Daily Market Report 24th Nov 2014 GLOBAL MARKET INSIGHT USD: The US dollar is seen as continuing recent gains as the Federal Reserve is viewed as likely to increase interest rates next year as Europe, Japan and other economies continue very loose monetary policies meant to stimulate growth. EUR: The euro fell sharply on Friday after European Central Bank chief Mario Draghi said inflation expectations were declining to levels that were very low, keeping the door open for further monetary easing soon. GBP: Against the dollar, sterling slipped after the anti EU party UKIP took a second parliamentary seat from Britain’s ruling Conservatives, a harbinger of growing political risk ahead of next May’s national election. JPY: The dollar slipped against the yen on Friday after Japanese Prime Minister Taro Aso said that the yen’s recent fall was too rapid and undesirable. ZAR: South Africa’s rand held on to the previous day’s gains against the dollar on Friday, after the Central Bank left interest rates unchanged but indicated they would have to rise eventually. INR: The RBI, grabbling with a surge in gold imports last month, could support some restrictions for trading houses but two senior policymakers involved in the bank's decision-making said officials were also wary of overreacting. A senior finance ministry source said on Tuesday the country would soon announce measures set to center on import restrictions for private trading house that were eased earlier this year. Private jewelry exporters account for the bulk of demand for gold. Also Coal India sale of stake meets no protest and strikes. OVERVIEW OF MAURITIAN MARKET Cut off for the 182-Days Government of Mauritius Treasury Bills for a nominal amount of MUR 700 Million was at 1.05%. Moreover, the Bank of Mauritius intervened on the domestic foreign exchange market at the bid rate of MUR 31.50/USD on Friday. Data Yesterday Data BOND BUZZ AND MONEY MARKET US. Treasury long bond yields fell on Friday in thin trading, in line with declines in the Eurozone after European Central Bank resident Mario Draghi said the central bank was prepared to do more to stimulate the sluggish Eurozone economy. Data watch today Actual Forecast Preview CAD CONSUMER PRICE INDEX (OCT) 2.4% 2.1% 2.1% GBP PUBLIC SECTOR NET BORROWING (OCT) 7.1B 7.0B 11.1B GBP PSNB EX BANKING GROUPS (OCT) 7.7B 7.7B 11.8B Data Forecast preview Importance EUR GERMAN IFOBUSINESS CLIMATE (NOV) 103.0 103.2 EUR GERMAN IFO-CURRENT ASSESSMENT (NOV) 108.0 108.4 MEDIUM US MARKIT SERVICES PMI (NOV) 57.3 57.1 MEDIUM MEDIUM Market Levels Currency Latest EUR/USD 1.2398 GBP/USD 1.5662 USD/ZAR 10.9490 USD/JPY 117.85 USD/INR 61.7400 USD/MGA 2720 Currency Latest USD/MUR 31.93 EUR/MUR 39.568 GBP/MUR 50.14 ZAR/MUR 2.94 INR/MUR 0.5203 MGA/MUR 1.23 EQUITY TODAY DJIA 17810.06 NASDAQ 4712.97 FTSE100 6750.76 NIKKEI1225 17318.31 SEMDEX 2096.81 BRENT 80.63 GOLD 1201.05 SILVER 16.41 Change Change - - Change INTEREST RATES LIBOR RATES FED 0.25% ECB 0.05% BOM REPO 4.65% RBI REPO 8.0% BCM REPO 9.5% Trading Idea for the Day Exit USDJPY long entered at 117.50 3M 6M USD 0.23285 0.32690 EUR 0.06214 0.15000 GBP 0.55650 0.68469 International Bond: The African Export Import Bank was established in Abuja, Nigeria in October, 1993 by African Governments, African private and institutional investors as well as non-African financial institutions and private investors for the purpose of financing, promoting and expanding intra-African and extraAfrican trade. . The authorized share capital of the Bank is Five Billion United States Dollars (US$5 billion). Price for Afrexim 16 is 104.75. Light Crude: CMP 76.5100 Last session’s price formation indicating, ending diagonal formation is completing but price formation was not so strong. While, in short term crude need to challenge $78.80 level which is a strong resistance whereas support at $74.10 level. Usually this kind of formation set the price target towards the starting of the pattern which is nearly $82 level. Disclaimer: This report has been prepared by members of the Financial Markets Division of the SBM Bank (Mauritius) Ltd, who are not considered as research analysts and information contained therein should not be considered as “research” as that term is defined by applicable regulations. Information has been collected from sources believed to be reliable and in good faith by the bank, but no representation or warranty, expressed or implied, is made as to their accuracy, completeness or correctness. The information may include opinions, estimates, indicative rates, terms, price quotations and projections which reflect existing market conditions and are subject to change, modification or amendment without any prior notice and may vary from views expressed by other members and reports of the bank or any other institution. The analysis and data compilations contained therein are based on numerous assumptions; different assumptions could result in materially different opinions. Contact Us: PV RAO (+230 202 1353) P.BHATTACHARYA R.SOOBROYDOO (+230 202 1507) (+230 202 1633) Or Reach us at sbmtreasurysales@sbmgroup.mu
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