Th u rs d ay 0 8 , J a nua r y 2015 News & Report Analysis Currency Market Precious Metal Base Metal Energy Market Effect of scrapping 80:20 rule: gold imports down 39 t in Dec Bengal Global Business Summit attracts investment pledge of Rs 1 trl RINL posts 36% growth in exports; to set up steel rolling mill in Sri Lanka MMDR Act changes hits Posco’s steel project again Tata Steel ferrochrome plant at Gopalpur to go on stream by July 2 Thursday 08, January 2015 Daily MMR Landed Prices London Metal Exchange : Wednesday 07, January 2015 Pr. Sell (1) Morning Session Buy Sell * (2) Afternoon Session Buy Sell Kerb Change (2) - (1) Value Stk(tns) change $/ton Rs/ton Copper Grade A Spot 6191.00 6168.00 6170.00 6201.00 6202.00 6182.50 -21.0 1,78,675 MMR LP 4,22,132 3-mth 6121.00 6104.50 6105.00 6129.00 6130.00 6115.00 -16.0 -100 14-D MA 4,32,449 PP (HCL) 4,47,324 Average 10-days - 6305.80 20-days - 6372.50 30-days - 6432.70 Tin High Grade Spot 19560.00 19675.00 19680.00 19774.00 19775.00 19694.00 120.0 12,110 -- -- 3-mth 19630.00 19665.00 19670.00 19774.00 19775.00 19700.00 40.0 0 -- -- -- -- Average 10-days - 19236 20-days - 19655.80 30-days - 19874.80 Lead Spot 1831.00 1819.00 1820.00 1816.00 1817.00 1834.50 -11.0 2,21,975 MMR LP 3-mth 1846.00 1838.00 1840.00 1833.00 1834.00 1850.00 -6.0 0 14-D MA 1,31,124 PP (HZL) 1,41,400 Average 10-days - 1839.20 20-days - 1893.50 30-days - 1941.10 1,29,466 Zinc Special High Grade Spot 2170.50 2145.00 2145.50 2141.00 2142.00 2122.50 -25.0 6,80,850 MMR LP 1,56,499 3-mth 2182.00 2155.00 2155.50 2152.00 2153.00 2133.00 -26.5 -4200 14-D MA 1,57,803 PP (HZL) 1,67,500 Average 10-days - 2158.20 20-days - 2160.90 30-days - 2187.30 Aluminium Spot 1772.50 1761.50 1762.00 1756.00 1756.00 1761.75 -10.5 41,84,400 MMR LP 1,42,266 3-mth 1806.50 1790.50 1791.00 1784.00 1785.00 1790.00 -15.5 -10350 14-D MA 1,46,604 Average 10-days - 1820.70 20-days - 1867.40 30-days - 1924.70 PP (Nalco) 1,58,900 Aluminium Alloy Spot 1805.00 1780.00 1790.00 NA NA NA -15.0 26,520 3-mth 1815.00 1790.00 1800.00 NA NA NA -15.0 0 Average 10-days - 1846 20-days - 1926 30-days - 1953.20 Nickel Spot 15285.00 15450.00 15455.00 15484.00 15485.00 15483.00 170.0 4,15,812 -- -- 3-mth 15325.00 15530.00 15540.00 15549.00 15550.00 15500.00 215.0 474 -- -- -- -01-Jan 27-Dec Average 10-days - 15139 20-days - 15609.30 30-days - 15871 Note: 1. MMR LP = MMR Landed Prices, excluding excise duty. 2. PP = Producer Prices ex-smelter, excl. excise Copper Aluminium Minor Metals ($/LB) Antimony 99.65% 9,100 Cadmium 99.80% 90.00 Cobalt HG Moly.oxide 99.80% 14.00 9.00 Tantalite 30% Ta2O5 81.00 Titanium Ferro-vana Con. Ti02 550.00 24.90 Silicon Zinc Lead 2,050 05-Jan 05-Jan Week ended Avg of Steel Prices: 03/01/2015 (Incl. Excise duty) Sponge Iron Pig Iron Ferro Alloys : Mandi 27,100 HMS 31,200 CRP(LSLP) Mumbai Mkt rates in kgs : Mumbai Kolkata 29,800 29,200 31,600 Ferro Moly 1200 Delhi Chennai Bhiwandi 30,500 27,500 MS Ingots 38,900 29,300 Ferro Silicon 82 Titanium 171 Indicative Domestic Market Rates (Rs./kg) Mumbai 07-Jan Prev Virgin Metals Copper Pat Copper W/Bar Delhi 07-Jan Comex Copper (cents/lb) Prev Chennai 07-Jan Prev Jan'15 - Feb'15 - Mar'15 - -487.0 -488.0 420.0 - 422.0 - Alum Ingot Zinc Slab Lead Ingot Tin Slab Nickel (4x4) Scrap Copper Heavy Copper Uten. 169.0 180.0 131.0 1,485.0 1,120.0 169.0 180.0 131.0 1,485.0 1,110.0 167.0 188.0 128.0 1,463.0 1,122.0 170.0 187.0 128.0 1,460.0 1,120.0 450.0 421.0 452.0 420.0 --- --- 162.0 - Copper Mixed Brass Utensil Brass Huny Brass Sheet Alum Utensil -323.0 321.0 333.0 134.0 -324.0 321.0 333.0 134.0 405.0 --136.0 407.0 --138.0 - 163.0 - Metal Gold Std Silver Gold Silver Gold Silver - Buy - Sell - Buy Rate 279.60 276.30 275.85 Change -0.3 -0.8 -0.3 Kanpur 34,800 Durgapur 34,900 Comex Al (cents/lb) Rate - Change - Precious Metals : Indicative Rates Market Mumbai Mumbai London London Comex Comex Unit Rs./10g Rs./kg $/tr.oz. $/tr.oz. $/tr.oz. $/tr.oz. 07-Jan 27,400 37,700 1,210.5 16.33 1,210.6 16.51 Prev 27,350 37,400 1,210.3 16.29 1,219.3 16.60 Forex: Jan 07, 2015 (Rs/Unit Currency) USD 63.23 63.14 EURO 74.75 GBP 95.58 95.47 SGD 47.24 ----AUD 51.02 YEN 0.5308 0.5300 SFR 62.20 74.66 47.16 50.98 62.13 Customs Notified Rates: Dec 19, 2014 [Rs.