2nd level analysis – design matrix, contrasts and inference Irma Kurniawan MFD Jan 2009 Today’s menu • • • • • Fixed, random, mixed effects First to second level analysis Behind button-clicking: Images produced and calculated The buttons and what follows.. Contrast vectors, Levels of inference, Global effects, Small Volume Correction • Summary Fixed vs. Random Effects • Subjects can be Fixed or Random variables • If subjects are a Fixed variable in a single design matrix (SPM “sessions”), the error term conflates within- and between-subject variance – But in fMRI (unlike PET) the between-scan variance is normally much smaller than the between-subject variance Multi-subject Fixed Effect model Subject 1 Subject 2 Subject 3 • If one wishes to make an inference from a subject sample to the population, one needs to treat subjects as a Random variable, and needs a proper mixture of within- and between-subject variance • Mixed models: the experimental factors are fixed but the ‘subject’ factor is random. • In SPM, this is achieved by a two-stage procedure: 1) (Contrasts of) parameters are estimated from a (Fixed Effect) model for each subject 2) Images of these contrasts become the data for a second design matrix (usually simple t-test or ANOVA) Subject 4 Subject 5 Subject 6 error df ~ 300 Two-stage “Summary Statistic” approach 1st-level (within-subject) 2nd-level (between-subject) b^2 ^ 2) ( b^3 ^ 3) ( b^4 ^ 4) ( b^5 ^ 5) ( b^6 ^ 6) ( One-sample t-test contrast images of cbi b^1 ^ 1) ( N=6 subjects (error df =5) p < 0.001 (uncorrected) SPM{t} ^b pop ^ = within-subject error w WHEN special case of n independent observations per subject: var(bpop) = 2b / N + 2w / Nn Relationship between 1st & 2nd levels • 1st-level analysis: Fit the model for each subject.Typically, one design matrix per subject • Define the effect of interest for each subject with a contrast vector. • The contrast vector produces a contrast image containing the contrast of the parameter estimates at each voxel. Contrast 1 Subject 1 Con image for contrast 1 for subject 1 Subject 2 • 2nd-level analysis: Feed the contrast images into a GLM that implements a statistical test. Contrast 2 Con image for contrast 1 for subject 2 Con image for contrast 2 for subject 1 Con image for contrast 2 for subject 2 You can use checkreg button to display con images of different subjects for 1 contrast and eye-ball if they show similar activations Similarities between 1st & 2nd levels • Both use the GLM model/tests and a similar SPM machinery • Both produce design matrices. • The rows in the design matrices represent observations: – 1st level: Time (condition onsets); within-subject variability – 2nd level: subjects; between-subject variability • The columns represent explanatory variables (EV): – 1st level: All conditions within the experimental design – 2nd level: The specific effects of interest Similarities between 1st & 2nd levels • The same tests can be used in both levels (but the questions are different) • .Con images: output at 1st level, both input and output at 2nd level • 1st level: variance is within subject, 2nd level: variance is between subject. • There is typically only one 1st-level design matrix per subject, but multiple 2nd level design matrices for the group – one for each statistical test. B1 B2 B3 A1 1 2 3 A2 4 5 6 For example: 2 X 3 design between variable A and B. We’d have three design matrices (entering 3 different sets of con images from 1st level analyses) for 1) main effect of A 2) main effect of B 3) interaction AxB. Difference from behavioral analysis • The ‘1st level analysis’ typical to behavioural data is relatively simple: – A single number: categorical or frequency – A summary statistic, resulting from a simple model of the data, typically the mean. • SPM 1st level is an extra step in the analysis, which models the response of one subject. The statistic generated (β) then taken forward to the GLM. – This is possible because βs are normally distributed. • A series of 3-D matrices (β values, error terms) Behind button-clicking… • Which images are produced and calculated when I press ‘run’? 1st level design matrix: 6 sessions per subject The following images are created each time an analysis is performed (1st or 2nd level) • beta images (with associated header), images of estimated regression coefficients (parameter estimate). Combined to produce con. images. • mask.img This defines the search space for the statistical analysis. • ResMS.img An image of the variance of the error (NB: this image is used to produce spmT images). • RPV.img The estimated resels per voxel (not currently used). •All images can be displayed using check-reg button 1st-level (within-subject) b^1 Beta images contain values related to size of effect. A ^ 1 given voxel in each beta image will have a value related to the size of effect for that explanatory variable. b^2 ^ b^3 ^ 3 The ‘goodness of fit’ or error term is contained in the ResMS file and is the same for a given voxel within the design matrix regardless of which beta(s) is/are being used to create a con.img. b^4 ^ 4 b^5 ^ 5 b^6 ^ 6 ^ = within-subject error w t masks Mask.img Calculated using the intersection of 3 masks: 1) Implicit (if a zero in any image then masked for all images) default = yes 2) Thresholding which can be i) none, ii) absolute, iii) relative to global (80%). 