IJCA-15868; No of Pages 6 International Journal of Cardiology xxx (2013) xxx–xxx Contents lists available at SciVerse ScienceDirect International Journal of Cardiology journal homepage: www.elsevier.com/locate/ijcard Microvesicle protein levels are associated with increased risk for future vascular events and mortality in patients with clinically manifest vascular disease☆ Danny A. Kanhai a, Frank L.J. Visseren a,⁎, Yolanda van der Graaf b, Arjan H. Schoneveld c, d, Louise M. Catanzariti c, Leo Timmers c, L. Jaap Kappelle e, Cuno S.P.M. Uiterwaal b, Sai Kiang Lim f, Siu Kwan Sze g, Gerard Pasterkamp c, Dominique P.V. de Kleijn c, d, h on behalf of the SMART Study Group 1 a Department of Vascular Medicine, University Medical Center Utrecht (UMC Utrecht), Utrecht, The Netherlands Julius Center for Health Sciences and Primary Care, UMC Utrecht, Utrecht, The Netherlands c Experimental Cardiology Laboratory, UMC Utrecht, Utrecht, The Netherlands d ICIN, Netherlands Heart Institute, Utrecht, The Netherlands e Department of Neurology and Rudolf Magnus Institute of Neuroscience, UMC Utrecht, Utrecht, The Netherlands f Institute of Medical Biology, A-Star, Singapore g School of Biological Sciences, Nanyang Technological University, Singapore h Cardiovascular Research Institute & Surgery, NUHS, Singapore b a r t i c l e i n f o Article history: Received 21 August 2012 Received in revised form 6 January 2013 Accepted 19 January 2013 Available online xxxx Keywords: Microvesicles Proteins Vascular events Mortality Epidemiology a b s t r a c t Background and Objectives: Microvesicles (MVs) are small membrane vesicles that are involved in atherotrombotic processes. In the present study, we evaluated the risk of MV protein levels on the occurrence of new vascular events in patients with clinically manifest vascular disease. Methods: In this cohort study 1060 patients were prospectively followed for the occurrence of a new vascular event or death (median follow up 6.4 years, interquartile range 5.2–7.3 years). MVs were isolated from plasma and MV protein levels of Cystatin C, Serpin G1, Serpin F2 and CD14 were measured. Multivariable Cox proportional hazards models were used to estimate the risk for new vascular events, vascular mortality and all-cause mortality. During follow up 136 vascular events occurred, 65 vascular mortality and 114 all-cause mortality. Results: An increase in 1 standard deviation (SD) of Cystatin C MV level was related to an increased risk for myocardial infarction (HR 1.49; 95%CI 1.20–1.86), vascular mortality (HR 1.48; 95%CI 1.17–1.86), vascular events (HR 1.27; 1.07–1.52) and all-cause mortality (HR 1.41; 95%CI 1.18–1.69). Serpin F2 MV levels were related to an increased risk for myocardial infarction (HR 1.22; 95%CI 1.00–1.51), vascular mortality (HR 1.25; 95%CI 1.00–1.56), and all-cause mortality (HR 1.22; 95% CI 1.03–1.45). CD14 MV levels were related to an increased risk for myocardial infarction (HR 1.55; 95%CI 1.27–1.91), vascular mortality (HR 1.37; 95%CI 1.10–1.70), vascular events (HR 1.32; 95%CI 1.12–1.55), all-cause mortality (HR 1.36; 95%CI 1.15–1.62) and occurrence of ischemic stroke (HR 1.32; 95%CI 1.00–1.74). Conclusions: Cystatin C, Serpin F2 and CD14 MV levels are related to an elevated risk for future vascular events and mortality in patients with clinically manifest vascular disease. © 2013 Elsevier Ireland Ltd. All rights reserved. 1. Introduction Patients with manifest vascular disease are at elevated risk for successive vascular events and mortality, even after adequate treatment of well-known vascular risk factors. This residual risk may be caused by new, yet unrecognized, pathophysiological mechanisms. ☆ All authors take responsibility for all aspects of the reliability and freedom from bias of the data presented and their discussed interpretation. ⁎ Corresponding author at: University Medical Center Utrecht, F02.126, Heidelberglaan 100, 3584 CX Utrecht, The Netherlands. Tel.: +31 88 7557155; fax: +31 30 2522693. E-mail address: f.l.j.visseren@umcutrecht.nl (F.L.J. Visseren). 