Tennessee Market Highlights Trends for the Week Compared to a Week Ago Slaughter Cows $1 to $3 lower Slaughter Bulls $2 to $3 lower Feeder Steers Steady to $6 higher Feeder Heifers Steady to $2 higher Feeder Cattle Index Wednesday’s index: 238.72 Fed Cattle The 5-area live price of $163.54 is up $3.56. The dressed price is up $5.79 at $257.79. Corn December closed at $3.34 a bushel, up 11 cents a bushel since last Friday. Soybeans November closed at $9.22 a bushel, up 10 cents a bushel since last Friday. Wheat December closed at $4.98 a bushel, up 13 cents a bushel since last Friday. Cotton December closed at 64.1 cents per lb, up 1.63 cents per lb since last Friday. October 10, 2014 Number: 41 Livestock Comments by Dr. Andrew P. Griffith FED CATTLE: Fed cattle traded $2 higher on a live basis compared to a week ago. Prices were mainly $162 to $164 in the South while prices in the North ranged from $256 to $260. The 5-area weighted average prices thru Thursday were $163.54 live, up $3.56 from last week and $257.79 dressed, up $5.79 from a week ago. A year ago prices were not reported due to the government shutdown. Live cattle futures started this week as strong as or stronger than they ended last week, but they hit a soft spot on Thursday and prices continued on a downward trajectory on Friday. However, cash prices did not seem to be phased as fed cattle prices found support from the run-up in futures earlier in the week. Cattle feeders are sure to be satisfied by the price support as they stare down the barrel of a loaded gun that could quickly turn into negative margins if the market were to be negatively affected by outside factors. Based on the past four months, it appears live cattle futures climbed to the top of a waterslide at Dollywood Splash Country and are preparing for a plunge. However, the market has continually found a way to defy all odds and press forward so maybe Dolly has no reason to worry about any splash. BEEF CUTOUT: At midday Friday, the Choice cutout was $247.70 up $0.64 from Thursday and up $8.67 from last Friday. The Select cutout was $235.12 up $0.27 from Thursday and up $8.32 from last Friday. The Choice Select spread was $12.59 compared to $12.24 a week ago. Packers continue to face volatility in the fed cattle market as well as in the boxed beef market. Price increases in the beef cutout this week have helped to insure positive margins as major gains were witnessed in both the Choice and Select cutouts, but the potential for even stronger margins were hampered by the increase in fed cattle prices. Beef demand remains strong both domestically and internationally, but export demand could be stymied in the future if the U.S. dollar continues to strengthen relative to other currencies which also could result in an increase in beef imports. Packers continue to wait for their opportunity to gain leverage on cattle feeders which will come in due time, but feedlot managers have been able to maintain leverage due to low supply and strong demand. As cattle continue to be fed to heavier weights and as cattle back up in the feedlot then packers will be able to secure cattle at “more favorable” prices which may result in cattle feeders losing some money. TENNESSEE AUCTIONS: On Tennessee auctions this week compared to a week ago steers and bulls were steady to $6 higher. Heifers were steady to $2 higher. Slaughter cows were $1 to $3 lower while bulls were $2 to $3 lower. Average receipts per sale were 907 head on 12 sales compared to 882 head on 11 sales last week and 830 head on 10 sales last year. OUTLOOK: Cattle marketings are starting to pick up for the fall time period with most of the feeder cattle being marketed between 350 and 650 pounds. There is nothing unusual about this marketing pattern, but the question for cow-calf producers is if they could benefit from growing those calves to heavier weights. Similarly, stocker producers are evaluating the weight classes that offer the best margin