)% (19 - 50)% 33% 13/581 5/400 13% 8% (9 - 17)% (5 - 13)% 13/631 5/400 20% 12% (16 - 25)% (8 - 17)% 13/539 5/400 24% 15% (20 - 30)% (11 - 20)% 1/84 12% (6 - 20)% 1/84 26% (18 - 37)% 1/84 29% (20 - 39)% 1/16 1% (0 - 14)% 1/16 13% (3 - 34)% 1/16 19% (6 - 42)% 1/29 14% (5 - 30)% 1/29 28% (14 - 45)% 1/29 35% (19 - 53)% TURBT + doxorubicin + maintenance TURBT + epirubicin TURBT + epirubicin + maintenance TURBT + gemcitabine TURBT + interferon TURBT + interferon + maintenance TURBT + MMC TURBT + MMC + maintenance TURBT + Mitoxantrone + maintenance TURBT + Valrubicin Cystectomy TURBT + Phototherapy Copyright © 2007 American Urological Association Education and Research, Inc.® October 2007 Appendix Pg. 69 Single Arm Analysis Efficacy – Progression – High Risk 4 Years Treatment TURBT TURBT + BCG TURBT + BCG + maintenance TURBT + BGC + Interferon TURBT + BGC + Interferon + maintenance G/P 1/28 5 Years Median CI (2.5 - 97.5)% (49 - 83)% 68% G/P 5/191 Overall/Unspecified Median CI (2.5 - 97.5)% (24 - 55)% 38% G/P 8/370 Median CI (2.5 - 97.5)% (12 - 30)% 20% 20/1104 15/791 21% 19% (16 - 27)% (16 - 23)% 2/7 14% (1 - 50)% 3/122 20% (5 - 46)% TURBT + gemcitabine 2/116 8% (1 - 23)% TURBT + interferon TURBT + interferon + maintenance 3/69 10% (3 - 21)% 1/10 4/101 11% 8% (1 - 38)% (3 - 16)% 1/90 49% (39 - 59)% 4/228 36% (22 - 51)% 2/198 3/299 30% 16% (16 - 46)% (11 - 22)% 13/631 5/400 31% 19% (27 - 36)% (14 - 24)% TURBT + doxorubicin + maintenance TURBT + epirubicin TURBT + epirubicin + maintenance TURBT + MMC TURBT + MMC + maintenance 1/84 1/16 31% 38% (21 - 40)% (17 - 62)% 1/84 1/16 30% 38% (21 - 40)% (17 - 62)% TURBT + Mitoxantrone + maintenance TURBT + Valrubicin 1/29 Cystectomy 35% (19 - 53)% TURBT + Phototherapy Copyright © 2007 American Urological Association Education and Research, Inc.® October 2007 Appendix Pg. 70 Single Arm Analysis Efficacy – Progression – Low Risk 1 Year Treatment TURBT G/P 1/152 3 Years 2 Years Median CI (2.5 - 97.5)% (0 - 4)% 1% G/P 1/152 Median CI (2.5 - 97.5)% (4 - 13)% 8% G/P 1/152 Median CI (2.5 - 97.5)% (8 - 18)% 12% TURBT + BCG TURBT + BCG + maintenance TURBT + BGC + Interferon TURBT + BGC + Interferon + maintenance TURBT + doxorubicin + maintenance TURBT + epirubicin TURBT + epirubicin + maintenance TURBT + gemcitabine TURBT + interferon TURBT + interferon + maintenance TURBT + MMC TURBT + MMC + maintenance TURBT + Mitoxantrone + maintenance TURBT + Valrubicin Cystectomy TURBT + Phototherapy Copyright © 2007 American Urological Association Education and Research, Inc.® October 2007 Appendix Pg. 71 Single Arm Analysis Efficacy – Progression – Low Risk 4 Years Treatment TURBT G/P 5 Years Median CI (2.5 - 97.5)% G/P 1/152 Median CI (2.5 - 97.5)% (11 - 23)% 16% TURBT + BCG TURBT + BCG + maintenance TURBT + BGC + Interferon TURBT + BGC + Interferon + maintenance Overall/Unspecified G/P 4/907 Median CI (2.5 - 97.5)% (2 - 17)% 8% 2/29 13% (2 - 36)% 2/29 4% (0- 18)% 1/1 16% (0 - 85)% TURBT + doxorubicin + maintenance TURBT + epirubicin TURBT + epirubicin + maintenance TURBT + gemcitabine TURBT + interferon TURBT + interferon + maintenance TURBT + MMC TURBT + MMC + maintenance TURBT + Mitoxantrone + maintenance TURBT + Valrubicin Cystectomy TURBT + Phototherapy Copyright © 2007 American Urological Association Education and Research, Inc.® October 2007 Appendix Pg. 72 Single Arm Analysis Efficacy – Disease Specific Survival – Overall 1 Year Treatment TURBT TURBT + BCG TURBT + BCG + maintenance TURBT + BGC + Interferon TURBT + BGC + Interferon + maintenance G/P 2/111 2 Years Median CI (2.5 - 97.5)% (89 - 99)% 96% G/P 2/111 3 Years Median CI (2.5 - 97.5)% (78 - 95)% 89% G/P 2/111 Median CI (2.5 - 97.5)% (76 - 93)% 85% 7/523 3/285 98% 98% (96 - 99)% (96 - 100)% 7/523 3/285 94% 95% (91 - 96)% (91 - 98)% 7/523 3/285 89% 93% (83 - 92)% (86 - 97)% 3/107 92% (80 - 98)% 4/121 89% (72 - 97)% 3/107 85% (62 - 97)% TURBT + doxorubicin + maintenance TURBT + epirubicin TURBT + epirubicin + maintenance TURBT + gemcitabine TURBT + interferon TURBT + interferon + maintenance TURBT + MMC TURBT + MMC + maintenance TURBT + Mitoxantrone + maintenance TURBT + Valrubicin Cystectomy TURBT + Phototherapy Copyright © 2007 American Urological Association Education and Research, Inc.