Ohio Energy Workshop K Ohio’s New Power Marketplace … Most Popular Electric Power Options Today Tuesday, February 19, 2013 1:45 p.m. to 3 p.m. Biographical Information Tom Schmuhl, Director, Sales FirstEnergy Solutions Corp., 341 White Pond Dr. Bldg. B-3, Akron, OH 44320-1119 330-315-6878 trschmuhl@fes.com Tom Schmuhl was recently the Product Manager for Electric Commodity, FirstEnergy Solutions with responsibilities for Product Development and Product Deployment within the Midwest ISO and PJM. Tom has worked in various capacities in the Sales and Marketing areas at FirstEnergy Solutions throughout his seventeen year career in the energy field. Tom is now Director of Sales. With primary responsibilities surrounding support of electric deregulation initiatives he has helped FirstEnergy Solutions become the largest retail supplier behind PJM. With lead share positions in several markets and innovative product offerings the firm has become recognized as one of the top energy companies in the Midwest and mid-Atlantic regions. During the years prior to electric deregulation Tom worked in various selling capacities including the energy management arena working with large multi-state firms with energy spends in excess of $10M. Prior to joining FirstEnergy Solutions Tom was the Vice President of Sales & Marketing for a national firm serving the mortgage industry. He resides in Norwalk, OH. Stephanie Schneider, Director, Product Development FirstEnergy Solutions Corp., 341 White Pond Dr. Bldg. B-3, Akron, OH 44320-1119 330-436-2635 sschneider@fes.com Stephanie Schneider is Director of Product Development for FirstEnergy Solutions in Akron, the competitive subsidiary of FirstEnergy Corp. Stephanie joined the company in 2011, responsible for directing the ideation, screening, testing, evaluation and launch of new products that meet consumers’ needs in a dynamic .marketplace. Prior to joining FirstEnergy Solutions, Stephanie gained considerable experience with various Consumer Products companies and brands, including Pantene®, Rubbermaid® and PURELL®. Stephanie’s product management and development experience began when she joined Procter and Gamble in 1994 as a product researcher, studying consumer behavior and uncovering insights that led to the development of new hair care products. In 2001, Stephanie led the product category management of the Outdoor Storage and Insulated Cooler businesses at Newell Rubbermaid, managing product line revenue and profit, innovation and new product development. While at GOJO Industries, from 2007 to 2011, Stephanie led cross functional teams responsible for developing and commercializing new product innovation for hospitals, businesses, and at home use. She earned a Bachelor of Science degree in Biology from Indiana University in Bloomington, Indiana. Ohio’s New Power Marketplace Tom Schmuhl Director, Sales Stephanie Schneider Director, Product Development FirstEnergy Solutions Ohio Energy Management Conference Columbus, Ohio • February 19-20, 2013 Workshop K Objective To provide our Ohio customers and prospective customers with useful information about Ohio’s changing market for electric power and how to buy today to succeed tomorrow. Ohio Energy Management Conference February 19, 2013 2 Agenda I Who is FirstEnergy Solutions I Market Update for Ohio Customers I Finding Energy Products that Work for You I Product Options I Q&A Ohio Energy Management Conference February 19, 2013 3 FirstEnergy Solutions Corp. (FES) I Retail subsidiary of FirstEnergy Corp. and headquartered in Akron, Ohio I FirstEnergy Solutions’ family of companies owns approximately 18,000 megawatts of unregulated generating capacity I Second largest retail supplier of electricity in US to C&I accounts – Second largest retail supplier to residential electric account I Parent company ranked 160 among Fortune 200 companies – One of the nation’s largest investor-owned electric systems Ohio Energy Management Conference February 19, 2013 4 FirstEnergy Solutions Operates in Six States Providing valuable products and services to millions of customers in all customer classes I Competitive supplier of FirstEnergy Corp. since 1997 I A leading supplier in targeted markets I