opportunities. Thus, it may be appropriate to consider it from a cost of gain versus value of gain standpoint. The cost of gain in the feedlot reported by Kansas State in the August issue of “Focus on Feedlots” was $0.93 per pound for steers and $0.98 per pound for heifers which is expected to decline in coming months. Producers utilizing forage should be able to achieve a lower cost of gain than the feedlot, but the question now is how the value of gain stacks up against the cost of gain. Using weekly auction market average prices for the current week, a 579 pound steer was valued at $1,372 per head ($236.99/cwt) while a 721 pound steer was valued at $1,593 per head ($220.93/cwt). Thus, growing steers from 579 pounds to 721 pounds would result in a (Continued on page 2) Livestock Comments by Dr. Andrew Griffith $164.08, then $159.53. Resistance is at $168.63 then $173.18. The RSI is 64.60. February live cattle closed at $166.40. Support is at $166.10, then $165.55. Resistance is at $167.60, then $168.83. The RSI is 67.18. November feeders closed at $241.52. Support is at $239.05, then $233.22. Resistance is at $244.87 then $250.70. The RSI is 78.24. January feeders closed at $235.30. Support is at $234.75, then $234.08. Resistance is at $235.70 then $236.33. The RSI is 79.95. March feeders closed at $234.28. Support is at $233.50, then $232.50. Resistance is at $235.20, then $237.40. The RSI is 81.62. Friday’s closing prices were as follows: Live/fed cattle – October $164.90 +0.90; December $165.30 -0.58; February $165.00 -1.40; Feeder cattle - October $240.50 -1.15; November $239.20 -2.33; January $233.10 -2.20; March $231.30 -2.98; December corn closed at $3.34 down $0.11 from Thursday. (Continued from page 1) value of gain of $1.55 per pound {($1,593 - $1,372) ÷ (721 – 579)}. When analyzing the value of gain for different weight classes of steers weighing between 421 and 721 pounds, the value of gain ranged from $1.14 to $1.64 per pound with most value of gains above $1.30 per pound when marketed through the weekly auction market. However, the value of gain is markedly higher if the feeder cattle were marketed in load lots. A load of 750 pound steers brought $1,740 per head this week ($232/cwt) while two loads averaging 837 pounds brought $1,879 per head ($224.51). The value of gain from 530 pounds to 750 pounds was $1.92 per pound while the value of gain from 530 to 837 pounds was $1.83 per pound. Similarly, the value of gain from 627 pounds to 750 pounds was $2.35 per pound while the value of gain from 627 to 837 pounds was $2.04 per pound. It is understood that cattle prices for feeder cattle could fall between purchase and sale time. However, price risk management tools such as livestock risk protection, forward contracting, or futures and options could be used to secure a profitable price and value of gain. Milk Futures Month Oct Nov Dec Jan Feb TECHNICALLY SPEAKING: Based on Thursday’s closing prices, October live cattle closed at $164.00. Support is at $162.14, then $157.47. Resistance is at $166.82, then $171.49. The RSI is 66.28. December live cattle closed at $165.88. Support is at Average Daily Slaughter Cattle Hogs Thursday October 9, 2014 Class III Close Class IV Close 24.17 22.15 21.87 19.35 20.22 17.69 18.43 17.55 17.80 17.00 USDA Box Beef Cutout Value Choice 1-3 600-900 lbs ———— Number of head ———— This week (4 days) 112,500 Last week (4 days) 114,000 Year ago (4 days) 120,000 This week as percentage of Week ago (%) 99% Year ago (%) 94% 425,500 410,250 432,750 Select 1-3 600-900 lbs ———————— $/cwt —-——————— Thursday Last Week Year ago Change from week ago Change from year ago 104% 98% 247.06 238.45 ——— +8.61 ——— 234.85 227.33 ——— +7.52 ——— Crop Comments by Dr. Aaron Smith Overview Corn, soybeans, cotton, and wheat were up for the week. Today the USDA released their monthly Crop Production and World Agricultural Supply and Demand Estimates (WASDE). U.S. corn yields were increased 2.5 bpa to 174.2 