REAL ESTATE IN VICTORIA...Keeping You Informed Spring 2015 VICTORIA OFF TO BEST START SINCE 2010 “REGULATOR SLAMS AGENT...” Earlier this year, the Globe and Mail carried an article about a complaint to the Real Estate Council of British Columbia (RECBC). The essence of the complaint was that the buyer’s agent attempted to maximize his commission by withholding information from his client. The buyer’s agent presented an offer of $940,000 on a property listed at $969,000 with an increased commission for himself that was almost double that being offered by the seller. The sellers made a counteroffer of $958,000, along with a letter from the seller’s agent that stated: “[the sellers] did not accept your request for an increased commission and feel that we are being compensated fairly (which I have to agree).” The buyer’s agent did not present the counteroffer to his clients. Rather, he advised the buyers to offer the full list price, again with an increased commission for himself. The sellers accepted the full price offer with the increased commission. The sellers couldn’t understand why the buyers would come back with an offer that was higher than their counteroffer. After the sale completed, the sellers brought their concerns to their lawyer and in turn to the buyer’s lawyer. When confronted, the buyer’s agent readily accepted responsibility. The buyers received a “satisfactory undisclosed settlement” out of court from the agent and his brokerage. On December 15, 2014, the RECBC ruled on the complaint and found that the buyer’s agent had committed professional misconduct in that he: “(a) failed to present a counteroffer from the sellers of the property to his client...; (b) permitted his client to make a further offer on the property that was substantially higher than the sellers’ undisclosed counteroffer...; (c) failed to inform his client that the commission he requested as buyer’s representative on the first offer was substantially higher than the commission ordinarily given for similar transaction...; (d) failed to inform his client that the second higher offer contained a higher commission than that which was being offered to a cooperating brokerage; and (e) failed to take reasonable steps to avoid a conflict of interest in that he permitted his personal financial interest to conflict with his clients’ interest.” All of this was contrary to the Real Estate Services Act and the Council rules. The agent was suspended for 60 days, required to pay penalties totalling $3,750 and to undertake remedial training. This decision was posted on the RECBC website: http://www.recbc.ca/complaints/discipline.html where it will remain for five years for all consumers to see. Stories of this nature reflect poorly on the reputation of the real estate profession as a whole. The RECBC receives about 400 complaints a year concerning Realtors’ conduct. Most of these are minor, for example, failure to return a call or to remove one’s shoes during showings, and so on. There were 408,412 MLS sales over the past five years in BC, which represents TABLE 1: STATISTICAL TRENDS - ALL RESIDENTIAL 816,824 transactions. There was a total of 215 disciplinary actions (Greater Victoria and Other Areas) concerning Realtors taken by the RECBC during this period, or 0.03% of the total transactions. If one digs deeper, we find that there were QUARTER-TO-QUARTER COMPARISONS 58 disciplinary actions taken by the RECBC in 2014 against Realtors. Of these, 35 resulted in a reprimand and were largely the result of 1 Qtr 14 1 Qtr 15 Change New Listings 2,833 3,236 +403 errors or omissions, 20 were of a more serious nature and resulted in Sales 1,265 1,546 +281 licence suspensions and 3 Realtors had their licences cancelled or Avg Sale Price $488,954 $494,446 +$5,492 agreed to leave the industry. These are relatively small numbers Median Sale Price $432,500 $455,000 +$22,500 considering there are some 17,374 Realtors licenced in BC. Ratio Sales-to-Listings .44 .48 +0.04 Avg Days to Sell 66 63 -3 Misconduct occurs in all professions. Perhaps consumers can Sale Price as % take some comfort in the fact that serious misconduct is a rare of Org List Price 94.9% 96.5% +1.6% occurrence in the real estate profession and that they have Mortgages Rates (3 yr Fixed BoC) 3.75% 3.39% -0.36% recourse to the RECBC to seek redress and to ensure accountability. st