1 Listed in acknowledgments. Microvesicles (MVs) are 50 to 1000 nm membrane shed vesicles released in the extracellular space after cell activation or apoptosis; they include various types as microparticles and exosomes [1,2]. MVs are defined by size and antigen expression, which indicates their originating cell type [3,4]. Release of MVs allows cells to influence (patho)physiological processes over a distance in contrast to cell-cell contact. MVs can directly interact with ligands present on the surface of target cells and activate cascade signaling. In addition, MVs can transfer proteins, mRNA, miRNA, and bioactive lipids by interacting with target cells by either fusion or internalization [5]. By internalization, target cells acquire new surface antigens and therefore new biological properties and activities [4]. Most cell types, including circulating cells and cells present in 0167-5273/$ – see front matter © 2013 Elsevier Ireland Ltd. All rights reserved. http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.ijcard.2013.01.231 Please cite this article as: Kanhai DA, et al, Microvesicle protein levels are associated with increased risk for future vascular events and mortality in patients with clinicall..., Int J Cardiol (2013), http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.ijcard.2013.01.231 2 D.A. Kanhai et al. / International Journal of Cardiology xxx (2013) xxx–xxx the vessel wall, such as platelets, leukocytes, monocytes and endothelial cells are capable of producing MVs [6]. The membrane of MVs consists of phospholipids and various cell-specific proteins such as CD4 +, CD8 +, CD20 + for lymphocyte shed MVs and CD14 + for monocyte shed MVs [7]. Besides membrane proteins, MVs also contain high concentrations of different cytoplasmic proteins. In the past, MVs were simply regarded as cellular debris [8], but now circulating MVs are associated with different types of cancer [9–11], infectious diseases [12–15], diabetes [16] and with the presence of vascular disease [17–22]. It is suggested that MVs play a role in the development of vascular disease as circulating MVs contain and express procoagulant metabolites, e.g. tissue factor, phosphatidylserine and Serpin F2 [23]. Additionally, MVs increase the synthesis and release of proinflammatory cytokines by endothelial cells and leukocytes in vitro [24,25]. Annexin V and CD31, both membrane-bound proteins present on circulating MVs, are associated with increased risk for vascular events in patients with stable coronary artery disease [26]. Plasma Cystatin C, a protease inhibitor, is related to decreased kidney function [27], and is also related to an increased risk for vascular events and mortality [31]. Serpin G1 (C1 inhibitor) as well as Serpin F2 (α2-antiplasmin) inhibit fibrinolysis [29,30], while monocyte derived MVs, marked by CD14 proteins are procoagulant [31], which potentiates these three (MV-)proteins in becoming markers of atherothrombotic processes. Additionally, soluble CD14 has recently been associated with incident vascular disease and mortality in elderly subjects [32]. No large clinical studies have previously assessed the risk of these MV proteins on vascular events or mortality. In the present cohort study, we investigated the determinants of specific MV protein levels (Cystatin C, Serpin G1, Serpin G2 and CD14) and determined the risk of these MV protein levels on the occurrence of new vascular events and mortality in a cohort of patients with various clinical manifestations of vascular disease. SMART study was approved by the Ethics Committee of the University Medical Center Utrecht and all patients gave their written informed consent. 2.3. Follow-up During follow up, patients were asked to fill out a standardized questionnaire biannually, to report newly diagnosed diseases and hospital admissions. When suspected for a vascular event, patients' medical records and documentation were retrieved from their treating specialist or general practitioner (GP). For those who died, specific cause of death was retrieved (also through GP or specialist) in order to differentiate between vascular and non-vascular causes of death. Suspected vascular events and mortality were assessed separately by 3 physicians of the SMART endpoint committee. The definite endpoint was scored upon majority of their evaluation. Study endpoints included ischemic stroke, myocardial infarction, vascular mortality and all-cause mortality. Complete definitions of the study endpoints are stated in Table 1. Patients were followed up until March 2010. 