sa mp le Vis it w ww .pl Ad ast dit ics ion ne al ws. de co ta m/ ils da . ta fo r MAY 2014 IN THIS REPORT • Frank Esposito discusses price changes ..................... PAGE 4 • Film remains key use for LDPE ....................................... PAGE 5 • Flat PE pricing a surprise to buyers .............................. PAGE 5 • PVC flat despite construction boost ............................. PAGE 9 • PP prices slide amid solid demand ............................... PAGE 9 • Competition from China fuels PVC export slide..... PAGE 20 • Europe key market in global resin picture ............. PAGE 21 BROUGHT TO YOU BY May 2014 Crain Communications Inc. 1155 Gratiot Ave. Detroit, MI 48207-2732 United States Phone: +1-313-446-6000 Fax: +1-313-567-7681 Web: www.crain.com Publisher Brennan Lafferty blafferty@crain.com Editor Donald Loepp dloepp@crain.com Plastics News RESINREPORT Resin Sales Overview Spotlight: LDPE film....................................................................5 Polyethylene .................................................................................5 Polypropylene ..............................................................................9 PVC......................................................................................................9 PET................................................................................................... 10 Polystyrene.................................................................................. 10 Volatility Trends & Tables Resin volatility ...............................................................................5 Director, Digital Strategy & Marketing Pam Gillies pgillies@crain.com Director, Research & Data Products Kelley Trost ktrost@crain.com Lead Analyst Frank Esposito fesposito@crain.com Research Analyst David Hutton dhutton@crain.com Price Trends & Tables Polystyrene.....................................................................................6 PET......................................................................................................7 LLDPE.................................................................................................7 LDPE...................................................................................................7 PVC......................................................................................................7 PP ........................................................................................................7 HDPE .................................................................................................7 U.S. Ethylene Expansion ..........................................................8 Resin Exports & End Markets Overview of U.S. resin export trends............................... 20 U.S. resin export charts - March 2014....................... 22-24 Producer Financial Snapshots Stock summaries............................................................... 14-20 Kraton, Omnova........................................................................ 14 Huntsman, Eastman, Dow.................................................... 15 LyondellBasell, Cytec, PolyOne........................................... 16 DuPont, Westlake...................................................................... 17 Hexcel, Rogers, Ferro............................................................... 18 A. Schulman, Celanese, Axiall............................................. 19 News Briefs Roundup of recent news stories ........................................ 25 (Chevron Phillips Chemical, Honeywell Resins, TCI Plastics, Celanese, Formosa Plastics, PolyOne, LyondellBasell, Dow Chemical Co. Shintech, Sabic) Upcoming Reports From Plastics News Research Shale Gas Market Review and Outlook 2014 Release: June 2014 Pipe, Profile & Tubing Market Review and Outlook 2014 Release: July 2014 Plastics Caps & Closures Market Review and Outlook 2014 Release: August 2014 Research Coordinator Hollee Keller hkeller@crain.com Statistical data contained in this report is compiled by primary and secondary research and in-house analysis by Plastics News’ team of experts. To view our complete library of market reports and data products, please visit: www.plasticsnews.com/data or contact: Kelley Trost +1-313-446-6761 or ktrost@crain.com FRANK ESPOSITO Serving as lead analyst for The Resin Report is Plastics News Senior Reporter Frank Esposito. He has more than 15 years experience covering the plastics industry, specializing in tracking resin pricing. He