Fr i d ay 2 7 , M a rc h 2 015 News & Report Analysis Currency Market Precious Metal Base Metal Energy Market India manage to get US solar pledge worth $160 billion for Solar Power push Cancelling JSPL’s winning bid wrong, says High Court Demand for RINL-NMDC merger grows thick and fast MMTC expects exports of pig iron to pick up pace soon Fimi estimates iron ore production in 2015-16 at 135 mt 2 Friday 27, March 2015 Daily MMR Landed Prices London Metal Exchange : Thursday 26, March 2015 Pr. Sell (1) Morning Session Buy Sell * (2) Afternoon Session Buy Sell Kerb Change (2) - (1) Value Stk(tns) change $/ton Rs/ton Copper Grade A Spot 6134.50 6229.00 6230.00 NA NA 6199.00 95.5 3,39,600 MMR LP 3-mth 6110.00 6213.00 6215.00 NA NA 6173.00 105.0 -3025 14-D MA 3,63,713 PP (HCL) 3,88,044 Average 10-days - 5920.20 20-days - 5869.10 30-days - 5822.40 4,22,888 Tin High Grade Spot 17400.00 17260.00 17265.00 NA NA 17175.00 -135.0 9,975 -- -- 3-mth 17450.00 17445.00 17450.00 NA NA 17225.00 0.0 -120 -- -- -- -- Average 10-days - 17266.10 20-days - 17560.80 30-days - 17739.80 -- Lead Spot 1830.00 1842.00 1844.00 NA NA 1850.00 14.0 2,36,750 MMR LP 1,30,084 3-mth 1832.00 1847.00 1848.00 NA NA 1853.00 16.0 -525 14-D MA 1,12,724 PP (HZL) 1,31,800 1,52,014 Average 10-days - 1769.70 20-days - 1773.50 30-days - 1776.60 Zinc Special High Grade Spot 2065.50 2094.50 2095.50 NA NA 2078.00 30.0 5,20,125 MMR LP 3-mth 2076.50 2105.00 2105.50 NA NA 2088.00 29.0 -50 14-D MA 1,32,794 PP (HZL) 1,53,500 Average 10-days - 2022.80 20-days - 2020.10 30-days - 2041.40 Aluminium Spot 1764.00 1783.00 1783.50 NA NA 1787.00 19.5 39,64,975 MMR LP 1,42,620 3-mth 1772.00 1790.50 1791.00 NA NA 1792.00 19.0 -4200 14-D MA 1,27,511 Average 10-days - 1769.90 20-days - 1772.10 30-days - 1781.30 PP (Nalco) 1,46,900 Aluminium Alloy Spot 1730.00 1720.00 1730.00 NA NA NA 0.0 26,220 3-mth 1750.00 1740.00 1750.00 NA NA NA 0.0 -80 Average 10-days - 1735 20-days - 1770 30-days - 1776.60 Nickel Spot 13680.00 13610.00 13615.00 NA NA 13650.00 -65.0 4,32,792 -- -- 3-mth 13750.00 13650.00 13660.00 NA NA 13700.00 -90.0 -1188 -- -- -- -01-Mar 11-Mar Average 10-days - 13808.90 20-days - 13898.40 30-days - 14011.60 Note: 1. MMR LP = MMR Landed Prices, excluding excise duty. 2. PP = Producer Prices ex-smelter, excl. excise Copper Aluminium Minor Metals ($/LB) Antimony 99.65% 9,100 Cadmium 99.80% 90.00 Cobalt HG Moly.oxide 99.80% 14.00 9.00 Tantalite 30% Ta2O5 81.00 Titanium Ferro-vana Con. Ti02 550.00 24.90 Silicon Zinc Lead 2,050 23-Mar 23-Mar Week ended Avg of Steel Prices: 21/03/2015 (Incl. Excise duty) Sponge Iron Pig Iron Alum. Alloy : Mandi 26,400 HMS 31,600 CRP(LSLP) Mumbai Mkt rates in kgs : Mumbai Kolkata 28,900 29,600 28,900 ADC 12 138.5 Delhi Chennai Bhiwandi 29,600 27,200 MS Ingots 39,200 28,800 AlSi 9 Cu3 140 LM6 154 Indicative Domestic Market Rates (Rs./kg) Mumbai 26-Mar Prev Virgin Metals Copper Pat Copper W/Bar Delhi 26-Mar Comex Copper (cents/lb) Chennai Prev 26-Mar Prev Mar'15 - Apr'15 417.0 - May'15 - -468.0 -463.0 418.0 - Alum Ingot Zinc Slab Lead Ingot Tin Slab Nickel (4x4) Scrap Copper Heavy Copper Uten. 158.0 170.0 134.0 1,350.0 1,030.0 158.0 167.0 133.0 1,360.0 1,023.0 158.0 181.0 130.0 1,350.0 1,015.0 158.0 180.0 129.0 1,348.0 1,013.0 442.0 415.0 438.0 409.0 --- --- 154.0 - Copper Mixed Brass Utensil Brass Huny Brass Sheet Alum Utensil -323.0 323.0 330.0 127.0 -320.0 321.0 328.0 127.0 403.0 --138.0 402.0 --138.0 - 154.0 - Metal Gold Std Silver Gold Silver Gold Silver Rate 282.15 282.05 281.10 Change 0.6 0.7 0.7 Kanpur 38,800 Durgapur 35,200 Comex Al (cents/lb) Rate - Change - Precious Metals : Indicative Rates Market Mumbai Mumbai London London Comex Comex Unit Rs./10g Rs./kg $/tr.oz. $/tr.oz. $/tr.oz. $/tr.oz. 26-Mar 26,900 38,900 1,203.2 17.13 1,205.1 17.12 Prev 26,650 38,300 1,195.6 16.94 1,197.3 16.98 Forex: Mar 26, 2015 (Rs/Unit Currency) - Buy - Sell - Buy USD 62.74 62.65 EURO 69.02 GBP 93.70 93.60 SGD 45.97 ----AUD 49.36 YEN 0.5286 0.5278 SFR 65.70 Sell 68.94 45.89 49.32 65.66 Customs Notified Rates: Mar 06, 2015 [Rs.