CORONA-NORCO INDUSTRIAL MARKET Manufacturing/Distribution Fourth Quarter 2014 Report Prepared By: Lee & Associates - West Riverside Corporate License ID# 01048055 4193 Flat Rock Drive, Suite 100 Riverside, CA 92505 P: 951.276.3600 F: 951.276.3650 Area Maps & Terminology Terminology Gross Absorption: All lease and sale activity excluding: investments, options and renewals. Base: Total square feet excluding: possible divisibility, planned buildings and build to suits. Availability Rate: Total existing available square feet divided by the base square feet. Under Construction: Buildings that are or have become under construction throughout the current quarter that are not yet complete. Submarket: A trade area comprised of one or more cities. Submarkets in the Corona/Norco area are as follows: ♦ City of Corona ♦ City of Norco No warranty or representation is made to the accuracy of the foregoing information. Terms of sale or lease and availability are subject to change or withdrawal without notice. 2014 FOURTH QUARTER Fourth Quarter 2014 - At A Glance Absorption After the outstanding performance of the Corona/Norco market in 2013, 2014 continued the trend with absorption representing 380,353 SF in the fourth quarter of the year. With the lack of available product, limited new construction and vacancy rates remaining below the 5% mark, the Corona/Norco market is exhibiting improving rates and significant increases in sales prices, a trend which will only continue in 2015. Total gross absorption for 2014 at 1,258,616 SF represented a decrease over 2013’s figure, however with a limited number of building availabilities, absorption was considered strong in 2014. Absorption will remain stable in the Corona/ Norco market due to demand from users migrating from neighboring, more expensive Orange and Los Angeles Counties, where available product is even harder to find, and larger warehouse and distribution buildings will continue to be a hot commodity. Gross Absorption 750,000 500,000 250,000 0 1Q13 2Q13 3Q13 4Q13 1Q14 2Q14 3Q14 4Q14 Vacancy 5% 4% 3% Total absorption for fourth quarter 2014 within the Corona/Norco market was represented by 94,186 SF of leasing activity and 286,167 SF of sales activity. Total absorption for 2014 was represented by 751,789 SF of leasing activity and 506,827 SF of sales activity. Vacancy The vacancy rate in the fourth quarter of 2014 was 3.24%, representing the 14th consecutive quarter that the rate has been below the 5% level, a trend that has not been seen since 2008. Vacancy rates are expected to remain at record low levels well into 2015 due to a lack of available supply in the market, and limited new construction. Rate Trend Asking sales prices per SF averaged $129.34, representing a 2.68% increase over the third quarter of 2014. With a lack of quality buildings available for sale in the market, asking sales prices will continue to increase in 2015. Asking lease rates averaged $0.66 GRS and $0.53 NNN in the fourth quarter. GRS rates increased 0.83% over the third quarter rates, and NNN rates increased 3.35% over the previous quarter. Asking rates will continue to trend upward into 2015 due to high demand and a supply constrained market. Under Construction The base for fourth quarter 2014 represented 594,811 SF under construction in nine buildings. While new construction has increased in 2014, it will remain limited in 2015, due to the shortage of land available for new industrial development. Speculative development has returned to this supply constrained market, but is expected to be absorbed very quickly due to the lack of available product. 