® October 2007 Appendix Pg. 73 Single Arm Analysis Efficacy – Disease Specific Survival – Overall 4 Years Treatment G/P 5 Years Median CI (2.5 - 97.5)% TURBT TURBT + BCG TURBT + BCG + maintenance TURBT + BGC + Interferon TURBT + BGC + Interferon + maintenance 2/198 1/145 80% 95% (72 - 86)% (91 - 98)% G/P 2/111 7/523 3/285 Overall/Unspecified Median CI (2.5 - 97.5)% (64-87)% 77% 80% 86% (71 - 86)% (72 - 95)% G/P 13/1162 Median CI (2.5 - 97.5)% (86 - 96)% 92% 11/1018 17/1948 1/37 2/457 86% 89% 97% 99% (79 - 90)% (82 - 94)% (88 - 100)% (97 - 100)% 6/1018 96% (93 - 98)% 2/102 9/1225 91% 94% (79 - 98)% (92 - 96)% 1/90 95% (90 - 98)% 2/43 67% (44 - 85)% 1/34 88% (74 - 96)% TURBT + doxorubicin + maintenance TURBT + epirubicin TURBT + epirubicin + maintenance TURBT + gemcitabine TURBT + interferon TURBT + interferon + maintenance TURBT + MMC TURBT + MMC + maintenance TURBT + Mitoxantrone + maintenance TURBT + Valrubicin 2/43 Cystectomy 61% (38 - 81)% TURBT + Phototherapy Copyright © 2007 American Urological Association Education and Research, Inc.® October 2007 Appendix Pg. 74 Single Arm Analysis Efficacy – Disease Specific Survival – High Risk 1 Year Treatment G/P TURBT TURBT + BCG TURBT + BCG + maintenance TURBT + BGC + Interferon TURBT + BGC + Interferon + maintenance 2 Years Median CI (2.5 - 97.5)% (89 - 99)% 96% G/P 3 Years Median CI (2.5 - 97.5)% (78 - 95)% 89% G/P Median CI (2.5 - 97.5)% (74 - 93)% 85% 10/528 3/285 96% 98% (91 - 98)% (96 - 100)% 10/528 3/285 92% 95% (88 - 95)% (91 - 98)% 10/528 3/285 86% 93% (81 - 91)% (86 - 97)% 2/60 88% (70 - 98)% 3/74 78% (64 - 89)% 2/60 76% (58 - 89)% TURBT + doxorubicin + maintenance TURBT + epirubicin TURBT + epirubicin + maintenance TURBT + gemcitabine TURBT + interferon TURBT + interferon + maintenance TURBT + MMC TURBT + MMC + maintenance TURBT + Mitoxantrone + maintenance TURBT + Valrubicin Cystectomy TURBT + Phototherapy Copyright © 2007 American Urological Association Education and Research, Inc.® October 2007 Appendix Pg. 75 Single Arm Analysis Efficacy – Disease Specific Survival – High Risk 4 Years Treatment G/P 5 Years Median CI (2.5 - 97.5)% G/P TURBT TURBT + BCG TURBT + BCG + maintenance TURBT + BGC + Interferon TURBT + BGC + Interferon + maintenance 2/198 1/145 80% 95% (72 - 86)% (91 - 98)% 10/528 3/285 Overall/Unspecified Median CI (2.5 - 97.5)% (64 - 87)% 77% 82% 86% (74 - 89)% (72 - 95)% G/P 6/412 Median CI (2.5 - 97.5)% (84 - 97)% 93% 8/590 12/813 83% 80% (74 - 89)% (67 - 89)% 1/84 83% (74 - 90)% 1/10 98% (78 - 100)% 1/90 95% (90 - 98)% 1/14 57% (32 - 80)% TURBT + doxorubicin + maintenance TURBT + epirubicin TURBT + epirubicin + maintenance TURBT + gemcitabine TURBT + interferon TURBT + interferon + maintenance TURBT + MMC TURBT + MMC + maintenance TURBT + Mitoxantrone + maintenance TURBT + Valrubicin Cystectomy 2/43 61% (38 - 81)% TURBT + Phototherapy Copyright © 2007 American Urological Association Education and Research, Inc.® October 2007 Appendix Pg. 76 Single Arm Analysis Efficacy – Disease Specific Survival – Low Risk 1 Year Treatment G/P 2 Years Median CI (2.5 - 97.5)% G/P Median CI (2.5 - 97.5)% 3 Years G/P Median CI (2.5 - 97.5)% TURBT TURBT + BCG TURBT + BCG + maintenance TURBT + BGC + Interferon TURBT + BGC + Interferon + maintenance TURBT + doxorubicin + maintenance TURBT + epirubicin TURBT + epirubicin + maintenance TURBT + gemcitabine TURBT + interferon TURBT + interferon + maintenance TURBT + MMC TURBT + MMC + maintenance TURBT + Mitoxantrone + maintenance TURBT + Valrubicin Cystectomy TURBT + Phototherapy Copyright © 2007 American Urological Association Education and Research, Inc.