These slides and all their contents are the property of the California Earthquake Authority. Copyright 2014 – all rights reserved. Item 1: Call to Order and Member Roll Call • • • • • Governor Treasurer Insurance Commissioner Speaker of the Assembly Chairperson of the Senate Rules Committee Establishment of a quorum California Earthquake Authority Governing Board Meeting December 17, 2014 This slide and all its contents are the property of the California Earthquake Authority. Copyright 2014 – all rights reserved. 2 Item 2: Approval of Minutes C onsideration and approval of the minutes of the August 28, 2014, and October 7, 2014, CEA Governing Board meetings. California Earthquake Authority Governing Board Meeting December 17, 2014 This slide and all its contents are the property of the California Earthquake Authority. Copyright 2014 – all rights reserved. 3 Item 3: Executive Report T he CEO Report will include an update for the Board on federal and state legislative activities of interest to the CEA. California Earthquake Authority Governing Board Meeting December 17, 2014 This slide and all its contents are the property of the California Earthquake Authority. Copyright 2014 – all rights reserved. 4 Item 3: Executive Report 2014 Accomplishments Educate Mitigate Insure California Earthquake Authority Governing Board Meeting December 17, 2014 This slide and all its contents are the property of the California Earthquake Authority. Copyright 2014 – all rights reserved. 5 Item 3: Executive Report 2014: Educate Promoted Commemorative Events Broadcast TV news reels in LA and Bay Area Produced 30-minute TV special for Bay Area Published 12-page insert for 12 Bay-Area newspapers Launched New Ad Campaign Delivered consistent theme throughout all CEA’s public-outreach activities California Earthquake Authority Governing Board Meeting December 17, 2014 This slide and all its contents are the property of the California Earthquake Authority. Copyright 2014 – all rights reserved. 6 Item 3: Executive Report 2014: Educate Post-Napa Proactive Media Outreach Published open letter to consumers in 25 newspapers Delivered “EQ Basics” to 23,000 agents and 775 reporters Hosted “Sold-Out” agent forum Renters Campaign Produced “pilot” renterspecific advertising campaign for Bay Area Partnered with United Policyholders, City/County San Francisco, and City of Oakland California Earthquake Authority Governing Board Meeting December 17, 2014 This slide and all its contents are the property of the California Earthquake Authority. Copyright 2014 – all rights reserved. 7 Item 3: Executive Report 2014: Mitigate Pilot and Expansion Evaluation of pilot Expansion begins January 2015 Phase 1 goal: 650 homes ATC 110 Prestandard Program plan and complete table of contents finalized Napa area mitigation research • Plan developed • Research specialist to be hired • Working with Napa Mayor and city officials California Earthquake Authority Governing Board Meeting December 17, 2014 This slide and all its contents are the property of the California Earthquake Authority. Copyright 2014 – all rights reserved. 8 Item 3: Executive Report 2014: Insure Risk-Transfer Savings Ursa Re cat bond Revenue bond sale California Earthquake Authority Governing Board Meeting December 17, 2014 This slide and all its contents are the property of the California Earthquake Authority. Copyright 2014 – all rights reserved. 9 Item 3: Executive Report 2014: Insure Risk Transfer Savings Ursa Re cat bond Revenue bond sale Diversifying CEA’s claim-paying capacity Mandatory Offer Reform Replace 30 year-old offer Create new CEA marketing piece Changing the way Californians learn about earthquake insurance! California Earthquake Authority Governing Board Meeting December 17, 2014 This slide and all its contents are the property of the California Earthquake Authority. Copyright 2014 – all rights reserved. 10 Item 3: Executive Report 2014: Insure Developed rate and form application for CEA Board consideration • Expanding choices • Lowering rates • Increasing mitigation discount California Earthquake Authority Governing Board Meeting December 17, 2014 This slide and all its contents are the property of the California Earthquake Authority. Copyright 2014 – all rights reserved. 11 Item 3: Executive Report ‘84 ‘94 ‘95 ’97 ’99 ’04 ‘06 ‘12 ’14 ‘15 ‘16 Northridge EQ Mini Policy Mandatory Offer Expanded coverage options CEA Supplemental Policy California Earthquake Authority Governing Board Meeting CEA Choice Policy December 17, 2014 This slide and all its contents are the property of the California Earthquake Authority. Copyright 2014 – all rights reserved. 12 Item 3: Executive Report 1984 Legislature establishes “Mandatory Offer” requirement Formal earthquake notice required for residential policyholders 1994 Northridge earthquake $10B insured losses Industry sought repeal of “Mandatory Offer” law 1995 Legislature establishes earthquake “mini policy” • Minimum coverage requirements to satisfy Mandatory Offer • Insurance industry restricted access to homeowners insurance 1996 CEA launched in December “Homeowners Insurance Availability Act” 1999 CEA expanded coverage options Supplemental Coverages 2012 CEA created CHOICE Expanded choices and separate deductibles 2014 CEA develops rate-and-form application Further expanding choices and increasing value California Earthquake Authority Governing Board Meeting December 17, 2014 This slide and all its contents are the property of the California Earthquake Authority. Copyright 2014 – all rights reserved. 13 Item 3: Executive Report Evolution of CEA Coverage 1995 Mini Policy 1999 CEA Supplemental 2012 CEA Choice 2014 CEA Proposal Structure Full Full Full Full Deductible 15% 10% & 15% 10%, 15% add 5%, 20%, 25% Personal Property $5,000 Up to $100,000 Up to $100,000 Up to $200,000 Loss of use $1,500 Up to $15,000 Up to $25,000 Up to $100,000 Emergency Repair None None $1,500 $1,500 Mitigation Discount None 5% - CEA Inception 5% Up to 20% Coverages California Earthquake Authority Governing Board Meeting December 17, 2014 This slide and all its contents are the property of the California Earthquake Authority. Copyright 2014 – all rights reserved. 14 Item 3: Executive Report ‘84 ‘94 ‘95 ’97 ’99 ’04 ‘06 ‘12 ’14 ‘15 ‘16 Northridge EQ 9% Rate Decrease Mini Policy Mandatory Offer 11% Rate Decrease 23% Rate Decrease 12.5% Rate Decrease Expanded coverage options CEA Supplemental Coverages California Earthquake Authority Governing Board Meeting CEA Choice Policy December 17, 2014 This slide and all its contents are the property of the California Earthquake Authority. Copyright 2014 – all rights reserved. 15 Item 3: Executive Report CEA Policy Count: 1998–2014 2005: Previous largest growth year • 24,092 - Virtually all from adding Foremost Insurance 1,000,000 2014: Anticipated to be largest growth year in CEA history • 24,075* – All from organic growth 950,000 900,000 912,173 865,911 881,719 841,503 850,000 800,000 841,836 819,502 829,951 800,930 775,464 768,808 779,362 751,767 750,000 811,317 820,932 754,672 724,722 700,000 727,675 650,000 600,000 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 *As of 10/31/2014 California Earthquake Authority Governing Board Meeting December 17, 2014 This slide and all its contents are the property of the California Earthquake Authority. Copyright 2014 – all rights reserved. 16 2014* Item 3: Executive Report 2014: Insure 900000 865,911 CEA Policy Count 800000 775,464 700000 Since January, 2008, while CEA policy count has grown by 11%, policies written by nonCEA companies have declined by 34% 600000 500000 406,506 400000 Rest of Industry Policy Count 300000 267,986 2014 data not available 200000 2004 2005 California Earthquake Authority 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 Governing Board Meeting 2011 2012 2013 December 17, 2014 This slide and all its contents are the property of the California Earthquake Authority. Copyright 2014 – all rights reserved. 2014 17 Item 3: Executive Report Educate – Mitigate – Insure Research – Completed NGA West2 and UCERF3 IT – New Project-Portfolio Management and Infrastructure Upgrades Workforce Planning – Implementing legislative changes Metrics Development – Developing CEA performance measures California Earthquake Authority Governing Board Meeting December 17, 2014 This slide and all its contents are the property of the California Earthquake Authority. Copyright 2014 – all rights reserved. 18 Item 3: Executive Report 2015 Legislative Considerations 1. Risk Transfer cost savings 2. Seismic retrofit financing California Earthquake Authority Governing Board Meeting December 17, 2014 This slide and all its contents are the property of the California Earthquake Authority. Copyright 2014 – all rights reserved. 19 Item 3: Executive Report Projection: 01/01/2016 CEA Claim-Paying Capacity New IAL $237M 2nd IAL $1.65B Bond Proceeds $661M Risk-Transfer $4.3B Capital $4.9B Financial Strength • Actuarially sound rates • 865,000 policyholders Rating Agencies • CEA required to maintain at least 1-in-450-year capacity Reinsurance costs • ≈$200M per year • 60% of overall expenses • 40% of policyholder premium • Must be borne by policyholders Since Inception • CEA policyholders have paid $8.4B in premium • CEA has paid $3.56B in reinsurance premium • CEA has received $250,000 in reinsurance claim payments Total: $11.8B California Earthquake Authority Governing Board Meeting December 17, 2014 This slide and all its contents are the property of the California Earthquake Authority. Copyright 2014 – all rights reserved. 20 Item 3: Executive Report Concept 1: Risk Transfer Cost Savings Projection 01/01/2016 1 in 475 yrs CEA Claim-Paying Capacity New IAL $237M P E B 2nd IAL $1.65B 1 in 265 yrs 1 in 215 yrs $500M PEB $500M Bond Prodeeds $661M Post-Event Bond: Backed by Assessments • Repaid by assessment on all residential policies issued by CEA participating insurers • Maximum assessment: 1% (about $10/policy) • Triggering event : o Minimum: 1-in-265 years (0.37%) Hayward/Rogers Creek 7.6M, S. San Andreas 7.9M o Risk-Transfer $3.3B ($1B reduction) Capital $4.9B Maximum: 1-in-475 years (0.21%) Puente Hills Thrust 7.05M, Santa Monica 7.55M Post-Event Bond: Backed by Surcharges • Repaid by surcharge on all CEA policyholders • Contemplated surcharge: 10% (about $80/policy/year) • Triggering event: o Minimum: 1-in-215 years (0.46%) N. San Andreas 7.8M, Puente Hills 6.8M o Maximum: 1-in-265 years (0.37%) Hayward/Rogers Creek 7.6M, S. San Andreas 7.9M • Current law authorizes up to 20% premium surcharge per year on CEA policyholders. Total: $11.8B California Earthquake Authority Governing Board Meeting December 17, 2014 This slide and all its contents are the property of the California Earthquake Authority. Copyright 2014 – all rights reserved. 21 Item 3: Executive Report Concept 1: Risk Transfer Cost Savings Projection 01/01/2016 1 in 475 yrs Projection 01/01/2016 CEA Claim-Paying Capacity New IAL $237M 1 in 475 yrs 2nd IAL $1.65B New IAL $237M P E B 2nd IAL $1.65B 1 in 294 yrs Bond Proceeds $661M CEA Claim-Paying Capacity 1 in 265 yrs 1 in 215 yrs Risk-Transfer $4.3B $500M PEB $500M Bond Proceeds $661M Risk-Transfer $3.3B ($1B reduction) Capital $4.9B Capital $4.9B Total: $11.8B California Earthquake Authority Total: $11.8B Governing Board Meeting December 17, 2014 This slide and all its contents are the property of the California Earthquake Authority. Copyright 2014 – all rights reserved. 22 Item 3: Executive Report Concept 1: Risk Transfer Cost Savings Projection 01/01/2016 CEA Claim-Paying Capacity New IAL $237M P E B 2nd IAL $1.65B $500M PEB $500M Bond Proceeds $661M Risk-Transfer $3.3B ($1B reduction) Immediate benefits Reinsurance cost savings: $35–45M/year Potential uses of savings: • Rate reduction • Mitigation • Funding for Earthquake Early Warning System Capital $4.9B Total: $11.8B California Earthquake Authority Governing Board Meeting December 17, 2014 This slide and all its contents are the property of the California Earthquake Authority. Copyright 2014 – all rights reserved. 23 Item 3: Executive Report Concept 2: Seismic-Retrofit Financing Participation would be completely voluntary 100% financing for single- and multi-family residential-mitigation projects No money down Long-term repayment Easy debt service: • Repayment through property-tax bill • Loan stays with the property upon sale or transfer Precedent for this type of program • Community infrastructure • Energy-efficiency California Earthquake Authority Governing Board Meeting December 17, 2014 This slide and all its contents are the property of the California Earthquake Authority. Copyright 2014 – all rights reserved. 24 Item 4: South Napa Earthquake: Post-Event Update M r. Pomeroy will present to the Board a postevent update on the August 24, 2014, South Napa earthquake. California Earthquake Authority Governing Board Meeting December 17, 2014 This slide and all its contents are the property of the California Earthquake Authority. Copyright 2014 – all rights reserved. 25 Item 4: South Napa Earthquake: Post-Event Update La Habra – March 28, 2014 M. 5.1 454 CEA claims 99% closed • $343,000 paid 7 exceeded deductible (total $261,000) 63 Emergency Repair (Average: $755) • • South Napa – August 24, 2014 M. 6.0 478 CEA claims • 92% closed $818,982 paid • • California Earthquake Authority 17 exceeded deductible (total $410,000) 135 Emergency Repair (Average: $996) Governing Board Meeting December 17, 2014 This slide and all its contents are the property of the California Earthquake Authority. Copyright 2014 – all rights reserved. 26 Item 4: South Napa Earthquake: Post-Event Update Mailed letter to 6,600 Napa and Solano County policyholders • Presidential declaration • Federal assistance may be available • Impending deadlines and appeal procedures California Earthquake Authority Governing Board Meeting December 17, 2014 This slide and all its contents are the property of the California Earthquake Authority. Copyright 2014 – all rights reserved. 27 Item 5: Financial Report C hief Financial Officer Tim Richison will present the CEA financial report. California Earthquake Authority Governing Board Meeting December 17, 2014 This slide and all its contents are the property of the California Earthquake Authority. Copyright 2014 – all rights reserved. 28 Item 5: Financial Report California Earthquake Authority Balance Sheet as of September 30, 2014 Assets Cash and investments: Cash and cash equivalents Restricted cash & equivalents Restricted investments Investments $ Total cash and investments 5,223,929,288 Premiums receivable, net of allowance for doubtful accounts of $6,607,526 Capital contributions receivable Risk capital surcharge receivable Interest receivable Securities receivable Restricted securities receivable Prepaid reinsurance premium Transformer reinsurance premium deposit Prepaid transformer maintenance premium Equipment, net Deferred policy acquisition costs Other assets Total assets 119,358,057 51,606,610 314,148,112 4,738,816,509 50,732,714 14,898,219 5,316,041 9,631,130 279,773 723,026 41,831,232 62,022 $ 5,347,403,445 $ 319,566,327 2,605,358 4,402,804 2,086,660 63,000,000 971,618 Liabilities and Net Position Unearned premiums Accounts payable and accrued expenses Payable to California Residential Mitigation Program Accrued reinsurance premium expense Claim and claim expense reserves Securities payable Revenue bond payable Revenue bond interest payable Total liabilities 392,632,767 Net position: Restricted, expendable Unrestricted, participating insurer contributed capital Unrestriced, State of California contributed capital Unrestricted, all other remaining 302,477,310 777,384,796 206,815,902 3,668,092,670 Total net position 4,954,770,678 Total liabilities and net position California Earthquake Authority Governing Board Meeting $ 5,347,403,445 December 17, 2014 This slide and all its contents are the property of the California Earthquake Authority. Copyright 2014 – all rights reserved. 29 Item 5: Financial Report California Earthquake Authority Statement of Revenues, Expenses and Changes in Net Position Year-to-Date Ended September 30, 2014 Underwriting income: Premiums written Less premiums ceded - reinsurance Less risk capital surcharge Net premiums written 463,313,771 (144,919,226) 318,394,545 Change in unearned premiums (23,156,102) Net unearned premiums (23,156,102) Net premiums earned 295,238,443 Expenses: Claim and claims expense Participating Insurer commissions Participating Insurer operating costs Reinsurance broker commissions Pro forma premium taxes Other underwriting expenses Total expenses 2,812,759 44,030,868 14,593,496 3,616,667 10,887,874 18,691,485 94,633,149 Underwriting profit Net investment income Other income Financing expenses, net Earthquake Loss Mitgation Fund expenses Participating Insurer Contributed Capital State of California premium tax contribution Increase in net position Net position, beginning of year Net position, end of year to date California Earthquake Authority $ Governing Board Meeting 200,605,294 14,589,715 308,115 (2,685,404) (548,751) 10,887,874 223,156,843 4,731,613,835 $ 4,954,770,678 December 17, 2014 This slide and all its contents are the property of the California Earthquake Authority. Copyright 2014 – all rights reserved. 