Internal Medicine Journal (2008) REVIEW Chronic disease management: a primer for physicians I. A. Scott Internal Medicine and Clinical Epidemiology, Princess Alexandra Hospital, Brisbane, Queensland, Australia Key words chronic disease management, chronic care model, narrative meta-review. Correspondence Ian A. Scott, Level 5A, Medical Specialties, Princess Alexandra Hospital, Ipswich Road, Woollongabba, Brisbane, Qld 4102, Australia. Email: ian_scott@health.qld.gov.au Received 28 June 2007; accepted 22 August 2007. doi:10.1111/j.1445-5994.2007.01524.x Abstract Approximately one in three Australians or 6.8 million individuals suffer from one or more chronic diseases, the most prevalent being ischaemic heart disease, congestive heart failure, chronic obstructive lung disease, diabetes and renal disease. Potentially avoidable hospitalizations related to chronic disease comprise 5.5% of all admissions nationally and cluster in older age groups and socioeconomically disadvantaged regions. In an effort to reduce mortality and morbidity, programmes of chronic disease management have evolved with the aim of achieving formalized, population-wide implementation of elements of the chronic care model developed by Wagner et al. Results of rigorous evaluations of such programmes suggest improved survival and/or disease control with reductions in hospitalizations and adverse clinical events. This paper aims to provide an overview of available evidence for chronic disease management programmes for practising physicians who will be increasingly invited to take an active leadership role in designing and operationalizing such programmes. Introduction All health-care systems face the challenge of providing the most effective and cost-effective forms of care to the growing numbers of individuals with chronic disease. Approximately one in three Australians or 6.8 million individuals suffer from one or more chronic diseases, the most prevalent being ischaemic heart disease (IHD, prevalence 1.9%),1 congestive heart failure (CHF, 4%),1 chronic obstructive lung disease (COPD, 3.5%),1 diabetes (7.6%)1 and renal disease (11%).2 Potentially avoidable hospitalizations related to chronic disease number 352 558 per annum, equal to 5.5% of all admissions, with diabetic complications, COPD, IHD and CHF accounting for 40, 16, 15 and 12% of these admissions, respectively.3 Approximately two-thirds of these admissions involve patients aged more than 45 years, with frequency of hospitalisation in socioeconomically disadvantaged regions being 61% higher than wealthier areas.3 To improve delivery of care to such patients, Wagner et al. proposed an evidence-based model of chronic care com- Funding: None Potential conflicts of interest: None ª 2008 The Author Journal compilation ª 2008 Royal Australasian College of Physicians prising the elements listed in Table 1.4 Subsequently, programmes of chronic disease management (CDM)5 have evolved in several countries including Australia, and promoted by newly established CDM associations, with the aim of achieving formalized, population-wide implementation of the chronic care model aimed at reducing mortality, hospitalizations and burden of illness and disability.6,7 But how effective are such programmes, what programme elements are most critical to success, and do they provide reasonable return on investment compared with traditional care models? This paper aims to provide an overview of available evidence for CDM programmes for practising physicians who will be increasingly invited to take an active leadership role in designing and operationalizing such programmes. The working definition of CDM programmes used here is that of a programme using a systematic, coordinated, evidence-based approach to care based on one or more of the elements of the chronic care model (Table 1). Search of published work and data synthesis The author searched PubMed, Cochrane Library, Cochrane Effective Practice and Organization of Care 1 Scott Table 1 Elements of chronic disease management programmes Multidisciplinary care Creation of multidisciplinary teams for creating both cooperation and division of labour in which non-doctors can help improve patient care New professional roles for enhancing capacity of community care and raising threshold for hospital referral (e.g. nurse specialists, GPs with special interests, outreach clinical pharmacists etc.) Multidisciplinary assessments of disease risk and severity Patient self-management Patient/carer education and support provided one-on-one or in a group setting tailored to specific needs and circumstances Systematic patient self-monitoring (which may include telemedicine strategies) with feedback and psychological support Systems for enabling patients and carers to acquire skills, confidence and tools to better care for chronic illness Provision of problem solving, coping and assertiveness strategies that allow patient-mediated adjustments in treatment and patient-initiated contact with providers Coordinated care Case management defined as intensive, individually tailored, goal-oriented care, which is planned, coordinated and managed by a single individual (case manager) or members of a team. Systems for integrating care across multiple conditions and provider settings Delivery system redesign Improved access to community resources Changes to hospital and primary care services that facilitate