® October 2007 Appendix Pg. 77 Single Arm Analysis Efficacy – Disease Specific Survival – Low Risk 4 Years Treatment / G/P 5 Years Median CI (2.5 - 97.5)% G/P Median CI (2.5 - 97.5)% TURBT TURBT + BCG TURBT + BCG + maintenance TURBT + BGC + Interferon TURBT + BGC + Interferon + maintenance Overall/Unspecified G/P 4/907 1/23 Median CI (2.5 - 97.5)% (95 - 99)% 97% 99% TURBT + doxorubicin + maintenance TURBT + epirubicin TURBT + epirubicin + maintenance TURBT + gemcitabine TURBT + interferon TURBT + interferon + maintenance TURBT + MMC TURBT + MMC + maintenance TURBT + Mitoxantrone + maintenance TURBT + Valrubicin Cystectomy TURBT + Phototherapy Copyright © 2007 American Urological Association Education and Research, Inc.® October 2007 Appendix Pg. 78 (90 - 100)% Single Arm Analysis Efficacy – Overall Survival – Overall 1 Year Treatment TURBT TURBT + BCG TURBT + BCG + maintenance TURBT + BGC + Interferon G/P 3/286 2 Years Median CI (2.5 - 97.5)% (95 - 99)% 98% G/P 3/286 3 Years Median CI (2.5 - 97.5)% (87 - 96)% 92% G/P 3/286 Median CI (2.5 - 97.5)% (80 - 93)% 88% 5/499 5/976 97% 97% (95 - 99)% (95 - 98)% 5/499 5/976 93% 93% (88 - 96)% (90 - 94)% 5/499 5/976 88% 88% (79 - 93)% (85 - 90)% 2/363 94% (91 - 97)% 2/363 87% (80 - 92)% 2/363 82% (75 - 87)% 2/292 96% (92 - 98)% 2/292 94% (90 - 97)% 2/292 91% (86 - 95)% 1/29 86% (70 95)% 1/29 76% (58 - 88)% 1/29 69% (51 - 83)% TURBT + BGC + Interferon + maintenance TURBT + doxorubicin + maintenance TURBT + epirubicin TURBT + epirubicin + maintenance TURBT + gemcitabine TURBT + interferon TURBT + interferon + maintenance TURBT + MMC TURBT + MMC + maintenance TURBT + Mitoxantrone + maintenance TURBT + Valrubicin Cystectomy TURBT + Phototherapy Copyright © 2007 American Urological Association Education and Research, Inc.® October 2007 Appendix Pg. 79 Single Arm Analysis Efficacy – Overall Survival – Overall 4 Years Treatment TURBT TURBT + BCG TURBT + BCG + maintenance TURBT + BGC + Interferon G/P 2/225 1/192 3/421 5 Years Median CI (2.5 - 97.5)% (76 - 91)% 85% 84% 83% (78 - 88)% (75 - 88)% G/P 3/286 Overall/Unspecified Median CI (2.5 - 97.5)% (66 - 79)% 73% G/P 12/1142 Median CI (2.5 - 97.5)% (70 - 87)% 79% 4/499 5/976 82% 77% (72 - 90)% (73 - 81)% 10/956 17/1714 1/37 2/490 72% 82% 92% 96% (60 - 81)% (77 - 86)% (80 - 98)% (94 - 98)% 2/363 70% (60 - 79)% 6/1022 87% (79 - 93)% 2/292 82% (75 - 87)% 1/92 9/1213 85% 84% (76 - 91)% (76 - 91)% 1/90 92% (85 - 96)% 1/29 52% (34 - 69)% 1/34 65% (48 - 79)% TURBT + BGC + Interferon + maintenance TURBT + doxorubicin + maintenance TURBT + epirubicin TURBT + epirubicin + maintenance TURBT + gemcitabine TURBT + interferon TURBT + interferon + maintenance TURBT + MMC TURBT + MMC + maintenance 2/292 86% (80 - 91)% TURBT + Mitoxantrone + maintenance TURBT + Valrubicin Cystectomy 1/29 TURBT + Phototherapy 55% (37 - 72)% Copyright © 2007 American Urological Association Education and Research, Inc.® October 2007 Appendix Pg. 80 Single Arm Analysis Efficacy – Overall Survival – High Risk 1 Year Treatmento TURBT TURBT + BCG TURBT + BCG + maintenance TURBT + BGC + Interferon TURBT + BGC + Interferon + maintenance G/P 1/61 2 Years Median CI (2.5 - 97.5)% (93 - 100)% 98% G/P 1/61 3 Years Median CI (2.5 - 97.5)% (83 - 97)% 92% G/P 1/61 Median CI (2.5 - 97.5)% (71 - 90)% 82% 3/188 1/229 98% 98% (94 - 99)% (94 - 100)% 3/188 1/229 93% 93% (81 - 98)% (87 - 97)% 3/188 1/229 88% 87% (68 - 97)% (80 - 92)% 1/84 94% (87 - 98)% 1/84 84% (76 - 91)% 1/84 80% (70 - 87)% 1/29 86% (70 - 95)% 1/29 76% (58 - 88)% 1/29 69% (51 - 83)% TURBT + doxorubicin + maintenance TURBT + epirubicin TURBT + epirubicin + maintenance TURBT + gemcitabine TURBT + interferon TURBT + interferon + maintenance TURBT + MMC TURBT + MMC + maintenance TURBT + Mitoxantrone + maintenance TURBT + Valrubicin Cystectomy TURBT + Phototherapy Copyright © 2007 American Urological Association Education and Research, Inc.