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Solvalla 28.05.2016
af sig. Får 3 Target Kronos spids, så er det ikke
utænkeligt at den kan føre hele vejen til mål. 5
Ymer Brick har bedste spor, og har gjort det
fremragende i dens to sidste V75 starter, hvor
den har haft dårlige spor. – Spændende om den
kan vinde, nu hvor sporet blev perfekt. 9 Frankie
Brodda har en god startryg at følge, og skulle der
komme for meget fart på den første kilometer, så
kan den måske overraske. Senest afsluttede den i
10 fart de sidste 800 m.
V75 3:
Solvalla har 196 m. opløb, og 39 % af alle løbene
vindes af hesten i spids. Omgangen ser fantastisk,
men også svær ud. Historisk plejer denne lørdag
før Elitloppet, også at give en god udbetaling til vspillet. Ser man på hvad 7 rigtige har givet de
sidste seks år - er det som følger:
År 2015: 6.352.404 kr.
År 2014: 43.703 kr.
År 2013: 6.170 kr.
År 2012: 20.911.444 kr.
År 2011: 187.006 kr.
År 2010: 3.509.418 kr.
V75 1:
Souloy er en dygtig træner, og sådan som han har
udviklet Your Highness til at være en Elitlopshest
– da tør jeg heller ikke gå udenom hans hoppe 3
Moving On i dette løb. Sporet er godt, og nu hvor
Donna di Quattro er udgået, forventer jeg at den
tager spids. Speedige 9 Windy Ways har bagspor,
hvilket ikke er optimalt, og slet ikke på sprint. Den
har dog ryg på starthurtige 3 Moving On, og kan
dermed blive trukket fint med frem. For tre
starter siden afsluttede den i 09,5 fart de sidste
1000 m. I Stoeliten vinder stregfordelingens top
to, statistisk set 57 % af løbene.
V75 2:
2 Tallassio er hurtig fra start, og burde kunne
tage spids. Spor, kusk og formen er god, så det
meste taler for en sejr. Jeg er dog bange for at 3
Target Kronos er ude på, at byde den op til en
hård spidskamp. I værste fald kan favoritten blive
spærret inde på indersporet, eller få kørt pusten
Bedste spor til 5 Next To None Sib, der er en
hurtig starter. Hesten har vist stærk form den
seneste tid, og selvom jeg vil tro den er bedst på
sprint, så kan være spids og slut? 4 Sir Ratzeputz
kan godt åbne fra start, men risikerer også at
galoppere hvis den bliver trykket af. Præstationen
senest var imponerende, og den skal med på
kuponen. 6 Takethem var dygtig i København,
men har her fået et yderligt spor. Jeg er i tvivl om
hvor den havner fra start, og det kan måske blive
et løb i dødens hvis ikke Juul vil ligge for langt
bag. Som gardering mod overpace, tager jeg 10
Al’s Winnermede og 2 Radysin America med
også. Førstnævnte afsluttede i 09,5 fart de sidste
800 m. senest, og så stærk ud. 2 Radysin America
løber 12 tider som det behager den, og har her et
godt spor, hvorfra den kan ligge og spare spurten.
V75 4:
11 Le Miracle er en super hest, der indtil videre
kun har tabt en gang i sin karriere. Spor 11 er på
ingen måde godt, og overall sejrer sporet kun i 6
% af løbene. Det er muligt at favoritten bare
vinder, men jeg prøver nu om jeg kan fælde den.
2 Eldrick Boko er hurtig fra start, og lykkes den
med at holde spidsen relativt enkelt, så kan den
måske snyde favoritten, da formen er på top. 4
Copimade er måske bedst på de længere
distancer, men det må være usagt. Holder den sig
bare i trav, så burde den være med i striden.
Stregfordelingens rang 1-3 vinder 60 % af løbene.
Solvalla 28.05.2016
V75 5:
De tre mest spillede heste, er også de der har de
bedste spor. Jeg er ikke helt overbevist om, at det
er 6 Basic der tager spids, da 1 Takeaway også
burde have noget at sige i den strid. 7 Angel Rain
galopperede senest, men er normalt også hurtig
fra start. Hvis man skal spare lidt, bør man nok
kunne nøjes med disse tre. Men da denne
omgang ofte giver store udbetalinger, så vil jeg
vurdere at det er i dette løb, at der er den største
chance for at finde/ramme et skrald. 13 Alvena
Take It har springspor på tillæg, og har vist
storform på den sidste tid. I dens seneste løb
afsluttede den i 10,5 fart de sidste 1000 m., og
vandt ganske let. – Nu her kun afkrydset på 5 %!
2 Magnesia har et godt spor, og vandt sin
årsdebut efter at have holdt pause længe. Sidste
år løb hesten 12 tider, men er her helt glemt af
spillerne, og kun afkrydset på 4 %!