30 Item 5: Financial Report CALIFORNIA EARTHQUAKE AUTHORITY Insurance Services Budgeted and Actual Expenditures 2014 Budget Year (a) Consulting Services Claims Compliance Executive Recruiting Financial Consulting Government Relations Human Resources Information Systems Internal Audit Investment Compliance Public Relations Other Consulting Services Total Consulting Services (c) (d) (d=a+b+c) (e) (f) (f=d-e) (g) (g=e/d) Augmented & Adjusted Actual Approved Budget (d) vs. Percentage used of Expenditures Actual Expenses (e) Augmented & Adjusted as of 09/30/2014 as of 09/30/2014 Approved 2014 Budget Approved 2014 Budget 1/1/2014 Adjustments thru 09/30/2014 Augmentations thru 09/30/2014 2014 Budget after Augmentations and Adjustments 11,679,999 753,615 405,987 2,000 181,140 285,719 167,500 35,000 1,268,015 - - 11,679,999 753,615 405,987 2,000 181,140 285,719 167,500 35,000 1,268,015 7,596,989 560,591 223,216 134,943 137,715 163,381 9,553 239,494 4,083,010 193,024 182,771 2,000 46,197 148,004 4,119 25,447 1,028,521 65.04% 74.39% 54.98% 0.00% 74.50% 48.20% 97.54% 27.29% 18.89% 34,885 47,600 689,665 50 - - 34,885 47,600 689,665 50 21,931 29,810 606,200 3,450 12,954 17,790 83,465 (3,400) 62.87% 62.63% 87.90% 6900.00% $ 5,823,902 62.55% $ 10,000 150,000 75,000 184,326 106,000 320,244 126,655 50,000 40,000 80,429 169,818 1,312,472 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 29.11% 44.21% 18.93% 12.65% 0.00% 0.00% 19.57% 10.62% 18.23% Salaries & Benefits Rent Travel Non-paid Consultant Travel Telecommunications Training Insurance Board/Panel Services Administration & Office (Software Maint & Support, Printing & Stationery, Postage) Other Administrative Services Furniture/Equipment EDP Hardware/Software Dept of Insurance Examination Total Operating Expenses (b) $ 15,551,175 $ 10,000 150,000 75,000 260,000 190,000 395,000 145,000 50,000 40,000 100,000 190,000 1,605,000 California Earthquake Authority $ - $ - $ - $ - $ 15,551,175 $ 10,000 150,000 75,000 260,000 190,000 395,000 145,000 50,000 40,000 100,000 190,000 1,605,000 Governing Board Meeting $ 9,727,273 $ 75,674 84,000 74,756 18,345 19,571 20,182 292,528 December 17, 2014 This slide and all its contents are the property of the California Earthquake Authority. Copyright 2014 – all rights reserved. 31 Item 5: Financial Report CALIFORNIA EARTHQUAKE AUTHORITY Insurance Services Budgeted and Actual Expenditures 2014 Budget Year (a) Approved 2014 Budget 1/1/2014 Contracted Services Agent Services Audit Services 1 IT Services Legal Services - Claims Counsel Legal Service - Non-Claims Marketing Services Modeling Services Rating Agencies Staffing Services - Support and Admin Other Contracted Services Total Contracted Services $ Research Participating Insurer Commissions Participating Insurer Operating Costs Investment Expenses Financing Expenses Risk Transfer Total Expenditures 1 $ 70,000 109,000 2,591,005 300,000 7,355,000 8,878,000 711,000 197,350 3,106,214 50,000 23,367,569 $ (b) Adjustments thru 09/30/2014 - $ (c) Augmentations thru 09/30/2014 (d) (d=a+b+c) 2014 Budget after Augmentations and Adjustments 273,466 273,466 $ 70,000 109,000 2,864,471 300,000 7,355,000 8,878,000 711,000 197,350 3,106,214 50,000 23,641,035 $ (e) (f) (f=d-e) (g) (g=e/d) Augmented & Adjusted Actual Approved Budget (d) vs. Percentage used of Expenditures Actual Expenses (e) Augmented & Adjusted as of 09/30/2014 as of 09/30/2014 Approved 2014 Budget 43,246 82,500 886,626 1,208,594 2,860,204 372,500 197,300 2,114,027 7,764,997 $ 26,754 26,500 1,977,845 300,000 6,146,406 6,017,796 338,500 50 992,187 50,000 15,876,038 61.78% 75.69% 30.95% 0.00% 16.43% 32.22% 52.39% 99.97% 68.06% 0.00% 32.85% 200,000 - - 200,000 198,099 1,901 99.05% 56,742,287 17,533,367 2,422,156 5,079,788 222,221,550 - - 56,742,287 17,533,367 2,422,156 5,079,788 222,221,550 46,346,478 14,301,225 1,651,199 4,187,902 148,535,893 10,395,809 3,232,142 770,957 891,886 73,685,657 81.68% 81.57% 68.17% 82.44% 66.84% 344,722,892 $ - $ - $ 344,996,358 $ 233,005,594 $ 111,990,764 67.54% Augmentation due to board approved upgrade in CEA IT infrastructure. California Earthquake Authority Governing Board Meeting December 17, 2014 This slide and all its contents are the property of the California Earthquake Authority. Copyright 2014 – all rights reserved. 32 Item 5: Financial Report CALIFORNIA EARTHQUAKE AUTHORITY Mitigation Budgeted Expenditures and Actual Expenditures 2014 Budget Year (a) (b) (c) (d) (d=a+b+c) (e) (f) (f=d-e) (g) (g=e/d) Augmented & Adjusted Actual Approved Budget (d) vs. Percentage used of Expenditures Actual Expenses (e) Augmented & Adjusted as of 09/30/2014 as of 09/30/2014 Approved 2014 Budget Approved 2014 Budget 1/1/2014 Adjustments thru 09/30/2014 Augmentations thru 09/30/2014 2014 Budget after Augmentations and Adjustments 647,379 33,120 50,000 5,000 10,800 22,880 113,600 - - 647,379 33,120 50,000 5,000 10,800 22,880 113,600 284,249 23,609 19,543 4,859 10,005 29,079 363,130 9,511 30,457 5,000 5,941 12,875 84,521 43.91% 71.28% 39.09% 0.00% 44.99% 43.73% 25.60% 1,000 - - - 1,000 - 389 139 611 (139) 38.90% 0.00% Salaries & Benefits Rent Travel Non-paid Consultant Travel Telecommunications Training Administration & Office (Software Maint & Support, Printing & Stationery, Postage) Furniture/Equipment EDP Hardware/Software Total Operating Expenses $ 883,779 $ - $ - $ 883,779 $ 371,872 $ 511,907 42.08% Consulting Services Other Consulting Services Total Consulting Services $ 100,000 100,000 $ - $ - $ 100,000 100,000 $ - $ 100,000 100,000 0.00% 0.00% Contracted Services Legal Services - Non-Claims Mitigation Projects Staffing Services - Support and Admin Other Contracted Services Total Contracted Services $ 50,000 850,000 222,436 50,000 1,172,436 $ - $ - $ 50,000 743,736 154,801 50,000 998,537 0.00% 12.50% 30.41% 0.00% 14.83% - - - - - - 0.00% 16,800 - - 16,800 15,337 1,463 91.29% - $ - 1,611,907 25.82% CRMP Contribution Investment Expenses Total Expenditures $ California Earthquake Authority 2,173,015 $ $ $ 50,000 850,000 222,436 50,000 1,172,436 2,173,015 Governing Board Meeting $ $ 106,264 67,635 173,899 561,108 $ December 17, 2014 This slide and all its contents are the property of the California Earthquake Authority. Copyright 2014 – all rights reserved. 33 Item 5: Financial Report California Earthquake Authority Available Capital Report as of September 30, 2014 Cash & Investments (includes capital contributions and premiums) $ 5,199,970,609 * Interest, Securities & Restricted Securities Receivable $ 14,898,219 Premium Receivable $ 50,732,714 Risk Capital Surcharge & Capital Contributions Receivable $ - Other Assets $ 62,022 Revenue Bonds $ (314,148,432) Debt Service (Interest, Principal & Debt Service (Min. Bal.)) $ (27,397,099) Unearned Premium Collected $ (232,239,237) Accrued Reinsurance Premium Expense $ (4,402,804) Accounts and Securities Payable, and Accrued Expenses $ (2,605,358) Claim Reserves $ (2,000,000) CEA Available Capital $ 4,682,870,635 * Does not include Earthquake Loss Mitigation Fund cash and investments of $23,958,679 California Earthquake Authority Governing Board Meeting December 17, 2014 This slide and all its contents are the property of the California Earthquake Authority. Copyright 2014 – all rights reserved. 34 Item 5: Financial Report California Earthquake Authority Claim-Paying Capacity As of September 30, 2014 Post Earthquake Industry Assessment Post Earthquake Industry Assessment $312 ("NewIAL”) IAL") (“New Post Earthquake Industry Assessment Post Earthquake Industry Assessment ("2nd IAL") (“2nd IAL”) Revenue-Bond Proceeds Revenue Bonds Risk-Transfer Risk-Transfer $1,656 $314 $3,556 $2.0M CEA Available Capital CEA Available Capital $4,683 Claim Claims Reserves Reserves $2.0M drawn to *Not*Not drawn toscale scale A.M. Best Rating 'A-' since California Earthquake Authority Total Capacity $10,521M Governing Board Meeting December 17, 2014 This slide and all its contents are the property of the California Earthquake Authority. Copyright 2014 – all rights reserved. 35 Item 5: Financial Report California Earthquake Authority Risk-Transfer Program as of December 1, 2014 Traditional Reinsurance Contracts Contract Period Reinsurance Limit 12-Month Rate-on-Line 12-Month Premium 2014 January Program Contract 1 January 1, 2014 - December 31, 2014 460,758,100 5.40% 24,880,937 2014 January Program Contract 2 January 1, 2014 - December 31, 2014 50,000,000 4.95% 2,475,000 2014 January Program Contract 3 January 1, 2014 - December 31, 2014 99,999,960 6.75% 6,749,997 2014-2015 January Program Contract 1 January 1, 2014 - December 31, 2015 454,227,620 5.50% 24,982,519 2014-2015 January Program Contract 2 January 1, 2014 - December 31, 2015 49,999,996 6.45% 3,225,000 2013-2015 April Program Contract 2 April 1, 2013 - March 31, 2015 84,999,960 5.30% 4,504,998 2014-2015 April Program Contract 1 2014-2015 April Program Contract 1 Additional Capacity April 1, 2014 - March 31, 2015 518,583,000 3.70% 19,187,571 October 1, 2014 - March 31, 2015 202,999,520 3.70% 3,755,491 2014-2016 April Program Contract 1 April 1, 2014 - March 31, 2016 253,099,320 3.85% 9,744,324 2014-2016 April Program Contract 2 April 1, 2014 - March 31, 2016 122,499,960 3.75% 4,593,749 2013-2016 May Program May 1, 2013 - April 30, 2016 100,000,000 5.60% 5,600,000 2013-2015 June Program June 1, 2013 - May 31, 2015 50,000,000 5.65% 2,825,000 2012-2015 September Program September 1, 2012 - August 31, 2015 100,000,000 5.70% 5,700,000 2013-2015 August Program Contract 3 August 1, 2013 - July 31, 2015 250,000,000 5.90% 14,750,000 2014-2015 August Program Contract 1 August 1, 2014 - July 31, 2015 187,500,000 4.80% 9,000,000 2014-2015 August Program Contract 2 August 1, 2014 - July 31, 2015 187,500,000 6.00% 11,250,000 136,500,000 4.50% 6,142,500 2014-2015 August Program Contract 3 August 1, 2014 - July 31, 2015 Total Traditional Reinsurance Transformer Reinsurance Contracts 3,308,667,436 Contract Period Reinsurance Limit 12-Month Rate-on-Line 12-Month Premium Embarcadero Contract 2 (2012 - I) February 7, 2012 – February 13, 2015 150,000,000 7.440% 11,159,145 Embarcadero Contract 3 (2012 - II) August 1, 2012 – August 7, 2015 300,000,000 5.040% 15,121,864 URSA Re Contract 1 December 1, 2014 - November 30, 2017 200,000,000 5.050% 10,100,000 URSA Re Contract 2 December 1, 2014 - November 30, 2017 200,000,000 3.535% 7,070,000 Total Transformer Reinsurance Total Risk-Transfer Program California Earthquake Authority 850,000,000 4,158,667,436 Governing Board Meeting December 17, 2014 This slide and all its contents are the property of the California Earthquake Authority. Copyright 2014 – all rights reserved. 36 Item 5: Financial Report California Earthquake Authority Schedule of Outstanding Debt ISSUANCE OUTSTANDING NET INTEREST RATE AS OF DATE AMOUNT PRINCIPAL PROCEEDS Series 2006 Revenue Bonds $ 315,000,000 6.169% $ 310,829,067 $ 63,000,000 31-Aug-2014 *Interest and principal fully funded in escrow account for remaining interest and principal payments DEBT DEBT-SERVICE SCHEDULE The table below shows the payments remaining to bond holders by the Trustee, from escrow funds for the Series 2006 Bond Period Ending 1-Jan-15 1-Jul-15 2015 1-Jan-16 1-Jul-16 2016 Outstanding Principal $63,000,000 $31,500,000 Principal $31,500,000 Interest $1,943,235 $1,943,235 Debt Service $1,943,253 $33,443,235 Annual Debt Service $35,386,488 $31,500,000 $31,500,000 $971,618 $971,618 $971,618 $32,471,618 $33,443,236 California Earthquake Authority Governing Board Meeting December 17, 2014 This slide and all its contents are the property of the California Earthquake Authority. Copyright 2014 – all rights reserved. 37 Item 5: Financial Report California Earthquake Authority Schedule of Outstanding Debt DEBT Series 2014 Revenue Bonds 2 year bond CUSIP 13017HAC0 ISSUANCE AMOUNT $ 40,000,000 INTEREST RATE 1.194% NET OUTSTANDING PROCEEDS PRINCIPAL $ 39,665,642 $ 40,000,000 MOODY'S RATING* AS OF DATE 7-Nov-2014 A3 Outlook Stable FITCH RATING* A Outlook Stable DEBT-SERVICE SCHEDULE The table below shows the annual-debt-service requirements for the Series 2014 Bonds. Period Ending 7-Nov-14 31-Dec-14 2014 1-Jan-15 1-Jul-15 2015 1-Jan-16 1-Jul-16 2016 Outstanding Principal $40,000,000 $40,000,000 Principal Interest Debt Service $71,640 $238,800 $71,640 $238,800 Annual Debt Service $0 $40,000,000 $40,000,000 $310,440 $40,000,000 $40,000,000 $238,800 $238,800 $238,800 $40,238,800 $40,477,600 *Ratings of 'A3' and 'A' since 2006 (These ratings were reaffirmed in 2014) California Earthquake Authority Governing Board Meeting December 17, 2014 This slide and all its contents are the property of the California Earthquake Authority. Copyright 2014 – all rights reserved. 38 Item 5: Financial Report California Earthquake Authority Schedule of Outstanding Debt ISSUANCE AMOUNT DEBT Series 2014 Revenue Bonds $ 60,000,000 3 year bond CUSIP 13017HAD8 INTEREST RATE 1.824% NET OUTSTANDING PROCEEDS PRINCIPAL $ 59,498,463 $ 60,000,000 MOODY'S AS OF DATE RATING* 7-Nov-2014 A3 Outlook Stable FITCH RATING* A Outlook Stable DEBT-SERVICE SCHEDULE The table below shows the annual-debt-service requirements for the Series 2014 Bonds. Period Ending 7-Nov-14 31-Dec-14 2014 1-Jan-15 1-Jul-15 2015 1-Jan-16 1-Jul-16 2016 1-Jan-17 1-Jul-17 2017 Outstanding Principal $60,000,000 $60,000,000 Principal Interest Debt Service Annual Debt Service $0 $60,000,000 $60,000,000 $164,160 $547,200 $164,160 $547,200 $711,360 $60,000,000 $60,000,000 $547,200 $547,200 $547,200 $547,200 $60,000,000 $547,200 $547,200 $547,200 $60,547,200 $1,094,400 $60,000,000 $61,094,400 *Ratings of 'A3' and 'A' since 2006 (These ratings were reaffirmed in 2014) California Earthquake Authority Governing Board Meeting December 17, 2014 This slide and all its contents are the property of the California Earthquake Authority. Copyright 2014 – all rights reserved. 39 Item 5: Financial Report ISSUANCE AMOUNT DEBT Series 2014 Revenue Bonds $ 250,000,000 5 year bond CUSIP 13017HAE6 California Eathquake Authority Schedule of Outstanding Debt INTEREST RATE 2.805% OUTSTANDING NET PRINCIPAL PROCEEDS $ 247,910,261 $ 250,000,000 AS OF DATE 7-Nov-2014 MOODY'S RATING* A3 Outlook Stable FITCH RATING* A Outlook Stable DEBT-SERVICE SCHEDULE The table below shows the annual-debt-service requirements for the Series 2014 Bonds. Period Ending 7-Nov-14 31-Dec-14 2014 1-Jan-15 1-Jul-15 2015 1-Jan-16 1-Jul-16 2016 1-Jan-17 1-Jul-17 2017 1-Jan-18 1-Jul-18 2018 1-Jan-19 1-Jul-19 2019 Outstanding Principal $250,000,000 $250,000,000 Principal Interest Debt Service $250,000,000 $250,000,000 $1,051,875 $3,506,250 $1,051,875 $3,506,250 $250,000,000 $250,000,000 $3,506,250 $3,506,250 $3,506,250 $3,506,250 $250,000,000 $210,000,000 $40,000,000 $3,506,250 $3,506,250 $3,506,250 $43,506,250 $210,000,000 $105,000,000 $105,000,000 $2,945,250 $2,945,250 $2,945,250 $107,945,250 $105,000,000 $1,472,625 $1,472,625 $1,472,625 $106,472,625 $0 $4,558,125 $7,012,500 $47,012,500 $110,890,500 $105,000,000 $107,945,250 *Ratings of 'A3' and 'A' since 2006 (These ratings were reaffirmed in 2014) California Earthquake Authority Annual Debt Service Governing Board Meeting December 17, 2014 This slide and all its contents are the property of the California Earthquake Authority. Copyright 2014 – all rights reserved. 40 Item 5: Financial Report California Earthquake Authority Claim-Paying Capacity As of September 30, 2014 Post Earthquake Industry Assessment Post Earthquake Industry Assessment $312 ("NewIAL”) IAL") (“New Post Earthquake Industry Assessment Post Earthquake Industry Assessment ("2nd IAL") (“2nd IAL”) Revenue Bond Proceeds Revenue Bonds Risk-Transfer Risk-Transfer $1,656 $314 2014 Revenue Bond Proceeds, as of November 7, 2014 $347M $3,556 $2.0M CEA Available Capital CEA Available Capital $4,683 Claim Claims Reserves Reserves $2.0M drawn to *Not*Not drawn toscale scale A.M. Best Rating 'A-' since California Earthquake Authority Total Capacity $10,521M Governing Board Meeting December 17, 2014 This slide and all its contents are the property of the California Earthquake Authority. Copyright 2014 – all rights reserved. 41 Item 6: Proposed 12-month CEA Risk-Transfer Strategy for 2015 M r. Richison will present and seek Board approval of the revised Guidelines for Securing Risk-Transfer: Traditional Reinsurance and Alternative Risk-Transfer and approval of the proposed 12-month CEA Risk-Transfer Strategy for 2015. California Earthquake Authority Governing Board Meeting December 17, 2014 This slide and all its contents are the property of the California Earthquake Authority. Copyright 2014 – all rights reserved. 