2.4. Microvesicle measurements Venous blood was drawn after an overnight fast. Tubes were instantly placed on ice and centrifuged at 1850 ×g for 15 min at 4 °C. EDTA-plasma was aliquotted and immediately stored at −80 °C until recollection for MV measurement, which began in December 2010 after a median freezer-stay of 7.5 years. MVs were isolated using ExoQuick™ (SBI) according to the manufacturer's protocol (Fig. 1). Briefly, 150 μl EDTA plasma was centrifuged for 15 min at 3000 ×g. The supernatant was filtered over a 0.45 μm Spin-X filter (Corning), which was flushed with preheated PBS (37 °C) and 38 μl ExoQuick™ solution was added to the filtrate. After vortexing, the sample was stored overnight at 4 °C. The following day, the sample was centrifuged at 1500 ×g for 30 min at room temperature. After removing the supernatant, the pellet was lysed in 100 μl Roche Complete Lysis-M with protease inhibitors (EDTA free). Subsequently, the sample was filtered over a 0.22 μm Spin-X filter (Corning) and protein concentration was determined using a Pierce® BCA Protein Assay Kit (Pierce Biotechnology, Rockford, USA) before storing the sample at −80 °C. After thawing, the lysed sample was diluted 20× with Roche complete Lysis-M buffer. 50 μl of this diluted sample was analyzed in a multiplex immunoassay on levels of Cystatin C, Serpin G1, Serpin F2 & CD14, using a Bio-Rad Bioplex 200 system as described before [34]. Capture antibody, biotinylated detection antibody and antigen of all 4 proteins were purchased from R&D systems. Of the 1062 eligible EDTA samples, 2 had insufficient material for MV measurement, leaving a final number of 1060 patients with at least 1 valid MV marker (i.e. Cystatin C, Serpin G1, Serpin F2 or CD14 MV) measurement. 2. Methods 2.5. Data analyses 2.1. Proteomics A full description of preceding biomarker proteomics discovery work is provided in supplements 1–5. Briefly, EDTA plasma proteomics was applied on 100 vascular patients, split in a prospective 1:1 case–control design. 50 patients undergoing endarterectomy (carotid or femoral) with incident coronary events, were age and gender-matched with 50 endarterectomy patients without future vascular events. The mean follow-up time was 1.36 years for events and 3.08 years for controls. This resulted in 116 potential biomarker proteins for vascular events. 102 of these 116 proteins were listed in the Ingenuity database. Ingenuity analysis revealed 3 canonical pathways that were significantly overrepresented in these 102 database proteins: Acute phase signaling, coagulation system & atherosclerosis signaling. Within these 3 pathways, 4 proteins were selected for which 2 antibodies and antigens were available and that were measurable within one multiplex immunoassay: Cystatin C, Serpin G1, Serpin F2 and CD14. 2.2. Study population The study cohort consists of patients participating in the Second Manifestations of ARTerial disease (SMART) study, an ongoing prospective single-center cohort study at the University Medical Center Utrecht that started in September 1996. Study rationale and detailed description are published elsewhere [33]. The SMART cohort comprises patients with a recent history of clinically manifest vascular disease and patients with severe vascular risk factors referred to the University Medical Center Utrecht. Exclusion criteria were age under 18 years, malignancy, dependency in daily activities and not sufficiently fluent in the Dutch language. After inclusion, patients underwent a standardized vascular screening including measurements of risk factors and non-invasive measurement of subclinical atherosclerosis. Consecutive participants in the SMART study with a recent diagnosis, i.e. within 4–8 weeks, of Cerebrovascular Disease (CVD), Coronary Artery Disease (CAD), Peripheral Arterial Disease (PAD) and Aneurysm of the Abdominal Aorta (AAA) included between January 2001 and December 2005 were considered eligible for the current study. CVD was defined as a recent diagnosis of ischemic stroke, transient ischemic attack or amaurosis fugax. CAD was defined as a recent diagnosis of angina pectoris, myocardial infarction or coronary revascularization (coronary artery bypass graft or coronary angioplasty). PAD was defined as a recent clinical diagnosis of PAD (Fontaine stage 2, 3 or 4). AAA was defined as an abdominal aortic aneurysm of ≥3.0 cm or recent aneurysm surgery. The Central estimators and variance measures were calculated for baseline characteristics of the included patients. In order to elucidate potential biological and clinical determinants of the MV protein levels, multivariable linear regression models were used to analyze the relationship between various determinants and Cystatin C, Serpin G1, Serpin F2 and CD14 MV protein levels. These analyses were adjusted for age, gender and eGFR, as plasma levels of Cystatin C are known to be strongly related to kidney function [35]. Variables