Document 249982

WHY EVERYBODY
SHOULD HOLD
GAZ MÉTROPOLITAIN UNITS
RBC Capital Markets
Fifth Annual Income Trust Investor Symposium
Toronto, January 28, 2003
Table of Contents
I. Introduction
II. Company Overview
III. Why Hold GazMet Units
IV. Things to Remember
2
Introduction
GazMet: A Unique Breed!
Pure regulated utility play with a
limited partnership structure
Attractive 7.1% distribution yield;
15.1% annualized total return
since 1993
Distribution of business income;
cash flow ($100 M/year) kept for
business growth
Units not considered as foreign
property in a RRSP
General partner management
fees limited to $50,000/year
Limited responsibility of unitholders
Strong ownership
4
Company Overview
Mission and Objectives
Mission:
Transport and distribute natural gas
in Québec and the northeastern
portion of the United States
Pursue non-regulated activities in
the energy, water and fibre optics
fields
Objectives:
Financial:
Provide stable and predictable return
accompanied by growth in value over
time
Commercial:
Provide high-quality energy services at
the lowest possible cost
6
Positioning
3rd largest natural gas
distributor in Canada
#1 natural gas
distributor in Québec
(97% market share)
Sole natural gas
distributor in Vermont,
United States
7
Corporate Structure
HydroQuébec
Gaz de
France
Enbridge
41%
32%
18%
Others
9%
Noverco
100%
General
partner
GMi
Limited partners
77.4%
GMCLP
Distribution of
natural gas
• GMCLP
• Vermont Gas
GMi:
GMCLP:
TQM:
PNGTS:
Transportation of
natural gas
• TQM
• PNGTS
• Champion
22.6%
Public
Non-regulated
activities
• Energy services
• Water
• Fibre optics
Gaz Métropolitain, inc.
Gaz Métropolitain and Company, Limited Partnership
TQM Pipeline and Company, Limited Partnership
Portland Natural Gas Transmission System
8
2002 Highlights
Gas Deliveries 1
210.9 Bcf
+10.5
System length 1
10,061 Km
+ 209
(Normalized)
Number of customers 1
186,800 + 2,311
Number of employees 1
1,306
Credit Ratings 2 (S&P/DBRS)
A/A
(1) Québec and Vermont natural gas distribution.
(2) Long-term debt.
9
Market Penetration
Re s id e n t ia l ma r ke t
O ve r al l
Q u é be c
11%
16%
O n t a r io
62%
37%
Canada
50%
32%
Source: Statistics Canada.
Qu é b e c
Co al
1%
Na t u r a l
gas
16%
On t a r io
E l e c t r ic it y
20%
E l e c t r ic it y
42%
O il
41%
Co al
6%
Na t ur a l
gas
37%
O il
37%
10
Historical Financial Review
In millions of $, CAGR = compounded annual growth rate
Rate of Return
14.00%
1992
12.00%
1994
12.00%
1996
Gross Margin
1
10.75%
1998
9.72%
9.67%
2000
2002
381
433
474
481
533
556
1992
1994
1996
1998
2000
2002
CAGR = –3.6%
CAGR = +3.9%
Funds from Operations
Partner's Income
111
124
1992
1994
146
141
144
155
211
1996
1998
2000
2002
1992
CAGR = +3.4%
253
1994
276
1996
232
1998
2
266
286
2000
2002
CAGR = +3.1%
(1) Base
rate of return on partner's equity allocated to the Québec natural gas distribution
activity authorized by the Régie de l’énergie.
(2) Before change in non-cash working capital.
11
Why Hold GazMet Units
#1: Low Business Risk
97% of revenues regulated
Exclusive distribution rights in Québec
Attractive performance incentive mechanism
generous upside potential and limited
downside risk
No exposure to: commodity price, temperature,
interest rates, transportation and storage costs
Market risk mitigated by: natural gas attributes,
high conversion costs, need for natural gas in
certain industrial processes, take-or-pay
contracts with large industrial customers
13
#2: Very High Stability in Cash
Distributions
Increase in quarterly income distributions from $0.32 to $0.34 per unit
starting January 1st, 2003. On an annual basis, the income distributions
should reach $1.36, which represents an increase of $0.08 per unit, or
6.3%.
$1.40
$1.36*
$1.30
$1.25 $1.25
1999
$1.28
$1.28 $1.27
$1.24
2000
2001
2002
2003
Income per unit
Distribution per unit
* Annualized distribution.
14
#3: Attractive Distribution Yield
GazMet offers an attractive distribution yield considering it
keeps its free cash flow ($100 M per year) to support its
business growth.
Current Yield
= 7.1%
Assuming
additional
distribution of
$100 M of free CF
Assuming
additional
distribution of
$100 M of free
CF and $30 M in
asset depletion
Yield = 11.9%
Yield = 13.3%
($1.36/$19.05)
15
#4: Long-Term Sustainable Growth
In a bull or bear market, GazMet units create value
Annualized total return (Feb. 1993 to Dec. 2002)
15.1%
9.2%
8.8%
6.6%
GazMet
Source: Bloomberg.
S&P 500
S&P/TSX
TSE Gas &
Electric
16
#5: High Quality Credit Ratings
GazMet benefits from high quality credit
ratings maintained over the years.
Long-term debt
Commercial paper
A
A-1 (low)
A
R-1 (low)
17
#6: Modern and Reliable System
GazMet system:
One of the most
modern of its kind in
North America
High quality (no more
cast-iron pipes)
Safe and reliable
18
Things to Remember
Things to Remember...
Strong and stable business
Very high stability in cash distributions
Long
-term sustainable growth
Long-term
Low risk / low maintenance investment
20
WHY EVERYBODY
SHOULD HOLD
GAZ MÉTROPOLITAIN UNITS
RBC Capital Markets
Fifth Annual Income Trust Investor Symposium
Toronto, January 28, 2003