Shriram Market Analysis & Research Team C O M M O D I T YREPORT 26 March 2015 ECONOMIC/GLOBAL NEWS U.S. durable goods orders fell by 1.4% in February following a downwardly revised 2.0% increase in January. However, the Commerce Department said durable goods orders still fell by 0.4% in February. U.S. Energy Information Administration on Wednesday reported 11th straight weekly increase crude supplies. Crude inventories climbed by 8.2 million barrels for the week ended March 20. Gasoline supplies were down 2 million barrels, while distillate stockpiles were unchanged last week, according to the EIA. German Ifo Business Climate index climbed to 107.9 in March from 106.8 in February. The current conditions index improved to 112, in line with expectations, from 111.3 in the prior month. At the same time, the expectations index rose to 103.9 from 102.5 in February. Index Dow Nifty Sensex USD/INR Dollar Index Euro/$1US $1US/Yen Pound/$1US Indian market continued to fall for the sixth consecutive session on account of selling pressure in Capital Goods, Power and Metal stocks. Smart .........Investing 18011.14 8542.95 28161.72 62.348 97.45 1.0926 119.75 1.4851 -292.60 -12.15 -49.89 0.06 -0.25 0.0046 -0.25 0.0030 -1.62 -0.14 -0.18 0.10 -0.26 0.42 -0.21 0.20 The dollar traded lower against its rivals Wednesday, continuing a bearish pattern that has persisted since Federal Reserve policy makers signaled one week ago that they would begin raising interest rates later than the market had expected. The euro was at $1.0974, compared with $1.0924 late Tuesday in New York. The dollar was at ¥119.41, compared with ¥119.74. The pound rebounded against the buck, trading at $1.4916, compared with $1.4847. The Indian rupee today inched up by a paisa against the American currency to end at 62.26, extending its winning streak to seventh straight session - the longest string of gains since June 2011. The rupee opened higher at 62.20 per dollar as against yesterday's closing level of 62.27 per dollar at the Interbank Foreign Exchange (Forex) Market. It then firmed up further to 62.14 per dollar on initial selling of dollars by banks and exporters in view of sustained capital inflows. However, the rupee trimmed its initial gains on some dollar demand from banks and importers and ended at 62.26, showing a marginal gain of one paise or 0.02 per cent. French business confidence index fell to 99 from 100 in February. It was forecast to remain unchanged at 100. U.S. stocks were bludgeoned in Wednesday trading with the Dow threatening a 300-point drop as the Nasdaq Composite suffered its steepest decline since April 2014 as investors dumped technology and biotechs shares. The Nasdaq Composite ended the day down 118.21 points, or 2.4%, at 4,876.52.ost 19.06 points, or 0.9%, to 2,072.44. The S&P 500 fell 30.45 points, or 1.5% to 2,061.05. The Dow Jones Industrial Average lost 292.60 points, or 1.6% to 17,718.54. 17718.54 8530.80 28111.83 62.412 97.20 1.0972 119.50 1.4881 % Change Currency Update Market Update 25-March-15 24-March-15 Pts. Ch. Enquiry : +91 33 2359 4612, +91 33 2359 4614, +91 33 2358 1953, E-mail : research@shriraminsight.com C O M M O D I T YREPORT 26 March 2015 TECHNICAL REPORT PRECIOUS METALS Open Interest Closing Bullion Gold June MCX Gold April Comex Silver May MCX Silver May Comex Open 26458 1193 37870 16.935 Bullion ( Technical ) Gold June MCX Gold April Comex Silver May MCX Silver May Comex High 26728 1199 38340 17.140 Low 26410 1186 37750 16.840 25-Mar-15 26706 1197 38158 17.000 24-Mar-15 26542 1191 37991 16.983 % Ch 0.62 0.47 0.44 0.10 25-Mar-15 6531 155010 8329 107014 25-Mar-2015 % Ch 8.78 -14.27 -7.47 -0.60 Close Price Sup-3 Sup-2 Sup-1 Pivot Point Res -1 Res -2 Res -3 26706 1197 38158 17.000 26183 1176 37235 16.547 26297 1181 37493 16.693 26501 1189 37825 