integrated care across different clinical settings Different financing arrangements to support community-based, multidisciplinary chronic care Clinical information systems Use of registries and call-back systems that identify all patients within a given practice who have a given chronic disease Routine reporting and feedback loops that include communication with patient, physician and funding agency Use of data for care management and evaluation/feedback of provider performance embodied in process and outcome measures Evidence-based care Decision support to providers with guidelines and prompts Targeted provider education and expert support Group, the Chronic Care Bibliography, and the RAND/ University of California, Berkeley Improving Chronic Illness Care Evaluation website8 and reviewed reference lists of retrieved articles in locating systematic reviews of controlled trials published between 1 January 1996 and 31 March 2007 comparing CDM programmes with usual care for five chronic diseases (COPD, IHD, CHF, diabetes and renal insufficiency). Search terms included ‘disease management’, ‘chronic disease management’, ‘chronic care’ and terms for diseases stated. Where multiple reviews were found for the same topic, the most recent, methodologically rigorous (based on the Oxman and Guyatt index)9 and informative review in terms of clinical end-points was selected for detailed analysis. A Medline search was also carried out in identifying trials on topics for which no systematic review could be found, as well as more recent, large-scale studies considered likely to materially alter estimates of effect reported in previously published systematic reviews. Although numerical data are presented for each study whenever reported, not all reviews undertook meta-analyses which reported pooled estimates of effect in a standardized form. Hence overall findings relating to efficacy end-points are summarized here in qualitative fashion as a narrative meta-review. 2 Efficacy of CDM models of care Twenty-one studies comprising 19 systematic reviews of trials10–28 and three individual trials were included in the detailed analysis.29–31 Systematic reviews selected met all eight criteria of the Oxman and Guyatt index.9 There was considerable variation between studies in: (i) operational definitions of CDM, (ii) type, number and intensity of CDM strategies used in each trial, (iii) numbers and settings of participants (from a few hundred to tens of thousands), (iv) target audience, with interventions targeted directly to physicians, patients or both, (v) choice of primary outcome measure (clinical events, disease control measures, such as, blood pressure or glucose levels, quality of life/symptoms/functional capacity, processes of care or provider-patient education/knowledge/satisfaction) with several reviews reporting pooled results as effect sizes devoid of clinically meaningful units of effect and (vi) in the case of systematic reviews, selection criteria used (only randomized controlled trials (RCT) vs any controlled trial with or without before-after studies). Most trials focused on a single disease or clinical setting or provider type and were limited by insufficient descriptions of interventions undertaken, low to moderate methodological quality, high dropout rates, short-term (<1 year) ª 2008 The Author Journal compilation ª 2008 Royal Australasian College of Physicians Chronic disease management follow up, observation-induced (Hawthorne) effects,32 little analysis of costs and component-specific incremental benefit on health, and, in some reviews, publication bias for positive trials. CDM interventions relating to IHD, CHF and diabetes were the most frequently studied. Efficacy of disease-specific CDM Table 2 reports reviews that assessed CDM effects within the context of a single disease.10–22 A recent meta-analysis of CDM programmes for COPD showed no reductions in mortality, but a significant 42% reduction in emergency department and unscheduled clinic visits and 22% reduction in hospitalizations.10 Pulmonary rehabilitation programmes11 and self-management programmes12 by themselves improved symptoms and functional status, but had no effect on other end-points. Regarding IHD, a comprehensive review of 63 RCT of nurse-led CDM programmes showed an overall 15% reduction in mortality and 17% reduction in recurrent acute myocardial infarction.13 Multidisciplinary CDM approaches to CHF for all of 29 studies combined yielded 17% reduction in mortality and 16% and 27% reductions in all-cause and CHF-related hospitalizations, respectively,14 with similar findings being reported in other systematic reviews of CDM in CHF.33,34 Patients with diabetes who received one of several CDM interventions showed no decrease in mortality, hospitalizations or cardiovascular events in any of seven systematic reviews but most studies showed significant improvements in measures of disease control (as assessed by 0.4% to 1.0% decrease in haemoglobin (Hb)A1c), screening processes for diabetic complications, blood pressure control and patient self-care.16–22 A review of nine trials of patient education for preventing diabetic foot complications showed 50–70% reductions in incidence of ulcers and rates of amputation.21 One single site RCT of intense case management for 246 patients with poorly controlled diabetes reported no change in disease control measures, mortality