® October 2007 Appendix Pg. 81 Single Arm Analysis Efficacy – Overall Survival – High Risk 4 Years Treatmento G/P 5 Years Median CI (2.5 - 97.5)% TURBT TURBT + BCG TURBT + BCG + maintenance TURBT + BGC + Interferon TURBT + BGC + Interferon + maintenance G/P 1/61 Overall/Unspecified Median CI (2.5 - 97.5)% (58 - 81)% 70% G/P 4/216 Median CI (2.5 - 97.5)% (34 - 52)% 43% 1/229 80% (68 - 89)% 3/188 1/229 81% 76% (64 - 92)% (63 - 87)% 6/465 7/546 80% 75% (67 - 90)% (68 - 81)% 1/84 70% (60 - 79)% 1/84 65% (55 - 75)% 1/84 57% (46 - 67)% 1/90 92% (85 - 96)% 1/29 52% (34 - 69)% TURBT + doxorubicin + maintenance TURBT + epirubicin TURBT + epirubicin + maintenance TURBT + gemcitabine TURBT + interferon TURBT + interferon + maintenance TURBT + MMC TURBT + MMC + maintenance TURBT + Mitoxantrone + maintenance TURBT + Valrubicin Cystectomy 1/29 55% (37 - 72)% TURBT + Phototherapy Copyright © 2007 American Urological Association Education and Research, Inc.® October 2007 Appendix Pg. 82 Single Arm Analysis Efficacy – Overall Survival – Low Risk 1 Year Treatment G/P 3 Years 2 Years Median CI (2.5 - 97.5)% G/P Median CI (2.5 - 97.5)% G/P Median CI (2.5 - 97.5)% TURBT TURBT + BCG TURBT + BCG + maintenance TURBT + BGC + Interferon TURBT + BGC + Interferon + maintenance TURBT + doxorubicin + maintenance TURBT + epirubicin TURBT + epirubicin + maintenance TURBT + gemcitabine TURBT + interferon TURBT + interferon + maintenance TURBT + MMC TURBT + MMC + maintenance TURBT + Mitoxantrone + maintenance TURBT + Valrubicin Cystectomy TURBT + Phototherapy Copyright © 2007 American Urological Association Education and Research, Inc.® October 2007 Appendix Pg. 83 Single Arm Analysis Efficacy – Overall Survival – Low Risk 4 Years Treatment G/P 5 Years Median CI (2.5 - 97.5)% G/P Median CI (2.5 - 97.5)% TURBT Overall/Unspecified G/P 2/255 Median CI (2.5 - 97.5)% (77 - 89)% 84% TURBT + BCG TURBT + BCG + maintenance TURBT + BGC + Interferon TURBT + BGC + Interferon + maintenance TURBT + doxorubicin + maintenance TURBT + epirubicin TURBT + epirubicin + maintenance TURBT + gemcitabine TURBT + interferon TURBT + interferon + maintenance TURBT + MMC TURBT + MMC + maintenance TURBT + Mitoxantrone + maintenance TURBT + Valrubicin Cystectomy TURBT + Phototherapy Copyright © 2007 American Urological Association Education and Research, Inc.® October 2007 Appendix Pg. 84 Appendix 9: Complications and Adverse Events Categories Complications Groupings AUA Bladder Cancer Guideline Panel Complications Groupings Bladder Contracture Bladder Contracture Bladder contracture Reduced bladder capacity Bladder Contracture - Surgery Required Bladder contracture - Surgery required Death Death Death due to complications Local Side Effects Bladder Spasm/Pain Abdominal pain Adductor spasm Bladder spams Bladder spasm Bladder spasms Bladder spasms/dysuria Cramp Pain Pelvic pain Scrotal pain Spasm Suprapubic pain Epid/Prost/Ureth Infections Epid/prost/ureth. Infections Epididymitis Epididymo-orchitis Prostatitis (granulamatous) Hematuria Clot retention Gross hematuria Hematuria Impotence Impotence Incontinence Incontinence Copyright © 2007 American Urological Association Education and Research, Inc.