Research Desk – Stock Broking Morning Moves October 22, 2014 March 21, 2014 Market Buzz Global Indices Global Indices , 2012 SGX Nifty* Dow Jones NASDAQ S&P 500 FTSE 100 Nikkei 225** Hang Seng* Source : Bloomberg (Close) (Pts) Chg (%) 8022.00 16614.81 4419.48 1941.28 6372.33 15028.63 23264.64 72.00 215.14 103.41 37.27 105.26 224.35 176.06 0.90 1.31 2.40 1.96 1.68 1.52 0.76 *(as of 7:45:00 am) IST) Sectoral Gainers/Losers Sector (Close) (Pts) Chg( %) S&P BSE REALTY 1480.04 37.88 2.63 S&P BSE POWER 2069.25 51.45 2.55 S&P BSE OIL & GAS 10664.1 -82.87 -0.77 13614.94 -17.38 -0.13 ? BSE H C S&P Source: BSE India HDFC Bank Q2 profit rises 20% on higher NII, other income South Indian Bank Q2 profit slips 40% on higher provisions PNB Q2 misses estimates; net rises 14%, asset quality weak Govt orders merger of NSEL with Financial Technologies UPL Q2 net profit rises 7% to Rs 166 cr Indoco Remedies Q2 net profit up 40% at Rs 22.4 cr President clears ordinance on e-auction of coal blocks Govt likely to move GST Bill in Winter Session Source: Bloomberg, leading business newspapers & websites Market View * CD consumer durables Nifty : Top Gainers & Losers Gainers Losers %Cg JINDALSTEL DLF BHEL GAIL %Cg 7.34 4.91 4.80 4.78 PNB ONGC M&M ULTRACEMCO -2.89 -2.60 -2.53 -2.05 SSLT 4.19 COALINDIA -1.73 Source : NSE India Institutional Activity Cash Market Net Value Futures (FIIs) Net Value FII 32.40 Index 398.52 DII 68.94 Stock -152.92 Source: NSE India Value (Rs in crs) Intra-day Recommendations Scrip Code Act Entry SL Tgt TVSMOTORS L 258-260 254 267 MINDTREE L 1024-1027 1012 1060 BHEL L 236-238 234 244 JUSTDIAL S 1643-1648 1660 1620 IGL S 410-412 414 404 Note: Act=Action: Entry=Entry; SL=Stop loss; Tgt=Target; L= Long; Nifty firmly watching 8000 levels: Nifty closed at day’s high on Tuesday after a rollercoaster ride. Nifty opened marginally higher (7879.4-7906.15) avoiding Asia’s wide losses, moved higher and then slides to fill the gap in the first half of the session, post European Markets opening nifty accelerated back to intraday highs to end the session at day high after amid volatile move. Technically, Nifty is swirling around its 50Days SMA, after getting a good pullback from its 100 Days SMA last week. However going forward Nifty has minor resistance at its previous swing highs of 7970-8000 levels. Crossing and Sustaining well above 8000 levels can pave a fresh path towards its all time high, and on the down side, if Nifty slides below 7850 can fill Monday’s gap (7819-7856) and can target back to 7750. For the day, we recommend traders to go long in the Nifty around 7960-7965 levels with a strict stop loss placed below 7930 for potential upside targets of 7990-8000 levels. Nifty Option: Buy Nifty Oct 7900 CE @ 80-81, Stop loss 65, Targets: 108-110; TF: 1-2 Days. S= Short, BLW= Below.ABV=Above 1 For more Market updates & Stock Research, visit www.karvyonline.com Research Desk – Stock Broking DERIVATIVES INSIGHT Nifty Tracker Nifty Dynamics Particulars Current Previous % Chg Nifty Spot Near Fut Mid Fut Near Fut OI Near Mid Fut OI COC % Mid COC % Nifty PCR Vol Nifty PCR OI Market OI (Rs. cr.) 7927.75 7946.40 7989.35 1.68 0.18 61.47 20.37 1.00 0.91 205202 7879.40 7897.25 7944.00 1.62 0.14 8.27 7.87 0.94 0.87 200598 -0.66 0.62 0.57 3.44 23.19 53.20 12.49 6.90 4.09 2.30 Market COC (%) 