is regarded as one of the industry’s leading experts on resin price trends and the various issues affecting pricing. He is a 1992 graduate of Bowling Green State University in Ohio. Production Assistant Kristy Polefrone Entire contents copyright 2014 Crain Communications Inc. All rights reserved. This material may not be published, broadcast, rewritten or redistributed without the permission of Plastics News’ Research Division. Plastics News Research Division, Copyright © 2014 Crain Communications, Inc. 2 Your trusted partner in world-class Commodity and Engineering Thermoplastic Resin Distribution M. Holland’s business model is founded on EIGHT CORE VALUES which guide all business and interpersonal relationships. Our customers and suppliers recognize these values of Integrity, Honesty, Loyalty, Trust, Work Ethic, Character, Passion and Respect as our preferred way of conducting business. • Extensive offering of thermoplastic resins • Strong relationships with world-class plastic resin producers • Broad technical knowledge • Outstanding technical service and support M. Holland Company 400 Skokie Blvd, Suite 600 Northbrook, IL 60062 (800) 872-7370 Plastics News Research Division, Copyright © 2014 Crain Communications, Inc. 3 Inside this report: Analysis of current resin trends ... Film key end use for LDPE despite shaky Q1 Film key end use for LDPE despite shaky Q1 The film market is on track to be the largest U.S./Canadian end use for low The density filmpolyethylene market is onagain track in to 2014 be the– largest but it didn’t U.S./Canadian exactly have end ause great for first low density quarter of polyethylene the year. again in 2014 – but it didn’t exactly have a great first quarter In the quarter, of the year. film accounted for just under 50 percent of the region’s LDPE In sales, theaccording quarter, film to the accounted Americanfor Chemjust under istry Council. 50 percent of the region’s LDPE sales, according to the American Chemistry At almost Council. 554 million pounds of firstquarter demand, the segment is on At pace almost to match 554ormillion slightlypounds surpassofthefirst2.2 quarter billion pounds demand, totalthe it’s achieved segmentiniseach on pace of thetolast match three oryears, slightly according surpass the to the 2.2 ACC. pounds total it’s achieved in each billion of the last three years, according to the ACC. The sector’s 10-year high occurred in 2004 when it accounted for 2.7 billion pounds of LDPE demand. The sector’s 10-year high occurred in 2004 when it accounted for 2.7 billion pounds of LDPE demand. Within the LDPE film category, food packaging film was the largest single first-quarter application with 221.3food milWithin the LDPE film category, lion poundsfilm of was demand – accounting packaging the largest single for almost 40application percent of with the total. first-quarter 221.3Nonmilfood pounds packaging – including induslion of film demand – accounting trialalmost liners 40 and shipping sacks held for percent of the total.– Nonthe number twofilm spot at 156.1 million food packaging – including induspounds, equaling almost 23 percent of trial liners and shipping sacks – held demand. the number two spot at 156.1 million pounds, equaling almost 23 percent of Rounding out the LDPE film category demand. are shrink film, stretch film and nonpackaging out film,theincluding retail bags Rounding LDPE film category and shrink trash and canstretch liners. Shrink filmnonwas are film, film and the largest of theincluding remainingretail categories packaging film, bags withtrash 93.6 million of first-quarter and and canpounds liners. Shrink film was consumption, or almost 17 percent of the largest of the remaining categories the total. with 93.6 million pounds of first-quarter consumption, or almost 17 percent of First-quarter sales of LDPE film sales, the total. however, were down more than three percent compared to the same quarter in 2013. Sales food packaging film however, wereinto down more than three fell almost eight percent, of percent compared to the while same sales quarter the2013. material non-packaging in Sales into into food packaging film tumbled just overpercent, seven percent. fell almost eight while sales of the material into non-packaging film With a heavy emphasis on consumer tumbled just over seven percent. spending habits and disposable products, the sectoremphasis likely wason impacted by With a heavy consumer the impact of harsh winter weather. spending habits and disposable prodStorms heavy snow