VOL 11 | ISSUE 3 | APR 2015 | perenews.com FOR THE WORLD’S PRIVATE REAL ESTATE MARKETS BEST FOOT FORWARD How Related Companies has gone from pure developer to fund manager SUN, SEA, AND SCRUTINY I WANNA BE A CONTENDER LET’S BE BUDDIES THE $1 BILLION-PLUS SALE A report from the beachside at the MIPIM trade show in Cannes The current state of the operating partner model Cordea Savills looks to the big time Harvard’s plan to sell secondaries EDITOR’S LETTER ISSN 1558-7177 www.perenews.com Senior Editor, PERE Jonathan Brasse +44 20 7566 4278 jonathan.b@peimedia.com Editor, PERE Robin Marriott +1 646 214 4851 robin.m@peimedia.com Senior Reporters Evelyn Lee +1 646 545 4428 evelyn.l@peimedia.com Thomas Duffell Tel: +44 20 7566 5466 thomas.d@peimedia.com New York 16 West 46th Street 4th Floor, New York, NY 10036-4503 +1 212 645 1919 Fax: +1 212 633 2904 London 140 London Wall London EC2Y 5DN +44 20 7566 5444 Fax: +44 20 7566 5455 Hong Kong 14/F, Onfem Tower 29 Wyndham Street Central, Hong Kong +852 2153 3240 Fax: +852 2110 0372 Reporter Arshiya Khullar +852 2153 3149 akhullar@peimedia.com Design & Production Manager Ethan Byun +1 212 633 2906 ethan.b@peimedia.com Winner of 2014 Best Commercial Trade Magazine PERE is published 10 times a year by PEI Advertising & Sponsorship Manager To find out more about PEI please visit: www.thisisPEI.com +44 20 7566 5448 nick.h@peimedia.com Printed by Hobbs the Printers Ltd www.hobbs.uk.com Nick Hayes Advertising & Sponsorship Manager Asia Pacific Annie Liu + 852 2153 3843 annie.l@peimedia.com Subscriptions and reprints Fran Hobson +44 20 7566 5444 fran.h@peimedia.com Jill Garitta +1 212 645 1919 jill.g@peimedia.com John Kral +1 646 545 6297 john.k@peimedia.com Andrew Adamson +44 (0)20 7566 5432 andrew.a@peimedia.com Sundar Ma +852 2153 3141 sundar.m@peimedia.com For subscription information visit www.perenews.com. Editorial Director Philip Borel philip.b@peimedia.com Head of Research & Analytics Dan Gunner dan.g@peimedia.com Publishing Director Paul McLean paul.m@peimedia.com Group Managing Director Tim McLoughlin tim.m@peimedia.com Managing Director – Americas © PEI 2015 ‘PERE’ and ‘Private Equity Real Estate’ are registered trademarks and must not be used without permission from PEI No statement in this magazine is to be construed as a recommendation to buy or sell securities. Neither this publication nor any part of it may be reproduced or transmitted in any form or by any means, electronic or mechanical, including photocopying, recording, or by any information storage or retrieval system, without the prior permission of the publisher. Whilst every effort has been made to ensure its accuracy, the publisher and contributors accept no responsibility for the accuracy of the content in this magazine. Readers should also be aware that external contributors may represent firms that may have an interest in companies and/or their securities mentioned in their contributions herein. Cancellation policy: you can cancel your subscription at any time during the first three months of subscribing and you will receive a refund of 70 per cent of the total annual subscription fee. Thereafter, no refund is available. Any cancellation request needs to be sent in writing [fax, mail or email] to the subscriptions departments in either our London or New York offices. John A. Higgins john.h@peimedia.com ® Where there is talent, there is war New York’s NorthStar Realty Finance is playing a cameo role in a long-running play being shown all over Europe. The central plot is that universal capital is descending on the region, which was a main talking point at MIPIM last month (see p.28). And NorthStar is an example of that. Not only is the publiclytraded property company spinning out a European entity and buying portfolios on the Continent, but also it has just completed a deal to buy a 15 percent stake in European fund manager, Aerium Group. So much for the main plot, but as with all plays there is a subplot that NorthStar’s role highlights. It is one that is focused upon in this issue of PERE. The avalanche of money towards Europe has brought its own challenges, one of them being how to retain and indeed hire the best talent. European managers are calling this the ‘battle for talent’ and it is preoccupying some minds. As Mikkel Bulow-Lensby, chief executive of Nordic Real Estate Partners says in our European Roundtable on p.52, this is what “keeps me up at night”. Keeping an incentivized team together on the ground in their respective markets is a challenge when there are so many capital sources looking for operating expertize. Start-ups and new opportunities are being created, offering present day real estate professionals some choices. Indeed we are at that point of the cycle, post-beta plays, where the need for talent is keener than ever. It is a pertinent point for fund managers given how a lot of institutional investors are keener to work directly with the operating partners these days, and you can read an account of the stronger hand now held by operating partners in a special report beginning on p.38. How does NorthStar fit into this subplot? Well, while it was looking for a European platform to gain access to assets, Aerium Group was looking for a US partner to open up new relationships with North American capital. The firm has been on a recruitment drive and the money from NorthStar has helped pay for a stellar cast of professionals. And so the cycle repeats, and we love watching. Enjoy the issue, Managing Director – Asia Chris Petersen chris.p@peimedia.com Co-founders David Hawkins david.h@peimedia.com Richard O’Donohoe richard.o@peimedia.com MIX Paper from responsible sources FSC® C020438 Robin Marriott Editor APR 2015 | PERE 1 INDEX 4 The News in Numbers 25 Europe News 6Data 8Deconstructed 28 MIPIM coverage 10 Special report The chief executive officer of Cordea Savills believes the acquisition of Germany’s SEB Asset Management puts the firm in striking distance of private real estate’s first-tier managers. By Jonathan Brasse 12 Hot story Harvard Management Company is seeking to sell a large proportion of its real estate fund interests on the secondary market. Evelyn Lee investigates 14 Stateside Lone Star’s potential ‘one and done’ fund close shows the imbalance between the ‘haves’ and ‘have nots’ of private equity real estate perhaps has never been more apparent. By Evelyn Lee 16 Americas news Facing the unions Alternative assets, operating know-how Andrew Chung’s start-up Battle of two mall heavyweights European core pricing is reaching boiling point due to the demand for yield far outstripping the availability of income-generating assets. Investors will need to take more risk to get their expected returns so some are heading for alternatives. By Thomas Duffell Talk on the Cote D’Azur at property’s annual MIPIM event largely centered on whether or not the flood of global capital into the real estate marketplace could be sensibly deployed. By Thomas Duffell 32 Asiaview Hong Kong’s proposed state fund for long-term investments is welcome news but only if the government chooses to be bold in its investment philosophy. By Arshiya Khullar 28 33 Asia News PERE Asia Summit 2015: call for change Andie Kang leaves NPS for a manager Why ANREV thinks India is a flying elephant 38 Special feature The current state of the operating partner model. By Robin Marriott 44 Operating outside the box 24 Eurozone AXA’s development play M7 brings op partners in-house Tristan Capital argues back 44 Few real estate managers are quite like Related Companies – and that’s helped drive the growth of its fund management business. Evelyn Lee interviews the New York-based firm in this month’s Blueprint. C M 52 More money, more problems This year’s PERE Europe roundtable shows the battle for talent is among the challenges presented by the ‘wall of money’ that has entered the region. By Thomas Duffell 60 Capital Watch Y CM MY 52 CY CMY K IN THIS ISSUE Aerium 25 AEW Europe 24, 29 Allianz Real Estate 29 Angelo, Gordon & Co 42 APG 36 Apollo Global Management 8 Artemis Real Estate Partners 20, 40, 41 AXA Real Estate Investment Managers 26 Cover Image Outside of the Guggenheim Museum, Bilbao 2 PERE | APR 2015 Beacon Capital Partners 12 BlackRock Real Estate 42 The Blackstone Group 4, 9, 14, 18 Brookfield Asset Management 56 The California State Teachers’ Retirement System 16 Canada Pension Plan Investment Board 24, 36 The Carlyle Group 16, 25, 35 CarVal Investors 4 CBRE Capital Advisors 34 CBRE Global Investors 25, 54, 55 China Investment Corporation 32 Clarion Partners 42 CLSA 33, 34 Cordea Savills 4, 10 Deutsche Bank 18 Fortress Investment Group 16 Gaw Capital Partners 33, 35 Generali Real Estate 4 GIC Private 4, 32, 33, 34, 36 Global Logistic Properties 33, 34 Goldman Sachs 9, 55 Goodman Group 8 Government Pension Fund Global 4 Greenfield Partners 42 Harvard Management Company 12, 16 IGIS Asset Management 4 Invesco Real Estate 35 JP Morgan Investment Management Investing 42 Kuwait Investment Authority 49 Laurasia Capital Management 33, 34 Lone Star Funds 4, 14, 18 Lubert Adler 12 M7 Real Estate 9, 25 Macquarie Capital 54 Madison International 4 M&G Real Estate 25 Mirus Resort Capital 9 Morgan Stanley Real Estate Investing 35, 42 National Pension Service of Korea 4, 35, 56 Nordic Real Estate Partners 54, 55 Norges Bank Investment Management 20, 38 Oregon Public Employees Retirement Fund 14 Oxford Properties Group 50 Patrizia Immobilien 24 Pramerica Real Estate Investors 33, 35 Prism Capital Partners 9, 42 Prudential Real Estate Investors 20 Qatar Investment Authority 56 Related Companies 9, 25, 41, 46 Rockspring Property Investment Managers 29, 35, 54, 55 SC Capital Partners 33 SEB Asset Management 4, 10 Siguler Guff 49 S. Norwalk 42 Starwood Capital Group 4 Teachers’ Retirement System of Louisiana 48 Texas County & District Retirement System 48 Tishman Speyer 41 The Townsend Group 35 TPG Capital 8 Tristan Capital Partners 27 USAA Real Estate Company 20 THE NEWS IN NUMBERS The size London-based Cordea Savills will grow to in terms of assets under management after buying Germany’s SEB Asset Management 1 The number of closes The Lone Star Funds is considering for its current global offering, the $5 billion Lone Real Estate Fund IV $5.6 billion 2 The number of big stories that broke during the MIPIM jamboree where 21,000 people gathered for the event in the south of France 10 The number of years Andie Kang spent at Korea’s $430 billion National Pension Service before quitting last month to join IGIS Asset Management as co-chief executive The number of protests to have taken place so far this year outside the New York global headquarters of The Blackstone Group over rental increase and home repossession claims in Spain 15 percent €300 million The allocation Italy’s Generali Real Estate wants to make to Asia property, with a focus being on China and Indonesia 4 The equity haul for CarVal Investors’ first investment vehicle dedicated exclusively to European real estate 0 The number of press releases from the MIPIM trade show from firms trumpeting real estate capital markets data The equity target Madison International has set itself for its latest fund, which would be $125 million larger than its current vehicle €350 million The largest fund to date for Starwood Capital Group as it closes its tenth opportunistic property vehicle, Starwood Global Opportunity Fund X 8 $905 million PERE | APR 2015 The joint venture struck up between GIC Private and Exeter Property Group to invest in European logistics Yardi Investment Management shortens the investment lifecycle and provides visibility from the portfolio level down to individual transactions. SOCIAL. MOBILE. SMART. YARDI Investment Management TM Generate value with a fully automated solution that drives superior returns, reduces risk and inspires investor confidence with complete transparency. North America +1 800 866 1144 | UK +44 (0) 1908 308400 Asia +852 2851 6638 | Australia +61 (2) 8227 2200 www.yardi.com/IM DATA Mega-fund, little-dip Though some $56.4 billion was raised in 2014 for funds in the $1 billion-bracket, that was a decline on 2013 levels, writes Kevon Davis, research analyst at PERE’s Research & Analytics division With the recent close of the opportunistic property fund Starwood Global Opportunity Fund X at $5.6 billion, PERE Research & Analytics decided to take a further look into total capital raised for megafunds, which are considered funds that raised $1 billion or more, and how they compared year to year. Between 2008 and the end of 2014, a total of $322.2 billion was raised between 146 mega-funds. This represented 46 percent of the all capital raised during the time period ($698.6 billion) but only nine percent of all funds that closed (1719). The largest fund to close for the time period was the Blackstone Real Estate Partners VII which raised $13.3 billion in 2012. Mega-funds have regained some traction since the financial crisis of 2008, with 2014 seeing some $56.4 billion collected in 25 vehicles. However, the strong recovery from its lowest point in 2011 couldn’t be matched in 2014. In 2013, a total of $66 billion was raised from 33 funds. This represents a decrease of 15 percent and 24 percent in total capital raised and number of mega-funds closed respectively. That said, the average fund in 2014 raised more capital than in 2013, with 2014’s average fund reaching $2.3 billion compared to 2013’s $2 billion. With the decrease in mega-fund Mega fundraising Mega-funds have grown steadily post-crisis, though dipped in 2014 by fifteen percent Source: PERE Research & Analytics 6 PERE | APR 2015 closings in 2014 compared to 2013, this may indicate a shift in investor preference. It could indicate limited partners are favoring smaller commitments through separate accounts and joint ventures and less traditional fundraising vehicles. In terms of geography, a majority of capital raised for the time period came from funds that had a global approach, representing 42 percent of all capital raised. However, in 2014, it was mega-funds focused on Europe that led fundraising, raising a total of $18.5 billion or 33 percent for the year. Europe had shown a significant uptick in total capital raised from the prior year. In fact, it is the only region that showed a growth in fundraising from the year before. In 2014, nine mega-funds closed for Europe, raising an aggregate of $18.5 billion or a growth of 29 percent from the $14.3 billion in 2013. The largest European fund to close was the Blackstone Real Estate Partners Europe IV which raised $8.7 billion between two tranches. Coming in at second are global funds, which raised an aggregate of $17.1 billion for the year. Of all the strategies, global mega-funds showed the largest decrease in capital raised from the prior year. Global megafunds raised a post-crisis high of $28.7 billion in 2013 while 2014 saw a total of $17.1 billion, a decrease of 40 percent. Strategy-wise, opportunistic mega-fundraising led all other types for the time period, raising a total of $147.8 billion or 46 percent of total capital. Opportunistic fundraising has grown fairly consistently since the strategy’s lowest point in 2010, where it raised $5.2 billion from three funds. This represents a growth of: 16 percent in 2011, 249 percent in 2012, 463 percent in 2013 and 252 percent in 2014 where the strategy raised $18.3 billion. Despite strong growth post-crisis, the strategy in 2014 did not reach similar levels in 2013, dipping by 38 percent. While opportunistic funds overall raised a majority of capital in 2014, it was debt related funds that led mega-fundraising for the year with an aggregate size of $22.1 billion from eight funds. Debt mega-funds, much like opportunity, have shown a steady increase in total capital raised in the post crisis years, with a modest increase of two percent in 2014 compared to 2013. The Lone Star Fund IX was the largest debt megafund to close in 2014, raising a total of $7.4 billion in August. 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Performance may be volatile, and an investor could lose all or a substantial portion of his or her investment. © Morgan Stanley 2015 DECONSTRUCTED Fail Caesar Caesars Entertainment, backed by TPG Capital and Apollo Global Management, took a hit recently when it lost an appeal to stop it being sued. But trouble has followed this company since it was acquired for $30 billion back in 2008 For many, Caesar’s Palace conjures images of boxing’s glorious has also changed its debt agreements in order to provide itself past. But in recent times it’s been the casino’s owners who have with additional breathing room. Then last year both TPG and been involved in some well publicized fights. Apollo invested $250 million each into a growth-oriented Private equity heavyweights Apollo Global Management venture called Caesars Growth Partners intended to help the and TPG Capital took control of the casino’s parent company parent company pursue growth opportunities and improve the Caesars Entertainment Corporation, which was known as balance sheet. Harrah’s Entertainment until 2010, back in After shuffling the debt around Apollo January 2008 with a leveraged buyout deal and TPG are now looking to create two new worth some $30 billion. companies, one a real estate investment trust The pair were caught square on the chin (REIT) to own the property assets and the however as the global financial crisis followed other to run as the casino operator. Caesars shortly after. Caesars experienced slumping already has an operating company but that revenues as consumer spending went down business is currently in Chapter 11 bankand the already heavily leveraged company ruptcy protection. was not aided by the new capital structure The problem for TPG and Apollo is that which saw Apollo and TPG load the balance while the deal looks good for senior debt Caesars Palace: Apollo and TPG have been taking a hit sheet with even more debt. holders those holding junior notes will sufSo with Caesars against the ropes TPG fer a body blow as they would effectively be and Apollo took the company public in 2012, albeit with a swapping $5.2 billion of debt for just 30 percent of the REIT. limited float and 70 per cent of the equity still in their hands. To counterattack, the junior debt holders are in the process of In September 2013 Caesars again tried to stabilize itself finansuing Apollo and TPG for what they allege is asset stripping. cially, when the group attempted to raise around $4.4 billion Round one went to the junior debt holders as a judge refused to refinance its commercial mortgage-backed securities as Caesars appeal to dismiss or halt the suit last month. But it is well as a $450 million senior secured credit facility. Caesars still anyone’s guess who will land the knockout blow. Shed heaven Once again the brave (or foolish, depending on your aversion to exercise) raced to the top of the world’s biggest shed, Goodman Interlink, in the name of charity As charity fun runs go the Goodman Interlink Magic Mile raised by the Goodman Interlink Magic Mile were donated to is one of the more unique. Hosted by Sydney-based logistics Feeding Hong Kong. Feeding Hong Kong is the first food bank developer-cum-fund manager the Goodman Group, the charin Hong Kong, dedicated to collecting and redistributing surity event sees Goodman’s business partners, plus food to people in need. staff and their families and friends make “Feeding Hong Kong is a charity we their way up the 15-floor cargo ramp of the believe our fundraising efforts can make a Goodman Interlink at Hong Kong’s Tsing Yi significant difference to, and we fully support district. port the organization in the terrific work Many of the 346 runners wear fancy dress they do,” said Philip Pearce, managing costumes for the climb to the summit of the director, Greater China for Goodman. Race start at the Goodman Interlink, world’s largest shed, with prizes going to Goodman managed to meet its target and Hong Kong: ready, steady go! the best dressed team/individual. This year raised a record HK$1 million for the charity the fancy dressers were given breakfast and to purchase a ten-ton truck and cover its onhealthy eating as a theme. road cost for two years. The truck will then be used to deliver The theme was all important for this year’s race as all funds surplus food to more schools and families across Hong Kong. 8 PERE | APR 2015 The excel files A Blackstone alumni bemoans the inadequacy of private real estate software…and raises $18.3 million for his start-up for investors to ‘cherry pick’ deals rather than be in funds or REITs From time to time, private equity real estate professionals do connect via phone calls and e-mail.” allow a little humility to creep into conversation. One does It sounds like his idea to modernize is catching on. hear, “I am just a simple real estate guy” in a modest nod According to the report, his 10-person firm counts among to the sophisticated mainstream private equity industry, its angels Michael Fascitelli, former chief executive officer of though oftentimes this is only half-sincere as the industry Vornado Realty Trust, Jon Winkelried, former co-president can be just as sophisticated as the leveraged of Goldman Sachs, and Andrew Farkas, the buyout brethren. That said, it seems that former chairman and chief executive officer there is one area where private equity real of Insignia Financial Group which merged estate can be labelled ‘simple’ and that is in with CB Richard Ellis to form super adviser, software being used by firms. Don’t take our CBRE. SL Green invested in the funding word for it, though, just ask Ryan Williams. round too. Williams is an alumni of Goldman Sachs As intriguing as it might be, Williams has and The Blackstone Group who has just not given away much yet about the model. raised $18.3 million for a start-up real estate However, he did say: “At a high level, it’s a Ninja software: we don’t know what it software company called Cadre. Speaking technology-driven framework for investis, but it could be dangerous to TechCrunch Daily, he said he was ing in real estate. It’s a newly enhanced way shocked that billions of capital was being to connect institutional capital with real managed in mere Excel files. “The real estate industry is one estate opportunities.” According to him, investors can take a of those last frontiers where the way people conduct business crack at specific deals rather than put their money into funds today is how they’ve been doing it for decades - especially or real estate investment trusts, which don’t allow them to on the capital raising side,” Williams said. “A lot still hap“cherry-pick transactions”. At PERE, we don’t know whether pens offline. People connect offline. Investors and operators to be worried or to applaud. Quotable “I preach risk diversification in the acquisition of assets, and it would seem silly to ignore that as a strategy for our own business.” Richard Croft, chief executive officer of European multi-let specialist, M7, on the reason why it has so many country partners that are now being brought in-house “The one thing about cold-weather resorts here is a fascination, like, ‘God, it must just be outstanding to run a ski area and I wish I could be a part of that.’” Michael Krongel of Mirus Resort Capital talking about a potential sell-off of 16 assets by US REIT, CNL Lifestyle Properties “When the market’s not as perfect, and it’s harder to find opportunities, sometimes being smaller and nimbler is better, and that’s the path we’ve chosen to take.” Justin Metz, managing principal of Related Companies’ fund management arm on how the company chooses the size of the funds it raises “Negotiations with Deutsche Bank had really gotten nowhere for the last few years.” Jim Baker, spokesman for the US union UNITE on how workers at The Cosmopolitan in Las Vegas felt the former owner had not come to the table to meet staff requests “We’ve had a debate about this. Jon’s got a gift. Obviously an MBA wouldn’t have improved it too much.” The Blackstone Group’s chairman and chief executive officer Stephen Schwarzman talking about global head of real estate Jon Gray at a Wall Street Journal leadership event “One of the problems operating partners face with opportunity funds is you are subject to the vicissitude of the performance of the funds.” Eugene Diaz, founder of New Jersey-based operating partner, Prism Capital Partners, on the challenge with partnering with money capital APR 2015 | PERE 9 SPECIAL REPORT | M&A Savills’ quantum leap The chief executive officer of Cordea Savills believes the acquisition of Germany’s SEB Asset Management puts the firm in striking distance of private real estate’s first-tier managers, and there could be more to come. By Jonathan Brasse J ustin O’Connor, the chief executive officer of Cordea Beyond personnel synergies We’re getting ahead of ourselves. O’Connor’s primary concern Savills, the real estate investment management business is integrating the two offices, Frankfurt and Singapore, of SEB, of London-listed property services group Savills, has with the 12 offices of Cordea. plenty to say. The conjoined business will have approximately 280 staff Thankfully, with gagging restrictions lifted following the after the 148 from SEB bolster Cordea’s 135, and, though the release of Savills’ full-year results last month, in which the £1 vast majority of SEB’s assets and staff are in Europe, O’Connor billion (€1.4 billion; $1.48 billion) market cap firm announced insists there is minimal overlap between the two businesses. it was buying investment management rival SEB Asset As such, he expects personnel ‘synergies’ only likely to be Management, he is now free to speak about it. found in areas such as IT, marketing and research. That comes as a relief as talk of the transaction, which will Nonetheless, he admits staff assessments are required transform Cordea into one of the world’s biggest real estate between now and when the deal completes: “We’re very much investment management businesses with more than €17 bilat the stage of understanding what everyone is doing. But on lion of assets under management across Europe and Asia, has the face of it, there doesn’t look like any real overlap.” done the rounds on Europe’s real estate rumor mill for almost Less certain is what the senior management structure will half a year. News of the deal surfaced at the EXPO Real conlook like when the ink on the deal is dry. “I remain ference in Munich last October, but because of as CEO,” confirms O’Connor. Accordingly, SEB’s listed company reporting restrictions, O’Connor current chief executive officer, Barbara Knoflach, had to keep schtum about it. will leave in the course of the transaction. She Now, with shackles off, he talks excitedly to has already lined up the global head of investPERE about what the €21.5 million acquisition ment management role at BNP Paribas Real means for Cordea. In one fell swoop, the firm Estate Investment Management, another real has more than doubled its AUM, has doubled its estate investment management business owned headcount and has become a meaningful chalby a property a property services business. lenger for business in Asia, the world’s growth But the other key roles are yet to be determined. region, to boot. For instance, O’Connor would not confirm there He has multiple messages for the market, O’Connor: not done would be heads of Europe or Asia roles. “In terms perhaps the most salient being that Cordea, or growing the business of the management structure, we’ll be announcSavills Investment Management as the business ing that following completion,” he said. “At the will be known once the transaction completes by moment we need to be making sure we’re putting together the the third quarter this year, is by no means done growing. “I’d right integration plan, the right organizational structure for like to say that in the next five years we’d be over €20 billion of the combined business.” assets under management,” he declares. One senior man that O’Connor wants to stay is Chua ChoyPerhaps he’s talking off-script, but it isn’t long before the Soon, the ex-GIC Private executive currently in charge of missing, and biggest, piece of the jigsaw, the United States, SEB’s 9-staff, €2 billion AUM Asia business. “I hope so. He’s a figures in the conversation. “Absolutely, we have a longer term really good guy. Our intention is to retain people.” strategy to be in the US, both in terms of raising and deployChua’s Asia platform actually was an important compoing capital. Raising capital from the US will happen before we nent of Cordea’s decision to pursue SEB. Though dwarfed make inroads. We’ll purse that in the shorter term. In terms in scale by its European business, O’Connor regards SEB’s of deploying capital, it depends on the success of integrating Singapore presence as the ideal stepping stone to growing a SEB and then the actual opportunities available for entering business that can challenge the existing pan-Asia competithe US market.” tion. Cordea’s building in Asia actually started prior to the But he confirms: “We’re monitoring what is available in the SEB deal. In 2013, it acquired a small Japanese property fund US. We need to because good opportunities don’t come along manager called Merchant Capital and last October, Cordea often.” 