Upcoming farm bill and grain price projections

In Other News
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The Hays Daily News
Sunday, Feb. 22, 2015
Watch for breaking news at
HDNews.net
Calendar
Today
• The Hays Police
Department and Community Oriented Policing ask
residents to turn on their
porch lights at night for
neighborhood safety. The
schedule: Homes with
odd-numbered addresses
should turn on lights the
first and third full weeks
of the month. Homes with
even-numbered addresses should turn on lights
the second and fourth
full weeks of the month.
All residents should turn
on lights for any partial
weeks of a month.
• Food bingo, 1:30 p.m.
at Eagles Lodge, 121 E.
Eighth.
• Hays High Industrial
Technology AssociationHHITA, All American
Breakfast, 8:30 a.m.
to noon at Hays High
cafeteria. All you can eat
pancakes, sausage, biscuits and gravy and eggs.
Tickets: $7 for adults;
children, 5 to 12, $5. Children younger than 4, free.
Benefits the Hays High
electric car program.
Monday
• Monday night pinochle, 7 to 9 p.m., Hays
Recreation Center, 1105
Canterbury.
• Pre-enrollment at
Thomas More PrepMarian Junior-Senior
High School for students
not attending the school
now, 4 to 7 p.m. at CFR
main building, second
floor. Faculty will be available to answer questions
and assist with choosing classes. For more
information, contact the
admissions office, (785)
625-6577.
• Shooting Stars
Square Dance Club will
offer square dance lessons every Monday at
7:30 p.m. in the Reed
Center cafeteria, 317 W.
13. For more information,
call Peggy Anschutz at
(785) 483-0660.
• STOCKTON — Blood
donations, 8:30 a.m. to
4:15 p.m., Rooks County
Health Building, 426
Main.
Tuesday
• Bridge Time, 1 p.m.,
HRC, 1105 Canterbury.
• TGI “Family Night
Out, 6 to 8 p.m. at Center
for Life Experiences,
2900 Hall. There will be
a meal and child care.
RSVP to Ann, (785)
625-2847, Karla, (785)
623-2340, or Dayna (785)
623-2440.
• HOXIE — Hoxie
Community blood drive,
noon to 6 p.m. at Sherman County 4-H Building
N. Highway 23.
HA P P Y
Upcoming farm bill and grain price projections
armers, next week is the last week
you have to update your yields
and reallocate base acres. Deadline is
Friday for the new 2014 farm bill.
You still have time to sign up for
the commodity program March 31
of ARC-Co., ARC-IC or PLC. If
you still are searching for answers
and a better understanding of the
farm bill, I would recommend you
go to www.agmanager.info, which is
the K-State Research and Extension,
Agriculture Economics website. You
will see a host of information on the
2014 farm bill.
Included on the website is the
OSU-KSU decision tool, in which
you can put your individual farm
numbers information into — crops
grown, past yields and future yield
projections, and prices. You can use
the FAPRI grain price forecasts from
University of Missouri or play with it
and put your best guess of prices and
yields in the future, or both for comparison. The decision tool will do all
of the calculations and figure which
commodity program will have the
best payments for your farm based
Therefore, they are conservative
on the information you put into the
price forecasts useful for long-term
decision tool.
average planning purposes.
As for projecting prices as menAnother price source to take a
tioned, the University of Missourilook at is USDA Long Term BaseFAPRI Long Term Price
line Forecasts, www.ers.usda.
Forecasts (www.fapri.misgov/topics/farm-economy/
souri.edu/outreach/publiagricultural-baseline-projeccations/index.asp?current_
tions.aspx. O’Brien’s obserpage=outreach) is one
vation about these long term
source. The FAPRI grain
USDA projections seem to
price forecasts are the ones
be they are conservative year
relied upon in the current
after year, but do provide a
OSU-KSU farm bill
baseline estimate of
decision tool.
tacy ampbell what prices would be
Our K-State
under ongoing “good”
Agriculture
Research and Extenproduction conditions.
sion ag economists
O’Brien further
Dan O’Brien, who does weekly radio comments grain futures tend to be
reports of grain sales, supply and de- “myopic” in nature, i.e., the price
mand, ending grain stocks, uses and
tomorrow or next year is something
price forecasts, says the FAPRI price akin to what we have today. So,
forecasts tend to under-represent the these tend to operate somewhat like
volatility of the market since they are FAPRI and USDA forecasts, in that
averages and don’t include supply
they under-represent future producstocks (short crops) or unforeseen
tion and supply uncertainty, and
demand stocks (ethanol grain use or
don’t necessarily do a good job of
short crops elsewhere in the world).
anticipating changes in demand. But
S
C
then again, that is a difficult thing
to do.