buyucts, theand sector likely wasaffected impacted by ing patterns, the impact ofeither harshkeeping winter shoppers weather. homebound or preventing products Storms and heavy snow affected buyfrompatterns, reachingeither stores.keeping These conditions ing shoppers helped limit or U.S.preventing GDP growth to an homebound products anemic 0.1 percent the first quarter from reaching stores.inThese conditions of 2014. limit SomeU.S. economic observers helped GDP growth to bean lieve that may be revised show anemic 0.1total percent in the first to quarter an 2014. actualSome loss ofeconomic as much as 0.5 percent of observers befor GDP fortotal the quarter. n lieve that may be revised to show an actual loss of as much as 0.5 percent for GDP for the quarter. n More flat PE pricing surprises buyers More flat PE pricing surprises buyers First-quarter sales of LDPE film sales, April marked the sixth time in the last sev- in 2014 came in February, when prices en months that North American polyethyl- climbed an average of 4 cents per pound. April ene resin marked prices theremained sixth time unchanged. in current the last sev- in An 2014 attempt came by in major February, PE makers whentoprices raise... Charts detailing resin volatility trends en months that North American polyethyl- climbed prices 6 cents an average per pound of 4 cents in March perwas pound. unene The resin only prices price remained change witnessed unchanged. so far An successful. attempt by major PE makers to raise prices 6 cents per pound in March was unThe only price change witnessed so far successful. RESIN VOLATILITY RESIN VOLATILITY PP HDPE LDPE LLDPE Blow Molding Homopolymer Dairy Extrusion Film, Liner Butene-1 co-monomer ext. liner film Year HDPE Amount Blow Molding Homopolymer Dairy 2003 $0.32 Year Amount 2004 $0.21 2003 $0.32 2005 $0.42 2004 $0.21 2006 $0.46 2005 $0.42 2007 $0.27 2006 $0.46 2008 $0.57 2007 $0.27 2009 $0.30 2008 $0.57 2010 $0.41 2009 $0.30 2011 $0.22 2010 $0.41 2012 $0.32 2011 $0.22 2013 $0.16 2012 $0.32 2014 $0.04 2013 $0.16 Source: American Chemistry Council NOTE: 2014 figures through 2014 $0.04February Source: American Chemistry Council PVC PS PET Homopolymer Injection, GP Suspension Resin, Pipe Grade High-Impact Injection Bottle Resin Year LDPE Amount Year LLDPE Amount Extrusion Film, Liner Butene-1 co-monomer ext. liner film 2003 $0.32 2003 $0.32 Year Amount Year Amount 2004 $0.20 2004 $0.20 2003 $0.32 2003 $0.32 2005 $0.42 2005 $0.42 2004 $0.20 2004 $0.20 2006 $0.46 2006 $0.46 2005 $0.42 2005 $0.42 2007 $0.27 2007 $0.27 2006 $0.46 2006 $0.46 2008 $0.55 2008 $0.57 2007 $0.27 2007 $0.27 2009 $0.32 2009 $0.32 2008 $0.55 2008 $0.57 2010 $0.35 2010 $0.41 2009 $0.32 2009 $0.32 2011 $0.25 2011 $0.22 2010 $0.35 2010 $0.41 2012 $0.34 2012 $0.32 2011 $0.25 2011 $0.22 2013 $0.14 2013 $0.14 2012 $0.34 2012 $0.32 2014 $0.04 2014 $0.04 2013 $0.14 2013 $0.14 Year PPAmount Homopolymer Injection, GP 2003 $0.18 Year Amount 2004 $0.23 2003 $0.18 2005 $0.45 2004 $0.23 2006 $0.29 2005 $0.45 2007 $0.24 2006 $0.29 2008 $0.84 2007 $0.24 2009 $0.59 2008 $0.84 2010 $0.53 2009 $0.59 2011 $0.89 2010 $0.53 2012 $0.59 2011 $0.89 2013 $0.38 2012 $0.59 2014 $0.02 2013 $0.38 Year PVCAmount Suspension Resin, Pipe Grade 2003 $0.15 Year Amount 2004 $0.12 2003 $0.15 2005 $0.22 2004 $0.12 2006 $0.12 2005 $0.22 2007 $0.14 2006 $0.12 2008 $0.19 2007 $0.14 2009 $0.25 2008 $0.19 2010 $0.20 2009 $0.25 2011 $0.15 2010 $0.20 2012 $0.20 2011 $0.15 2013 $0.11 2012 $0.20 2014 $0.06 2013 $0.11 Year PSAmount High-Impact Injection 2003 $0.24 Year Amount 2004 $0.30 2003 $0.24 2005 $0.31 2004 $0.30 2006 $0.15 2005 $0.31 2007 $0.19 2006 $0.15 2008 $0.60 2007 $0.19 2009 $0.44 2008 $0.60 2010 $0.25 2009 $0.44 2011 $0.32 2010 $0.25 2012 $0.27 2011 $0.32 2013 $0.16 2012 $0.27 2014 $0.05 2013 $0.16 Year PETAmount Bottle Resin 2003 $0.18 Year Amount 2004 $0.14 2003 $0.18 2005 $0.62 2004 $0.14 2006 $0.26 2005 $0.62 2007 $0.15 2006 $0.26 2008 $0.57 2007 $0.15 2009 $0.18 2008 $0.57 2010 $0.27 2009 $0.18 2011 $0.40 2010 $0.27 2012 $0.31 2011 $0.40 2013 $0.12 2012 $0.31 2014 $0.03 2013 $0.12 2014 2014 2014 2014 $0.04 2014 $0.04 Plastics News Research Division, Copyright © 2014 Crain Communications, Inc. Plastics News Research Division, Copyright © 2014 Crain Communications, Inc. NOTE: 2014 figures through February To say this level of inactivity is historic would be an understatement. If prices are To flat say again this in May, levelitof would inactivity be only is the historic fifth would time since be an 2000 understatement. that markets