16.847 26615 1194 38083 16.993 26819 1202 38415 17.147 26933 1207 38673 17.293 27137 1215 39005 17.447 Holdings In Tonnes As On Name of the ETF 24-Mar-15 6004 180814 9001 107657 25-Mar-2015 Ratio %Ch 24-Mar-2015 Ratio Close Close SPDR Gold ETF 743.21 744.40 -0.16 Gold v/s Silver 1197.00 17.000 70.41 iShares Silver Trust 10118.69 10118.69 0.00 Gold v/s Crude Oil 1197.00 49.21 24.32 BASE METALS LME Inventories (In Tonnes) Base Metals Aluminum Copper Nickel Lead Zinc Base Metals ( Technical ) Aluminium ( March ) Copper ( April ) Nickel ( March ) Lead ( March ) Zinc ( March ) 25-Mar-2015 24-Mar-2015 3969175 342625 433980 237275 520175 3975900 342275 431490 237775 520200 Change % Change -6725 350 2490 -500 -25 -0.17 0.10 0.58 -0.21 -0.005 Close Price Sup-3 Sup-2 Sup-1 Pivot Point Res -1 Res -2 Res -3 110.85 387.15 853.80 115.25 129.80 109.00 381.10 826.50 113.10 127.60 109.60 382.50 839.30 113.60 128.10 110.20 384.80 846.50 114.40 128.90 110.80 386.30 859.30 114.90 129.40 111.50 388.60 866.50 115.80 130.30 112.10 390.00 879.30 116.30 130.80 112.70 392.30 886.50 117.10 131.60 ENERGY Open Interest Closing ENERGY Crude Oil April MCX Crude May Nymex Natural Gas April MCX Natural Gas May Henry Hub ENERGY ( Technical ) Crude Oil April MCX Crude May Nymex Natural Gas April MCX Natural Gas May Henry Hub Open 2982 47.72 174.30 2.806 High 3111 49.46 177.00 2.813 Low 2961 47.00 172.10 2.732 25-Mar-15 3094 49.21 173.80 2.740 24-Mar-15 2995 47.51 176.70 2.810 % Ch 3.31 3.58 -1.64 -2.49 25-Mar-15 20197 523027 3027 273292 24-Mar-15 20983 529039 1857 236176 % Ch -3.75 -1.14 63.00 15.72 Close Price Sup-3 Sup-2 Sup-1 Pivot Point Res -1 Res -2 Res -3 3094 49.21 173.80 2.740 2850 45.19 166.70 2.629 2905 46.10 169.40 2.681 3000 47.65 171.60 2.710 3055 48.56 174.30 2.762 3150 50.11 176.50 2.791 3205 51.02 179.20 2.843 3300 52.57 181.40 2.872 OUTLOOK Precious Metal: Likely to remain range-bound with negative bias. Trade tracking support and resistance. Base Metal: Likely to remain range-bound with positive bias. Trade tracking support and resistances. Energy: Likely to remain volatile with positive bias. Trade tracking support and resistance. Smart .........Investing Enquiry : +91 33 2359 4612, +91 33 2359 4614, +91 33 2358 1953, E-mail : research@shriraminsight.com C O M M O D I T YREPORT 26 March 2015 ECONOMIC CALENDER Time 12:30:00 PM 1:15:00 PM 3:00:00 PM 3:00:00 PM 3:00:00 PM 3:00:00 PM 4:30:00 PM 6:00:00 PM 6:00:00 PM 6:00:00 PM 7:15:00 PM 8:00:00 PM Country Germany France U.K. U.K. U.K. U.K. U.K. U.S. U.S. U.S. U.S. U.S. Thursday March 26, 2015 Event GfK German Consumer Climate (Apr) French GDP (QoQ) (Q4) Core Retail Sales (YoY) (Feb) Core Retail Sales (MoM) (Feb) Retail Sales (MoM) (Feb) Retail Sales (YoY) (Feb) CBI Distributive Trades Survey (Mar) Continuing Jobless Claims Initial Jobless Claims Jobless Claims 4-Week Avg. Services PMI (Mar) Natural Gas Storage Actual Forecast Previous 9.8 9.7 0.1% 0.1% 4.2% 4.8% 0.4% -0.7% 0.4% -0.3% 4.7% 5.4% 15 1 2,403K 2,417K 290K 291K 304.75K 57.2 57.1 6B -45B D I S C L A I M E R This document has been prepared by ICFL (100% Subsidiary Company of Shriram Insight Share Brokers Ltd) and is meant for sole use by the recipient and not for circulation. This document is not to be reported or copied or made available to others. The information contained herein is from sources believed reliable It should not be considered to be taken as an offer to sell or a solicitation to buy and sell any Commodity or as an official confirmation of any transaction. We do not represent that it is accurate or complete and it should not be relied upon as such. This document is prepared for assistance only and is not intended to be and must not alone be taken as the basis for an investment decision. 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