Joe Kaeser | President and CEO Disciplined execution of Vision 2020 Commerzbank German Investment Seminar New York York, January 12 12, 2015 © Siemens AG 2015 Notes and forward-looking statements This document contains statements related to our future business and financial p performance and future events or developments p involving g Siemens that may y constitute forward-looking statements. These statements may be identified by words such as “expect,” “look forward to,” “anticipate” “intend,” “plan,” “believe,” “seek,” “estimate,” “will,” “project” or words of similar meaning. We may also make forward-looking statements in other reports, in presentations, in material delivered to shareholders and in press releases. In addition, our representatives may from time to time make oral forward-looking statements. Such statements are based on the current expectations and certain assumptions of Siemens’ management, of which many are beyond Siemens’ control. These are subject to a number of risks, uncertainties and factors, including, but not limited to those described in disclosures, in particular in the chapter Risks in the Annual Report. y g expectations p not occur or assumptions p p prove incorrect,, actual results,, Should one or more of these risks or uncertainties materialize,, or should underlying performance or achievements of Siemens may (negatively or positively) vary materially from those described explicitly or implicitly in the relevant forward-looking statement. Siemens neither intends, nor assumes any obligation, to update or revise these forward-looking statements in light of developments which differ from those anticipated. This document includes – in IFRS not clearly defined – supplemental financial measures that are or may be non-GAAP financial measures. These supplemental financial measures should not be viewed in isolation or as alternatives to measures of Siemens’ net assets and financial positions or results of operations as presented in accordance with IFRS in its Consolidated Financial Statements Statements. Other companies that report or describe similarly titled financial measures may calculate them differently. All underlying margins are calculated by adjusting margins for the effects reported for the respective businesses in the relevant period. These effects are provided to assist in the analysis of the businesses' results year-over-year and may vary from period to period. Underlying margins are not necessarily indicative of future performance. Other companies may calculate similar measures differently. Due to rounding, g, numbers presented p throughout g this and other documents may y not add up pp precisely y to the totals p provided and p percentages g may y not p precisely y reflect the absolute figures. © Siemens AG 2015 Page 2 New York, January 12, 2015 Commerzbank German Investment Seminar | Joe Kaeser, Siemens CEO Siemens at a glance Divisional structure (as of Oct 1st, 2014) and Revenue / Profit FY 2014 Power and G Gas Wind P Power and d Renewabl. Power G Generation i Services €12.7bn €5.6bn €2.2bn 17.4% €0.0bn 0.1% Part of PG and W WP Industrial Business Energy M Management Building T h l Technologies Mobility Digital F Factory Process I d Industries i and Drives Healthcare ( (separately l managed) Financial S i Services €10.7bn €5.6bn €7.2bn €9.2bn €9.6bn €11.7bn Assets €22.0bn €22 0bn -€0.1bn -0.8% €0.5bn 9.2% €0.5bn 7.3% €1.7bn 18.3% €0.8bn 8.0% €2.1bn 17.7% IBIT €0.5bn FY 2010 FY 2011 FY 2012 FY 2013 FY 2014 Revenue1) 65.1 69.6 74.7 73.4 71.9 N t iincome Net 39 3.9 59 5.9 43 4.3 44 4.4 55 5.5 EPS (basic) in € 4.28 6.55 4.74 5.08 6.37 Free Cash Flow 7.1 5.3 4.7 5.3 5.2 Key Figures in €bn 1) Continuing operations © Siemens AG 2015 Page 3 New York, January 12, 2015 Commerzbank German Investment Seminar | Joe