2% 1% 0% 1Q13 2Q13 3Q13 4Q13 1Q14 2Q14 3Q14 4Q14 Asking Rate Trend GRS Lease NNN Lease Sale PSF $0.70 $130 $0.60 $125 $0.50 $120 $0.40 $115 $0.30 $110 $0.20 $105 $0.10 $0.00 $100 1Q13 2Q13 3Q13 4Q13 1Q14 2Q14 3Q14 4Q14 Under Construction 1,200,000 1,000,000 800,000 600,000 400,000 200,000 0 1Q13 2Q13 3Q13 4Q13 1Q14 2Q14 3Q14 4Q14 Industrial Summary Report Corona/Norco Manufacturing/Distribution Fourth Quarter 2014 Market Summary Bldgs 5-9,999 SF 10-24,999 SF 25-49,999 SF 50-99,999 SF 100,000+ SF 284 331 155 102 61 2,111,072 5,150,213 5,359,746 6,976,951 11,123,978 55,845 347,671 364,325 366,710 1,615,186 Availability Rate 2.65% 6.75% 6.80% 5.26% 14.52% Totals 933 30,721,960 2,749,737 8.95% Gross Absorption* 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 1,299,460 1,340,447 1,453,728 1,901,717 1,028,338 1,505,856 751,789 152,534 453,383 608,215 471,465 608,541 308,965 506,827 1,451,994 1,793,830 2,061,943 2,373,182 1,636,879 1,814,821 1,258,616 New Leases New Sales Totals Total SF Available SF Vacant Vacancy Rate Available 16,307 0.77% 84,104 1.63% 123,132 2.30% 133,777 1.92% 639,140 5.75% Gross Absorption* Size 996,460 29,483 62,778 31,068 111,644 145,380 3.24% 380,353 2014 Under Construction vs Planned Size Under Const Count Planned Count 5-9,999 SF 10-24,999 SF 25-49,999 SF 50-99,999 SF 100,000+ SF 0 50,982 42,387 153,933 347,509 0 4 1 2 2 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Totals 594,811 9 0 0 Under Const Planned 350,000 300,000 250,000 200,000 150,000 100,000 50,000 0 5-9,999 SF 10-24,999 SF 25-49,999 SF 50-99,999 SF 100,000+ SF Availability Rate vs Vacancy Rate Lease Activity vs Sales Activity Availability Rate Vacancy Rate New Leases New Sales 2,000,000 16.00% 1,800,000 14.00% 1,600,000 12.00% 1,400,000 1,200,000 10.00% 1,000,000 8.00% 800,000 6.00% 600,000 4.00% 400,000 2.00% 200,000 - 0.00% 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 5-9,999 SF 10-24,999 SF 25-49,999 SF 50-99,999 SF 100,000+ SF Total Available Square Feet Includes Available Existing, Under Construction and Vacant. *Gross Absorption Represents all Activity Excluding Investments, Options & Renewals From 10/1/2014-12/31/2014. No warranty or representation is made to the accuracy of the foregoing information. Terms of sale or lease and availability are subject to change or withdrawal without notice. Industrial Summary Report Corona/Norco Manufacturing/Distribution Fourth Quarter 2014 Rate Summary Total SF Available SF Availability Rate Vacant Available Vacancy Rate Gross Absorption* Size Bldgs 5-9,999 SF 10-24,999 SF 25-49,999 SF 50-99,999 SF 100,000+ SF 284 331 155 102 61 2,111,072 5,150,213 5,359,746 6,976,951 11,123,978 55,845 347,671 364,325 366,710 1,615,186 2.65% 6.75% 6.80% 5.26% 14.52% 16,307 84,104 123,132 133,777 639,140 0.77% 1.63% 2.30% 1.92% 5.75% 29,483 62,778 31,068 111,644 145,380 Totals 933 30,721,960 2,749,737 8.95% 996,460 3.24% 380,353 Avg. Asking Rates 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 $0.634 GRS $0.680 $0.613 $0.417 $0.536 $0.565 $0.587 NNN $0.559 $0.475 $0.459 $0.413 $0.424 $0.442 $0.517 Sales $151.79 $125.31 $112.06 $107.42 $102.55 $108.85 $122.45 Inventory By Size Based on Number of Buildings 5-9,999 SF 10-24,999 SF 25-49,999 SF 50-99,999 SF 100,000+ SF 17% 35% 30% 11% 7% Market Summary (SF) Average Asking Rate Trend $0.800 $160.00 $0.700 $140.00 $0.600 $120.00 8,000,000 $0.500 $100.00 6,000,000 $0.400 $80.00 $0.300 $60.00 $0.200 $40.00 $0.100 $20.00 12,000,000 10,000,000 4,000,000 2,000,000 $0.000 5-9,999 SF 10-24,999 