Center for Economic and Social Development (CESD) Better Research, Better Policy, Better Reform Azerbaijani Oil Income in May 2015 © Center for Economic and Social Development (CESD) DilaraAliyeva 115, Baku 1009 AZERBAIJAN Phone; (99412) 5970691 (99412) 4975684 Fax (99412) 4975684 Email; cesd.az@gmail.com info@cesd.az URL; www.cesd.az Baku, June 05, 2015 Center for Economic and Social Development (CESD) Azerbaijani Oil Income inMay 2015 Azerbaijan exported 1.692 million tonnes crude oil in May 2015. Crude oil export decreased by around 1.0 % in May 2015 compare with previous month. Meanwhile, the country exported 169 thousand 559 tons of crude oil from the Novorossiysk Port, 169 thousand 425 tons of crude oil from the Supsa Port, and 1 million 352 thousand 966 tons of crude oil from the Ceyhan Port in May 2015.In general, 678 thousand 46 tons of crude oil were exported from the Novorossiysk Port, 1 million 185 thousand 880 tons of crude oil - from the Supsa Port, and 7 million 278 thousand 248 tons of crude oil from the Ceyhan Port during January-May 2015. The indices of crude oil exported by the SOCAR reflect the volumes of crude oil belonging to both State of Azerbaijan and Company. The cost of a barrel of BTC FOB Ceyhan in May 2015 was $ 65,16 US. The Azeri crude oil price by 5.8 % compared with previous month since the Azerlight’s price was $61.42 US in April 2015. CESD reports that in spite of the fact that oil price increased in the world market, SOCAR and the consortium target keeping monthly oil export around 1.7 million tons. However, due to high demand for investments, oil output in Azerbaijan will likely be decreased in the second half of 2015 in the light of the low oil price in the world market. Center for Economic and Social Development (CESD) Azeri Oil Price in the World Market, $/barrel since the price dropped 113.21 108.68 103.08 98.29 89.51 79.7 68.4 59.9 57.3 61.4 65.2 49.4 Source:State Oil Company of Azerbaijan Republic and CESD calculations, June 2015 The graph shows that Azeri oil price has increasedstarting March 2015 compare with the previous months. However, the oil price has been decreased around 2.0 times since June, 2014. Center for Economic and Social Development (CESD) 1.76 1.56 Volume of Azeri crude oil export and total income from oil export since the oil price dropped 1.74 1.59 1.71 1.65 1.61 1.54 1.42 1.39 1.4 1.25 1.35 1.17 1.25 1.249 0.77 0.82 1.04 0.89 0.72 0.76 0.81 0.6 Volume of export, million barrels Total İncome, with billion USD Source: State Oil Company of Azerbaijan Republic and CESD calculations, June 2015 The graph shows that oil income in May2015 increased by 6.1 % compared previous month meanwhile the export volume slightly decreased, but the price has also increased in the indicated period. However, total monthly income is still far behind of last summer’s monthly incomes. If the country received only $ 820million US in April2015, but income was $ 1.76 billion US in June 2014. It confirms that dropped oil price in the world market has dramatically decreased Azerbaijan’s revenues. Note that, gross income implies the currency entering to the country from sale of oil included with AIOC oil revenues. Profit after deducting costs from revenues defined the amount of oil in value. This is sharing in accordance with the production sharing funds between the Government of Azerbaijan and AIOC. © CESD, 2015
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