10 PERE | APR 2015 opened an office in Hong Kong. “We’re really building out our coverage in Asia,” notes O’Connor. “I like Asia as it offers many different markets with many different characteristics. It is less homogenous than Europe and Europe is not exactly homogenous. So there’s lots of different investment profiles for investors.” He adds: “Also, we’re going to see over the next few years a number of those markets will become more institutionalized and that will increase the investment universe for investors.” O’Connor harbors ambitions for Cordea to have “in the region of €4 billion or €5 billion” of assets over the next “few years” in Asia. By his reckoning, that would see the firm reside among the top 10 or so real estate investment managers in the region. Then comes the US. Says O’Connor: “My hope is we’ll be there in three years. But that will be dictated in terms of how fast we move in Asia to an extent and the actual opportunities in the US.” He is confident, however, that when the time does come to expand stateside, there will be both resources and strategic support from parent company Savills, which itself expanded to the US last May with the acquisition of Studley, the leading US independent commercial real estate services firm in a deal valued at as much as $260 million. It is unlikely the acquisition of a real estate investment management business in the US would command such a fee. O’Connor admits the cost would unlikely even rival the €21.5 million Savills is paying for SEB. But he says: “We have good backing from the PLC in terms of how and when we do it.” Catalysts and reactions Cordea’s agreement to buy SEB was the result of a sales process run by financial advisory firm Lazard and SEB’s own SEB Corporate Finance division. As far as O’Connor is concerned, SEB was keen to streamline its business activities to its core Nordics markets, across business lines. In its official communique, Fredrik Boheman, head of SEB’s German business, describes the offload as “a fundamental repositioning in response to market developments.” One unnamed European capital advisor says SEB became less enamored with the real estate investment management business after its German open-ended fund business, which today controls €6 billion of its €10 billion of assets, became subject to a BaFin-controlled formal liquidation, expected to complete by the end of 2017. “That meant fee-take was falling way rapidly,” he said. “For Savills, it gives them depth in the German market and, as a sideshow, Savills can help with sales from the open-ended funds,” he added. A European real estate fund manager, also talking on condition of anonymity, was also concerned about the platform’s income. He says: “The key about the price is the real AUM, how sticky is it and what is the fee schedule attached to that AUM.” Another European manager adds: “For them, strategically it’s quite an interesting move. Having said that, it’s also quite challenging as you have a lot of liquidating funds and assets.” But he says, scaling up via acquisitions like this is one of few options for investment managers in the small to middle tier of managers in the market. “You either bulk up or you become an also-ran. Savills have a decent platform around the continent. What they haven’t got is scale so this will give them that.” O’Connor retorts: “I think we’re leaving the squeezed middle and are now in striking distance of the top tier.” Apples for apples Cordea Savills’ purchase of SEB Asset Management has put it in touching distance of the third largest real estate investment management business owned by a property services firm. Property services firm CBRE JLL BNP Paribas Savills* DTZ Knight Frank Investment management business CBRE Global Investment LaSalle Investment Management BNP Paribas real estate investment management Savills Investment Management DTZ Investment Managers Knight Frank Investment Management Geographic Headquarters Headcount spread Los Angeles 1000 US, Europe, Asia Chicago 700 US, Europe, Asia Paris 300 Europe Assets under management ($bn) $90.6bn $55.3bn $21.7bn London London London $18bn $10 billion $1.4 billion 280 100 13 Europe, Asia Europe UK, Ireland *Numbers assume SEB Asset Management acquisition completes Source: PERE APR 2015 | PERE 11 SPECIAL REPORT | SECONDARIES The smart guy in the room Harvard’s massive sale offering shows how much the real estate secondary market has changed in five years. By Evelyn Lee V isit the headquarters of Harvard Management Partners, which have both raised significant amounts of capital Company (HMC) in Boston and one quickly gets the through dedicated secondaries funds in the past year. impression it is protected by top security. Sharing 600 Also expected to be in the running are new, nontraditional Atlantic Avenue as it does with The Federal Reserve Bank of buyers, most notably NorthStar Realty Finance. The publiclyBoston, which is part of the nation’s central bank, it is little traded commercial real estate company has become one of wonder that visitors are faced with airport-style X-ray security. dominant investors in the real estate secondary market since Guests must run their possessions through imaging machines striking a pair of large portfolio deals two years ago: the purand step through a full body scanner before progressing to the chase of a 51 percent ownership stake in a portfolio of 45 real elevators to get up to the 14th floor. estate fund interests from TIAA-CREF in February 2013 for The physical aspects add particular intrigue to HMC but $390 million, followed by the acquisition of 25 fund interests even more so at present because of what it happening behind with a net asset value of $925 million from the New Jersey closed doors. For as PERE reported last month, HMC is curDivision of Investment at roughly par four months later. rently shopping the largest ever portfolio of fund interests on But at $1.3 billion, the HMC portfolio also could attract the real estate secondary market. interest from private equity secondary firms that previously The secret process is shrouded in client conhaven’t invested in real estate but are drawn to fidentiality and non-disclosure agreements the vast size of the transaction, such as Pantheon, making the sale opaque and details hard to come Lexington Partners and Coller Capital. by. However, even though the process only began Meanwhile, sovereign wealth funds – several of in February, already it is anticipated to have a which have recently built teams dedicated to secdramatically different outcome from the endowondary investments – also are being seen as likely ment’s previous real estate secondaries sale five bidders, given the huge amounts of capital that years ago, according to people PERE has spoken those institutions have to deploy in real estate. with. Going back to 2010 It is understood that HMC is intending to sell Current market conditions stand in stark conup to $1.3 billion-worth of partnership interests trast to the environment that the endowment in approximately 35 real estate funds. The offer600 Atlantic Avenue, faced when it last was selling a pool of property ing would be equal to more than 40 percent of its Boston: HMC’s HQ where the $1.3 billion sale of fund fund stakes. In late 2009, HMC put up to $500 real estate fund investments, and nearly 27 perinterests is shrouded in million in existing and planned real estate fund cent of its total property holdings, which stood at secrecy investments on the market, in a transaction said $4.8 billion as of last June. According to PERE’s to be known as Project Bluefish. The portfolio sister publication Secondaries Investor, Dallasreportedly comprised more than 30 real estate fund interests headquartered advisory firm Cogent Partners is handling the that ranged from $50 million to $500 million in size and sale, about which the endowment has declined to comment included commitments to private equity real estate firms such publicly. as Beacon Capital Partners and Lubert Adler. Funds by those HMC’s offering is believed to be the largest ever made in two managers also are believed to be in HMC’s current real real estate secondary market, and likewise would be the largest estate secondaries portfolio. transaction in the space if it were to close. “This will be one HMC ultimately sold hundreds of millions of dollars’ worth of the most widely-distributed real estate secondaries transacof interests in a number of its funds to buyers that were said tions ever,” said one secondaries investor. to include traditional real estate secondaries firms, as well as Indeed, the potential pool of buyers for the HMC portfolio institutional investors that were acquiring stakes in specific is anticipated to be wider and deeper than any previous real funds. However, the endowment received some criticism for estate secondaries offering. For one thing, Cogent is said to not divesting as many property stakes as some prospective have approached at least 20 different groups with the HMC buyers had anticipated, in part because of the pricing that was portfolio. Obvious candidates would be traditional real estate being offered for partnership interests back then. secondaries buyers such as Partners Group and Landmark 12 PERE | APR 2015 “Generally during the financial crisis and into 2010, there was a lot of downside risk within real estate funds and therefore large discounts were quite common,” noted Peter McGrath, managing director at Setter Capital, a Toronto-based advisory firm that currently is working on 10 real estate secondaries deals. At the time, a real estate secondaries portfolio typically sold at a 20 percent to 40 percent discount on the aggregate net asset value (NAV) of the fund interests, he said. “Today, the market is completely different,” said McGrath. “Many funds have worked through their issues and buyers are much more optimistic about their prospects. Downside risk appears to be in check.” Portfolios now commonly trade for 85 percent to 100 percent of NAV, with individual funds sometimes going above NAV, he said. Real estate secondary transaction volume has been on an upswing in recent years, increasing from $5.1 billion to $6.8 billion in 2014, and is anticipated to rise further to $7.7 billion this year, according to a recent report from Setter Capital. Most of the volume today is in earlier vintages, largely 2004 to 2007 – that have been known to be among the worst-performing for real estate funds in recent years. Market timing Given current pricing for real estate fund stakes, many market participants believe that the endowment will be much more successful at selling its fund stakes than it did in 2010. “Harvard is actually timing the market really well,” said one secondaries investor. “The secondaries market is frothy. There’s a buyer base that has increased significantly, at a time when discounts are at their thinnest.” Despite some of the criticism it faced for its 2010 sale, “Harvard was one of the smart guys in the room” in terms of how it handled the transaction, the investor said. “It makes sense that they were testing pricing, because no one knew what the pricing was at that time,” he said. And while it was not willing to sell many of its fund interests at a significant discount, HMC was able to redeploy the proceeds of what it did sell into investments that now are generating higher returns than what its original fund interests likely would be yielding today. Meanwhile, it is widely believed that HMC will be able to sell most, if not all, of the new portfolio that it has put up for sale. However, the general consensus is that no single buyer would be able to take over the entire portfolio, and therefore the sale would involve multiple buyers and multiple types of buyers. According to one estimate, about 60 percent of the fund interests likely would be sold in bulk to a club of three to five buyers that could include a firm like Northstar as well as a few traditional secondaries buyers. An additional 30 percent could be traded to directly to limited partners that would want to buy interests in specific funds, particularly those of elite managers, and be willing to pay top dollar for those stakes. Meanwhile, approximately 10 percent to 20 percent may be sold in a subportfolio in what is known as a general partner-directed secondary transaction, where the general partner of the fund that HMC is wishing to exit has discretion over which buyer could acquire HMC’s stake in the vehicle. “It’s not that Harvard’s position on its portfolio has changed, it’s the market that has changed,” said one source familiar with the deal. “The market undervalued its portfolio in 2010, now the market may be overvaluing it, if pricing today is any indication.” Different motivations The endowment is understood to have different motivations for selling its real estate fund interests now than it did five years ago. In 2010, HMC’s real estate secondaries sale was largely driven by liquidity issues in the aftermath of the global financial crisis. At the time, market conditions were unfavorable for selling assets, which left many fund managers unable to return capital to their limited partners. Meanwhile, HMC, which had a high allocation to alternatives, had committed to property funds with money that it didn’t actually have – the distributions that it had expected to receive back from its managers but did not. Many of the partnership interests that the endowment was trying to sell in 2010, therefore, were unfunded interests. The main purpose of the new sale offering, however, is to rebalance Harvard’s real estate portfolio and redeploy capital in other areas where it believes it can generate better returns. For this reason, the endowment is expected to be selling 100 percent interests in its real estate fund stakes, since it no longer wants to be investing in these vehicles. By contrast, HMC was selling partial stakes in its 2010 offering because it still wanted to hold onto some of its interests in those funds. Meanwhile, HMC has given clear indications where it wants to invest the future proceeds from its latest real estate secondaries sale. According to the endowment’s annual report last September, HMC’s direct real estate investments generated a total return of 20.4 percent in fiscal year 2014, compared with a 7.8 percent for its legacy fund investments, and against a benchmark of 12 percent. Direct investments now account for approximately one-third of HMC’s property holdings, even though the endowment only began investing in the strategy in 2010 as it sought to reposition its real estate portfolio. In private equity real estate, HMC has been viewed as a leader among endowments and foundations, both because of its size and the sophistication of its real estate team. As it prepares to sell off a sizable portion of its property portfolio, the endowment appears intent to continue to make real estate bets that will keep it at the head of the class. APR 2015 | PERE 13 NEWS ANALYSIS | STATESIDE One and done The imbalance between the ‘haves’ and ‘have nots’ of private equity real estate has never been more apparent than it is right now. By Evelyn Lee It’s the ultimate version of fund envy: the two largest real estate funds in market not only are having no trouble raising money, but stand to haul in all of their billions in one shot. It really isn’t fair, is it? How, or why, is it possible that Lone Star Funds, which just began marketing its latest property fund, Lone Real Estate Fund IV, during the fourth quarter, is expected to hold a first and final close on the vehicle in mid-April? This deadline apparently even required one of their largest investors, the Oregon Public Employees Retirement Fund, to change their regular investment protocol in order to get its $300 million commitment into the fund, which has a $5 billion hard cap, on time. Even more unjust is The Blackstone Group’s Blackstone Real Estate Partners VIII, which has a $15 billion hard cap. As PERE has previously reported, the New York-based private equity and real estate giant also launched its fund during the fourth quarter, and initially was anticipated to attract a record $10 billion in its first close. As PERE was scheduled to go to press, we were hearing that the close, which was imminent, also was looking like a first and final. To be sure, neither Blackstone nor Lone Star are said to have mandated a single close for their funds. Rather, PERE understands that both firms are anticipated to receive enough first close commitments to hit their caps, and set their close dates after consulting their limited partners. Raising an entire target or cap – especially when it’s in the billions of dollars – in a single close is extremely rare. At the time of this writing, Blackstone had yet to raise a ‘one and done’ property fund – a vehicle that raises its entire target or cap in a single close – and Lone Star has managed it only once prior, with its Lone Star Residential Mortgage Fund I, which collected all $1.3 billion of capital last December. ‘One and dones’ have been, and remain, extremely difficult to pull off because various conditions need to be met all at the same. For one thing, the close has to consist primarily, if not entirely, of existing investors. Unlike new investors, existing LPs don’t need to conduct lengthy due diligence on the fund manager or the fund, nor do they have to underwrite a whole new team. For the most part, they already are 14 PERE | APR 2015 up to speed on the general partner, and any due diligence that they do conduct is likely to be more confirmatory than fact-finding. Additionally, the fund manager must have a solid track record, strong platform and what one consultant calls a ‘good story’ – something that sets it apart from the rest of the fundraising pack. All three criteria give an investment board the comfort and confidence to approve an investment. In the case of Blackstone, it has one of the best track records in the industry and also is the world’s largest private equity real estate firms, enabling it to bid on deals that few others can. Lone Star, meanwhile, also has generated robust returns for most of its funds and has made a name for itself by specializing in highly complex distressed investments. It also doesn’t hurt that Blackstone and Lone Star have both employed the still-unconventional method of group due diligence sessions for their new funds, which enables them to significantly reduce the amount of time they would have otherwise spent in due diligence meetings with new and existing investors. Of course, only managers with the aforementioned criteria can command a big and loyal enough investor base to even make group sessions possible. And as always, favorable economic terms for first close participants, which both funds are offering, help to steer as much capital as possible into the first, and possibly only, close. In some ways, current investment conditions may be helping to facilitate ‘one and done’ funds. Generally speaking, firms are taking less time to raise capital, thanks to rising confidence in the real estate market and growing interest from institutions globally to invest in the asset class. Meanwhile, many investors have been limiting the number of their investment managers over the past few years. As long as it happy with an existing manager’s performance, an LP will most likely re-up with that general partner rather than do the additional work of underwriting a new firm. On the flip side, it might have become more challenging for some well-performing managers to raise a fund from mostly existing LPs – and through no fault of their own. As many investors have become more focused on going direct in real estate over the past few years, some institutions that previously committed to a manager’s commingled funds may no longer plan to do so going forward. That’s extremely unfortunate for said fund sponsor, but no one ever said the fundraising world was fair. Unique perspectives. Innovative solutions. At Macquarie, we recognise that opportunity takes unexpected forms. Macquarie Capital is turning unique market insights into innovative investment opportunities. Our unrivalled global network of relationships and focus on sourcing intelligent, client-centred solutions has delivered exceptional results. Through bespoke, off-market transactions, we’ve deployed $US53 billion in equity commitments since 2003 – and created new possibilities for our clients around the world. macquarie.com/repcm ASIA CAPITAL ADVISORY FIRM OF THE YEAR Singapore | Hong Kong | Tokyo | Seoul | Mumbai | Sydney | Melbourne | London | Frankfurt | New York | Chicago | Abu Dhabi None of the Macquarie Capital entities are authorised deposit-taking institutions for the purposes of the Banking Act 1959 (Commonwealth of Australia). The obligations of these entities do not represent deposits or other liabilities of Macquarie Bank Limited ABN 46 008 583 542 (MBL). MBL does not guarantee or otherwise provide assurance in respect of the obligations of these entities. NEWS ANALYSIS | AMERICAS EMERGING MANAGERS Most read on PERENews.com [Americas] last month 1 HARVARD’S FUND INTEREST SALE Harvard Management Company (HMC) put at least $1 billion-worth of real estate fund interests up for sale as it continued to push into direct real estate investing and wind down its legacy portfolio. 2 MID-MARKET SQUEEZE “With the amount of global capital looking for real estate, mid-market funds must be wondering why they cannot seem to get a break,” said advisor EY in a report. The fundraising environment has remained challenging for many funds in this segment of the market, which typically raises funds in the $250 million to $500 million range. 3 FORTRESS’ CMBS OPPORTUNITY Fortress Investment Group said it was eyeing a ‘second wave’ of opportunity in the US resulting from fractured CMBS transactions originally structured before the global financial crisis. Specifically, Fortress is eyeing $1.2 trillion in maturing US commercial real estate loans through 2018 with much of the debt issued precrisis with high loan-to-value ratios. 4 BROKER UP FOR SALE Cushman & Wakefield, the global property services firm, has put itself up for sale for £1.3 billion (€1.8 billion; $2 billion). EXOR, the investment arm of the Agnelli family, owns 81 percent of Cushman and is said to have approved management’s hiring of Goldman Sachs and Morgan Stanley to help look for a buyer. 5 CALSTRS’ $1.25 BILLION CHECK The California State Teachers’ Retirement System (CalSTRS) has designated $1.25 billion in its latest round of commitments to real estate. The $186.4 billion pension plan will deploy most of the capital in non-core commingled funds, according to its investment report for the quarter ended December 31. 16 PERE | APR 2015 New York state of mind In setting up his own shop, the former Carlyle veteran is sticking to the market that he knows best As one of the top US real estate investment professionals at The Carlyle Group, Andrew Chung was a key dealmaker in New York City for the Washington, DC-based private equity firm. Now, the real estate executive is using that same market expertise to start up his own business. Chung was one of 80 investment professionals that made up Carlyle’s US real estate funds group, which is led by managing director Robert Stuckey. After 14 years at the firm, however, he left earlier this year to launch Innovo Property Group, a New York-based real estate investment shop. “Rob Stuckey has created a great real estate investing platform at Carlyle, and it was an extremely hard decision for me to leave,” said Chung, in an interview with PERE. “However, I wanted to pursue an entrepreneurial venture.” Despite the current competitiveness of the New York market, he said he still saw some value “on a long term basis in investing in the office, retail and residential sectors in New York.” He added: “I believe there’s an availability of capital, in terms of both debt and equity.” Chung, who was raised in New York, took the decision to target property sectors based on current demographic trends in the city and the fact that he had focused on those same property types while he was at Carlyle. As for Innovo’s New York focus, “my local market knowledge and broker network is extensive, based on my tenure at Carlyle,” Chung added. “I grew up here, I know the streets, I know where there’s Chung: hometown boy mispricing in neighborhoods where there’s long-term value.” Innovo initially will invest primarily on behalf of high-net-worth individuals, and also is looking to partner with institutional capital. It has the capability to deploy capital across different risk and return profiles, from core to opportunistic. However, Chung anticipates that the opportunity will lie predominantly in core and core-plus real estate over the coming year. The firm will target deals in the $25 million to $100 million range, where there typically are more off-market opportunities, and expects to close on its first investment sometime this year. Innovo also recently recruited its second employee, a senior associate. At Carlyle, Chung was involved in the acquisition, financing, management and disposition of more than $8 billion of US real estate investments. Notable deals included the development of Orion, a 60-story residential building in New York; Riverside Center, a residential complex in Manhattan’s Upper West Side; and 650 Madison Avenue, an office and retail tower in New York that was sold to Crown Acquisitions and Highgate Holdings for $1.3 billion in 2013. Prior to working on equity investments at Carlyle, Chung was part of the real estate finance and securitization group at CIBC World Markets. “This is a natural progression in terms of doing deals on my own,” he said. FOCUSED REAL ESTATE INVESTMENT For over 40 years, our singular focus has been real estate investment. This focus gives us a deep insight into investment markets and asset management techniques that reduce risks and optimize returns for our clients. CBRE GLOBAL INVESTORS – REAL ESTATE IS OUR NATURE www.cbreglobalinvestors.com NEWS ANALYSIS | AMERICAS UNIONS Facing the unions UNITE, the union for employees in the catering trade, has published a list of fund managers that it deems ‘irresponsible’. By Robin Marriott When The Blackstone Group’s Jonathan Gray and Peter Rose flew down to Las Vegas a few weeks ago it was not to have a good time at the roulette wheels. The global head of real estate and global head of public affairs went to The Cosmopolitan Hotel to meet employees in the heavily unionized catering trade to talk about contracts and working conditions following Blackstone’s acquisition of the hotel from Deutsche Bank for $1.73 billion last year. There was a champagne toast but on business matters, as the two men met with union people, they reassured staff they were not to be made redundant or be forced to re-apply for their jobs. Unions and employees are one of the trickier aspects to buying assets for which wages are a significant proportion of overall operating costs. Managing such assets require expertise in operating know-how, and it seems that not all owners of properties are in the good books of the unions. Certainly, it is possible for a private equity real estate firm to attract negative publicity by having protests outside an asset by employees or indeed winding up on a publicly-available list naming and shaming them as ‘irresponsible’ owners. Indeed, that is precisely what has happened to 15 managers (see table). UNITE, which looks after the interests of hospitality employees throughout the US and Canada, published a list a few weeks Named or shamed UNITE, the union for US employees in the catering trade, published the following list, alleging some property owners had been irresponsible RESPONSIBLE Rockpoint Group; Angelo, Gordon & Co; The Blackstone Group; CIM Group; Apollo Global Management; TPG Capital; Stockbridge Capital; AFL-CIO BIT/ HIT; HEI Hotels & Resorts IRRESPONSIBLE Walton Street Capital; Ares Management; Lone Star Funds; Carlyle Group; Prudential Real Estate Investors; KSL Capital; Lowe Enterprises; UBS Realty; Garrison Investment Group; Olympus Partners; Crow Holdings; Cornerstone RE Advisors; Northwood Investors; Clarion Partners; Dune Capital 18 PERE | APR 2015 Cosmopolitan hotel, Las Vegas: Blackstone met workers here ago alleging that while some managers such as Blackstone had demonstrated responsibility, others had not. The Cosmopolitan itself has been at the center of a dispute involving workers. Previous owner Deutsche Bank appeared to go cold on negotiating with employees over terms and conditions for two years before it sold the hotel to Blackstone. Disgruntlement led to protests. In late March 2014, for example, thousands of members of the Culinary