42 Item 6: Proposed 12-month CEA Risk-Transfer Strategy for 2015 2014 Risk-Transfer Update Governing Board approved 2014 Risk-Transfer Strategy at December 2013 meeting. • Staff has since conducted 13 risk-transfer transactions. • Total risk-transfer limit purchased: $3,365,494,200 • Six multi-year contacts purchased, totaling $1,279,826,896 (41% of total CEA risk-transfer limit purchased in 2014). • New transformer reinsurance contract effective December 1, 2014, for a 3-year term, total of $400,000,000 limit. California Earthquake Authority Governing Board Meeting December 17, 2014 This slide and all its contents are the property of the California Earthquake Authority. Copyright 2014 – all rights reserved. 43 Item 6: Proposed 12-month CEA Risk-Transfer Strategy for 2015 Proposed Revised Guidelines for Securing Risk-Transfer: Traditional Reinsurance and Alternative Risk-Transfer The CEA’s Guidelines for Securing Risk-Transfer: Traditional Reinsurance and Alternative Risk-Transfer (the Guidelines) are being revised to more accurately align (for comparison purposes) the reinsurer ratings of Moody’s, A.M. Best, and Standard & Poor’s. California Earthquake Authority Governing Board Meeting December 17, 2014 This slide and all its contents are the property of the California Earthquake Authority. Copyright 2014 – all rights reserved. 44 Item 6: Proposed 12-month CEA Risk-Transfer Strategy for 2015 Proposed 12-month CEA Risk-Transfer Strategy • The Guidelines state the goals and objectives for optimal sources of claim-paying capacity. • The proposed 12-month CEA Risk-Transfer Strategy for 2015 will include risk-transfer programs of traditional and transformer reinsurance, and a total claimpaying capacity set (at a minimum) to a 1-in-450-year level and, at a maximum, to a 1-in-550-year level. • Staff will report to the Board about new transactions at the first Board meeting following the effective date of each transaction. California Earthquake Authority Governing Board Meeting December 17, 2014 This slide and all its contents are the property of the California Earthquake Authority. Copyright 2014 – all rights reserved. 45 Item 6: Proposed 12-month CEA Risk-Transfer Strategy for 2015 Guidelines revisions and Proposed 12-month CEA Risk- Transfer Strategy RECOMMENDATIONS: • Approve the revised CEA Guidelines for Securing Risk-Transfer: Traditional Reinsurance and Alternative Risk-Transfer • Approve the proposed 12-month CEA Risk-Transfer Strategy for 2015 California Earthquake Authority Governing Board Meeting December 17, 2014 This slide and all its contents are the property of the California Earthquake Authority. Copyright 2014 – all rights reserved. 46 Item 7: Annual Report on the State of the Economy M r. Richison will introduce, Kapil Bhatia, Managing Director of Public Finance, Raymond James & Associates, Inc. (the CEA’s independent financial advisor), to present the advisor’s annual report on the state of the economy. California Earthquake Authority Governing Board Meeting December 17, 2014 This slide and all its contents are the property of the California Earthquake Authority. Copyright 2014 – all rights reserved. 47 Economic, Financial, Investment, and Risk Transfer Market Overview Prepared for: December 17, 2014 Kapil Bhatia Managing Director, Public Finance Raymond James & Associates, Inc. Ph: 727-567-1791 Email: Kapil.Bhatia@RaymondJames.com Section 1 Economic Overview Section 2 Financial Market Overview Section 3 Risk Transfer Market Overview Section 4 CEA Investment Portfolio Section 1: Economic Overview EXECUTIVE FINANCIAL SUMMARY MARKET UPDATE • Domestic economic sluggishness, regulatory reform, turmoil in the Ukraine, European and Asian financial crises, and Federal Reserve actions have combined to create a volatile financial market environment, which have dampened global growth The recession has been technically over since 2009, but economic fundamentals remain weak – longest downturn since World War II The Federal Reserve has taken action through multiple Quantitative Easings to stimulate economic growth by maintaining short-term interest rates at historic lows and is expected to continue to maintain them until middle to late 2015 The equity markets are having a record year with the DJIA and S&P 500 increasing year-to-date by 7% and 11%, respectively, and 169% and 201%, respectively, versus the lows of March 2009 U.S. corporate bond issuance has totaled $1.4 trillion through November 2014, which is 3.1% higher than the issuance over the same period in 2013. 2014 will be the fifth straight year of $1 trillion+ issuance The U.S. economy grew at a much faster pace than initially thought in the third quarter, pointing to strengthening fundamentals that should help it weather slowing global demand – the estimate of GDP growth in the third quarter is 3.9%, which is up from the 3.5% rate reported last month, reflecting upward revisions to business and consumer spending, as well as to inventories The rise in output followed a 4.6% advance in the prior three months to mark the two strongest back-to-back quarters since the second half of 2003 The growth in the U.S. economy underscored the resilience of the U.S. against a backdrop of a Japanese recession, an anemic Euro Zone and a slowing China 52 GLOBAL FINANCIAL ECONOMY MARKET UPDATE UPDATE • Some of the world’s largest economies, such as China, Japan, and many countries in the Euro Zone, are struggling with shrinking growth and low inflation or deflation • Concern that economic recoveries from the U.S. to Europe and Japan are failing to spur inflation has been cited by central bankers worldwide as justification for continued monetary stimulus efforts Japan's economy shrank 1.6% at an annual rate in the July-September period. The Japanese economy's disappointing performance followed a 7.3% contraction in the previous quarter Economists attribute the downturn to an April hike in the country's sales tax, to 8% from 5%, that helped narrow a massive budget deficit but chilled consumer spending Japan emerged from a 20-year period of stagnation in 2013 following Prime Minister Abe's decision to pump money into the financial system and lower interest rates through bond purchases similar to the U.S. Federal Reserve's quantitative easing program Euro Zone gross domestic product expanded just 0.2% last quarter and inflation is running at 0.4%, well below the European Central Bank’s (“ECB”) goal of just under 2%. As a result, Mario Draghi strengthened his stimulus pledge for the euro area by saying the ECB can’t hold back in its fight to revive the economy Overall, the $12 trillion Euro Zone economy – second only to the U.S. in size – is stuck with almost no growth or inflation to mend its imbalances, reduce high public and private debts, or significantly cut its chronic unemployment The ECB is trying to boost the size of its balance sheet to early-2012 levels, signaling an increase of as much as €1 trillion ($1.24 trillion), to help revive the euro-area economy – to keep the region from slipping into deflation, the ECB has been pumping money into the banking system by buying covered bonds and offering cheap long-term loans to banks Draghi has declined to rule out large-scale government-bond buying and reiterated that ECB staff are studying further measures to boost the economy if needed China cut benchmark interest rates for the first time since July 2012, stepping up efforts to support the world’s second-largest economy – China's annual growth slowed to 7.3% in the third quarter, leaving 2014 on track to be the slowest in 24 years 53 U.S.FINANCIAL ECONOMYMARKET UPDATEUPDATE • The improving economic picture in the U.S. is in contrast with weakness in Europe and Asia • Declining energy and commodity prices against the backdrop of a slowing global economy, and a strengthening dollar are keeping inflation below the Fed's target of 2% • In October, the Federal Reserve ended its Quantitative Easing program, setting the stage for the Fed to begin tightening monetary conditions, though the market doesn't expect the Fed to raise rates until at least mid-2015 Underlying inflation pressures rose in October, even as falling gasoline prices kept overall U.S. consumer prices in check, bolstering expectations of a mid-2015 interest rate hike from the Federal Reserve Prices in the U.S. excluding fuel and food increased more than forecast in October as a drop in energy costs failed to filter through to other goods and services – the core measure of the consumer-price index climbed 0.2%, the most in five months, after rising 0.1% in September The National Association of Realtors said existing home sales rose 1.5% to an annual rate of 5.26 million units, the highest rate since September 2013, a sign that the housing market continued to regain strength The U.S. economy added 321,000 jobs in November (the largest one month gain in nearly three years), and as of November the unemployment rate is 5.8% - the lowest rate since July 2008 Employers have now added at least 200,000 jobs for ten straight months, the longest such stretch since 1995 U.S. Private Sector has added 10.9 million jobs since 2010 Employers are laying off fewer workers and have stepped up hiring this year – the weekly applications, which are a proxy for layoffs, have fallen 16% in the past 12 months They are close to the lowest levels since 2000, a sign companies are more confident in the economy and willing to hold onto their staffs The number of people receiving unemployment benefits has also fallen steadily, and now stands at 2.33 million, the lowest since December 2000. Yet there are still 9 million people unemployed. Almost onethird have been out of work for six months or longer and are no longer eligible for unemployment benefits 54 U.S.FINANCIAL ECONOMYMARKET UPDATEUPDATE (CONTINUED) The U.S. energy industry is undergoing a revolution that is expected to have a significant and enduring impact on the nation’s economy and energy self-sufficiency. The progress made in advanced drilling techniques over the past few years has allowed for unprecedented access to oil and natural gas reserves in North America – given increased domestic production, U.S. dependence on foreign oil continues to decline There is a new industrial revolution in the U.S. highlighted by an energy and manufacturing boom – in October, the Institute for Supply Management’s index of manufacturing activity rose to match its three-year high • Falling oil prices have created a growth opportunity for the U.S. to increase its own domestic production and rely less on foreign oil The outlook for manufacturing is positive despite a strengthening dollar making products less competitive globally The increase in manufacturing may reflect an economy that has entered a healthier stage, with increased hiring encouraging consumers to spend more, with better spending encouraging companies to step up production and stronger production necessitating yet more hiring There is a slack in the labor and capital markets, record low level of labor participation, and historically low interest rates. The labor prospects for the long-term unemployed decline further the longer they remain unemployed, which can cause their skills to atrophy Economic growth alone will not be enough to get everyone into work – supply-side structural reforms, such as job training, are also needed 55 THEFINANCIAL OFFICIAL UNEMPLOYMENT RATE IS DECREASING BUT STRUCTURAL UNEMPLOYMENT REMAINS HIGH MARKET UPDATE U-3 is the official unemployment rate (i.e., the unemployed, as a percent of the civilian labor force) The broadest measure of labor underutilization, called U-6, includes the unemployed, the marginally employed, and persons who are actually employed but who work fewer hours than they would like (sometimes referred to as underemployed) The Natural Rate of Unemployment is the rate of unemployment when the labor market is in equilibrium – it is the difference between those who would like a job at the current wage rate and those who are willing and able to take a job. It therefore includes frictional unemployment and structural unemployment (i.e. a worker who is not able to get a job because he doesn’t have the right skills) • Analyzing the gap between the official unemployment rate (U3) and the broadest measure of labor underutilization (U-6) provides extra insight into whether the economy is healing U.S. Unemployment Rates 20% 18% U-6 (Total Unemployment Rate) 16% 14% 7.3% 12% 6.6% U-3 (Official Unemployment Rate) 10% 5.7% 8% 3.8% 6% Natural Rate of Unemployment 4% 2% Jan-14 Jun-14 Aug-13 Oct-12 Mar-13 May-12 Jul-11 Dec-11 Feb-11 Apr-10 Sep-10 Nov-09 Jan-09 Jun-09 Aug-08 Oct-07 Mar-08 May-07 Jul-06 Dec-06 Feb-06 Apr-05 Sep-05 0% Source: Bureau of Labor Statistics Nov-04 Jan-04 • While the official unemployment rate remains the primary measure of changes in labor underutilization, the alternative measures provide different views of the extent to which the economy is not fully utilizing its labor resources There are few alternative measures of labor underutilization. There is the official unemployment rate (U-3) and three broader measures (U-4, U-5 and U-6), which incorporate individuals who are not captured in the official measure: Jun-04 56 LABOR FORCE PARTICIPATION IS LAGGING FINANCIAL MARKET UPDATE The labor force participation rate stands at 62.8%, which is the lowest rate since 1978 68% 67% 66% 65% 64% 63% 62% 61% Source: Bureau of Labor Statistics Jan-14 Jun-14 Aug-13 Mar-13 Oct-12 May-12 Jul-11 Dec-11 Feb-11 Sep-10 Apr-10 Nov-09 Jan-09 Jun-09 Aug-08 Mar-08 Oct-07 May-07 Jul-06 Dec-06 Feb-06 Sep-05 Apr-05 Nov-04 60% Jan-04 • The decline in the labor participation rate explains structural unemployment Labor Participation Rate Jun-04 • There are still 9 million people unemployed and almost one-third have been out of work for six months or longer and are no longer eligible for unemployment benefits The labor force participation rate has fallen due to cyclical factors such as workers temporarily dropping out of the workforce because of discouragement over job prospects, but also due to structural forces such as the Baby Boomers reaching retirement age, younger workers staying in school longer, and a need to re-train labor skill sets to match the demands of the industrial and energy booms 57 U.S.FINANCIAL HOUSEHOLD MARKET DEBT UPDATE Total household debt increased $175 billion in the second quarter to $471 billion. The increase was led by rising mortgage and auto loans Household debt is significantly lower than the highs seen in 2005 and 2006 • Consumer spending is only marginally helping economic growth The personal savings rate has increased from 1.9% in July 2005 to the current rate of 5.0% Household Debt by Category as a Percentage of GDP 10% 8% 0.9% 0.7% 0.8% 6% 1.0% % of GDP • Even though wages remain largely stagnant, Americans are slowly but steadily borrowing more money, bringing to an end a five-year effort to cut household debt that has slowed consumer spending and the economy 4% 6.8% 7.4% 6.8% 4.9% 2% 0.2% 0.6% 0% 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 0.5% 2009 -0.7% 2010 -1.2% -0.2% 0.7% -0.5% 2011 1.1% -0.4% 2012 1.6% 1.1% 0.2% 0.0% 2013 2014 Q2 -2% Household - Home Mortgage Source: Federal Reserve Household - Consumer Credit 58 FEDERAL RESERVE ASSETS Federal Reserve Assets 5,000 • Since the beginning of the financial market turmoil in August 2007, the Federal Reserve's balance sheet has grown in size and has changed in composition • The total assets of the Federal Reserve are over twice the government expenditures for all 50 states 4,000 3,500 ($ in Billions) • Total assets of the Federal Reserve have increased almost 5x from $870 billion in August 2007, to over $4.4 trillion 4,500 3,000 2,500 2,000 1,500 1,000 500 Aug-07 Source: Federal Reserve Aug-08 Aug-09 Aug-10 Aug-11 Aug-12 Aug-13 Aug-14 59 Section 2: Financial Market Overview BOND FINANCIAL MARKETS MARKET UPDATE U.S. corporate bond issuance has totaled $1.4 trillion through November 2014, which is 3.1% higher than the issuance over the same period in 2013 • 2014 has been a banner year for corporate bonds with worldwide issuance of $3.8 trillion on pace to exceed $4 trillion for the first time Alibaba Group Holding Ltd. sold $8 billion of bonds in its debut sale at yields that were lower than originally offered after the Chinese e-commerce company got at least $57 billion of orders from investors Apple Inc. issued $12 billion of bonds to buy back equity to increase its return on equity Alibaba sold the largest portions in equal $2.25 billion offers of 5 and 10-year notes – the 2.5%, five-year notes sold at a yield of 0.95% above similar-maturity Treasuries and the 3.6%, 10-year securities sold at a relative yield of 1.28% basis points above similar-maturity Treasuries The sale included $2.5 billion of 3.45%, 10-year notes that pay 0.77% more than similar-maturity Treasuries Municipal issuance is comparatively lower in 2014 than in 2013 – issuance through November 2014 totals $296 billion and is 4.0% lower than the $308 billion issued over the same period in 2013 Historical Corporate and Municipal Bond Issuance 1,600 1,400 1,200 Issuance ($in Billions) • Historically low interest rates have led to record setting corporate bond issuance amid strong investor demand Through November 2014, $1.1 trillion, or 75%, has been non-convertible investment grade debt and $305 billion, or 25%, has been non-convertible