® October 2007 Appendix Pg. 85 AUA Bladder Cancer Guideline Panel Complications Groupings LUTS Cystitis - Bacterial Cystitis - Non-bacterial Cystitis N/S Disturbing local @ 12 months Disturbing local @ 12 months Disturbing local @ 3 months Disturbing local @ 3 months Dysuria Frequency lasting 3 weeks Frequency/nocturia Frequent dysuria, non-bacterial cystitis Infection Infection/inflammation Irritation Irritative voiding Local Local toxicity Local ulceration Mild dysuria/freq/hematuria Mod dysuria/freq/hematuria Other local Other local side effects Pain on urination Painful urination Pollakisuria Pyuria Thermal reaction Tissue reaction Urethral discomfort or pain Urgency Very distrubing local @ 12 months Very disturbing local @ 12 months Very disturbing local @ 3 months Very disturbing local @ 3 months Urethral Stricture Difficulty catheterizing Urethral stricture Urinary Obstruction Urinary obstruction Urinary Retention Hypotomic bladder Urinary retention Copyright © 2007 American Urological Association Education and Research, Inc.® October 2007 Appendix Pg. 86 AUA Bladder Cancer Guideline Panel Complications Groupings Skin Rash Skin Rash Palmar rash Phototoxic skin reaction Pruritis Rash Skin photoxicity Skin rash Systemic Bowel Perforation/Injury - Surgery required Bowel perforation/Injury - Surgery required Cardiovascular Cardiovascular Tachycardia Change in LFT (Increased) transaminases Alk Phos (elevated) Alk Phos > 1.25 x ULN Elevated LFTS (gr 1-2) Gama GT > 1.25 x ULN GPT (elevated) Grandomatous hepatitis Hepatitis Hepatotoxicity Hepatotoxicty SGOT > 1.25 x ULN SGPT > 1.25 x ULN Fever/Chills/Flu Symptoms Arthralgia Arthritis Asthenia Back ache Back pain Fatigue Fever Fever only Fever plus local side effects Fever requiring delay or discontuation of instillations Fever T < 38.5 Fever T > 38.5 Fever/anorexia/malaise Fever/chills Flu symptoms Malaise Malaise/chills Malaise/fatigue Muscaloskeletal Myalgia/arthralgia Copyright © 2007 American Urological Association Education and Research, Inc.® October 2007 Appendix Pg. 87 AUA Bladder Cancer Guideline Panel Complications Groupings Lung Cough Hypoxemia Lung granuloma Lung infection Pneumonia Pneumonia - interstitial Nausea/Vomiting All GI Anorexia GI Nausea/vomiting Neuro Changes All CVS Dizziness Fear Headache Insomnia Neurologic Occular/visual Renal Insufficiency Renal dysfunction Renal morbidity Systemic - any Allergic reaction Allergic reactions Allergy Any consideracle side effects" Disturbing systemic @ 12 months Disturbing systemic @ 12 months Disturbing systemic @ 3 months Disturbing systemic @ 3 months Hematologic abnormalities Hemodynamic side effects Hot flashes Hypertension Hypotension Other systemic Other systemic side effects Patients hospitalized for complications Systemic -any Systemic side effects Very disturbing systemic @ 12 months Very disturbing systemic @ 3 months Systemic - Infection BCG lung BCG sepsis INH for toxicity INH stop for toxicity Systemic Infection Urosepsis Copyright © 2007 American Urological Association Education and Research, Inc.® October 2007 Appendix Pg. 88 AUA Bladder Cancer Guideline Panel Complications Groupings Transfusion Transfusion intraoperative Transfusion total Treatment Delay/Cancellation Treatment Delayed Treatment delayed Treatment Discontinued due to CX Discontinue therapy for complications Discontinued therapy due to complications Patients discontinuing therapy due to complications Severe symptoms requiring withdrawal of therapy Treatment discontinued Treatment stopped for complications Treatment not Completed Not completed instillation Urinary Extravasation Urine Extravasation/Obstruction Urine extravasation/obstruct Urine Extravasation/Obstruction - no Surgery required Extraperitoneal perforation Urine extravasation/obstruction - no Surgery required Urine Extravasation/Obstruction - Surgery required Intraperitoneal perforation Required cystectomy Urine extravasation/obstruction - Surgery required Copyright © 2007 American Urological Association Education and Research, Inc.