or hospitalizations. In contrast, another single site RCT of intensive, multidisciplinary targetbased CDM for diabetes involving 160 patients with extended follow up over nearly 8 years showed 53% reduction in cardiovascular events and between 58% and 63% reduction in the incidence of microvascular complications.30 Only one trial assessed CDM programmes for chronic renal insufficiency and showed no evidence of benefit.31 No study assessed a model of CDM predicated on close integration between hospital specialists and general practitioners (GPs).35 Relative efficacy of individual elements of CDM Most CDM programmes focus more on patient-centred than on provider-centred strategies. As an example, in one ª 2008 The Author Journal compilation ª 2008 Royal Australasian College of Physicians analysis of 102 trials of CDM, the frequencies of use of a particular strategy were, in decreasing order: patient education (79%), multidisciplinary approach (57%), provider education (37%), provider feedback (27%), patient reminders (26%), patient financial incentives (6%) and organizational financial incentives (1%).26 In a separate analysis, the same authors noted that of 118 programmes assessed, 48 (41%) used one strategy, 41 (34%) used two, 22 (19%) used three and only 7 (6%) used four; no study used more than four strategies.28 Several studies have attempted to identify which CDM elements are more effective than others across multiple trials for the same16 or different conditions (Table 3).23–27 Caution is warranted in interpreting their results given differences between trials in: (i) schemes for classifying interventions, (ii) focus on assessing single elements in isolation versus combinations of elements, (iii) analytic techniques, (iv) choice of outcome measures and (v) publication bias. Also, very few trials assessed effects of financial incentives, access to community resources or health-care re-organization. Multidisciplinary care significantly improved quality of life and dyspnoea in COPD,10 reduced all-cause mortality and recurrent myocardial infarction as separate endpoints in IHD,13 reduced all-cause and heart failure-related hospitalizations in CHF14 and improved disease control measures (blood pressure, HbA1c, serum lipids) in diabetes.16,17,19 Patient self-management significantly improved quality of life and dyspnoea and tended to reduce mortality and number of hospitalizations in COPD,10 improved disease control (coronary risk factors) in IHD,13 reduced hospitalizations in CHF14 and improved disease control measures in diabetes.18,22,23 CDM irrespective of which element(s) were labelled primary appeared to consistently improve patient satisfaction and adherence although effects in reducing overall costs and health-care utilization were inconsistent. Case management as a sole intervention was assessed in two reviews20,25 and a single trial.29 In a review of six trials of diabetic case managers20 and a single trial of case managers targeting only patients with poorly controlled diabetes, no differences were seen between groups for disease or risk factor control, quality of life or hospitalizations.29 In a study that pooled data from 12 trials involving patients with CHF and COPD, there were no significant effects on hospitalizations or total bed days.25 However, different reviews gave conflicting results depending on the outcome measure. In a meta-regression analysis of 66 CDM trials relating to diabetic management with HbA1c as the outcome measure, multidisciplinary care teams and case management were identified as the most effective strategies (reductions in HbA1c of 0.67% 3 4 Intervention (no. trials; no. participants) Multidisciplinary, nurse-led secondary prevention programmes with patient education and counselling, telephone follow up, and algorithm-based risk factor management, with or without an exercise component; 63 RCT, 21 295 patients. McAlister et al.14 All-cause mortality RR (95%CI) Recurrent AMI RR (95%CI) All-cause mortality RR (95%CI) All-cause readmissions RR (95%CI) HF hospitalizations RR (95%CI) All studies combined 0.83 (0.70–0.99) 0.84 (0.75–0.93) 0.73 (0.66–0.82) Multidisciplinary heart failure clinics 0.66 (0.42–1.05) 0.76 (0.58–1.01) 0.76 (0.58–0.99) Multidisciplinary teams 0.75 (0.59–0.96) 0.81 (0.72–0.91) 0.74 (0.63–0.87) Discharge planning and telephone follow up 0.91 (0.67–1.29) 0.98 (0.80–1.20) 0.75 (0.57–0.99) Enhanced patient self-care activities 1.14 (0.67–1.94) 0.73 (0.57–0.93) 0.66 (0.52–0.83) 29 trials (1126 patients) with NYHA II and III symptoms: No study specifically assessed effects on mortality, hospitalizations or cardiac events. Improvements seen in exercise duration, work capacity, 6-min walk test and, when measured, health-related QOL. Intervention All groups 0.85 (0.77–0.94) 0.83 (0.74–0.94) CDM + exercise 0.88 (0.74–1.04) 0.62 (0.44–0.87) CDM only 0.87 (0.76–0.99) 0.86 (0.72–1.03) Exercise 0.72 (0.54–0.94) 0.76 (0.57–1.01) 8/22 trials showed significantly greater rates of use of at least one drug (lipid-lowering agents up twofold; beta-blockers up by 19%; antiplatelet drugs up by 7%). 17/35 trials showed significant but modest improvements in risk factor profiles (serum lipids, blood pressure, weight, etc.). 