(Imp/Exp)]: US$ 63.85/62.80;Pound Sterling 99.90/97.65;Euro 79.15/77.25 Asian stocks gained on Thursday after upbeat prices and global economic weakness. Wall Street rebounded on Wednesday from five straight sessions of losses after strong U.S. USD/INR Overnight VAR Data releases today 17:00 16:00 hit this week by concerns over tumbling oil 15:00 slipped into deflation also shored up risk assets, 14:00 stimulus after data showing the euro zone had 13:00 European Central Bank will embark upon bolder 12:00 euro held near a nine-year low. Hopes that the 11:00 oil tempered investor risk aversion, while the USD/INR - 07/01/15 63.15 63.20 63.25 63.30 63.35 63.40 63.45 63.50 63.55 9:00 U.S. employment data and a halt to a slide in 10:00 Daily 3 Thursday 08, January 2015 0.3376 Forecast Previous USD Unemployment Claims 291K 298K EUR PPI m/m -0.2% -0.4% private sector jobs data underscored strength in Source : Mecklai Financial the world's largest economy and fanned hopes The Indian Rupee bounced back after two for a strong reading of the all-important non- days of fall and appreciated by 0.5 percent farm payrolls due on Friday. on fresh dollar selling by exporters and some Optimism over more ECB stimulus may have banks. Further, sluggish Indian stock markets, helped equities but the prospect of further fresh capital outflows mid firm dollar overseas central bank easing was detrimental for the could not restrict sharp upside. However, hopes euro, which slid to a nine-year low against the of interest rate hike by the Fed in its meeting dollar. The common currency fetched $1.1819, exerted pressure on the currency. The currency within close proximity of $1.1802 hit overnight, touched an intra-day high of 63.16 and closed at its lowest since January 2006. 63.27 on Wednesday. Data released on Wednesday showing euro zone inflation turning negative for the first time Precious Market since 2009 cemented already high expectations Gold prices are at their highest level relative that the ECB will embark on a bond buying to oil since the late 1990s as bullion holds its programme at its Jan. 22 meeting. appeal while crude's downward spiral shows Currency Market no sign of ending amid rising supplies and lacklustre demand. Gold added to overnight The US Dollar Index (DX) strengthened by losses on Thursday as strength in the dollar and 0.4 percent yesterday hit fresh nine-year highs equities plus robust U.S. economic data reduced against the other major currencies as growing the metal's appeal as a hedge, triggering further expectations for an upcoming U.S. rate hike Market Highlights - Gold (% change) continued to boost the greenback. Further, Gold Unit Last companies added more workers than forecast in December, indicating the U.S. job market was sustaining strength in 2014 acted as a positive factor. The currency touched an intra-day high of 92.51 and closed at 92.12 on Wednesday. Gold (Spot) Gold (Spot -Mumbai) Comex Gold MCX Gold (Feb’15) Prev. day as on January 7, 2015 WoW MoM YoY $/oz 1210.1 -0.69 2.2 0.6 -2.2 Rs/10 gms 27075.0 -0.46 1.4 3.3 -9.1 $/oz 1210.6 -0.71 0.9 -1.7 -2.2 Rs /10 gms 27161.0 -0.85 1.7 3.0 -6.3 Source: Angel Broking Daily 6 mth LIBOR 4 Thursday 08, January 2015 Major Currencies Today’s Crosses Spot Cash v/s INR 0.36 USD / INR - ATM Options (put/call) 0.15 Forward Rates v/s INR (Export/ Import) January February March June September December 63.12/ 13 63.06/ 07 63.39/ 42 63.76/ 79 64.18/ 21 65.34/ 37 66.38/ 41 67.36/ 39 - - - 0.00/0.39 