(Imp/Exp)]: US$ 62.30/61.80;Pound Sterling 98.10/93.95;Euro 69.10/93.95 US equity market closed on a negative note average closed off 40.31 points, or 0.23 percent, USD/INR Overnight VAR Data releases today 17:00 0.3518 Forecast Previous 2.2% to 17,678.23, the S&P 500 lost 4.9 points, or 0.24 USD Final GDP q/q 2.4% percent, to 2,056.15 and the Nasdaq Composite USD Final GDP Price Index q/q 0.1% dropped 13.16 points, or 0.27 percent, to 4,863.36. In Asia region, Japan's Nikkei share 16:00 to 4,863.36.Wall Street's Dow Jones industrial 15:00 the Nasdaq Composite dropped 13.16 points, 14:00 the S&P 500 lost 4.9 points, to 2,056.15 and 13:00 industrial average fell 40.31 points, to 17,678.23, 12:00 on the support of economic data. The Dow Jones 11:00 day but off lately it recovered from the day's low USD/INR - 26/03/15 62.54 62.57 62.60 62.63 62.66 62.69 62.72 62.75 9:00 yesterday. The stocks fell for consecutive fourth 10:00 Daily 3 Friday 27, March 2015 0.1% Source : Mecklai Financial a fourth time in the past two weeks. average edged up on Friday morning in choppy US dollar fell against traditional safe havens trade as Investors bought stocks on the dips the Swiss franc on yesterday and the yen after after the previous day's falls, while Panasonic warplanes from Saudi Arabia and other Arab Corp attracted buying after it announced an countries struck Shi'ite Muslim rebels fighting to acquisition plan. Japan's consumer inflation oust Yemen's president. The dollar later recovered data out earlier in the day had little impact to against the franc and was last up 0.4 percent at the stock market. The headline core CPI, which 0.9633 francs. Against the yen, the dollar was last includes oil but excludes volatile fresh food at 119.26 yen, off 0.18 percent. The dollar was prices, rose 2.0 percent on-year in February, down earlier against the euro but recovered in short of a median forecast for a 2.1 percent rise, New York trading on the view that central bank government data showed. policy was more favorable for the U.S. currency. Currency Market The euro was last off 0.80 percent at $1.0884. The dollar later recovered against the franc US dollar currency saw the currency trading and was last up 0.4 percent at 0.9633 francs. broadly higher early in Asia on Friday, but still Against the yen, the dollar was last at 119.26 on track to end softer for a second straight yen, off 0.18 percent. The dollar was down week. Since the U.S. Federal Reserve's dovish earlier against the euro but recovered in New steer last week, dollar bulls have been much York trading on the view that central bank more cautious. But a set of encouraging data policy was more favorable for the U.S. currency. on Thursday and a rise in U.S. Treasury yields The euro was last off 0.80 percent at $1.0884. helped the greenback stage a modest rebound. The Australian dollar, for example, is back near The dollar index climbed to 97.397, bouncing 78 U.S. cents, down from a two-month high of off a three-week trough of 96.170. Against the $0.7939 set earlier in the week. USDINR opened yen, it rallied to 119.28 yen, from a one-month at 62.80 levels, high against its previous close of low of 118.33. The euro eased back to $1.0876 62.66 levels. The pair is expected to remain in a from $1.10525, failing to stay above $1.1000 for range of 62.50-63.00 levels for the day. 4 Friday 27, March 2015 