Union Local 226 from the Cosmopolitan and other unionizes hotels picketed outside the hotel demanding better pay and benefits. That was just one of many pickets that took place at the hotel during preceding weeks and months. Jim Baker, spokesman for UNITE, said: “Blackstone set a new tone. Negotiations with Deutsche Bank had really gotten nowhere for the last few years.” Baker said the firm had said it wanted the workers to feel good about being there and talked about fair wages and work load. One worker at the hotel that local union, Culinary Union Local 226 put PERE in touch with said she was now “hopeful.” Talking about the ‘irresponsible’ list, Baker said a firm would be named if there was an active, unresolved dispute with the owner. Lone Star Funds, for example, acquired the Hotel Burnham in Chicago in early 2014 for $35.3 million. On November 18 last year workers filed charges with the regional office of the National Labor Relations Board, alleging intimidation and threats from hotel management. According to Baker, the employees were told by management that Lone Star was the one that “called the shots”. “In so far as we have tried to reach out to Lone Star, maybe 10 or 15 times so far, they have been entirely unresponsive,” he said. Generating superior risk adjusted returns in the Nordics by working with focused investment strategies and hands on asset management +20% IRR* and no single year of losses since inception in 2005 About NREP NREP is a leading Nordic private equity real estate firm. NREP was established in 2005 and has since inception raised 8 funds and executed over 150 property acquisitions and developments in the Nordic region, of which 49 have been exited. NREP currently has total assets under management of €2.2 billion, employs more than 50 professionals across three offices in Copenhagen, Stockholm and Helsinki and is fully owned by its partners. * Gross asset level internal rate of return excluding management fees and carried interest nrep.com NEWS ANALYSIS | AMERICAS OPERATING PARTNERS Alternative assets, operating know-how In the hot US core market, capital sources are looking more to alternative asset classes such as student accommodation and healthcare properties, and that can mean deals with niche experts. By Robin Marriott Investcorp, the Bahrainian alternative investment group, struck a $300 million deal last month underlining global demand is growing for high-quality alternative US assets and for relevant US operating partners at the same time. The investment manager with a total of $11 billion of assets under management of which $1.5 billion is in real estate, agreed to buy a portfolio of residential properties in Washington D.C., Orlando in Florida, San Diego, and Baltimore with its usual model. It maintains a controlling interest in the investments made alongside national or regional real estate companies, in this latest case being with four undisclosed operating partners. The deals give Investcorp exposure to properties totaling more than 2.1 million square feet comprising 1,900 multifamily and student housing units, such as Orion, a 624-student property located close to University of Central Florida. All are described as being “high-quality assets” at what the firm believes are “attractive yields that demonstrate upside potential,” according to Brian Kelley, principal in the firm’s real estate group, which is no stranger to US property having invested here since 1996 in deals totaling $11 billion. In the last twelve months it has put $850 million to work. Perhaps more significantly still, it was one of three examples during the past few weeks where capital sources have invested alongside operating partners of varying expertise and guises. Just two weeks ago – in fact, in the same week as Investcorp announced its deal – USAA Real Estate Company revealed the formation of a joint venture in the health care sector with localized operating partner, Brackett Flagship Properties, to 1 2 acquire, develop, manage and lease properties like medical offices and critical health outpatient facilities throughout the south east part of the US. In this case, the initial assets inserted into the joint venture comprised 315,000 square feet of property including Costwold Medical Plaza II in North Carolina. USAA said the strategic partnership focused on a sector with “significant growth potential” based in part on demographic analysis. The interest in healthcare is fuelled by the aging baby boomer population - the most significant demographic transition in US history. Len O’Donnell, USAA’s president and chief executive officer, added the model could be replicated in other regions throughout the US, implying more operating partnerships in the future. These deals come as experts in operating partnerships suggested a shift towards more activity in alternatives. Deborah Harmon, co-founder and chief executive officer at Washington D.C.-based Artemis Real Estate Partners, which has a total of 44 operating partners, said that while its first fund, Artemis Fund I, was overweight in multifamily property, in the followup the firm had been more active in self-storage, healthcare and student housing markets. Harmon further observed that given declining yields for core property, operating partners were particularly interested in core-plus capital. The third deal to occur in recent weeks was closer to a core property deal. Norges Bank Investment Management (NBIM) has acquired a 45 percent interest in 11 Times Square for $401.9 million. In this instance, the owner is Prudential Real Estate Investors and the operating partner is SJP Properties, which stays in as asset manager. 3 (1) Orion, a 624-bed student housing property in Orlando, Florida; (2) Cotswold Medical Plaza II, Charlotte, North Carolina; (3) Eleven Times Square, New York 20 PERE | APR 2015 • Founded 1991 • $5,581,045,000 Starwood Global Opportunity Fund X Targeting Real Estate and Related Opportunities in Most Every Asset Class Around the Globe March 6, 2015 We Thank Our Investors For Their Support hotels • multiFAmily • oFFiCe • retAil • CorPorAte • lAnd • student housing • debt At l A n tA | C h i C Ag o | F r A n k F u r t | g r e e n w i C h | lo n d o n | lo s A n g e l e s | lu x e m b o u r g m i A m i | PA r i s | s A n F r A n C i s C o | s Ao PAu lo | wA s h i n g to n , d.C . stA rwood C A PitA l.Com GUEST COMMENTARY | THE ANALYST’S PERSPECTIVE Battle of two mall heavyweights A $23 billion hostile bid by Simon Property Group for Macerich has gripped the public REIT sector. Jim Sullivan, veteran analyst at Green Street Advisors who heads up the firm’s North American REIT research team, explains the key to the deal ‘Bigger’ is not always ‘better’ in the real estate business. However, in the mall sector, size matters because of the way that large retailers make leasing decisions. The importance of scale is what makes the recent offer by Simon Property Group (SPG) to acquire Macerich (MAC) so intriguing. While lower-quality malls continue to face an uncertain future, high-quality malls continue to represent one of the most appealing forms of real estate an investor can own. Simon is the largest global owner of retail real estate with over $90 billion of assets. Macerich is the third largest mall owner in the US with roughly $20 billion worth of properties. The recent offer followed months of M&A speculation after Simon revealed in November 2014 that it had taken a 3.6 percent equity stake in its target. A combination of the two giant mall companies makes abundant strategic sense. Our database shows that Simon and Macerich own many of the ‘best’ malls in the country. However, the overall geographic footprint of Macerich differs meaningfully from Simon, so a combination would allow Simon to offer retailers an even broader array of location choices. In addition to high-quality malls and an appealing geographic footprint, Macerich also has a burgeoning outlet business that is certainly of interest to Simon, a leader in this rapidly expanding part of the retail real estate world. The strategic merits of a merger are numerous, but the financial merits will depend on the deal structure ultimately negotiated. At press time its latest offer was rejected, but it is worth noting Simon’s initial offer came at a premium to the market value of Macerich’s properties. Consequently, the bid likely relies on significant cost savings (i.e., synergies) to make the deal pencil. In general, REITs do not usually deserve the benefit of the doubt when acquiring other REITs, particularly where large premiums must be supported by synergies. In a review of REIT M&A over the past 20 years, we found that REITs systematically overpay for synergies. Simon has bucked this trend and has been much more successful on the M&A front than most other REITs. Hence, the behemoth deserves the benefit of the doubt for the time being. However, if Simon is forced to pay even more than its initial 22 PERE | APR 2015 $91 per share bid, its underwriting of potential synergies will certainly come under the microscope. As of press time, Simon had offered to pay $91 a share or $23 billion, representing a 30 percent premium to the share price prior to Simon disclosing its 3.6 percent ownership interest last November. The offer is comprised of 50 percent cash and 50 percent Simon stock. As part of the deal, Simon disclosed an agreement to sell some malls to General Growth (GGP), the second largest US mall REIT. Asset sales will be an important financing component to the deal, while also allaying anti-trust concerns likely to be raised by retailers in certain markets. Tangible synergies must offset the takeover premium plus transaction costs to make a merger deal work. Some synergies, such as general and administrative expense savings and reduced debt costs, are easily quantifiable. However, the most important synergy – the synergies emanating from improved operations – is unfortunately the most difficult to value. There are three important synergies available in a combination. First, much of Macerich’s $65 million in annual overhead expense appears likely to be eliminated. Second, Macerich has primarily used secured, non-recourse financing, which has recently been more expensive than unsecured debt. Simon has long enjoyed a cost of debt advantage, with ample access to the secured and unsecured debt markets. Thirdly, Macerich is an excellent operator, yet Simon is the best in the business and can likely achieve additional efficiencies. An important potential offset to these synergies is the potential property tax hit. In California, Prop 13 limits annual tax increases to no more than 2 percent. As a result, properties that have been held for years by the current owner can enjoy relatively small tax bills despite massive value appreciation. A sale, however, causes the property’s assessed value to be marked to market. Roughly 30 percent of Macerich’s net operating income is in California, and Green Street estimates that increased property taxes could reduce the overall portfolio value by 3 percent to 5 percent, thereby mitigating much of the synergy value. Mall ownership in the US is highly concentrated among the publicly traded REITs, and opportunities are rare to acquire a sizeable portfolio of high-quality centers. Simon has a stellar capital allocation track record with a history of executing deals that have created substantial value for its shareholders. Nevertheless, the prospect of other bidders showing up could make for a compelling drama over the next several weeks. CREDIBLE RELIABLE CONNECTED FUND & CORPORATE SERVICES www.alterDomus.com NEWS ANALYSIS | EUROZONE Too hot to handle European core pricing is reaching boiling point due to the demand for yield far outstripping the availability of income-generating assets. Investors will need to take more risk to get their expected returns so some are heading for alternatives. By Thomas Duffell Yields of under 4 percent and under and more heavily oriented towards value added-style risks 3.5 percent are expected for office and returns. Yet, he adds that such an outflow of capital from and retail real estate respectively, core real estate in both the office and retail segments is not says Marcus Cieleback, group head to be expected. of research at Hamburg-based real Of course some will certainly be adjusting their strategies estate investment company Patrizia to avoid the low return environment of European core, says Immobilien. He puts this down in the CBRE survey. The survey says the attractiveness of value part to the European Central Bank’s add and opportunistic real estate among investors has risen (ECB) plan to acquire government 10 percent since last year and investors are constantly having bonds which he says will drive the to evolve their investment strategies. price level of commercial real estate up as well as increasing The danger of this of course is that when a fund manager demand, which in turn will cause these record low yields. moves up the risk spectrum in order to meet investors’ Cieleback is not alone in expecting pricing of core expected returns it may be to a level which the investor has European real estate to skyrocket and for returns to be not agreed to, or will mean a divergence from the planned diminished. In fact, fund managers speaking to PERE at real investment strategy. estate conference MIPIM (see pages 27 onwards for detailed Some fund managers tell PERE they expect to see bad coverage) say they have been in conversation with investors decisions made as they will not want to be honest with regarding the return expectations of their core offerings their investors in explaining why they should expect lower due to the market’s hot pricing. AEW Europe’s chief execureturns, or simply because they are too impatient to wait for tive officer Rob Wilkinson for instance, says that the vast the right core asset to become available. amount of capital allocated to real estate would cause return That’s not to say that all opportunities to make good returns expectations to decline for the most in Europe are gone; but, rather that core strategies, but not for more value the low hanging fruit has already “For those looking at moving added or opportunistic strategies. been plucked. Take for instance into alternatives, the fund It is easy to see why pricing is on the move towards ‘alternatives’. manager has a word of such a rise as, besides the ECB’s Described by one pan-European warning: it is a private equity intervention, demand for real estate fund manager as the emerging sector deal so knowledge of the increases due to the volatility of equiin Europe alternatives was high on operating model is imperative.” real estate investors list of key themes ties and bonds offering very little yield. The vast amounts of capital for 2015. In fact, the CBRE survey looking for a home in core real estate far outstrips the availsays investors will be actively be pursuing opportunities in able stock. In fact, a recent CBRE survey of 280 real estate student accommodation (27 percent), leisure/entertainment investors says that access to competitively priced stock is and healthcare (both 17 percent) and retirement living (15 the biggest problem today. Nearly all – some 91 percent – of percent). The trend is already bearing out too, just last month investors cited one of ‘availability of assets’, ‘asset pricing’ or the Canada Pension Plan Investment Board (CPPIB) entered ‘competition from other investors’ as the biggest obstacle to the UK student housing market when it acquired a 100 perinvesting. cent stake in Liberty Living, for £1.1 billion (€1.52 billion; It is no wonder then that Patrizia’s Cieleback says that real $1.67billion). Earlier this year LaSalle too made an £81 milestate investors need to move up the risk spectrum to get lion UK student housing play. decent returns. He says the recent trend of rising rents and But, for those looking at moving into alternatives the fund vacancy stagnation for office real estate in Europe will conmanager has a word of warning: it is a private equity deal so tinue and that investment strategies must now be reviewed knowledge of the operating model is imperative. 24 PERE | APR 2015 NEWS ANALYSIS OPERATING PARTNERS Under one roof Many firms like to keep their overseas operating partners outsourced, but one group is moving in the other direction and bringing their operating capabilities in-house Fully cross-border operating partners are hard to come by in the real estate industry. The reason being is that to be an effective operating partner one needs such a detailed knowledge of the local market it is rare to have such expertise in more than one jurisdiction. In fact, it is often why operating partners are relatively small businesses. One group who does not subscribe to the outsourcing model is M7 Real Estate, the investment manager specialized in high yielding multi-let properties. The London-based firm, probably best known as the operating partner in joint ventures with firms such as Starwood Capital Group and Oaktree Capital Management, has recently changed its internal structure bringing more operating expertise in-house. The firm has moved away from its old model, which saw it use asset management partnerships in different countries throughout Europe, each with a country-focused operating platform, by integrating these platforms into the M7 mother ship. It has done so by exchanging shares in the overseas entities for shares in M7. The executives, who now head M7’s European offices as managing directors, have Croft: Taken things become shareholders in the London-headquartered in-house parent company. “We are conscious that as M7 grows as a business it is vitally important that each individual country head is not solely concerned with just their own platform and actually takes an active interest in the bigger picture at M7,” said Richard Croft, M7’s chief executive. Operating partners, especially those with offices across borders, can never be completely confident that all geographies or sectors will see equal action. The concern is that certain geographies or individuals working on certain sectors may lose interest if they are not being kept busy enough, and without work compensation incentives suffer. Others talking to PERE have discussed this concern with in house operating partners, namely that when capital is shifted from one geography to another it is too difficult to keep every local team invested in the firm as a whole. Again, M7 has made a move to address concerns that its staff would not be kept busy enough, say if one of its large joint venture partners decided to sell everything and it would have too many people on the payroll for the assets it was managing. M7 is also a fund manager in its own right having raised its second fund back in December as well as an asset manager with staff working across business lines and there is plenty of work involved in being both. “I preach risk diversification in the acquisition of assets, and it would seem silly to ignore that as a strategy for our own business,” said Croft. Most read on PERENews.com [Europe] last month 1 CBRE GI EXPANDS CBRE Global Investors promoted two senior executives within its separate accounts business who will lead a newly-created executive board. The board will oversee an enhanced separate accounts infrastructure which will include in-country native-speaking relationship managers for large separate accounts teamed up with “country champions”. 2 CARLYLE’S NEW HEAD The Carlyle Group has hired Peter Stoll, a former Blackstone senior managing director to run its European real estate business. The hire of Stoll follows a recruitment process headed by head of international real estate Adam Metz. 3 M&G CREATES SOLUTIONS ROLE M&G Real Estate is creating a new team to work with large international investors on separate account strategies, joint ventures and club deals. Extending its roster of large, thirdparty, international clients has been a goal of M&G Real Estate’s chief executive Alex Jeffrey since he took over the business in 2013. 4 NORTHSTAR’S AERIUM BITE NorthStar Realty Finance Corporation, a company listed on the New York stock exchange with $16.4 billion of assets, has agreed to buy a 15 percent stake in a European fund manager. NorthStar is taking a bite of Aerium, which has around €6.1 billion of assets and is headquartered in Luxembourg. 5 RELATED FORMS UK JV Related Companies, the developer and third party fund manager based in New York, has formed an overseas partnership with a British equivalent, Argent Group, for a partnership called Argent Related. Together they will focus on developing open-market and affordable housing, offices, retail leisure and hotels in mixed-use and residential developments. APR 2015 | PERE 25 NEWS ANALYSIS | EUROPE DEVELOPMENT Core from the ground up Given the strong pricing of core assets, AXA Real Estate says it is the perfect time to create your own. By Thomas Duffell A total of $40.3 billion was raised for private real estate stratehas 80 redevelopment or refurbishment projects across Europe gies in Europe during 2014, a growth of 82 percent from the with an end value of €8 billion, added Kavanagh. Another previous year, according to research from PEI’s Research & example of the firm’s development push is the Quadrans Analytics division. And as more buyers enter the continent, Project. The landmark office complex, the largest current recent data from property services firm DTZ also suggests development of its kind in France is located in the south-west 2015 commercial investment volumes are forecast to just stop of Paris (15th district) directly accessible by car and public short of the all-time 2007 record at approximately €210 biltransport, with strong visibility from the Paris ring road. lion, but significantly higher than 2014’s €175 billion. Kavanagh said that connection to infrastructure was key The supply and demand dynamic for European real estate to the development work undertaken. Part of the rationale is then is skewed heavily in favor of the seller causing prices, that AXA sees the urbanization trend play out and occupiers especially of core assets, to skyrocket. One firm that insists are looking to be in dynamic cities where they can tap into a it is well-placed to take advantage of such high core pricing is vibrant and dynamic workforce. “Millennials want to work AXA Real Estate Investment Managers. in dynamic environments – London is expanding. Look at To do so, the Paris-based real estate division of insurance the growth of tech city and King’s Cross for example, which company AXA will have a strong focus on development and demonstrate that a number of companies want to be in CBD ‘alternatives’ in 2015, according locations with strong infrastructo Anne Kavanagh, global head ture and diverse amenities to of asset management and transattract talent.” actions, who said: “We have the This year will not just be about expertise on the ground in Europe developing for AXA, however, as with 10 offices operating in 19 the firm is also looking at putting countries to be competitive in cremore capital to work in the ‘alternaating core.” tives’ space. “We see opportunities. One example showcasing AXA’s In Europe, it is an emerging sector 2015 development theme is the versus the US. We understand the firm’s acquisition of 22 Bishopsgate real estate and the income is attracin London known as the Pinnacle, tive but you have to understand the The Pinnacle, London: part of AXA’s development push which it acquired on behalf of a operators, to invest well you need consortium of investors. The origithe sector expertise and private nal Pinnacle development stalled in early 2012 when finance equity skills which we have in house,” says Kavanagh, who for the project ran dry, but it is being resurrected by AXA in adds that the firm has capital to deploy in healthcare, hospian all-equity transaction, reportedly valued at £220 million tality, data centers and student accommodation assets. (€299 million; $338 million). AXA will act as development But, AXA can expect more competition here than they and asset manager on behalf of the investors but has retained might have come up against in the past. A CBRE survey of Lipton Rogers as its developer. The pair intend to develop a 280 real estate investors say they are planning an increased new landmark tower, designed by architects PLP. interest in ‘alternative’ real estate. Real estate debt has seen Said Kavanagh: “Prior to the crisis in Europe, top quality the most dramatic increase in activity over the last two years, core product was not oversupplied and during and after the from under €10 billion in 2012 to €49 billion in 2014 and is set crisis there has been very little addition to office supply. A to remain the preferred alternative choice this year. 32 pernumber of the cranes on the London skyline are for residencent of respondents stated that they will actively be pursuing tial. If you are an occupier at the moment hunting for office opportunities in real estate debt in 2015, closely followed by space in London, and you analyze the demand/supply statisstudent accommodation (27 percent), leisure/entertainment tics, there are actually very few choices.” and healthcare (both 17 percent) and retirement living (15 Not that development is new for AXA. The firm currently percent). 