st 2 REAL ESTATE IN VICTORIA...Keeping You Informed Spring 2015 THE VICTORIA MARKET In the 1st Qtr of 2015, the real estate market in Victoria got off to one of the strongest starts in recent years. Supply (i.e., the number of homes put up for sale) was higher than the same period last year. However, demand (i.e., the number of sales) showed a significant increase. The median sale price has increased significantly from a year ago. The inventory of properties on the market is down. Finally, the differential between the sale price and the original list price has tightened, suggesting there are fewer price reductions occurring. The number of “residential properties” (i.e., all types of housing excluding lots/acreage and commercial) listed through the Victoria Real Estate Board’s MLS® in the 1st Qtr of 2015 in was 3,236, up +14.2% from 2,833 in the 1ST Qtr of 2014. Demand was up from the levels in recent years. Residential sales through the VREB’s MLS® totalled 1,546 in the 1st Qtr of 2015, up +22.2% from 1,265 in the 1st Qtr of 2014. The sales-to-new-listings ratio was .48, up from .44 last year. Properties that sold in the 1st Qtr of 2015 were on the market for an average of 63 days compared to 66 days last year. The average sale price of a residential property in Greater Victoria and other areas was $494,446 in the 1st Qtr of 2015, up +1.1% from $488,954 in the 1st Qtr of 2014 and still off the market peak of $504,491 in the 1st Qtr of 2010. The median sale price was $455,000 in the 1st Qtr of 2015, up +5.2% from $432,500 last year. The figures for Victoria compare with average residential sale prices and year-to-date percentage changes of $859,223 (+3.2%) in Vancouver, $578,411 (+6.7%) in Toronto, $541,031 (+5.9%) in the Fraser Valley and $441,238 (-2.7%) in Calgary for the first two months of 2015. THE MARKET INVENTORY As shown in Table 2, there were 2,690 properties (including lots and acreage) active on the VREB’s MLS® database for the Greater Victoria area (i.e., excluding the Malahat, Up-Island and the Gulf Islands) on Apr 1, 2015, down -6.7% from 2,884 on Apr 1, 2014. SINGLE FAMILY DWELLINGS (SFDS) Sales of SFDs in Greater Victoria totalled 843 in the 1st Qtr of 2015, up +27.5% from 661 sales during the same period last year. The average sale price of SFDs in the 1st Qtr of 2015 was $612,575, up +0.9% from $607,202 last year. The median sale price was $559,500 in the 1st Qtr of 2015, up 5.6% from $530,000 last year. SFDs that sold in the 1st Qtr of 2015 were on the market for an average of 50 days, down from 60 days a year ago. The sales-to-new-listings ratio was .50 in the 1st Qtr of 2015, up from .42 last year. As shown in Chart 2, the average sale price continues to fluctuate around the $600,000 mark with no discernable trend evident. However, the median sale price shows a slight upward trend over the past two years. Seller’s Market Balanced Market Buyer’s Market TABLE 2: INVENTORY - GREATER VICTORIA Type of Property Apr 2014 Single Family Dwelling 1,350 Condominiums 830 Townhouses 311 Lots/Acreage 298 Man. Home/Rental Pad 74 Duplexes (Revenue) 9 Triplexes+ (Revenue) 11 Totals 2,884 Apr 2015 1,266 840 245 256 61 7 15 2,690 Change -84 +10 -66 -42 -13 -2 +4 -194 3 REAL ESTATE IN VICTORIA...Keeping You Informed Spring 2015 CONDOMINIUMS Condominium sales also increased in the 1st Qtr of 2015 with total sales of 428, up +20.2% from 356 in the 1st Qtr of 2014. The average sale price for a condo was $327,012 in the 1st Qtr of 2015, little changed from $327,032 last year. The median sale price was $279,900, compared to $275,000 last year. Condos that sold in the 1st Qtr were on the market for an average of 64 days, down from 76 days last year. The sales-to-new-listings ratio was .45 in the 1st Qtr of 2015, up from .41 last year. As shown in Chart 3, the average and median sale prices of condominiums have shown an upward trend since the 1st Qtr of 2013. TOWNHOUSES Townhouse sales totalled 164 in the 1st Qtr of 2015, up +21.9% from 135 last year. The average selling price was $427,739 in the 1st Qtr of 2015, up slightly from $424,686 in the 1st Qtr of 2014. The median sale price was $383,000, compared to $385,000 last year. Townhouses that sold in the 1st Qtr of 2015 were on the market for an average of 56 days, down from 64 days in last year. The sales-to-new-listings ratio was .53, compared to .41 last