0.00/0.62 0.00/0.81 0.00/1.21 0.00/1.56 0.00/1.89 EUR / USD 1.1830 74.66/ 68 74.59/ 62 75.01/ 03 75.46/ 49 75.97/ 01 77.43/ 47 78.79/ 82 80.10/ 13 0.14 USD / JPY(100) 119.62 52.77/ 77 52.72/ 73 53.01/ 03 53.33/ 35 53.69/ 72 54.72/ 75 55.67/ 71 56.61/ 65 0.68 GBP / USD 1.5097 95.28/ 30 95.19/ 22 95.71/ 74 96.24/ 26 96.82/ 71 98.51/ 95 100.05/ 01 101.53/ 92 -0.03 USD / CHF 1.0152 62.17/ 18 62.11/ 13 62.44/ 46 62.85/ 87 63.32/ 35 64.64/ 66 65.89/ 89 67.08/ 07 3.06 AUD / USD 0.8116 51.21/ 22 51.16/ 18 51.45/ 45 51.75/ 76 52.09/ 10 53.03/ 04 53.87/ 89 54.67/ 68 Source : Mecklai Financial outflows from the top bullion-backed fund. Spot that precious metals pack to trade lower gold eased 0.2 percent to $1,207.75 an ounce continuing its losses from the previous trading by 0336 GMT. The metal fell 0.7 percent in the session. Movements in the dollar index would previous session, ending a three-day winning be the prime driver for driving gold prices lower. streak. Gold had climbed to a three-week high The question of Greece exit from the Euro-zone of $1,222.40 earlier this week as global equities has become the focus across the globe and the fell on concern over political developments in outcome of the January 25 elections will have Greece that could see it leaving the euro zone. to be closely watched for further trajectory in But equities have regained some strength due to gold prices. the better U.S. data and a halt, for now, to the slide Base Market in oil prices. Gold is unlikely to get much support from investment flows this year, Meir said, adding Base metals on the LME traded on a mixed that gold prices could go higher if there was note on Wednesday with Aluminium, Nickel and a sizable correction in equities. In a reflection lead trading positive while copper and zince of investor sentiment, holdings in SPDR Gold prices declining. Strength in the dollar index, Trust, the world's largest gold-backed exchange- which is at nine year peak, is exerting downside traded fund, fell 0.42 percent to 704.83 tonnes pressure on prices. In the Indian markets, all the on Wednesday, their lowest since late 2008. base metals traded mixed in line with trend in A robust economy reduces gold's safe-haven the international markets. appeal and could prompt the Federal Reserve to Copper prices traded at a four and half raise interest rates soon, dulling demand for non- year low on Wednesday, weighed by demand interest-bearing bullion. concerns and steep falls in oil that sapped Among the other precious metals, Spot silver investors' appetite for most commodities. prices declined by 0.2 percent to close at $16.5/ Worries about the possibility that Greece will oz on Wednesday in tandem with fall in gold quit the euro zone have also dented appetite for prices. Profit booking at higher levels coupled risk. Also China, which accounts for more than 40 with strength in the dollar exerted downside percent of global metal demand, is facing slower pressure on prices. economic growth and a cooling property market, As per Angel Broking analyst report suggest which is a major copper consuming industry. Thursday 08, January 2015 Daily China's annual economic growth likely slowed to 7.2 percent in the fourth quarter, the weakest since the depths of the global crisis, which would keep pressure on policymakers to head off a sharper slowdown On the MCX, News & Report Analysis Effect of scrapping 80:20 rule: gold imports down 39 t in Dec copper prices declined by 0.6 percent and closed at Rs.389.4/kg on Wednesday. Angel Broking analyst expect copper prices to trade lower the uncertainty in Greece has dented appetite for risk assets. Demand concerns from China continues as slowdown in growth as well as in property market will act as a negative factor for prices. Energy Market Crude oil prices rose on Wednesday for the first time in last 5 