junk bond debt 1,000 800 600 400 200 - Source: SIFMA Corporate Municipal 61 GLOBAL FINANCIAL INTEREST MARKET RATESUPDATE As there is financial unrest in Europe and Asia, the U.S. is a relatively safer alternative and is attractive from a yield standpoint relative to other countries 10-Year Government Bond Yields 5.00% 4.50% • Global interest rates are near historic lows and are also well below historic averages 4.32% 4.29% 4.00% 3.50% 3.63% 3.33% 3.24% 3.00% 2.50% 2.34% 2.27% 2.02% 2.00% 1.50% 1.33% 1.22% 1.01% 0.74% 0.50% 0.41% United States Germany Italy Current Source: Bloomberg 1.97% 1.84% 1.00% 0.00% 3.20% Spain Japan 10-Year Average France Canada California GO (TaxExempt) 62 U.S.FINANCIAL INTEREST MARKET RATES UPDATE 6.00% • U.S. annual inflation rate was recorded at 1.7% for the third consecutive month in October, as the fall in energy prices was enough to offset higher food and shelter cost • The gauge of investors' long-term inflation expectations, as measured by the yield gap between 10-year TIPS and regular 10-year Treasury notes is currently 1.79% 10-Year Treasury Inflation-Indexed Security and 10-Year Treasury Rate 5.00% 4.00% 10-Year Treasury Rate 2.28% 3.00% 2.00% 2.00% 1.79% 1.00% 0.00% 2004 2.40% 2005 -1.00% -2.00% Source: Federal Reserve 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 10-Year Treasury Inflation-Indexed Security 63 Section 3: Risk Transfer Market Overview CATASTROPHE FINANCIAL MARKET BOND MARKET UPDATEOVERVIEW Catastrophe bond issuance for the first half of the year was the highest on record, exceeding the prior year period by almost 50% and reflecting continued strong demand both from sponsors and investors Despite a slow third quarter, catastrophe bond issuance for 2014 could surpass the annual market peak set in 2007 Increased issuance in 2014 has enabled investors to add a variety of perils and regions to their catastrophe bond portfolios, including European windstorm, Japanese earthquake, Japanese typhoon and Texas hurricane Investors were also receptive to new currencies, as Aozora Re Ltd. launched the first catastrophe bond denominated in Japanese yen Risk Capital Issued and Outstanding 25,000 23,249 20,352 20,000 Risk Capital Amount ($MM) • Due to record setting issuance in 2014, total outstanding risk capital projected at year-end for 2014 currently stands at $23.2 billion 16,538 15,000 16,106 14,024 12,044 12,509 12,185 12,139 10,287 5,784 10,000 5,000 8,542 4,904 9,357 3,858 4,683 1,991 2005 9,117 7,851 7,924 4,334 4,215 2010 2011 8,240 2,913 - 12,710 2006 2007 2,687 3,392 2008 2009 Risk Capital Issued Risk Capital Outstanding Year-End 6,251 2012 7,642 7,143 2013 2014YTD 65 CATASTROPHE FINANCIAL MARKET BOND PRICING UPDATE Catastrophe Bond Transactions Since May 2014 • Catastrophe bond pricing, including Ursa Re, has remained at historic lows in 2014, as investor demand in this low interest rate environment has far exceeded the increased supply, allowing sponsors to expand coverage at competitive rates Issuer Cedent Ursa Re Ltd. (Series 2014-1) - Class California Earthquake B Authority Ursa Re Ltd. (Series 2014-1) - Class California Earthquake A Authority Kilimanjaro Re Ltd. (Series 2014-2) Everest Re Golden State Re II Ltd. (Series 2014- California State Compensation Insurance 1) Fund Alamo Re Ltd. (Series 2014-1) Hannover Rück SE, on behalf of reinsured Texas Windstorm Insurance Association (TWIA) Perils Covered California earthquake 1.20% [3.00%-3.75%] 3.38% 3.50% 3.70% 2.9 $150 $200 33% Nov-14 U.S and Canada earthquake Workers compensation claims resulting from California earthquakes 1.46% [3.50%-4.00%] 3.75% 0.25% [2.20%-2.70%] 2.45% 3.75% 2.20% 0.00% -10.20% 2.6 8.8 $350 $150 $500 $250 43% 67% Nov-14 Sep-14 Texas named storms 2.84% [6.50%-7.00%] 6.75% 6.35% -5.93% 2.2 $300 $400 33% Jun-14 0.54% [2.75%-3.50%] 3.13% 3.50% 12.00% 6.5 $50 $50 0% May-14 15.00% 0.00% 1.5 $50 $80 60% May-14 0.78% [3.50%-4.00%] 3.75% 3.90% 4.00% 5.0 $150 $200 33% May-14 U.S. tropical cyclones, earthquakes, severe thunderstorms, winter storms, wildfire, meteorite impact, volcanic eruption Residential Reinsurance 2014 Ltd. USAA U.S. tropical cyclones, earthquakes, (Series 2014-1) - Class 10 severe thunderstorms, winter storms, wildfire, meteorite impact, volcanic eruption Sanders Re Ltd. (Series 2014-2) Allstate subsidiaries Florida named storms, earthquakes, Castle Key Insurance and severe thunderstorms Castle Key Indemnity Sanders Re Ltd. (Series 2014-1) Class D 9.86% [14.00%-16.00%] 15.00% Zenkyoren Japan earthquake 0.75% [2.25%-2.75%] 2.50% 2.50% 0.00% 3.3 $50 $150 200% May-14 Zenkyoren Japan earthquake 0.75% [2.25%-2.50%] 2.38% 2.25% -5.26% 3.0 $150 $150 0% May-14 Sompo Japan and Nipponkoa Insurance Company Allstate Japan typhoon 0.52% [2.25%-2.65%] 2.45% 2.00% -18.37% 3.8 Not Provided $100 U.S. named storms (excluding Florida), U.S. earthquake (CA, NY, WA) U.S. named storms (excluding Florida), U.S. earthquake (CA, NY, WA) U.S. named storms (excluding Florida), U.S. earthquake (CA, NY, WA) U.S. named storms (Florida only initially) Florida hurricanes 1.13% [3.50%-4.00%] 3.75% 3.90% 4.00% 3.5 $250 $305 22% May-14 0.72% [3.00%-3.50%] 3.25% 3.25% 0.00% 4.5 $100 $115 15% May-14 0.72% [2.75%-3.00%] 2.88% 3.00% 4.35% 4.2 $250 $330 32% May-14 0.46% [3.50%-4.00%] 3.75% 4.00% 6.67% 8.7 $150 $200 33% May-14 2.30% [6.25%-7.75%] 7.00% 7.50% 7.14% 3.3 $400 $1,500 275% May-14 Sanders Re Ltd. (Series 2014-1) Class C Allstate Sanders Re Ltd. (Series 2014-1) Class B Allstate Armor Re Ltd. (Series 2014-1) Date Nov-14 California earthquake Residential Reinsurance 2014 Ltd. USAA (Series 2014-1) - Class 13 Nakama Re Ltd. (Series 2014-1) Class 2 Nakama Re Ltd. (Series 2014-1) Class 1 Aozora Re Ltd. (Series 2014-1) Pricing Pricing Final vs. Spread vs. Spread Initial Final Initial Size Expected Initial Price Guidance Pricing Mid Price Multiple Size Final Size (x) Spread Guidance ($MM) ($MM) ($MM) Loss ([Min-Max] Mid) 2.62% [4.50%-5.25%] 4.88% 5.00% 2.56% 1.9 $200 $200 0% American Coastal Insurance Company Everglades Re Ltd. (Series 2014-1) Citizens Property Insurance May-14 66 SECONDARY FINANCIALMARKET MARKETACTIVITY UPDATE • Looking forward to 2015, there are significant maturities in the first quarter at $3.5 billion, with an additional $1.5 billion in the second quarter • There is continued new capital flowing into the ILS market, and investor demand should be strong in the first half of 2015 as there will be approximately $5.0 billion in redemptions, which in turn will continue to put downward pressure on pricing spreads Secondary market activity in the second quarter of 2014 is significant as a large volume of new bonds issued in 2014 resulted in some investors reallocating their portfolios to free-up capital for new issuances Investors accessed a record amount of catastrophe bonds in the primary market, with many putting a large proportion of their funds to work Secondary market activity has slowed in the third and fourth quarters as issuance has slowed and there are only $350 million of maturities in the fourth quarter of 2014 Catastrophe Bond Secondary Market Pricing (as of October 31, 2014) Coupon Spread Scheduled Expected Maturity Loss (bps) Issuer Rating Coupon (bps) Multiple (x) Embarcadero Re 2012-1 13-Feb-15 221 BB725 3.28 Pelican Re 2012-11 13-Apr-15 354 NR 1375 3.88 Embarcadero Re 2012-2 07-Aug-15 84 BB+ 500 5.95 Everglades 2013-1 28-Mar-16 318 B 945 2.97 Tar Heel 2013-1 09-May-16 277 B+ 850 3.07 MetroCat Re 2013-1 05-Aug-16 171 BB450 2.63 Everglades 2014-1 28-Mar-17 268 B 750 2.80 Pelican Re 2013-1 15-May-17 205 NR 600 2.93 Alamo Re 2014-1 07-Jun-17 309 Not Rated 635 2.06 Kilimanjaro Re 2014-1 A 2 30-Apr-18 183 BB475 2.60 Kilimanjaro Re 2014-1 B 2 30-Apr-18 165 BB450 2.73 Source: BNP Paribas secondary market pricing as of October 31, 2014. 1 2 Secondary Market Indicative Offer Spread (bps) 459 126 200 412 358 177 493 354 411 346 381 Difference Between Indicative Offer Spread and Coupon (bps) -266 -1249 -300 -533 -492 -273 -257 -246 -224 -129 -69 Indicative Offer Spread Multiple (x) 2.08 0.36 2.38 1.30 1.29 1.04 1.84 1.73 1.33 1.89 2.31 Maturing prior to the start of the 2015 hurricane season. There have not been any significant trades. 67 • Record levels of capital among traditional reinsurers as well as the growing capacity provided by alternative capital providers and ILS are softening reinsurance pricing and broadening policy terms and conditions • As reinsurers are experiencing lower profitability, mergers and acquisitions could be a faster route to growth or an improved capital position • Bermuda-based reinsurance firm RenaissanceRe recently agreed to acquire Platinum Underwriters, which could spur additional merger and acquisition activity among reinsurers VALUATION METRICS Public equity valuations remain well below historical averages, but have improved as the reinsurers are buying back shares Price / book ratio is almost at par and this may lead to more industry consolidation Summary Valuation Metrics - Reinsurance Companies Market Capitalization Most-Recent Price Change ($MM) Company Name Closing Price YTD (%) Aspen Insurance Holdings Ltd. $2,741 $44.05 6.63 AXIS Capital Holdings Ltd. $5,090 $49.80 4.69 Blue Capital Reinsurance Hldgs $148 $16.91 (7.95) EMC Insurance Group Inc. $410 $30.26 (1.18) Enstar Group Ltd. $2,818 $146.78 5.67 Everest Re Group Ltd. $7,849 $173.46 11.29 Maiden Holdings Ltd. $935 $12.82 17.29 Montpelier Re Holdings Ltd. $1,511 $34.85 19.76 PartnerRe Ltd. $5,716 $116.71 10.70 Platinum Underwriters Holdings $1,834 $73.83 20.48 RenaissanceRe Holdings Ltd. $3,760 $97.51 0.17 Third Point Re Ltd. $1,530 $14.71 (20.62) Validus Holdings Ltd. $3,628 $41.52 3.05 XL Group plc $9,133 $35.39 11.15 Average Source: SNL Financial, as of December 3, 2014. Price / Book (%) 97.00 96.70 84.10 84.30 127.30 106.30 104.00 103.70 93.50 108.00 113.70 104.50 99.90 93.60 101.19 68 RATING AGENCY REINSURANCE INDUSTRY OUTLOOK • All four rating agencies have negative outlooks for the reinsurance industry due to challenges such as low interest rates, slower demand, and increased competition due to alternative capital All four rating agencies have a negative outlook for the global reinsurance industry Moody's Investors Service has reinforced its negative outlook on the global reinsurance sector as fierce competition, over-capacity and low returns continue to put pressure on the industry, despite some positive developments Standard & Poor’s believes the increased competition in the global reinsurance market, created by excess capital which is driving down rates, could threaten the ratings of global reinsurers and create greater volatility in their earnings Fitch notes that intense market competition and sluggish cedent demand has resulted in a softening market for reinsurers. In addition, the high level of alternative capital leads Fitch to expect that prices will continue to fall, and that terms and conditions will weaken into 2015 across a wider range of business lines A.M. Best is concerned that shrinking margins and more favorable terms being offered to clients threaten to strain companies’ financial strength Source: Moody’s, Standard & Poor’s, Fitch’s, and A.M. Best’s respective websites 69 Section 4: CEA Investment Portfolio CEAFINANCIAL INVESTMENT MARKET POLICIES UPDATE AND PORTFOLIO OVERVIEW Fund Purpose • CEA’s investment portfolio totals $5.5 billion with an effective duration of 1.4 years and is comprised of liquidity, primary, claims-paying and mitigation funds • The maximum effective duration pursuant to the investment policy for the total portfolio is 1.75 years Liquidity Funds to pay for the operating expenses and initial claims from an earthquake Treasuries / Up to 100% Treasuries / Agencies Max. 50% Agencies Composition Maximum Final 181 days Maturity $897 million Current Portfolio 0.07% 1-Year Total Return 0.17 years Effective Duration CEA Investment Policy Summary Primary Claims-Paying Mitigation Funds in excess of the Bond proceeds from the Funds to pay for the Liquidity Fund to pay CEA’s issuance of revenue mitigation program and claims following an bonds to pay claims associated expenses earthquake following an earthquake 100% Treasuries Up to 100% Treasuries / Max. 50% Agencies Up to 100% Treasuries / Max. 50% Agencies 5 years 5 years 91 days $3.9 billion 0.63% 1.63 years $664 million 0.83% 2.03 years $25 million 0.06% 0.11 years CEA Investment Portfolio Statistics - As of November 30, 2014 Market Composition 12-Month Value (% of Mkt. Total ($000's) Value) Return Fund Liquidity $897,373 16.2% 0.07% Primary $3,949,767 71.3% 0.63% Claims-Paying $664,163 12.0% 0.83% Mitigation $24,899 0.4% 0.06% Total $5,536,202 100.0% 0.56% Primary and Liquidity Combined $4,847,140 87.6% 0.53% Primary, Liquidity, and Claims-Paying Combined $5,511,303 99.6% 0.56% 12-Month Income Return 0.01% 1.51% 1.57% 0.29% 1.27% 1.23% 1.27% Effective Duration (Years) 0.17 1.63 2.03 0.11 1.44 1.36 1.44 71 CEA INVESTMENT PORTFOLIO FINANCIAL HISTORYMARKET – TOTAL UPDATE 6,000 1.00% 5,000 0.80% 4,000 0.60% 3,000 0.40% 2,000 0.20% 1,000 0.00% - 12-Month Total Return Rolling Average Market Value ($MM) CEA Investment Portfolio History - Total Funds -0.20% Market Value ($MM) 12-Month Total Return Rolling Average 72 CEA INVESTMENT PORTFOLIO FINANCIAL HISTORYMARKET – BY FUND UPDATE CEA Investment Portfolio History - Liquidity Fund 0.35% 4,000 0.25% 600 0.20% 0.15% 400 0.10% 200 - Market Value ($MM) 0.80% 3,000 2,500 0.60% 2,000 0.40% 1,500 0.20% 1,000 0.05% 500 0.00% - 12-Month Total Return Rolling Average 400 0.40% 300 0.20% 0.00% 100 -0.20% -0.40% - Market Value ($MM) 12-Month Total Return Rolling Average Market Value ($MM) Market Value ($MM) 0.60% 0.25% 25 12-Month Total Return Rolling Average 0.80% 200 12-Month Total Return Rolling Average 30 1.00% 500 -0.20% CEA Investment Portfolio History - Mitigation Fund 1.20% 600 0.00% Market Value ($MM) CEA Investment Portfolio History - Claims-Paying Fund 700 1.00% 3,500 0.20% 20 0.15% 15 0.10% 10 0.05% 5 - 12-Month Total Return Rolling Average Market Value ($MM) 0.30% 800 1.20% 12-Month Total Return Rolling Average 4,500 Market Value ($MM) 1,000 CEA Investment Portfolio History - Primary Fund 0.40% 12-Month Total Return Rolling Average 1,200 0.00% Market Value ($MM) 12-Month Total Return Rolling Average 73 INTEREST FINANCIAL RATES MARKET UPDATE The economists surveyed by Bloomberg expect short-term interest rates to remain low at least until the middle of 2015, if not longer, but project increases in the range of approximately 100 basis points in the 2 and 10-year Treasury rates by the end of the fourth quarter of 2015 Bloomberg Consensus US Treasury Current Rate 2 Year 0.47% Economists Surveyed 10 Year 2.17% Economists Surveyed 30 Year 2.89% Economists Surveyed *Source: Bloomberg as of December 1, 2014. • The yield curve is steep as investors are expecting interest rates to rise in mid-to-late 2015, or possibly 2016 2014 2016 2015 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Change from Current Rate to 2015 Q4 0.58% 0.80% 1.05% 1.29% 1.57% 1.77% 1.10% 68 66 68 66 67 50 2.56% 2.71% 2.89% 3.08% 3.22% 3.33% 87 84 85 83 83 59 3.24% 3.39% 3.59% 3.74% 3.88% 3.98% 63 62 63 62 62 48 1.05% 0.99% The yield curve is currently steep as interest rates are expected to increase Treasury Curves 3.00% 2.56% 2.50% 2.31% 2.00% 1.68% 1.81% 1.85% 2.01% 1.96% 2.07% 1.50% 1.30% 1.00% 0.78% 0.47% 0.50% 0.15% 0.00% 0.88% 0.57% 0.26% 0.30% 1.75 2.00 0.54% 0.46% 0.98% 1.61% 1.43% 1.03% 0.62% 0.14% 1.00 2.50 2.75 3.00 4.00 5.00 Years Current 1 Year Ago 10-Year Average 74 INVESTMENT FINANCIALPOLICY MARKET SUMMARY UPDATE • CEA can take significant advantage of the yield curve steepness by increasing the duration of the portfolio by 0.75 years to 1.0 year As interest rates are expected to rise beginning in mid to late 2015, CEA can take advantage of the yield curve by increasing its portfolio’s duration by 0.75 years to 1.0 year or from 1.75 years to 2.5 years or 2.75 years The incremental return for increasing duration from 1.75 to 2.5 years is approximately 0.31%, or $6.2 million in incremental return on an investment of $2 billion, or approximately 50% of the Primary Fund portfolio The incremental return for increasing duration from 1.75 to 2.75 years is approximately 0.42%, or approximately $8.3 million in incremental return on an investment of $2 billion, or approximately 50% of the Primary Fund portfolio By increasing the duration of the portfolio but not changing anything else, the CEA would not take on any additional risk except a marginal increase in duration risk, however, this risk is partially mitigated as the CEA fund balance has significantly increased since the 1.75 year duration limit was implemented at its inception CEA’s total portfolio has grown from approximately $3.8 billion in the July 2009 to $5.5 billion as of November 2014 75 CONCLUSION FINANCIAL MARKET UPDATE Domestic economic sluggishness, regulatory reform, turmoil in the Ukraine, European and Asian financial crises, and Federal Reserve actions have combined to create a volatile financial market environment, which have dampened global growth While the U.S. economy has recovered all jobs lost during the recession, there is a significant portion of the population that is long-term unemployed and the labor participation rate is historically low There is a slack in the labor and capital markets and a record low level of labor participation. The labor prospects for the long-term unemployed decline further the longer they remain unemployed Interest rates are currently low from a historical perspective and are not expected to move as quickly Historically low interest rates have led to record setting corporate bond issuance amid strong investor demand. As there is financial unrest in Europe and Asia, the U.S. is a relatively safer alternative and is attractive from a yield standpoint relative to other countries The CEA has benefitted from strong investor demand in the capital markets as seen from the success of the Ursa Re 2014-1 risk transfer transaction and the pricing of the CEA’s $350 million revenue bond transaction With historically low interest rates and a steepening yield curve, CEA can take advantage of the yield curve by increasing its portfolio’s duration by 0.75 years to 1.0 year and generate approximately $6.2 million in incremental income, or from 1.75 years to 2.75 years and generate approximately $8.3 million in incremental income on an investment of $2 billion, or approximately 50% of the Primary Fund portfolio 76 DISCLAIMER The information contained herein is solely intended to facilitate discussion of potentially applicable financing applications and is not intended to be a specific buy/sell recommendation, nor is it an official confirmation of terms. The analysis or information presented herein is based upon projections and have limitations. No representation is made that it is accurate or complete or that any results indicated will be achieved. In no way is past performance indicative of future results. Changes to any prices, levels, or assumptions contained herein may have a material impact on results. Any estimates or assumptions contained herein represent our best judgment as of the date indicated and are subject to change without notice. 