3) Explicit mask (user specified) Single subject mask Segmentati on of structural images Group mask Note: You can include explicit mask at 1st- or 2nd-level. If include at 1st-level, the resulting group mask at 2ndlevel is the overlapping regions of masks at 1stlevelso, will probably much smaller than single subject masks. Beta value = % change above global mean. In this design matrix there are 6 repetitions of the condition so these need to be summed. Con. value = summation of all relevant betas. ˆ i2 ResMS.img = residual sum of squares or variance image and is a measure of withinsubject error at the 1st level or betweensubject error at the 2nd. Con. value is combined with ResMS value at that voxel to produce a T statistic or spm.T.img. Eg random noise spmT.img Thresholded using the results button. pu = 0.05 Gaussian 10mm FWHM (2mm pixels) spmT.img and corresponding spmF.img So, which images? • beta images contain information about the size of the effect of interest. • Information about the error variance is held in the ResMS.img. • beta images are linearly combined to produce relevant con. images. • The design matrix, contrast, constant and ResMS.img are subjected to matrix multiplication to produce an estimate of the st.dev. associated with each voxel in the con.img. • The spmT.img are derived from this and are thresholded in the results step. The buttons and what follows.. • Specify 2nd-level • Enter the output dir • Enter con images from each subject as ‘scans’ • PS: Using matlabbatch, you can run several design matrices for different contrasts all at once • Hit ‘run’ • Click ‘estimate’ (may take a little while) • Click ‘results’ (can ‘review’ first before this) A few additional notes… Effort How to enter contrasts… E1 E2 Reward R1 R2 R1 R2 E1 E2 E1 E2 Main effect 1 1 -1 -1 of Reward Main effect 1 of Effort -1 1 -1 Effort x Reward -1 -1 1 1 Interaction: RE1 x RE2 = (R1E1 – R1E2) – (R2E1– R2E2) = R1E1 – R1E2 – R2E1 + R2E2 = 1 - 1 - 1 + 1 = [ 1 -1 -1 1] Levels of Inference • Three levels of inference: – extreme voxel values voxel-level (height) inference – big suprathreshold clusters voxel-level: P(t 4.37) = .048 cluster-level (extent) inference – many suprathreshold clusters n=1 2 set-level inference n=82 Set level: At least 3 clusters above threshold Cluster level: At least 2 cluster with at least 82 voxels above threshold Voxel level: at least cluster with unspecified number of voxels above threshold Which is more powerful? Set > cluster > voxel level Can use voxel level threshold for a priori hypotheses about specific voxels. n=32 cluster-level: P(n 82, t u) = 0.029 set-level: P(c 3, n k, t u) = 0.019 Example SPM window Global Effects • May be global variation from scan to scan • Such “global” changes in image intensity confound local / regional changes of experiment global • Adjust for global effects (for fMRI) by: Proportional Scaling • • Can improve statistics when orthogonal to effects of interest (as here)… …but can also worsen when effects of interest correlated with global (as next) Scaling global Global Effects • Two types of scaling: Grand Mean scaling and Global scaling • Grand Mean scaling is automatic, global scaling is optional • Grand Mean scales by 100/mean over all voxels and ALL scans (i.e, single number per session) • Global scaling scales by 100/mean over all voxels for EACH scan (i.e, a different scaling factor every scan) • Problem with global scaling is that TRUE global is not (normally) known… • …we only estimate it by the mean over voxels • So if there is a large signal change over many voxels, the global estimate will be confounded by local changes • This can produce artifactual deactivations in other regions after global scaling • Since most sources of global variability in fMRI are low frequency (drift), high-pass filtering may be sufficient, and many people to not use global scaling Small-volume correction • If have an a priori region of interest, no need to correct for wholebrain! • But can correct for a Small Volume (SVC) • Volume can be based on: – An anatomically-defined region – A geometric approximation to the above (eg rhomboid/sphere) – A functionally-defined mask (based on an ORTHOGONAL contrast!) • Extent of correction can be APPROXIMATED by a Bonferonni correction for the number of resels…(cf. Random Field Theory slides) • ..but correction also depends on shape (surface area) as well as size (volume) of region (may want to smooth volume if rough) Example SPM window SVC summary • p value associated with t and Z scores is dependent on 2 parameters: 1. Degrees of freedom. 2. How you choose to correct for multiple comparisons. Statistical inference: imaging vs. behavioural data • Inference of imaging data uses some of the same statistical tests as used for analysis of behavioral data: – t-tests, – ANOVA – The effect of covariates for the study of individualdifferences • Some tests are more typical in imaging: – Conjunction analysis • Multiple comparisons poses a greater problem in imaging (RFT; small volume correction) With help from … • Rik Henson’s slides. • Debbie Talmi & Sarah White’s slides • Alex Leff’s slides • SPM manual (D:\spm5\man). • Human Brain Function book • Guillaume Flandin & Geoffrey Tan
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