V75 6:
Dette er et fantastisk Bronzedivisionsløb, hvor
samtlige heste ser ud til at kunne vinde. Hestene
fra sporene 1-2-3-4 er alle hurtige fra start, og vil
forsøge at tage spids. I min optik lugter dette løb
langt væk af overpace, og dermed gælder det om
at have spurtstærke heste med. Bedste spor
tilfalder 5 King Sir Kir. Hesten har stået for fire
stærke præstationer i år, dog uden at kunne
sætte mulen først over stregen. Senest testede
man den uden sko, og det gav udslag i en
forrygende 0,8 afslutning de sidste 600 m.! Med
overpace på løbet, da tror jeg at 5 King Sir Kir
spurter forbi dem alle over opløbet, og tager sin
velfortjente første sejr i år. – Ugarderet.
V75 7:
Som altid er det et fremragende felt der er til
start i Harper Hanovers, og i år er heller ingen
undtagelse. 11 Sauveur er favorit, men har til
gengæld ikke det bedste spor. Dens værste
konkurrenter på volten har bedre spor, og 11
Sauveur kan nemt komme til at ligge bag sine
konkurrenter. Om det så i sidste ende betyder
noget, det må være op til bevis. 13 Mellby Viking
er forsvarende mester, og verdensrekordholder
på distancen. Den vandt sin årsdebut, og er nok
endnu bedre til denne start. Springsporet er fint,
og den vil givetvis have en fordel mod favoritten
fra start. 14 Bird Parker har mødt nogle store
kanoner i Frankrig, og bliver lidt af et staldskrig
denne gang. Langrejse kan påvirke heste negativt,
men uanset så skal den med på kuponen. Et lille
skrald bliver der også plads til, i form af 5 Usain
Henna. Hesten står bedre til, end de mere
betroede på bagerste volte, og tager højest
tænkeligt spids. Skulle det ske at favoritterne
holder på krudtet for længe, og angriber for sent
– så er spidshesten altid god at have med.
Statistik Spillerens V75 forslag:
Stort forslag
Afd.
Heste nr.
1
3-9
2
2-3-5-9
3
2-4-5-6-10
4
2-4-11
5
1-2-6-7-13
6
5 King Sir Kir
7
5-11-13-14
I alt 1200 kr.
Res.
2-4
7-10
11-9
3-7
15-3
6-3
15-12
Lille forslag
Afd.
Heste nr.
1
3-9
2
2-3-5-9
3
4-5-6-10
4
11 Le Miracle
5
1-6-7
6
5 King Sir Kir
7
11-13-14
I alt 144 kr.
Res.
2-4
7-10
2-11
2-4
13-2
6-3
5-15
Solvalla - Saturday, May 28
Race 1
Auto 2140
5 Bellino B. has taken three wins and four places so far. He won easily in the lead in
the last race and looked really nice. Will certainly get an offensive trip here. Good
chance. 11 Hypnotist won two races back on Solvalla and showed good skills. Bad
post here but early contender in case of high pace. 12 Bacan Degato has a couple of
races under his belt and should be on the way up.
Race 2
Auto 1609
5 Stylish Hanover is our pick as she could reach the front here. Likes to run in that
position. On the way up. 7 King City has taken two wins in a row and could take a
new victory here with the right journey. 6 Fire to the Rain has done well lately
without winning. 9 My Gliding Angel has got a nice trip for a defensive journey.
Rank
A: 5-11-12
B: 4-3-1-2-6-7-8
C: 9-10
Rank
A: 5-7-6
B: 9-1-8-2-10-12
C: 3-4-11
Race 3
Auto 1609
7 Nothing But Class showed 08/800 behind winning Nuncio in the last race and is in
great shape. Prefers to attack from the back but might go for the lead anyway here.
Good chance regardless the journey. 2 Brillantissime comes from France and has
earned more than eight million SEK. Has got a perfect post behind the gate and
should have a good chance. 1 Probo O.P. has three races under his belt after a
pause. He was second in an elimination race and fifth in the final of Lotteria in Italy.
Nice post behind the gate. 6 Boys Going In has not convinced for a while but is
really gifted.
Race 4
Auto 1609
6 Pascia´ Lest comes from an elimination race and the final in Lotteria in Italy. Won
the trial and was fourth in the final after an inside journey. Has earned more than 12
million SEK and should have a good chance despite this post. 3 Rosemary Gar is a
quick starter and will probably go for the front here. Might give it away to our
favourite but is an early contender regardless the trip. 7 Global Money has not won
for a while but has met very tough opponents too. Tricky post here. Needs some
racing luck. 4 Reven d´Amour uses to do well this weekend and should be
considered this year too.
Race 5
Auto 1609
4 Anna Mix is very speedy and has been third in both Olympiatravet and Finlandia
Ajo. Will soon take her first win in Scandinavia. Our pick. 2 Quid Pro Quo had plenty
of energy left in teh last race and looked really nice. Faces perfect conditions with
this post behind the gate. Could go for the lead. 6 Ringostarr Treb won this race last
year and will try to defend his title. He has not won yet this season but is certainly
well prepared here. 7 Tycoon Conway Hall was second in the last race and has been
heading for the Sweden Cup since then.