trading sessions on bargain hunting at lower levels as prices have lost nearly 10 percent over two days and benchmark Brent fell to below $50 a barrel. Weekly data for U.S. crude inventories showed a surprising drop last week, helping oil reverse early losses, although gasoline and distillates Gold imports came down substantially in December after the government scrapped a rule that mandated traders export one-fifth of the gold consignment imported into the country. The trend has continued in January, providing relief to the government after a spike in imports stocks jumped by record levels. EIA inventory update EIA Crude inventories fell by 3.1 million barrels in the last week. Gasoline stocks rose by 8.1 million barrels. Distillate stockpiles, which include diesel and in recent months worsened the trade deficit. "There is no surge in gold imports. Government is not looking at imposing any new import restriction as the numbers for December and January are comfortable", said commerce heating oil, rose by 11.2 million barrels. secretary Rajeev Kher after a meeting with the stakeholders on Wednesday to discuss ways to Market Highlights - Crude Oil (% change) as on January 7, 2015 Crude Oil Unit Last Prev. day WoW MoM YoY Brent (Spot) $/bbl 49.3 -2.1 -11.2 -25.2 -54.1 Nymex Crude (Feb ’ 15) $/bbl 48.7 1.5 -10.1 -23.8 -48.1 ICE Brent Crude (Feb’15) $/bbl 51.2 0.1 -10.8 -22.7 -52.1 MCX Crude Jan ’15) Rs/bbl 3077.0 0.3 -8.7 -21.8 -47.4 promote domestic manufacturing and exports of gems and jewellery. Gold imports fell to 39 tonne in December and were placed at 7 tonne in the first week of January, compared to 152 tonne in November. In September and October, the imports were 95.62 tonne and 109 tonne respectively. In value Source: Angel Broking terms, gold imports shot up to $5.6 billion in November, 561% rise year-on-year, threatening 5 Daily Thursday 08, January 2015 to impact the current account deficit (CAD) and “On the first day of West Bengal Global weigh down the rupee. Trade gap widened to Business Summit, investors committed Rs an 18-month high of $16.8 billion in November, 41,600 crore in port sector, while Rs 12,000 crore almost double of levels a year ago. has been pledged for mining projects. Another Bengal Global Business Summit attracts investment pledge of Rs 1 trl Rs 40,000 crore worth of investment pledge came from SAIL. It would exceed Rs 1,00,000 crore,” Banerjee said. In the chief minister’s own admission, therefore, the majority of the investment commitment actually came from the Centre and central PSUs. Union shipping, highways and road transport minister Nitin Gadkari, on Wednesday cleared the much-awaited crucial inland waterway projects in the state. The union minister, who was in Kolkata on Wednesday to attend the Bengal Global Business Summit, said that the Sagar Deep sea port and Haldia Dock 2 projects and the highway project linking Kolkata and Siliguri, have been cleared by the Centre. Fund-starved West Bengal on Wednesday, the first day of the two-day-long Bengal Global Business Summit, received investment pledges worth nearly Rs 1 lakh crore, although the majority of it came from state-run Steel “The ministry has given its nod to the road project from Kolkata to Siliguri and we would now give the financial sanction for the project. The Kolkata-Siliguri highway is worth Rs 4,500 crore,” Gadkari said. Authority of India (SAIL) and the union shipping, talked about “Vibrant Gujarat” campaign, West RINL posts 36% growth in exports; to set up steel rolling mill in Sri Lanka Bengal chief minister Mamata Banerjee said on RINL has registered 36% growth in exports Wednesday evening that the total investment between April-December 2014, even as total commitments received on the first day of the steel exports from India in the same period global business summit would exceed Rs 1 lakh