Ranked by KEMA** as “easiest to do business with” I Primary provider of community purchasing/ governmental aggregation programs MI PA IL OH NJ MD Generation Plants **2012 Channel Partner Survey, DNV KEMA Ohio Energy Management Conference February 19, 2013 5 FirstEnergy Solutions Strengths I I I I Customer focused: Various choices and cost-saving options to meet customer’s specific needs Knowledgeable: Industry knowledge and experience to help customers navigate changing markets with ease Well established: Long-standing presence in OH, PA and NJ through affiliate companies Asset backed: Stability and competitive pricing needed in an electric generation supplier Ohio Energy Management Conference February 19, 2013 6 Market Update for Ohio Customers Tom Schmuhl Ohio Energy Management Conference February 19, 2013 7 Current Market Situation Summary Historically low energy prices Capacity prices trending higher in 2014 – 2016 Ohio Energy Management Conference February 19, 2013 8 Components of a Generation Price Ancillary Services Other (supplier, agent, credit, admin, tax) Transmission Capacity Energy Portion (energy, basis, renewable) Ohio Energy Management Conference February 19, 2013 9 Energy Market Update Energy $/MW hour AEP Dayton Hub Settle and Futures Prices Ten-Year Low in Energy Ohio Energy Management Conference February 19, 2013 10 Energy Market Update Energy $/MW hour AEP Dayton Hub Settle and Futures Prices Ohio Energy Management Conference February 19, 2013 11 Natural Gas Market Update Energy Henry Hub Settle and Futures Prices Ohio Energy Management Conference February 19, 2013 12 Natural Gas Market Update Ohio Energy Management Conference Energy February 19, 2013 13 Components of a Generation Price Ancillary Services Other (supplier, agent, credit, admin, tax) Transmission Capacity Energy Portion (energy, basis, renewable) Ohio Energy Management Conference February 19, 2013 14 Capacity and its Importance Reserves Peak Demand Electricity Demand (MW) PJM procures capacity prior to start of each delivery year using Reliability Pricing Model (RPM) Peak Demand Load Shape Area Under Curve = Energy Requirements (MWh) Time (Hours) PJM is focused on reliability. Capacity ensures reliability. Capacity = Peak Demand + Reserves Ohio Energy Management Conference February 19, 2013 15 Determining Capacity Rates I PJM Reliability Price Model (RPM) – Auctions occur three years in advance (2012 auction set prices for 2015-16) – PJM is separated by several, nested Local Deliverability Areas (LDAs) ROP/RTO ATSI MAAC ROP / RTO: Rest of Pool / Regional Transmission Organization Map represents Planning Year 2015 View ATSI and MAAC: constrained LDAs Auction results send a price signal to potential developers of generation, demand response, and/or transmission to locate their resources in that region Ohio Energy Management Conference February 19, 2013 16 PJM Capacity Charges in Ohio Energy Note: Several plant retirements in the ATSI LDA were announced in 2012. The ATSI LDA was considered constrained and as a result, import capability plus remaining resources were not deemed sufficient to maintain reliability within the ATSI LDA. Ohio Energy Management Conference February 19, 2013 17 Capacity in ATSI 2015-16 Capacity will be a larger portion of the generation price starting in PY 2015: ~30% versus ~5% today 100% Other Ancillaries Energy Capacity 0% PY 2012 PY 2013 PY 2014 PY 2015 PY 2016 PY 2017 PY 2018 Forecast * Illustrative for an average LC&I customer Ohio Energy Management Conference February 19, 2013 18 Why are capacity prices going up? Environmental Regulations I EPA Mercury and Air Toxics Standards (MATS) – Command & Control – Starts in 2015 I EPA Clean Air Interstate Rule / Cross State Air Pollution Requirements (CAIR / CSAPR) – Cap & Trade – CSAPR vacated, pending changes/legal action – CAIR currently in place I Future: regulations expected addressing cooling water, ash disposal, CO2 emissions, etc. – Could be either Command & Control or Cap & Trade For some units (particularly smaller, older coal units), it is not economical to make necessary investments for continued operation − i.e., some coal plant retirements are eminent Ohio Energy Management Conference