SF Total SF 25-49,999 SF Available SF 50-99,999 SF Gross Absorption* 100,000+ SF $0.00 2008 2009 2010 GRS 2011 2012 NNN 2013 2014 Sales Total Available Square Feet Includes Available Existing, Under Construction and Vacant. *Gross Absorption Represents all Activity Excluding Investments, Options & Renewals From 10/1/2014-12/31/2014. No warranty or representation is made to the accuracy of the foregoing information. Terms of sale or lease and availability are subject to change or withdrawal without notice. Industrial Summary Report Corona/Norco Manufacturing/Distribution Fourth Quarter 2014 5,000-9,999 SF Size 5-9,999 SF Bldgs Total SF Available SF 284 2,111,072 55,845 Availability Rate 2.65% Vacant Available 16,307 Vacancy Rate 0.77% Gross Absorption* 29,483 Leased vs Sold 2,500,000 2,000,000 300,000 1,500,000 200,000 Sold SF 1,000,000 100,000 Leased SF 500,000 0 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 0 Total SF Available SF Gross Absorption* Absorption Figures* Leased SF Number Leases Sold SF Number Sales Total SF 2008 160,846 21 32,798 4 193,644 2009 275,492 36 46,169 6 321,661 2010 204,144 28 61,051 7 265,195 2011 190,434 26 52,253 6 242,687 2012 180,340 27 91,923 12 272,263 2013 143,538 22 100,226 12 243,764 2014 145,709 21 27,645 4 173,354 Current Average Asking Rates and Sales Prices GRS $0.69 NNN N/A PSF $142.41 Current Average Actual Lease Rates and Sales Prices GRS $0.63 NNN N/A PSF N/A Total Available Square Feet Includes Available Existing, Under Construction and Vacant. *Gross Absorption Represents all Activity Excluding Investments, Options & Renewals From 10/1/2014-12/31/2014. No warranty or representation is made to the accuracy of the foregoing information. Terms of sale or lease and availability are subject to change or withdrawal without notice. Industrial Summary Report Corona/Norco Manufacturing/Distribution Fourth Quarter 2014 10,000-24,999 SF Size 10-24,999 SF Bldgs Total SF Available SF 331 5,150,213 347,671 Availability Rate 6.75% Vacant Available 84,104 Vacancy Rate 1.63% Gross Absorption* 62,778 Leased vs Sold 6,000,000 5,000,000 600,000 4,000,000 400,000 3,000,000 Sold SF 200,000 Leased SF 2,000,000 1,000,000 0 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 0 2014 Total SF Available SF Gross Absorption* Absorption Figures* Leased SF Number Leases Sold SF Number Sales Total SF 2008 297,491 20 68,827 5 366,318 2009 285,384 20 85,031 6 370,415 2010 314,123 22 119,152 7 433,275 2011 584,902 36 136,635 8 721,537 2012 302,381 20 146,502 9 448,883 2013 372,202 25 73,787 5 445,989 2014 185,707 12 108,020 7 293,727 Current Average Asking Rates and Sales Prices GRS $0.69 NNN $0.57 PSF $133.17 Current Average Actual Lease Rates and Sales Prices GRS $0.66 NNN N/A PSF $112.68 Total Available Square Feet Includes Available Existing, Under Construction and Vacant. *Gross Absorption Represents all Activity Excluding Investments, Options & Renewals From 10/1/2014-12/31/2014. No warranty or representation is made to the accuracy of the foregoing information. Terms of sale or lease and availability are subject to change or withdrawal without notice. Industrial Summary Report Corona/Norco Manufacturing/Distribution Fourth Quarter 2014 25,000-49,999 SF Size 25-49,999 SF Bldgs Total SF Available SF 155 5,359,746 364,325 Availability Rate 6.80% Vacant Available 123,132 Vacancy Rate 2.30% Gross Absorption* 31,068 Leased vs Sold 6,000,000 5,000,000 400,000 4,000,000 300,000 3,000,000 200,000 Sold SF 100,000 Leased SF 0 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2,000,000 1,000,000 