bpa. Partially offsetting the yield increase was a 700,000 acre decrease in harvested area. The net result was a modest increase in total domestic production from the September report of 80 million bushels. Domestic ending stocks were revised up 79 million bushels; only minor changes in corn use were recorded. Foreign ending stocks were decreased 52 million bushels to 5.422 billion bushels. Combining the net domestic change and foreign change in ending stocks resulted in a global increase in ending stocks of approximately 27 million bushels from the September estimate. In Tennessee, average corn yield was increased 8 bpa to 160 bpa. U.S. soybean yields were increased 0.5 bpa to 47.1 bpa. Like corn, harvested area decreased 700,000 acres partially offsetting yield increases. The net production change was estimated to be an increase of 14 million bushels. Ending stock estimates shrank 25 million bushels to 450 million largely due to a revision in ending domestic stocks that was presented in the September 30th Quarterly Grain Stocks report. Foreign soybean stocks were increased 43 million bushels resulting in a net global change of 18 million bushels from the September estimates. In Tennessee, average soybean yield was increased 2 bpa to 49 bpa. U.S. upland cotton yields were decreased 14 lbs/acre to an average of 776 lbs/acre. Total domestic cotton production fell 280,000 bales to 16.26 million bales. Esti2 Crop Comments by Dr. Aaron Smith mated harvested acreage was unchanged from the September report. Domestic ending stocks decreased to 4.9 million bales as use was left unchanged at 13.8 million bales. Foreign ending stocks were increased 1.12 million bales, resulting in a net global ending stocks increase of approximately 820,000 from the September report. In Tennessee, average yield was decreased 18 lbs/acre to 915 lbs/acre. U.S. wheat yields were decreased 0.1 bpa to 43.8 bpa and acreage was increased 300,000 acres. This resulted in a net increase in production from the September report of 5 million bushels. Wheat, feed and residual use and exports were increased by 25 million bushels each resulting in a decrease in domestic ending stocks of 44 million bushels. Foreign ending stocks dropped 95 million bushels. As a result, global stocks were down 139 million bushels from September’s estimates. Overall the report was bearish and futures markets gave back most of the price gains from earlier in the week, however given where many analysts’ yield and production expectations were, prior to the report, the estimates could have been much more bearish. The start of next week will be key in determining if the rally from earlier in this week can resume or if the markets continue off Friday’s declines and seek new contract lows in corn and soybeans. Corn December 2014 corn futures closed at $3.34 up 11 cents a bushel since last week with support at $3.22 and resistance at $3.54. Across Tennessee average basis (cash price- nearby future price) weakened in Northwest and Upper-middle Tennessee and strengthened in Memphis, Northwest Barge Points, and Lower-middle Tennessee. Overall basis for the week ranged from 64 under to 21 over the December futures contract with an average of 36 under at the end of the week. Ethanol production for the week ending October 3rd was 901,000 barrels per day up 20,000 barrels per day from last week. Ending ethanol stocks were 18.651 million barrels down 177,000 barrels from last week. Nationally, the October 6th Crop Progress report estimated corn mature at 77% compared to 60% last week and a 5-year average of 81%; corn harvested at 17% compared to 12% last week and a 5-year average of 32%; and corn condition at 74% good to excellent 7% poor to very poor. In Tennessee, the Crop Progress report estimated, corn mature at 97% compared to 93% last week, and a 5-year average of 97%; corn harvested at 71% compared to 56% last week and a 5-year average of 74%; and corn condition at 86% good to excellent and 