Energinet.dk and the Danish Energy System South African delegation Fredericia, 22 October 2015 Peter Jørgensen, Vice President 22 October 2015 Energinet.dk and the Danish Energy System 1 Agenda • Introduction to Energinet.dk • The Danish Electricity System with 40% wind power • The Green Transition towards independence of fossil fuels 22 October 2015 Energinet.dk and the Danish Energy System 2 Facts about Energinet.dk • TSO for electricity and gas in Denmark • Independent public enterprise under the Danish Ministry of Climate , Energy and Building • Owns and operates the electricity and gas transmission systems • Co-owns electricity and gas spot exchanges • Approx. 800 employees • Annual revenue: approx. DKK 10 billion ≈ US$ 1.5 billion • The consumers contribute to our activities through tariffs • Our finances are based on a break-even principle – non-profit! • Investment decisions are based on socio-economic welfare criteria 22 October 2015 Energinet.dk and the Danish Energy System 3 Core tasks for Energinet.dk • Ensure short- and long-term security of supply for electricity and gas • Ensure well-functioning markets for electricity and gas • Own, operate, develop and maintain the gas and electricity transmission grids 22 October 2015 Energinet.dk and the Danish Energy System 4 Political framework – targets and commitments Europe is in the middle of a historic transition of the energy system – Denmark has a leading position • 2020: Wind power will constitute 50% of the electricity consumption • 2050: Denmark must be independent of fossil-fuels Strategic commitments of Energinet.dk: - Security of supply - Efficient green transition - Healthy investment climate 22 October 2015 Energinet.dk and the Danish Energy System 5 Energy consumption in Denmark towards 2050 The Green Energy Transition in Denmark is primarily based on: 1. Highly increased energy efficiency – specially through electrification 2. Much more fluctuating power production from specially wind – and sun/waves Based on figure from the Danish Government’s plan: ”Our Future Energy” 22 October 2015 6 Energinet.dk and the Danish Energy System Parallel developments - towards renewable energy and open markets From primary coal fired to local CHP and wind power 2000 From vertically integrated monopoly to competitive electricity market Generation Transmission Distribution 22 October 2015 Generation Trade Transmission System Operator Distribution Energinet.dk and the Danish Energy System 7 Development of Wind Power and PV in Denmark Drivers: • Attractive feed in tariffs/ guaranteed prices • Favorable grid connection conditions 22 October 2015 Energinet.dk and the Danish Energy System 8 The Danish electricity system Primary power station Local CHP plant - January 2015 Wind turbines import/export [MW] Capacity MW 1650/1700 MW 680/740 MW Demand 1300/1700 MW 600 MW Wind Power/Demand 2014: 39% 600 MW 1500/1780 MW 22 October 2015 Energinet.dk and the Danish Energy System 9 One week in September 2015 - 56% wind power 22 October 2015 Energinet.dk and the Danish Energy System 10 Flexibility in the electricity system - hourly dispatch 31 August – 6 September 2015 22 October 2015 Energinet.dk and the Danish Energy System 11 Spot price, wind power and market dynamics 22 October 2015 Energinet.dk and the Danish Energy System 12 Main means to integrate wind power – so far • • • • 22 October 2015 Strong transmission grids and interconnectors International electricity market Flexible generation system Specialized operational planning tools Energinet.dk and the Danish Energy System 13 Planned and ongoing transmission projects Norge Existing interconnectors Decided Interconnectors Skagerrak Possible Interconnectors 1, 2, 3 og 4 Offshore Wind Farms: • Horns Rev 3 • Kriegers Flak • Coast-near OWFs Embellishment projects – underground cab 1.700 MW Synchronous compensator Konti-Skan 1&2 Coast-near OWFs 720 MW Gas projects Aggersund Interconnectors: • COBRA • DK1-Tyskland • Øresund • Kriegers Flak • Viking Link Sverige Ll. Torup Anholt Øresund 400 kV Horns Rev 3 Kassø-Tjele 1.300 MW Vejle Ådal Horns Rev 1+2 Øresund 132 kV Storebælt 600 MW Viking Link 700 - 1400 MW Køge Bugt mm. Lillebælt Biogas COBRAcable 700 MW 600 MW Kriegers Flak DE–DK1 1.500 MW / 1.780MW Rødsand Kontek 22 October 2015 Tyskland 600 MW 14 Strong transmission grids and interconnectors ENTSO-E Ten Year Network Development Plan: • 50,000 km of new or refurbished grid investments (23,000 km of new overhead lines) • 110-150 € billions of grid investments by 2030 New RES = 1-1.5 €/MWh in wholesale power prices =>Reductions 2-5 €/MWh in bulk power prices 22 October 2015 Energinet.dk and the Danish Energy System 15 Market Coupling in Europe – status and next step Nordic Region Price coupling since 1999 (Eastern Denmark 2000) Belgium, France, Netherlands (TLC) Price coupling since 2006 Nordic region-Germany (operated by