26 PERE | APR 2015 GUEST COMMENTARY | THE RESEARCHER’S PERSPECTIVE Low cost upside Low growth expectations in Europe don’t seem to be consistent with low rates, cheap euros, lower energy costs, and other positive factors that embed an investment proposition that is already very attractive. By Simon Martin, head of research and strategy at Tristan Capital Partners When we visit clients and proplays out. This is because long term rationing has induced spective investors we try to leave some permanent changes to industrial capacity that will slow them with one clear message: In the pace at which capital can be formed. A major change is Europe there is still a significant that the multi-strategy managers will find it hard to reboot risk-adjusted opportunity to make back into the space, as they abandoned value-add and fully money buying assets that need to re-tooled their businesses to focus on core strategies and debt be recapitalized, refurbished and products. At the same time the regulatory environment in released. We suggest that this Europe has significantly increased the operating cost and opportunity remains cheap because time investment required to be a new entrant niche GP. the cost of an impaired asset still The nature of the opportunity is also governed by the remains well below the value of a repaired asset. We also quality and condition of the asset base. As we all know, real say that there are now modest tailwinds from improveestate needs constant care and attention to preserve its tenant ments in the European economy that may further support appeal and long-term value. Capital rationing and seven years performance. of slow-low GDP growth have pushed many assets into a cycle Investors often push back, concerned that capital flows are of poor leasing velocity and deferred maintenance liability accelerating and that growth could change the window of that has become tough to break. This is why non-core prices opportunity. Inevitably this leads us into a debate centered on and core prices remain widely diverged and, equally, why ‘the nature and dynamics of the opportunity’ and ‘the degree breaking this cycle is clearly where the opportunity lies. If of difficulty associated with successful execution’. We believe the capacity to break this cycle and close the spread between this debate is important as it goes to the heart of why Europe impaired and repaired assets is the nexus of the opportunity, is an interesting investment opportunity right now. then the key to understanding the execution risks is cenThe supply of capital is, in of tered on the GP’s ability to manage itself, a major driver of the way the creation of ‘core’. GPs that focus LPs that are concerned about the in which any opportunity pans on manufacturing an asset that fits window of opportunity closing, out. The prevalence of creditor neatly into the institutional definifrequently cite increased capital control and banking distress formation as a reason to hold back. tion of core, will be among the most blew the window of opportusuccessful of this extended vintage. We think that the space is better nity wide open for investors, The final dimension to the noncapitalized, but far from crowded. but it has been extended for core opportunity is the debate over much of the last five years by the growth. The return dynamics of nonway in which in-bound capital has been carefully rationed. core investing continue to allow managers to hit their targets Incoming investors have been relatively cautious and as a and collect significant leveraged cash flow, without underresult capital has been drip-fed into the small group of ‘nonwriting ‘market improvement’. However, it is very apparent core’ managers that distinguished themselves as prudent that when GDP growth does come through in an economy, it fiduciaries in the last cycle. As a result, the aggregate sums can provide a dramatic upside boost to returns. This leads us raised have been far short of the levels required to clear the to believe that, even if we don’t have to underwrite growth to capital-intensive opportunities that exist at the value-added make our returns, growth’s catalyzing effect on values should and opportunistic end of the market. be part of the calculation that investors make when allocatLPs that are concerned about the window of opportunity ing capital. Right now, low growth expectations in Europe closing, frequently cite increased capital formation as a readon’t seem to be consistent with low rates, cheap euros, lower son to hold back. We think that the space is better capitalized, energy costs, more QE and big current account surpluses. In but far from crowded. In our view, there are persistent barriour view, this embeds a low cost option on the upside into an ers to entry that will slow the pace at which the opportunity investment proposition that is already very attractive. APR 2015 | PERE 27 SPECIAL REPORT | MIPIM Capital on the coast Talk on the Cote D’Azur largely centered on whether or not the flood of global capital into the real estate marketplace could be sensibly deployed. By Thomas Duffell Cannes harbour: home to a buoyant MIPIM T he atmosphere at MIPIM was described as “buoyant” by more than one of the industry executives who attended the world’s largest real estate conference on the sunny shores of Cannes. The same professionals might then have been surprised when real estate agent Cushman & Wakefield revealed that global real estate investment had actually fallen for the first time in five years by 6.3 percent to $1.21 trillion in 2014. But, in the analysis behind the numbers it was easy to see why the chink of champagne glasses could be heard all along the Boulevard de la Croisette. Looking back to 2014, the report stated that while excess capacity in some parts of the property market and previous policy tightening had a negative impact on Chinese investors and developers. However, excluding China land sales, global volumes rose 9 percent. Further, ignoring China, global investment levels are set to rise an additional 11 percent in 2015 to $1.34 trillion, led by Europe and the US. “The 2014 pick-up was better than many predicted this time last year but the 2015 outlook is stronger still, with the brakes now coming off the market,” said David Hutchings, head of EMEA investment strategy at Cushman & Wakefield. “Not only do we have strengthening global liquidity thanks to low interest rates and an expansion in quantitative easing, we also 28 PERE | APR 2015 have the start of stimulus measures by China, signs of deeper reform in more markets and an improvement in the fundamentals for the occupier in many areas.” Yet, in spite of the optimism that was prevalent throughout the week one common theme that was on everyone’s lips was whether all of this investment was “sensible”? “There is a worry that core pricing is becoming too hot. There is pressure on investors to allocate, and managers to invest, and this can ultimately lead to bad decisions,” said Will Rowson, partner at the New York-based capital advisory firm Hodes Weill & Associates. “There are still real opportunities in the European market for skilled knowledgeable managers but the low hanging fruit has definitely gone.” The former CBRE Global Investors’ chief investment officer for Europe, says that when the marketplace reaches this temperature it can force managers up the risk spectrum. Rowson’s contention that managers might start looking at more opportunistic and value added strategies bears out in some research conducted by CBRE that was also released at MIPIM. The attractiveness of the two strategies has risen 10 percent among real estate investors since last year, according to the survey. The survey of 280 real estate investors said that access to competitively priced stock was the biggest problem for investors today. Nearly all – some 91 percent of 280 investors - cited one of ‘availability of assets’, ‘asset pricing’ or ‘competition from other investors’ as the biggest obstacle to investing. “Investors are constantly having to evolve their investment strategies, in their pursuit of yield and returns, as demand for European commercial real estate shows no sign of abating,” Jonathan Hull, managing director of EMEA capital markets at CBRE, said. “This diversification is leading investors into new markets and sector. However, there is still significant demand for core locations and assets, particularly from the growing influx of capital from outside the region.” One group conscious of not moving up the risk spectrum in order to maintain deal volume is Rockspring Property Investment Managers. Flavio Casero, partner at the Londonbased real estate manager, said: “For real estate investment management firms this is a buoyant environment in which to operate, given the general and increasing availability of equity and debt capital. However, as the underlying economy remains fragile, this comes with the challenge of sieving through a growing supply of stock which, in good part, will not match our investment risk-return requirements.” The firm has had a busy start to 2015. It reached a final close on its UK core-plus offering, UK Value 2 LP, on £342 million (€475 million; $503 million) back in February which has made seven acquisitions, taking the current total aggregate value of the assets to more than £200 million. “The key will be having patience, acting quickly when the right deal is identified, and the ability to keep investors abreast of how the market evolves over time.” One outcome of the pressure to invest is that there will be more package deals, said Olivier Piani, chief executive of Allianz Real Estate. “Expect to see lots more portfolio deals, €1 billion-plus, which will be driven by funds and provide a good way of getting the necessary volume of capital to work.” Piani adds that while there is a lot of money looking for deals he still expects his firm to hit its target of deploying €2 billion in 2015. “We invested €2.5 billion last year with a €2 billion target, this year should be no different.” Some of the portfolio deals that Piani is expecting may hit the market from AEW Europe, the Paris-based real estate investment management firm. Russell Jewell, head of private equity funds for AEW Europe says that the firm’s exit strategy for its value-added and opportunistic funds is building portfolios of assets with stable cash flow to sell to institutions. “We are developing logistics assets rather than buying highly competitive portfolios. We are trying to get at core real estate but with better pricing,” adds AEW chief executive Rob Wilkinson, whose firm has been busy on the fundraising trail reaching a €235 million second close on its Europe Value Investors Fund in last month and closing on €820 million for its Caffe Roma: barometer of vibrant market core industrial and warehouse platform, logistics in December. In fact, when quizzed as to whether or not the vast amount of capital allocated to real estate would cause return expectations to go down (as pricing gets higher), Wilkinson says this is only the case for the most core strategies. Not everyone at MIPIM agreed with Wilkinson that core return expectations should be lowered, and this say others is where the “stupid behavior” may start. The driving force behind this is obvious: managers have a fixed period to make investments and right now the markets are getting hot as more and more equity is available for deployment, causing prices to rise as demand outstrips supply. The fear then is that in order to meet investors’ expected returns fund managers will be required to either move up the risk spectrum – to a level which the investor has not agreed to – or to diverge from the planned investment strategy while on the hunt for attractively priced assets. One pan-European fund manager said that the chances of investors being burnt on real estate again is high, but for a different reason. He says that when there are good times in the real estate industry investors are blind to past failings. Managers that he says should have been killed off for poor performance during the last downturn have been able to sit on the side lines and bide their time before making a re-emergence on the fundraising trail, and they are able to collect capital. Yet, while equities remain volatile and bonds offer little yield, demand for real estate looks set to increase in 2015 which only increases the pressure on managers to deploy and come back to market with new offerings. How wisely will the fund managers be in deploying this capital? Well according to at least one source, not very. “There is no memory on the fund side. Pressures mean they have no choice but to invest and take more risks,” said one global secondaries player. “It’s human nature, ego, testosterone – people will take risks.” APR 2015 | PERE 29 SPECIAL REPORT | MIPIM Sun and palm trees: welcome to Cannes My first MIPIM Experiencing the weird yet wonderful MIPIM conference for the first time was a real eyeopener for PERE’s newest European reporter. Writes Thomas Duffell Unfamiliar with Cannes, and the real estate industry, one when it was full of under 30s brokers then the market is can easily be led astray and spend hours wandering Bou- hot. With this as the barometer the temperature in real levard de la Croisette or stuck in the estate is certainly rising. rather aptly nicknamed ‘bunker’ that The importance of getting invited host the largest global real estate conto the right MIPIM parties was also, ference – MIPIM. thankfully, something this reporter However, PERE would never let a did not need to learn the hard way. reporter go in unprepared and the inWith around 25,000 real estate produstry was quick to provide help when fessionals in attendance targeted needed. “The white sausages of the networking is not made easy without Munich stand are to be avoided at all knowing where the great and good of costs, especially on a hangover,” was private equity real estate are spending just one (unheeded) piece of sage-like their evenings. advice that this PERE reporter picked But, despite being a fun and genup within hours of landing on the Cote erally quite a boozy affair MIPIM is D’Azur. certainly not frivolous. The real esAnother tip, and one that many of White sausage: do you dare? tate executives are there to work and the industry professionals PERE spoke work hard. Diaries are full and always to, was take note of who is propping up the bar of the changing, and if you are not careful you can get far less Martinez Hotel in the early hours. Many suggested that face time with the people you really need to see. 30 PERE | APR 2015 Piani says Allianz is targeting €2 billion of deals in 2015, although he says he would not be surprised if they surpassed that number as they did in 2014. 13:00 - Miramar Plage – Ric Lewis – Tristan Capital Partners A diet coke with Tristan’s chief executive officer to discuss his firm’s now legendary MIPIM party as well as the opportunity in Germany. Tristan is set to make five investments in Germany for more than €450 million in the country. 15:30 - Villa Bernard Building - Pieter Hendrikse and Pieter Roozenboom – CBRE Global Investors MIPIM Meetings As a first-timer in Cannes, this PERE reporter had to make sure the diary was packed full of meetings with the great and good of real estate. It is not merely enough to prop up the bar at the Majestic Barriere or grab lunch at the Miramar Plage, one must also make time for some boat parties. Day One – Monday – 3/9/2015 14:00 – Heathrow Terminal 2 Flight cancelled! MIPIM got off to the worst possible start for this PERE reporter who then spent the remainder of Monday working out of the nearby Ibis Hotel. CBRE Global Investors’ EMEA chief executive, Hendrikse, explained the reasons behind the firm’s fundraising success and we discussed the impact of political risks in Europe and how they might impact on real estate investing. Roozenboom, who has just taken on the newly-created role of head of global separate accounts, described the rationale behind the firm’s enhanced separate accounts infrastructure. We talked about how you can meet many global real estate players in a week, whereas usually it would take you a month or two to do so from London. 17:00 – LaSalle’s boat – LaSalle 18:30 – Plage Royale Beach Restaurant FTI Consulting Day Two – Tuesday – 3/10/2015 06:00 - Heathrow Terminal 2 And PERE is off. An early start to the day but PERE heads to Nice, via Brussels, after having to cancel all of its Tuesday morning meetings. Apologies to Valad Europe, Cornerstone, Colliers and APAM. 15:00 – The Munich stand – Will Rowson, Hodes Weill & Associates Meeting Will Rowson after a well-meaning (or practical joke) suggestion from a colleague that the Munich stand is a good place to meet for a quick chat. We discuss his recent move to Hodes, the capital raising market and the pressure to allocate capital to real estate. 17:15 - Grand Hotel – Flavio Casero – Rockspring Property Investment Management A coffee with Casero during which we discussed, among other things, how MIPIM is logistically great for groups like Rockspring. Drinks with the team at FTI Consulting. Managed to meet a wide variety of real estate professionals including Claire Freeland from UK-based development company Landid who has been working on the Thames Valley portfolio with Brockton Capital. Day Three – Wednesday – 3/11/2015 08:15 - Majestic Barriere – CBRE An early start for CBRE’s annual Global Investment Forum. Standing room only at the breakfast briefing which saw the firm release its EMEA investor intentions survey. Key findings of the survey revealed that investors are looking at moving up the risk curve in order to meet return expectations. 10:30 - Allianz Lounge, 2, rue Bivouac Napoléon – Olivier Piani – Allianz Real Estate PERE caught up with Allianz’s chief executive to discuss the firm’s 2015 investment strategy. Drinks on the good ship LaSalle where PERE managed to grab five minutes with Jon Zehner, global head of the firm’s client capital group. Mostly discussed the excellent food that LaSalle had put on for guests! Day Four – Thursday – 3/12/2015 10:00 - Majestic Barriere – Christian Delaire – Generali Real Estate After 12 months as chief executive of one of the largest European real estate investors, Delaire discussed the move from AEW Europe, as well as outlining his intentions for the Generali’s real estate strategy going forward. Expect a more direct approach. 11:30 – AEW Europe’s boat – Rob Wilkinson, Russell Jewell and Schalk Visser – AEW Europe The Paris-based firm has had an incredibly busy start to 2015 and just after holding a €235 million closing on its latest value add fund it revealed to PERE that the firm had hired Alexander Strassburger and Nikolas Koulouras, and set up a €150m German retail platform. APR 2015 | PERE 31 NEWS ANALYSIS | ASIAVIEW About time Hong Kong’s proposed state fund for long-term investments is welcome news only if the government chooses to be bold in its investment philosophy. By Arshiya Khullar When Hong Kong’s financial secretary announced plans to create a ‘Future Fund’ during his budget address in early March, everyone in the industry had the same initial reaction: finally! It is not difficult to understand why. While state investment and pension funds across Asia have been gradually moving towards a more diversified asset policy mix and ramping up allocations to alternatives, the Hong Kong government has been far too cautious in investing its fiscal reserves. The Hong Kong Monetary Authority (HKMA), the city’s de-facto central bank tasked with making investments, has mostly stuck to bonds and public equities, with the objective of “maintaining liquidity even if the returns are lower,” as a university professor part of the government-appointed committee responsible for drafting recommendations for the fund recently remarked in a radio interview. Whatever little private equity and real estate investments that have happened have been ad-hoc and sporadic. That could now change with the new state investment fund, targeted to have a more aggressive investment approach to seek higher returns through long-term investments, as per the recommendations released by the five-member committee. The fund will have an initial corpus of HK$220 billion (€26.53 billion; $28.35 billion), which is the government’s land fund created from sales between 1986 and 1996. A designated portion from future budget surpluses will be added periodically. A lock-up period of at least ten years has been proposed. But of most salience for PERE was that the committee has asked for 50 percent of the fund to be invested in alternative classes such as private equity and real estate. Reluctant Risk-Taker HKMA manages close to HK$3 trillion in the Exchange Fund, of which almost HK$2 trillion is held in debt securities. In 2013, the fund managed an investment return rate of 2.7 percent, even lower than the 4.3 percent consumer inflation rate during the same period. In real terms, that meant the fund generated negative returns. A small part of this fund has been set aside into something called the ‘Long Term Growth Portfolio’, which has close to HK$89 billion in assets, three quarters of which is comprised 32 PERE | APR 2015 of private equity investments. Real estate investments take up the remaining one fourth. HKMA’s overall reluctance to diversify could be because of Hong Kong’s culture. Given the island-city’s economic dependence on the real estate industry, it would be understandable if the government authority had been looking to move away from real estate, from its short and sometimes volatile cycles and focus instead on fixed-income securities. A wide array of investments across international, private property markets would be a defense against volatility too. GIC Private, Singapore’s sovereign wealth fund, has proved that over decades. There is probably no coincidence that, when its real estate arm was launched in 1999, a decision was made not to invest in local properties. So far, HKMA’s communications regarding the launch the Future Fund have been low on details, leaving key points to the imagination. There was no breakdown of asset classes, no guidelines for the deployment of the fund and questions still linger about how it will be managed. The fund size, however, is similar to that of China’s sovereign wealth fund, China Investment Corporation, when it was first launched in 2007. It is worth mentioning that CIC’s initial allocation to real estate was around 1 percent to 2 percent. The industry expects the proposed fund’s capital to be deployed first in trophy assets in established real estate markets with a long-term hold objective; investments in regional markets in the hunt for higher yields are unlikely therefore. As far as the management of the fund goes, the committee, which consists mostly of academics and civil servants and hardly any fund managers and investment professionals, has suggested that the HKMA be placed in charge, for now at least. Whether a new team will be set up to manage the fund’s investments or whether the management will be outsourced in the future remains unclear. Historically, sovereign wealth funds have hired external investment advisers to manage their portfolio, but in a recent trend, many have developed their own in-house management teams. If Hong Kong were to follow this model, the HKMA would also have to decentralize the management team. It might even set up foreign offices in targeted markets, an approach that was never adopted with the Exchange Fund. It remains to be seen whether Hong Kong, in its attempt at creating a thriving sovereign wealth fund, will draw on its own uninspiring historical performance, or emulate the successful models adopted by other funds in its new peer group. PERE ASIA SUMMIT 2015 Call for Change Last month’s PERE Asia Summit saw real estate professionals from around the world discuss the pros and cons of investing in Asia in the changing environment PERE Asia Summit: approximately 400 delegates attended the two-day event which was chaired by Gaw Capital’s Goodwin Gaw (inset). The annual PERE Asia Summit was held over two days in Hong Kong in early March. Now in its eighth year, the conference was attended by close to 400 delegates from 21 countries, with some of the world’s leading real estate professionals gathering together to deconstruct the Asian property market. With economic uncertainty and subdued demand stalling growth in thriving property markets such as China and Japan, the panellists discussed how the investment thesis was changing for these markets. At the same time, there was also talk about investment picking up pace in some emerging Asian economies, buoyed by changing demographics and in some instances, new pro-growth governments in places like Indonesia and India. An intentions survey conducted by CBRE, which was released during the conference, suggested that 43 percent of investors are willing to invest in core real estate in the region. But with the gradual emergence of a parity between the returns generated in Asia, and those in the US and European markets, speakers cautioned that investors would need to reassess their expectations for the region. Indeed, in a panel on core opportunities, Benett Theseira, Pramerica Real Estate Investors’ new head of Asia, said that investors would now find it harder to demand a risk premium while investing in core real estate in Asia. His view was echoed by co-panellist Suchad Chiaranussati, the managing director of SC Capital Partners, who was voted by the audience as the top speaker at PERE Asia 2015. On China, there was a mix of views. Goodwin Gaw, the chairman of the Hong Kong-based firm Gaw Capital Partners, who was also chairing the conference, gave a striking opening address in which he told delegates that China’s ‘golden days’ were probably over. More specifically, he said, over was the long-held practice of using Guanxi or relationships, to get lucrative deals done in the country, thanks largely to the ongoing anti-corruption crackdown by the Chinese government. However, that was cited as a factor dissuading investors from deploying capital in the country. John Pattar, who leads CLSA’s private real estate investment business, said in a panel that investors would prefer to hold through the current period in China for at least twelve months more. CBRE’s Nick Crockett, however, said that the country, despite its uncertainty, remains the number one destination for making investments in Asia Pacific. Dr Seek Ngee Huat, chairman of Singapore-based Global Logistic Properties, was interviewed onstage by PERE’s senior editor, Jonathan Brasse, on his pioneering work with Singapore state fund GIC Private and his visions for new company Global Logistic Properties. Elsewhere on the bill, sessions on investing in niche markets, and in secondaries real estate, were newly chosen for this year’s event. That the US and Europe have more active secondaries real estate markets is well-known, but speakers suggested that Asia will begin to see an increase in secondaries real estate volumes , especially as some of the pre-2008 funds struggle to execute deals. Another first this time was the quiz conducted on the opening day of the conference, which saw CBRE’s Nick Crockett, CLSA’s John Pattar and Laurasia Capital Management’s chairman, Robert Zulkoski battle it out to answer questions on some of the most-read stories to have appeared on PERENews.com over the last decade. Crockett, who could barely keep his hands off the buzzer, won by a high margin. APR 2015 | PERE 33 PERE ASIA SUMMIT 2015 Visit from the doctor Dr Seek Ngee Huat, who led the real estate investing business of Singaporean sovereign wealth fund, GIC Private for 15 years, brought the Summit’s audience into the corridors of the state investor with rare insights into its evolution. He also forecast certain strategic objectives of his new employer, Global Logistic Properties, including its expansion to Europe. Have I got PERENews for you (L-R) CBRE Capital Advisors executive director Nick Crockett, Laurasia chairman Rob Zulkoski and CLSA managing director John Pattar had their sector history tested in a special quiz. The questions were based on the most read news stories from Asia on PERENews.com over the last decade (listed below). QUESTIONS ANSWERS 1. In 2010, which US investment bank was forced to compensate a pool of 25 institutional LPs for actions considered ‘non-fiduciary’? BofA Merrill Lynch 2. How much did the GP pay to settle with the LPs (above news)? $650 million 3. Blackstone has just broken the fundraising record for a private real estate investment vehicle in Asia. Which firm previously held that record? MGPA for its Asia Fund III 4. What year did MGPA III close? 2008 5. Who were five of the top GPs in Asian real estate in 2007 that no longer exist today in their previous form? AIG Citi Merrill Lynch MGPA Secured Capital 6. Who now owns which platform? Invesco owns AIG Apollo owns Citi Blackstone owns Merrill Lynch Blackrock owns MGPA PAG owns Secured Capital 7. Name two of the three largest (greater than $1 billion at their valuation peak) Seoul and Tokyo office assets which traded three times over the past 10 years? Seoul Square, Seoul Shiba Park, Tokyo PCP, Tokyo 8. What GP paid a record price for land in Singapore which caused its fund to be overweight to one deal? MGPA 9. Staying with Singapore, what GP just invested heavily in the country at the end of 2014? Blackstone 10. In 2013, there was a $1 billion China fund which went through a restructure with LPs agreeing to the write-off of 60 percent of the fund’s initial capital raise. Which? Trophy 34 PERE | APR 2015 NEWS ANALYSIS PEOPLE Leaving on a high Andie Kang’s time as global real estate head at Korea’s NPS was transformational for the state investor. New employer IGIS will be hoping for some of the same Andie Kang leaves Korea’s preeminent state investor, the National Pension Service (NPS) of Korea on April 6. He does so safe in the knowledge he has led the $430 billion institution into becoming one of the world’s most active private real estate investors since the global financial crisis. Indeed, with Kang as global head of real estate, NPS has grown an international real estate portfolio valued today at $11 billion, the vast majority of the assets of which were acquired in the last five years. Kang will be remembered most for his work during that time in which he led a number of high profile direct investments. These included 8 Canada Square in London’s Canary Wharf which NPS acquired for £772.5 million (€1.049 billion; $1.15 billion) in 2009 when global markets where on their knees and sold at the end of last year for more than £1.1 billion. That deal proved onlookers that presumed Asian state investors would not trade core assets once purchased wrong. Other examples of notable direct investments during Kang’s tenure include: the $480 million purchase of BG Group Place in April 2013 and the €570 million capture of the Sony Center in Berlin in May 2010. Under Kang’s watch, NPS also was among the first state investors to seek assets at the higher end of the risk and return spectrum when in 2010 it awarded more than $1.2 billion of indirect investment mandates to investment managers worldwide for value-added and opportunistic strategies. Firms to have benefited from Kang: led the growth of an $11 billion interthis then-contrarian strategy were Pramerica Real national real estate portfolio Estate Investors, Rockspring Property Investment Managers, The Carlyle Group, Invesco Real Estate. Advisory firm The Townsend Group also was heavily backed. A replacement global head is expected to be determined by NPS after Kang’s departure. Although no decision has been officially made, there was mounting speculation that the hire would be internal and from NPS’ 10-strong real estate team. One of Kang’s lieutenants, Scott Kim, has been mooted as a candidate for the role. NPS’ loss will be Seoul-based real estate investment manager IGIS Asset Management’s gain as Kang joins the firm on April 20 as co-chief executive officer. Replacing outgoing co-CEO Dai Young Kim, Kang will jointly lead IGIS with the firm’s other co-CEO Kab Joo Cho. He will chiefly be responsible for expanding the firm’s global exposure, something he has ample experience doing thanks to his time with NPS. At IGIS, Kang will also seek to grow the firm’s exposure to international investors, introducing them to deals in Korea. The majority of the firm’s $6.2 billion of assets under management are in Korea. Most read on PERENews.com [Asia] last month 1 NPS’ KANG’S NEW ROLE Andy Kang, the former global head of real estate at Korea’s $430 billion National Pension Service, will become the co-chief executive officer at IGIS Asset Management, Korea’s biggest real estate investment management business. 