2% poor to very poor. This week December 2014 corn futures prices traded between $3.23 and $3.48. Dec/Mar and Dec/Sep future spreads were 12 cents and 37 cents, respectively. January cash forward contracts at elevators and barge points for the week averaged $3.28 with a range of $2.77 to $3.53. March 2015 corn futures closed at $3.46 up 10 cents from last week with support at $3.35 and resistance at $3.67. Corn net sales reported by exporters from September 26th to October 2nd were above expectations with net sales of 30.9 million bushels for the 2014/15 marketing year and net sales reductions of 0.03 million bushels for the 2015/16 marketing year. Exports for the same time period were up from last week at 38.5 million bushels. Corn export sales and commitments were 34% of the USDA estimated total annual exports for the 2014/15 marketing year (September 1 to August 31) compared to a 5-year average of 39%. September 2015 futures closed at $3.71. Downside price protection could be obtained by purchasing a $3.80 September 2015 Put Option costing 36 cents establishing a $3.44 futures floor. Soybeans November 2014 soybean futures closed at $9.22 up 10 cents for the week with support at $9.17 and resistance at $9.52. Nov/Dec soybean to corn price ratio was 2.76 at the end of the week. For the week, average soybean basis weakened in Lower-middle Tennessee and strengthened at Northwest Barge Points, Memphis, Northwest, and Upper-middle Tennessee. Basis ranged from 48 under to 40 over the November futures contract at elevators and barge points. Average basis at the end of the week was 1 under the November futures contract. The Crop Progress report estimated soybeans dropping leaves at 83% compared to 69% last week and a 5-year average of 84%; soybeans harvested at 20% compared to 10% last week and a 5-year average of 35%; and soybean condition at 73% good to excellent 6% poor to very poor. In Tennessee, the Crop Progress report estimated soybeans dropping leaves at 71% compared to 58% last week and a 5-year average of 74%; soybeans harvested at 6% compared to 2% last week and a 3 (Continued on page 4) Crop Comments by Dr. Aaron Smith 5-year average of 23%; and soybean condition at 83% good to excellent 3% poor to very poor. This week November 2014 soybean futures traded between $9.12 and $9.55. January cash forward contracts averaged $9.55 with a range of $9.10 to $9.80. January 2015 soybean futures closed at $9.30 up 10 cents from last week with support at $9.25 and resistance at $9.60. Net sales reported by exporters were above expectations with net sales of 33.9 million bushels for the 2014/15 marketing year and net sales reductions of 0.8 million bushels for the 2015/16 marketing year. Exports for the same period were up from last week at 35.7 million bushels. Soybean export sales and commitments were 64% of the USDA estimated total annual exports for the 2014/15 marketing year (September 1 to August 31), compared to a 5-year average of 56%. Nov/Jan and Nov/Nov future spreads were 8 cents and 22 cents. November 2015 futures closed at $9.44. Downside price protection could be achieved by purchasing a $9.60 November 2015 Put Option which would cost 64 cents and set an $8.96 futures floor. Cotton December 2014 cotton futures closed at 64.10 up 1.63 cents for the week with support at 62.5 and resistance at 6.30. Cotton adjusted world price (AWP) increased 0.44 cents to 49.71 cents. The Crop Progress report estimated cotton bolls opening at 73% compared to 64% last week and a 5-year average of 79%; cotton harvested at 15% compared to 10% last week and a 5-year average of 18%; and cotton condition at 47% good to excellent 20% poor to very poor. In Tennessee, the Crop Progress report estimated cotton bolls opening at 85% compared to 75% last week and a 5-year average of 81%; cotton harvested at 6% compared to 2% last week and a 5-year average of 22%; and cotton condition at 71% good to excellent 5% poor to very poor. December cotton