EMCC) Volume coupling since November 2009 Central West Europe (CWE) Price coupling since November 2010 CWE-Nordic region (+ Estonia) Flow calculated by EMCC Prices calculated by PXs Interim solution NWE: Interim Tight Volume Coupling (ITVC) since November 2010 Nordic region– SwePol/ Nordic region-Lithuania/ Nordic region-Latvia Price coupling since Dec. 2010 / June 2012/ June 2013 North West Europe Price coupling since (NWE) - One price February 2014 = target calculation for entire area model 22 October 2015 NWE+SWE = MRC (multi regional coupling) One price calculation Price coupling since May 2014 MRC + Italian borders Price coupling since February 2015 4M – not yet coupled to MRC Price coupling since November 2014 Energinet.dk and the Danish Energy System Extreme flexibility of coal fired Combined Heat and Power Plants Operational range: 10–100% Source: Dong Energy 22 October 2015 Energinet.dk and the Danish Energy System 17 Network Codes under development Connection Related Codes • • • • System Operation Related Codes • • • • Market Related Codes 22 October 2015 Requirements for Generators Demand Connection Code HVDC Connection Code Connection Procedures (RfG) (DCC) (HVDC) (CP) Operational Security Network (OS) Operational Planning & Scheduling (OPS) Load Frequency Control & Reserves (LFCR) Operational Procedures in an Emergency (EP) • Staff Training (ST) • Capacity Allocation & Congestion Management • Forward Capacity Allocation • Electricity Balancing Energinet.dk and the Danish Energy System (CACM) (FCA) (EB) 18 ENTSO-E Network Codes Connection Codes Market Codes Operational Codes 22 October 2015 19 Challenges Having 4,9GW wind power installed in the system, a change of 1 m/s in wind speed can result in a change of > 650 MW generation The meteorological forecasts rarely agree on the same wind speed. Thus we constantly look for the best combination. 22 October 2015 Energinet.dk and the Danish Energy System 20 Operational system balancing and grid security Energinet.dk has developed two specialized IT systems to manage the large amount of variable renewable generation: • Operational Planning System • providing information on imbalances in the coming hours on the basis of forecasts, up-dated generation plans, on-line measurements and DGM input • Distributed Generation Management System (DGM) • providing the basis for forecasting renewable generation and grid security calculations (load flow) 22 October 2015 Energinet.dk and the Danish Energy System 21 Wind Power Forecasting + on-line measurements ! 22 October 2015 Energinet.dk and the Danish Energy System 22 Operational Planning Tool - continously updated schedules and forecasts Actual prediction Forecast day-a-head Scada measurement and up-scaling 22 October 2015 Energinet.dk and the Danish Energy System 23 Operational Planning Tool - Predicted imbalance – on-line up-dated Closing the gap before the operating hour Predicted Imbalance 22 October 2015 Energinet.dk and the Danish Energy System 24 Résumé: Main means to integrate wind power – so far • • • • 22 October 2015 Strong transmission grids and interconnectors International electricity market Flexible generation system Specialized operational planning tools Energinet.dk and the Danish Energy System 25 Consumer prices in Denmark Jan 2015 * 2.29 DKK/kWh~ 0.31 €/kWh 1.14 DKK/kWh~ 0.15 €/kWh * 75% industrial processes 22 October 2015 Energinet.dk and the Danish Energy System 26 Green transition 22 October 2015 Energinet.dk and the Danish Energy System 27 Energy consumption in Denmark towards 2050 The Green Energy Transition in Denmark is primarily based on: 1. Highly increased energy efficiency – specially through electrification 2. Much more fluctuating power production from specially wind – and sun/waves Based on figure from the Danish Government’s plan: ”Our Future Energy” 22 October 2015 Energinet.dk and the Danish Energy System 28 22 October 2015 Energinet.dk and the Danish Energy System 29 Means to increase the flexibility of the energy system Balance in a large and diversified system 22 October 2015 Activate DSR, substitute fossil fuels and create flexibility Energinet.dk and the Danish Energy System Substitute fossil gas and “store” wind power in gas system 30 2014 22 October 2015 Energinet.dk and the Danish Energy System 31 2050 22 October 2015 Energinet.dk and the Danish Energy System 32 Costs for the Green Transition in Denmark +8% 22 October 2015 Energinet.dk and the Danish Energy System 33 Energinet.dk Energy Consultancy • • 22 October 2015 Part of the Energinet.dk group with access to core TSO competences International advising, training and knowledge sharing • without costs for the Danish electricity and gas consumers Energinet.dk and the Danish Energy System 34 Read more at energinet.dk 22 October 2015 Energinet.dk and the Danish Energy System 35
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