2 MSREI DEPARTURES Two senior executives in Morgan Stanley Real Estate Investing’s Asia team, Noah Wangh, an executive director responsible for investments in Hong Kong and Vietnam, and Denise Lau, a managing director responsible for working with Chinese institutional clients, are set to leave the firm. Wangh’s departure is to do with the firm’s lack of activity in Hong Kong while Lau is leaving for personal reasons. 3 HONG KONG’S NEW SWF The Hong Kong government announced the creation of a ‘Future Fund’ for making long-term investments. The fund is to have an initial corpus of HK$220 billion and subsequent additions will be made from the annual budget surplus. 4 NPS TO HIRE FOREIGNERS The National Pension Service of Korea has announced plans to hire foreign nationals for the first time for its global investment teams. As many as four foreign fund managers are expected to be added in the first quarter of this year. 5 CHINA GOLDEN DAYS ‘OVER’ Goodwin Gaw, the chairman at Gaw Capital Partners, remarked at the PERE Asia Summit held in Hong Kong that the ‘golden days’ for China were probably over. In the opening session of the two-day summit, Gaw also said the long-held practice of Chinese developers and real estate owners using Guanxi, to get properties that make “obscene amounts of profit” is no longer as effective. APR 2015 | PERE 35 GUEST COMMENTARY | THE TRADE ASSOCIATION’S PERSPECTIVE I see an elephant fly ANREV’s chief executive officer Alan Dalgleish is convinced Indian private real estate is in on a more fruitful trajectory than before after the association held its first event in the country At the end of February, ANREV held its inaugural event in India, a half-day seminar in Mumbai. The Asian association for Investors in Non-listed Real Estate Vehicles’ (ANREV) India Working Group had felt for some time that it should make its presence felt in India so with the change of government in 2014 bringing real prospect of positive market-driven change, we put our plans in place. It was timely that in the week of our event The Economist published its lead article on India. In it, the magazine said India’s economy was ready to fly. “India has a rare opportunity to become the world’s most dynamic economy,” it said. In true Economist style, the article was accompanied by a lovely cartoon of an Indian elephant, complete with mahout, the elephant was wearing flying goggles and two large jet engines strapped to its sides. Ready to fly indeed or as the magazine put it: “A jumbo on the runway”. Witticisms aside, what struck me most that day was the extent to which the positive story about India emerged from the event’s presentations and discussions. The keynote speech by Shilpa Kumar, chief economist at ICICI Bank, set the tone by delivering an upbeat message about India’s growth prospects. I was particularly struck by some of her team’s research which ranked sixteen global emerging markets in terms of six key economic measures. India ranked in top place with China in sixth and Brazil and Russia in 14th place and 15th place respectively. Recognizing that the construction sector has high interlinkages with other sectors, it was clear to me that the real estate sector will be a good economic growth driver where government policy initiatives can have a direct impact: relaxation of norms for foreign direct investment in construction, tax incentives on home loans and budget focus on development of smart cities and rural housing. Indeed, there has been much talk about improving the system of requisition of land for infrastructure, updating labor laws and dealing with power shortages. Much remains to be done but there was a real sense that these issues are being tackled and the short-term outlook is positive with reforms crucial to taking India to a higher growth trajectory in the longer term. 36 PERE | APR 2015 Turning to the real estate market, and specifically to private real estate investment - our segment of it - it is noteworthy that several of the ANREV Management Board members, including the likes of APG, CPPIB and GIC – are today so actively investing in India, and in a meaningful way too. APG, for example, has invested in hotel business Lemon Tree Hotels to build mid-market hotels and has created a residential development platform with Mumbai developer Godrej Properties. The government’s previous attempt to open up the real estate sector ended with some players making some serious losses. As one panelist at our event said: “no-one knew what they were doing”. So why is India back? Well for one reason, the fact liquidity dried up as a result of previous problems created an attractive vintage. Also, from my perspective, it feels like the on-the-ground reality is better than the bad news might suggest – filtering that out seems key. But what seems very apparent too is that partner selection remains the key. The partner returns the alpha, not the market, after all. Alignment between investor and manager is vital, bringing with it a commitment to be engaged and thorough and to take the time to really understand the market. It seems clear that investors are establishing partnerships that will bear fruit over the longer term as India develops. So these are not just transactional relationships, it is all about adding value over time. There was discussion about being realistic about risks and challenges: no emerging market is without its risks. But, to some degree, deal structures can mitigate these along with proper understanding of the specific dynamics around locations and assets. In our own ANREV Investment Intentions survey, India lies just behind the key markets of Japan, Australia and China. Coming to the end of our inaugural seminar, I came away with the impression that India is on a growth path which will lead to lasting, positive change in the country and that opportunities for domestic and international investors in the country’s private markets will see their efforts today bear fruit tomorrow. And so I agree with the Economist’s arty depiction of India’s prospect and expect this elephant to take off. FAMILY OFFICE & PRIVATE INVESTOR FORUM: HONG KONG 13 May 2015 |The Ritz Carlton, Hong Kong Join over 100 family office principals and investment decision-makers at PERE’s 2nd annual Family Office and Private Investor Forum: Hong Kong. Connect with private investors who are actively seeking global opportunities in private real estate and grow their international exposure within the asset class. Family offices speaking include: Shaman Chellaram Director, Evantis Group, Hong Kong Gerard J. Keating President & CEO, Keating Resources, USA David Mackey Partner, Vulpes Investment Management, Singapore Florian Schmied Shareholder, Tucher & Smith Family Office, China Adam Sherman Partner, Delta Development Partners, Hong Kong Timothy Tsui Business Consultant, Arbutus Capital Partners, Hong Kong BOOK YOUR PLACE TODAY Breakfast Briefing Sponsor Online www.perenews.com/ familyofficehongkong Co Sponsors Email asiaevents@peimedia.com Phone +852 2153 3844 OPERATING PARTNERS | SPECIAL FEATURE Have I got a deal for you! The current state of the operating partner model. By Robin Marriott “H ave I got a deal for you!” Boiled down, that is essentially the starting point of every conversation for an operating partner that approaches a potential capital source. Then the merry dance begins. The opportunity, the stage of the purchase agreement, the timeframe for exit are all unfolded in the opening discussion. For his part, the pitched capital source will then ask about realized track record, team stability, challenge various assumptions, and provide a verdict on whether it fits the stated strategy of the fund or separate account. Hundreds if not thousands of such discussions take place on a daily basis around the world, and unsurprisingly, only a few actually make it through to the next stage – drawing up the agreement. Which is where the real fun starts. The model The model of private equity real estate firms using operating partners to help populate their funds with deals is as old as the hills, of course. It has never really fallen out of favor for very long either, and for good reason. No matter how large and sophisticated a real estate investment manager might be, can its team really know how to gain a zoning variance from the relevant local authority, where the next local tenant is coming from and what contractors to use, and for how much? The answer to that is invariably, ‘no’. And so, the legions of specialist real estate operators that possess that ‘unique’ know-how to find a deal, create some value and manage that asset find themselves in demand. At the same time, many of these operators are desirous of capital, which is where the private equity real estate firm or institutional investor comes in. As James Broderick, chairman of Goodwin Procter’s real estate investment management practice in Boston explains, the real estate joint venture market can be roughly separated into two groups, both defined by numbers. Firstly, there is the prevalent 90:10 joint venture model between the “money partner” and the operating partner. If the private equity firm likes the deal, it will put up around 90 percent of the equity. Secondly, there is the 50:50 joint venture between roughly equal partners, a structure far less common and trickier to agree terms over. The split may not be exactly 50:50 but the point is that the two parties are more equal in terms of capital and clout. Foreign capital is a perfect example of the latter. Numerous joint ventures have been struck up in the past few months 38 PERE | APR 2015 601 Lexington Avenue, New York: Norway’s sovereign wealth fund teamed up with operating partner Boston Properties to acquire the office block and years between sovereign wealth funds or pension funds and a US real estate operator. An example would be Norges Bank Investment Management on behalf of the Norwegian Government Pension Fund Global that last October agreed to a joint venture with Boston Properties to acquire a 45 percent stake in three prime offices for $1.5 billion, the assets in question being 601 Lexington Avenue in New York and the Atlantic Wharf Office Building and 100 Federal Street in Boston. Goodwin Procter’s Broderick explains that under The Foreign Investment in Real Property Tax Act of 1980 (FIRPTA), for many foreign investors it is beneficial to invest in US real estate through a joint venture in which the foreign investor owns less than a 50 percent interest and the remaining interests are owned by US entities that are domesto restructure a loan with a lender, or perhaps to even hand tically controlled. The result has been a surge in the number back the keys, private equity firms found that the operating of new joint venture relationships between major investors partner with just 10 percent of the equity or even less had and operators in the marketplace. approval rights over any deal to be cut with the lender. The Unlike a 90:10 joint venture, the conventional rules of operating partner might have been primarily concerned the road for establishing the rights and obligations of the about his exposure on a completion guaranty or a “bad boy” parties in a 50:50 split are not so obvious. After all, this is guaranty, whereas the private equity real estate firm not on essentially a marriage of equals. If both sides must agree the hook for these guarantees had other priorities. Interests upon everything, how does anything actually get done? And were not aligned, and deadlock often ensued. what about the inevitable major decision deadlock between As a result, terms in operating agreements today often look the two parties? Common suggestions for resolving issues a bit different. Many private equity firms are negotiating for are arbitration or the trigger of exit rights, but those are not unilateral governance rights in certain circumstances. The perfect either as deadlock can arise again. traditional 90:10 model passed unilateral governance rights The list of major decisions that require joint approval to the investor partner only upon an “event of default” under can be as long as one’s arm, but the most significant always the joint venture agreement. More frequently today, private include exit rights, financing (including maximum loan to equity firms are pushing for either unilateral control over value, term and the extent of guarantee obligations that are all decisions from day one, with a revocable delegation of acceptable and who puts them up), capital call administrative duties to the operating partner, obligations, approval of annual operating budor unilateral control over at least some decisions gets and approval of major leases. The foreign in the event of deadlock – financing is a cominvestor/domestic operator model also raises mon example. These are obviously protection a number of unique challenges for the parties mechanisms and a response to the financial to resolve, such as how to deal with ongoing crisis. Related, and from the perspective of the transfer rights of the parties given the foreign operating partner, recently there has also been investor needs the joint venture to remain much more negotiation about who puts up domestically controlled. Also, the foreign invesguarantees to the lender, the terms of the same, tor often needs the joint venture to hold each and indemnification obligations between the asset in a separate “baby REIT”, and sell shares parties if the guarantees are called. Broderick: witnessed opin the REIT rather than the asset itself at the These are the ways in which the structuring erating partner agreements sorely tested in the global time of exit. That leads to a negotiation between of operating partner agreements has evolved. financial crisis the parties over whether one party or the other Indeed, Andrew Levy at law firm DLA Piper takes the risk that the sale price for the REIT in New York explains that times have dramatishares is less than a possible sale price for the asset itself. cally changed since the global financial crisis leading to other The scenario that private equity real estate fund managdifferences, particularly in the US major markets (most notaers are more used to, however, is the 90:10 equity split. In a bly, New York). For one thing, there is less distress, resulting, 90:10 equity split or a close variation between a private equity not surprisingly, in a lot more capital sources. firm and an operating partner, the private equity real estate What this means is capital sources in theory do not posfirm expects a commensurate large degree of control. Not sess such an advantage making deals and getting terms and much can be done by the operator without prior approval of having de facto controls they want. For example, an operator the money partner. In a sense, this uneven match of capital often has his pick of many potential capital sources, and if power makes for a more straight-forward relationship. “The things go badly enough, then the operator can trigger a buymoney talks,” says Broderick. . sell arrangement and replace capital source ‘A’ with capital This is not to say that in a typical 90:10 private equity real source ‘B’. estate operating agreement there are never any problems. Far Says Levy: “It is comparable in a way to the debt market - in from it. times of high interest rates and not much liquidity, an invesUnfortunately, these arrangements were sorely tested tor often has to scurry around and find a lender providing an in the most recent financial crisis of 2008. Many private acceptable loan. But when times are flush, lenders are chopequity firms found it difficult to get control of ventures ping their margins and the competition for money becomes when the wheels came off. For example, when attempting much more favorable to the borrowers and not to the lenders, APR 2015 | PERE 39 SPECIAL FEATURE | OPERATING PARTNERS and the operators and not the equity capital providers”. For com is quite revealing here. Written by someone called Levy, “The key thing for equity capital sources is to find an “Pinkpoloshorts”, the writer says he works for an operatoperating partner that is reliable and will do business with ing partner specializing in joint venture land developments you, hopefully on a repeat basis, and ideally in many cases with private equity firms. After a year of working on the job, with a platform”. Pinkpoloshorts said: “You spend a lot of your time attemptThat may be easier said than done. One only has to conduct ing to convince capital partners to do deals with you. We a search of ‘real estate operating partners’ in the US on Google spend a considerable amount of time walking our potential to realize how many firms describe themselves as operating partners through the model and explaining and defendpartners. They range from the large and sophisticated to the ing our assumptions. You deal with a lot of rejection. Once very small localized brothers in business together. Indeed, we he have our heads around the deal we take it to capital virtually anyone bringing a deal to a capital source can be providers. We try to take each deal to partners whose risk an operating partner. What operating partners profiles and areas of expertise match the deal. seem to have in common, however, is that they However it’s very difficult to get a partner for claim to be experts in something, perhaps a the deal, especially if the deal is a little hairy. very particular geography or an asset type or We often hear ‘it’s interesting but…’ or that it strategy. doesn’t quite fit the firm’s mandate. If the deal It is possible to argue that the current marisn’t in a prime market and has some issues ket dynamics play a little bit into the hands of with it (for example the sale of an entity versus operating partners because so much capital an asset sale), it can be hard to capitalize. Even including international money wants real estate. for more straightforward deals I’ve found that it This could potentially exaggerate the takes several no’s to get a yes.” inequilibrium of the operating partner model. He also adds: “Sometimes the operating partLevy: has seen dramatic Specifically, it is well understood that operating ner doesn’t get to operate the deal. Once we’ve changes in the operating partner arena given the partners put up a small percentage of capital for got the deal capitalized and we’ve closed on the heavy demand for real estate deals, but in today’s market they might put up property, you’d think that the hard work is over even less. Say one capital source is willing to and now we get to do what we do best which is put up 95 percent of the equity. Another source develop and sell the land. This is not always the could easily come along willing to stump up case. Despite having the expertise, the capital 98 percent. In addition to the unequal capital provider brings the money and they often have injection, there is also the disproportionate their own ideas about how to execute the deal. level of promote the operating partner can earn. They may want to bulk sale land raw while we The promote is of course where the operating want to develop it out. The best deals come out partner makes it big money and it can represent of constant communication between the capital tremendous yield given the tiny capital it may provider and the operator so that everyone is on have put in originally in comparison to the the same page. If you don’t have the same vision Harmon: operating partners are looking for managers to capital partner. for the property as your capital provider, that be a “one-stop shop” All that said, finding capital partners today can lead to deals not performing.” may not be the walk in the park some might have Finally, he does confirm what everyone knew: you believe. Deborah Harmon, co-founder and chief execu“You don’t get paid until the end, but your return on equity tive officer at Artemis Real Estate Partners, the Washington, can be huge. Land deals normally work like a J-curve. You D.C.-based firm, agrees operating partners might be in a have the initial outflow of capital, then in a few years you stronger position than in the immediate aftermath of the (hopefully) achieve break even and then it’s all profit after financial crisis, but she points out the number of first time that. As an operator we get paid a promote out of the proffunds raised declined 30 percent from 130 in 2013 to 100 its that increases after certain hurdle rates. We may not see in 2014. “There is a consolidation occurring and the largest significant profits (outside of management fees) for several funds are teaming up with the largest operating partners. years. However our profits may be huge multiples of our relaThere remains a deep pool of smaller operating partners tively small co-investment if the deal ends up performing.” where capital is not as aggressively flowing.” For the record, his firm would agree the first hurdle generA post in December 2013 on the website Wallstreetoasis. ally in the low-mid teens. “You get 15-20 percent after that, 40 PERE | APR 2015 then it’s maybe an 18 percent and a 1.7 or 1.75 and you take provider from core and core-plus to value add and opportu20-25 percent after that, then maybe 30 percent after a 25 nistic.” More than half of Atermis’ operating partners have IRR.” executed transactions with Artemis across the spectrum. Clearly, an operator would claim there is plenty of ‘sweat She also observes that in this market, with declining yields, equity’ the capital source does not possess. This justifies the operating partners are particularly interested in core-plus beneficial profit-split. capital. From a product perspective, Artemis Fund II, a 2014 A high promote notwithstanding, from the perspective of vintage fund, has been more active in industrial and retail, the private equity firm or investor, the operator arrangement whereas Artemis Fund I was overweight in the multifamily must be worthwhile otherwise they would not enter into space. Further, Artemis has been more active with operating them. Yet finding an operating company is not at all easy. partners in the self-storage, healthcare, and student housing You are looking for a firm that knows the nuts and bolts of markets. running a real estate business, dealing with tenants, contracArtemis invests with both established and emerging tors, knowing which direction the market is going in, how to operators. Harmon says emerging operating partners are deal with local planning authorities, real estate taxes, repairinterested not only in dollars but for other transaction and ing a building and so on. The capital provider is unlikely to infrastructure contribution including the provision of a credit be able to deal with all of that, hence the model of operating facility so that they can close on deals all-cash. Interestingly, partners is alive and kicking. she observed that in her experience it is possible “to do a bad ‘The market is telling us it is worth it, otherwise the capital deal with a good partner and still end up with a good result”. allocators would not do it,” says DLA Pipers’ Levy. “Sure the That is, if the operating partner has a lot of expertise to work operating partner needs to out a problem and the comget permission from the mitment to a long-term capital source for a big decisuccessful relationship. sion, but the capital partner But one area Harmon is relying on the operator’s is very cautious about is knowledge of the market.” where an operating partner Experts said that the huradvocates for strategy shift, dle rate to earn promotes for example, a long-time has lowered in recent times Danger sign: If an operator goes from investing in Florida multi-family assets Florida multi-family operato New York hotels it would concern Artemis’ Harmon because of the changing tor attempting to enter market. This phenomenon the New York City hotel is to do with lower interest rates and a general belief that market. profits from deals will not yield as much as in the past few The longer term trend in the industry that has already years. been witnessed is some operating partners becoming fund Whereas the carry may have started at a 10 percent hurdle managers. Tishman Speyer would be a classic example from in the past, it could be closer to 8 or even 6 percent today. years and years ago, and Related Companies would be a more There is nothing inherently wrong with this, so long as the contemporary one. (see page 41). They have to weigh up the private equity real estate fund – and ultimately limited partadvantages to having capital always on hand with the extra ners – are comfortably with the promote being earned at uncertainty raising a fund brings and with the increased a lower gate. That said, it could be the same for the private regulatory and fiduciary responsibilities that go with being equity real estate fund manager and the fund it is deploying. a fund manager. Artemis Real Estate Partners employs an operating partThe downside is also that the return in a fund format is ner model. It began investing its first fund in June 2011 and blended, so a bad deal can ruin a whole fund and therefore has completed close to $2 billion of deals, nearly all of them the promote. In contrast, joint ventures with various capital being with operating partners. Indeed, it has 44 operating sources are ring fenced, so that’s different. partners, a majority of which have done multiple deals with But so long as it remains so difficult for a first-time manArtemis. ager to raise a fund and while they can get capital sources According to co-founder Harmon, one of the key trends sometimes even willing to put up 99 percent of the equity for operating partners is the ability to access capital across and agreeing a very beneficial promote, operating partners the risk spectrum, in other words, “a one-stop shop capital will continue to exist in their droves. APR 2015 | PERE 41 OPERATING PARTNERS: INTERVIEW | PRISM CAPITAL PARTNERS Toss and turn Why it isn’t always comfortable being in bed with an opportunity fund. In an interview, Eugene Diaz, founder of operating partner, Prism Capital Partners, explains E ugene Diaz founded Prism Capital Partners in 2002 their investors said to them on the fourth or fifth fund, ‘if after a successful career working at developer Gale you are real estate experts, how come you do all your busi& Wentworth that had formed partnerships with ness in joint ventures with operating partners that do all the Morgan Stanley Real Estate Funds and JP Morgan Investment real estate work?’ A partner came to us and said we cannot Management Investing in the 1990s across the US. do deals anymore because we have to get rid of the double Nowadays, he and his colleagues can be found scouring the promote to keep our investors happy.” In this case, the firm Tri-State area of New Jersey, New York and Connecticut for offered not to pay a promote but much more in fees. residential, office and industrial deals. Diaz makes another point that turns that tables on some His firm has struck investment ventures with several critics of operating partners stemming from deadlock on opportunity fund managers and investment advisors such as projects during the global financial crisis when there was S. Norwalk, Connecticut-based Greenfield Partners, Clarion over-leverage. “As an operating partner, how you ended up Partners, BlackRock Real Estate, and Angelo, Gordon & Co, doing coming out of the recession may have depended more among others. on the partner that you picked than on the deal that you In an interview, Diaz explains that one of the issues with the bought,” says Diaz. “You might have found that the fund had larger institutional investment advisors is that many of them no more capital to put into your deal because the fund made do not like to deal with ‘new’ operating partners losses on deals somewhere else or otherwise was notwithstanding the fact that principals may choking on guarantees at the fund level. The possess a long track record of significant returns. ability of your capital partner to have managed One firm once said to him: “It is so difficult to the fund well may have been more important to get our portfolio managers to get comfortable the success of your deal as an operating partner and resolved on a new partnership relationship. than how your deal was.” We generally don’t like new partnerships even He further explains that his firm has five though you are not an unknown team to us.” transit related development sites under contract Diaz agrees that many capital partners want in New Jersey alone. But rather than go to an mostly opportunistic with some core-plus deals opportunistic fund manager or an institutional given the market. “It is understandable. I get calls investor, Prism has structured a fund capitalized Diaz: operators are subject constantly from would-be capital sources who by high net worths to sponsor these deals. The to vicissitudes of a fund’s performance need to deploy capital through operating parthope is that this will dispel another challenge of ners. Our track record is 24 percent-plus IRRs partnering a fund. on $500 million in equity, but investment funds understand “One of the problems operating partners face with opporthat it is really hard to make a 20-percent return. Core-plus tunity funds is you are subject to the vicissitude of the returns are easier to achieve given borrowing rates. But then performance of the funds. Suddenly, they can get cold feet again, there are not that many core-plus advisors and a lot and liquidate or they have a time clock of a certain number of more opportunistic money,” he says. years. If it is just not the right time to sell, you as the operating He also points out core-plus deals tend to require less partner that has put co-investment in can get hurt.” expertise and proprietary knowledge and can be done by the In other words, Diaz explains the performance a deal may fund manager itself. Indeed, sometimes the operating partbe tied to the longevity and life cycle of a fund. And poor ner finds himself competing with funds. outcomes can hurt the local operator more than a portfolio He observes another challenge for operating partners. manager or fund. Some investors have put their opportunity fund managers “If the fund messes up on one deal it doesn’t necessarunder pressure because of the ‘double promote’, one to the ily reflect badly on the fund in that market. But operating fund manager and the other to operating partner, thus dilutpartners tend to be locals whose reputation is tied to every ing the return to the limited partners. “In one instance we deal he does.” had a partner we did several deals with successfully. Some of It is a salutary point. 