year. As shown in Chart 4, average and median sale prices have remained flat over the past three years with no discernable trend. LOTS/ACREAGE Another positive sign for the real estate market in Victoria is the increase in the sale of lots/acreage. There were 34 sales in the 1st Qtr of 2015 compared to 24 in the 1st Qtr of 2014 and 15 in the 1st Qtr of 2013. The average sale price and median sales prices of lots/acreage in the 1st Qtr of 2015 were $336,915 and $307,000 respectively. M ARK YOUR CALENDAR - UPCOM ING EVENTS IN GREATER VICTORIA Victoria has a vibrant arts and culture scene and a host of events over the year that caters to the interests of just about everyone, m any of which are free. The following are but a few of these events scheduled for 2015 that include: arts, food, m usic, film , heritage and sports. For a com plete list, check out the Tourism Victoria website at www.tourism victoria.com . • • • • • • • • • • • • • • Victoria Young Life’s 25 th Annual Home Design and Reno Tour (Apr 11-12) www.younglife.ca/victoriahom etour Times Colonist 10K Run - Half M arathon - Thrifty Food Family Run (Apr 26) www.tc10k.ca 152 nd Victoria Highland Games and Celtic Festival - Topaz Park (May 16-18) www.victoriahighlandgam es.com Sw iftsure International Yacht Race 2015 - Dallas Road (May 23-25) www.swiftsure.org 53 rd Annual Oak Bay Tea Party and Parade - Oak Bay and W illows Beach (June 6-7) www.oakbayteaparty.com TD Victoria international JazzFest 2015 - various venues downtown (June 19-28) www.jazzvictoria.ca/jazz-fest Buskers Festival 2015 - various sites in downtown (July 17-26) www.victoriabuskers.com TD Art Gallery Paint-In 2015 - Moss Street (July 18) www.aggv.ca/events/td-art-gallery-paint-2015 Symphony Splash 2015 - Inner Harbour (Aug 3) www.victoriasym phony.ca/com m unity/splash/ Victoria Dragon Boat Festival - Inner Harbour (August 14-16) www.victoriadragonboat.com / Victoria Fringe Festival - various venues downtown (Aug 27 - Sept 6) www.intrepidtheatre.com / 38 th Classic Boat Festival - Inner Harbour (Sep 4-6) www.classicboatfestival.ca Vancouver Island Feast of Fields - Kildrea Farm s, Sidney (Sep 14) www.farm folkcityfolk.ca/events/feast-of-fields/ GoodLife Fitness Victoria M arathon, Half M arathon and 8K (Oct11) www.runvictoriam arathon.com / Real Estate in Victoria ...Keeping You Informed: I provide this newsletter to clients, customers and friends to help them keep informed of developments in the real estate market in the Victoria area. If you do not want to receive this newsletter in the future, please let me know. It is not intended to solicit or interfere with existing listings or Agency relationships. The information contained herein is based on sources which are believed to be reliable, but it is not guaranteed. The content of this newsletter is copyright©. The data and information outlined herein was derived from a number of sources including: the VREB, the BCREA and the CREA. The Publisher is responsible for the analysis of the data and any opinions expressed herein. 4 REAL ESTATE IN VICTORIA...Keeping You Informed Spring 2015 REAL ESTATE ACTIVITY GREATER VICTORIA Single Family Dwellings April 2014 to March 2015 With an Analysis of Year-Over-Year Changes and a Breakdown by District Gulf Islands Sales: 256 242 Ratio: .53 .54 Avg Sale Price: $541,778 $561,553 % Change: +24.9% +13.3% New Listings: 6,207 Sales: 3,619 Ratio Sales to Listings: .58 Average Sale Price: $611,038 Price Change 12 month period April 2014 to March 2015 over April 2013 to March 2014 +1.1% Malahat and Area Sales: 260 Ratio: .54 Avg Sale Price: $455,240 % Change: +2.9% SAANICH EAST WEST Vic W est C opyright 2015, R eal Estate in V ictoria District* Sales Ratio Avg Sale Price % Chg Victoria/VW 443 .62 $623,053 +3.9 Oak Bay 259 .62 $922,866 +4.2 Esquimalt 125 .65 $484,851 +5.2 View Royal 90 .60 $534,741 +1.2 Saanich East 799 .68 $640,043 +0.4 Saanich West 338 .60 $536,730 -2.1 Central Saanich 177 .59 $613,978 +2.9 North Saanich 161 .57 $672,216 +6.1 Sidney 115 .57 $467,153 +4.5 Highlands 22 .34 $653,431 +13.8 Colwood 202 .54 $500,720 +3.6 Langford 486 .54 $484,544 + 0.0 Metchosin 36 .41 $674,962 +10.8 Sooke 238 .48 $389,474 -0.2 Waterfront 128 .43 $1,217,423 +1.4 Totals 3,619 .58 $611,038 +1.1 *District Avg. Sales Prices exclude sales of “Waterfront”
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