Kaeser, Siemens CEO Siemens – Vision 2020 Value creation & Cultural change Value Scale up Strengthen core Drive performance Foster ownership culture and leadership based on common values 2015 Strategic direction ✓ 2016 Operational consolidation 2017 Optimization 2018 2019 2020 Accelerated growth and outperformance © Siemens AG 2015 Page 4 New York, January 12, 2015 Commerzbank German Investment Seminar | Joe Kaeser, Siemens CEO On track to deliver mid-term cost savings of €1bn through simplification Target Drive performance Key actions Functional cost reduction ~€1bn FY 2014 R additional dditi l llayers (Cl (Clusters, t Sectors) S t ) • Remove • Combine certain Divisions and Businesses ✓ ✓ • Stringent management governance through all levels of the organization (Corporate Core) FY 2015 • Optimization and bundling of Corporate Services FY 2015 • Final agreements with key stakeholders Mid 2015 Target Positively impacting FY 2016, y effective in FY 2017 fully © Siemens AG 2015 Page 5 New York, January 12, 2015 Commerzbank German Investment Seminar | Joe Kaeser, Siemens CEO Clear progress in fixing underperforming businesses Portfolio analysis Drive performance Execution Feb 2015 Strategic review Mar 2015 Decide on resource allocation Sep 2017 Businesses fixed Fix ourselves Cluster "underperforming businesses"1) Revenue Profit 18% none • Low Voltage and Products Joint Venture or partner with others • Metals Technologies Divest to better owners • Healthcare IT • Water Technologies 1) Internal analysis, May 2014 © Siemens AG 2015 Page 6 New York, January 12, 2015 Commerzbank German Investment Seminar | Joe Kaeser, Siemens CEO Executing Vision 2020 Capital allocation along strategic imperatives ✓ Strengthen core Healthcare IT Divestment to Cerner for US$1.3bn announced Aero-derivative gas turbines and compressors £785m purchase price and £200m for exclusive access to t long-term l t aero-technology developments Microbiology 'Siemens – Vision 2020' Divestment to Beckman Coulter for US$ ~450m announced Audiology Divestment to EQT for €2.15bn announced W t Technologies Water T h l i Divestment to AEA Partners 1| Areas of growth? Compressors, turbines and d engines i for f Oil & Gas US$83 per share, total consideration of US$7.6bn 2| Potential profit pool? 3| Why Siemens? © Siemens AG 2015 Page 7 New York, January 12, 2015 Joint Venture Primetals Technologies with MHI B/S/H/ 4| Synergetic value? 5| Paradigm shifts? Metals Technologies g Divestment of 50% share to Bosch Equity value €3.25bn – thereof €3.0bn cash purchase price and €250m dividend & special dividend Underperforming businesses ✓ ✓ ✓ Decision along imperatives Commerzbank German Investment Seminar | Joe Kaeser, Siemens CEO Scale up Acquisitions on track – Synergies exceed initial targets Targets are a perfect fit • Complementary ADGT and compressor portfolio and geographic footprint g customer p pull and references • Oil & Gas brand strength, • Large installed fleet with secured service revenues Step up in Oil & Gas business Drive decentralized energy focus Synergies y g to exceed initial estimates • Synergy drivers include sales, manufacturing, supply chain and technology • Cross synergies: Global manufacturing and packaging optimization • Additional Additi l pull-through ll th h off respective ti sales l channels h l push h customer t penetration t ti Rolls-Royce: Synergies on plan and schedule Dresser-Rand: Targeting synergies 30% greater than announced © Siemens AG 2015 Page 8 New York, January 12, 2015 Commerzbank German Investment Seminar | Joe Kaeser, Siemens CEO Scale up Oil & Gas – Recent acquisitions leverage attractive offerings and market access Onshore Drilling O&G Production Pipeline LNG Siemens Rolls-Royce Dresser-Rand Drilling Subsea FPSO Offshore FPSO = Floating, Production, Storage