went down 5.3%. The company has started crore. However, state government officials put leveraging its shore-based location to increase the figures at nearly Rs 93,000 crore. exports with export-oriented products hitting highways and road transport ministry. Refusing to draw any parallel with the much A seemingly upbeat Banerjee said at the the market. Tthe focus is on exports to South end of the day’s proceedings that the two states Asia, South East Asia, Middle East and African (Gujarat and Bengal) were different and the countries. Gujarat event had an advantage because prime minister Narendra Modi came from that state. In particular, RINL has started marketing its products in East African markets like Kenya, 6 Thursday 08, January 2015 Daily to pursue its plans of setting up a plant in India, may now have to bid for an iron ore reserve for captive consumption. The plagued project, one of the largest foreign direct investment proposals in India, has had an uphill 11-year journey, with protests over land acquisition and green clearances, and Ethiopia, Mozambique, South Africa, Tanzania, criticism of the state government's decision to Uganda etc. In step with its strategic thrust on allot it a prospecting lease for the Kandhadhar exports, RINL has also opened an International iron ore deposit, spread over 2,500 hectares Marketing Office (IMO) at Colombo to roll between Keonjhar and Sundargarh districts products in Sri Lanka and export these items to of Odisha. On Monday, Modi's Cabinet cleared nearby countries, in addition to targeting sales through ordinance amendments to the Mines in the domestic Sri Lankan market. and Minerals (Development and Regulation) The rolling facilities and RINL's Sri Lanka Act, in line with the Supreme Court judgment on operations are expected to start from next telecom spectrum that advised policy changes month. for competitive allocation - read auction - of RINL, which posted an export turnover of natural resources. Rs 747 crore in 2013-14, recently bagged Star "The MMDR amendments do not protect Performer award amongst large industries for Posco's prospecting lease since it doesn't enjoy its export performance by EEPC (Engineering a prior reservation and neither does it have Export Promotion Council) sponsored by the a letter of intent (for grant) from the state," a union commerce ministry. source in the mines ministry said. "We have Commenting on the performance ,P Madhusudan, CMD, RINL congratulated T K Chand, director(commercial) and the export department for achieving strong growth. He also urged the marketing collective to step up its initiative by increasing sales and strengthening the company's market presence overseas. MMDR Act changes hits Posco’s steel project again South Korean steelmaker Posco's ambition to set up a 12-million-tonne-capacity plant in India with an investment of Rs 51,000 crore may have taken another hit with the Narendra Modi government's move to allocate all future leases through auction. The company, if it still wants 7 Daily Thursday 08, January 2015 recommended a prospecting lease for Posco India. It is for the central government to take a decision on the matter," said Odisha Director of Mines Deepak Mohanty. A senior executive at Posco India said the company was unsure of the implications; the ordinance not being public yet. Officials of Odisha's industry department are critical of the steelmaker's insistence on waiting for a captive lease before making serious investments on the ground. Following problems over land acquisition, Posco had settled for a smaller 8-million-tonne plant. It had, over to Tata Steel's website. "We are looking at the the years, also agreed to drop its controversial cleaner industries like electronics complex, plan of swapping a third of the Indian ore for semi-conductor complex, IT units in the SEZ as Brazilian