February 19, 2013 19 Coal Plants Serving PJM in 2010 Ohio Energy Management Conference February 19, 2013 20 Coal Plants Retiring 2010-2016 Ohio Energy Management Conference February 19, 2013 21 Energy & Capacity What You Can Expect I Expect rising prices for energy and capacity I Prepare and protect yourself by blending volatility of capacity with low energy prices I Take longest term possible for longer term price certainty $/MW hour AEP Dayton Hub Settle and Futures Prices Ohio Energy Management Conference February 19, 2013 22 Finding Energy Products That Work for You Stephanie Schneider Ohio Energy Management Conference February 19, 2013 23 Agenda 1 Savvy Buyer Know-How 2 Options 3 A Look to the Future Ohio Energy Management Conference February 19, 2013 24 Business Context for Shopping and Evaluation Savvy buyers ask ... I I I What am I trying to achieve with my purchase? What is my company’s strategic objectives now and in the future? What are my resource capabilities in the purchase decision and ongoing energy management? – Would an agent, broker or consultant add value? I I Have my business needs changed since the last time I shopped? Who are the key decision makers in my business? How might their objectives influence my decision criteria? Ohio Energy Management Conference February 19, 2013 25 Product and Service Context Savvy buyers ask ... I What type of products are available? Do they deliver on my business objectives? – Budget certainty, risk tolerance, flexibility, etc. I What are my must have and nice to have requirements? – Product, service, supply agreement, bill payment options – Ability and experience to supply – Well-established, reputable company I Do I have energy efficiency goals or metrics? – Is ENERGY STAR® relevant to my business? Is there equity for my customers? I What are my needs for energy information? – How does it inform my business decisions? Ohio Energy Management Conference February 19, 2013 26 Risks, Rewards and Resources I Determine your appetite for market risk – Market risk = budget uncertainty – Who will be responsible for monitoring market prices? – Do you have access to data for monitoring market prices? I In competitive markets, most customers choose fixed price / full requirements generation service from their supplier – When consumption varies from plan, supplier must purchase or sell power at market (market risk) – Suppliers quantify market risk and add it into fixed prices – Customers looking to lower electric generation prices may seek to assume some or all of this market risk Ohio Energy Management Conference February 19, 2013 27 Lessening the Impact of Volatile Energy Markets I I I I Watch the market daily Evaluate company appetite for added risk (variable pricing) Establish a trigger price and be prepared to act when within range (fixed pricing) Evaluate hedge options to offset market risk Ohio Energy Management Conference February 19, 2013 28 Electric Products and Services Products Capacity Management Fixed Price with Options - Full Requirements or Pass-Through - On / Off Peak - Priceless - Layering Shaped Fixed and LMP Hourly Index Green Services Efficiency Solutions Rebate Resource Ohio Energy Management Conference February 19, 2013 29 Cap the Cap – Capacity Management I Fixed price product, longer term product I Customer’s peak load contribution (PLC) – key multiplier setting your capacity price – cannot increase for the life of the term I FES actively works with you to manage your PLC through peakday notifications I FES analyzes results of you PLC management annually I Earn returned capacity savings if your PLC is reduced Ohio Energy Management Conference February 19, 2013 30 Fixed Price, Full Requirements I Price remains fixed for all energy consumed I Typically priced “per kilowatt-hour” I Comparable to the utility’s generation rate I I Some minor price variances are possible due to regulatory change Avoid waiting until the last 60 days to shop Shop year-round to find a price that meets your budget Fixed Price from FirstEnergy Solutions $.090 $.085 $.080 Price per KWH I $.069/KWH FES Fixed Price $.075 $.070 $.065 $.076 Avg Sixty Days Before Renewal $.072/KWH Avg. For the Previous Year $.060 $.055 $.050 3/6 4/6 5/6 6/6 7/6 8/6 9/6 10/6 Ohio Energy Management Conference 11/6 12/6 1/6 February 19, 2013 2/6 31 Fixed Price – alternative features I Fixed Price with Pass Thru option – Fix price for energy portion, but pay for capacity and transmission as a separate line item each month I Fixed Price with On / Off peak option – On-Peak and Off-Peak are two different fixed prices – Provides budget certainty but with benefit of moving load from higher priced on-peak hours (7 am - 11 pm) to lower priced offpeak hours Ohio Energy Management Conference February 19, 2013 32 Fixed Price Pricelesssm I Fix your price, but have the option to get a lower price if the market moves down prior to power flow I Option available for a small fee added on top of your Fixed Price per kilowatt-hour I Review daily e-mail to find potentially lower price I Select a new lower price before power flow or be guaranteed lowest price by opting for Perfect Strike feature I Enjoy shopping certainty and additional savings Ohio Energy Management Conference February 19, 2013 33 Layering Fixed Price I Start as early as possible to lengthen the window and limit exposure to market volatility I Provides ten opportunities to layer in total consumption (five onpeak and five off-peak) I Layering window as long as 24 months I Results in a weighted average fixed price by combining layers Measure results against the rest of market $.085 $.068/KWH achieved through Layering $.080 Price per KWH I Layering Option from FirstEnergy Solutions $.090 $.075 $.070 $.065 $.072 KWH $.060 Layer1 $.055 $.072/KWH Avg. For the Previous Year 30% $.050 3/6 4/6 5/6 6/6 7/6 8/6 $.066 KWH $.069 KWH Layer2 Layer3 50% 20% 9/6 10/6 11/6 12/6 1/6 2/6 Layering period Ohio Energy Management Conference February 19, 2013 34 Shaped Fixed and LMP I Set a fixed-price percentage of your usage, with the remainder at the day-ahead LMP price I Fixed price shape patterned on your actual usage I No penalty fees for failing to hit a specific volume (unlike a block-style product) I Exposure to index market is fixed I Lock in additional shaped layer at any time before or during your contract term Shaped Fixed & LMP 20,000 16,000 14,000 LMP Price 12,000 10,000 8,000 6,000 Shaped Fixed Price 4,000 2,000 :0 22 20 :0 0 0 0 :0 18 16 :0 0 0 14 12 :0 :0 0 0 :0 10 8: 00 6: 00 4: 00 2: 00 0 0: 00 MWh Consumed 18,000 Hours Ohio Energy Management Conference February 19, 2013 35 Hourly Price I Different price every hour of the month I Generally can be converted to Fixed Price I Establish mechanism to monitor hourly prices I Approximately half of your annual budget will be spent in June, July and August Hourly plus Retail Adder with Conversion Must be vigilant – prices can rise unexpectedly $.095 $.085 Price per KWH I $.075 $.065 conversion to fixed $.055 $.045 $.035 $.025 Customer Price Calendar Year Ohio Energy Management Conference February 19, 2013 36 Green Products I First Greens™ – Green-E Certified – Renewable Energy Certificates (RECs) produced by wind farms – Benefit – Meets building certification guidelines for Leadership in Energy and Environmental Design (LEED) I Mixed Greens – Produced by a combination of affordable renewable energy resources – Customers choose mix that meets their renewable energy goals or the overall price for their budget – Benefit – Achieves customers’ green energy objectives and benefits the environment Ohio Energy Management Conference February 19, 2013 37 Efficiency Solutions I Efficiency consulting services to help you manage your usage more efficiently I Benchmarking, facility audit and labeling services I Consult your account executive to get started Ohio Energy Management Conference February 19, 2013 38 Rebate Resource I Resource for navigating the rebate process available to customers and partners – Fast, accurate explanation of rebate options – Project guidance I How it works – Customer sends rebate-oriented question to RebateResource@fes.com – FirstEnergy Solutions internal experts reply with helpful guidance – Customer saves time and money Ohio Energy Management Conference February 19, 2013 39 Ohio Energy Management Conference February 19, 2013 40
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