with skewed distributions were transformed to fulfill linear regression criteria. Univariable and multivariable Cox proportional hazards models were applied to compute hazard ratios (HRs) and their 95% confidence intervals (95%CI) for subsequent Table 1 Study endpoints. Ischemic stroke Myocardial infarction Vascular mortality Composite vascular endpoint All-cause mortality Relevant clinical features causing an increase in impairment of at least one grade on the modified Rankin scale, without signs of hemorrhage on repeat brain imaging. At least two of the following criteria: (I) Chest pain for at least 20 min, not disappearing after administration of nitrates; (II) ST-elevation >1 mm in two following leads or a left bundle branch block on the electrocardiogram; (III) Creatinine kinase (CK) elevation of at least two times the normal value of CK and a myocardial band-fraction >5% of the total CK. Sudden death: unexpected cardiac death occurring within 1 h after onset of symptoms, or within 24 h given convincing circumstantial evidence. Death from stroke, myocardial infarction, congestive heart failure, or rupture of abdominal aortic aneurysm. Vascular death from other causes A composite of stroke, myocardial infarction, retinal infarction, and vascular mortality. Death from any cause Please cite this article as: Kanhai DA, et al, Microvesicle protein levels are associated with increased risk for future vascular events and mortality in patients with clinicall..., Int J Cardiol (2013), http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.ijcard.2013.01.231 D.A. Kanhai et al. / International Journal of Cardiology xxx (2013) xxx–xxx 3 Table 2 Baseline characteristics. N = 1060 Fig. 1. Electron microscopy image of microvesicles isolated with ExoQuick™ out of human plasma. Microvesicles are clearly visible with particles of various sizes. Magnification is 60,000×. Complete methodology is stated in supplemental 2. vascular events or mortality. The proportional hazards assumption was confirmed by testing the correlations between scaled Schoenfeld residuals for mean baseline MV marker and various functions of time. No significant non-proportionality (pb 0.05) was observed. To directly compare the risk for vascular events or mortality, HRs per 1 standard deviation (SD) increase in MV protein levels of Cystatin C, Serpin G1, Serpin F2 and CD14 were calculated. Single imputation methods were used to reduce missing covariate data for homocysteine (n = 17; 1.6%), eGFR (n = 14; 1.3%) and smoking (n = 7; 0.7%), since complete case analysis leads to loss of statistical power and possible bias. To elaborate potential effect modification, interaction terms for gender as well as type of vascular disease were added to the most complete adjusted models. Data analyses were conducted using SPSS version 18 (SPSS Inc. Chicago, IL). Age (years)a Male gender, n (%) Prevalent type 2 diabetes, n (%) Metabolic syndrome, n (%)c Body mass index (kg/m2)a Waist circumference (cm)a HOMA-IRb Blood pressure (mmHg)a Systolic Diastolic LDL-cholesterol (mmol/L)a HDL-cholesterol (mmol/L)b Triglycerides (mmol/L)b Glucose (mmol/L)a HsCRP (mmol/L)b eGFR (ml/min/1.73 m2)a Albuminuria, n (%) Micro Macro Homocysteine (μmol/L)a Smoking, n (%) Never Ever Current Packyears smokinga History of vascular disease, n (%) Cerebrovascular disease Coronary artery disease Peripheral artery disease Aneurysm of the abdominal aorta Medication, n (%) Platelet-aggregation inhibitors Blood pressure-lowering agents Lipid-lowering agents Oral anticoagulants a b 3. Results c 59 ± 10 839 (79) 170 (16) 406 (38) 26.9 ± 3.9 96 ± 11 2.54 (1.68–3.92) 143 ± 22 83 ± 12 2.84 ± 0.93 1.25 (1.02–1.50) 1.49 (1.09–2.08) 6.3 ± 1.86 1.86 (0.90–3.72) 77.5 ± 17.8 210 (20) 32 (3) 14.1 ± 6.3 177 (17) 492 (46) 391 (37) 23.3 ± 20.5 285 617 261 108 (27) (58) (25) (10) 792 (75) 770 (73) 725 (68) 84 (8) Values are expressed as: Mean ± standard deviation. Values are expressed as: Median (interquartile range). Defined according to the National Cholesterol Education Program ATPIII-revised guidelines. 3.1. Patient characteristics The baseline characteristics of the 1060 patients are displayed in Table 2. The average age was 59 ± 10 years and 79% were males. 37% of the patients were current smokers, 58% had a history of coronary artery disease, 27% a history of CVD and 25% a history of PAD. 38% of the patients had the metabolic syndrome (defined according to the National Cholesterol Education Program Adult Treatment Panel III revised-criteria), of which 68% had central obesity, 80% were hypertensive, 72% had dyslipidemia and 67% had an impaired fasting glucose. 