ore, which it claimed would result in a it is closer to the sea coast," Misra said. more efficient mix for its furnaces. Tata Steel ferrochrome plant at Gopalpur to go on stream by July NMDC inks maintenance pact for Donimalai plant with KIOCL Public sector KIOCL Ltd has signed an Tata Steel expects to start the operation of agreement with NMDC for operation and its ferrochrome plant coming up at Gopalpur by maintenance of the Donimalai plant in June 2015 with a capacity of 50,000 tonne per Karnataka. The company that operates a annum in the first phase. highly mechanised magnetite iron ore mine, a "In the first phase, the 50,000 tonne per beneficiation plant and a pellet plant has now annum ferrochrome plant will start operation entered into an agreement with NMDC, said by June-July and the work on another plant Malay Chatterjee, Chairman and Managing with 2,50,000 tonne per annum capacity will Director, KIOCL. start immediately after that. The investment in NMDC, a central public sector and a merchant the first phase is Rs 800 crore," Arun Misra, vice miner that has iron ore mines at Donimalai, president, Tata Steel (Gopalpur projects) said on has set up a beneficiation plant of 1.89 million the sidelines of a seminar on "Energy Efficient tonne a year and a pellet plant of 1.2 mtpa for Steel and Aluminium Making Technologies: commercial pellet manufacturing. KIOCL, with Research and Applications", organised by the requisite expertise in the operation and Confederation of Indian Industry (CII), Odisha maintenance of beneficiation plant and pellet chapter. Spanning over 2,970 acres of land, the plant, has offered its services for operation and industrial park at Gopalpur includes a multi- maintenance. NMDC and KIOCL have arrived product SEZ over 2,570 acres and an anchor on a common understanding and entered into project by Tata Steel over 400 acres, according an agreement on Wednesday at Donimalai to 8 Daily Thursday 08, January 2015 operationalise the plant. The agreement was be infusing funds into the newly formed JSL signed by N Vidyananda, Director-Production Group post the demerger and these investments and Projects, KIOCL, and CE Kindo, Executive will be made in their personal capacity via their Director and in-charge Donimalai Project, holding companies. NMDC. According to the agreement, it will Demerger is just the beginning of the mega facilitate KIOCL to gainfully utilise its experienced restructuring at JSL. As part of the larger plan, manpower for operating the NMDC plants for Sajjan Jindal and Naveen Jindal will infuse cash mutual benefit of both companies. Chatterjee into Jindal United Steel Ltd to together own a said: “Operation and maintenance vertical” that majority stake in the arm. This newly created unit he has spearheaded for implementation as a post the demerger will consist of the hot strip diversification measure, has come as a succour steel unit at Odisha. to the company in the absence of captive mines Prithvi Raj Jindal who owns Jindal Saw will be to utilise its available experienced competent acquiring a majority stake in Jindal Coke Ltd via manpower. fresh issuance of shares. This will leave the new Sajjan, Naveen, PRS Jindal to bail out JSL avatar of JSL with a minority stake in Jindal United O.P. Jindal Group is in a huddle to save the crisis-hit JSL, sources with direct knowledge share that Sajjan Jindal, Naveen Jindal and PRS Jindal are coming together to save their brother Ratan Jindal's company, JSL. Three brothers will Steel & Jindal Coke. Ratan Jindal will head the third company carved out by way of demerger, Jindal Stainless (Hisar) Ltd. JSL aims to reduce the large debt burden of Rs 9000 cr by Rs 5000 cr and sources suggest that the group is targeting to complete the entire recast by April this year. 9
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