42 PERE | APR 2015 Co-located with the: PERE SUMMIT: EUROPE 2015 RESIDENTIAL FORUM 2015 For the world’s private real estate markets 19 June |Marriott Grosvenor Square, London The PERE Residential Forum will bring together the most influential investors, fund managers and developers from Europe to discuss the factors, trends and opportunities in residential real estate investment. Co-located with the renowned PERE Summit Europe, the forum offers an unrivalled networking platform. BOOK YOUR PLACE TODAY Program highlights include: • Residential real estate as an institutional asset class • Current state of the PRS market and large-scale investment barriers • Property management: strategies of effectively maintaining housing stock • Student housing: a growing market for institutional investors • Financing residential: lenders’ perspective Online Email www.perenews.com/ residential customerservices@peimedia.com Co-sponsor: Phone +44 (0)20 7566 5445 +1 212 633 1073 +852 2153 3844 BLUEPRINT | RELATED COMPANIES Operating outside the box Few real estate managers are quite like Related – and that’s helped drive the growth of its fund management business. By Evelyn Lee Photography by Jonathan Smith BLUEPRINT | RELATED COMPANIES Metz: helping to build a business R elated Companies isn’t like most operators in private equity real estate. The New York-based firm, which has been in business for more than four decades, is known as one of the top developers in the US, and is the name behind some of the most high profile, large-scale projects in the US. Famed for bringing the Time Warner Center to New York City in the early 2000s, Related continues to make headlines as the developer of the city’s Hudson Yards, the biggest real estate development in US history. At present, it owns and operates a $20 billion property portfolio that includes multifamily, retail, office and affordable housing, and employs more than 2,700 people across the globe. Yet as a fund manager, Related is a relative newbie, essentially the David to its Goliath-like development business. Its US-focused funds management platform is just five years old, has a 40-person team and approximately $3 billion in assets under management. Like other operators, the firm keeps all of its development and construction, property management and leasing, sales and marketing operations in-house, although few other operators have the national presence that Related does, with eight US offices in New York, Boston, Chicago, Los Angeles, Miami, San Francisco, Dallas and Aspen, Colorado. That dichotomy has become a major differentiator for 46 PERE | APR 2015 Related. Most other national real estate managers are allocator funds, which typically work with local operating partners to source and execute on deals in markets or property types where they have less expertise. Limited partners in those funds, however, are required to pay a promote to both the fund manager and its operating partner. A growing sensitivity among investors to fees in recent years, however, has led to an increasing interest in operator funds. “I think our pitch is: you know us, you know who’s going to do the work, and you only pay for it one time,” said Justin Metz, managing principal of Related Fund Management. “And then you get the entire scale of our company.” Starting small Although the two businesses work together, the main distinction between Related’s fund management and development platforms is that the former does virtually no ground-up development. Additionally, while the company’s development projects tend to be multi-billion dollar endeavors, its fund investments are much more modest in size, typically in the $30 million to $60 million range. Related launched its fund management business during the global financial crisis, as the company began to encounter a number of distressed investment opportunities. Shortly after hiring Metz, previously the global head of real estate alternatives at Goldman Sachs, to head up the new business in 2009, the company made its first foray into real estate funds through a rather ingenious move. The initial venture was Related UBC Opportunity Fund, a construction loan fund that was backed by a $100 million commitment from the United Brotherhood of Carpenters – many of whose members then were out of work because of project cancellations or delays during the global financial crisis. The vehicle originated approximately $250 million in loans for projects across the US, with one restriction: all developments that received financing from the fund had to use Carpenters labor. “At that time in the market, it was very difficult to get construction financing,” said Metz. “Banks were scarred, ending up with projects that they never intended to own. They weren’t making loans, so we saw an opportunity and went into the construction lending business.” Related followed up the construction loan fund with the purchase of a 25 percent stake in a real estate-owned apartment portfolio from Fannie Mae. The company funded the acquisition with $500 million in commitments from private investors. Road to Recovery Related’s flagship fund, however, was the Related Real Estate Recovery Fund. In 2008 and 2009, the firm was getting many calls from banks that were saddled with troubled construction loans on developments that were left half-built as a result of the downturn. “We thought there was a business there around accessing these deals, where somebody controls real estate but doesn’t have the operating, construction or development ability to access the value of the asset for themselves,” Metz explained. “What we found ourselves doing when we started the funds business was partnering with those banks on those failed development deals.” Related’s strategy for the aborted developments was to gain control of the unfinished real estate assets, and using its real estate and development expertise, complete the stalled projects and business plans. The firm would not only invest in non-performing and sub-performing loans held by lenders, but also buy distressed assets directly from sellers at a substantial discount to replacement costs. To be able to execute on those deals, however, Related needed a different source of capital than its development business, which capitalized projects over a three- or fouryear process. The company historically would acquire land on its balance sheet, and after making improvements on the land, would bring in a development partner when it was ready to build on the site. “The difference is that the types of deals that we were looking at in 2009 and 2010, we needed capital immediately,” said Metz. “Banks needed to trade quickly, quietly and with certainty. We needed a different source of capital, one that we could draw down in effectively 10 days’ notice. So that’s how we migrated toward this model.” Raising capital for the Recovery Fund, however, wasn’t easy. The firm launched the vehicle, originally called Related Distressed Opportunity Fund I, in 2009, according to filings from the US Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC). Related held a first close of $170 million for the fund in January 2011, and by the following September, had raised $410.6 million, according to the SEC documents. The firm ultimately closed the fund on commitments of $825 million, exceeding an equity goal of $750 million, in late 2011. Limited partners included The University of Michigan Regents and multimanager Siguler Guff, according to documents from Carpenters: how it all began those institutions. “From my perspective, to launch a fund business from scratch is very difficult,” said Metz. “There was a lot of start-up work at first, and I think having relationships with large key investors, both my own personal relationships and the company’s relationships, certainly helped to get us started.” While the company’s decades-long track record helped to get investors on board, so did its previous experience serving as a fiduciary to institutional capital. Beginning in the 1990s, Related managed capital on behalf of several large institutions, including the State Teachers Retirement System of Ohio, GM Pension Fund, MEPT and CalPERS, CreditRE and CertRE via separate accounts. The company also has formed ventures with Credit-Suisse and Zurich Financial. New strategies Related has continued to attract capital for various strategies since the final close of the Recovery Fund. In 2013, APR 2015 | PERE 47 BLUEPRINT | RELATED COMPANIES the company launched a new real estate credit investment platform, forming a joint venture with Highbridge Principal Strategies to jointly invest $800 million in first lien mortgages, mezzanine loans and preferred equity positions in transactions involving land deals and non-stabilized assets in gateway cities such as New York, Boston, Chicago, Washington DC, Los Angeles, San Francisco, Miami and select secondary markets. The venture has invested approximately two-thirds of its capital to date. Also in 2013, the company established a separate account with the five New York City pension funds, to invest in real estate in areas affected by Superstorm Sandy. The pension plans committed $300 million to their investment program with Related, which has focused on acquiring workforce housing properties in the Bronx. Metz has declined to comment on fundraising, but public documents show that the company currently is raising capital for two new funds. One offering is the Related Energy Focused Real Estate Fund, which will target property investments in US shale oil markets. Through the vehicle, which has a $300 million equity goal, the company is said to be planning to buy and build up to 6,000 multifamily properties, primarily in North Dakota’s Bakken Shale and Texas’ Permian Basin and Eagle Ford Shale. According to people familiar with the fund, investments would involve a mix of acquisitions and upgrades of existing multifamily properties and new development. Related collected $108.07 million during the fund’s first close last August, according to SEC filings. One potential challenge with an energy-related strategy, however, is the sharp drop in oil prices that occurred during the second half of 2014 and has continued into 2015. “I think there will be some negative effects in the energy markets,” said Metz. “There has to be when you have job loss, but they haven’t shown up as of yet,” since real estate demand generally lags any changes in the economy. One major energy-related deal that the company struck last year was the acquisition of a portfolio of 21 multifamily properties totaling 3,000 units in Midland and Odessa, Texas, on behalf of the Recovery Fund. Overall, however, Related to date has only invested a small amount of capital in energy-related real estate. “We haven’t been investing capital, 48 PERE | APR 2015 because we’re not really sure where the bottom is,” he said. “There’s a huge correlation between the price of the commodity and the success of the real estate strategy. They’re very coupled together, and so until we feel comfortable with the pricing of that commodity and the stabilization of that price and maybe even the upward trend of that price, we’re just going to watch and monitor.” Follow up to Recovery The other new strategy is the successor to the Recovery Fund, Related Real Estate Fund II. According to documents from the Teachers’ Retirement System of Louisiana, the fund, which has an $850 million target, will be similar in strategy to its predecessor in that it will focus on underperforming assets in need of operational or development improvement; recapitalizations of assets or real estate; foreclosed residential assets and special situations such as corporate and entity-level investments. The firm has been marketing Fund II since at least last June and raised $127.15 million during the initial closing in December, according to the Louisiana Teachers documents and SEC filings. Among the limited partners are the Texas County & District Retirement System, which earmarked $40 million to the fund in December, and Louisiana Teachers, 111 Wacker: before and after Related which committed $35 million in January, according to documents from those investors. In its presentation to Louisiana Teachers’ investment committee, real estate consultant Hamilton Lane noted that one of main reasons for committing to the fund was the strong performance of Related’s fund management platform, both for Fund I and pre-Fund I. The firm was generating a gross internal rate of return (IRR) of 48 percent on realized preFund I investments as of last January, and 26.2 percent on realized Fund I investments as of last June, the presentation said. Moreover, Fund I was yielding a net IRR of 20.7 percent, with $337.4 million in distributed capital. One of the biggest contributors to the fund’s returns thus far has been 111 West Wacker in Chicago. Originally planned as a 90-story hotel and condominium tower, the project stalled in 2008, after 26 stories had been built. Through the fund, Related partnered with several trade contractors that had filed $90 million in liens against the project and took joint ownership of the asset in 2011. The venture went on to change the business plan to build a 50-story, 504-unit apartment building, which had a cost basis of $180 million and required an equity commitment of $30.9 million from the fund. In January, Related sold the property, now known as OneEleven, for a record $328 million – the highest amount ever paid for an apartment building in Chicago. ‘Very innovative’ Indeed, the firm’s ability and capacity to take on complex deals involving distressed real estate assets such as 111 Wacker has been a strong selling point for Related’s fund management business. “What they did in Fund I, none of it was easy,” said Jim Corl, head of real estate investments at Siguler Guff, which committed a total of $140 million to the vehicle in September 2011. Deals such as 111 Wacker “were a degree of difficulty that was 9.5 on a scale of 10.” Related’s expertise as a ground-up developer has been a major asset in tackling “busted development deals” on behalf of its funds, he added. Calling the firm “very innovative,” he said that very few firms would be able to take on such complicated transactions. “Their skillset enables them to look at something that other people would walk away from,” Corl added. “They can see value creation opportunities that others wouldn’t see or mitigate risks that others wouldn’t be able to mitigate.” Related also has found other ways to leverage its development business to its advantage in fund management. Take the company’s relationship with the Kuwait Investment Authority (KIA), which began in 2009 when the sovereign wealth fund acquired a minority stake in the company through a number of equity and debt investments. “The whole purpose was to get access to projects and to be preferred partners for projects they’re going to do,” explained Farouk Bastaki, executive director of the alternative investment sector at KIA. Activist deal While Related typically takes on complex deals on behalf of its fund management platform, the company deviated from its usual investment strategy of private market, asset-level investments with its activist deal regarding CommonWealth REIT, an office real estate investment trust. On February 26, 2013, Related and New York-based hedge fund Corvex Management announced that they had jointly acquired 9.8 percent of the REIT’s outstanding common shares. In a letter to CommonWealth’s board of trustees, the two parties stated that they had assessed, through a propertyby property valuation analysis, the net asset value of CommonWealth was significantly higher than what was then the current per share price of $15.85. “We believe the company’s real estate assets are significantly undervalued due to the misalignment of incentives between the company and its externally advised management structure, and track record of underperformance,” they wrote. The external manager skewed incentives and reduced the REIT’s cash flow through excessive fees, ultimately hampering CommonWealth’s valuation as a company, they said. Over an 18-month court and arbitration process, Related and Corvex were able to gather enough shareholder votes to remove the contract that the external manager had with CommonWealth and replace the REIT’s entire board of directors. As nominated by Related and Corvex, the new board – led by chairman Sam Zell – was elected by approximately 85 percent of the outstanding shareholders on May 2014. The REIT, which was renamed Equity Commonwealth, was trading at $25.68 as of press time. “We would never do it again,” said Metz of the transaction, with a laugh. Normally, Related has control over what occurs between the time it acquires an asset and the time it realizes the value on that investment. With CommonWealth, however, the company was subject to litigation by the previous board and also had to get the approval of the other shareholders to remove the existing board. “There were just a lot of difficulties and roadblocks that made it beyond our control,” he said. “And so while we knew we would ultimately get there, the process to getting there is not one that I ever want to go through again.” Although the fund management business primarily is focused on private markets opportunities, the company pursued the Commonwealth deal because “we thought we were buying something at what we thought was a 60 percent discount, and that’s what got us excited,” Metz said. “Even though private markets are inefficient, you generally can’t buy at that big of a discount. This happened to be a unique situation.” The deal “represented some very outside-the-box thinking,” according to Siguler Guff’s Corl, who also was elected to the REIT’s new board. Related “demonstrated that they were able to leverage their skillset into a new and different way to realize value.” APR 2015 | PERE 49 BLUEPRINT | RELATED COMPANIES While KIA has traditionally made core property investments on its own, the sovereign wealth fund has partnered with real estate managers on value-add strategies. “There are some special situations that require certain types of work that you wouldn’t have expertise to do overseas,” said Bastaki. “So you need a partner or fund manager to do that. We thought Related had that expertise.” The sovereign wealth fund then became part of a group of institutional investors that helped Related and its partner, Oxford Properties Group, to fund the first two buildings at Hudson Yards – the South Tower, a 1.7 million-square-foot office tower that will serve as the new headquarters of Coach, as well as a residential high-rise building, both of which are anticipated to be completed within the year. As an operator, Related stood out for its wide-ranging capabilities. “There are a lot of developers who can do development, but they need someone to find tenants and rent the building,” said Bastaki. “It’s difficult to find someone like Related who can do everything.” In 2011, KIA added a third prong to its investment approach with Related: investing $75 million in the Recovery Fund, largely because of the company’s strength as a developer. “We didn’t know how they would do in the fund business,” said Bastaki. “But we knew they were very capable as developer, and they could use their development knowledge to help the fund and provide opportunities for the fund, especially with a lot of distressed situations.” The sovereign wealth fund is now considering a follow-on investment with Fund II, partly because of the predecessor fund’s strong performance, delivering both a high IRR and a high multiple on investments. But there’s also another significant reason: “It’s a great opportunity to invest with someone that you know and that you trust,” said Bastaki. Hands-on approach Institutions like KIA see a place in their property portfolios for both operator and allocator funds. Indeed, Metz himself acknowledges the advantages and disadvantages of both. He noted that allocators often are able to draw from a larger pool of operators and in theory, should see more deal flow from those partners. “The downside is, they don’t necessarily have control over those deals,” he said. “It’s a local operator who really has control, who really knows what’s going on. I would say we know exactly what’s going on with all of our deals at all times because we’re doing it. Having that said, we probably have a smaller universe of opportunities to look at.” On the flip side, the biggest challenge for operators overall is scale, he said. Particularly for operators that are focused on one market and one property type outside of New York City, “the challenge for them is scaling their business,” he 50 PERE | APR 2015 Related Companies HQ: New York Number of offices: 11 Chairman and founder: Stephen Ross Chief executive officer: Jeff Blau Head of fund management: Justin Metz Total number of employees: 3,000 Number of fund management employees: 40 Total assets under management: $23 billion Total third-party AUM: $3 billion said. “You have to do a lot of $40 million deals to have an institutional-type fund. I think that’s the struggle that a lot of local operators have. And that’s why a lot of them aren’t in the fund business.” Most operators would rather receive capital from an allocator fund than spend 18 months raising a fund, Metz added. He estimated that there were only 10 funds in market sponsored by national operators that invest across multiple property types. While Metz said that Related’s main competitors are other operators, the company’s national footprint gives it a competitive edge over many such firms. “The advantage brought by a national firm is the ability to see different markets and emphasize the markets with promise while deemphasizing the markets with less promise,” observed John Haggerty, director of private markets investments at Meketa Investment Group, a Westwood, Massachusetts-based investment consulting and advisory firm. A national operator would be able to avoid investing in a market that has become overpriced, unlike a local firm that is focused only on that one particular market, he said. But despite its broader geographic reach, the company has maintained a very hands-on approach to its fund investments, he added. “Related gets very involved with their properties,” Haggerty said. International expansion Unlike its development business, Related’s fund management platform has focused exclusively on the US to date. That could change, however, in the next few years. In Metz’s view, the company is best off establishing a presence in another market before making any investments through its fund management business. Currently, Related has overseas offices in the Middle East, China and London and has invested capital in other markets such as Brazil. But he anticipates that Related Fund Management will make its first international investment in the next three years. The key is finding the right deal to be the platform’s debut overseas investment. “We want to be really successful on the first one we do, and the deals that we’ve looked at so far, it’s not clear to me that we’ve been the first call,” he said. “We’ll wait until we’re more established in those markets, and we’re seeing the opportunity first. I think that’s when it’s priced best.” The most likely location for the fund management business’ overseas expansion is London, where Related already has been active for more than a year on the development side. Last month, Related announced a joint venture with UK developer Argent to develop large-scale projects in London and other UK markets. “If we were to be presented an opportunity there that we felt really good about, that’s where we’d go,” said Metz. Staying small A potential international expansion aside, however, Related isn’t actively pursuing the growth of its fund management business. Metz is confident that three years from now, the platform, whether in terms of staff or AUM, won’t be double the size of what it is today. In fact, the company prefers to remain small enough to be able to continue to execute on deals that are in the $30 million to $60 million equity range – too small for larger institutional investors and too large for the local entrepreneurial firms. Deals such as 111 Wacker “are really, really hard to do, so if we have the right amount of capital to do 20 or 25 deals over three to four years, that’s exactly the size that we want to be,” said Metz. “We may have to raise capital more frequently, because we raise smaller funds, but it gets easier to raise that capital if you’ve done what you said you were going to do.” Also, given the fact that the company, as an operator, is highly detail-oriented and does everything in-house, it doesn’t necessarily make sense for Related to significantly grow its fund management business. “People assume bigger is better, but it’s only better when the market’s perfect,” he added. “When the market’s not as perfect, and it’s harder to find opportunities, sometimes being smaller and nimbler is better, and that’s the path we’ve chosen to take.” Likewise, Related wants to manage the growth of its fund management team. “We’re only as good as our people, so we don’t want to make any hiring mistakes,” he said. “One bad deal could sink your entire fund.” The firm has been very careful about who they’ve hired, and typically have recruited people with whom they’ve had a relationship for an extended period of time. A potential danger for a fund manager is a need to staff up quickly, Metz observed. “When you’re in growth mode and you need people and you need bodies, sometimes if you’re hiring 10 people, you may get one wrong,” he said. “We may hire two people a year. We can’t afford to be wrong.” Team effort: Metz with his Related Fund Management colleagues APR 2015 | PERE 51 ROUNDTABLE | EUROPE More money, more problems The battle for talent is just one of the challenges presented by the ‘wall of money’ that has entered Europe over the past 12 months. By Thomas Duffell Photography by James Clarke (L to R) Paul Hampton of Rockspring Property Investment Managers, Jonathan Harris of Macquarie Capital, Mikkel Bulow Lensby of Nordic Real Esate Partners, and Mike Clarke of CBRE Global Investors Sponsors: CBRE Global Investors Macquarie Capital Nordic Real Estate Partners Rockspring Property Investment Managers ROUNDTABLE | EUROPE The roundtable debates how wisely managers are investing P articipants in PERE’s annual European roundtable gathered on a rare sunny Friday afternoon in London, made only seasonal by the bitter winds that swept through the capital. The weather in fact proved to be the perfect analogy for the participants’ current outlook on European real estate – plenty to be positive about but beware the risks ahead. The common theme that ran throughout the roundtable discussion was the so-called ‘wall of money’ that has flooded the region over the past year or two. Europe dominated private real estate fundraising for 2014, raising a total of $40.3 billion, which represents a growth of 82 percent from 2013, according to research from PERE’s Research & Analytics division. While Europe showed a growth in fundraising from the previous year, nearly every other region faced a decrease in capital. North America which is typically the more dominate regions saw a decline of 19 percent while and Asia-Pacific saw a 