3.2. Microvesicle characteristics After Exoquick isolation, MVs were visualized through electron microscopy (Fig. 1), which revealed large numbers of vesicles of different sizes. Floatation experiments in a sucrose gradient revealed that Serpin F2, Serpin G1, CD14 are located in floating MVs and that Cystatin C is partly located in particles and partly in large protein complexes (supplement 3). 3.3. Determinants of microvesicle protein levels MV levels of Serpin G1 were lower in females compared to male patients (linear regression coefficient (β) − 14.45; 95%CI − 27.43 to − 1.47), whereas MV level of Serpin F2 and CD14 were higher in female patients (β 7.37; 95%CI 2.79–11.94 and β 0.64; 95%CI 0.07–1.22 respectively) adjusted for age (Table 3). High-sensitive CRP was related to MV level of Cystatin C (β 0.76 95%CI 0.53–1.00), Serpin G1 (β 14.60; 95%CI 10.07–19.13), Serpin F2 (β 5.99; 95%CI 4.41–7.58) and CD14 (β 1.02; 05%CI 0.83-1.21). Serpin F2 concentrations were inversely related to the use of platelet aggregation inhibitors (β −6.44; 95%CI −10.63 to −2.24), blood pressure-lowering agents (β −4.93; 95%CI–9.06 to − 0.80) and lipid-lowering agents (β − 4.56; 95%CI − 8.50 to − 0.63). Cystatin C and Serpin G1 were also inversely related to the use lipid-lowering agents (β −1.25; 95%CI −1.84 to −0.64 and β −16.87; 95%CI − 27.98 to − 5.77 respectively). MV levels of Cystatin C and CD14 were lower in patients using platelet aggregation inhibitors (β − 1.34; 95%CI − 1.97 to − 0.70 and β − 0.87; 95%CI–1.40 to − 0.35). In CAD patients the plasma MV concentrations of Serpin F2 (β − 7.39; 95%CI − 11.10 to − 3.68) and CD14 (β − 1.88; 95%CI − 2.33 to − 1.42) were lower compared to patients with a vascular disease at another location. 3.4. Microvesicle protein levels and risk of vascular events and mortality During a median follow up of 6.4 years (interquartile range 5.2–7.3 years) the clinical endpoints ischemic stroke (n= 44), myocardial infarction (n= 78), vascular mortality (n= 65), composite vascular endpoint (n=136) and all-cause mortality (n= 114) were observed. An increase in 1 SD MV level of Cystatin C resulted in an increased risk for myocardial infarction (HR 1.49; 95%CI 1.20–1.86), vascular mortality (HR 1.48; 95%CI 1.17–1.86), all-cause mortality (HR 1.41; 95%CI 1.18–1.69) and the composite vascular endpoint (HR 1.27; 95%CI 1.07–1.52) (Table 4). An increase in 1 SD MV level of Serpin F2 led to an increase in risk for myocardial infarction (HR 1.22; 95%CI 1.00–1.51), vascular mortality (HR 1.25; 95%CI 1.00–1.56) Please cite this article as: Kanhai DA, et al, Microvesicle protein levels are associated with increased risk for future vascular events and mortality in patients with clinicall..., Int J Cardiol (2013), http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.ijcard.2013.01.231 4 D.A. Kanhai et al. / International Journal of Cardiology xxx (2013) xxx–xxx Table 3 Determinants of microvesicle protein levels. Age (years)a Male genderb Type 2 diabetes Metabolic syndrome (ATPIII) BMI (kg/m2) Waist circumference (cm) HOMA-IR Blood pressure (mmHg) Systolic Diastolic LDL-cholesterol (mmol/L) HDL-cholesterol (mmol/L) Triglycerides (mmol/L) Glucose (mmol/L) log hsCRP (mmol/L) eGFR (ml/min/1.73 m2)c Albuminuria no vs micro or macro Homocysteine (μmol/L) Packyears smoking History of vascular disease CVD CAD PAD AAA Medication Platelet aggregation inhibitors Lipid-lowering agents Blood pressure-lowering agents Cystatin C (pg/μg) Serpin G1(pg/μg) Serpin F2 (pg/μg) CD14+ (pg/μg) n = 1054 n = 1054 n= 1051 n = 1057 β coefficients (95%CI) β coefficients (95%CI) β coefficients (95%CI) β coefficients (95%CI) 0.06 −0.36 0.90 0.97 −0.03 0.02 0.06 (0.03–0.10) (−1.06–0.34) (0.13–1.66) (0.41–1.54) (−0.11–0.04) (−0.01–0.05) (0.01–0.11) −0.33 −14.45 −15.75 6.30 0.25 0.37 −0.26 (−0.90–0.25) (−27.43–-1.47) (−29.89 to −1.61) (−4.32–16.92) (−1.09–1.58) (−1.23–0.86) (−1.22–0.70) −0.19 (−0.40–0.01) 7.37 (2.79–11.94) 2.16 (−2.86–7.18) 0.69 (−3.07–4.46) −0.46 (−0.93–0.02) −0.03 (−0.20–0.15) −0.14 (−0.51–0.23) 0.04 0.64 0.55 0.27 −0.11 −0.01 0.02 (0.02–0.07) (0.07–1.22) (−0.08–1.18) (−0.21–0.74) (−0.17 to −0.05) (−0.03–0.01) (−0.04–0.07) 0.00 −0.01 0.15 −1.63 0.44 0.11 0.76 −0.14 1.16 0.17 0.01 (−0.01–0.02) (−0.04–0.01) (−0.15–0.452) (−2.41 to −0.86) (0.19–0.70) (−0.04–0.27) (0.53–1.00) (−0.16 to −0.12) (0.49–1.83) (0.13–0.22) (−0.01–0.02) 0.23 0.23 2.84 −9.80 3.56 −1.00 14.60 −0.33 9.56 1.77 0.43 (−0.01–0.48) (−0.22–0.67) (−2.76–8.44) (−24.27–4.69) (−1.23–8.36) (−3.82–1.82) (10.07–19.13) (−0.66 to −0.00) (−2.96–22.07) (0.90–2.63) (0.17–0.68) −0.08 (−0.16–0.01) −0.06 (−0.22–0.10) 2.71 (0.72–4.71) 0.49 (−4.64–5.61) −0.11 (−1.81–1.59) −0.17 (−1.16–0.83) 5.99 (4.41–7.58) −0.03 (−0.14–0.09) 3.45 (−0.97–7.87) 0.34 (0.03–0.64) 0.21 (0.12–0.30) 0.01 0.00 0.81 0.03 0.11 0.18 1.02 −0.02 1.36 0.13 0.03 (−0.01–0.02) (−0.02–0.02) (0.57–1.06) (−0.62–0.67) (−0.11–0.07) (0.05–0.30) (0.83–1.21) (−0.04 to −0.01) (0.81–1.91) (0.09–0.17) (0.02–0.04) −0.05 −0.55 0.39 1.35 (−0.68–0.59) (−1.12–0.02) (−0.26–1.04) (0.41–2.29) −12.09 7.96 −9.99 8.32 (−23.79 to −0.40) (−2.61–18.52) (−22.02–2.04) (−9.18–25.83) 2.76 (−1.37–6.90) −7.39 (−11.10 to −3.68) 5.16 (0.91–9.41) 10.16 (3.98–16.34) 0.99 −1.88 1.47 2.05 (0.47–1.51) (−2.33 to −1.42) (0.94–2.00) (1.32–2.85) −7.55 (−19.47–4.37) −16.87 (−27.98 to −5.77) 3.84 (−0.785–15.54) −6.44 (−10.63 to −2.24) −4.56 (−8.50 to −0.63) −4.93 (−9.06 to −0.80) −0.87 (−1.40 to −0.35 −1.57 (−2.05 to −1.08) −1.32 (−1.83 to −0.80) −1.34 (−1.97 to −0.70) −1.25 (−1.84 to −0.65) −0.13 (−0.76–0.50) Bold values indicate significance (p b 0.05). CVD: Cerebrovascular Disease; CAD: Coronary Artery Disease; PAD: Peripheral Arterial Disease; AAA: Aneurysm of the Abdominal Aorta. a Gender and eGFR adjusted. b Age and eGFR adjusted. c Age and gender adjusted; all other models are age, gender and eGFR adjusted. Table 4 Microvesicle protein levels and risk of vascular events or mortality. Study outcome Ischemic stroke Myocardial infarction Vascular Mortality Composite vascular Endpointa All-cause mortality I II III IV I II III IV I II III IV I II III IV I II III IV Cystatin C (pg/μg) Mean = 10.55 SD = 5.38 n = 1054 Serpin G1 (pg/μg) Mean = 142.19 SD = 85.63 n = 1054 Serpin F2 (pg/μg) Mean = 43.26 SD = 30.35 n = 1051 CD14 (pg/μg) Mean = 12.22 SD = 3.88 n = 1057 # events HR (95%CI) # events HR (95%CI) # events HR (95%CI) # events HR (95%CI) 43 1.38 1.26 1.05 1.05 1.46 1.36 1.46 1.49 1.70 1.50 1.45 1.48 1.43 1.30 1.27 1.27 1.58 1.39 1.37 1.41 44 1.16 1.13 1.11 1.21 0.98 0.97 0.96 0.95 1.03 1.00 1.00 0.99 1.10 1.07 1.06 1.08 1.05 1.01 1.00 0.99 44 1.23 1.21 1.24 1.20 1.19 1.26 1.26 1.22 1.23 1.27 1.30 1.25 1.16 1.19 1.19 1.14 1.22 1.24 1.25 1.22 44 1.57 1.50 1.37 1.32 1.51 1.50 1.52 1.55 1.70 1.59 1.56 1.37 1.48 1.43 1.41 1.32 1.58 1.44 1.45 1.36 76 62 133 111 (1.10–0.74) (0.97–1.64) (0.76–1.47) (0.75–1.48) (1.24–1.71) (1.14–1.62) (1.19–1.80) (1.20–1.86) (1.47–1.97) (1.25–1.79) (1.15–1.81) (1.17–1.86) (1.26–1.62) (1.13–1.50) (1.07–1.51) (1.07–1.52) (1.40–1.79) (1.20–1.60) (1.15–1.64) (1.18–1.69) 76 64 134 113 (0.91–1.48) (0.88–1.45) (0.86–1.44) (0.92–1.59) (0.78–1.23) (0.77–1.22) (0.76–1.21) (0.74–1.20) (0.82–1.30) (0.80–1.26) (0.79–1.26) (0.76–1.29) (0.95–1.28) (0.92–1.25) (0.91–1.24) (0.91–1.27) (0.88–1.24) (0.85–1.20) (0.84–1.18) (0.82–1.20) 78 64 135 113 (0.96–1.59) (0.93–1.58) (0.96–1.60) (0.92–1.57) (0.98–1.45) (1.03–1.55) (1.03–1.55) (1.00–1.51) (1.00–1.51) (1.02–1.59) (1.04–1.62) (1.00–1.56) (1.00–1.34) (1.02–1.39) (1.02–1.40) (0.97–1.33) (1.04–1.43) (1.05–1.46) (1.06–1.48) (1.03–1.45) 78 65 136 114 (1.27–1.93) (1.19–1.89) (1.08–1.74) (1.00–1.74) (1.29–1.78) (1.27–1.78) (1.27–1.82) (1.27–1.91) (1.44–2.00) (1.33–1.91) (1.29–1.88) (1.10–1.70) (1.31–1.68) (1.25–1.64) (1.22–1.62) (1.12–1.55) (1.38–1.81) (1.24–1.67) (1.24–1.69) (1.15–1.cp) Bold values indicate significance (p b 0.05). Hazard ratios represent risk per 1 SD increase in MV marker. Model I: Univariable model; Model II: adjusted for age, gender and smoking; Model III: Model II with additional adjustments for, systolic blood pressure, eGFR (MDRD), medication (blood pressure lowering medication, platelet aggregation inhibitors); Model IV: Model III with additional adjustments for prevalent type 2 diabetes, prevalent metabolic syndrome, homocysteine, history of vascular disease (CVD, CAD, PAD, AAA), albuminuria, LDL-cholesterol and hsCRP. a Composite vascular endpoint: composite of stroke, myocardial infarction, retinal infarction, or vascular mortality. Please cite this article as: Kanhai DA, et al, Microvesicle protein levels are associated with increased risk for future vascular events and mortality in patients with clinicall..., Int J Cardiol (2013), http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.ijcard.2013.01.231 D.A. Kanhai et al. / International Journal of Cardiology xxx (2013) xxx–xxx and for all-cause mortality (HR 1.22; 95%CI 1.03–1.45) while 1 SD MV level increase in CD14 accompanied an increased risk for myocardial infarction (HR1.55; 95%CI 1.27–1.91), vascular mortality (HR 1.37; 95%CI 1.10–1.70), all-cause mortality (HR 1.36; 95%CI 1.15–1.62) and the composite vascular endpoint (HR 1.32; 95%CI 1.12–1.55). Only MV levels of CD14 conferred an increased risk for ischemic stroke (HR 1.32; (95%CI 1.00–1.74). MV levels of Serpin G1 were not associated with vascular events or mortality. No significant interaction terms for gender or for type of vascular disease were found (data not shown). 