Why we shouldn’t have a nuclear power plant in Hamilton or its environs (or anywhere else). PGS arguments based on health and security. Presentation As a representative of Physicians for Global Survival, I’ll raise several issues connected with health. Questions of the councillors: • Given the possibility of accident or terrorist attack, would you like your home to be within 20 km of a nuclear power plant? • Why will insurance companies not cover nuclear power plant accidents? • Would you like to have trucks carrying radioactive waste going down your road frequently? • Would you wish your taxes to cover increased subsidies to nuclear power and security provisions for a nuclear power plant? • Do you readily accept the fact that a world of proliferating nuclear power stations will be a world of proliferating nuclear weapons nations (even if our own nation refrains from that option)? • Is a nuclear power station in or near Hamilton compatible with the idea of making Hamilton the best place to rear a child? Might you prefer to be situated within 20 km of a wind farm or a field of solar collectors? Might you prefer your taxes to be used to kickstart a robust effort at further development of technology of renewable energy sources? Accident Human error has been the cause of nuclear power plant accidents, and human errors will always occur, as well as materials and equipment malfunction. Risk = probability X magnitude of effects Probability may be small (smaller than with a Chernobyltype reactor) – we certainly hope so Magnitude is catastrophic The Canada Deuterium Uranium (CANDU) reactor has suffered bitterly bruising decades of safety controversies. Tritium leaks, cracked fuel rods, spills etc. are not preventable especially, as the CANDU reactors age beyond their 30 year life span. Extending them beyond this life span, as the industry is currently promoting, increases the risk of significant accidents. The nuclear industry claims that due to CANDU’s unique design, Chernobyl-like explosions could not occur. However, no insurance company will cover the nuclear industry anywhere for accident protection as the risks are too great, and the outcomes too catastrophic according to their estimations.4 Terrorism . 1.Risk of theft of fissile material for construction of NWs. It can’t all be accounted for. 2. Direct attack on plant or materials in transit. Security response to this would mean a no-fly zone and armed police around the area, adding to the cost of nuclear power. ‘Terrorists need succeed only once, whereas security services have to succeed all the time.’ Again the probability is unknowable; the magnitude is catastrophic. Nuclear waste It either stays here or it gets trucked out. Monbiot: The most fundamental environmental principle one that all children are taught as soon as they are old enough to understand it - is that you don't make a new mess until you have cleared up the old one. To start building a new generation of nuclear power stations before we know what to do with the waste produced by existing plants is grotesquely irresponsible. And we don’t know.The government's advisers have determined only that it should be buried. No one yet knows where, how or at what cost. With extraordinarily long isotope half-lives this is a problem that will not go away for millions of years. The radioactive wastes could potentially be catastrophic to our ecosystem globally. The technical solution of repository of the wastes after years of research is still not guaranteed safe or effective. Monbiot: And how does any system - political or technological - cope with the timescales involved? If, as a result of slow leakage into the groundwater, radioactive materials from a burial site were to kill an average of only one person a year for one million years, those who made the decision to bury them will - through their infinitesimal and unrecorded impacts - be responsible for the deaths of a million people. Expense $15 billion later, Canada’s government-supported publically subsidized nuclear reactor-building program is proclaiming a renaissance at the expense of tax-payer subsidy dollars. For example, in Ontario, citizens are being saddled with a debt retirement charge to cover a $38 billion investment hole from the nuclear industry (.07 cents per kilowatt hour used plus GST, approximately $81 a year, per person for 1,800 kilowatt month of use).3 Monbiot:This is just one of the factors that make a nonsense of the economic projections. How on earth can we say what nuclear power stations will cost if we don't even know what their decommissioning entails? The exorbitant expense for current operations, despite huge subsidies for sustaining nuclear reactors globally, has energy analysts and economists concerned. Predictive costs overruns for waste management and ultimately decommissioning costs and security expenses will increase far into the future. In fact, according to the American Academy of Sciences (Boston) (1985) “Nuclear power will die an economic death” or until tax-payers refuse to continue to subsidize the ailing industry. Taxes spent on nuclear power stations are dollars not spent on human needs like health and education. That affects all of us. Nuclear weapons proliferation Monbiot: It has also become clear that we will never rid the world of nuclear weapons if we do not also rid it of nuclear power. Every state that has sought to develop a weapons programme over the past 30 years - Israel, South