futures traded between 62.32 and 65.5 cents this week. Downside price protection could be obtained by purchasing a 65 cent December 2014 Put Option costing 2.03 cents establishing a 62.97 cent futures floor. March 2014 cotton futures closed at 61.84 up 0.74 cents for the week with support at 60.63 and resistance at 63.57. Net sales reported by exporters were down from last week at 68,500 bales for the 2014/15 marketing year and net sales of 44,500 bales for the 2015/16 marketing year. Exports for the same period were down from last week at 81,300 bales. Cotton export sales were 60% of the USDA estimated total annual exports for the 2014/15 marketing year (August 1 to July 31), compared to a 5-year average of 51%. Dec/Mar future spread was -2.26 cents. Wheat December 2014 wheat futures closed at $4.98 up 13 cents from last week with support at $4.81 and resistance at $5.14. In Memphis, old crop cash wheat traded between $4.46 and $4.62 for the week. The Crop Progress report estimated spring wheat harvest(Continued on page 5) 4 Crop Comments by Dr. Aaron Smith ed at 96% compared to 94% last week and a 5-year average of 99%. December wheat futures traded between $4.84 and $5.11 this week. December wheat to corn price ratio was 1.49. Dec/Mar and Dec/July future spreads were 11 cents and 24 cents. March 2015 wheat futures closed at $5.09 up 12 cents from last week with support at $4.94 and resistance at $5.25. Net sales reported by exporters were below expectations at 13.7 million bushels for the 2014/15 marketing year. Exports for the same period were down from last week at 24.6 million bushels. Wheat export sales were 57% of the USDA estimated total annual exports for the 2014/15 marketing year (June 1 to May 31), compared to a 5-year average of 55%. The Crop Progress report estimated winter wheat planted at 56% compared to 43% last week and a 5-year average of 53%; and winter wheat emerged at 28% compared to 14% last year and a 5-year average of 24%. In Tennessee, winter wheat planting was estimated at 13% compared to 6% last week and a 5-year average of 9%; and winter wheat emerged at 2% compared to 0% last year and a 5-year average 0f 0%. June/July 2015 cash forward contracts averaged $4.97 with a range of $4.60 to $5.24 at elevators and barge points. July 2015 wheat futures closed at $5.22. Downside price protection could be obtained by purchasing a $5.30 July 2015 Put Option costing 41 cents establishing a $4.89 futures floor. Additional Information Important deadlines for producers/landowners for the 2014 Farm Bill: 1. 2. September 29 to February 28th. During this period, paperwork dealing with the program yield updating and program acre reallocation decisions can be completed for each FSA farm. November 17 to March 31. During this period, paperwork dealing with program choice (Agricultural Risk Coverage - County (ARC-CO), Price Loss Coverage (PLC), and Agricultural Risk Coverage - Individual Coverage (ARC-IC)) can be completed for each FSA farm. Additional details and helpful links can be found on the University of Tennessee Extension Farm Bill webpage: http:// economics.ag.utk.edu/farmbill.html. If you would like further information or clarification on topics discussed in the crop comments section or would like to be added to our free email list please contact me at aaron.smith@utk.edu. 5 Futures Settlement Prices: Crops & Livestock Friday, October 3, 2014 — Thursday, October 9, 2014 Friday Monday Tuesday 9.12 9.42 9.40 9.20 9.50 9.49 9.28 9.58 9.57 9.35 9.64 9.65 9.41 9.69 9.71 9.44 9.72 9.74 Commodity Soybeans ($/bushel) Contract Month Nov Jan Mar May Jul Aug Wednesday 9.35 9.43 9.52 9.60 9.67 9.70 Thursday 9.42 9.50 9.58 9.66 9.74 9.76 Corn ($/bushel) Dec Mar May Jul Sep Dec 3.23 3.36 3.45 3.52 3.60 3.71 3.32 3.45 3.53 3.61 3.69 3.80 3.40 3.53 3.62 3.70 3.78 3.88 3.43 3.56 3.65 3.73 3.80 3.90 3.44 3.57 3.66 3.74 3.81 3.90 Wheat ($/bushel) Dec Mar May Jul Sep 4.85 4.97 5.05 5.13 5.25 4.91 5.03 5.12 5.20 5.33 