4. Discussion Patients with clinically manifest vascular disease are at increased residual risk for successive vascular events and mortality even after treatment of vascular risk factors. In this prospective study consisting of 1060 patients with various manifestations of vascular disease, we assessed determinants of MV protein levels as well as the effects of MV protein levels on vascular risk and mortality. Gender, lipid-lowering medication use, hsCRP and eGFR were amongst the strongest determinants of MV level of Cystatin C, Serpin G1 Serpin F2 and CD14. However, we chose to keep the linear regression models comprehensible by adjusting only for verified robust confounding factors (age, gender and eGFR), we cannot exclude that these results might be subject to residual confounding. Cystatin C, Serpin F2 and CD14MV levels were linearly related to an increased risk for the occurrence of new vascular events, vascular mortality and all-cause mortality. The latter association remained solid after adjustment for CRP and smoking, indicating that these MV proteins describe a pathway to effectuate clinical vascular events or mortality other than low-grade inflammation. To explore potential non-linearity, categorical analyses were also performed, which essentially resulted in similar found linear associations (data not shown). Circulating MVs isolated by Exoquick contain all MVs of various sizes, originating from all kinds of tissue and molecules such as fibrin-bound plasmin, since virtually every cell is capable of producing MVs. In this study, we did not distinguish between sub-types of MVs or cellular origins. We therefore refer to the ExoQuick isolated particles as MVs. In patients with stable CAD, the quantity of CD31 +/Annexin V + MVs was associated with an increased risk for the composite of myocardial infarction, percutaneous coronary intervention, coronary artery bypass graft, stroke and vascular mortality [26]. In the present study, we describe for the first time in a large clinical cohort that the protein content of MVs is related to increased risk of vascular events and mortality. Little is known about the content of MVs as studies have mainly focused on the quantity of MVs by using a specific membrane-bound MV protein as a marker. The exact pathophysiological mechanism by which MVs cause vascular events is not yet known. The 4 investigated MV proteins have been associated with pathophysiologic processes in the vessel wall. Plasma concentrations of Cystatin C are related to decreased kidney function [27], and are also related to an increased risk for vascular events and mortality [28]. Our results indicate that MV levels of Cystatin C are also related with vascular events and mortality (Table 3). Plasma Cystatin C is related to hsCRP concentrations in patients with manifest vascular disease [29,36,37]. In the present study, Cystatin C MV levels were also associated with plasma concentrations of hsCRP. Cystatin C antagonizes TGFβ-receptor, resulting in inhibition of TGFβ signaling. TGFβ is an anti-inflammatory cytokine which inhibits proliferation and migration of smooth muscle cells, promotes extracellular matrix formation and inhibits expression of endothelial adhesion molecules [38]. By blocking the TGFβ receptor, Cystatin C counteracts the protective role of TGFβ in vascular biology. Whether plasma Cystatin C concentrations are related to MV Cystatin C levels and whether plasma Cystatin C or MV Cystatin C levels are causally related to vascular events or mortality remains to be determined. 