24/42 trials showed significant but small improvements in QOL/functional status. Study type (i) Multidisciplinary heart failure clinics featuring nurse-led education and treatment protocols, patient self-management and regular telephone contact (7 RCT, 1183 patients); (ii) multidisciplinary teams providing specialized follow up in non-clinic settings, including home visits, with social services consultation and home support (8 RCT, 1391 patients); (iii) discharge planning, patient aids, pharmacist review and nurse-led education and telephone follow up with attendance to GPs if patient deteriorating (10 RCT, 1897 patients); (iv) enhanced patient self-care activities with nurse-led education and telephone follow up (4 RCT, 568 patients). Congestive heart failure Clark et al.13 Results No significant effects on symptoms of dyspnoea, QOL (as measured by SGRQ), lung function, functional status (as measured by 6-min walk tests), or mortality. Reduced ED and unscheduled clinic visits (RR = 0.58 (95%CI 0.42–0.79)) and hospitalizations (RR = 0.78 (95%CI 0.66–0.94)) in pooled results from 3 and 7 RCT, respectively. Hospital stay reduced (WMD, 2.51 days (95%CI 3.40 to21.61)) in pooled results for 2 RCT that involved multiple CDM elements. Reductions in health-care costs of 34–70% in 4 RCT; 11–23% in 3 before–after studies. Intervention significantly improved dyspnoea (WMD = 1.0 points (95%CI 0.8–1.2) on CRQ dyspnoea score), fatigue (WMD = 0.9 (95%CI 0.7–1.1) on CRQ fatigue score), emotional function (WMD = 0.7 (95%CI 0.4–1.0) on CRQ emotional function score), sense of control (WMD = 0.9 (95%CI 0.7–1.2) on CRQ mastery score) and exercise capacity (WMD = 49 m (95%CI 26–72) on 6-min walking distance test). No data reported on mortality or hospitalization rates. Self-management programme with Intervention resulted in near-significant reductions in all-cause mortality (RR = 0.86, 95%CI 0.68–1.08) and all-cause hospitalizations patient education and use of peak (RR = 0.63, 95%CI 0.38–1.04), and significantly improved QOL as measured by decrease in scores on SGRQ (WMD = 22.5 points, flow metres coupled with telephone 95%CI, 24.8 to20.1). or other enhanced means of follow up. 8 RCT, 1780 patients. Interventions with at least 1 CDM element. 32 studies (20 RCT, 5 controlled trials, 7 before-after studies), patient numbers not reported Pulmonary rehabilitation with exercise training and education. 23 RCT, 650 patients. Ischaemic heart disease Sin et al.12 Lacasse et al.11 Adams et al.10 Chronic obstructive pulmonary disease Reference Table 2 Systematic reviews of CDM interventions directed at single disease conditions Scott ª 2008 The Author Journal compilation ª 2008 Royal Australasian College of Physicians ª 2008 The Author Journal compilation ª 2008 Royal Australasian College of Physicians Valk et al.21 Loveman et al.20 Renders et al.19 Deakin et al.18 Knight et al.17 Shojania et al.16 Diabetes Rees et al.15 Table 2 Continued Only one trial assessed clinical events, which showed intervention reduced cardiac mortality at 3 years (OR = 0.32; 95%CI 0.13–0.8) and readmissions for heart failure (OR = 0.28; 95%CI 0.09–0.85). All trials showed significant improvement in exercise duration (WMD = 2.4 min; 95%CI 1.9–2.8), work capacity (WMD = 15 W; 95%CI 13–18), and distance on 6-min walk test (WMD = 41 m; 95%CI 17–65). At 13 months follow up, intervention reduced HbA1c values by mean of 0.42% (95%CI 0.29–0.54), with larger effect seen (mean reduction 0.54% versus 0.20%) in trials with mean baseline HbA1c of 8.0% or greater. No data reported on mortality, hospitalizations or events. Two intervention types, multidisciplinary care teams and case management, were associated with reductions in HbA1c of 0.67% and 0.52%, respectively, and conferred significant incremental reductions in HbA1c (0.33 and 0.22%, respectively) compared with trials that did not respectively feature multidisciplinary care teams or case management. Interventions in which nurse or pharmacist case managers could make medication adjustments without awaiting physician authorization achieved the highest reductions in HbA1c compared with all other interventions (0.80%, 95%CI 0.51–1.10 versus 0.32%, 95%CI 0.14–0.49). Structured, multifaceted approaches to Statistically significant changes in favour of CDM were seen for: glycaemic control (9/20 studies) with care for diabetes. 19 RCT, 5 controlled pooled reduction in HbA1c of 0.5% (95%CI 0.3–0.6%); frequency of HbA1c monitoring (2/4 studies); screening for retinopathy (2/3 studies); screening for nephropathy (1/3 studies); foot screening and trials; 6421 patients. referral to podiatrist (1/3 studies); better foot self-care (1/3 studies); blood pressure control (1/5 studies); LDL cholesterol levels (1/8 studies). No data reported on mortality, hospitalizations or events. Group-based, self-management training Results in favour of intervention patients at 12 months were: reduced HbA1c (WMD = 1.0%, 95%CI in type 2 patients with diabetes. 