5.06 5.18 5.25 5.33 5.45 5.07 5.19 5.26 5.34 5.45 4.93 5.05 5.11 5.19 5.30 Soybean Meal ($/ton) Oct Dec Jan Mar May Jul 308 298 297 294 293 295 320 308 306 304 302 304 327 312 311 307 306 307 329 309 308 305 304 305 333 313 311 308 307 308 Cotton (¢/lb) Oct Dec Mar May Jul 63.07 62.47 61.10 61.58 62.14 64.98 64.38 62.28 62.78 63.32 65.83 65.21 62.57 63.16 63.75 65.51 64.89 62.73 63.33 63.94 64.55 63.94 62.27 62.95 63.65 Live Cattle ($/cwt) Oct Dec Feb Apr Jun 162.40 165.87 165.55 164.30 153.00 163.05 166.30 166.10 165.07 154.35 165.77 167.85 167.00 166.07 156.22 166.10 168.05 167.60 166.85 157.50 164.00 165.87 166.40 166.40 157.40 Feeder Cattle ($/cwt) Oct Nov Jan Mar Apr May 240.87 240.97 234.72 233.07 233.05 232.30 240.00 240.27 234.07 232.50 232.70 232.47 241.47 242.42 235.97 234.55 234.37 234.52 242.32 242.92 236.32 235.20 234.87 235.12 241.65 241.52 235.30 234.27 233.92 234.12 Market Hogs ($/cwt) Oct Dec Feb Apr May 105.60 93.02 90.65 91.30 91.20 107.17 95.87 92.75 93.00 91.20 107.22 94.35 91.62 91.65 92.65 108.12 95.17 92.40 92.32 93.25 109.50 95.62 92.05 92.00 93.25 6 Prices on Tennessee Reported Livestock Auctions for the week ending October 10, 2014 Low This Week High Weighted Average Last Week Weighted Average Year Ago Weighted Average —————————————————————— $/cwt —————————————————————— Steers: Medium/Large Frame #1-2 300-400 lbs 251.00 375.00 307.60 297.53 181.05 400-500 lbs 236.00 298.00 269.42 271.16 164.20 500-600 lbs 213.00 263.00 242.69 241.76 151.68 600-700 lbs 210.00 249.00 228.87 225.98 144.78 700-800 lbs 180.00 234.00 218.00 213.01 138.41 300-400 lbs 200.00 300.00 264.53 272.35 159.54 400-500 lbs 206.00 277.50 246.78 244.80 146.01 500-600 lbs 194.00 240.00 216.79 227.27 118.68 600-700 lbs 161.00 229.00 207.66 207.52 ——— Steers: Small Frame #1-2 Steers: Medium/Large Frame #3 300-400 lbs 220.00 305.00 271.32 269.11 157.85 400-500 lbs 209.00 275.00 234.33 236.55 145.23 500-600 lbs 190.00 243.00 225.26 217.31 135.65 600-700 lbs 178.00 235.00 211.39 213.01 130.76 700-800 lbs 180.00 214.00 197.73 196.93 127.75 300-400 lbs 175.00 190.00 183.44 176.36 109.96 500-600 lbs 144.00 190.50 170.89 ——— 100.73 700-800 lbs 139.00 177.00 162.70 159.74 ——— Breakers 75-80% 94.00 116.00 106.07 107.89 74.20 Boners 80-85% 97.00 118.00 106.75 108.93 75.18 Lean 85-90% 90.00 114.00 98.10 100.13 67.82 Bulls YG 1 115.00 142.00 129.43 132.97 92.26 Holstein Steers Slaughter Cows & Bulls Heifers: Medium/Large Frame #1-2 300-400 lbs 235.00 290.00 254.85 255.50 151.51 400-500 lbs 215.00 260.00 236.89 237.60 143.11 500-600 lbs 200.00 236.00 221.66 221.63 137.24 600-700 lbs 180.00 228.00 209.43 210.55 131.72 300-400 lbs 202.00 250.00 231.91 224.39 122.43 400-500 lbs 182.50 230.00 213.58 211.57 122.42 500-600 lbs 160.00 220.00 196.43 197.83 120.58 600-700 lbs 168.00 206.00 191.73 193.75 112.65 Heifers: Small Frame #1-2 Heifers: Medium/Large Frame #3 300-400 lbs 200.00 260.00 227.26 230.46 135.88 400-500 lbs 180.00 237.50 217.66 215.41 130.45 500-600 lbs 173.00 225.00 203.01 202.69 126.03 600-700 lbs 166.00 210.00 188.72 198.12 123.22 Cattle Receipts (# sales): This week: 10,880 (12) Week ago: 9,700 (11) 7 Year ago: 8,300 (10) Tennessee 500-600 lbs. M-1 Steer Prices Tennessee 700-800 lbs. M-1 Steer Prices 2013, 2014 and 5-year average 2013, 2014 and 5-year average 260 240 220 200 180 160 140 120 100 220 200 180 160 140 120 100 80 2008/2012 Avg 2013 2014 200 8/20 12 Avg 201 3 201 4 5-Area Finished Cattle Prices Tennessee Slaughter Cow Prices 2013, 2014 and 5-year average Breakers 75-80% 2013, 2014 and 5-year average 165 155 145 135 125 115 105 95 85 115 105 95 85 75 65 55 45 35 2008/2012 Avg 2013 200 8/20 12 Avg 2014 201 3 201 4 Prices Paid to Farmers by Elevators Friday, October 3, 2014 — Thursday, October 9, 2014 Friday Low High Monday Low High Tuesday Low High Wednesday Low High Thursday Low High Thursday Harvest Low High ————–-——–———————————————— $/bushel ————————————————————–——— No. 2 Yellow Soybeans Memphis 9.12-9.22 9.47-9.57 