Entertainment & Media Outlook 2014-2018 A look at Global, Middle East and Africa trends The Digital Mindset Entertainment & Media (E&M) Outlook Highlights Internet is driving 27.4% global E&M growth by 2018 China will overtake Japan as the world’s second largest E&M market Digital advertising revenue is outpacing consumer spending revenue By 2018, Internet Advertising will be poised to overtake TV as the largest advertising segment KSA is forecasted to be the highest growth video games market at CAGR 23.7% For Middle East & Africa (MEA) total E&M spend will increase from US$43.5 bn in 2014 to US$65.9 bn in 2018 Mobile at 21.5% CAGR will outpace Classifieds to become the third largest revenue stream, after Search and Display, within Internet Advertising Mobile will generate $3 out of every $5 dollars spent on Internet Access in 2018 Global Entertainment & Media trends 414 636 By 2018, 52% of global households will have fixed broadband 2013 2018 and 55% of people will have mobile internet access 515 759 Television and Internet will exceed 50% market share of advertising spent, growing at the expense of Print MEA region is dominated by pan regional free to air satellite services. With increasing TV penetration and growing maturity, the TV advertising market has seen double digit growth despite the economic and political turbulence. We forecast MEA to be the fastest-growing region globally with 12.1% CAGR for TV advertising. TV subscription is expected to grow at 7.3%, with KSA’s forecasted CAGR of 16%. TV On Demand (TVOD) in the MEA is expected to increase to US$132 mn, up from virtually nothing. Failure to embrace new audience measurement metrics will see TV lose advertising revenue to other digital media players (smartphones, tablets and PCs) Advertising Advertising spent by all sectors of the economy on media platforms (TV, Internet Advertising, Radio, Magazine, Newspaper, Out-of-Home ) Internet Access Internet Access related income of telecom or ISP provide North America Western Europe 4.8% 3.0% Global Latin America 5.5% 8.8% Middle East and Africa 12.1% Central and Eastern Europe 7.0% Asia Pacific 5.8% Global TV advertising revenue market share (%) by category, 2013-2018 Terrestrial Multichannel Online TV 73.1% 24.7% 2.2% 68.4% 27.1% 4.5% 2013 • Covers every media segment that contains consumer revenues (i.e, cinema ticket, cable TV subscription, an online magazine subscription, etc.) 2018 TV advertising platform forecasted to reach US$215 bn and TV subscription revenue forecasted to reach US$236 bn in 2018 Consumer TV advertising revenue, CAGR by region (%), 2013 – 2018 Despite the growth of over-the-top (OTT) services, traditional TV remains dominant: • 875 Total of US$2,150bn Total of US$1,688bn Traditional TV - not to be daunted by the rise of OTT 640 Filmed Entertainment - China driving global growth Global Filmed Entertainment spend by category 2013 – 2018 CAGR Box office 4.9% Electronic home video 19.9% -4.8% 3.6% $22.7bn Globally OTTStreaming Video on Demand will reach US$22.7 bn by 2018, up from US6.5$bn in 2013, a CAGR of 28% 3rd China 3rd largest in 2018 In 2018, global electronic home video revenue will exceed physical home video revenue (sale and rental of DVDs and Blu-ray discs) Filmed Entertainment revenue will surpass US$100 bn by 2018 as emerging markets drive growth. China is expected to become the 3rd largest global market for filmed entertainment in 2018 (behind US and UK, and overtaking Japan) As new platforms grow in popularity, traditional distribution of video content and release windows will continue to contract and evolve 7.2% KSA is the highest growth country for filmed entertainment at 36% CAGR driven by home video MEA CAGR forecast for Filmed Entertainment Physical home video Cinema advertising Globally OTT Streaming will account for $1 of every $5 dollars of revenue generated in the filmed entertainment segment $5.9bn China’s box office resilience underscores the continuing popularity of the cinematic experience hence, we forecast it to rise from US$3.1 bn in 2013 to US$5.9 bn in 2018 Egypt has been the traditional leader of Arabic films... ...UAE has played an active role in recent years, with the government fostering investments in the infrastructure, and providing assistance for film and TV production to nurture a local media industry Your Entertainment & Media experts Digital success is not about technology. It’s about applying a ‘digital mindset’ to build the right behaviours to be ever closer to the customer Philip Shepherd Middle East Entertainment & Media Leader T: +971(0) 4 304 3501 M: +971 (0) 56 676 1857 philip.shepherd@ae.pwc.com Lubna Kabir Entertainment & Media Director T: +971 (0) 2 694 6806 M: +971 (0)50 887 9276 lubna.kabir@ae.pwc.com About the Outlook 5 year historic & 5 year forecast data One comparable online source of consumer and advertising spend 54 countries 13 segments Middle East & Africa region includes: • Saudi Arabia • Nigeria • Internet access spending • Radio • United Arab Emirates • South Africa • Internet advertising • Egypt • North Africa • Kenya • Rest of Middle East • TV subscriptions and license fees • Out-of-home advertising • Television advertising • Filmed entertainment • Consumer and educational book publishing • Business-to-business • Video entertainment • Music • Consumer magazine publishing • Newspaper publishing ©2014 PricewaterhouseCoopers. 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