Daily 6 mth LIBOR Major Currencies Today’s Crosses Spot Cash v/s INR 0.40 USD / INR - ATM Options (put/call) 0.15 Forward Rates v/s INR (Export/ Import) March April May August November February 62.71/ 72 62.65/ 67 63.20/ 23 63.59/ 63 64.03/ 07 65.26/ 30 66.44/ 48 67.52/ 56 - - - 0.47/0.47 0.67/0.68 0.83/0.84 1.22/1.27 1.52/1.63 1.78/1.96 EUR / USD 1.0881 68.23/ 24 68.16/ 19 68.79/ 82 69.24/ 28 69.75/ 79 71.21/ 24 72.64/ 68 73.82/ 84 0.14 USD / JPY(100) 119.33 52.54/ 56 52.49/ 52 52.98/ 01 53.33/ 37 53.72/ 76 54.83/ 87 55.94/ 98 56.90/ 97 0.68 GBP / USD 1.4852 93.13/ 15 93.04/ 08 93.87/ 92 94.40/ 47 95.03/ 10 96.82/ 88 98.57/ 63 100.39/ 46 0.68 GBP / USD 1.4852 93.13/ 15 93.04/ 08 93.87/ 92 94.40/ 47 95.03/ 10 96.82/ 88 98.57/ 63 100.39/ 46 3.06 AUD / USD 0.7807 48.95/ 97 48.90/ 93 49.25/ 27 49.47/ 50 49.73/ 76 50.45/ 48 51.16/ 18 51.61/ 64 Source : Mecklai Financial months in February, data showed on Thursday, as Precious Metal purchases slowed in the world's second-biggest Gold held on to gains from a seven-day rally gold consumer amid weaker prices. on Friday and looked set to post its second straight weekly gain on expectations U.S. Base Metal interest rates will stay low for longer and as Copper futures pared gains as mines began escalating tensions in the Middle East boosted restarting after flooding in Chile, the world’s safe-haven bids. Last week, gold prices posted biggest producer. Codelco, the top copper strong gains while it also managed to cut back miner, said late Wednesday that its Atacama all of its losses in 2015 as weaker US Dollar which Desert sites were gradually resuming operations supported investment in yellow metal. after shutting down earlier in the day. Futures Prior to last week ended 13th March, Bullion prices fell heavily as markets moved into the earlier jumped as much as 2.8 percent as the rains also forced Lundin Mining Corp. FED monetary policy on expectations that The benchmarket metal advanced 3.7 percent policy outcome would be hawkish. However as last week after labor protests in Indonesia of the actual policy update, FOMC in its meeting shut production at Freeport-McMoRan Inc.’s came out with more dovish expectations over Grasberg mine, the second-largest for the metal US economy and interest rates in the near-term, by capacity. close its Candelaria mine and Pan thus pushing the US Dollar lower while adding Pacific Copper Co. to shutter Caserones. value to Gold. On the London Metal Exchange, copper In news from China’s physical markets for delivery in three months rose 0.8 percent imports from Hong Kong fell to their lowest in six to $6,174 a metric ton ($2.80 a pound), after Market Highlights - Gold (% change) Gold Gold (Spot) Gold (Spot -Mumbai) Comex Gold MCX Gold (Apr’15) Unit Last Prev. day as on March 26, 2015 WoW MoM YoY touching $6,294.50, the highest since Jan. 2. Also on the LME, aluminum, nickel, lead and zinc rose, while tin fell. Escalating violence $/oz 1204.0 0.73 2.8 0.0 -8.1 Rs/10 gms 26700.0 1.52 3.5 0.6 -10.4 $/oz 1205.1 0.65 3.1 -0.6 -8.1 Rs /10 gms 26801.0 1.20 3.2 2.6 -7.3 in Yemen sparked a rally across energy commodities and metals. Higher energy prices Source: Angel Broking lift mining output costs. On the IPO market, Vale SA is proceeding Daily Friday 27, March 2015 with a plan to sell shares in its base metals on oil supplies as the country was only a small unit as it expects nickel and copper prices to crude exporter and tankers could avoid passing rebound. “We are preparing the working agenda its waters to reach their ports of destination. of this IPO to be ready to make a decision,” Oil prices soared as much as 6 percent the Chief Executive Officer Murilo Ferreira told previous day after a