77 Item 8: Communications Programming C hief Communications Officer Chris Nance will update the Board on participating-insurer engagement in communications programming. California Earthquake Authority Governing Board Meeting December 17, 2014 This slide and all its contents are the property of the California Earthquake Authority. Copyright 2014 – all rights reserved. 78 Item 8: Communications Programming BACKGROUND: Board-approved budgets support two advertising programs designed to help sell CEA policies: • MVP o Launched in 2011 o Promotes agent-training o Offers local advertising support through direct mail • CMV o Launched in 2014 o Offers PIs a percentage of CEA’s online ad budget o Links co-branded ads with information on how to purchase a CEA policy on PI websites California Earthquake Authority Governing Board Meeting December 17, 2014 This slide and all its contents are the property of the California Earthquake Authority. Copyright 2014 – all rights reserved. 79 Item 8: Communications Programming MVP 2011–2014 MVP Summary* 2011 2012 2013 2014 Agents/Producers Trained 3,193 2,295 1,589 1,068 MVP Agents/Producers Registered 3,317 4,144 2,657 2,469 MVP Direct-Mail Delivered (millions) 2.50 2.76 2.98 2.77 *17 of 19 PIs have agents/producers participating in MVP. CMV CEA/Earthquake Insurance Information on PI Websites* Total PIs Homepage Product Homeowner Renter Condo Hazard CEA 11 0 7 3 1 1 2 EQ Ins 8 0 1 4 2 2 2 *Both CEA and earthquake information appear on 3 of 19 PI websites . California Earthquake Authority Governing Board Meeting December 17, 2014 This slide and all its contents are the property of the California Earthquake Authority. Copyright 2014 – all rights reserved. 80 Item 8: Communications Programming GOING FORWARD: MVP New online portal • Offers year-round availability of direct-mail o English, Spanish, Chinese languages • Link to a new mobile site to streamline premium estimates for agents • Deliver new content, including earthquake-insurance-sales tips California Earthquake Authority Governing Board Meeting December 17, 2014 This slide and all its contents are the property of the California Earthquake Authority. Copyright 2014 – all rights reserved. 81 Item 8: Communications Programming GOING FORWARD: CMV • Additional PIs have expressed potential or future interest in CMV. • No additional PIs have committed to 2015 CMV participation. California Earthquake Authority Governing Board Meeting December 17, 2014 This slide and all its contents are the property of the California Earthquake Authority. Copyright 2014 – all rights reserved. 82 Item 9: Advisory Panel Summary C EA Advisory Panel Chair Mark Simmonds will provide a summary of the proceedings of the October 23, 2014, Panel meeting. California Earthquake Authority Governing Board Meeting December 17, 2014 This slide and all its contents are the property of the California Earthquake Authority. Copyright 2014 – all rights reserved. 83 Item 10: Rate and Form Application T he CEA Insurance Operations Department will present to the Board proposed modifications to the CEA-earthquake-insurance rating plan and policy forms, including coverage modifications and enhancements. California Earthquake Authority Governing Board Meeting December 17, 2014 This slide and all its contents are the property of the California Earthquake Authority. Copyright 2014 – all rights reserved. 84 Item 10: Rate and Form Application The CEA’s Strategic Goals GOAL 1. EDUCATE Help Californians learn about their seismic risks in order to prepare for, survive, and recover from damaging earthquakes. GOAL 2. MITIGATE Encourage Californians to take action by strengthening their homes and securing their belongings in order to reduce their risk of earthquake damage. GOAL 3. INSURE Help Californians understand-and quantify and actively manage, using CEA insurance products-their risk of financial loss from damaging earthquakes. California Earthquake Authority Governing Board Meeting December 17, 2014 This slide and all its contents are the property of the California Earthquake Authority. Copyright 2014 – all rights reserved. 85 Item 10: Rate and Form Application The Approval Process Advisory Panel review. California Insurance Code section 10089.26 charges CEA Advisory Panel with approving and submitting condominium earthquakeloss-assessment-coverage rates to the Board. At its October 23, 2014, meeting, the Panel reviewed staff’s analysis of condominium earthquake-loss-assessment rates and voted unanimously to support staff’s proposed pricing for that coverage. Insurance Commissioner review. Staff asks Board support to submit the rate-and-form application to the Insurance Commissioner for regulatory review and approval. California Earthquake Authority Governing Board Meeting December 17, 2014 This slide and all its contents are the property of the California Earthquake Authority. Copyright 2014 – all rights reserved. 86 Item 10: Rate and Form Application RECOMMENDATIONS: CEA staff has analyzed the CEA’s December 31, 2012, portfolio to prepare a new rate-and-form application for Board consideration and approval. The application proposes: • 8.2% decrease in the CEA’s statewide average rates • Expanded coverage limits and deductible options • Enhanced hazard-mitigation premium discount for qualifying homeowners • New edition of each of the CEA’s insurance-policy forms, with coverage enhancements and refinements and new definitions and policy language • New, optional endorsements that provide frequently requested coverage, otherwise excluded California Earthquake Authority Governing Board Meeting December 17, 2014 This slide and all its contents are the property of the California Earthquake Authority. Copyright 2014 – all rights reserved. 87 Item 10: Rate and Form Application Policyholder Impacts • Rates are lowered overall, based on statewide average rates. But the proposed changes may cause individual policyholders to see their rates increase or decrease, depending on product, location of insured property, and related rating factors. • Based on their current coverage limits: – Over 40 percent of CEA policyholders will see rates fall by more than 10 percent, with another 30 percent paying stable or slightly lower rates. – Fewer than 20 percent of policyholders can expect an increase of more than 5 percent. • All proposed changes are to be implemented for new and renewal policies effective January 1, 2016, or later. California Earthquake Authority Governing Board Meeting December 17, 2014 This slide and all its contents are the property of the California Earthquake Authority. Copyright 2014 – all rights reserved. 88 Item 10: Rate and Form Application Enhanced Hazard-Reduction Premium Discount For Homeowners & Homeowners Choice • New 10% and 20% mitigation-discount-eligibility rules subject to the following criteria: ― Pre-1960 frame construction on raised foundation: 20% mitigation discount ― 1960–1978 frame construction on raised foundation: 10% mitigation discount ― IF the policyholder verifies the following: ― • o dwelling anchored to raised foundation (California Building Code (“CBC”) standards using approved anchor bolts or foundation anchors); AND o water heater secured to the building frame (Guidelines for Earthquake Bracing of Residential Water Heaters (Dept. of General Services, Division of State Architect)). o Homes with cripple walls: bracing in accordance with CBC bracing standards. o Homes with “post-and-pier” or “post-and-beam” foundations: modified in accordance with CBC standards. A signed verification must be submitted to obtain the discount. The current 5% mitigation discount will remain available for those policyholders who meet the above criteria and can self-verify. California Earthquake Authority Governing Board Meeting December 17, 2014 This slide and all its contents are the property of the California Earthquake Authority. Copyright 2014 – all rights reserved. 89 Item 10: Rate and Form Application Expanded Coverage, Limit, and Deductible Options For all products (Homeowners, Homeowners Choice, Mobilehome, Condominium, and Renters) • New deductible options. In addition to current 10% and 15% deductible options, new 5%, 20%, and 25% options. • New Personal Property limit options. In addition to current limit options of $5,000, $25,000, $50,000, $75,000, and $100,000, new $150,000 and $200,000 limit options. • New Loss of Use limit options: In addition to current limit options of $1,500, $10,000, $15,000, and $25,000, new $50,000, $75,000, and $100,000 limit options. • New “breakage” coverage option: New option to purchase coverage for breakage of personal property (e.g., items such as dishes, artwork, and collectibles). California Earthquake Authority Governing Board Meeting December 17, 2014 This slide and all its contents are the property of the California Earthquake Authority. Copyright 2014 – all rights reserved. 90 Item 10: Rate and Form Application Expanded Coverage, Limit, and Deductible Options For Homeowners, Homeowners Choice, and Mobilehome • New Chimney limit: Current sublimit increases from $5,000 to $10,000. • New Building Code Upgrade limit options: Current $20,000 increased-limit option for Homeowners and Homeowners Choice (only) will be expanded to include Mobilehome, and a new $30,000-limit option will be offered. • New exterior masonry veneer coverage option – for Homeowners and Homeowners Choice only – New option to purchase coverage for exterior masonry veneer • New Loss Assessment coverage option – New coverage option to purchase $10,000 sublimit which covers certain assessments imposed by a Homeowners Association to repair damage caused by an earthquake • New Energy Efficient and Environmental Safety Replacement Upgrades sublimit – New $25,000 sublimit which pays for the increased costs of replacing damaged covered dwelling property with specified energy-efficient, renewably-sourced, or environmentally-safe replacement components California Earthquake Authority Governing Board Meeting December 17, 2014 This slide and all its contents are the property of the California Earthquake Authority. Copyright 2014 – all rights reserved. 91 Item 10: Rate and Form Application Expanded Coverage, Limit, and Deductible Options For Condominium Unit Owners • New Building Property limits: New option to increase the $25,000 coverage limit to $50,000, $75,000, or $100,000. • New deductible options for Building Property and Loss Assessment coverages: In addition to current 15% deductible, new 5%, 10%, 20%, and 25% options • New Chimney limit. Current sublimit increases from $5,000 to $10,000. • New Energy-Efficient and Environmental-Safety Replacement Upgrades sublimit. New $10,000 sublimit that pays for the increased costs of replacing damaged, covered dwelling property with specified energy-efficient, renewably sourced, or environmentally safe replacement components. California Earthquake Authority Governing Board Meeting December 17, 2014 This slide and all its contents are the property of the California Earthquake Authority. Copyright 2014 – all rights reserved. 92 Item 10: Rate and Form Application Expanded Coverage, Limit, and Deductible Options For Condominium Unit Owners and Renters • Personal Property deductible change: Converting from current $750 personal-property deductible to a percentage deductible (similar to homeowners) – new 5%, 10%, 15%, 20%, and 25% deductible options. ― Current policies will be renewed with a 5% deductible, which will lower some deductibles and increase others, depending on Personal Property limit selected. California Earthquake Authority Governing Board Meeting December 17, 2014 This slide and all its contents are the property of the California Earthquake Authority. Copyright 2014 – all rights reserved. 93 Item 10: Rate and Form Application Changes or new limitations For all products (Homeowners, Homeowners Choice, Mobilehome, Condominium Units Owners, and Renters) : • New Personal Property sublimits. New sublimit of $3,000 added for: ― Jewelry/Watches/Furs ― Collectibles/Memorabilia ― Beverages contained in glass • New mold exclusion. Consistent with longstanding industry practices • New mold coverage – $5,000 sublimit ― New limited coverage for mold damage to real property resulting from an earthquake for Homeowners, Mobilehome, and Condominium policies • Policy language clarified to promote understanding of coverage intent California Earthquake Authority Governing Board Meeting December 17, 2014 This slide and all its contents are the property of the California Earthquake Authority. Copyright 2014 – all rights reserved. 94 Item 10: Rate and Form Application Rate Development The process for developing the rates similar to the analysis underlying the current rates. • Expected losses are developed the EQECAT model (RQE v. 14) applied to the December 31, 2012, portfolio and adjusted for expected time rates will be in effect. • CEA expenses are largely set by statute, regulation, and contract. California Earthquake Authority Governing Board Meeting December 17, 2014 This slide and all its contents are the property of the California Earthquake Authority. Copyright 2014 – all rights reserved. 95 Item 10: Rate and Form Application Rate Indications Product Proposed Rate Change Homeowners -9.0% Mobilehomeowners -0.7% Condominium Units 10.5% Renters -37.2% OVERALL -8.2% Average indications by segment and overall. Individual policyholders will vary. California Earthquake Authority Governing Board Meeting December 17, 2014 This slide and all its contents are the property of the California Earthquake Authority. Copyright 2014 – all rights reserved. 96 Item 10: Rate and Form Application Rate Change Drivers • Overall: Estimated net reinsurance costs are down 16% compared to the estimated net reinsurance costs for the 2012 filing. ― Overall rate indication would be -2% at 2012 reinsuranceexpense levels. • Condo/Renters – deductible-structure change • Condo/Renters – updated value assumptions California Earthquake Authority Governing Board Meeting December 17, 2014 This slide and all its contents are the property of the California Earthquake Authority. Copyright 2014 – all rights reserved. 97 Item 10: Rate and Form Application Review of policyholder impacts • More than 40 percent of CEA policyholders will see their rates fall by more than 10%. • 30% will pay stable or slightly lower rates. • Fewer than 20% can expect an increase over 5%. ― Condominium loss assessment ― Pre-1940 houses • Refer to premium/rate-impact charts (Attachment B) California Earthquake Authority Governing Board Meeting December 17, 2014 This slide and all its contents are the property of the California Earthquake Authority. Copyright 2014 – all rights reserved. 98 Item 10: Rate and Form Application RECOMMENDED ACTION: • CEA staff recommends that the Governing Board support submission of the rate-and-form application to the Insurance Commissioner for regulatory review and approval. California Earthquake Authority Governing Board Meeting December 17, 2014 This slide and all its contents are the property of the California Earthquake Authority. Copyright 2014 – all rights reserved. 