® October 2007 Appendix Pg. 89 Appendix 10: Complications Balance Sheets Bladder Cancer Guideline Update Panel Complications - Summary Bladder Contracture Med CI (2.5 - 97.5)% Epid/Prost/Urethral Infections Med CI (2.5 - 97.5)% Hematuria Med CI (2.5 - 97.5)% Med LUTS CI (2.5 - 97.5)% 3/3043 2% (0 - 5)% Fever/Chills/ Flu Symptoms Med CI (2.5 - 97.5)% Systemic Infection Med CI (2.5 - 97.5)% TURBT alone Groups/Patients Minimal Overlap (or none) Maximal Overlap (if minimal) 1/27 1% (0 - 9)% Groups/Patients Minimal Overlap (or none) Maximal Overlap (if minimal) 1/21 1% (0 - 11)% 2/168 4% (0 - 16)% 11/527 29% (21 - 38)% 17/1584 59% 38% (42 - 74)% (28 - 49)% 14/1233 26% 19% (16 - 39)% (13 - 28)% 8/949 3% (2 - 6)% 6/443 4% (2 - 6)% 17/1523 20% (13 - 30% 22/1753 71% 57% (56 - 83)% (44 - 69)% 20/1667 30% 22% (22 - 41)% (16 - 30)% 2/209 2% (0 - 8)% 3/309 30% 26% (17 - 47)% (13 - 43)% 2/220 16% (11 - 23)% TURBT + BCG Induction 1/23 1% (0 - 10)% 4/255 7% (2 - 17)% TURBT + BCG Induction + BCG Maint Groups/Patients Minimal Overlap (or none) Maximal Overlap (if minimal) TURBT + MMC: Single Dose Post-op Groups/Patients Minimal Overlap (or none) Maximal Overlap (if minimal) TURBT + MMC Induction Groups/Patients Minimal Overlap (or none) Maximal Overlap (if minimal) 5/418 16% (9 - 25)% 7/657 58% 24% (32 - 81)% (16 - 34)% 4/544 19% (10 - 31)% 9/843 31% 22% (19 - 44)% (15 - 30)% TURBT + MMC Induction + MMC Maint Groups/Patients Minimal Overlap (or none) Maximal Overlap (if minimal) 2/234 5% (2 - 11)% 1/26 8% (2 - 22)% Copyright © 2007 American Urological Association Education and Research, Inc.® October 2007 Appendix Pg. 90 Bladder Cancer Guideline Update Panel Complications Bladder Contracture Bladder Contracture Bladder Contracture - Surgery required Local Side Effects Bladder Spasm/Pain Epid/Prost/Ureth Infections Hematuria Impotence Incontinence LUTS Urinary Obstruction Urinary Retention TURBT (1) G/P Minimal Overlap (or none) Med CI (2.5 - 97.5)% 1/27 1% (0 - 9)% 1/2821 2% (1 - 2)% 3/3043 2% TURBT + BCG Induction (2) Maximal Overlap (if also minimal) Med CI (2.5 - 97.5)% (0 - 5)% Skin Rash Systemic Bowel Perforation/Injury - Surgery required Cardiovascular Change in LFT Fever/Chills/Flu Symptoms Lung Nausea/Vomiting Neuro Changes Renal Insufficiency Systemic - any Systemic - Infection Transfusion 1/2821 1% 1/2821 1/2821 1/2821 1% 2% 0% 1/21 1% (0 - 11)% 2/168 11/527 4% 29% (0 - 16)% (21 - 38)% 17/1584 59% (42 - 74)% 2/184 3% (0 - 8)% 1/33 4% (0 - 13)% 3/174 14/1233 1/91 3/277 1/123 1/21 4/752 1/23 10% 26% 2% 9% 1% 1% 4% 1% (3 - 22)% (16 - 39)% (0 - 7)% (5 - 14)% (0 - 4)% (0 - 11)% (1 - 9)% (0 - 10)% 4/364 1/88 8% 8% (2 - 19)% (4 - 15)% 1/93 2% (0 - 7)% (1 - 2)% Treatment Delay/Cancellation Treatment Discontinued due to CX Treatment not Completed Urinary Extravasation Urine Extravasation/Obstruction Urine Extravasation/Obstruction - no Surgery required Urine Extravasation/Obstruction - Surgery required G/P Minimal Overlap (or none) Med CI (2.5 - 97.5)% (1 - 2)% (2 - 3)% (0 - 1)% 1% 0% (1 - 2)% (0 - 0)% Copyright © 2007 American Urological Association Education and Research, Inc.® October 2007 Appendix Pg. 91 Maximal Overlap (if also minimal) Med CI (2.5 - 97.5)% 38% (28 - 49)% 9% 19% 1% (5 - 14)% (13 - 28)% (0 - 5)% Bladder Cancer Guideline Update Panel Complications TURBT + BCG Induction + Maint (3) G/P Bladder Contracture Bladder Contracture Bladder Contracture - Surgery required Local Side Effects Bladder Spasm/Pain Epid/Prost/Ureth Infections Hematuria Impotence Incontinence LUTS Urinary Obstruction Urinary Retention Skin Rash Systemic Bowel Perforation/Injury - Surgery required Cardiovascular Change in LFT Fever/Chills/Flu Symptoms Lung Nausea/Vomiting Neuro Changes Renal Insufficiency Systemic - any Systemic - Infection Transfusion Minimal Overlap (or none) Med CI (2.5 - 97.5)% 8/949 1/100 3% 1% (2 - 6)% (0 - 