Saudi-led coalition of Arab analysts during a conference call on Thursday. nations began strikes on Shi'ite Houthis and “We have received visits from countless banks. allied army units who have taken over much of Everybody is bringing their projects and making Yemen and seek to oust President Abd-Rabbu presentations.” Mansour Hadi. Energy Market Global oil prices fell over a percentage point on Friday as traders estimated that the threat "While Yemen is a small producer (145,000 barrels per day in 2014), the price rally is driven by fears of potential escalation and the proximity of the Bab el-Mandeb strait," Goldman said. of a disruption to world crude supplies from Closure of the strait could affect 3.8 million Saudi Arabia-led air strikes in Yemen was low. barrels a day of crude and product flows, but Goldman Sachs said in an overnight note that analysts said tankers could be diverted to travel the strikes in Yemen would have little effect around Africa instead of passing Yemen. 5 Friday 27, March 2015 Daily Market Highlights - Crude Oil (% change) as on March 26, 2015 Crude Oil Unit Last Prev. day WoW MoM YoY Brent (Spot) $/bbl 56.9 4.9 6.2 -5.8 -47.3 Nymex Crude (Apr’ 15) $/bbl 51.4 4.5 17.0 3.4 -48.7 ICE Brent Crude (Apr’15) $/bbl 59.2 4.8 8.7 -4.0 -44.7 MCX Crude (Apr ’15) Rs/bbl 3369.0 5.0 17.7 4.3 -44.0 Source: Angel Broking "At the moment, the fighting is located in the central part of the country around the capital of Sanaa. Even if fighting did progress south and which has lent to solar and wind programs, sold potentially threaten tankers moving through the country’s first green dollar bonds in a $500 the Bab el-Mandeb Strait, they could simply million issue of 2.75 percent notes March 24. take the longer route around Africa," ANZ bank India’s issuance of overseas securities meeting said on Friday. environmental criteria overseen by the Zurich- Analysts also said that the less than 40 km based International Capital Market Association narrow strait between Yemen and Djibouti was could surge to as much as $1.5 billion annually heavily militarized by the West, with the United in the next two to five years, according to States and France both operating bases in Commerzbank AG. Djibouti and NATO and other allies having a fleet presence in the Gulf of Aden to combat piracy. Modi got a pledge from U.S. President Barack Obama for unspecified funding to raise solar ANZ said that a bigger impact from the Middle production to 100 gigawatts by 2022 from about East on oil prices might come from a potential 3 gigawatts, and is fishing for more aid ahead nuclear deal with Iran, which could result in a of a climate summit in Paris in December. The loosening of western sanctions against Tehran former leader of the state of Gujarat pioneered and rising exports of its oil reserves. India’s first solar incentives and restored wind- News & Report Analysis farm tax benefits in July after a two-year hiatus. India manage to get US solar pledge worth $160 billion for Solar Power push That’s driven a rally in convertible notes of Suzlon Energy Ltd., the turbine maker that caused India’s biggest default of such debt in 2012. “The government’s thrust is on building green renewable sources of energy, and that should prompt more local issuance,” said As Indian Prime Minister Narendra Modi Jaideep Iyer, Mumbai-based group president was winning headlines garnering U.S. support for financial management at Yes Bank Ltd. “We’ll for a $160 billion solar-power push, the bond continue to seek the development of the market market was putting together more concrete for green bonds.” funding plans. Export-Import Bank of India, 6 Daily Exim Bank priced its five-year securities to Friday 