Africa, India, Pakistan, North Korea, Iraq and Iran - has done so by manipulating its nuclear power programme. We cannot deny other states the opportunity to use atomic energy if we do not forswear it ourselves. The most obvious reason to disfavor nuclear power as an energy source for Physicians for Global Survival energy policy is the connection between nuclear power and nuclear weapons and their proliferation globally. The tritium trigger and plutonium base are essential elements required for the thermonuclear reaction to occur in the hydrogen bomb. These radionucleotides are produced only in nuclear power plants or research reactors which were created for this purpose during the World War II era that led up to the bombing of Hiroshima and Nagasaki. The CANDU nuclear industry is not economically viable without export of its reactors which are flogged assertively throughout the world. This increases the risk of proliferation of nuclear weapons in many countries and therefore the risk of use of nuclear weapons. How does this affect us directly? We would be in the plume area of radioactive fall-out from US city targets. Our industrial base could make us a possible target. Reducing the expansion of nuclear power and ultimately phasing out its development would reduce proliferation of nuclear weapons. Thus, 'vertical' proliferation within nuclear weapons states and 'horizontal' proliferation of those countries wishing to expand their nuclear power capability and potentially create their own nuclear weapons would be stopped. This would be in keeping with the mission statement of PGS, namely, the prevention of nuclear war. Finally, if we are serious about making Hamilton the best place to rear a child, we will realize that the presence or proximity of a nuclear power station and its associated poisonous wastes would gravely sully Hamilton and its image. Energy Choices and Vulnerability of Nations* Helmut Burkhardt Adjunct Professor of Physics, Ryerson University Toronto, Ontario, Canada M5B 2K3 burkhard@ryerson.ca Abstract The connection between energy choices and the vulnerability of nations is established. Distributed generation from local resources is put forward as the desirable features of a resilient national energy system. Introduction Vulnerability of nations has become a priority issue since the September 11, 2001 terrorist attack on the United States of America. The event showed, that even the strongest nations have built-in vulnerabilities, which cannot be defended by the strength of an army. The loss of life, the social, and economic cost to the victim of the attack is disproportionately higher than the cost to the malevolent attacker. Without any weapons of their own, a few suicidal terrorists have inflicted enormous damage to the American economy, caused wide spread fear, and severe disruption in the life style of the people in America. Defense is much harder, and more costly than attack. Security measures taken by a government are more than an economic problem, and an inconvenience; they curtail many cherished civil liberties, and cause violations of the human rights and freedoms of citizens. The fear of terror has spread beyond the United States; it is now a global phenomenon. Nations should learn a lesson from observed terrorist activities in recent years. In addition to increased vigilance, nations must avoid building vulnerability into their own territory. The stability and resilience of a nation’s infrastructure will reduce the cost of defense not only against terrorist attacks, but also in case of a war. Energy and Vulnerability Energy is of vital importance for a nation. Any interruption of power represents a severe handicap for daily life. In particular, a failure of the electrical system makes a nation immediately dysfunctional. Central power stations, electrical transmission lines, oil and gas pipelines, oil depots are vulnerable spots within a nation. It is said that WW2 would have ended a year earlier, if the allied forces had focused their air attacks on the destruction of the power stations in Germany, instead of bombing the cities. After WW2, the German-speaking population of the Italian Province of South Tyrol wanted to achieve cultural sovereignty. Lacking any other political leverage, the activists placed explosives to the masts of the electrical transmission lines. There are thousands of masts high up in the Alps, and the police were unable to control the situation. The boycott ended only when the people of South Tyrol were given the right to run their own schools and newspapers. Fossil fuel scarcity creates volatile international markets, and economic vulnerability of nation who depend on imports. It is important to note that scarce resources are not the only problem fossil fuel based power. Collectively, those nations who burn coal, oil, and gas hurt all nations around the globe through greenhouse gas production. 