5)% 1/236 6/443 17/1523 1/17 0% 4% 20% 74% (0 - 3)% (2 - 6)% (13 - 30)% (54 - 88)% 22/1753 71% (56 - 83)% 1/236 1% (0 - 2)% 3/205 5% (2 - 11)% 1/236 20/1667 2/259 2/69 1/23 1% 30% 5% 17% 22% (0 - 3)% (22 - 41)% (0 - 22)% (8 - 30)% (9 - 41)% 2/168 4/255 41% 7% (7 - 85)% (2 - 17)% TURBT + BGC + Interferon (4) Maximal Overlap (if also minimal) Med CI (2.5 - 97.5)% G/P Minimal Overlap (or none) Med CI (2.5 - 97.5)% 1/32 53% (36 - 70)% 57% (44 - 69)% 1/32 99% (93 - 100)% 22% (16 - 30)% 1/32 96% (86 - 100)% 14% (4 - 31)% 24% (7 - 51)% Treatment Delay/Cancellation Treatment Discontinued due to CX Treatment not Completed Urinary Extravasation Urine Extravasation/Obstruction Urine Extravasation/Obstruction - no Surgery required Urine Extravasation/Obstruction - Surgery required Copyright © 2007 American Urological Association Education and Research, Inc.® October 2007 Appendix Pg. 92 Maximal Overlap (if also minimal) Med CI (2.5 - 97.5)% Bladder Cancer Guideline Update Panel Complications TURBT + BGC + Interferon + Maint (5) G/P Minimal Overlap (or none) Med CI (2.5 - 97.5)% 1/12 10% (1 - 33)% 3/469 6% (2 - 13)% 1/245 0% (0 - 1)% 2/457 1% (0 - 3)% 1/12 10% 2/457 2/457 1% 1% TURBT + Epirubicin (7) Maximal Overlap (if also minimal) Med CI (2.5 - 97.5)% G/P Minimal Overlap (or none) Med CI (2.5 - 97.5)% Maximal Overlap (if also minimal) Med CI (2.5 - 97.5)% Bladder Contracture Bladder Contracture Bladder Contracture - Surgery required Local Side Effects Bladder Spasm/Pain Epid/Prost/Ureth Infections Hematuria Impotence Incontinence LUTS Urinary Obstruction Urinary Retention Skin Rash Systemic Bowel Perforation/Injury - Surgery required Cardiovascular Change in LFT Fever/Chills/Flu Symptoms Lung Nausea/Vomiting Neuro Changes Renal Insufficiency Systemic - any Systemic - Infection Transfusion 1/30 1/91 6/373 50% 5% 17% (33 - 67)% (2 - 10)% (8 - 29)% 5/343 43% (26 - 62)% (1 - 33)% 3/147 4% (1 - 10)% (0 - 2)% (0 - 2)% 1/44 3% (0 - 10)% 5% (3 - 9)% Treatment Delay/Cancellation Treatment Discontinued due to CX Treatment not Completed Urinary Extravasation Urine Extravasation/Obstruction Urine Extravasation/Obstruction - no Surgery required Urine Extravasation/Obstruction - Surgery required Copyright © 2007 American Urological Association Education and Research, Inc.® October 2007 Appendix Pg. 93 26% (18 - 36)% Bladder Cancer Guideline Update Panel Complications TURBT + Epirubicin + Maintenance (8) G/P Bladder Contracture Bladder Contracture Bladder Contracture - Surgery required Local Side Effects Bladder Spasm/Pain Epid/Prost/Ureth Infections Hematuria Impotence Incontinence LUTS Urinary Obstruction Urinary Retention Skin Rash Systemic Bowel Perforation/Injury - Surgery required Cardiovascular Change in LFT Fever/Chills/Flu Symptoms Lung Nausea/Vomiting Neuro Changes Renal Insufficiency Systemic - any Systemic - Infection Transfusion Treatment Delay/Cancellation Treatment Discontinued due to CX Treatment not Completed Minimal Overlap (or none) Med CI (2.5 - 97.5)% 3/614 1% (0 - 2)% 2/122 29% (10 - 55)% 5/740 30% (21 - 41)% 8/931 45% (30 - 61)% 1/82 1% (0 - 6)% 1/82 0% (0 - 3)% 2/138 2% (0 - 7)% Maximal Overlap (if also minimal) Med CI (2.5 - 97.5)% 26% (20 - 32)% TURBT + Gemcitabine (9) G/P Minimal Overlap (or none) Med CI (2.5 - 97.5)% 2/128 12% (6 - 21)% 1/116 5% (2 - 10)% Urinary Extravasation Urine Extravasation/Obstruction Urine Extravasation/Obstruction - no Surgery required Urine Extravasation/Obstruction - Surgery required Copyright © 2007 American Urological Association Education and Research, Inc.