and Offloading; LNG = Liquefied Natural Gas © Siemens AG 2015 Page 9 New York, January 12, 2015 Commerzbank German Investment Seminar | Joe Kaeser, Siemens CEO Scale up New installed base secures recurring service revenues with robust after sales margin Combined serviceable fleet (small turbines and compressors) Small/medium gas turbines Aero derivative Aero-derivative gas turbines Steam turbines Compressors 1,600 2,500 1,500 62,000 32,500 2,250 10,000 10,000 Six-fold increase of combined Siemens fleet from ~22 22,250 250 to >120 >120,000 000 © Siemens AG 2015 Page 10 New York, January 12, 2015 Commerzbank German Investment Seminar | Joe Kaeser, Siemens CEO Next Generation Healthcare Independent setup addresses paradigm shifts Strengthen core Siemens Healthcare is a great business: ✓✓ Market attractiveness Growth ✓ Profit ✓✓ Cash ✓✓ Healthcare of Tomorrow can be even GREATER Optimized organization 1| Go-to-market 2| Research and innovation 3| Management M t model d l "Company within the company" model drives growth and performance © Siemens AG 2015 Page 11 New York, January 12, 2015 Commerzbank German Investment Seminar | Joe Kaeser, Siemens CEO Scale up Digitalization – From data to business Major M j digitalization di it li ti technologies … … leveraged l d along l our entire portfolio … Digitalization Vertical software Digital services €2.4bn Mobile and collaboration Connectivity and Internet of Things … to t create t attractive tt ti business opportunities Automation Revenue e e ue FY 2014 0 Revenue e e ue FY 2014 0 Profitability Profitability ++ +9% Market growth Enhanced automation Cloud technologies Big data and analytics +++ +15% Market growth Classic services €19bn Electrification €0.5bn €14bn Revenue FY 2014 Revenue FY 2014 Profitability Profitability +6% ++ Market growth +++ +3% Market growth Enhanced electrification (~€37bn) Note: Figures Industrial Business © Siemens AG 2015 Page 12 New York, January 12, 2015 Commerzbank German Investment Seminar | Joe Kaeser, Siemens CEO Ownership culture drives change Leadership Behaviors Ownership culture Values Ownership culture "Always act as if it were your own company““ • Entrepreneurship • Discipline • Risk awareness • Accountability • Shareholding Equity People p orientation © Siemens AG 2015 Page 13 New York, January 12, 2015 Commerzbank German Investment Seminar | Joe Kaeser, Siemens CEO Appendix © Siemens AG 2015 Page 14 New York, January 12, 2015 Commerzbank German Investment Seminar | Joe Kaeser, Siemens CEO Profit Margin and ROCE increase in low growth environment Orders in €bn Revenue +0.8% Comp. +0.5% (-1.8%) (nom.) (-2.1%) 79 1 77.7 79.1 77 7 72.8 71.2 Net Income Profit Margin B-t-B 1.09 10.6% 8.8% ( (Industrial Business) in €bn Total cost productivity 3-5% +1.1 11 4.4 5.5 FY 2013 FY 2014 4.0% 4.1% FY 2013 FY 2014 1.09 FY 13 FY 14 FY 13 FY 14 EPS (“all-in”) ROCE (“all-in”) in € 15-20% +25% 5.08 Capital structure1) ≤1 6.37 13.5% 17.3% 0.3x FY 2013 FY 2014 FY 2013 FY 2014 FY 2013 0.1x FY 2014 1) Industrial Net Debt/EBITDA; EBITDA is without the elimination of income or loss from investments accounted for using the equity method © Siemens AG 2015 Page 15 New York, January 12, 2015 Commerzbank German Investment Seminar | Joe Kaeser, Siemens CEO Sustainable value generation delivers attractive shareholder returns Attractive dividend yield Share buyback • Dividend increase by 10% to €3.30 • Up to €4bn over 2 years • Payout ratio of 40-60% at high dividend yield • Total buyback volume €1.8bn until Jan 2, 2015 €97 34% 46% 42% 48% CAGR +16% €2.70 €3.00 FY 10 FY 11 €3.00 57% €98 €94 49% €92 €96 €86 €89 389 €5.401) €3.00 €3 30 €3.30 199 240 225 233 212 182 120 €1.60 FY 09 Dividend per share € €93 FY 12 FY 13 Dividend payout ratio FY 14 May Jun Jul Aug Sep Share buyback volume (in €m) Oct Nov