99 Item 11: Mitigation Prestandard (Guidelines) and Research Update C hief Mitigation Officer Janiele Maffei will update the Governing Board on the CEA’s Prestandard and Mitigation Research Programs. California Earthquake Authority Governing Board Meeting December 17, 2014 This slide and all its contents are the property of the California Earthquake Authority. Copyright 2014 – all rights reserved. 100 Item 11: Mitigation Prestandard (Guidelines) and Research Update Guidelines – Now called Prestandard (document intended to be adopted into code) California Earthquake Authority Governing Board Meeting December 17, 2014 This slide and all its contents are the property of the California Earthquake Authority. Copyright 2014 – all rights reserved. 101 Item 11: Mitigation Prestandard (Guidelines) and Research Update Prestandard – ATC 110 California Earthquake Authority Governing Board Meeting December 17, 2014 This slide and all its contents are the property of the California Earthquake Authority. Copyright 2014 – all rights reserved. 102 Item 11: Mitigation Prestandard (Guidelines) and Research Update Roles and Responsibilities California Earthquake Authority/ Federal Emergency Management Agency Applied Technology Council (ATC) ATC Executive Director (Program Executive) ATC Board of Directors ATC Program Manager ATC Project Manager Jon A. Heintz ATC Staff Support IT, Publication Services, Meeting Coordination and Logistics Task Order Project Technical Committee Project Technical Director, Chair Members (6) Task Order Project Steering Committee Chair Members (6) Working Group(s) TBD California Earthquake Authority Governing Board Meeting December 17, 2014 This slide and all its contents are the property of the California Earthquake Authority. Copyright 2014 – all rights reserved. 103 Item 11: Mitigation Prestandard (Guidelines) and Research Update Prestandard – ATC 110 Project Technical Committee Project Steering Committee • Structural engineers • Geotechnical engineers • Contractor • University researcher • Research consultant • • • • • California Earthquake Authority Structural engineers University researcher Building official Industry representative Contractor Governing Board Meeting December 17, 2014 This slide and all its contents are the property of the California Earthquake Authority. Copyright 2014 – all rights reserved. 104 Item 11: Mitigation Prestandard (Guidelines) and Research Update Prestandard – ATC 110 Schedule California Earthquake Authority Governing Board Meeting December 17, 2014 This slide and all its contents are the property of the California Earthquake Authority. Copyright 2014 – all rights reserved. 105 Item 11: Mitigation Prestandard (Guidelines) and Research Update Prestandard – ATC 110 Table of Contents 1.1 1.2 1.3 1.4 1.5 Introduction General Requirements Cripple Walls and Anchorage to Foundation House or Room over Garage or Deck Hillside Dwellings California Earthquake Authority Governing Board Meeting December 17, 2014 This slide and all its contents are the property of the California Earthquake Authority. Copyright 2014 – all rights reserved. 106 Item 11: Mitigation Prestandard (Guidelines) and Research Update Prestandard – ATC 110 Future Contents 1.6 1.7 Split Level Dwellings Inadequate Wall BracingOccupied Spaces 1.8 Anchorage of Slab-on-Grade Dwellings 1.9 Parts and Portions of Dwellings 1.10 Recommendations and Priorities California Earthquake Authority Governing Board Meeting December 17, 2014 This slide and all its contents are the property of the California Earthquake Authority. Copyright 2014 – all rights reserved. 107 Item 11: Mitigation Prestandard (Guidelines) and Research Update RECOMMENDATION: • That the Board authorize funding and direct the CEA staff to continue to co-manage the tasks denominated Priority Level 1 and 2, as described above, in accordance with recommendations in the ATC 110 Prestandard Development Plan. • That the Board approve budgeted CEA expenditures for 2015, 2016, and 2017, for tasks 1 and 2, at a level of $1 million per year—a total over three years of $3 million. California Earthquake Authority Governing Board Meeting December 17, 2014 This slide and all its contents are the property of the California Earthquake Authority. Copyright 2014 – all rights reserved. 108 Item 11: Mitigation Prestandard (Guidelines) and Research Update Research Update Ms. Maffei will update the Governing Board on the CEA Survey and Research Program planned for Napa, California. California Earthquake Authority Governing Board Meeting December 17, 2014 This slide and all its contents are the property of the California Earthquake Authority. Copyright 2014 – all rights reserved. 109 Item 11: Mitigation Prestandard (Guidelines) and Research Update California Earthquake Authority Governing Board Meeting December 17, 2014 This slide and all its contents are the property of the California Earthquake Authority. Copyright 2014 – all rights reserved. 110 Item 11: Mitigation Prestandard (Guidelines) and Research Update Typical/expected residential damage from ground-shaking Graphic: USGS California Earthquake Authority Governing Board Meeting December 17, 2014 This slide and all its contents are the property of the California Earthquake Authority. Copyright 2014 – all rights reserved. 111 Item 11: Mitigation Prestandard (Guidelines) and Research Update Chimney damage California Earthquake Authority Governing Board Meeting December 17, 2014 This slide and all its contents are the property of the California Earthquake Authority. Copyright 2014 – all rights reserved. 112 Item 11: Mitigation Prestandard (Guidelines) and Research Update Cripple-wall failure California Earthquake Authority Governing Board Meeting December 17, 2014 This slide and all its contents are the property of the California Earthquake Authority. Copyright 2014 – all rights reserved. 113 Item 11: Mitigation Prestandard (Guidelines) and Research Update Cripple wall toppled California Earthquake Authority Governing Board Meeting December 17, 2014 This slide and all its contents are the property of the California Earthquake Authority. Copyright 2014 – all rights reserved. 114 Item 11: Mitigation Prestandard (Guidelines) and Research Update Cripple-wall damage California Earthquake Authority Governing Board Meeting December 17, 2014 This slide and all its contents are the property of the California Earthquake Authority. Copyright 2014 – all rights reserved. 115 Item 11: Mitigation Prestandard (Guidelines) and Research Update Cripple wall shifted California Earthquake Authority Governing Board Meeting December 17, 2014 This slide and all its contents are the property of the California Earthquake Authority. Copyright 2014 – all rights reserved. 116 Item 11: Mitigation Prestandard (Guidelines) and Research Update Severed utility connections California Earthquake Authority Governing Board Meeting December 17, 2014 This slide and all its contents are the property of the California Earthquake Authority. Copyright 2014 – all rights reserved. 117 Item 11: Mitigation Prestandard (Guidelines) and Research Update House moved away from steps California Earthquake Authority Governing Board Meeting December 17, 2014 This slide and all its contents are the property of the California Earthquake Authority. Copyright 2014 – all rights reserved. 118 Item 11: Mitigation Prestandard (Guidelines) and Research Update Front door blocked by fallen porch cover California Earthquake Authority Governing Board Meeting December 17, 2014 This slide and all its contents are the property of the California Earthquake Authority. Copyright 2014 – all rights reserved. 119 Item 11: Mitigation Prestandard (Guidelines) and Research Update Retrofitted house (right) sustained no damage, while nonretrofitted house (left) sustained substantial damage. California Earthquake Authority Governing Board Meeting December 17, 2014 This slide and all its contents are the property of the California Earthquake Authority. Copyright 2014 – all rights reserved. 120 Item 12: California Residential Mitigation Program M s. Maffei will update the Governing Board on the CEA’s mitigation programming, including its participation in the California Residential Mitigation Program. California Earthquake Authority Governing Board Meeting December 17, 2014 This slide and all its contents are the property of the California Earthquake Authority. Copyright 2014 – all rights reserved. 121 Item 12: California Residential Mitigation Program California Earthquake Authority Governing Board Meeting December 17, 2014 This slide and all its contents are the property of the California Earthquake Authority. Copyright 2014 – all rights reserved. 122 Item 12: California Residential Mitigation Program California Counties + Housing Built 1939 and Earlier + High Shake Potential Housing built 1939 and earlier with high earthquake-risk layer California Earthquake Authority Governing Board Meeting December 17, 2014 This slide and all its contents are the property of the California Earthquake Authority. Copyright 2014 – all rights reserved. 123 Item 12: California Residential Mitigation Program EB+B Expansion 500 to 575 residential retrofits, in six cities Oakland [100] Los Angeles [100] San Francisco [75] Pasadena [125] San Leandro [100] Santa Monica [75] 12 ZIP Codes in Northern California 14 ZIP Codes in Southern California California Earthquake Authority Governing Board Meeting December 17, 2014 This slide and all its contents are the property of the California Earthquake Authority. Copyright 2014 – all rights reserved. 124 Item 12: California Residential Mitigation Program Marketing Outreach • Community Outreach o City council meetings o Neighborhood associations o Community newsletters • Direct Mail o Door hangers o Postcard o Brochure o Email • Media relations • Advertising California Earthquake Authority Governing Board Meeting December 17, 2014 This slide and all its contents are the property of the California Earthquake Authority. Copyright 2014 – all rights reserved. 125 Item 12: California Residential Mitigation Program Marketing Outreach California Earthquake Authority Governing Board Meeting December 17, 2014 This slide and all its contents are the property of the California Earthquake Authority. Copyright 2014 – all rights reserved. 126 Item 12: California Residential Mitigation Program California Earthquake Authority Governing Board Meeting December 17, 2014 This slide and all its contents are the property of the California Earthquake Authority. Copyright 2014 – all rights reserved. 127 Item 13: Proposed California Residential Mitigation 2015 Program Funding M r. Richison and Ms. Maffei will request Board approval to transfer funds for use in the CRMP incentive program. California Earthquake Authority Governing Board Meeting December 17, 2014 This slide and all its contents are the property of the California Earthquake Authority. Copyright 2014 – all rights reserved. 128 Item 13: Proposed California Residential Mitigation 2015 Program Funding • CRMP board met on December 2, 2014, and approved program expansion, aiming to complete 750 seismic retrofits through awarding incentive grants of up to $3,000 per house in the 2015 Earthquake Brace + Bolt program. • The first expansion phase: (Six cities in 26 ZIP Codes – in Northern and Southern California, including Napa, site of moderate but damaging earthquake in August) appears on target to deliver 500 to 575 retrofits by September 30, 2015. • The second expansion phase: Mid-2015, offering 500 to 575 incentive payments to homeowners in additional cities and ZIP Codes. Participants will complete their retrofits by February 28, 2016, and CRMP will issue half of the incentive payments in 2015. California Earthquake Authority Governing Board Meeting December 17, 2014 This slide and all its contents are the property of the California Earthquake Authority. Copyright 2014 – all rights reserved. 129 Item 13: Proposed California Residential Mitigation 2015 Program Funding • The CRMP holds $ 257,678 as of September 30, 2014. • By agreement with Cal OES, the CEA is still the sole funder of CRMP. • In order for CRMP to execute the planned EBB program for 2015, CRMP will need additional CEA mitigation funds of $3 million. RECOMMENDATION: • Staff recommends the Board approve the proposed transfer to CRMP from the CEA Mitigation Fund in the amount of $3 million for the purposes described above. California Earthquake Authority Governing Board Meeting December 17, 2014 This slide and all its contents are the property of the California Earthquake Authority. Copyright 2014 – all rights reserved. 130 Item 14: 2014 CEA IT Project Portfolio Update C hief Information Officer Todd Coombes will give a progress report to the Board on the 2014 CEA IT Project Portfolio. California Earthquake Authority Governing Board Meeting December 17, 2014 This slide and all its contents are the property of the California Earthquake Authority. Copyright 2014 – all rights reserved. 131 Item 14: 2014 CEA IT Project Portfolio Update Portfolio Progress • All statistics are forecasted to reflect portfolio status as of the end of December 2014. • Project statuses: 67% complete, 11% cancelled, 14% continuing to 2015, 8% deferred to 2015. Portfolio Changes • Changes indicated are for the entire duration of the portfolio and reflect the dynamic nature of CEA technology needs across the business. • 27 initial projects, 9 projects added, 24 projects completed, 4 projects cancelled. • Five active 2014 IT Portfolio Projects are continued in the proposed 2015 IT Project Portfolio. • Three planned 2014 IT Portfolio Projects will be deferred to proposed 2015 IT Project Portfolio. Expenditures • Projected external expenditures for the 2014 IT Project Portfolio will be 5% under budget. • Budget: $1,512,980 • Projected Actual: $1,429,735 2014 IT Project Portfolio Close-out • The 2014 IT Project Portfolio will be closed on December 31, 2014. • Each project in the portfolio will be concluded, and no additional expenditures will be incurred for the 2014 IT Project Portfolio. California Earthquake Authority Governing Board Meeting December 17, 2014 This slide and all its contents are the property of the California Earthquake Authority. Copyright 2014 – all rights reserved. 132 Item 14: 2014 CEA IT Project Portfolio Update Completed Projects • Claims Reimbursement – High-volume claim-processing functionality and testing • Participating Insurers: Data Separation – Separated related PIs into two system entities • User Password Management – Enhance PI password management in EPICenter system • CMV – Cooperative Marketing Venture – IT support for CaliforniaRocks.com • Premium Calculator – Create reusable web-service version of CEA premium calculator • Public Website – IT support for new version of EarthquakeAuthority.com • CEA Employee Portal / Internal Website ("Shockwave") – New CEA intranet site • Marketing Value Program (MVP) 2014 – Updates to support-system for CEA’s agent-training • Concentric Data Warehouse – CEA policy- and claim-data warehouse • Convert Legacy Reports to Source from Concentric – Reporting updates • EPICenter 2.0 – Miscellaneous enhancements and updates to EPICenter system • EPICenter 3.0 – Develop service platform (“Seismic”) and future EPICenter product engine California Earthquake Authority Governing Board Meeting December 17, 2014 This slide and all its contents are the property of the California Earthquake Authority. Copyright 2014 – all rights reserved. 133 Item 14: 2014 CEA IT Project Portfolio Update Completed Projects (continued) • Centralized Policy Processing – Business Case – Information-gathering and RFP development • Great Plains (POC) / Upgrade – Upgrade financial system and migrate to hosted platform • 2013 Internal Audit Closure – Finalize IT internal audit from 2013 • PolicyTech Implementation – Select and implement system to manage internal policies • Disaster Recovery Plan Rewrite – Update DR documentation and test at new data centers • Project 1 – EPICenter Maintenance Fixes – High-priority defect corrections in EPICenter • PMO / IT Governance Tool (Clarizen) – Software for IT governance • Learning Management System – Search for and recommend a new LMS • Plan B (Claims Processing) – Support manual claim-processing in EPICenter disaster mode • Infrastructure Upgrade – Move CEA-IT infrastructure to enterprise-class data centers • CRMP / EBB Hosting Relocation – Migrate websites from third-party host • EQ Premiums and Coverages App (Android/iOS) – Develop agent/consumer mobile app California Earthquake Authority Governing Board Meeting December 17, 2014 This slide and all its contents are the property of the California Earthquake Authority. Copyright 2014 – all rights reserved. 