0.5–1.4), reduced fasting blood glucose (WMD = 1.2 mmol/l, 95%CI 0.7–1.6), reduced bodyweight 8 RCT, 3 controlled trials; 1532 patients. (WMD = 1.6 kg, 95%CI 0.3–3.0), reduced systolic blood pressure at 4–6 months (WMD = 5 mmHg, 95%CI 1–10), reduced need for diabetes medication (OR = 11.8, 95%CI 5.2–26.9, NNT = 5), and improved diabetes knowledge (WMD = 1.0, 95%CI 0.7–1.2). When reported, no effect on hospitalizations, QOL or HbA1c. No data reported on mortality or morbid events. (i) Provider-targeted interventions (education, No data reported on mortality, hospitalizations or morbid events in any of the 3 groups of trials. The reminders, audit/feedback (12 trials; 2400 patients); trials were very heterogeneous for interventions and outcomes assessed. Most of the trials in all (ii) care system interventions (follow-up visits, 3 groups reported significantly improved processes of care and physiological end-points (blood patient recall/reminders, patient education, pressure, HbA1c) favouring intervention patients. multidisciplinary team care (20 trials; 21 000 patients); (iii) combined provider and care system changes (20 trials; 25 000 patients). 41 studies, 27 RCT, 12 controlled trials, 2 interrupted time-series; 48 000 patients. Specialist nurses or case managers. 6 trials; No significant differences between groups in hospitalizations, HbA1c, hypoglycaemic episodes, 1382 patients. hyperglycaemic incidents or QOL. No data reported on mortality or morbid events. Patient education for preventing diabetic foot Weak evidence suggesting interventions reduced foot ulcer incidence and amputation rates in high-risk ulcerations. 9 RCT. Participant numbers patients. One trial of high-risk patients reported reduced ulcer incidence (OR = 0.28, 95%CI 0.13–0.59) not reported. and amputation rate (OR = 0.32, 95%CI 0.14–0.71). Another trial with complex interventions directed at patient and doctor reduced incidence of serious foot lesions (OR = 0.41, 95%CI 0.16–1.00). Foot-care knowledge and patient behaviour positively influenced by patient education in the short term. Interventions targeting some aspect of clinician behaviour or organisational change. 50 RCT, 3 quasi-randomized trials, 13 controlled trials; 29 066 patients Exercise-based rehabilitation programmes. 29 RCT, 1126 patients with NYHA II and III symptoms. Chronic disease management 5 6 ADL, activities of daily living; AMI, acute myocardial infarction; CDM, chronic disease management; CI, confidence interval; CRQ, Chronic Respiratory Questionnaire; ED, emergency department; GDS, geriatric depression scale; GP, general practitioner; HbA1c, glycosylated haemoglobin; HF, heart failure; NNT, number needed to treat; NYHA, New York Heart Association; OR, odds ratio; QOL, quality of life; RCT, randomized controlled trial; RR, relative risk; SGRQ, St George respiratory questionnaire; WMD, weighted mean difference. Norris et al. Self-management training with interventions No change seen in cardiovascular events or mortality. Intervention patients at 6 months showed greater Diabetes Care22 grouped as (i) didactic knowledge and information; reductions in HbA1c (0.8%, 0.4–1.9%), fasting blood glucose (1.2 mmol/L, 0.7–1.6 mmol/L), bodyweight (1.6 kg, 0.3–3.0 kg), systolic blood pressure (5 mmHg, 1–10 mmHg), need for diabetes medication and (ii) collaborative knowledge and information; improved diabetes knowledge and self-monitoring. Effects on lipids, physical activity and weight were (iii) lifestyle interventions; (iv) skills teaching variable. Longer-term follow-up interventions using regular reinforcement and educational interventions; coping skills interventions. interventions involving patient collaboration (vs didactic interventions) tended to be more 72 RCT. Participant numbers not reported. effective in improving glycaemic control. Table 2 Continued Scott and 0.52%, respectively), with greatest effect (0.80% reduction) associated with nurse or pharmacist case managers who could adjust medication regimens without awaiting authorization from doctors.16 In one review of 112 CDM trials pertaining to several disease conditions,24 more pronounced effects on clinical outcomes were seen with multidisciplinary care and patient self-management than for provider decision support, although self-management and decision support were more effective than multidisciplinary care in improving processes of care (Table 4). In another evaluation of 102 CDM trials for different disease conditions, provider feedback and reminders were more effective than provider education in optimizing provider adherence to evidence-based guidelines (Table 4).28 However, in the same study, if disease control was the outcome measure, patient financial incentives and provider education were more effective than patient reminders or education and provider feedback. In summary, multidisciplinary care, care coordination, patient self-management and provider education showed the greatest and most consistent effects on clinical outcomes and process-of-care measures with provider decision support and feedback having intermediate effects. Case management conferred some benefit in patients with diabetes, but its effects in other diseases are unknown. Whether clinical information systems,16,36 telehealth strategies,36 health-care system redesign16,36 and access to community resources7 exert effects independent of other strategies was unable to be determined with any level of certainty. This was due to the paucity of controlled studies, although a recently reported systematic review of telemonitoring or telephone support for patients with CHF showed savings in all-cause deaths and disease-related hospitalizations.37 Cost-effectiveness of CDM In US studies, it has been estimated that two-thirds of CDM programme costs are accounted for by the 20% of patients with chronic disease who have five or more conditions.38 Overall the evidence on cost savings from CDM is limited as: (i) comparatively few studies