10.48 9.94 5.43 India VIX 13.33 14.19 -6.06 Options Activity (Near Month) Nifty Oct futures premium increased to 18.65 points from 17.85 points. Futures added 6 lakh shares in OI. Nifty Nov futures premium decreased to 61.60 points from 64.60 points. Futures added nearly 3.3 lakh shares in OI. India VIX ended at 13.33 while Nifty historical volatility increased to 16.61% from 16.98%. Nifty put options added 17 lakh shares in open interest, while Nifty call options shed 7 lakh shares. Nifty call options average Implied Volatility (IV) increased to 29.37% from 16.98% and Nifty put options average (IV) decreased to 13.57% from 15.81%. The average Market COC increased to 10.48%, with total market open interest increased by 2.30% to Rs.2, 05,202 crore. Positional Recommendations BATAINDIA Fut: Buy @ 1251-1252 levels for targets of 1283-1285 levels with stop loss at 1235: Bata India witnessed addition of long positions in yesterday's trade. The stock shed nearly 11% of open interest during last trading session. On the technical front, the stock has witnessed steep profit booking from the highs of 1400 odd levels and is forming base around 12001220 levels. The stock may test 1283-1285 levels in short term perspective. HEXAWARE Fut: Buy @ 188-189 levels for targets of 197-198 levels with stop loss at 185: Hexaware witnessed closure of short positions in yesterday's trade. The stock shed nearly 9% of open interest during last trading session. On the technical front, the stock has taken support at 170 levels to the downside and is well set to rally towards the levels of 197-198 in near term AUROPHARMA Oct 960 CE: Aurobindo pharma 960 strike October call option has open interest of 1, 58,500 shares. It shed 28,000 shares in yesterday's trade with IVs at 38.24%. Long positions can be assumed in the option between Rs.17-18 levels with strict stop loss at 12, for the targets of 26-27 levels. Hybrid Strategy Hybrid Strategy Payoff Short strangle in INFY Infy Oct 3750 PE with a total open interest of 70,625 shed 6,375 shares in last trading session and 3800 CE with a total open interest of 365,750 with addition of 59,875 shares in last session. We recommend to build a short strangle strategy in Infosys. Sell one lot INFY 3750 PE @ Rs 32.6 and Sell one lot INFY 3800 CE @ 26.75.Max Profit : 7419; Max Loss : Unlimited beyond the BEPs; UBEP: 3860; LBEP: 3690 2 For more Market updates & Stock Research, visit www.karvyonline.com Research Desk – Stock Broking PIVOT TABLE Scrip CMP S2 S1 Pivot R1 R2 26575.65 7927.75 26324.28 7850.65 26449.96 7889.20 26532.69 7912.90 26658.37 7951.45 26741.10 7975.15 AXISBANK BAJAJ-AUTO 423.05 2412.05 415.15 2374.12 419.10 2393.08 421.95 2414.02 425.90 2432.98 428.75 2453.92 BHARTIARTL BHEL 410.65 238.45 398.48 223.82 404.57 231.13 409.78 235.32 415.87 242.63 421.08 246.82 CIPLA COALINDIA 608.30 355.05 594.93 346.35 601.62 350.70 606.43 356.35 613.12 360.70 617.93 366.35 DRREDDY GAIL 2964.30 481.10 2909.90 449.10 2937.10 465.10 2955.55 474.80 2982.75 490.80 3001.20 500.50 HDFC HDFCBANK 1021.00 895.55 998.20 878.22 1009.60 886.88 1018.15 896.32 1029.55 904.98 1038.10 914.42 HEROMOTOCO HINDALCO 2995.85 147.90 2889.95 144.77 2942.90 146.33 2972.95 148.62 3025.90 150.18 3055.95 152.47 HINDUNILVR ICICIBANK 749.75 1582.10 721.72 1523.10 735.73 1552.60 744.87 1569.50 