27 percent drop respectively. So, great news for those out on the fundraising trail and looking to exit legacy assets as more buyers enter the continent. Recent data from property services firm DTZ suggest that the 2015 commercial investment volumes are forecast to stop short of the all-time 2007 record at approximately €210 billion, but significantly higher than 2014’s €175 billion. The four roundtable participants in the PERE European 54 PERE | APR 2015 roundtable: Mikkel Bulow-Lensby, chief executive of Denmark-based fund manager Nordic Real Estate Partners (NREP); Mike Clarke, head of investor services EMEA for Los Angeles-based real estate investment management firm CBRE Global Investors; Paul Hampton, partner at London-based real estate manager Rockspring Property Investment Managers; and Jonathan Harris, senior managing director and head of advisory for the EMEA region at Macquarie Capital, say the surge of capital would cause problems for some, and in unexpected ways. “What keeps me up at night?” says NREP’s Bulow-Lensby. “How to attract and retain the best talent.” The sentiment was echoed by Harris who says that the biggest challenge is that as businesses grow, maintaining the quality of the people is getting tougher. “It is a high touch business and having the right people with the right skill sets is hard and has got harder, no question,” he says. “We don’t hire too many people that are say in the second half of their career. We tend to grow our own and there is a battle for talent from graduate level up.” Hampton then took the point a step further and singled out executives who focus on asset management, and the need to keep them incentivized. “When you have on the ground teams who know their local markets, speak the local language and understand how to deliver a business plan – and it’s those guys who are so important in helping to differentiate us from our peer group – retaining that talent is naturally a key objective for our business.” Somewhat mischievously, Harris says that some fund managers who have been dormant and unable to raise capital through the downturn are now back and looking to hoover up talent in order to deploy their newly-raised capital. CBRE GI’s Clarke agrees with Harris and adds that a lot of American managers are coming into Europe trying to recruit talent. “You get waves like the last cycle where people enter markets and try and build up their teams.” Hampton has a warning though for anyone who truly thinks the grass is always greener. “It is easy to forget that teams were hired and fired in a short space of time, particularly the non-European groups were guilty of that. I hope our staff and respective organizations remember that.” “It is pretty universal what makes people stay or not. Do they feel that they can grow and make a difference and are they fairly treated?” adds Bulow-Lensby. Opportunity knocks The large amounts of equity looking to be deployed in the European private real estate markets also raise questions about investment strategy among the roundtable participants. In terms of strategy, opportunistic was the most popular for European fundraising in 2014, raising $11.3 billion. Debt and value-add funds came in second ($10 billion) and third ($8.4 billion) respectively, according to PERE’s Research & Analytics division. Geographically, Europe raised the most capital for opportunistic funds, with an aggregate size of $11.5 billion. This is a substantial boost from the previous year, when European opportunistic funds raised $5.4 billion, an increase of 113 percent. The largest opportunistic fund to close was the Blackstone Real Estate Partners Europe IV which raised $8.7 billion between two tranches. But, when questioned about whether or not too much capital had been raised for value-add and opportunistic funds the participants take exception to the categorization of those strategies. “People used to really just think about core and opportunistic when boxing real estate. Value add was everything else and people didn’t really know what it meant. What we try to do is value add, and for me that is just intuitively the most interesting space to be in because value add to me just means buying cash flow Participants: Mikkel Bulow Lensby Chief executive officer Nordic Real Estate Partners Mikkel Bulow-Lensby is the founder and chief executive of Nordic Real Estate Partners, a Denmark-based private equity real estate fund manager. Bulow-Lensby has previous experience with investment banking and corporate strategy at Goldman Sachs, FXLine, and Egmont Group. Mike Clarke Head of investor services EMEA CBRE Global Investors Clarke is responsible for investor relations, equity raising, targeting of new investors and supporting in the EMEA region for the Los Angeles-based real estate investment management giant, CBRE Global Investors. Clarke has 26 years’ experience in global real estate having previously worked at Mesirow Financial, and at Schroders where he was instrumental in growing assets under management from £160 million to over £8 billion through the development of a multi-product real estate strategy. Paul Hampton Partner Rockspring Property Investment Managers Paul joined Rockspring in 1998 and has been a Partner at the firm since 2006. He is responsible for fund management with a particular focus on Rockspring’s European Funds. He was instrumental in the launch of Rockspring’s German Retail Box Fund in 2005 and has been involved in all five of Rockspring’s successful TransEuropean funds, most recently TransEuropean V which raised €350 million ($515 million; €484 million) in 2012. Jonathan Harris Senior managing director Macquarie Capital Based in London, Harris leads the European arm of a global real estate advisory team that has raised $40 billion in equity commitments for a range of real estate transactions and funds since 2003. Having joined Macquarie Capital in 1996, he has led mergers and acquisitions, restructurings and capital raising assignments valued at more than £14 billion ($20.6 billion; €19.4 billion) across public and private markets in Europe and Australia. APR 2015 | PERE 55 ROUNDTABLE | EUROPE that you can improve. Core means you are buying cash flow you can’t do much about, opportunistic means you are buying problems you are trying to fix,” says Bulow-Lensby. Rockspring’s Hampton agrees and says that he hates the idea of trying to categorize value add. “Strategy categorization is a dangerous game. It is entirely possible to have two similar returning ‘value add’ funds pursuing completely different strategies and taking on completely different types of risk. I think for this reason, increasingly investors are placing far more importance on the underlying activities of the funds they consider, the investment guidelines and how value will actually be generated. The crisis period we have been through of course means there is naturally more focus on historic performance, on what that manager has actually done and how they have tried to extract value and deliver the strategy that they have been employed to execute.” And because of the diversity in regards to strategy, Macquarie’s Harris does not believe that the opportunistic and value add sectors are too hot. But just because there are a wide range of strategies that fall under the value add and opportunistic umbrellas that does not mean that investors are letting their fund managers be indiscriminate. “We are not seeing a huge amount of extra leeway being given by investors. A lot of investors have got longer memories this time round than they did the last time and remember regulations have tightened up a lot and the investors are working within a box,” says CBRE GI’s Clarke. “Whether it be Solvency II for insurers or regulations at the country level for pension funds they are constrained more than they have been historically so that has created some discipline. There is still a desire from a majority of investors to have a degree of control.” “A lot of investors are placing a lot more importance on the strategies, the investment guidelines and how they want value delivered,” adds Hampton. “The crisis periods we have been through over the past few year’s means there is more focus on the manager, what that manager is actually doing and how they are trying to extract value and deliver the strategy they are being employed to execute.” London calling According to the roundtable the UK capital is still firmly on the Qatar Investment Authority (QIA) as another example. the radar of the biggest pools of capital “For me those transactions are interesting because the Over the past 12 months the European real estate sector investor felt that London is a market that represented has been awash with large and interesting deals, but the liquidity, not just in terms of exit but in terms of the ocroundtable participants all picked London-based transac- cupier base and as an attraction for them to put their tions as their most salient investments of 2014. money to work.” “The Gherkin was absolutely fascinating The roundtable also mentioned Tobecause of the nature of the capital that ronto and New York-based asset manager came in, Brazilian, at £1,300 per foot ($1,900; Brookfield Asset Management and Qatar’s €1,800 per foot) so it was a big price. That sovereign wealth fund, Qatar Investment took a number of people by surprise and Authority (QIA), which together are taking Brazilian private capital at that price as very over Canary Wharf’s owner, London-listed notable,” says CBRE GI’s Clarke. property developer Songbird Estates, after He says that deals, like the Brazilian conSongbird’s board recommended its minorglomerate Safra Group’s acquisition of 30 St ity shareholders accept an improved £2.6 Mary Axe, known colloquially as the Gherkin, billion (€3.5 billion; $4 billion) offer. for a sum reported to be more than £700 mil“I think that a lot of the headlines when Canary Wharf, London: hot lion, are becoming more likely as there is a we had more activity from the sovereign market large number of big global sources of capital wealth end of the market in the UK in the afout there at the moment. That is because they are looking termath of 2008 was that these guys are going to be buyfor uber prime or iconic buildings and not necessarily for ing up the best real estate they can and never selling, and getting the best risk-adjusted returns in the market. that is a huge issue in terms of future liquidity in the core Hampton agrees and adds that deals such as this are a market,” says Hampton. “I think that perception was unreaffirmation of the enduring appeal of London, despite it derstandable, and I do think most sovereign wealth funds looking like a very expensive city to invest. He pointed to have that mentality, but I also think that it illustrates that the National Pension Service of Korea’s (NPS), Korea’s pre- you shouldn’t tar everyone with the same brush, different eminent state investor, sale of the HSBC Tower in London to people have different outlooks.” 56 PERE | APR 2015 Spotlight on the Nordics The big debate centered on the vast amounts of available capital fund managers have at their disposal in 2015, and NREP’s Bulow-Lensby explains how it impacts region specific investment managers The Nordic region saw $27.2 billion of real estate transacFor Bulow-Lensby and his firm, which closed on its hard tions last year, a 13 percent increase from 2013. And with cap of €400 million for its value-added NREP Nordic Strateeven more fund managers in the market country and re- gies Fund having only launched it last year with an initial gionally focused have a reason to be nervous, explains target of €325 million, the fear can also come from outside Bulow-Lensby. the more traditional real estate investors. “When you have the people on the He says that hedge funds have invested in ground that actually understands a particuDenmark because they think the currency is lar segment you are focusing on and you going to increase, and think real estate is the feel you have an edge compared to the rest best way to get access to the opportunity. of the market. But, the worry I have is that “We have the luxury to not consider whethcapital which is much more financially orier or not we think it is attractive to invest in Copenhagen, Denmark: entated will come to the market and even the Nordics, we only have to consider how Nordics saw deal volume up 13 percent in 2014 though we feel we have an edge they can to make the best possible investments in the go in and just pay something that we can’t. Nordics,” he adds. Even though we feel we can get more value from the prop“Even with that luxury we still have to consider that erty. The combination of the debt and equity markets can there will be all this money coming into Denmark because create a fear for us.” of the currency situation.” Risky business But before the capital allocators start to put their cash to work there are a myriad of geopolitical issues that the continent faces, and fund managers must address. Though these risk factors cannot always be planned for, the participants say. Clarke says that he was surprised that in the immediate aftermath of the Charlie Hebdo event in Paris, after a number of CBRE GI’s investor services professionals from around the world got together, Clarke’s US colleagues already had a number of investors concerned about whether or not it was right to go and do due diligence in Europe. “We must all be aware of the impact of news headlines, it’s a CNN factor. We were all horrified by the Paris terrorist attacks. While it had limited impact on local investors, some investors from further afield expressed concerns and whether it should impact their investment intentions for the region,” says Clarke. More predictable events such as the upcoming general elections in the UK and Spain also represent risks, but the participants say that these events should not move the needle significantly for fund managers. “I think that the overall political headwinds in Europe from east to west are pretty significant at present and together they represent probably the single biggest threat to market confidence across Europe right now,” says Hampton. Political change here in Europe is a significant factor and the roundtablers think that in the run up to elections a number of people do ‘press pause’, but then in the aftermath they press play again. “For what its worth although there is obviously a risk of change in Spain and the UK I think that respective of change the markets will continue to pick up pace after the elections.” “London is a big international market and so although people who are close to getting deals done may pause immediately before the election it will not impact pricing,” adds Clarke. Although of concern for Hampton is the amalgamation more across continental Europe and the radicalization of governments, or at least radical political groups gaining in popularity. For Harris the big thing is tax. “We all know it, property is a sitting duck in a world of fiscal headwinds for governments, whether it is very visible or less so, taxes are going to go up.” “It doesn’t matter whether it is residential or commercial, it feel like it is only going one way. How much will it erode returns I don’t know, but directionally it is only going up.” Big deal Yet, in spite of the political and tax uncertainty, especially in some of the major European economies, the roundtable says that it expects much of the same in terms of which jurisdictions the money flows to. APR 2015 | PERE 57 ROUNDTABLE | EUROPE Recent figures from research firm Real Capital Analytics say that €273 billion of transactions in Europe occurred in 2014. €88 billion was transacted in the UK, €57 billion in Germany, €33 billion in France, €27 billion in the Nordics, €15 billion in the Benelux region, €15 billion in Central and Eastern Europe (CEE) and the rest was notably smaller. “In the next 12 months I would expect to see more capital targeting peripheral Europe as some of the higher returning strategies are forced to take on greater risk to hit their returns,” opines Hampton. “I think there are still a lot of folk who will be happy with the 4 to 6 percent net return from real estate and if they can get that from say the UK or Germany, then I think we will continue to see capital target those markets. Equally, we are seeing demand from investors looking to complement their core and opportunistic investments with a more core plus or value added approach – especially where performance is derived primarily from income based active management strategies.” Hampton adds: “We may well be looking back on increased investment volumes this time next year, but I think it will be interesting to consider the types of deals that have been done and whether or not managers have indeed been forced to take excessive risk in order to get capital deployed. I also think that whilst equity interest in Europe has been stealing the headlines over the last year or so, it will also be interesting to look back on how the banking markets have evolved – leverage is attractive in Europe right now compared with say the US and there is certainly an improved appetite from banks to do business with trusted clients.” CBRE GI’s Clarke agrees that opportunistic fund money will be put to work in “the peripheries” but the core money will continue to focus on the main western markets. However, Clarke adds that CEE will see a slight increase in capital, but will not see larger investments being made until there is some resolution on the ongoing crisis political instability in the Ukraine. “I suspect there will be a reluctance for a large proportion of capital to go there. There may be higher returns to be made there but it is more the perception of the financial and regulatory risks that is causing people to avoid the region.” But, that is not the whole story as it is a lack of available investable assets outside the three major European economies causing the dearth of transactions in the peripheral regions, as opposed to overlying risk factors, says Harris. “The volume in the periphery of Europe where the opportunistic funds are focusing, is likely to remain small relative to the core of Europe. To be fair to them they are looking at hundreds of deals but they might only do three. They are kicking the tires but actually the interesting and investable part of these countries is relatively modest.” While there is a lack of opportunities for real estate fund managers working at the upper echelons of the risk curve the roundtable participants agreed that Europe would be home to some very big deals in 2015. “We will be looking back on these large transactions, as more equity needs to be put to work in the next few years and the dearth of opportunities available will mean it will have to go in fairly large lumps.” says Harris. “The pressure on managers to deploy multiple capital will be intense and Heading to London I think we will see a lot of portfolio transactions, multi This chart shows how Asian investors dominate sector, ABC grade, locations and countries.” their own markets and went to gateway cities Obviously these bigger ticket purchases will come including London which attracted more with their own inherent hazards and when asked what investment from foreign actors than its own PERE’s roundtable discussion will be about next year domestic market the participants all responded with one word, risk. Domestic Foreign “We may well be discussing more deals next year Central London but with regards to the risk and whether or not firms Manhattan (NY) have taken excessive risk to get that capital deployed,” Los Angeles says Hampton. “I think some managers will be under Singapore 24% of global pressure to put capital to work and in turn investors are San Francisco investment getting more anxious about the investment guidelines volumes Toyko CBD are and what the restrictions are, so it will be about how Hong Kong the capital is deployed over the year and whether or Europe Paris CBD US not that looks sensible or whether they are pushing the Frankfurt Asia Pacific leveraging. Equity has been stealing the headlines over 0 25 50 100 125 150 the last year but slowly but surely the leverage markets are really starting to gather more momentum.” *investment volumes exclude land, residential and hotel transactions European fund managers have 12 months to show Source: DTZ that they are investing wisely. 58 PERE | APR 2015 Co-located on 19 June with: PERE RESIDENTIAL FORUM EUROPE 2015 For the world’s private real estate markets 17-18 June |Marriott Grosvenor Square, London Europe's biggest private real estate conference is back. Join over 300 senior professionals from across Europe to examine the critical factors, trends and opportunities affecting the industry. Gain insight from your peers and share experiences of the current market and the challenges that lie ahead. Leading speakers include: Goodwin Gaw, Founder & Managing Partner, Gaw Capital Partners Audrey Klein, Senior Managing Director Head of Fund Raising and Business Development, Aerium Finance Aref Lahham, Managing Director, Orion Capital Partners Anthony Myers, Senior Managing Director, Head of Real Estate Europe, Blackstone Andrew Rich, Fund Manager, TIAA Henderson Real Estate Rob Wilkinson, Chief Executive Officer, AEW Europe Book your place today: Online www.perenews.com/ europesummit Lead Sponsors: Email customerservices@peimedia.com Phone +44 (0)207 566 5445 Co-Sponsors: Capital Watch Capital Watch Each month, PERE publishes Capital Watch, a proprietary list of value-added and opportunistic real estate fundraising activity. Capital Watch has two sections: funds in the market/coming to market and funds closed in the current year. Where possible, we have sought to confirm this information with the fund managers themselves. If you would like to contribute to Capital Watch, please e-mail us at robin.m@peimedia.com. All contributions will be treated in the strictest confidence. Source: PERE and PERE Research & Analytics FUNDS IN MARKET/COMING TO MARKET FIRM Global funds Angelo Gordon Astrum Investment Management Beacon Capital Partners The Blackstone Group Brookfield Asset Management Century Bridge Capital DLJ Real Estate Capital Partners Fortress Investment Group Greenfield Partners Meadow Partners Morgan Stanley Real Estate Investing Muehler International Oaktree Capital Management TPG Capital Westbrook Partners Westport Capital Partners FUND HEADQUARTERS STRATEGY CLOSE AG Realty Fund IX Astrum Fund II Beacon Capital Strategic Partners VII Blackstone Real Estate Partners VIII Brookfield Strategic Real Estate Partners 2 Century Bridge China Real Estate Fund II DLJ Real Estate Capital Partners V Fortress Real Estate Opportunities Fund II Greenfield Acquisition Partners VII Meadow Real Estate Fund III Morgan Stanley Real Estate Fund VIII Global Muehler Real Estate Fund I Oaktree Real Estate Opportunities Fund VII TPG Real Estate II Westbrook Real Estate Fund X WCP Real Estate Fund IV New York Los Angeles Boston New York Toronto Beijing New York New York South Norwalk (CT) New York New York Calabasas (CA) Los Angeles Fort Worth (TX) New York Wilton (CT) Global diversified Global sale-leaseback Global office Global diversified Global diversified Global diversified Global diversified Global diversified Global diversified Global diversified Global diversified Global diversified Global diversified Global diversified Global diversified Global diversified Launched Launched Launched Launched Launched Launched Interim Interim Interim Interim Interim Launched Launched Launched Interim Interim Global funds subtotal Notes: (1) Amounts converted from euros, pounds and Australian dollars at latest exchange rates. (2) Items in bold represent new additions to the list. Americas funds Florida Real Estate Value Fund II 5 Stone Green Capital Real Estate Fund Abacus Multi-family Partners III Adler Kawa Real Estate Fund III Miami New York New York Miami Beach Alcion Ventures AllianceBernstein ALTO Real Estate Funds American Real Estate Partners Arden Gorup Alcion Real Estate Fund III AllianceBernstein U.S. Real Estate Partners II ALTO Real Estate Investment Fund 2 Strategic Office Fund Arden Real Estate Partners Fund II Boston New York Tel Aviv Herndon (VA) Philadelphia Ares Management Argosy Capital Astrum Investment Management Ares US Value Enhancement Fund VIII Argosy Real Estate Partners III Astrum Fund I New York Wayne (PA) Los Angeles Avanath Capital Management Avanti Properties Group AVP Advisors Banner Apartments BAP Capital BayNorth Capital Bell Partners Berkshire Property Advisors BKM Capital Partners Blue Vista Capital Management Blue Vista Capital Management Boxer Property Management Bridge Investment Group Partners Irvine (CA) Winter Park (FL) Los Angeles Northbrook (IL) Miami Boston Greensboro (NC) Boston Irvine (CA) Chicago Chicago Houston Salt Lake City Bridge Investment Group Partners Brightside Investment Group Brilla Capital Brookwood Financial Partners Buchanan Street Partners Cantor Partners CapRidge Partners Carroll Organization CBRE Global Investors Centennial Holdings CenterSquare Investment Management Avanath Affordable Housing II Avanti Strategic Land Investors VIII American Value Partners Fund II Banner Essex Strategic Apartment Fund II BAP Realty Fund I BayNorth Capital Appreciation Fund Bell Institutional Fund V Berkshire Multifamily Value Fund III BKM Industrial Value Fund I Blue Vista Real Estate Partners IV Blue Vista Student Housing 5 Boxer Property Fund III ROC Multifamily and Commercial Office Fund III ROC Seniors Housing & Medical Properties Fund Brightside Hotel Fund Bricapital-IGS Fund Brookwood U.S. Real Estate Fund TCW/Buchanan Fund VI Cantor Real Estate Income & Opportunity Fund II CapRidge Partners II Carroll Multifamily Real Estate Fund III CBRE Strategic Partners US Value VII Centennial Real Estate Fund IV CenterSquare Value-Added Fund III China Orient Asset Management / Great Eagle CityView CityView / Lincoln Property Clarion Partners Colony Capital Columbia Pacific Advisors Continental American Properties Conundrum Capital Cornerstone Real Estate Advisors Covenant Capital Group Coventry Real Estate Advisors CrossHarbor Capital Partners China Orient US Property Fund CityView Southern California Fund II N/A Campus Clarion Student Housing Partners Colony Realty Partners IV Columbia Pacific Real Estate Fund 2 ConAm Real Estate Fund I Q Residential Multi-Family Private Equity Fund IV Cornerstone Real Estate Fund X Covenant Apartment Fund VIII Coventry Real Estate Fund IV Crossharbor Institutional Partners 2014 PERE | APR 2015 TARGET (M) $0 $0 $0 $0 $0 $0 $84 $145 $120 $300 $1,000 $0 $0 $0 $693 $250 $1,500 $250 $1,000 $13,000 $7,000 $400 $750 $1,000 $750 $400 $3,000 $500 $3,000 $2,000 $2,000 $500 $2,592 13th Floor Investments 5 Stone Green Capital Abacus Capital Group Adler Kawa Real Estate Advisors 60 TOTAL CLOSED (M) Salt Lake City Atlanta Miami Beverly (MA) Newport Beach (CA) St. Petersburg (FL) Austin (TX) Atlanta Los Angeles Atlanta Plymouth Meeting (PA) Beijing Los Angeles Los Angeles / Dallas New York Santa Monica (CA) Seattle San Diego Toronto Hartford (CT) Nashville (TN) New York Boston Florida diversified US diversified US multifamily US industrial and hospitality US, Canada diversified US diversified US retail US office US office and hospitality US diversified US diversified SoCal mixed-use properties US multifamily US diversified US diversified US multifamily Caribbean diversified US diversified US multifamily US multifamily US industrial US diversified US student housing US office US multifamily Launched Interim Interim Launched $0 $8 $198 $0 $150 $200 $300 $100 Interim Interim Interim Launched Launched $269 $60 $33 $0 $0 $600 N/A $100 $75 $250 Interim Interim Interim $490 $45 $38 $750 $150 $50 Interim Launched Launched Interim Launched Launched Launched Interim Launched Launched Launched Launched Launched $110 $0 $0 $35 $0 $0 $0 $471 $0 $0 $0 $0 $0 $200 $350 $500 $50 $175 $300 $300 $400 $200 $400 $250 $100 $750 US senior housing US hotel Mexico hospitality US diversified US diversified US diversified US office US multifamily US diversified US residential US diversified Interim Interim Launched Interim Interim Interim Launched Interim Interim Interim Interim $41 $100 $0 $560 $76 $100 $0 $8 $944 $132 $93 $450 $350 $200 $700 $600 $500 $100 $50 $1,500 $300 $500 US office California residential Eastern US multifamily US student housing US diversified US diversified US multifamily Canada multifamily US diversified US multifamily US retail US diversified Launched Interim Launched Interim Interim Interim Launched Interim Interim Launched Launched Interim $0 $100 $0 $115 $225 $63 $0 C$123 $116 $0 $0 $150 $1,000 $200 $200 $500 $490 $300 $100 C$250 $750 $300 $250 $500 $0 $0 $0 $50 $114 $1,250 $200 $500 $200 $250 Interim Interim Launched Launched Interim Interim Interim Interim Launched Launched Launched Launched Interim Launched $62 $325 $0 $0 $83 $216 $43 $140 $0 $0 $0 $0 $20 $0 $125 $300 $125 $300 $200 $550 $250 $500 $750 $350 $300 $200 $100 $250 - 500 Launched