Rank
A: 7-2
B: 1-6-3-5
C: 4
Rank
A: 6
B: 3-7-4-2-1-5
C:
Rank
A: 4-2
B: 6-7-3
C: 1-5
Solvalla - Saturday, May 28
Race 6
Auto 2140
9 Pioneer Face is very promising but broke in the last Drottning Silvia Pokal. She
took a splendid win in the elimination race. Good chance despite this post. 2 A La
Partenza has one race under her belt after a layoff and is certainly a lot better now.
Perfect post behind the gate. Early contender behind our pick. 1 Touch of Wind Bi
has got an interesting post and could get a perfect defensive journey here. Speedy. 5
Touch of Elegance has not won for a while but has good pace. Possible with the
right trip and in case of high pace.
Race 7, V75-1
Auto 1609
3 Moving On has competed in France and done really well. Back in Sweden now.
Nice post and handles this distance. Good chance. 8 El Catwalk is an interesting
French horse. Finished really strongly in the last race from far behind. Bad post and
needs some luck. Possible anyway. 10 Heaven´s Door has looked really nice lately.
Can finish well and should be considered early here too. 2 Roses Glory has taken
two convincing wins in a row.
Race 8, V75-2
Auto 2140
2 Talassio took the lead in the last race and won comfortably. Has got a nice post
again. Good chance. 7 Wasa Warrior is gifted and has taken three wins in a row. Is in
fine form and should be considered early despite this tricky post. 3 Target Kronos
has a good reputation and Adrian Kolgjini will certainly go for the lead here. 10 Say
that Again has shown fine form lately and is an early choice too.
Race 9, V75-3
Auto 2140
6 Takethem took a good second spot in the seasonal debut and has taken two
convincing wins after that. Will certainly go for the front here. Good chance in that
case. 5 Next To None Sib has taken three wins in a row and is in great shape. Has got
a better post than our pick and that could be decisive. 11 Global Patriot has taken
some nice wins lately. Different post this time but should be considered early if the
pace will be high.
Race 10
Sweden Cup. The final. Elimination races are races 3, 4 and 5.
Auto 1609
Rank
A: 9
B: 2-1-5-11-8-12-4-7-10
C: 6-3
Rank
A: 3-8
B: 10-2-4-9-5-6
C: 1-7
Rank
A: 2-7
B: 3-10-9-6-5-1-4-8
C: 12-11
Rank
A: 6
B: 5-11-4-2-9-10-1-3-7
C: 8-12
Rank
A:
B:
C:
Solvalla - Saturday, May 28
Race 11, V75-4
Auto 2140
11 Le Miracle has taken seven wins in eight attempts and shown really good skills.
Bad post here and tough opponents. Top chance anyway. Banker. 2 Eldrick Boko
kept up the pace well from outside the leader in the last race. Took some nice wins
before that and has got a much better post than the favourite. Main challenger. 3
Well Done la Marc has taken four wins in a row and this post is nice. 4 Copimade
was really good in the last race.
Race 12, V75-5
Volt 2140
6 Basic has got a nice post and should have a good chance to take the lead here. Top
chance to win that case. Banker. 7 Angel Rain broke in the last Drottning Silvias
Pokal already defeated. She can do a lot better and is the main challenger. 1
Takeaway has shown fine form lately and this post is perfect. 15 Jetset can finish
fast and is possible with the right trip from the back. Outsider.
Race 13, V75-6
Auto 2140
7 Whitehouse Express impressed in the last race in Finland and could take a new
victory with a similar effort. Needs some luck with this post though. 9 Bartender In
got a defensive trip in the last race but was lucky and took an easy win. Will run
without shoes now and could take a new victory in case of high pace. 1 Global
Republic took the lead in the last race but gave it away. Found an opening at the
end and won comfortably. Perfect post here. Early choice again.
Race 14, V75-7
Volt 3140
13 Mellby Viking came back after a pause in the last race but could win directly.
Should be even better now and is strong enough to finish to victory. 11 Sauveur is
very tough too. He can do a bit by himself and is certainly well prepared by Åke
Lindblom. 14 Bird Parker comes from a convincing win in France and will head for
the Oslo Grand Prix after this race. Has really good skills. 12 Alfas da Vinci is speedy
with the right trip from the back. Should not be overlooked.
Race 15
Auto 2140
12 Backorder has not convinced lately but she has taken seven wins in 18 attempts
so far. Tricky post but she will fight for victory with the right trip. 2 New Devotion
was second in the debut for Johan Untersteiner but broke in the last race. Perfect
post. Should be considered early. 7 Adrians Girl has been up and down lately but
she has good pace. Early contender with the right trip. 14 Evening Prayer is talented
and an early choice too here.
Rank
A: 11
B: 2-3-4-1-7-12-5-9
C: 8-6-10
Rank
A: 6
B: 7-1-15-5-13-14-8-11-2-3
C: 4-12-9-10
Rank
A: 7-9
B: 1-3-5-6-4-2-11-12
C: 8-10
Rank
A: 13
B: 11-14-12-10-9-15-5-6-1-4-3
C: 8-2
Rank
A: 12-2-7
B: 14-13-15-9-5-6-1-3-8
C: 11-4-10