27, March 2015 an interim arrangement for the blocks. yield 147.5 basis points over similar Treasuries, The court's observations are seen as a Bloomberg-compiled data show. That compares setback for the government, which has seen with an average 263 basis points on international several legal challenges to auction of coal blocks, bonds from Indian issuers, according to Bank of particularly by firms that lost out. However, the America Merrill Lynch indexes. Centre is pleased about the auction as a whole Cancelling JSPL’s winning bid wrong, says High Court as it has received high bids. It plans to auction The Delhi High Court has observed that the rejection of winning bids of Jindal Power & Steel Ltd (JSPL) for two coal blocks in Chhattisgarh was 'prima facie' wrong as the government was making a mistake in comparing the bids with quotes received for other blocks. The government rejected the bids, which were much lower than the price quoted for other blocks, on the ground that they did not reflect the fair value of the blocks. The court in the course of hearings on Thursday, observed that this did not seem fair, and amounted to comparing apples with oranges. The high court will again hear the case on Friday and asked the government to work out more blocks next month. The court's observations also come as a relief to JSPL and Bharat Aluminum Company (Balco) that took legal recourse after the coal ministry on Friday cancelled auction process for three blocks for which the companies emerged as successful bidders. On Monday, a bench of justices BD Ahmed and Sanjeev Sachdeva had restrained the government from allotting the Tara mine to Coal India. The government had disapproved bids for JSPL's Gare Palma IV/2&3 and Tara mine and Gare Palma IV/1 for which Balco emerged as the best bidder. The coal ministry allotted these mines to Coal India Ltd. Both these blocks are operational mines and as per Supreme Court's September 2014 verdict that cancelled 204 7 Daily Friday 27, March 2015 captive mine allotments, producing mines have has its headquarters in Hyderabad is the State- to be surrendered by the previous allottee. controlled mineral producer and has long- JSPL made the best bid for the Gare Palma term agreement with RINL to supply iron ore IV2&3 coal block at a price of Rs 108 per tonne extracted from Bailadilla mines in Chattisgarh while foregoing the mining cost. Tara coal to meet raw material requirement of VSP. block auction closed at Rs 126 per tonne. Balco VSP is now stabilising expanded units under emerged as the best bidder for the Gare Palma its 6.3 million tonne project executed at a cost IV/1 at a price of Rs 1,585 per tonne. of Rs.12,300 crore. Incidentally, both RINL and After rejection of its bid, JSPL had said it NMDC are under administrative control of was "puzzled" by the government's decision. It Ministry of Steel. NMDC is establishing three said it had followed a consistent and prudent million tonne steel plant near Jagdalpur in bidding strategy throughout the coal auction Bastar. On the other hand, RINL has a rich land with a serious long-term business perspective. bank with 25,000 acres under its ownership with Demand for RINL-NMDC merger grows thick and fast dream to make VSP as the largest single location Demand for merger of Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited and National Mineral Development which was dropped after the latter expressed its integrated steel plant in future. NMDC, which is expected to produce 30 million tonne of iron ore during 2014-15, has set a target to produce 50 millon tonne by 2018-19 and 100 million tonne by 2024-25. disinclination, is gaining momentum again with many clamouring for it. Mooted in 2008 