Alabama Statewide Residential Report – 3Q 2014 Quarterly Indicators Recent Figures Trends Statewide: 3Q Total Residential Sales Total Home Sales Statewide sales for the third quarter of 2014 totaled 12,469 units, representing an increase of 401 transactions when compared to 12,068 units that were sold in the third quarter of 2013. vs. Last Year vs. 5-Yr Avg 3Q 3Q 3Q 2014 2013 '09-'13 12,469 12,068 10,537 3.3% 18.3% vs. Peak vs. Trough 3Q 3Q 2014 2010 12,469 8,673 0.0% 43.8% Current Quarter 13,000 12,469 12,000 11,000 10,648 10,000 9,000 8,000 ACRE Commentary Historical Home Sales “Historical data indicates that third quarter sales in 2014 increased by 12.1 percent from the 3-year average, and increased by 18.3 percent from the 5-year quarterly average." 3Q 3Q 3Q 3Q 3Q 2013 2012 2011 2010 2009 5- Year Avg: 3- Year Avg: Median Sales Price The Statewide median sales price for the third quarter of 2014 was $130,284, a 1.8 percent increase from the third quarter of 2013's median sales price of $128,026. Current Quarter vs. Last Year vs. 5-Yr Avg 3Q 3Q 3Q Graph: 3Q 2009 - 2014 (By quarter) 12,068 10,641 10,653 8,673 10,648 10,537 11,121 2014 130,284 2013 128,026 '09-'13 126,183 Statewide: 3Q Median Sales Price 1.8% 3.2% 134,000 132,000 $117,586 130,000 128,000 126,000 124,000 Median Peak Trough ACRE Commentary “Historical data indicates that the third quarter median sales price in 2014 is 3.4% higher than the 5-year average, and 3.6% higher than the 3-year average." 3Q 3Q 2009 2011 131,034 121,871 -0.6% 6.9% Historical Median Selling Price 3Q 2013 128,026 3Q 2012 126,112 3Q 2011 121,871 3Q 2010 123,874 3Q 2009 131,034 5- Year Avg: 126,183 3- Year Avg: 125,336 122,000 120,000 Graph: 3Q 2009 - 2014 (By quarter) $122,132 Quarterly Indicators Recent Figures Trends Statewide: 2Q Average Selling Price Average Sales Prices The Statewide average sales price for the third quarter of 2014 was $161,886, a 4.5 percent increase from the third quarter of 2013’s average sales price of $154,966. Current Quarter vs. Last Year vs. 5-Yr Avg Average Peak Trough ACRE Commentary 3Q 3Q 3Q 2014 161,886 2013 154,966 '09-'13 150,033 4.5% 7.9% 3Q 3Q 2014 2011 0.0% 10.7% 161,886 146,220 164,000 162,000 160,000 158,000 156,000 154,000 $143,242 152,000 150,000 148,000 146,000 144,000 Historical Average Selling Price “Historical data indicates that third quarter sales prices in 2014 increased by 9.5 percent from the 5-year average, and increased by 9.7 percent from the 3-year average.” 3Q 3Q 3Q 3Q 3Q 2013 2012 2011 2010 2009 5-Year Avg: 3- Year Avg: $149,936 Graph: 3Q 2009 - 2014 (By quarter) 154,966 148,503 146,220 148,308 152,169 150,033 149,897 Statewide: 2Q Average Days on Market Days on Market (DOM) Current Quarter The average number of days on the market vs. Last Year in the third quarter of 2014 was 154, vs. 5-Yr Avg representing a decrease of 7.1 percent from 165 days on market in the third quarter of 2013. DOM Peak Trough 3Q 3Q 3Q 2014 2013 '09-'13 154 165 156 -7.1% -1.7% 170 165 160 155 154 150 3Q 3Q 2013 2009 165 153 -7.1% 0.4% 145 140 135 130 134 125 ACRE Commentary “The 5-year DOM average (’09-’13) for the third quarter is 156 days, which 2 days higher than current results. DOM is anticipated to remain within the current range (145-165 days) through the third quarter of 2014.” Historical Average DOM 3Q 3Q 3Q 3Q 3Q 5-Year Avg: 3-Year Avg: 2013 2012 2011 2010 2009 165 158 160 145 153 156 161 Graph: 3Q 2009 - 2014 (By quarter) Quarterly Indicators Recent Figures Trends Statewide: 2Q Total Homes Listed Total Homes Listed for Sale Current Quarter Statewide residential units available for vs. Last Year sale in the third quarter of 2014 vs. 5-Yr Avg decreased by 309 units when compared to the same period last year. Inventory Peak Trough 3Q 3Q 2014 2013 33,538 33,847 -0.9% 3Q '09-'13 36,713 -8.6% 3Q 3Q 2010 2014 40,745 -17.7% 33,538 0.0% ACRE Commentary 42,000 40,745 41,000 40,000 39,000 38,000 37,000 38,153 36,000 35,000 34,000 33,000 32,000 Historical Total Homes Listed “Third quarter's total listed sales decreased by 9.5% compared to the 5-year average, and decreased by 4.0% compared to the 3-year average. ” 3Q 2013 3Q 2012 3Q 2011 3Q 2010 3Q 2009 5-Year Avg: 3-Year Avg: 33,538 Graph: 3Q 2009 - 2014 33,847 33,891 36,930 40,745 38,153 36,713 34,889 (By quarter) Statewide: 2Q Inventory to Sales Ratio Inventory-to-Sales Ratio Definition: The inventory for sale divided by the current monthly sales volume equals the # of months of supply (Market considered to be in balance at approximately 6-7 months). Current Quarter vs. Last Year vs. 5-Yr Avg Statewide currently has 8.1 months of supply, down from 8.4 months in the third quarter of 2013 . 8.1 8.4 15.0 3Q 3Q 2014 2013 3Q '09-'13 10.6 -24.2% 3Q 3Q 2010 2014 14.1 -42.7% 8.1 -0.1% -4.1% 14.1 14.0 13.0 12.0 I/S Ratio Peak Trough ACRE Commentary “Historical data indicates that the third quarter inventory-to-sales ratio in 2014 decreased by 30.9 percent from the 5-year average, and decreased by 17.3 percent from the 3-year average. This represents welcome news for the market as it continues to trend toward a more balanced market.” 11.0 10.0 10.7 9.0 8.0 8.1 7.0 Historical I/S Ratio 3Q 3Q 3Q 3Q 3Q 2013 2012 2011 2010 2009 5-Year Avg: 3- Year Avg: 8.4 9.6 10.4 14.1 10.7 Graph: 3Q 2009 - 2014 (By quarter) 10.6 9.5 NOTE: This representation is based in whole or in part on data supplied by the reporting boards/associations of REALTORS® or their Multiple Listing Service. The Alabama Center for Real Estate does not guarantee and is in no way responsible for its accuracy. Any Market data maintained by the Center does not necessarily include information on listings not published at the request of the seller, listings of brokers who are not members of a local board/association or MLS, unlisted properties, rental properties, etc. The statistics included in this report reflect the residential sales of houses, condominiums, nd town homes. Historical Monthly Housing Statistics are available on the web at Alabama Center for Real Estate's homepage - www.acre.cba.ua.edu.
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