for If prices that resin are flat wereagain flat for in May, at least it would three months be only in the a row. fifth time since 2000 that markets for that resin were flat for at least three months in a row. $0.02 2014 $0.06 $0.05 $0.03 4 1 A Roundup of recent industry news... News Briefs Chevron Phillips Chemical names Holzhauser VP of environment, health, safetyand security Chevron Phillips Chemical Co. LLC has named Kate Holzhauser vice president, environment, health, safety and security, replacing Don Lycette, who was recently named senior vice president, research and technology. Holzhauser’s appointment is effective June 1. tomer demand. The new line will have a capacity of 40,000 metric tons per year and is expected to start production in the fourth quarter of 2015, expanding capacity at the facility to 200,000 metric tons per year. “We continue to invest in the production capabilities to meet our global customers’ current and future needs, and this new production line will provide greater flexibility to produce both nylon 6 and nylon 6/6.6 as required,” Qamar Bhatia, vice president and general manager of Honeywell Resins and Chemicals., said in a statement. “As a fully integrated nylon 6 producer, Honeywell remains well positioned as a reliable and competitive supplier to customers worldwide.” Holzhauser joins Chevron Phillips Chemical from INEOS Nitriles, where she held the position of Honeywell’s resins, sold under the Aegis director and vice brand name, are used in diverse applipresident, operacations such as fibers and filaments for tions in its Rolle, Switzerland office. Kate Holzhauser carpeting, fabrics, nets and cords; engiHolzhauser holds a neered plastic components for automobachelor’s degree in Chemical Engineer- tive, consumer and industrial applicaing from South Dakota School of Mines tions; and films for food and protective and Technology and a master’s degree in packaging. Producer financial snapshots ... For food packaging applicaBusiness Administration from the Univer- tions, Aegis resins provide excellent barrisity of Houston. er properties to oxygen, helping to retain flavor and maintain product freshness. Throughout her career she has held various roles for companies including Honeywell Resins and Chemicals is also Hoechst Celanese, Amoco and BP. a major producer and global supplier of a merchant-grade, nylon 6 Kraton sees sales revenue dip caprolactam, the construction phase of the new 30 Holzhauser will to report to Pete Cella, intermediate used in a range of applicain first quarter kiloton HSBC plant in Mailiao, Taiwan,” president and chief executive officer. tions, including carpet, textiles, engineerhe said. “Further, we started up the new ing plastics, films and industrial filament. Kraton Performance Polymers Inc. on semi-works facility in Belpre, which will The Honeywell plant in Hopewell, Va., Honeywell Resins and April 30 announced financial results for benefit our product development capaChemicals to expand nylon with a capacity of 350,000 metric tons of the quarter ended March 31. bilities. polymer production capacity caprolactam per year, is one of the largest single-site caprolactam production faciliThe company’s first quarter 2014 sales Also in late April, Kraton announced the Honeywell Resins and Chemicals an- ties in the world. Honeywell caprolactam revenue was $311.7 million, down $28.5 introduction of two new hydrogenated nounced April 29 that it will expand pro- is sold globally and shipped either in million compared to sales revenue of styrenic block copolymers (HSBCs). duction capacity at its Chesterfield, Va., molten or flake form to a variety of down$340.1 million in the first quarter 2013. facility to meet demand for high-grade stream customers. According to a release by the company, nylon polymers for packaging film and Kraton MD6951 and MD1648 present a TCI Plastics investing $36 other applications. balance of high elasticity, extraordinary million to increase resin tensile strength and exceptional lower The new production line will be able to exports from New Orleans melt viscosity, which will allow for a produce both nylon 6 and copolymer nyhost of new process applications to be lon 6/6.6 resins, with flexibility to produce TCI Plastics will spend $36.5 million to According to Kevin M. Fogarty, Kraton’s explored. Both polymers are an exteneither or both as needed to match cus- increase resin warehousing capacity and president and CEO, the company’s first sion of the versatile family of HSBCs quarter sales