134 Item 14: 2014 CEA IT Project Portfolio Update 2014 IT Project Portfolio Value • CEA IT infrastructure well positioned for security, reliability, and performance, going forward. • Insurance systems upgraded and tested for high-volume claim scenarios. • Web sites improved in design, content, and maintainability. • Data-warehouse systems established and providing business intelligence for Finance, Operations, and Communications. • CEA financial systems upgraded for efficiency and reliability. • New IT web service platform developed – will be used by all future systems, going forward, and is essential for the product rate-and-form filing. • Systems developed and implemented for enhanced marketing support for PIs, agents, and policyholders. • Internal systems implemented for improved governance, communication, and business continuity. California Earthquake Authority Governing Board Meeting December 17, 2014 This slide and all its contents are the property of the California Earthquake Authority. Copyright 2014 – all rights reserved. 135 Item 15: 2015 CEA IT Initiatives and Project Portfolio M r. Coombes will seek Board approval for the 2015 CEA IT Initiatives and Project Portfolio. California Earthquake Authority Governing Board Meeting December 17, 2014 This slide and all its contents are the property of the California Earthquake Authority. Copyright 2014 – all rights reserved. 136 Item 15: 2015 CEA IT Initiatives and Project Portfolio Proposed 2015 IT Project Portfolio • 17 technology-related initiatives from across the CEA, selected and prioritized by CEA department managers. • CEA Project Management Office (PMO) facilitated the development of the Portfolio and will manage projects and risks. • Majority of IT internal-development capacity will be dedicated to supporting and maintaining existing CEA systems. • Remaining IT internal-development capacity will be available for work on the 2015 IT Project Portfolio. • Additional temporary external contractors will be competitively procured (Boardapproved procurement system) to work on the Portfolio. • Estimated temporary external contractor expense is $877,000 (included in the 2015 CEA budget). • Governing Board will receive Quarterly Project Portfolio status reports, including a progress scorecard, expenditures update, change summary, and project-risk report. California Earthquake Authority Governing Board Meeting December 17, 2014 This slide and all its contents are the property of the California Earthquake Authority. Copyright 2014 – all rights reserved. 137 Item 15: 2015 CEA IT Initiatives and Project Portfolio Proposed 2015 IT Project Portfolio Project Number Project Name 2015-01 2015-02 2015-03 2015-04 2015-05 2015-06 2015-07 2015-08 2015-09 2015-10 2015-11 2015-12 2015-13 2015-14 2015-15 2015-16 2015-17 CEA Function CEA Policy Review and Implementation in PolicyTech Compliance Hotline Enterprise Content Management System (ECMS) HR Software Implementation Virtual Desktop Infrastructure (VDI) Implementation Litigation Management System Outside Counsel Management System Develop Agent Interface for Rate Calculator Customer Relationship Management (CRM) System Fault Flyover Map Development Migrate CEA Externally Hosted Websites to Internal MVP 2015/2016 Social Media Software Implemetation 2016 Rate and Form Change New Participating Insurer Setup Zip Code Management Solution Reinsurance Management System California Earthquake Authority Governing Board Meeting Compliance Compliance Compliance HR IT Legal Services Legal Services Marketing Marketing Marketing Marketing Marketing Marketing Operations Operations Operations Reinsurance External Cost $ $ $ 77,980.00 121,380.00 50,960.00 $ $ $ $ $ $ $ $ $ 52,920.00 45,500.00 140,000.00 22,580.00 35,000.00 15,260.00 170,240.00 19,600.00 112,000.00 $ $ 13,580.00 877,000.00 December 17, 2014 This slide and all its contents are the property of the California Earthquake Authority. Copyright 2014 – all rights reserved. 138 Item 15: 2015 CEA IT Initiatives and Project Portfolio 2015 IT Project Portfolio Value • Assist in selection and implementation of business software for HR, Legal and Compliance, Communications, and Finance. • Technology support for CEA Compliance to review and update company policies, establish a Compliance Hotline, and implement automated records retention and management. • Implement Virtual Desktop Interface solution for improved security and portability of desktop computing across the CEA. • Continue to improve CEA websites, with focus on design, content, and internal support and management. • Technology assistance to CEA Marketing for agent-training, sales support, and GIS mapping. • CEA Operations technology support on rate-and-form filing, adding a new participating insurer, and insurance-system enhancements. California Earthquake Authority Governing Board Meeting December 17, 2014 This slide and all its contents are the property of the California Earthquake Authority. Copyright 2014 – all rights reserved. 139 Item 16: Update on IT Infrastructure Upgrade M r. Coombes will update the Board on progress on upgrading CEA IT Infrastructure. California Earthquake Authority Governing Board Meeting December 17, 2014 This slide and all its contents are the property of the California Earthquake Authority. Copyright 2014 – all rights reserved. 140 Item 16: Update on IT Infrastructure Upgrade Data-Center Co-location Services • On May 15, 2014, CEA issued RFQ #4-14, seeking competitive bids on co-location data-center facilities for a three-year term. • RagingWire Data Centers, Inc., was selected. • CEA contracted with RagingWire for enterprise primary and secondary data-center co-location services, including access to secured datacenter space and use of shared facility resources such as electrical power, air conditioning, fire suppression, communications, and support. Hardware Procurement • On May 15, 2014, the CEA issued RFP #5-14, seeking competitive bids for a three-year lease on IT-infrastructure hardware. • CDW Corporation was selected. • CEA contracted with CDW for hardware procurement for IT network, server, data storage, and related purposes, for use at the enterprise primary and secondary co-location data centers. CEA also signed a contract with CDW’s lease provider (IBM Corporation) for the threeyear lease of IT hardware, with $0 buy-out at lease-end. California Earthquake Authority Governing Board Meeting December 17, 2014 This slide and all its contents are the property of the California Earthquake Authority. Copyright 2014 – all rights reserved. 141 Item 16: Update on IT Infrastructure Upgrade Implementation • CEA worked with RagingWire to receive and install IT network, server, data storage, and related hardware, first at the primary Sacramento data center and then at the secondary Ashburn, Virginia, data center. • CEA also worked with its data-communications provider to establish high-speed data connections between CEA offices and RagingWire Sacramento, and between RagingWire Sacramento and RagingWire Ashburn. • Production, test, and development computing environments were created and tested in both data centers. • CEA collaborated with a consulting firm to document and test new disaster-recovery protocols between the primary and secondary data centers. Transition • Final testing is underway to validate both data-center implementations. • Transition to the upgraded IT infrastructure and new computing environments is scheduled to occur in December, pending successful environment-testing results. California Earthquake Authority Governing Board Meeting December 17, 2014 This slide and all its contents are the property of the California Earthquake Authority. Copyright 2014 – all rights reserved. 142 Item 17: Concept for Centralizing CEA Policy-Processing M r. Coombes will present to the Board a concept for centralizing CEA insurance-policy processing. California Earthquake Authority Governing Board Meeting December 17, 2014 This slide and all its contents are the property of the California Earthquake Authority. Copyright 2014 – all rights reserved. 143 Item 17: Concept for Centralizing CEA Policy-Processing Challenges • Each PI has unique systems and processes for the same CEA earthquake policy. • Difficulty implementing CEA policy and rate changes at each PI. • Keeping CEA’s data in sync with each respective PI’s data. • Visibility of information. • Access to innovation. • Costs. California Earthquake Authority Governing Board Meeting December 17, 2014 This slide and all its contents are the property of the California Earthquake Authority. Copyright 2014 – all rights reserved. 144 Item 17: Concept for Centralizing CEA Policy-Processing Solution Objectives for Centralized Policy Processing (CPP) • One system for all CEA policies, across PIs. • Cost reduction through economies of scale. • Minimize impact of CEA policy changes. • Standard framework with configurable options. • Built-in data synchronization. • Information visibility and integration. • New technologies and best practices. California Earthquake Authority Governing Board Meeting December 17, 2014 This slide and all its contents are the property of the California Earthquake Authority. Copyright 2014 – all rights reserved. 145 Item 17: Concept for Centralizing CEA Policy-Processing Evaluation of Solution Alternatives • Formed CPP Working Group, including participating insurers. • Conducted a CPP questionnaire and follow-up phone calls with PIs. • Issued software- and service-vendor Request for Information (RFI). • Reviewed all feedback and identified three different solution models. • Developing Request for Proposal (RFP) for each solution model. • Will evaluate RFP responses and make a recommendation. • Recommendation in the first quarter of 2015. California Earthquake Authority Governing Board Meeting December 17, 2014 This slide and all its contents are the property of the California Earthquake Authority. Copyright 2014 – all rights reserved. 146 Item 18: Request for Qualifications and Proposals D irector of Policy, Research & Special Projects Bruce Patton will present and describe a planned Request for Qualifications and Proposals for conducting research to support CEA’s ongoing effort to quantify the performance effects of bracing cripple walls and anchoring mud sills. California Earthquake Authority Governing Board Meeting December 17, 2014 This slide and all its contents are the property of the California Earthquake Authority. Copyright 2014 – all rights reserved. 147 Item 19: 2015 CEA Business Implementation Plan M r. Pomeroy will present the 2015 CEA Business Implementation Plan for Board consideration and approval. California Earthquake Authority Governing Board Meeting December 17, 2014 This slide and all its contents are the property of the California Earthquake Authority. Copyright 2014 – all rights reserved. 148 Item 19: 2015 CEA Business Implementation Plan California Earthquake Authority 2015 Business Implementation Plan Execute Strategic Mission The California Earthquake Authority is California’s not-for-profit, public provider of residential earthquake insurance—publicly managed and privately funded, with programs to encourage and support effective action to reduce the risk of earthquake damage and loss. GOAL ONE: Educate. Help Californians learn about their seismic risks in order to prepare for, survive, and recover from damaging earthquakes. GOAL TWO: Mitigate. Encourage Californians to take action by strengthening their homes and securing their belongings in order to reduce their risk of earthquake damage. GOAL THREE: Insure. Help Californians understand—and quantify and actively manage, using CEA insurance products—their risk of financial loss from damaging earthquakes. California Earthquake Authority Governing Board Meeting December 17, 2014 This slide and all its contents are the property of the California Earthquake Authority. Copyright 2014 – all rights reserved. 149 Item 20: 2015 CEA Budgets: Insurance Services M r. Pomeroy and Mr. Richison will present the Proposed 2015 Insurance Services Budget. California Earthquake Authority Governing Board Meeting December 17, 2014 This slide and all its contents are the property of the California Earthquake Authority. Copyright 2014 – all rights reserved. 150 Item 20: 2015 CEA Budgets: Insurance Services 2015 Budget 2014 Projected Premium: $608M • 2014 Budget: $353.3M • 2014 Projected expenditures: $352.6M 2015 Projected Premium: $616M • 2015 Proposed Budget: $347M California Earthquake Authority Governing Board Meeting December 17, 2014 This slide and all its contents are the property of the California Earthquake Authority. Copyright 2014 – all rights reserved. 151 Item 20: 2015 CEA Budgets: Insurance Services 2015 CEA Budget: $347M Risk Transfer: $210.2M Agent Commissions: $61.7M Statutory Expenses: $23.9M PI Admin Fees: $19.1M Marketing Expenses: $11.2M Capital Markets: $9.4M Legal Services: $7M California Earthquake Authority Governing Board Meeting December 17, 2014 This slide and all its contents are the property of the California Earthquake Authority. Copyright 2014 – all rights reserved. 152 Item 20: 2015 CEA Budgets: Insurance Services 2015 Statutory Expenses Compared to Previous Method AB: 2064 California Earthquake Authority Governing Board Meeting December 17, 2014 This slide and all its contents are the property of the California Earthquake Authority. Copyright 2014 – all rights reserved. 153 Item 20: 2015 CEA Budgets: Insurance Services 2015 Budget: Previous Method 2014 Operating Expense Budget: $15.5M 2014 Projected Operating Expense Expenditures: $13.8M 2015 Proposed Operating Expense Budget: $17.9M California Earthquake Authority Governing Board Meeting December 17, 2014 This slide and all its contents are the property of the California Earthquake Authority. Copyright 2014 – all rights reserved. 154 Item 20: 2015 CEA Budgets: Insurance Services 2014 Budget: Previous Method 2014 Operating Expense Budget: $15.5M 2014 Projected Operating Expense Expenditures: $13.8M 1. Salaries and benefits lower than anticipated 2. Planned office expansion did not happen California Earthquake Authority Governing Board Meeting December 17, 2014 This slide and all its contents are the property of the California Earthquake Authority. Copyright 2014 – all rights reserved. 155 Item 20: 2015 CEA Budgets: Insurance Services 2015 Budget: Previous Method 2014 Projected Operating Expense Expenditures: $13.8M 2015 Proposed Operating Expense Budget: $17.9M 1. Unfilled or partially filled 2014 positions expected to be filled in 2015 2. Office expansion will take place in 2015 California Earthquake Authority Governing Board Meeting December 17, 2014 This slide and all its contents are the property of the California Earthquake Authority. Copyright 2014 – all rights reserved. 156 Item 20: 2015 CEA Budgets: Insurance Services Statutory Cap: Old and New Methods (for 2015) 2015 Projected Premium: $616M Old Method: • 3% of $616M: $18.5M • Operating Expenses: $17.9M New Method: • 6% of $616M: $37M • Statutory Expenses: $23.9M California Earthquake Authority Governing Board Meeting December 17, 2014 This slide and all its contents are the property of the California Earthquake Authority. Copyright 2014 – all rights reserved. 157 Item 20: 2015 CEA Budgets: Insurance Services Attachment A: Budgeted to Actual Expenditures 2014 Insurance Services Budget (a) (b) (c) (d) (e) (f) (d=a+b+c) (g) (h) (i) (g=e+f) (h=d-g) (i=g/d) Augmented & Adjusted Approved Budget (d) vs. Approved Salaries & Benefits 2014 Budget after Actual Projected Actual and Projected Actual & Projected Percentage used of 2014 Budget Adjustments Augmentations Augmentations Expenditures Expenditures Expenses Expenses (g) Augmented & Adjusted 1/1/2014 thru 12/31/2014 thru 12/31/2014 and Adjustments as of 10/31/14 11/1/2014 to 12/31/2014 at 12/31/14 at 12/31/14 Approved 2014 Budget 1,395,197 88.05% Rent 753,615 20,000 - 773,615 624,666 146,055 770,721 2,894 99.63% Travel 405,987 - - 405,987 263,813 60,940 324,753 81,234 79.99% 2,000 - - 2,000 - - - 2,000 0.00% Telecommunications 181,140 - - 181,140 149,664 29,460 179,124 2,016 98.89% Training 285,719 - - 285,719 149,593 51,382 200,975 84,744 70.34% Insurance 167,500 50,000 - 217,500 163,381 53,939 217,320 180 99.92% 35,000 - - 35,000 10,251 7,827 18,078 16,922 51.65% 1,268,015 (645,000) - 623,015 254,058 209,988 464,046 158,969 74.48% Other Administrative Services 34,885 - - 34,885 25,016 8,059 33,075 - 94.81% Furniture/Equipment 47,600 - - 47,600 29,981 17,387 47,368 232 99.51% 689,665 470,000 - 1,159,665 915,004 243,315 1,158,319 1,346 99.88% 50 105,000 - 105,050 3,450 99,890 103,340 1,710 98.37% 15,551,175 $ 11,066,928 1,747,444 88.75% Non-paid Consultant Travel Board/Panel Services Administration & Office $ 11,679,999 $ - $ - $ 11,679,999 $ 8,478,051 $ 1,806,751 $ 10,284,802 $ (Printing & Stationery, Postage) EDP Hardware/Software Dept of Insurance Examination Total Operating Expenses $ 15,551,175 $ - $ - $ $ 2,734,993 $ 13,801,921 $ Consulting Services Claims 10,000 - - 10,000 10,000 - 10,000 - 100.00% 150,000 - - 150,000 - 10,000 10,000 140,000 6.67% Executive Recruiting 75,000 - - 75,000 - - - 75,000 0.00% Financial Consulting 260,000 - - 260,000 113,174 96,826 210,000 50,000 80.77% Government Relations 190,000 - - 190,000 94,500 76,500 171,000 19,000 90.00% Human Resources 395,000 - - 395,000 82,031 57,969 140,000 255,000 35.44% Information Systems 145,000 - - 145,000 23,757 95,000 118,757 26,243 81.90% Internal Audit 50,000 - - 50,000 - 10,000 10,000 40,000 20.00% Investment Compliance 40,000 - - 40,000 - 2,500 2,500 37,500 6.25% 100,000 - - 100,000 19,571 80,429 100,000 - 100.00% 53,538 71.82% 696,281 56.62% Compliance Public Relations Other Consulting Services Total Consulting Services 190,000 $ 1,605,000 California Earthquake Authority $ - $ - 190,000 $ 1,605,000 20,825 $ 363,858 115,637 $ Governing Board Meeting 544,861 136,462 $ 908,719 $ December 17, 2014 This slide and all its contents are the property of the California Earthquake Authority. Copyright 2014 – all rights reserved. 