measured costs, (ii) selection bias pertained to those that did, (iii) regression to the mean in costings was likely as base year costs were derived from time periods well before commencement of CDM programmes, (iv) not all costs were ascertained, with emphasis on direct medical costs only, (v) there was failure to account for other confounders in expenditure and (vi) generalizability was limited as most studies evaluated short-term practice change at a single site. In analyses of randomized trials, which included cost data, 8 of 13 in COPD,10 4 of 5 in CHF39 and 7 of 9 in diabetes17 suggested cost savings as a result of CDM ª 2008 The Author Journal compilation ª 2008 Royal Australasian College of Physicians ª 2008 The Author Journal compilation ª 2008 Royal Australasian College of Physicians Various CDM programmes. 112 controlled trials (asthma 27; CHF 21; depression 33; diabetes 31). Participant numbers not reported. Hospital-based, nurse-led case management programmes for patients with heart failure (4 trials), stroke (2 trials), COPD (1 trial), epilepsy (1 trial), critically ill patients (1 trial) and frail elderly (3 trials). 12 RCT, 2876 patients Various CDM programmes. 102 controlled studies (asthma 9; back pain 6; COPD 6; chronic pain 2; CHF 9; IHD 6; depression 20; diabetes 22; hyperlipidaemia 6; hypertension 7; rheumatoid arthritis 9). Participant numbers not reported. Patient self-management education programmes for patients with diabetes, hypertension, asthma and osteoarthritis; 71 controlled trials. Participant numbers not reported. Tsai et al .24 Kim, Soeken 200525 Warsi et al.27 Percentage of comparisons showing significantly improved processes of care in favour of CDM interventions: depression: 48% (41/86); hyperlipidaemia 45% (5/11); IHD 39% (7/18); hypertension 37% (7/19); diabetes mellitus 36% (24/66); asthma 25% (9/36); rheumatoid arthritis 24% (7/29); CHF 18% (6/33); back pain 16% (3/19); COPD 9% (2/22) and chronic pain 8% (1/12); Percentage of comparisons showing significantly improved outcomes in favour of CDM interventions: patient satisfaction 71% (12/17); patient adherence 47% (17/36); disease control 45% (33/74); provider adherence 40% (14/35); patient knowledge 31% (4/13); morbidity 29% (7/24); mortality 24% (4/17); physical functioning 20% (7/35); health status/QOL 16% (5/31); other utilization 16% (4/25); cost 14% (1/7); emergency visits 11% (1/9), hospitalizations 11% (3/28). Interventions in patients with diabetes showed reductions in glycosylated haemoglobin levels ((ES) = 0.45, 95%CI 0.17–0.74) and systolic blood pressure levels (ES = 0.20, 95%CI 0.01–0.39). Asthmatic patients experienced fewer asthma attacks (log rate ratio = 0.59, 95%CI 0.35–0.83). Arthritis patients showed a trend towards a small benefit. Overall 20.23 (20.31 to 20.15) 0.84 (0.78–0.90) 0.11 (0.02–0.21) 1.19 (1.10–1.28) Asthma NE 0.82 (0.69–0.98) 0.01 (20.19 to 0.20) 1.61 (0.56–4.64) CHF NE 0.81 (0.71–0.92) 0.28 (0.06–0.51) 1.13 (1.00–1.28) Depression 20.25 (20.37 to 20.13) 0.83 (0.74-0.93) 0.18 (0.08–0.28) 1.28 (1.11–1.48) Diabetes 20.19 (20.29 to 20.10) 0.92 (0.81–1.05) 20.02 (20.20 to 0.17) 1.10 (1.01–1.19) No overall significant reductions in LOS or readmissions for all trials combined. Case management was effective in reducing LOS for heart failure patients (ES = 0.24; 95%CI 0.01–0.47), but not for other disease conditions. Pooled data showed overall significant ESy of 20.36 (95%CI 20.52 to20.21) on adverse events, decrease in mean HbA1c of 0.81% in patients with diabetes and mean reductions of 5.0 mmHg and 4.3 mmHg in systolic and diastolic blood pressure, respectively, in hypertensive patients. Clinically trivial improvements in pain and functional outcomes for patients with osteoarthritis. No changes seen in weight or other measures of functional status. No data reported on mortality, hospitalizations or health resource utilization. Pooled estimates according to condition Condition Clinical outcome (lower is better) QOL (Higher is Care process (Higher Continuous ES Dichotomous RR better) ES (95%CI) is better) EF (95%CI) (95%CI) (95%CI) Results CDM, chronic disease management; CHF, congestive heart failure; CI, confidence interval; COPD, chronic obstructive pulmonary disease; EG, ejection fraction; ES, effect size; IHD, ischaemic heart disease; LOS, length of stay; NE, not evaluated; RCT, randomized controlled trial; RR, relative risk; QOL, quality of life. yEffect size (more correctly standardised effect size) is used as the measure of effect when outcomes are measured in different trials using different measurement scales. The observed differences between groups are converted into a unit-free standardised measure based on z-scores, which can then be pooled across multiple trials. By convention, an ES > 0.6 represents a large clinical effect, ES 0.4–0.6 moderate effect, 0.2–0.4 small to modest effect and < 0.2 an effect of little importance. Ofman et al.26 Patient self-management programmes. 