5 Plasma Cystatin C concentrations are also associated with higher levels of circulating adhesion molecules [39]. By expressing these adhesion molecules on endothelial cells, circulating platelets will attach to the vessel wall; a process that potentially could be expedited due to Cystatin C + MVs. The (activated) platelets release Serpin F2 [40], also known as α2-antiplasmin, which inactivates plasmin and thus inhibits fibrinolysis. As activated platelets shed MVs [6,22], it is conceivable that Serpin F2 reaches its target cells through these MVs. Fibrinolysis is also reduced by SerpinG1 (C1 inhibitor), which decelerates the conversion of plasminogen into plasmin by inhibiting kalikrein [30]. Simultaneously, monocytes also release MVs, marked by CD14 transmembrane proteins [7]. Monocyte derived MVs have been described as procoagulant since they contain TF, which is responsible for thrombin formation [31], an important step in the coagulation pathway initiation. Since both Serpin G1 and Serpin F2 inhibit fibrinolysis and the subsequent degradation of a thrombus, while CD14 + MVs may stimulate thrombus formation via TF, we hypothesized that high levels of Serpin F2, Serpin G1 and CD14 in MVs indicate that these MVs are more procoagulant, leading to a potentially larger thrombus resulting in an increased risk for a clinical event. However, in the present study MV levels of Serpin G1 were not associated with clinical vascular outcomes or mortality, but were positively correlated with hsCRP. Plasma Serpin G1 is additionally thought to play an important role in the regulation of vascular permeability, endothelial integrity and in the suppression of inflammation [30]. As patients with manifest vascular disease have an increased inflammatory state, it is likely that cells shed SerpinG1 + MVs as a counter mechanism. The finding of this increased risk, may guide development in preventive strategies. If MVs are causally related to the development of vascular diseases and not just an indicator of risk, a distinction future research has to produce, direct lowering of MV protein levels may reduce the risk for successive vascular events and mortality. Future clinical studies in the field of MV or MV-proteins and vascular risk may be focused on other patient groups, other MV-proteins and on methods to lower MV plasma concentrations. In vitro studies are needed to evaluate the pathophysiologic relation between MV and MV-proteins and atherogenesis on a cellular level. Strengths of this study include the prospective study design, a large cohort of patients with various manifestations of vascular disease, and a large number of validated vascular endpoints and mortality. Potential study limitations should be considered. First, only MV protein levels were measured, thus no statements concerning the amount of MVs could be made. Secondly, as a result of our previous work (supplemental 1), only 4 of the numerous proteins on the surface or within MVs were measured. It could be very well that besides these biomarkers, various other MV proteins have their etiology in the development of vascular events or mortality. Finally, it still has to be determined whether the suggested markers improve risk prediction and could therefore be used in clinical practice for risk stratification in patients with manifest vascular disease. Unfortunately, a reliable, externally validated prediction model for patients with clinical manifest vascular disease is not available. In conclusion, Cystatin C, Serpin F2 and CD14 microvesicle protein levels are associated with an increased risk for new vascular events and mortality in patients with manifest vascular disease. Increased levels of these MV protein levels may contribute to the residual risk for vascular events and mortality in patients with vascular disease. Funding sources This work was financially supported by the UMC Utrecht Vascular Prevention Project. Please cite this article as: Kanhai DA, et al, Microvesicle protein levels are associated with increased risk for future vascular events and mortality in patients with clinicall..., Int J Cardiol (2013), http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.ijcard.2013.01.231 6 D.A. Kanhai et al. / International Journal of Cardiology xxx (2013) xxx–xxx Disclosures D.P.V.d.K. and G.P. are consultants for Cavadis; a company for the development of biomarker kits. All other authors have no relationships with industry that might have a commercial interest in the submitted work. Acknowledgments We gratefully acknowledge the members of the SMART study group of UMC Utrecht: P.A. Doevendans, MD, PhD, Department of Cardiology; A. Algra, MD, PhD; Y. van der Graaf, MD, PhD; D.E. Grobbee, MD, PhD, G.E.H.M. Rutten, MD, PhD, Julius Center for Health Sciences and Primary Care; L.J. Kappelle, MD, PhD, Department of Neurology; W.P.T.M. Mali, MD, PhD, Department of Radiology; F.L. 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