® October 2007 Appendix Pg. 94 Maximal Overlap (if also minimal) Med CI (2.5 - 97.5)% Bladder Cancer Guideline Update Panel Complications TURBT + Interferon (10) G/P Minimal Overlap (or none) Med CI (2.5 - 97.5)% 2/54 15% Maximal Overlap (if also minimal) Med CI (2.5 - 97.5)% TURBT + MMC Induction (12) Minimal Overlap (or none) Med CI (2.5 - 97.5)% Maximal Overlap (if also minimal) Med CI (2.5 - 97.5)% 4/338 18% (9 - 32)% 12% (7 - 19)% 5/418 16% (9 - 25)% 7/657 58% (32 - 81)% 24% (16 - 34)% 3/274 10% (5 - 17)% 3/309 30% (17 - 47)% 26% (13 - 43)% 2/217 1/92 13% 1% (8 - 20)% (0 - 5)% 3/309 11% (7 - 17)% G/P Bladder Contracture Bladder Contracture Bladder Contracture - Surgery required Local Side Effects Bladder Spasm/Pain Epid/Prost/Ureth Infections Hematuria Impotence Incontinence LUTS Urinary Obstruction Urinary Retention 1/27 12% (6 - 28)% (3 - 27)% Skin Rash Systemic Bowel Perforation/Injury - Surgery required Cardiovascular Change in LFT Fever/Chills/Flu Symptoms Lung Nausea/Vomiting Neuro Changes Renal Insufficiency Systemic - any Systemic - Infection Transfusion 2/54 13% (5 - 26)% Treatment Delay/Cancellation Treatment Discontinued due to CX Treatment not Completed Urinary Extravasation Urine Extravasation/Obstruction Urine Extravasation/Obstruction - no Surgery required Urine Extravasation/Obstruction - Surgery required Copyright © 2007 American Urological Association Education and Research, Inc.® October 2007 Appendix Pg. 95 Bladder Cancer Guideline Update Panel Complications TURBT + MMC Induction + Maint (13) G/P Bladder Contracture Bladder Contracture Bladder Contracture - Surgery required Local Side Effects Bladder Spasm/Pain Epid/Prost/Ureth Infections Hematuria Impotence Incontinence LUTS Urinary Obstruction Urinary Retention Skin Rash Systemic Bowel Perforation/Injury - Surgery required Cardiovascular Change in LFT Fever/Chills/Flu Symptoms Lung Nausea/Vomiting Neuro Changes Renal Insufficiency Systemic - any Systemic - Infection Transfusion Minimal Overlap (or none) Med CI (2.5 - 97.5)% 2/234 5% (2 - 11)% 1/26 4/544 8% 19% (2 - 22)% (10 - 31)% 9/843 31% (19 - 44)% 1/57 7% (2 - 16)% 2/220 16% (11 - 23)% 2/415 10% (6 - 16)% TURBT + Valrubicin (15) Maximal Overlap (if also minimal) Med CI (2.5 - 97.5)% 22% (15 - 30)% G/P Minimal Overlap (or none) Med CI (2.5 - 97.5)% 1/40 28% (16 - 43)% 2/130 93% (68 - 100)% 1/90 6% (2 - 12)% Treatment Delay/Cancellation Treatment Discontinued due to CX Treatment not Completed Urinary Extravasation Urine Extravasation/Obstruction Urine Extravasation/Obstruction - no Surgery required Urine Extravasation/Obstruction - Surgery required Copyright © 2007 American Urological Association Education and Research, Inc.® October 2007 Appendix Pg. 96 Maximal Overlap (if also minimal) Med CI (2.5 - 97.5)% 56% (37 - 75)% Bladder Cancer Guideline Update Panel Complications Bladder Contracture Bladder Contracture Bladder Contracture - Surgery required Local Side Effects Bladder Spasm/Pain Epid/Prost/Ureth Infections Hematuria Impotence Incontinence LUTS Urinary Obstruction Urinary Retention Skin Rash Systemic Bowel Perforation/Injury - Surgery required Cardiovascular Change in LFT Fever/Chills/Flu Symptoms Lung Nausea/Vomiting Neuro Changes Renal Insufficiency Systemic - any Systemic - Infection Transfusion TURBT + Phototherapy (17) G/P Minimal Overlap (or none) Med CI (2.5 - 97.5)% 3/67 3% (0 - 10)% 1/34 99% (93 - 100% 1/31 23% (11 - 39)% 1/31 4/101 1/31 1% 83% 1% (0 - 8)% (53 - 98)% (0 - 8)% 4/101 2% (0 - 7)% 1/24 42% (24 - 61)% 1/24 50% (31 - 69)% 2/36 38% (2 - 90)% 1/34 6% (1 - 18)% Maximal Overlap (if also minimal) Med CI (2.5 - 97.5)% 99% (93 - 100% 83% (53 - 98)% Treatment Delay/Cancellation Treatment Discontinued due to CX Treatment not Completed Urinary Extravasation Urine Extravasation/Obstruction Urine Extravasation/Obstruction - no Surgery required Urine Extravasation/Obstruction - Surgery required Copyright © 2007 American Urological Association Education and Research, Inc.® October 2007 Appendix Pg. 97
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