1 The US administration was up to now in climate change denial mode. However, a secret Pentagon report was recently leaked to the public, and it warns the United States government that weather catastrophes could cause global chaos and international violence, much more dangerous to the United States security, than the threat of terrorism. [1] Nuclear power stations add several additional vulnerabilities to a nation. Nuclear installations may be considered enemy-weapons amplifiers. The radioactivity stored in a reactor or, in spent fuel storage places is equivalent to the radioactivity of hundreds of nuclear fission bombs. Dispersal into the atmosphere and the environment can paralyze a whole continent for many years. The human suffering, the environmental, social, and economic cost of a cleanup operation can be anticipated by comparison with data available from the Chernobyl accident in 1986. Estimates for health cost alone of the Chernobyl disaster in the Ukraine are around 60 billion US$ [2]. Total cost estimates for cleaning up the Chernobyl accident range up to 600 billion US$. Considering the high cost of damages resulting from the destruction of nuclear installations, it is clear that even superpowers, which rely on nuclear energy, are vulnerable. There are a variety of ways the accumulated radioactive material in a nuclear power station can be dispersed into the atmosphere. A small nuclear weapon exploded at a nuclear power station can lead to the paralysis of a continent. It is suspected, that Al-Qaeda terrorists have access to tactical nuclear weapons [3]. Even conventional explosives can interrupt the cooling of spent fuel storage and cause a fire, which will disperse the contents into the environment [4]. I have presented similar ideas on the risks of nuclear energy to the Royal Commission on Electrical Power Planning for Ontario 34 years ago [5]. That presentation has been gathering dust in the Archives. We suggested at that time, that nuclear power stations should be build deep under ground into mountains, which would reduce their vulnerability to outside attack, but increase the cost by some 20 %. After the Chernobyl accident, Andrei Sakharov in Russia has made such a suggestion as well [6]. The authority of Sakharov lends credibility to the idea of building all nuclear power stations under ground. Unfortunately, Sakharov’s genius failed to recognize the abundance of solar energy, and the potential of solar technology, which makes nuclear power unnecessary altogether. The spread of nuclear power technology has an additional risk factor for the security of nations. The proliferation of nuclear weapons is closely correlated with the peaceful use of nuclear energy. Unfortunately, some think that the globalization of nuclear energy technology is necessary for preventing climate change, in spite of the associated risk of nuclear weapons proliferation [7]. Reducing the Vulnerability Distributed power generation systems are less vulnerable than centralized power stations. The damage per terrorist act is reduced. For a terrorist fighting 1000 windmills is much more difficult, than destroying a single target in form of a central power station. The distributed generation shortens the distance between the producer and the consumer electric power, and thus reduces the vulnerability of the system. An electrical network based on distributed generation is much more resilient, than one based on central power generation. Failure of one or several generators need not disrupt the electricity supply for the consumers integrated in the grid. Co-generation in industry, and other places where heat is required, makes for a more resilient less vulnerable energy system. Renewable energy resources are distributed, 2 and therefore, renewable resources based energy systems are naturally decentralized. Furthermore, using renewable resources of energy make a nation independent of imports, and the volatile world market for coal, oil, gas, or nuclear fission material. Hence, nations with economies based on renewable energy resources will be less vulnerable. Conclusion Nations must avoid building vulnerability into their own territory. In a world plagued by terrorism, climate change, wide spread poverty, scarcity of food, water, and other resources the likelihood for chaotic conflicts will increase in the future. Therefore, vulnerability must be an essential factor in energy planning. A resilient energy system based on distributed generation and local resources serves the independence, defense and security interests of a nation well. References [1] Peter Schwartz and Doug Randall, An Abrupt Climate Change Scenario and Its Implications for United States National Security, October 2003 http://www.gristmagazine.com/pdf/AbruptC limateChange2003.pdf This secret report was leaked to the public by Mark Townsend and Paul Harris in New York, Sunday February 22, 2004 http://www.guardian.co.uk/climatechange/st ory/0,12374,1153530,00.html [2] Health care cost estimate of the Chernobyl Nuclear Accident: http://www.chernobyl.com/info.htm [3] Al-Hayat, pan-Arab newspaper reported on 8 February 2004 that al-Qaeda had bought tactical nuclear weapons from Ukraine in 1998. Source: Reuters, 8 February 2004. [4] Science for Democratic Action, Newsletter of the Institute for Energy and Environmental Research, Nuclear Targeting (to be posted in February or March 2004) at http://www.ieer.org/sdafiles/ [5] Helmut Burkhardt and Roman Szmidt, Peaceful Use of Nuclear Power and National Security in Case of War, Royal Commission on Electrical Power Planning for Ontario, Toronto, Ontario, Canada, October 27, 1977. [6] Andrei Sakharov ''Mankind Cannot Do Without Nuclear Power ''TIME MAGAZINE, May 21, 1990 [7] Establishment of a World Nuclear University http://news.bbc.co.uk/2/hi/science/nature/30 83382.stm * Presentation at the 5th International Conference on a World Energy System Oradea, Romania, May 16-19, 2004. 3
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