53 RCT (26 diabetes, 14 osteoarthritis, 13 hypertension). Participant numbers not reported. Intervention (no. trials/participants) Chodosh et al.23 Reference Table 3 Systematic reviews of CDM interventions directed at multiple disease conditions Chronic disease management 7 Scott Table 4 Relative efficacy of CDM strategies in two systematic reviews Study CDM component CDM component Effects Process-of-care outcome ESy (95%CI) Tsai et al. Multidisciplinary care 112 trials24 Self-management support Provider decision support Clinical information systems 1.16 1.31 1.29 1.08 (1.01–1.34) (1.00–1.71) (1.08–1.54) (0.91–1.28) Clinical event outcome ESy or RR (95%CI) ES ES ES ES = = = = 20.21 20.22 20.14 20.06 (20.40 (20.38 (20.33 (20.27 to to to to 20.02); RR 20.05); RR 0.05); RR = 0.15); RR = Quality-of-life outcome ESy (95%CI) = 0.77 (0.62–0.96) = 0.81 (0.66–0.99) 0.87 (0.69–1.09) 0.83 (0.64–1.07) Adherence guidelines ESy (95%CI) Weingarten et al. 102 trials28 Provider-directed interventions Education Feedback Reminders Patient-directed interventions Education Reminders Financial incentives 0.33 (20.10 to 0.76) 20.03 (20.25 to 0.19) 0.04 (20.36 to 0.45) 20.28 (21.08 to 0.51) Disease control ESy (95%CI) 0.44 (0.19–0.68) 0.61 (0.28–0.93) 0.52 (0.35–0.69) 0.35 (0.19–0.51) 0.17 (0.10–0.25) 0.22 (0.10–0.37) NA NA NA 0.24 (0.07–0.40) 0.27 (0.17–0.36) 0.40 (0.26–0.54) y Effect size (more correctly standardized effect size, ES) is used as the measure of effect when outcomes are measured in different trials using different measurement scales. The observed differences between groups are converted into a unit-free standardized measure based on z-scores, which can then be pooled across multiple trials. By convention, an ES > 0.6 is a large clinical effect, ES 0.4–0.6 moderate effect, 0.2–0.4 small to modest effect and < 0.2 an effect of little importance. CI, confidence interval; CDM, chronic disease management; NA, not applicable; RR, relative risk. programmes. The highest return on investment, averaging $US3.66 cost saving per-participant for every dollar spent (or $2.66 net saving), was seen for CHF programmes compared with less than $1.00 net savings with diabetes programmes.39 Cost savings were thought to be greatest when CDM was targeted to high-risk individuals identified by appropriate risk-stratification procedures. However, a time-series analysis of US trends in historical in-hospital costs, discharges, mean length of stay and emergency department visits for patients with IHD, CHF, asthma and diabetes deduced that in order to cover CDM programme costs alone (estimated at US90c per patient per month), CDM interventions would need to decrease admissions related to chronic disease by between 10% and 20% depending on hospital cost per day ($US2000–1000, respectively).38 Study limitations This analysis has several limitations. First, an exhaustive systematic review of all relevant trials for all nominated diseases was not carried out, instead a more pragmatic review of reviews and of selected trials. Thus efficacy results should be regarded as indicative rather than definitive, although it is unlikely any well-designed and materially important studies were missed. Second, investigation of complex, multifaceted interventions using linear methods of meta-analysis, as occurred in most studies, may have caused certain interactions between disease condition and elements of CDM that were significant to have been lost in pooled analyses. A related limitation is 8 the inability to assess the intensity of implementation of study interventions. Finally, the synergistic effect on effectiveness of CDM of clinician leadership, infrastructure support and team dynamics could not be determined as no study assessed these factors independently. Implications for clinical practice Based on US Medicare data, approximately two-thirds of persons 65 years or older have two or more chronic diseases40 and it is probable that the same holds true for Australia. Of patients with CHF or diabetes, 65% and 56%, respectively, have four or more additional diseases. Experience with large-scale CDM models of care in this country is confined to primary care settings and has recently been reviewed.41,42 Key initiatives have included: l Comprehensive multidisciplinary health assessments and care plans instigated by GPs and financed through an Enhanced Primary Care (EPC) item on the Medicare Benefits Schedule (MBS) introduced in November 1999. However, EPC consultations currently account for less than 0.5% of GP encounters43 and evidence of efficacy is limited to small before-after studies assessing quality of care.44 l Practice Incentive Programmes (PIP) and Service Incentive Payments for care of diabetes and asthma, which have not been subject to formal evaluation. l Specific funding for team care arrangements through Medicare items and for practice nurses through both PIP and Medicare. ª 2008 The Author Journal compilation ª 2008 Royal Australasian College of Physicians Chronic disease management l National Primary Care Collaboratives Programme introduced in 2004 that ‘to date’ have involved 600 general practices and shown some improvements in measures of quality of care for patients with coronary heart disease.45 Nevertheless, CDM in this country is receiving strong support from the federal government which, for the 2006– 2007 financial year, allocated an unprecedented $AU515 million over 5 years for implementation of chronic disease self-management education and training activities under the Australian Better Health Initiative,46 including an MBS item for a focused health check by GPs for persons aged approximately 45 years who have one or more risk factors that predispose to a chronic disease. This was in addition to $36.2 million already committed to various educational initiatives under the