9.60-9.65 9.65-9.70 9.72-9.82 ——— N.W. B.P. 8.87-9.00 9.17-9.30 9.16-9.55 9.45-9.55 9.52-9.60 9.52-9.80 N.W. TN 8.62-8.76 8.92-9.06 8.91-9.11 8.95-9.10 9.02-9.17 9.42-9.42 Upper Md. 8.80-8.91 9.10-9.21 9.20-9.36 9.14-9.30 9.22-9.37 9.37-9.70 Lower Md. 9.02-9.32 9.32-9.62 9.21-9.61 9.15-9.55 9.22-9.62 9.50-9.50 Memphis 2.98-2.98 3.04-3.07 3.00-3.03 2.93-2.98 2.99-3.09 ——— N.W. B.P. 2.74-2.93 2.81-3.03 3.01-3.11 2.83-3.08 2.85-3.10 3.10-3.48 N.W. TN 2.62-2.88 2.71-3.02 2.80-3.11 2.81-3.13 2.81-3.15 3.23-3.53 Upper Md. 2.69-2.98 2.77-3.07 3.01-3.15 3.03-3.18 3.05-3.19 3.05-3.42 Lower Md. 2.98-3.43 3.08-3.53 3.16-3.61 3.18-3.63 3.20-3.65 3.38-3.38 4.40-4.40 4.46-4.46 4.61-4.61 4.62-4.62 4.48-4.48 ——— Yellow Corn Wheat Memphis 8 Video Sales Video Board Sales and Graded Sales EAST TENNESSEE LIVESTOCK CENTER - Oct. 8, 2014 1 load out of 65 steers; BQA certified producer; est. wt. 830 lbs., wt. range 780 to 880 lbs.; Slide: $0.04 on first 50 lbs., over 51 lbs. $0.06 back to first lb. over 831 lbs.; 100% L&M-1s; medium flesh; 90% Black/BWF, 5% Red/RWF, 5% ChaX/Smoky; Feed: pasture receiving 8 lbs/hd/day corn gluten; doublevaccinated; dewormed twice; implanted; gathered early a.m., hauled 6 miles, weighed on grounds after sort; 2% shrink $226.00 10/3/2014 Lower Middle TN Cattle Association Video Board Sale Columbia, TN (Delivery current thru Oct. 30th, 5-8 cent slide and 0-2% shrink) Receipts: 2618 Steers Med & Lg 1 few 2 20 hd 500 lbs $279.50 TN 32 hd 625 lbs $253.50 TN 1 ld 675 lbs $246.00 TN 1 ld 785 lbs $229.50 TN 4 lds 850-890 lbs $214.50-219.10 NC, TN 3 lds 900-915 lbs 214.30-216.25 NC, TN 1 load out of 64 steers; BQA certified producer; est. wt. 845 lbs., wt. range 800 to 900 lbs.; Slide: $0.04 on first 50 lbs., over 51 lbs. $0.06 back to first lb. over 846 lbs.; 100% L&M-1s; medium flesh; 75% Black/BWF, 10% Red/RWF, 10% ChaX/Smoky; Feed: pasture receiving 8 lbs/hd/day corn gluten; doublevaccinated; dewormed twice; implanted; gathered early a.m., hauled 6 miles, weighed on grounds after sort; 2% shrink $223.00 Heifers Med & Lg 1 few 2 3 lds 810-835 lbs $209.70-212.00 TN 1 ld 860 lbs $210.95 TN DICKSON LIVESTOCK - Oct. 6, 2014 1 load of 69 steers, avg. wt. 723 lbs., $235.00 1 load of 66 steers, avg. wt. 750 lbs., $232.00 1 load of 72 heifers, avg. wt. 687 lbs., $230.00 Video Board Sales and Grades Sales 10/8/14 Warren County Livestock Receipts: 1,378 (Prices for Blk, BWF, CharX) Steers: Med & Lg 1 300-350 lbs 292.00 350-400 lbs 301.00-304.00 400-450 lbs 280.00-284.00 450-500 lbs 276.00-284.50 500-550 lbs 274.00-283.00 550-600 lbs 250.50-262.50 600-700 lbs 236.00-241.75 700-850 lbs 224.75-231.00 850 and over 209.00-212.50 Heifers: Med & Lg 1 300-350 lbs 254.00 350-400 lbs 250.00-252.00 400-450 lbs 244.50-265.00 450-500 lbs 245.00-259.50 500-550 lbs 234.00-240.00 550-600 lbs 219.50-227.50 600-700 lbs 207.00-217.00 700-850 lbs 204.50-212.50 850 and over 190.00 Steers: Med & Lg 2 300-350 lbs 303.00 350-400 lbs 272.00-297.00 400-450 lbs 234.00-279.00 450-500 lbs 257.50-267.00 500-600 lbs 237.50-243.50 600-700 lbs 235.00-243.50 700-850 lbs 223.50-226.50 900-950 lbs 176.00-214.00 Heifers: Med & Lg 2 300-350 lbs 238.00-249.00 350-400 lbs 222.50-244.00 400-450 lbs 222.00-232.50 450-500 lbs 220.50-230.00 500-600 lbs 217.50-224.50 600-700 lbs 201.00-211.00 700-850 lbs 190.00-208.00 850 and over Bulls: Med & Lg 1-2 300-400 lbs 288.00 400-500 lbs 259.00 500-600 lbs 233.00-234.50 600-700 lbs 214.50-217.50 700-800 lbs 197.00 9 Beef Industry News Featured Article from Drovers CattleNetwork NCBA vows to fight USDA plan to create 2nd beef checkoff program The largest contractor of the Beef Checkoff Program, the National Cattlemen’s Beef Association (NCBA), said today that U.S. Secretary of Agriculture Tom Vilsack’s idea to reform the checkoff by creating another beef checkoff fund is dead on arrival with the grassroots organization. During an exclusive interview with Drovers/CattleNetwork, NCBA President and Texas cattleman Bob McCan said a big