158 Item 20: 2015 CEA Budgets: Insurance Services Attachment A: Budgeted to Actual Expenditures 2014 Insurance Services Budget (continued) (a) (b) (c) (d) (e) (f) (d=a+b+c) (g) (h) (i) (g=e+f) (h=d-g) (i=g/d) Augmented & Adjusted Approved Budget (d) vs. Approved 2014 Budget after Actual Projected Actual and Projected Actual & Projected Percentage used of Adjustments Augmentations Augmentations Expenditures Expenditures Expenses Expenses (g) Augmented & Adjusted 1/1/2014 thru 12/31/2014 thru 12/31/2014 and Adjustments as of 10/31/14 11/1/2014 to 12/31/2014 at 12/31/14 at 12/31/14 Approved 2014 Budget 2014 Budget Contracted Services Agent Services 70,000 - - 70,000 43,246 - 43,246 26,754 61.78% Audit Services 109,000 - - 109,000 92,500 16,500 109,000 - 100.00% 2,591,005 - 273,466 2,864,471 1,231,014 1,427,792 2,658,806 205,665 92.82% 300,000 - - 300,000 - 50,000 50,000 250,000 16.67% Legal Service - Non-Claims 7,355,000 - - 7,355,000 1,620,182 2,909,805 4,529,987 2,825,013 61.59% Marketing Services 8,878,000 - - 8,878,000 2,887,891 5,971,979 8,859,870 18,130 99.80% Modeling Services 711,000 - - 711,000 484,750 226,250 711,000 - 100.00% IT Services1 Legal Services-Claims Counsel Rating Agencies 197,350 - - 197,350 197,300 - 197,300 50 99.97% 3,106,214 - - 3,106,214 2,365,915 500,865 2,866,780 239,434 92.29% Other Contracted Services 50,000 - - 50,000 - 3,000 3,000 47,000 6.00% Total Contracted Services $ 23,367,569 3,612,046 84.72% Staffing Services - Support and Admin Research $ - $ 273,466 $ 23,641,035 $ 8,922,798 $ 11,106,191 $ 20,028,989 $ 200,000 - - 200,000 198,099 - 198,099 1,901 99.05% Participating Insurer Commissions 56,742,287 - - 56,742,287 51,118,918 9,720,461 60,839,379 (4,097,092) 107.22% Participating Insurer Operating Costs 17,533,367 - - 17,533,367 15,774,342 3,003,622 18,777,964 (1,244,597) 107.10% Investment Expenses 2,422,156 - - 2,422,156 1,846,896 575,260 2,422,156 - 100.00% Financing Expenses2 5,079,788 - 8,350,000 13,429,788 4,734,929 8,694,859 13,429,788 - 100.00% 222,221,550 - - 222,221,550 164,762,458 57,459,092 222,221,550 - 100.00% 353,346,358 $ 258,789,226 715,982 99.80% Risk Transfer Total Expenditures $ 344,722,892 $ - $ 1Augmentation due to board approved upgrade in CEA IT infrastructure. 2Augmentation for 2006 bonds interest expenses and 2014 bonds transaction expenses California Earthquake Authority 8,623,466 $ $ Governing Board Meeting 93,839,339 $ 352,628,565 $ December 17, 2014 This slide and all its contents are the property of the California Earthquake Authority. Copyright 2014 – all rights reserved. 159 Item 20: 2015 CEA Budgets: Insurance Services Attachment B: Proposed 2015 Budget 2015 Insurance Services Budget Statutory Expenses Human Resources: Compensation and Benefits 16,670,520 Travel 472,338 Other 1,094,827 Board Meetings 33,000 Administration & Office 1,198,429 EDP Hardware 115,270 EDP Software 1,204,490 Information Technology 1,255,830 Telecommunications 241,714 Rent/Lease 876,749 Compliance 10,000 Government Affairs 298,000 Insurance 189,138 Internal Audit 50,000 Intervener Fees - Other 3,000 Regulatory Expenses 150,000 Total Statutory Expenses California Earthquake Authority 23,863,305 Governing Board Meeting December 17, 2014 This slide and all its contents are the property of the California Earthquake Authority. Copyright 2014 – all rights reserved. 160 Item 20: 2015 CEA Budgets: Insurance Services Attachment B: Proposed 2015 Budget Non-Statutory Expenses Audit Services 109,000 Capital Market 9,400,500 Claims 10,000 Loans - Grants - Investment Services 3,174,856 Legal Services 6,967,920 Loss-Modeling 961,500 Marketing Servies 11,179,355 Producer Compensation 61,684,374 Participating Insurer Operating Costs 19,060,471 Seismic Related Research 100,000 Engineering Related Research 250,000 Risk Transfer 210,213,580 Total Budgeted Expenditures California Earthquake Authority 346,974,861 Governing Board Meeting December 17, 2014 This slide and all its contents are the property of the California Earthquake Authority. Copyright 2014 – all rights reserved. 161 Item 20: 2015 CEA Budgets: Insurance Services Attachment C: Approved 2014 Budget Compared to Proposed 2015 Budget (a) (b) Final Salaries & Benefits Rent Travel Non-paid Consultant Travel Telecommunications Training Insurance $ Board/Panel Services Administration & Office (Printing & Stationery, Postage) Other Administrative Services Furniture/Equipment EDP Hardware/Software Dept of Insurance Examination Total Operating Expenses California Earthquake Authority $ (d) (c=b-a) (d=c/a) Difference % Change 1,297,915 25,134 63,851 500 60,574 135,826 21,638 11% 3% 16% 25% 33% 48% 13% Proposed 2014 Budget 2015 Budget 12/31/2014 2014 Format* 11,679,999 753,615 405,987 2,000 181,140 285,719 167,500 (c) $ 12,977,914 778,749 469,838 2,500 241,714 421,545 189,138 $ 35,000 33,000 (2,000) (6%) 1,268,015 731,006 (537,009) (42%) 34,885 47,600 689,665 50 4,305 497,400 1,319,760 150,000 (30,580) 449,800 630,095 149,950 (88%) >100% 91% >100% 2,265,694 15% 15,551,175 Governing Board Meeting $ 17,816,869 $ December 17, 2014 This slide and all its contents are the property of the California Earthquake Authority. Copyright 2014 – all rights reserved. 162 Item 20: 2015 CEA Budgets: Insurance Services Attachment C: Approved 2014 Budget Compared to Proposed 2015 Budget (continued) (a) (b) (c) (d) (c=b-a) (d=c/a) Final Proposed 2014 Budget 2015 Budget 12/31/2014 2014 Format* Difference % Change 0% Consulting Services Actuarial - - - 10,000 10,000 - 0% 150,000 10,000 (140,000) (93%) Executive Recruiting 75,000 100,000 25,000 33% Financial Consulting 260,000 391,000 131,000 50% Government Relations 190,000 298,000 108,000 57% Human Resources 395,000 600,000 205,000 52% Information Systems 145,000 - (145,000) (100%) Internal Audit 50,000 50,000 - 0% Investment Compliance 40,000 40,000 - 0% 100,000 - (100,000) (100%) Claims Compliance Public Relations Other Consulting Services 190,000 Total Consulting Services 1,605,000 $ - (190,000) (100%) 1,499,000 (106,000) (7%) >100% Contracted Services Agent Services 70,000 197,600 127,600 Audit Services 109,000 109,000 - 0% 2,864,471 2,047,030 (817,441) (29%) IT Services Legal Services-Claims Counsel 300,000 300,000 - 0% Legal Service - Non-Claims 7,355,000 6,540,000 (815,000) (11%) Marketing Services 8,878,000 10,909,255 2,031,255 23% Modeling Services 711,000 961,500 250,500 35% Rating Agencies 197,350 203,200 5,850 3% 3,106,214 3,732,606 626,392 20% Staffing Services - Support and Admin Other Contracted Services 50,000 Total Contracted Services 23,641,035 - (50,000) (100%) 25,000,191 1,359,156 6% 200,000 350,000 150,000 75% Participating Insurer Commissions 56,742,287 61,684,374 4,942,087 9% Participating Insurer Operating Costs 17,533,367 19,060,471 1,527,104 9% 2,422,156 2,366,656 (55,500) (2%) Research Investment Expenses Financing Expenses * $ 13,429,788 9,197,300 (4,232,488) (32%) Risk Transfer 222,221,550 210,000,000 (12,221,550) (5%) Total Expenditures 353,346,358 346,974,861 (6,371,497) (2%) In this view, 2015 budget numbers are categorized and shown using 2014-CEA-budget format. California Earthquake Authority Governing Board Meeting $ December 17, 2014 This slide and all its contents are the property of the California Earthquake Authority. Copyright 2014 – all rights reserved. 163 Item 20: 2015 CEA Budgets: Insurance Services 2015 CEA Budgets: Insurance Services RECOMMENDATIONS: Staff recommends that the Board take the following actions: • Approve the proposed 2015 Insurance Services budget; and • Direct staff to operate the CEA business within the total approved budget amounts. California Earthquake Authority Governing Board Meeting December 17, 2014 This slide and all its contents are the property of the California Earthquake Authority. Copyright 2014 – all rights reserved. 164 Item 21: 2015 CEA Budgets: Mitigation M s. Maffei and Mr. Richison will present the Proposed 2015 Mitigation Budget. California Earthquake Authority Governing Board Meeting December 17, 2014 This slide and all its contents are the property of the California Earthquake Authority. Copyright 2014 – all rights reserved. 165 Item 21: 2015 CEA Budgets: Mitigation Attachment A: Budgeted to Actual Expenditures 2014 Mitigation Budget (a) (b) (c) (d) (d=a+b+c) (e) (f) (g) (g=e+f) 2014 Budget after Actual Projected Actual and Projected (h) (h=d-g) Augmented & Adjusted (i) (i=g/d) Approved Budget (d) vs. Approved Salaries & Benefits Rent Travel Non-paid Consultant Travel Telecommunications Training Insurance Board/Panel Services Administration & Office Actual & Projected Percentage used of 2014 Budget Adjustments Augmentations Augmentations Expenditures Expenditures Expenses Expenses (g) Augmented & Adjusted 1/1/2014 thru 12/31/2014 thru 12/31/2014 and Adjustments as of 10/31/14 11/1/2014 to 12/31/2014 at 12/31/14 at 12/31/14 Approved 2014 Budget $ $ 248,764 2,508 21,241 5,000 3,868 12,375 70,801 61.57% 92.43% 57.52% 0.00% 64.19% 45.91% 0.00% 0.00% 37.12% 611 861 38.90% 0.00% $ (Software Maint & Support, Printing & Stationery, Postage) Furniture/Equipment EDP Hardware/Software 647,379 33,120 50,000 5,000 10,800 22,880 113,600 $ 1,000 - (1,000) 1,000 - - 647,379 33,120 50,000 5,000 10,800 22,880 112,600 $ 1,000 1,000 317,533 26,271 20,971 5,355 10,005 29,324 $ 389 139 81,082 4,341 7,788 1,577 500 12,475 - Total Operating Expenses $ 883,779 $ - $ - $ 883,779 $ 409,987 $ 107,763 Consulting Services Other Consulting Services Total Consulting Services $ 100,000 100,000 $ - $ - $ 100,000 100,000 $ - $ - Contracted Services Legal Services - Non-Claims Mitigation Projects Staffing Services - Support and Admin Other Contracted Services Total Contracted Services $ CRMP Contribution Investment Expenses Total Expenditures $ $ 398,615 30,612 28,759 6,932 10,505 41,799 $ 389 139 $ $ 517,750 $ 366,029 58.58% - $ 100,000 100,000 0.00% 0.00% 50,000 850,000 - - 50,000 850,000 106,264 259,128 365,392 50,000 484,608 0.00% 42.99% 222,436 50,000 1,172,436 - - 222,436 50,000 1,172,436 75,731 181,995 20,003 279,131 95,734 461,126 126,702 50,000 711,310 43.04% 0.00% 39.33% $ $ $ $ $ $ $ - - - - - - - - 0.00% 16,800 - - 16,800 17,209 4,141 21,350 (4,550) 127.08% 1,172,789 46.03% 2,173,015 $ California Earthquake Authority - $ - $ 2,173,015 $ 609,191 $ Governing Board Meeting 391,035 $ 1,000,226 $ December 17, 2014 This slide and all its contents are the property of the California Earthquake Authority. Copyright 2014 – all rights reserved. 166 Item 21: 2015 CEA Budgets: Mitigation Attachment B: Proposed 2015 Mitigation Budget 2015 Mitigation Budget Operating Expenses Human Resources: Compensation and Benefits Travel Other Board Meetings Administration & Office EDP Hardware EDP Software Information Technology Telecommunications Rent/Lease Compliance Government Affairs Insurance Internal Audit Intervener Fees Other Regulatory Expenses 1,219,169 47,500 19,000 69,600 1,500 700 - Total Operating Expenses 1,357,469 California Earthquake Authority Governing Board Meeting December 17, 2014 This slide and all its contents are the property of the California Earthquake Authority. Copyright 2014 – all rights reserved. 167 Item 21: 2015 CEA Budgets: Mitigation Attachment B: Proposed 2015 Mitigation Budget Other Expenses Audit Services - Capital Market - Claims - Loans - Grants - Investment Services 28,400 Legal Services 50,000 Loss-Modeling - Marketing Servies 38,000 Producer Compensation - Participating Insurer Operating Costs - Seismic Related Research 19,000 Engineering Related Research 1,019,000 Risk Transfer - Total Budgeted Expenditures California Earthquake Authority 2,511,869 Governing Board Meeting December 17, 2014 This slide and all its contents are the property of the California Earthquake Authority. Copyright 2014 – all rights reserved. 168 Item 21: 2015 CEA Budgets: Mitigation Attachment C: Approved 2014 Budget compared to proposed 2015 Mitigation Budget (a) (b) Final Proposed 2014 Budget 2015 Budget 12/31/2014 Salaries & Benefits $ 647,379 2014 Format* $ 1,219,169 $ (c) (d) (c=b-a) (d=c/a) Difference % Change 571,790 88% Rent 33,120 700 (32,420) (98%) Travel 50,000 45,000 (5,000) (10%) 5,000 2,500 (2,500) (50%) Telecommunications 10,800 1,500 (9,300) (86%) Training 22,880 19,000 (3,880) (17%) - - 0% Non-paid Consultant Travel Insurance Administration & Office (Software Maint & Support, Printing & Stationery, Postage) Furniture/Equipment EDP Hardware/Software Total Operating Expenses $ - 0% 113,600 69,600 (44,000) (39%) 1,000 - (1,000) (100%) - - - 0% 473,690 54% (100,000) (100%) (100,000) (100%) 883,779 $ 1,357,469 $ Consulting Services Other Consulting Services 100,000 Total Consulting Services $ 100,000 $ - $ Contracted Services Legal Services - Non-Claims 50,000 50,000 - 0% Mitigation Projects 850,000 1,076,000 226,000 27% Staffing Services - Support and Admin 222,436 (222,436) (100%) (50,000) (100%) (46,436) (4%) Other Contracted Services 50,000 Total Contracted Services $ CRMP Contribution Investment Expenses Total Expenditures $ * In this view, 2015 budget numbers are categorized and shown California Earthquake Authority 1,172,436 $ 1,126,000 $ - - - 0% 16,800 28,400 - 0% 338,854 16% 2,173,015 $ 2,511,869 $ using 2014-CEA-budget format. Governing Board Meeting December 17, 2014 This slide and all its contents are the property of the California Earthquake Authority. Copyright 2014 – all rights reserved. 169 Item 21: 2015 CEA Budgets: Mitigation 2015 CEA Budgets: Mitigation RECOMMENDATIONS: Staff recommends that the Board take the following actions: • Approve the proposed 2015 Mitigation budget; and • Direct staff to operate the CEA’s mitigation-related activities within the total approved budget amounts. California Earthquake Authority Governing Board Meeting December 17, 2014 This slide and all its contents are the property of the California Earthquake Authority. Copyright 2014 – all rights reserved. 170 Item 22: Organizational and Staff Performance Metrics M r. Pomeroy will update the Board on the development of organizational and staff performance metrics for the CEA. California Earthquake Authority Governing Board Meeting December 17, 2014 This slide and all its contents are the property of the California Earthquake Authority. Copyright 2014 – all rights reserved. 171 Item 23: 2015 Governing Board meeting calendar M r. Pomeroy will present for Board consideration and approval the 2015 Governing Board meeting calendar. California Earthquake Authority Governing Board Meeting December 17, 2014 This slide and all its contents are the property of the California Earthquake Authority. Copyright 2014 – all rights reserved. 172 Item 23: 2015 Governing Board meeting calendar All meetings are on a Thursday and begin at 1:00 p.m. February 19, 2015 May 21, 2015 August 27, 2015 December 17, 2015 California Earthquake Authority Governing Board Meeting December 17, 2014 This slide and all its contents are the property of the California Earthquake Authority. Copyright 2014 – all rights reserved. 173 Item 24: Closed session: Personnel Matters and Litigation Matters T he Board will meet in closed session to discuss personnel matters and litigation matters, as permitted by California Government Code section 11126, subdivisions (a) and (e), respectively. California Earthquake Authority Governing Board Meeting December 17, 2014 This slide and all its contents are the property of the California Earthquake Authority. Copyright 2014 – all rights reserved. 174 Item 25: Public Comment P ublic comment on items that do not appear on this agenda and public requests that those matters be placed on a future agenda. California Earthquake Authority Governing Board Meeting December 17, 2014 This slide and all its contents are the property of the California Earthquake Authority. Copyright 2014 – all rights reserved. 175 Item 26: Adjournment T hank you for attending this meeting of the California Earthquake Authority Governing Board. GENERAL INFORMATION: Marc Keller (916) 661-5000 Toll free (877) 797-4300 California Earthquake Authority MEDIA CONTACT: Chris Nance Chief Communications Officer (916) 661-5521 nancec@calquake.com Governing Board Meeting December 17, 2014 This slide and all its contents are the property of the California Earthquake Authority. Copyright 2014 – all rights reserved. 176
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