Sharing Health Care Initiative.47 Private health funds are also experimenting with CDM programmes that feature care coordination and patient counselling by a range of different health professionals.46 The role of consultant physicians in future CDM initiatives has recently been strengthened by the inclusion in the MBS from November 2007 of new consultation items (MBS 111 for first consultation and 117 for review consultation), which deal specifically with patients who have complex, chronic disease and need more consultant time and effort in providing a coordinated, multifaceted approach to disease management.48 However, large-scale CDM programmes in other countries have not been without their problems49,50 and in light of these experiences and the preceding discussion on efficacy, CDM programmes in this country must satisfy several prerequisites if they are to realize their full potential. First, multidisciplinary care, patient self-management, care coordination across networks and groups of providers and targeted provider education should be mandatory components of any evidence-based CDM programme. Second, CDM programmes need to be patient centred (not disease centred): flexible; risk-based; geographically accessible; responsive to the needs of local populations including those with multiple disease conditions and from disadvantaged and minority groups (especially those of non-English-speaking backgrounds) who may have low health literacy levels;51 and able to care for patients who transit between different risk levels and clinical settings. Third, financing arrangements must provide income streams dedicated to CDM programmes that includes ‘up-front’ or ‘seed’ funding for developing interventions and establishing robust, integrated clinical information systems, with the realization that return on investment in the form of reduced health-care utilization may take some years to materialize.39 Fourth, CDM programmes must use information systems to allow patients and carers to access needed resources, to share patient information ª 2008 The Author Journal compilation ª 2008 Royal Australasian College of Physicians among providers, to track patient progress and care processes, and to allow programme costs and outcomes to be evaluated over the medium to long term using standardized measures.52,53 Fifth, CDM programmes must evoke physician and managerial buy-in from different sectors of the health-care system54 and build strong linkages with primary care.35 Finally, CDM programmes should use proactive population-based approaches to improving health that include structured referral procedures for at-risk individuals rather than simply rely on ad hoc referrals of patients with symptomatic disease.4,52 One proposed hierarchical model for escalating CDM intensity according to patient need consists of the following levels:55 l Low-intensity CDM for low-risk patients (75% of those with chronic disease) undertaken by multiskilled nurses located in community or hospital clinics, supervised by GPs or hospital specialists, respectively, and trained to undertake disease-specific assessments and patient counselling combined with patient self-management strategies that may include telephone-based ‘coaching’ methods.56 l Mid-intensity CDM for the 15–20% of mid-risk patients carried out by multiple medical specialists of different disciplines (e.g. diabetologist, nephrologist, cardiologist, general physician/geriatrician), nurse specialists and allied health professionals who are colocated in a community or hospital-based ‘integrated’ clinic and comanage eligible patients. Such clinics would ideally be geographically situated among catchment populations with a high prevalence of such patients to maximize patient access and the effect of the programme on health. l High-intensity CDM for the 5–10% of high-risk patients that features case managers (or care co-ordinators) who manage patients in a one-to-one relation, either full time or part time, undertaking regular home visits and telephone contact, overseeing and adjusting treatments as appropriate, liaising closely with GP and specialist, negotiating services with community health, social services, palliative care and other agencies and providing patient support and advocacy. Conclusion In selected circumstances, models of CDM show promise in reducing illness and hospitalizations compared with traditional forms of care. However, more high-quality clinical trials coupled with rigorous evaluations of existing programmes are required to shed more light on those strategies and designs of CDM that yield consistent and reasonable returns on investment. To be sustainable, CDM programmes need to be carefully designed, implemented and targeted to the most appropriate patient groups and elicit commitment from providers and funders 9 Scott over the long term. Given the role of physicians in providing expert care to large numbers of patients with chronic diseases, it is imperative physicians understand what CDM is and what it aspires to achieve and take a leadership role in its successful evolution.57,58 References 1 Australian Institute of Health and Welfare. Australia’s Health 2004. Canberra: AIHW; 2004. 2 Chadban SJ, Briganti EM, Kerr PG, Dunstan DW, Welborn TA, Zimmet PZ et al. Prevalence of kidney damage in Australian adults: The AusDiab kidney study. 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