majority of producers support the current checkoff structure and that creating a second checkoff is not only duplicative but also potentially risks the future of the Beef Checkoff Program. “We have a big majority of support for our checkoff that we have now and very good return on investment – it’s been very successful,” McCan says. “The majority of producers in this country feel that way. It’s our obligation at NCBA as a grassroots organization to vocalize that opinion as much as we can.” Established by the 1985 Farm Bill, the Beef Checkoff Program was created to fund projects related to promotion, research, consumer education and international marketing. Of the $1 per head assessment, which is the same amount as it was in 1985, half is allocated to state beef councils and half goes to the Cattlemen’s Beef Promotion and Research Board (CBB) to administer the national checkoff program according to USDA rules and oversight. According to the 1985 Act, CBB, in coordination with the Beef Promotion Operating Committee, contracts with established national, non-profit, industry organizations to implement checkoff programs. For three years, a checkoff enhancement working group comprised of the industry stakeholders has met to discuss potential reform of the beef checkoff in order for it to meet the needs of today’s diverse cattle industry and make it more effective and efficient. Since that time, the group has not been able to reach a consensus. Calling the process a “waste of time and money” and claiming “there is no willingness from key players within the group to allow real reforms to take place,” the National Farmers Union voted to leave the working group. At the same time, NFU passed a resolution calling for a series of changes to the 1985 Act, which would require congressional approval and a change to the 1985 Act. The final recommendation called for USDA to place the beef checkoff under the Commodity Promotion, Research and Information Act of 1996 (1996 Act). Unlike the previous recommendations, the final action item proposed by NFU would simply require an act of Secretary of Agriculture Tom Vilsack, as the 1996 Act allows the Secretary of Agriculture to write a rule for a new commodity checkoff program. During a September 30 meeting of the working group, including NFU despite its decision to withdraw, Secretary Vilsack announced that he is considering creating an additional beef checkoff that would fall under the 1996 Act. A move McCan says could jeopardize the entire national checkoff. “It gives the federal government way too much authority,” McCan says. “There would be a lot of duplicity and additional bureaucracy. Our current structure is pretty efficient. The statenational relationship is very strong. The CBB utilizes as many of the non-profit entities as they can to implement the authorization requests. We need to capitalize on that, and we don’t see any way that could continue going forward with any type of program under the 1996 Act.” McCan said NCBA sees this as the current administration taking executive action to achieve its agenda regardless of what the majority of the industry wants. “This is an unnecessary act that was announced to appease one group,” McCan says. The new checkoff and the current checkoff would reportedly coexist for a period of three years before a producer referendum would take place. At that point, and under a new administration, a referendum would be held on whether to continue. For complete story: http://www.cattlenetwork.com/NCBA-vows-to-fight-USDA-planto-create-2nd-beef-checkoff-program-278050331.html University of Tennessee Extension Department of Agricultural and Resource Economics 314 Morgan Hall • 2621 Morgan Circle http://economics.ag.utk.edu/ http://economics.ag.utk.edu/curmkt.html USDA / Tennessee Department of Agriculture Market News Service http://www.tennessee.gov/agriculture/marketing/marketnews.html 1-800-342-8206 10
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