He suggests reading a recent
article on Farmdoc which discussed
price forecast accuracy from FAPRI
and USDA. Pat Westhoff of FAPRI
wrote it, which has a reputation of
doing solid analysis. The web link
is as follows: farmdocdaily.illinois.
edu/2015/02/price-projections-andfarm-bill-program-choices.html .
Of course, there are many private
or commercial grain marketing and
forecasting firms that have professional expertise in analyzing the grain
markets and making projections as
well, which are too numerous to
mention.
If you have questions or need assistance with the upcoming farm bill
decisions, don’t hesitate to contact
your local K-State County Extension
office for help.
I can be contacted at (785) 6289430.
Stacy Campbell is Kansas State
Research and Extension
agent for Ellis County.
Register teams now for Walk Kansas, which begins March 15
Special to The Hays Daily News
Can you meet the challenge of walking across — or
around — the state? Walk
Kansas is an eight-week
health challenge from KState Research and Extension encouraging teams of
six people to increase exercise
and eat more fruits and vegetables beginning March 15
through May 9.
Walk Kansas encourages
teams of family members,
friends, church mates and
co-workers to log at least 150
minutes of physical activity
per person each week for
eight weeks. Team members
also track the cups of fruits
and vegetables consumed
daily.
The statewide program
has become popular with
team members working
together to move more and
improve health. Walk Kansas
also is being incorporated
into worksite wellness programs across the state. Approximatley 16,000 Kansans
participated last year.
The cost for Ellis County
Walk Kansas is only $3
per person which provides
statewide program support,
weekly educational newsletters, learning activities and
motivational items. Participants can purchase an
optional Walk Kansas T-shirt
for an additional cost.
Walk Kansas is fun,
motivational and a great way
to build a healthy lifestyle.
Pick up a team registration
packet now and register your
team by March 10 at the Ellis
County Extension office, 601
Main, Ste. A, in Hays, (785)
628-9430.
For more information
about the local Walk Kansas
program, visit the Ellis
County Extension website
at www.ellis.ksu.edu or call
Linda Beech, Ellis County
Extension agent for family
and consumer sciences, at
(785) 628-9430.
on suspicion of purchase or consumption of alcohol by a minor.
Damon Allen Wilson, 18, Hays,
was arrested at 5 p.m. Feb. 13
in the 3000 block of New Way
on suspicion of criminal use of a
financial card.
Amie Marguerite Walters, 39,
Hays, was arrested at 9:05 p.m.
Feb. 12 in the 600 block of East
Fifth on suspicion of driving under
the influence of drugs or alcohol.
Saleh Abdulaziz Mohammed
Al Lhaib, 25, Hays, was arrested
at 12:22 a.m. Feb. 13 in the 500
block of West 12th on suspicion of transporting an open
container.
Amber Nicole Hilton, 30, Hays,
was arrested at 2:08 a.m. Feb.
12 in the 4300 block of Vine on
suspicion of theft.
Peter Thomas Dugan, 58,
Monroe Township, N.J., was
arrested at 9:45 p.m. Feb. 18
in the 4100 block of Vine on
suspicion of possession of hallucinogenic drug and possession
of drug paraphernalia.
Michael Stanley Paul, 43,
Yoder, Colo., was arrested at
8:22 p.m. Feb. 17 in the 3300
block of Vine on suspicion of
possession of hallucinogenic
drug and possession of drug
paraphernalia.
Carlos Israel Gallaway, 24,
Hays, was arrested at 11:24 p.m.
Feb. 16 in the 600 block of Elm on
suspicion of possession of opiate,
opium, narcotic or certain stimulant; possession of marijuana;
possession of drug paraphernalia;
and driving under the influence.
Public record
Animals
Strays:
Male black/tan catahoula,
South of Hays on 130th Avenue
Hays Police Dept.
