Treasury News & Market Update …in your best interest A Daily Publication of Zenith Bank Plc Thursday, November 13, 2014 Money Market Watch Selected Macroeconomic Indices Inflation: Yr/Yr ∆% : 12months ∆% : MPR : 8.1% (Nat. bureau of stat October 2014) 8.0% (Nat. bureau of stat October 2014) 12.00% CURRENT DAY 13/11/2014 NSE ASI MKT CAP % CHANGE PREVIOUS DAY Stop Rates on FGN Securities Nibor Rates Tenor Tenor Rates (%) Rates (%) OBB: 10.75 T/BILLS: PRIMARY (06/11/14) 91 Days: 9 .7000 182 Days : 10.5000 364 Days: 11.2000 O/N 1M 3M 6M 10.8583 12.1638 13.2782 14.1219 12/11/2014 34,515.47 33,967.48 1.61% 11,431,791,156,909.50 11,250,291,193,087.80 1.61% T/BILLS: OMO (13/11/14) 182 Days: 10.9600 Commodity Prices Light Crude (Nov 2014 deliveries): $75.06pb (-2.12) Brent Crude (Nov 2014 deliveries): $ 78.324pb (-2.06) Natural gas (Nov 2014 deliveries): $4.08btu (-0.10) Cocoa (Dec 2014 deliveries) $2,809.00USD/Ton FGN Bonds: PRIMARY (12/11/14) (Primary) 1 Yrs 9 Months 12.0000 9 Yrs 4 Months 12.8000 19 Yrs 8 Months 13.0000 OBB & Overnight rates remained at 10.75% during trading hours, despite the high level of liquidity in the market with very little demand for funds. Rates could however have trended downwards due to the huge volume of non-remunerable idle funds in the system. Net OMO maturity of N163.13B was also credited while we had outflows for RDAS provision. At the OMO auction held today, the CBN offered N50B (182 days), while N81.01B was sold at 10.96%. The auction recorded a subscription of N114.20B. Today, there was significant selling pressure in the T-Bills space as yields on most maturities trended upward for a second consecutive day. Most of the selling pressure was concentrated towards middle-to-long dated maturities in line with rate expectations. On the average yields gained about 40-80bps as investors sought higher yields on securities. We expect interbank rates to remain stable due to Bonds funding of N65B tomorrow. Zenith Bank Indicative FGN Bond Prices/Yield As At November 14, 2014 Mid to long term bonds hurried up to 13.00% from their 12.70%-12.85% closing levels yesterday taking cue from the higher-thanexpected marginal rate on the 20-year bond at the primary auction window. The 13.00% support level is expected to hold tomorrow as traders look to price in new risks. Dealing Lines: 234-1-2783271-4 Bloomberg Code: ZENL Reuters Code: ZENB Email: FxTrading@zenithbank.com FX Market Watch RDAS : - Market Update Foreign Exchange Market Rates 12/11/2014 Amount offered: $200.00m Total Amount Sold: $120.21m No. of Banks : 19 CLOSING USD/NGN FX RATES Market Segment RDAS-FWD AUCTION (12/11/2014) Tenor: 30days Demand: $88.39m Sold: $87.07m Fwd Pt: 1.6003 Mat. Date: 12/12/14 Tenor: 60 days Demand: $33.96m Sold: $32.67m Fwd Pt: 3.2300 Mat. Date: 12/01/15 Bid CBN INTERBANK (CLOSING) PARALLEL 155.39 172.30 172.00 Offer 156.39 172.40 174.00 Tenor:90 days Demand: $0.79m Sold: $0.73m Fwd Pt: 5.2500 Mat. Date:10/02/15 *Please note that interbank rates are for the standard market volume of $0.50m. The naira depreciated by 1.50% to close at 172.30 against the dollar on the bid having touched an all-time low of 173.50 in intraday trading. The central bank intervened severally in the market however, this was not sufficient to support the Naira. We still expect demand pressure on the Naira and central bank’s intervention in the market tomorrow Global Market Watch Currencies Money Market Rates (%) USD rates against major currencies: Tenor (%) Euro - USD: 1.2463 Pounds Sterling – USD: 1.5817 USD - Swiss Francs: 0.9646 USD - South African Rand 11.1825 USD - Yen: 115.35 1M Libor 2M Libor 3M Libor 6M Libor 1Y Libor Capital Markets Rates 0.15 0.20 0.23 0.33 0.56 All Share Index: DOW: 17,664.61 FTSE: 6,635.45 JSE: 50,588.40 NASDAQ: 4,682.07 +0.30% +0.37% +0.42% +0.15% The dollar weakened versus the euro after New York Federal Reserve President William C. Dudley said raising interest rates too early poses a bigger risk to the economy than acting too late. The pound fell to the lowest in more than a year versus the dollar as the U.K.’s property slowdown deepened concern that growth has cooled, prompting investors to delay bets on when the Bank of England will raise interest. This publication is strictly for information purposes only. Zenith Bank Plc and its employees make no representation as to the accuracy and completeness of the information contained in this publication. Therefore we accept no liability for any loss that may arise from the use of such information. For further enquiries/information on this publication, please contact Egondu Uzo-Ogbonnaya, Fehintolu Afelumo, Chinyere Emuchay at the Treasury Group on 234-1-2783033, 2782320 and 2782327; Eunice Sampson, Olurotimi Arowobusoye at the Research and Economic Intelligence Group on 234-1-2781049 and 2781051.
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