Launched Launched Interim Interim Launched Interim Interim Interim Launched Launched Interim Interim Interim Interim Launched $0 $0 $0 $52 $67 $0 $285 $32 $146 $0 $0 $50 $185 $16 $47 $0 $750 $750 $500 $100 $125 $100 $430 $75 $600 $200 $300 $200 $500 $75 $250 $200 Interim Interim Launched Interim Launched Launched Launched Launched Launched Launched Interim $35 $55 $0 $159 $0 $0 $0 $0 $0 $0 $100 $300 $75 $1,000 N/A $300 $350 $500 $255 $750 $500 $200 Launched Interim Interim Launched Launched Launched Launched Interim $0 $316 $49 $0 $154 $0 $0 $25 $75 $500 $300 $100 $179 $700 $250 $50 Interim Launched Interim Interim $102 $0 $227 $30 $150 $250 $500 $50 Launched Launched Launched Interim Interim Interim Interim Launched Interim Interim Launched Interim $0 $0 $0 $45 $8 $71 $24 $0 $150 $30 $0 $176 $250 $150 $300 $250 $200 $300 $75 $100 $500 $100 $500 $400 Interim Interim Launched Interim Interim Interim Launched Launched Interim Interim $35 $300 $0 $30 $110 $115 $0 $0 $45 $80 $100 $600 $500 $150 R$2,000 N/A $300 $250 $150 $600 HEADQUARTERS STRATEGY CLOSE Crow Holdings Capital Partners Crown Capital Dalfen America DVO Real Estate Easterly Partners Dallas St. Louis Quebec New York Washington, DC Elion Partners ElmTree Funds Equity Global Management Equus Capital Partners Ethika Investments Federal Capital Partners Forge Capital Partners Gaw Capital Partners GEM Realty Capital Gerding Edlen Gerrity Group Glenmont Capital Graycliff Capital Partners Grosvenor Investment Management Crow Holdings Realty Partners VII Crown Capital Opportunities Fund Dalfen America Opportunity XV DVO Gap Equity Fund U.S. Government Properties Income & Growth Fund II Elion Real Estate Fund III ElmTree Net Lease Fund II EGM Income & Growth Fund V BPG Investment Partnership X Ethika Diversified Opportunity Real Estate Fund FCP Realty Fund III Forge Real Estate Partners III Gaw Capital US Fund GEM Realty Fund V Gerding Edlen Green Cities III Gerrity Retail Fund 2 Glenmont Real Estate Partners IV Graycliff Capital Southeast Apartment Fund Grosvenor US Multifamily Fund Aventura (FL) St. Louis Chicago Philadelphia Los Angeles Chevy Chase (MD) Tampa Los Angeles Chicago Portland Solana Beach (CA) New York Northbrook (IL) Philadelphia GTIS Partners GTIS Partners H.I.G. Realty Hackman Capital Halstatt Real Estate Partners Hamilton Point Investments Hammes Company Health Care Harbor Group International Heitman Henderson Global Investors Hunt Investment Management Integrated Capital Invesco Real Estate Iron Stone Strategic Capital Ivy Equities Jamestown Latin America GTIS Brazil Real Estate Fund III GTIS US Residential Strategies Fund II H.I.G. Realty Partners III Hackman Capital Real Estate Fund Halstatt Real Estate Partners Fund II HPI Real Estate Opportunity Fund IV Hammes Partners II HGI Opportunity Select Fund IV Heitman Value Partners III Henderson Student Housing Fund Hunt Value Add Fund IV Integrated Capital Hospitality Fund II Invesco US Value-Add Fund IV Iron Stone Real Estate Fund III Ivy Real Estate Fund III Jamestown Latin America Fund New York New York New York Los Angeles Naples (FL) Old Lyme (CT) Brookfield (WI) Norfolk (VA) Chicago London Conshohocken (PA) Los Angeles Dallas Philadelphia Montvale (NJ) Atlanta JDM Partners John Buck Company Kayne Anderson Capital Advisors Kennedy Wilson KHP Capital Kisco Senior Living L&L Holding LandBaron Investment LaSalle Investment Management Lazard Freres LCN Capital Partners JDM Partners Opportunity Fund II JBC Fund V Kayne Anderson Real Estate Partners IV Kennedy Wilson Real Estate Fund V KHP Fund 4 Kisco Senior Living Communities Fund I N/A Western States Distressed Land Fund LaSalle Income & Growth Fund VII Lazard Freres Strategic Realty Investors III LCN Capital Partners North America SaleLeaseback Fund Lingerfelt Commonwealth Value Fund II Lubert-Adler Real Estate Fund VII Lyrical-Antheus Realty Partners IV Magellan Industrial Fund II Magna Hotel Fund V N/A Mariner Real Estate Partners IV MKRO I Phoenix Chicago Los Angeles Beverly Hills San Francisco Carlsbad (CA) New York Las Vegas Chicago New York New York US diversified US diversified US, Canada diversified US multifamily US government properties US diversified US diversified US development US diversified US hotel US diversified US diversified US office, hospitality US diversified US diversified US retail US multifamily, hotel US diversified US multifamily development Brazil diversified US residential US diversified US industrial US diversified US diversified US healthcare US diversified US diversified US student housing US multifamily, retail US hospitality US diversified US diversified US diversified Latin America diversified US diversified US diversified US diversified US diversified US diversified US senior housing New York City office US distressed land US diversified US healthcare US sale-leaseback properties US diversified US diversified US multifamily California industrial US hotel US distressed US diversified New York City diversified West Coast office US diversified US diversified Chicago multifamily Lingerfelt CommonWealth Partners Lubert-Adler Partners Lyrical-Antheus Realty Partners Magellan Group Magna Hospitality Marathon Real Estate Mariner Real Estate Management Massey Knakal / RiverOak Menlo Equities Meridian Group Mesirow Financial Michigan Avenue Real Estate Investors The Milestone Group Mount Auburn Capital New Boston Fund Noble Investment Group Northland Investment Oak Street Real Estate Capital Oakwood Real Estate Partners Occasio Funds O'Connor Capital Origin Capital Partners Pacific Coast Capital Partners Paladin Realty Partners Menlo Realty Partners V Meridian Realty Partners II Mesirow Financial Real Estate Value Fund II Michigan Avenue Investors Real Estate Opportunity Fund II Milestone Real Estate Investors IV Mount Auburn Multifamily Real Estate Fund III New Boston Real Estate Investment Fund VIII Noble Hospitality Fund III Northland Fund V Oak Street Real Estate Capital Fund III Oakwood Real Estate Partners Fund I Occasio Growth Fund I O'Connor Retail Partners Origin Capital Fund II PCCP Equity 7 Paladin Realty Latin American Investors IV Palatine Capital Partners Paramount Group Parmenter Realty Partners Pathfinder Partners Pátria Investimentos Patria Investimentos Pearlmark Real Estate Partners Penwood Real Estate Investment Management Phillips Edison Praedium Group Palatine Real Estate Fund II Paramount Group Real Estate Fund VII Parmenter Realty Fund V Pathfinder Partners Opportunity Fund V Pátria Real Estate III FIP Patria Brazil Retail Property Fund Pearlmark Multifamily Partners II Penwood Select Industrial Partners IV Phillips Edison Strategic Investment Fund III Praedium Multifamily Value Fund VIII Glen Allen (VA) Philadelphia Englewood (NJ) Los Angeles Warwick (RI) New York Leawood (KS) New York / Stamford (CT) Palo Alto (CA) Bethesda (MD) Chicago Northbrook (IL) New York Los Angeles Boston Atlanta Newton (MA) Chicago Denver Denver New York Chicago Los Angeles Los Angeles New York New York Miami San Diego São Paulo São Paulo Chicago West Hartford (CT) Baltimore New York US multifamily US multifamily US diversified US diversified US diversified US diversified US diversified US resort properties US, Mexico retail US diversified US diversified Latin America diversified US multifamily US office US diversified US distressed Brazil diversified Brazil retail US residential US industrial US multifamily US multifamily APR 2015 | PERE 61 Capital Watch TARGET (M) Launched Launched Launched Interim Interim FUND Figures are through 17 March 2015 TOTAL CLOSED (M) FIRM Capital Watch TOTAL CLOSED (M) TARGET (M) Interim Interim Interim Launched $100 $302 COP60,000 $0 $300 $500 COP100,000 $200 Launched Interim $0 $40 $500 $150 Interim FIRM FUND HEADQUARTERS STRATEGY CLOSE PRP Real Estate Investment Prudential Real Estate Investors Quadras Ram Real Estate Perseus Realty Partners III Senior Housing Partners V Futuro Inmobiliario Ram Realty Partners IV US diversified US senior housing Colombia residential US diversified Ramius Capital Group Redwood Real Estate RCG Premier Equity Fund Redwood-Kairos Real Estate Value Fund IV US diversified US diversified Regional Real Estate Investment Develop-DC Related Companies Related Companies Ridgewood Real Estate Partners Rockpoint Group Rockwood Capital RSF Partners Seavest Healthcare Properties Second City Capital Partners Sentinel Real Estate Related Energy-Focused Real Estate Fund Related Real Estate Recovery Fund II Ridgewood Real Estate Fund I Rockpoint Real Estate Fund V Rockwood Capital Real Estate Partners IX RSF Partners VI Seavest Properties Fund IV Second City Real Estate II Gotham City Residential Partners II Washington, DC Madison (NJ) Bogota Palm Beach Gardens (FL) New York Rancho Santa Margarita (CA) Plymouth Meeting (PA) New York New York Florham Park (NJ) Boston San Francisco Dallas White Plains (NY) Vancouver New York Shorenstein Properties Singerman Real Estate Square Mile Capital Management Stockbridge Capital Partners Stoltz Real Estate Partners T2 Capital Management TerraCap Partners Thackeray Partners The Carlyle Group The Wolff Company Thor Equities Shorenstein Realty Investors XI SRE Opportunity Fund II Square Mile Partners IV Stockbridge Value Fund II Stoltz Real Estate Fund V T2 Opportunity Fund IV TerraCap Partners Fund III Thackeray Partners Realty Fund IV Carlyle Realty Partners VII Wolff Real Estate Partners III Thor Urban Operating Fund IV San Francisco Chicago New York San Francisco Bala Cynwyd (PA) Wheaton (IL) Bonita Springs (FL) Dallas Washington, DC Scottsdale (AZ) New York Timbercreek Asset Management Timbercreek US Multi-Residential Opportunity Fund I True North Real Estate Fund III Tucker Development & Acquisition Fund II Turner Real Estate Fund III Unico Partners I Velocis Fund II Vinci Real Estate Fund Virtú Multifamily Opportunity Fund III Virtus Real Estate Capital Waterton Residential Property Venture XII Waypoint Fund II Western National Realty Fund III WHI Real Estate Partners III White Oak Real Estate Opportunity Fund True North Management Tucker Development Turner Real Estate Investments Unico Property Velocis Vinci Partners Virtú Investments Virtus Real Estate Capital Waterton Associates Waypoint Real Estate Group Western National Group WHI Capital Partners White Oak Partners Toronto Washington, DC development US multifamily US distressed US residential US diversified US diversified US diversified US medical office US diversified New York City multifamily US office US diversified US diversified US diversified US diversified US diversified Florida diversified US diversified US diversified US multifamily US mixed-use properties US multifamily White Plains (NY) Highland Park (IL) Newport Beach (CA) Seattle Dallas Rio de Janeiro Larkspur (CA) Austin (TX) Chicago Oakland (CA) Irvine (CA) Chicago Westerville (OH) US diversified US diversified US diversified US office US diversified Brazil office, retail US multifamily US diversified US multifamily US residential California multifamily US diversified US multifamily $35 $150 Launched Interim Launched Interim Interim Interim Interim Launched Launched $0 $117 $0 $1,400 $515 $50 $16 $0 $0 $300 $750 $150 $2,500 $750 $200 $500 $200 $400 Interim Launched Interim Interim Interim Launched Launched Launched Interim Launched Launched $1,200 $0 $255 $184 $55 $0 $0 $0 $2,298 $0 $0 $1,500 $250 N/A $400 $250 N/A $250 $250 $4,000 $800 $400 Interim C$67 C$200 Interim Interim Interim Interim Launched Interim Interim Launched Interim Launched Launched Interim Interim $70 $25 $30 $100 $0 $225 $17 $0 $250 $0 $0 $123 $35 $650 $250 $52 $300 $300 $650 $50 $500 $500 $500 $300 $250 $200 Americas funds subtotal Figures are through 17 March 2015 Europe funds $16,593 AEW Capital Management Angelo, Gordon & Co Apache Capital Partners Arminius Advisors AXA Real Estate AXA Real Estate Benson Elliot Capital Management BLG Capital BPT Asset Management AEW Europe Value Investors Fund AG Europe Realty Fund Apache Prime Central London Res. Opp. Fund Arminius Real Estate Opportunity Fund II AXA Real Estate Alpha Plus Pan European Value Added Fund Benson Elliot Real Estate Partners Fund IV BLG Turkish Real Estate Fund II BPT Baltic Opportunity Fund Boston New York London Luxembourg Paris Paris London Istanbul Copenhagen Bridges Ventures Brockton Capital CapMan Real Estate CarVal Investors Catalyst Capital Catella Real Estate / Bank Sarasin Bridges Property Alternatives Fund Brockton Capital Fund III CapMan Nordic Real Estate Fund CarVal Investors Europe Real Estate Partners Catalyst European Property Fund II Sarasin Sustainable Properties - Europe London London Helsinki/Stockholm Minnetonka (MN) London Stockholm / Basel CBRE Global Investors Composition Capital Partners European Shopping Centre Fund Europe III Sustainable Yield Fund The Hague Amsterdam Cordea Savills Cordea Savills Curlew Capital ECE Real Estate Partners Cordea Savills Nordic Logistics Fund Prime London Residential Fund II Curlew Student Trust ECE European Prime Shopping Centre Fund II London London London Hamburg F&C REIT Forum Partners Investment Management Frogmore Property Genesta Property Harbert Management Heitman Henley Investments Impax Asset Management International Campus Devonshire UK Opportunities Fund Forum European Realty Income IV Frogmore Real Estate Partners III Genesta Nordic Real Estate Fund II Harbert European Real Estate Fund IV Heitman European Property Partners V Henley European Logistics Real Estate Fund Climate Property Fund II International Campus Student Housing Fund London London London Stockholm Birmingham (AL) Chicago Surrey (UK) London Munich Internos Real Investors Internos Hotel Real Estate Fund London 62 PERE | APR 2015 Europe office Europe diversified London residential Germany distressed Europe distressed Europe diversified Europe diversified Turkey diversified Baltic States commercial UK diversified UK diversified Nordic diversified UK, France diversified Europe diversified Europe sustainable properties German retail Northwestern Europe diversified Nordic Logistics London multifamily UK student housing European shopping mall UK diversified Europe diversified UK diversified Nordic diversified Europe diversified Europe diversified Europe logistics UK diversified German student housing European hotel Interim Interim Launched Launched Launched Launched Interim Launched Launched € 235 $52 €0 €0 €0 €0 € 53 €0 €0 € 700 $500 € 75 € 400 € 500 € 1,000 € 600 € 200 €100 Interim Launched Interim Interim Launched Interim £120 £0 € 75 € 256 €0 € 114 £200 £500 € 300 € 500 € 150 € 500 Interim Launched € 231 €0 € 750 € 250 Interim Interim Interim Interim € 300 £33 £40 € 500 N/A £150 £250 € 750 Launched Interim Interim Launched Launched Launched Launched Launched Interim £0 € 60 £204 €0 €0 €0 €0 £0 € 50 £300 € 350 £350 € 250 € 500 € 500 € 240 £300 € 250 Interim € 210 € 300 TARGET (M) Launched Launched Interim Interim €0 $0 € 350 € 100 € 400 $150 € 750 € 200 Launched Launched Launched Launched Interim Launched Launched Launched Interim £0 €0 €0 €0 € 40 €0 €0 €0 € 100 £225 € 700 € 300 € 1,100 € 300 € 250 € 500 € 500 € 300 Launched Launched Interim Launched €0 $0 £135 €0 N/A $150 £350 € 1,000 Interim Interim Interim Launched NOK57 € 370 £65 €0 NOK1,700 € 450 £100 € 250 FUND HEADQUARTERS STRATEGY CLOSE Invesco Real Estate Investment Management Group JPMorgan Asset Management LCN Capital Partners European Value Add Fund Russia Development Fund II JPMorgan European IP Fund III LCN Capital Partners Europe Sale-Leaseback Fund Mercer Real Estate Partners II Niam Nordic Fund VI Optimum Evolution Fund SIF Property 3 Patron Capital V Peakside Real Estate Fund II Pradera Turkish Retail Fund RedTree Capital Fund I Revetas Fund II Revetas Capital Recovery Fund I Dallas Moscow New York New York London Leeds (UK) London London Europe diversified Russia diversified Europe office Europe sale-leaseback properties UK diversified Nordic diversified Germany multifamily Europe diversified Europe diversified Turkey retail UK, France diversified Europe diversified Central / Eastern Europe diversified Europe diversified UK diversified UK multifamily Europe diversified Oslo London London Hamburg Norway retail, office Europe diversified London diversified Poland, Czech retail Rockspring Property Investment Managers ScarWyn Capital Threadneedle Property Investments Tristan Capital Partners UNION Eiendomskapital Valad Europe Wainbridge Warburg/Henderson Global Investors Rockspring TransEuropean Property VI Steeland Property Opportunity Fund Threadneedle Low-Carbon Workplace Trust European Property Investors Special Opportunities 4 Union Real Estate Fund Valad European Diversified Fund Wainbridge Global Opportunities London N/A London Stockholm Luxembourg London London London London London London Europe funds subtotal Asia / RoW funds Aetos Capital AEW Asia Altis Property Partners Angelo, Gordon & Co Arch Capital Management Ashington Capital Asia Investment Partners Asia Pacific Land ASK Group Baring Private Equity Asia BlackRock Real Estate CBRE Global Investors China Overseas Land and Investment/Industrial and Commercial Bank of China CLSA Capital Partners Composition Capital Partners Cordea Savills Cube Capital Dewan Housing Finance Du Val Group $4,165 Aetos Capital Asia Fund V AEW Value Investors Asia Fund II Altis Real Estate Equity Partnership III AG Asia Realty Fund III Arch Capital-TRG Asian Partners III Ashington Development Fund III AIP Japan Fund V N/A ASK India Real Estate Special Opportunities Fund Baring Asia Real Estate Fund BlackRock Asia Fund V CBRE Asia Value Fund Harmony China Real Estate Fund II New York Singapore Sydney New York Hong Kong Sydney Tokyo Hong Kong Mumbai Hong Kong New York Los Angeles Hong Kong Fudo Capital III Asia III Opportunistic Fund Cordea Savills Greater Tokyo Office Fund Cube Asia Frontier Fund DHFL Venture Capital Fund II Du Val Opportunity Fund Hong Kong Hong Kong London London Mumbai Auckland (NZ) Everbright Ashmore China Real Estate Fund II Forum Asian Realty Income IV Fusion Africa Real Estate Development Fund GreenOak Asia II Heitman Asia-Pacific Property Investors India Advantage Fund II Japan Urban Residential Club II InfraRed NF China Real Estate Fund II IL&FS India Realty Fund III IHS Fund II ICD-Brookfield Dubai Real Estate Fund NBAD Investment Management Novare Equity Partners Orange Grove Capital Management Orion Partners Pamfleet Group Phatisa PineBridge Investments Portman Holdings Prologis India Real Estate Opportunities Fund II Jones Lang LaSalle Residential Opportunities Fund II JPMorgan India Property Fund II KaiLongRei Commercial Real Estate USD Fund I KaiLong Greater China Real Estate Fund LIDIS Real Estate VI Long Hills China Retail Real Estate Fund I Momentum Africa Real Estate Fund Moonbridge Capital Greater China Development Fund Moss Capital Australian Real Estate Opportunities Fund N/A Novare Africa Property Fund II N/A Ostara Japan Aged-Care Real Estate Fund 3 Pamfleet Real Estate Fund II Pan African Housing Fund PineBridge GCC Real Estate Fund I Portman India Residential Fund Prologis Japan Development Fund Red Fort Capital Rose Rock Capital RRJ Capital Red Fort India Real Estate Fund III Rose Rock Capital Fund RRJ China Real Estate Fund Everbright Ashmore Forum Partners Investment Management Fusion Group GreenOak Real Estate Heitman ICICI Venture IDERA Capital Management InfraRed Capital Partners Infrastructure Leasing & Financial Services International Housing Solutions Investment Corporation of Dubai / Brookfield Asset Management IREO Jones Lang LaSalle JPMorgan Asset Management KaiLongRei Investment KaiLongRei Investment LIDIS Long Hills Capital Momentum Global Investments Moonbridge Capital Moss Capital Hong Kong London Nairobi New York Chicago Mumbai Tokyo London Mumbai Johannesburg Dubai / Toronto Asia diversified Asia diversified Australia diversified Asia diversified Asia diversified Australia development Japan senior housing Tokyo residential India residential Asia diversified Asia diversified Asia Diversified China residential development Asia diversified Asia diversified Japan office Asia diversified India residential New Zealand / Australia diversified China diversified Asia diversified Africa diversified Asia diversified Asia diversified India residential Japan residential China diversified India diversified South African housing Dubai diversified Launched Launched Interim Launched Interim Launched Launched Interim Interim Interim Launched Interim Interim $0 $0 A$320 $0 $238 $0 ¥0 $70 $50 $250 $0 $261 $230 $1,000 $500 A$300 $625 $500 $160 ¥30,000 $140 $200 $500 $1,000 $1,000 $500 Interim Launched Launched Launched Launched Launched $823 $0 $0 $0 $0 $0 $850 $300 $200 $150 $200 $800 Interim Launched Launched Launched Launched Launched Interim Interim Launched Interim Launched $100 $0 £0 $0 $0 $0 $40 $250 $0 $170 $0 $300 $500 £100 $500 $500 $200 JPY6000 $500 $750 $360 $1,000 New York Chicago India development India residential Launched Launched INR0 INR0 INR10000 INR3000 New York Shanghai Shanghai Sydney Hong Kong London Hong Kong India residential China diversified China diversified Australia diversified China diversifed Africa diversified China diversified Interim Interim Interim Launched Launched Interim Launched $75 $100 $200 $0 $0 $32 $0 $500 $300 $200 $400 $400 $250 $400 Sydney Australia diversified Launched $0 $150 Abu Dhabi Bellville (South Africa) Singapore Hong Kong Hong Kong Mauritius New York Atlanta Singapore Middle East diversified Africa diversified Japan diversified Japan healthcare Asia diversified Africa diversified Middle East diversified India residential Japan industrial development India diversified China diversified China residential Launched Interim Launched Launched Interim Interim Interim Launched Launched $0 $150 $0 $0 $215 $42 $140 $0 $0 $300 $250 $500-1000 $250 $350 $100 $200 $200 $600 Launched Launched Launched $0 $0 $0 $500 $2,000 $500 New Delhi New York Hong Kong APR 2015 | PERE 63 Figures are through 17 March 2015 Mercer Real Estate Partners Niam Optimum Asset Management Patron Capital Peakside Capital Pradera Europe RedTree Capital Revetas Capital Revetas Capital Capital Watch TOTAL CLOSED (M) FIRM Capital Watch FIRM FUND HEADQUARTERS STRATEGY CLOSE Saigon Asset Management / RNG Invest SEB Asset Management SilkRoad Property Partners SP-aktif Properties New Vietnam Smart Money Fund SEB Asian Property II SilkRoad Asia Value Partners Terra Optima One Ho Chi Minh City Stockholm Singapore Bellville (South Africa) Launched Interim Interim Launched STANLIB STANLIB Africa Direct Property Development Fund N/A Sumitomo Logistics Real Estate Fund Talana Impact Fund Redwood China Logistics Fund Redwood Japan Logistics Fund Vermilion Opportunity Fund N/A Johannesburg Vietnam diversified Asia diversified Asia diversified Sub-Saharan commercial land Africa retail Interim Hong Kong Tokyo Cape Town Singapore Singapore Tokyo Perth (AU) China diversified Japan logistics South Africa diversified China logistics Japan logistics Japan office Australia diversified Launched Interim Launched Interim Interim Launched Launched Starcrest Capital Partners Sumitomo Corporation Talana Capital Management The Redwood Group The Redwood Group Vermilion Capital Management Warrington Property TOTAL CLOSED (M) TARGET (M) $0 € 80 $230 ZAR0 $100 € 200 $350 ZAR1,000 $50 $150 $0 ¥25000 $0 € 95 $237 ¥0 A$0 $300 ¥50,000 $200 CNY2,500 $500 ¥15,000 A$75 Asia / RoW funds subtotal Fund of funds/Secondaries Advanced Capital Commonfund FLAG Capital Franklin Templeton Investments Hawkeye Partners Investors Diversifed Realty IVG Immobilien Landmark Partners LGT Clerestory Madison International Realty Metropolitan Real Estate Equity Management Partners Group Penn Square Real Estate Group Portfolio Advisors Versus Capital Advisors $4,589 AC RE Global Opportunity Fund I Commonfund Strategic Solutions Real Estate Opportunity Fund 2014 FLAG Real Estate Partners III Franklin Templeton Private Real Estate Fund II Hawkeye Partners Scout Fund II Investors Diversified Realty Fund II IVG Balanced Portfolio Asia Landmark Real Estate Partners VII Crown Small Cap Real Estate Fund II Madison International Real Estate Liquidity Fund VI Metropolitan Real Estate Partners Secondaries & Co-Investments Fund Partners Group Global Real Estate 2013 TownSquare Real Estate Alpha Fund Portfolio Advisors Real Estate Fund V Versus Global Multi-Manager Real Estate Income Fund Milan Wilton (CT) Global diversified US diversified Launched Interim €0 $73 € 300 $150 Stamford (CT) New York Austin (TX) Cleveland Bonn Simsbury (CT) New York New York Global fund of funds Global fund of funds US fund of funds US fund of funds Asia fund of funds Global secondaries Global fund of funds Global diversified Interim Launched Interim Launched Launched Interim Interim Launched $37 $0 $533 $0 $0 $670 $123 $0 $75 N/A $750 $150 $475 $1,000 $400 $950 New York Global secondaries Interim Zug (Switzerland) Radnor (PA) Darien (CT) Greenwood Village (CO) Global fund of funds Global fund of funds Global fund of funds Global fund of funds Interim Interim Interim Launched Fund of funds/Secondaries subtotal $70 $450 $300 $143 $196 $0 $1,000 $200 $400 $750 $2,145 TOTAL $30,084 FUNDS CLOSED IN 2015 FIRM Global funds Starwood Capital Group FUND HEADQUARTERS STRATEGY Starwood Distressed Opportunity Fund X Greenwich (CT) Global diversified Global funds subtotal Americas funds Ares US Value Enhancement Fund VIII CIM Fund VIII Harrison Street Real Estate Partners V Hutensky Capital Partners Fund III Pennybacker III LaSalle Canadian Income & Growth Fund IV MedProperties Investment Partners New York Los Angeles Chicago Hartford (CT) Austin (TX) Chicago Dallas Savanna Investment Management Viking Partners Savanna Real Estate Fund III Viking Partners Fund III New York Cincinnati US diversified US diversified US diversified US retail US diversified Canada diversified US healthcare properties US office US diversified Americas funds subtotal Ares Management Kames Capital Moorfield Group Revcap Advisors Rockspring Property Investment Managers Figures are through 17 March 2015 Siguler Guff Morgan Stanley Alternative Investment Partners Fund of funds/Secondaries subtotal 2015 TOTAL 64 PERE | APR 2015 $5,000 Mar-15 $824 $2,410 $850 $117 $322 C$256 $95 $440 $84 $750 $2,000 $750 $250 $300 C$250 $150 Jan-15 Jan-15 Jan-15 Jan-15 Jan-15 Jan-15 Mar-15 $650 Jan-15 $84 Jan-15 $5,342 Ares European Real Estate Fund IV Active Value Property Fund Moorfield Real Estate Fund III Kitty Hawk Capital Partners III Rockspring UK Value Fund II New York London London London London Europe distressed UK diversified UK diversified Europe diversified UK diversified Europe funds subtotal Fund of funds/Secondaries $5,600 $5,600 Ares Management CIM Group Harrison Street Real Estate Capital Hutensky Capital Partners Pennybacker Capital LaSalle Investment Management MedProperties Holdings Europe funds TOTAL CLOSED (M) TARGET ($M) DATE € 1,300 £275 £250 £225 £342 € 1,000 £250 £250 £200 £300 Jan-15 Mar-15 Jan-15 Feb-15 Jan-15 $2,993 Siguler Guff Distressed Real Estate Opportunities Fund II Phoenix Global Real Estate Secondaries Fund II 2013 New York Global diversified $877 $750 Jan-15 New York Global secondaries $500 $500 Feb-15 $1,377 $15,312 5’ T E1 UN ER O ‘P ISC TE D O % U 0 Q a2 r fo Guernsey FUNDS FORUM 2 0 1 5 Achieving stability in a world of change Growth opportunities, innovation and governance Guernsey Funds Forum, 12pm Thursday 14 May, etc.venues, 155 Bishopsgate, London Keynote Moderator More information Visit the event website for full details: guernseyfundsforum.com Who should attend? Guy Hands Terra Firma Alastair Stewart OBE ITV News Presenter Session topics Panel 1: Meeting the needs of European private equity • • • • Base Erosion and Profit Shifting (BEPS) BVCA insights Manager experiences of private placement under AIFMD AIFMD passporting latest Panel 2: Permanent capital - the future of investment entities • • • Regulation - current issues arising out of AIFMD, FATCA, NMPI and CRS Case studies covering the latest IPO innovations Governance challenges Partners • • • • • • • • Investors Fund promoters Investment managers Corporate finance advisers Fund formation lawyers Tax advisers Fund auditors Anyone launching a fund Key stats 350+ attendees 16 exhibitors Half day format Excellent networking Event schedule 12 pm 1.15 pm 5.00 pm Lunch & registration Start of forum Drinks reception A 30 year track record 30 years as one of Europe’s leading property investment managers With thanks to our clients and business partners for their enduring support Rockspring celebrates 30 years of shared success in European property investment management. Today, we are a fully independent professional investment fiduciary, solely focused on European real estate with €7.9 billion in funds under management. As our name suggests, we are committed to offering our investors the ‘rock’ of a proven track record combined with the ‘spring’ of entrepreneurial thinking. Share our journey at www.rockspringpim.com/timeline PERE VOL 11 | ISSUE 3 | APR 2015
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