Thursday
Five animal calls
23 traffic stops
Disturbance, noise, 1300 block
East 33rd
Phone/mail scam, 700 block
East 13th
Assist, other, not motor vehicle, Hays
Civil dispute, 2700 block
Epworth
Burglary/storage unit, 1200
block Canterbury
Civil dispute, 300 block East
14th
Assist, other, not motor vehicle, Phillipsburg
Motor vehicle accident, 27th
and Indian
Harassment, telephone/fax,
300 block West 39th
Disturbance, noise, 100 block
East Seventh
Driving under the influence,
500 block Main
Disorderly conduct, 100 block
West 17th
Hays PD arrests
All suspects are innocent until
proven guilty in a court of law.
Joseph Andreson Hambright,
73, Grand Junction, Colo., was
arrested at 9:31 a.m. Feb. 12 in
the 1500 block of 270th Avenue
on suspicion of driving under the
influence of drugs or alcohol.
Nicole Marie Connell, 21, Atwood, was arrested at 2:22 a.m.
Feb. 13 in the 1200 block of Ash
on suspicion of driving under the
influence of drugs or alcohol.
Lyle Ray Geyer, 41, Leoti, was
9 0 th B I R T H D A Y
Arlene Bright
Leikam
Perrell Shane Stanley II, 25,
Hays, was arrested at 3:50 a.m.
Feb. 15 in the 1800 block of
Walnut on suspicion of domestic
battery.
Matthew Wilson Stanley, 24,
Hays, was arrested at 3:50 a.m.
Feb. 15 in the 1800 block of
Walnut on suspicion of domestic
battery.
Breanna Diane Holden, 18,
Great Bend, was arrested at
3:20 a.m. Feb. 15 in the 3000
block of New Way on suspicion
of purchase or consumption of
alcohol by a minor.
Danny Eugene Prowell, 54,
Hays, was arrested at 5:37
p.m. Feb. 15 in the 2900 block
of Vine on suspicion of driving
under the influence of drugs or
alcohol.
Amie Emile Greenwood, 33,
Hays, was arrested at 2:48 p.m.
Feb. 15 in the 700 block of East
Sixth on suspicion of disorderly
conduct.
Timothy James Feil, 26, Hays,
was arrested at 11 a.m. Feb. 13
in the 3000 block of New Way
on suspicion of criminal use of a
financial card.
Travis Dean Archer, 18, Salina,
was arrested at 12:45 a.m. Feb.
15 in the 200 block of West 10th
arrested at 11:39 p.m. Feb. 14 in
the 3600 block of Vine on suspicion of disorderly conduct.
Christy Marie Leiker, 27, Hays,
was arrested at 5:39 p.m. Feb.
13 in the 1900 block of Vine on
suspicion of disorderly conduct.
Pascual Guzman, 19, Hays,
was arrested at 12:57 p.m. Feb.
14 in the 1000 block of East
Eighth on suspicion of purchase
or consumption of alcohol by a
minor.
Joaquin Eduardo Guzman, 23,
Hays, was arrested at 1:15 p.m.
Feb. 14 in the 1000 block of
East Eighth on suspicion of driving under the influence of drugs
or alcohol and transporting an
open container.
Chance Mathew Bloomer, 20,
Hays, was arrested at 1:45 a.m.
Feb. 14 in the 300 block of East
Eighth on suspicion of driving
under the influence of drugs or
alcohol.
Douglas Arthur Joy, 67, Hays,
was arrested at 8:30 p.m. Feb.
13 in the 500 block of East Eighth
on suspicion of driving under the
influence of drugs or alcohol.
Morgan Dawn Belveal, 21,
Hays, was arrested at 2:23 a.m.
Feb. 14 in the 400 block of West
Seventh on suspicion of theft.
Katherine Schmidt
May 11, 1922 to
February 12, 2014
Mom you have been greatly
missed by your entire
family. Holiday meals were
times of good food, good conversation and
family. We all enjoyed and dearly miss your
humble, kind and thoughtful personality and
witty sense of humor.
Happy Birthday
Lucille!
February 24
You Go
Girl!
In Loving Memory of
Paul
6-4-23 to 2-15-10
Five years have gone by
It broke our hearts to lose you,
but you did not go alone. For
part of us went with you, The
day God called you home, We
miss you in so many ways,
We miss the things you used
to say, And when old times we
do recall, It’s then we miss you
most of all.
From your daughters Betty, Shirley, Gerri and your
entire family we miss and love you very much
Feb. 26
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Hays, KS 67601
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