Dec Share price in € 1) Effect of OSRAM stock distribution to shareholders of €2.40 per share; not reflected in CAGR or dividend payout ratio © Siemens AG 2015 Page 16 New York, January 12, 2015 Commerzbank German Investment Seminar | Joe Kaeser, Siemens CEO R&D focus on innovation in growth areas and profit strongholds Research & Development allocation (FY 2014) R&D growth and focus topics for selected businesses O Other €4.0bn R&D +8% • Intelligent distribution grid to integrate decentralized generation and stabilize grid +7% • E Enhanced h d process control t l system t ffor targeted verticals EM ~70% PD +11%1) PG DF HC ~90% 1) Without Rolls-Royce ADGT © Siemens AG 2015 Page 17 Strengthen core New York, January 12, 2015 Profit Industrial Business • Increase efficiency of large gas turbines • Harmonize small and medium GT portfolio • Remote service and advanced diagnostics +8% • SIMATIC TIA Portal – Motion integration • Digital Enterprise Architecture +5% • Next-Gen Diagnostics • Extend entry level imaging portfolio • Combine multi-modality applications x% Est. R&D growth FY 2014 – FY 2015 (subject to FX development) Commerzbank German Investment Seminar | Joe Kaeser, Siemens CEO Executing Siemens – Vision 2020 Simplified and fully integrated compensation system C Compensation ti system t f Managing for M i Board B d as off FY 2015 1/3 /3 Fixed Fi d base cash compensation + 1/3 1/3 Variable compensation (C h B (Cash Bonus)) Variable stock-based compensation (Siemens Stock Awards) 1/3 1/3 1/3 Capital efficiency ffi i Profit Individual + Share price development compared d to competition ii Key imperatives for setting up the system • Transparency through simplicity • Performance related incentives based on internal and external benchmarks • Emphasis on sustainability through share ownership guidelines and long-term stockbased compensation component • System is consistent with next management levels © Siemens AG 2015 Page 18 New York, January 12, 2015 Commerzbank German Investment Seminar | Joe Kaeser, Siemens CEO Outlook Fiscal 2015 Basic earnings per share (Net income) In € At least 15% growth 6 55 6.55 • We expect revenue on an organic basis to remain i flat fl t year-over-year, and d orders d tto exceed d revenue for a book-to-bill ratio above 1. 6 37 6.37 4.74 • We believe that our business environment will be complex in fiscal 2015, 2015 among other things due to geopolitical tensions. 5.08 • Furthermore, we expect that gains from divestments will enable us to increase basic earnings per share (EPS) from net income by at least 15% from €6.37 in fiscal 2014. • For our Industrial Business, we expect a profit margin* of 10–11%. • This outlook excludes impacts p from legal g and regulatory matters. FY 2011 FY 2012 FY 2013 FY 2014 FY 2015e *Effective with fiscal 2015,, our enhanced profit p definition excludes amortization of intangible assets acquired in business combinations. © Siemens AG 2015 Page 19 New York, January 12, 2015 Commerzbank German Investment Seminar | Joe Kaeser, Siemens CEO Financial calendar January January 12, 2015 Commerzbank German Investment Seminar (New York) January 27, 27 2015 Q1 Earnings Release; Annual General Meeting February March March 11, 2015 Citi West Coast Symposium (San Francisco) March 19, 2015 Bank of America Merrill Lynch Conference (London) © Siemens AG 2015 Page 20 New York, January 12, 2015 Commerzbank German Investment Seminar | Joe Kaeser, Siemens CEO Siemens Investor Relations contacts Investor Relations Internet: www.siemens.com/investorrelations Email: investorrelations@siemens.com @ IRHotline: +49 89 636-32474 Fax: +49 89 636-32830 © Siemens AG 2015 Page 21 New York, January 12, 2015 Commerzbank German Investment Seminar | Joe Kaeser, Siemens CEO
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