volume reflected sales - Kraton A and ERS polymers - and Plastics News Research Division, Copyright © 2014 Crain Communications, Inc. growth in the company’s Cariflex iso- will enable innovators to pursue melt Stock Briefs add plastic film production in New Orleans. The project is expected to create 340 permanent jobs. Plans call for construction of a new 500,000 square-foot building that will allow New Orleans-based TCI to increase the amount of PVC and polyethylene resin it can export. The new structure also will allow TCI to make its own film that will be used to package this resin. “TCI is ready to play its part in the valueadded supply chain needed to keep Louisiana petrochemicals moving through Louisiana ports,” CEO Jack Jensen said in a statement. The expansion is part of TCI’s development of a “mega-plastics district” along an inner harbor cargo site between the Mississippi River and Lake Pontchartrain. TCI built a 150,000 square-foot building for resin exports there in 2010. The firm also has leased more than 150,000 square feet of warehouse space in New Orleans to handle growing demand for exported resin. Numerous resin expansion projects — mainly for PE — have been announced for Louisiana and Texas as a result of lowpriced natural gas becoming increasingly available as a feedstock throughout North America. with thermoplastic polyurethane, polyAs part of the expansion, TCI will spend styrene, polyphenylene oxide, among $3.1 million to buy 32 acres of land from others. MD6951 is FDA-compliant, posthe Port of New Orleans. That parcel is sesses exceptional elasticity, and makes near the firm’s existing property. In adeveryday products more durable, resildition to 160 jobs at TCI, the expansion ient and comfortable - adding value for is expected to create about 180 indirect product innovators, while expanding jobs in the area. process application techniques. Construction for the new building will “MD6951 and MD1648 allow many difbegin in mid-2014 and is expected to be ferent industries to explore new marcompleted in the third quarter of 2016. kets and uncover new process applicaFifty of the 160 new TCI jobs should be tions that were never before available. in place by 2015. In the release, Louisiana We are proud to bridge this gap that Gov. Bobby Jindal said that his state “is will allow innovators across the globe to encouraging the expansion of major loproduce new and better products that gistics facilities.” will enhance our everyday lives,” said Lothar Freund, vice president of TechTCI is part of Jensen Companies, a New nology at Kraton. Omnova director sells off 5 Celanese Corp. 62 industry from News senior reporter frank esposito ... Kraton sees analysis sales revenue dip Plastics product grades.” 60 in first quarter Kraton Performance Polymers Inc. on April 30 announced financial results for the quarter ended March 31. Fogarty added that the company achieved two significant strategic milestones in the first quarter. 58 56 54 52 50 48 “First, Kraton and FPCC broke ground on the The company’s first quarter 2014 sales c o n s t r u c t i o n Celanese Corp. revenue was $311.7 million, down $28.5 phase of the new 62 million compared to sales revenue of 30 kiloton HSBC 60 plant in Mailiao, $340.1 million in the first quarter 2013. 58 Taiwan,” he said. 56 According to Kevin M. Fogarty, Kraton’s “Further, we start54 president and CEO, the company’s first ed up the new 52 quarter sales volume reflected sales semi-works facility growth in the company’s Cariflex iso- in Belpre, which 50 polyethylene, myrubber old friend I’ve come to talk returns to the predicted activity level of more than 1 benefit our market preneello, rubber and isoprene latex. …will 48 with you again … product develop- million housing starts for the year. “However, in the first quarter we in- ment capabilities. OK, so maybe Simon & Garfunkel weren’t thinking about resin Makers of PET bottle resin in the region are having neither a curred costs associated with the weathwhen they outage sang those words in their 1965 Also hit “The of Coke nor a smile so far in 2014. Prices for that material have er-related at our Belpre, Ohio, in Sounds late April, Silence.”and But that’s what’s thatannounced sector for the dipped for four straight months as theand carbonated soft lower drink facility a small fire been at ouremerging facility from Kraton introduction of tensile strength exceptional quite a while in North market continues in Berre, France, bothAmerica. disclosed previ- two new hydrogenated