758.88 1599.00 768.02 1615.90 INFY ITC 3772.95 351.35 3637.72 345.85 3705.33 348.60 3777.62 350.75 3845.23 353.50 3917.52 355.65 LT M&M 1512.00 1229.05 1483.30 1199.15 1497.65 1214.10 1506.80 1237.05 1521.15 1252.00 1530.30 1274.95 MARUTI NTPC 3075.70 147.55 2982.07 143.52 3028.88 145.53 3056.82 146.82 3103.63 148.83 3131.57 150.12 408.00 929.35 396.13 921.25 402.07 925.30 411.48 931.15 417.42 935.20 426.83 941.05 2584.15 248.50 2549.52 236.37 2566.83 242.43 2586.92 247.97 2604.23 254.03 2624.32 259.57 SUNPHARMA TATAMOTORS 797.35 501.45 783.62 489.38 790.48 495.42 798.97 499.78 805.83 505.82 814.32 510.18 TATAPOWER TATASTEEL 87.90 455.70 86.97 446.77 87.43 451.23 87.97 456.72 88.43 461.18 88.97 466.67 2433.40 573.30 2401.97 551.50 2417.68 562.40 2430.72 568.70 2446.43 579.60 2459.47 585.90 SENSEX NIFTY ONGC RELIANCE SBIN SSLT TCS WIPRO Corporate Actions Company Series Ex-Date Record Date Purpose CRISIL EQ 22-Oct-14 27-Oct-14 Interim Dividend Rs.4/- Per Share CROMPGREAV EQ 22-Oct-14 27-Oct-14 Interim Dividend Re.0.40 Per Share Results ASIANPAINT M&MFIN HDFC KOTAKBANK L&TFH WIPRO MASTEK HAVELLS Sources: NSE India, BSE India, Bloomberg, Karvy Research, Leading Business Newspapers & Websites. 3 For more Market updates & Stock Research, visit www.karvyonline.com Research Desk – Stock Broking References Page 1: FII= Foreign institutional investor, DII= Domestic institutional investor. Page 2: Fut=Futures; COC=Cost of Carry; PCR = Put Call Ratio; Vol = Volume; OI = Open Interest; VIX = Volatility Index Page 3: Pivot Point: Intra-day trading tool that applies stop loss based on NSE prices. Pivot Point: This is a trigger point for intra-day buy/sell based on the price range of the previous day, based on NSE prices. R1 (Resistance 1): First resistance over pivot point; R2 (Resistance 2): Second resistance over R1. S1 (Support 1): First support below pivot point; S2 (Support 2): Second support below S1. As per the tool, the trader should take a BUY position just above the pivot point; the stop loss should be kept at the pivot point and the first target would be R1. If R1 is crossed, then R2 becomes the next target with the stop loss at R1. Similarly, if the price falls below the pivot point, the trader should SELL, keeping the pivot point as the stop loss and the first target as S1. If S1 is crossed, then S2 becomes the next target with the stop loss at S1. Legends: BPP: Book part profits; BFP: Book full profits; AP: Average profits; EMA: Exponential moving average; SA: Simple average; RVS: Revised stop loss level. KARVY RESEARCH DESK – STOCK BROKING JK Jain Head Research QUERIES & FEEDBACK Toll-Free: 1800 425 8283 Email ID: service@karvy.com Karvy Stock Broking Limited “Karvy Centre”, Avenue-4, 2nd Floor, Road No: 10, Banjara Hills, Hyderabad – 500 034. India. Tel: 91-40-23312454; Fax: 91-40-23311968 Disclaimer: The views represented here are based purely on Technical studies/analysis and can be at odds with our Fundamental views/analysis. The information and views expressed and presented in this report are prepared by Karvy Stock Broking Limited (Karvy). The information contained herein is based on our analysis and up on sources that we consider reliable. We, however, do not vouch for the accuracy or the completeness thereof. 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