0 2014 Total SF Available SF Gross Absorption* Absorption Figures* Leased SF Number Leases Sold SF Number Sales Total SF 2008 371,631 10 0 0 371,631 2009 246,165 8 66,836 2 313,001 2010 320,331 9 130,228 4 450,559 2011 282,093 8 79,400 3 361,493 2012 231,025 6 25,707 1 256,732 2013 336,148 10 62,002 2 398,150 2014 235,641 6 116,230 4 351,871 Current Average Asking Rates and Sales Prices GRS $0.63 NNN $0.55 PSF $127.57 Current Average Actual Lease Rates and Sales Prices GRS N/A NNN N/A PSF $119.09 Total Available Square Feet Includes Available Existing, Under Construction and Vacant. *Gross Absorption Represents all Activity Excluding Investments, Options & Renewals From 10/1/2014-12/31/2014. No warranty or representation is made to the accuracy of the foregoing information. Terms of sale or lease and availability are subject to change or withdrawal without notice. Industrial Summary Report Corona/Norco Manufacturing/Distribution Fourth Quarter 2014 50,000-99,999 SF Size 50-99,999 SF Bldgs Total SF Available SF 102 6,976,951 366,710 Availability Rate 5.26% Vacant Available 133,777 Vacancy Rate 1.92% Gross Absorption* 111,644 Leased vs Sold 7,000,000 6,000,000 500,000 5,000,000 400,000 4,000,000 300,000 Sold SF 200,000 3,000,000 2,000,000 100,000 Leased SF 0 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 1,000,000 0 2014 Total SF Available SF Gross Absorption* Absorption Figures* Leased SF Number Leases Sold SF Number Sales Total SF 2008 336,492 4 50,909 1 387,401 2009 410,768 7 221,743 3 632,511 2010 394,489 6 129,334 2 523,823 2011 155,459 3 203,177 3 358,636 2012 171,491 2 52,758 1 224,249 2013 138,400 2 72,950 1 211,350 2014 184,732 3 109,552 2 294,284 Current Average Asking Rates and Sales Prices GRS $0.50 NNN $0.51 PSF $118.00 Current Average Actual Lease Rates and Sales Prices GRS $0.50 NNN N/A PSF $91.50 Total Available Square Feet Includes Available Existing, Under Construction and Vacant. *Gross Absorption Represents all Activity Excluding Investments, Options & Renewals From 10/1/2014-12/31/2014. No warranty or representation is made to the accuracy of the foregoing information. Terms of sale or lease and availability are subject to change or withdrawal without notice. Industrial Summary Report Corona/Norco Manufacturing/Distribution Fourth Quarter 2014 100,000+ SF Size Bldgs Total SF Available SF 61 11,123,978 1,615,186 100,000+ SF Availability Rate 14.52% Vacant Vacancy Rate Available 639,140 5.75% Gross Absorption* 145,380 Leased vs Sold 12,000,000 10,000,000 800,000 8,000,000 600,000 6,000,000 400,000 Sold SF 200,000 Leased SF 4,000,000 2,000,000 0 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 0 2014 Total SF Available SF Gross Absorption* Absorption Figures* Leased SF Number Leases Sold SF Number Sales Total SF 2008 133,000 1 0 0 133,000 2009 122,638 1 115,983 1 238,621 2010 220,641 2 168,450 1 389,091 2011 688,829 3 0 0 688,829 2012 143,101 1 291,651 2 434,752 2013 515,568 3 0 0 515,568 2014 0 0 145,380 1 145,380 Current Average Asking Rates and Sales Prices GRS N/A NNN $0.50 PSF $109.23 Current Average Actual Lease Rates and Sales Prices GRS N/A NNN N/A PSF $105.75 Total Available Square Feet Includes Available Existing, Under Construction and Vacant. *Gross Absorption Represents all Activity Excluding Investments, Options & Renewals From 10/1/2014-12/31/2014. No warranty or representation is made to the accuracy of the foregoing information. Terms of sale or lease and availability are subject to change or withdrawal without notice.
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