by RINL management as a MMTC expects exports of pig iron to pick up pace soon mutually beneficial solution to its raw material Pig iron exports by MMTC controlled insecurity and NMDC’s plan to foray into steel Neelachal Ispat Nigam Ltd (NINL) are expected manufacturing, the proposal is being broached to pick up steam within a year mainly on the by the employees of Visakhapatnam Steel Plant. back of revival in US economy and steady GDP “We want to represent to Ministry of Steel growth rate posted by China. shortly to consider the suggestion, which Though MMTC has been floating tenders to mutually beneficial for RINL and NMDC,” Visakha export pig iron produced by NINL, it has been Steel Employees’ Congress (recognised union) struggling to find buyers due to tepid demand general secretary Mantri Rajasekhar said. in the export market. The trading firm hopes for VSP unions including those belonging to CITU and AITUC are of the opinion that merger will be the best option. An official of RINL said merger would also help both the entities to emerge as a formidable force both in India and overseas market. RINL, which is in the process of getting listed, is the corporate entity of VSP. NMDC, which a turnaround in the next 12 months. NINL where 8 Daily 9 Friday 27, March 2015 MMTC holds 49.9 per cent stake, is the biggest to pave the way for higher ore production, a lot pig iron exporter in the country depends on how quickly state governments set "Recessionary economic trends have hit pig iron exports. We are finding it tough to find the ball rolling in terms of auction of mining leases. overseas buyers. But we hope the scenario to According to the ministry of mines, 199 reverse in a year's time. The US economy which concessions, including 15 iron ore leases, are impacts most of the world's economies is on expected to be auctioned by various state revival. China has been maintaining more or less governments in the next few months. Unless steady growth in its GDP," said MMTC's chairman state and managing director Ved Prakash. production in the coming year is unlikely to be governments act immediately, ore Despite lukewarm response to its tenders better than the past few years. The Federation in February, MMTC has floated a fresh global of Indian Mineral Industries (Fimi) estimates iron tender for pig iron exports on March 17 for ore production in 2015-16 at 135 million tonne 30,000 tonne of pig iron. The latest tender is due (mt), a mere eight per cent growth over the for opening on April 6. current financial year. Apart from MMTC, another public sector In 2014-15, the production is estimated at 125 steel maker Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Ltd (RINL) is mt. Of this, Odisha will be the major contributor also finding it tough to find overseas buyers. at 50 mt, followed by Chhattisgarh at 25 mt. Over the past couple of months, tenders floated Jharkhand and Karnataka stand at subsequent by these two steel PSUs have failed to elicit places with 19 mt and 17 mt, respectively. enough interest from the overseas buyers. Fimi estimates iron ore production in 2015-16 at 135 mt With the passage of the Mines and Minerals (Development and Regulation) Amendment Bill in Parliament, action will now shift to mineralbearing states. Although the new Act is expected “A minor growth in production could be seen in Karnataka next year. Goa will start production only towards the second half of the next financial year. If all goes well, Goa could produce around 10 mt, while Karnataka might add 5 mt more. Odisha will continue to be the largest producer next year as well,” Basant Poddar, senior vicepresident, Fimi, said.
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