styrenic blockto struggle. melt viscosity, which will allow for a ously,” he said. “Although we were able copolymers (HSBCs). host of new process applications to be Prices werethe flatmajority in April of forour thecustomsixth time in the last seven The solid polystyreneexplored. to supply Bothseem polymers are an extenmarket can’t to decide if it’s premonths and for thethe 11th time in the 16 months.toThat’s a releasedictable by the company, ers’ requirements, production out-last According sion of thehikes versatile family feedstock of HSBCs or unpredictable. Price for benzene aboutdid as limit muchour action asto you might expect at a MD6951 VCR repair Kraton and MD1648 ages ability fully satisfy Kraton A and polymers - anddrove up present PS pricesa in -late 2013 and earlyERS 2014 (predictable!) shop these days. balance of high elasticity, extraordinary demand, particularly for certain USBC will enable innovators to pursue melt Current resin export trends ... but lower benzene prices failed to bring prices down in March (unpredictable!) Then, in April, benzene prices fell again – but Unfortunately for PE buyers, all five of those moves have been this time PS prices followed. “Just kidding about that whole increases, meaning prices haven’t seen an actual decrease March thing,” PS makers might have said. since late 2012. Resin price changes move in wrong direction H Competition from China fuels decline in PVC exports All of this occurred amid a backdrop of a U.S. economy that Processors often can benefit from price declines by holding grew at a paltry rate of 0.1 percent in the first quarter, acon to higher for aprovided month or two, thein market’s firmResin exportprices figures somebuting increased exports. lower U.S. exports to Canada, which cording to an advance estimate. Harsh winter weather put is a ness has prevented from happening. interesting numbersthat in March, particuthe country’s biggest market, and much damper on economic activity nationwide. Growth will have larly with a decline in PVC export sales “China’s exports of uncompounded PVC lower shipments this year to Brazil, Rusto make a swift turnaround to reach the 2-3 percent levels North America also in did2013 a double-take that have left polypropylene some market buyers watchers jumped 68 percent, to 662,000 sia and Turkey – imports into each imby many economists for the year. in April as prices for that material fell againtons, in spite of strongto expected surprised. in contrast US exports which pacted by different factors.” demand. were down 3 percent, to 2.9 million More detailed info on these markets is included in this and PVC export sales have been a source of tons,” Sudol said. Regarding other polymers, an upward Plastics Resin Read Fingers pointed at the propylene strengthwere in recent years amid a strug-monomer market and every edition of the trend is News not clear at Report. this point for on!I U.S. now will return to listening to Simon & Garfunkel’s Greatest bad culprits. glingearly-year domesticweather housingas market that has An upward trend in exports from China exports of LDPE, LLDPE, polypropylene Hits.innU.S. exports and propylene copolymers, although been trying to recover since the reces- and a declining trend PVC sion. buyers got a reprieve in April afterisbeing visibleclobbered in first quarter 2014 statistics shipments were up 4 percent – 15 perFrank Esposito is lead analyst for with three consecutive 3-cent price hikes to start 2014. Now Plastics News Senior Reporter from both countries. cent in first quarter 2014. they’ve gottotheir thatofthe U.S. construction The Resin Report. According Jeanfingers Sudol,crossed president International Trader Publications, one “Not only have U.S. exports fallen to “Exports of HDPE were down 17 percent reason for the decline in U.S. exports of China, one of its top markets, but also for the quarter,” Sudol explained. PVC is competition from China, where to several markets in Asia-Pacific and a great deal of new PVC capacity has elsewhere to which China is now ex- The PVC export trend could be partially been installed. Moreover, economic porting more polymer,” Sudol pointed offset by the residential construction growth also has slowed this year, result- out. “Other factors I would mention are sector, which is poised to regain upward Plastics News Research Division, Copyright © 2014 Crain Communications, Inc. Plastics News Research Division, Copyright © 2014 Crain Communications, Inc. 6 1
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