Company Update, 6 January 2015 Petro-King Oilfield Services (2178 HK) Energy & Petrochemicals - Oil & Gas Services Market Cap: USD169m Neutral (Maintained) Target Price: Price: HKD1.22 HKD1.21 Macro Risks Bleaker Outlook Already Priced In Growth Value Petro-King Oilfield Services (2178 HK) Relative to Hang Seng Index (RHS) 132 5.10 120 3.60 84 3.10 72 2.60 60 2.10 48 1.60 36 1.10 24 0.60 18 16 14 12 10 8 6 4 2 12 Jul-14 May-14 Nov-14 96 Sep-14 108 4.10 Mar-14 4.60 Jan-14 Vol m Price Close 5.60 0 0 .2 0 0 On 24 Dec, Petro-King issued a profit warning and proposed a rights . 0 offer to raise HKD151m. We see the profit warning as a negative 0 surprise and slash our FY14-16 earnings forecasts. We cut our TP to 0 HKD1.22 (0.7x FY15F P/BV, 0.8% upside). Maintain NEUTRAL as we believe the negatives have been priced in, with its share price having dropped 9% since the announcement. Source: Bloomberg Avg Turnover (HKD/USD) 2.43m/0.31m Cons. Upside (%) 50.4 Upside (%) 0.8 52-wk Price low/high (HKD) 1.08 - 4.94 Free float (%) 30 Share outstanding (m) 1,080 Shareholders (%) Termbary Natural Resources Co. LTD King Shine Group 31.5 31.4 TCL Corp 6.9 Share Performance (%) YTD 1m 3m 6m 12m Absolute 12.0 (16.0) (46.9) (46.9) (70.9) Relative 12.0 (14.3) (49.2) (47.1) (74.4) 2 . 1 0 . 2 Profit warning a negative surprise. Based on unaudited accounts and confirmed orders and contracts for 2014, Petro-King Oilfield Services (Petro-King) expects to record a net loss for FY14. This came as a negative surprise as it is much worse than our original recurring net profit forecasts of HKD135m (-34% YoY) for FY14 and HKD114m (-14% YoY) for 2H14. Rights offer raises concern over cash flow. On the same day, PetroKing proposed to raise HKD151m through a rights offer at HKD0.98 per share on the basis of one rights share for every seven existing shares. Upon completion of the rights issue, share capital will be enlarged by about 14%. We believe the rights offer is primarily driven by Petro-King’s tight cash flow position and negative outlook for operation in FY15. Share price rally on oil industry ownership reform. On 5 Jan, shares of oilfield service providers including Petro-King rallied by 7-13%, stimulated by news reports that China National Petroleum Corporation (CNPC) has kicked off a mixed-ownership reform in Xinjiang. It is expected that there will be more bold reform actions in 2015 to encourage private capital to participate in upstream exploration and production (E&P) operations, which may revive investments in the field. Gloomy earnings outlook. We believe Petro-King’s operation has been severely challenged by a tough operating environment in both domestic and overseas markets. We now see a loss of HKD35m for 2H14 and a loss of HKD15m for FY14. For FY15, we expect a limited recovery with a net profit of HKD30m. Maintain NEUTRAL, lower TP to HKD1.22. We change our valuation to P/BV from P/E-based, given the company’s highly volatile earnings. We cut our TP to HKD1.22, based on 0.7x FY15F P/BV, 2SD below its forward P/BV mean. Our previous TP of HKD2.10 was based on a 12x FY15F P/E. As its share price has dropped 9% since the announcement, we believe the negatives have been priced in. Maintain NEUTRAL. Forecasts and Valuations Dec-12 Dec-13 Dec-14F Dec-15F Dec-16F 1,057 1,060 867 1,014 1,141 Reported net profit (HKDm) 180 207 (22) 30 57 Recurring net profit (HKDm) 149 205 (15) 30 Recurring net profit growth (%) 69.8 37.8 (107.1) Charles Zhang +852 2103 5842 Recurring EPS (HKD) 0.20 0.21 (0.01) charles.zhang@rhbgroup.com Recurring P/E (x) 6.1 5.8 P/B (x) 0.86 0.59 P/CF (x) 6.91 Shariah compliant Total turnover (HKDm) EV/EBITDA (x) Return on average equity (%) Net debt to equity (%) Our vs consensus EPS (adjusted) (%) na na na 0.62 0.87 57 88.5 0.02 0.05 49.6 26.3 0.69 0.68 na 0.99 4.4 3.3 (3.2) 13.0 17.7 12.7 (1.0) 1.4 1.8 2.5 net cash net cash 4.8 net cash (111.5) (84.2) (72.5) 2.6 Source: Company data, RHB See important disclosures at the end of this report Powered by EFA TM Platform 1 Petro-King Oilfield Services (2178 HK) 6 January 2015 Challenging Outlook Profit warning a negative surprise. Based on unaudited management accounts for the 11 months ended Nov 2014 and confirmed orders and service contracts for the month ending Dec 2014, Petro-King expects to record a net loss for FY14. This came as a negative surprise as it is much worse than our original recurring net profit forecasts of HKD135m (-34% YoY) for FY14 and HKD114m (-14% YoY) for 2H14. This indicates that revenue growth and margins have deteriorated significantly in 2H14. Falling revenue and rising costs. The company explained that the net loss was mainly caused by declining revenue and rising operating costs. The drop in revenue was due to a weak Chinese market and its exposure in Venezuela. The increase in operating costs was mainly due to Petro-King’s expansion in the number of service staff and equipment for the unconventional gas division. Profit warning reflects a challenging operating environment. We believe PetroKing’s operation has been severely challenged by a tough operating environment, both in domestic and overseas markets. In China, we suspect its production enhancement segment continued to witness a decline amid a slowdown in business volume from tight gas/oil wells in Ordos Basin. In Venezuela, receivables collection from Petroleos de Venezuela S.A. (PDVSA) continued to be slow and restrained its well completion revenue. Amid the recent sharp drop in oil prices, we foresee the operating environment and earnings outlook to remain challenging and uncertain in FY15. Based on the limited information available, we now anticipate a loss of HKD35m for 2H14 and a loss of HKD15m for FY14. For FY15, we expect a limited recovery with a net profit of HKD30m. Figure 1: 2H14 results forecasts (HKDm) Drilling 1H13 2 H13 1H14 Actual Actual Actual 2 H14 RHB Diff (% ) FY 14 F RHB 29 38 66 41 8.0 Well completion 214 39 30 21 (46.2) 51 Production enhancement 159 261 118 175 (32.7) 294 Oilfield project services 402 337 214 237 (29.7) 451 19 22 64 49 124.7 113 Consultancy services Manufacturing & sales of tools & equipment 106 75 206 75 228 10.8 303 Re ve nue 496 565 353 5 14 (9.0) 867 YoY chg (%) 60.1% - 24.5% - 28.7% - 9.0% COGS (315) (307) (232) (453) 47.5 (685) G ross profit 18 1 258 12 1 61 (76.3) 18 2 YoY chg (%) 86.3% 16.3% - 33.1% N/A GPM 36.5% 45.6% 34.3% 11.9% Opex & others Opex & others as % of revenue O pe ra ting profit YoY chg (%) Operating margin Finance expense & others P BT Income tax Effective tax rate MI Ne t profit (74) (105) (94) (105) 14.9% 18.6% 26.7% 20.4% 15 3 13.8% - 74.9% N/A 21.6% 27.0% 7.6% - 8.5% (8) (4) (234.7) (12) (4 8 ) (131.0) (2 9 ) 10 (144.7) 10 4 15 6 19 (26) (23) (5) 25.4% 14.5% 24.2% (9) 69 (6) 12 7 (1) 13 (128.8) (17 ) - 2.0% 21.0% 5 18.9% 3 (144.8) 2 (3 5 ) (127.8) (2 2 ) YoY chg (%) - 7.9% 36.1% - 80.4% N/A NPM - reported 13.8% 22.5% 3.8% - 6.9% 72 13 3 20 Ne t profit - re c urring (199) 23.0% 10 7 3 (4 4 ) (0.3) 133.9% (3) 27 21.0% (3 5 ) YoY chg (%) 59.6% 27.4% - 72.0% N/A NPM - recurring 14.6% 23.5% 5.7% - 6.8% - 2.5% (126.2) (15 ) - 1.7% Source: RHB See important disclosures at the end of this report 2 Petro-King Oilfield Services (2178 HK) 6 January 2015 Figure 2: Changes to our forecasts (HKDm) FY 14 F FY 14 F New Old 106 126 51 63 Production enhancement 294 377 Oilfield project services 451 567 Consultancy services 113 FY 15 F FY 15 F New Old (15.8) 117 136 (20.0) 56 68 (22.2) 323 408 (20.5) 496 612 121 (6.7) 125 303 309 (1.8) 394 Tota l re ve nue 867 997 (13 . 1) 1, 0 14 COGS (685) (596) G ross profit 18 2 401 21.0% 40.2% Drilling Well completion Manufacturing & sales of tools & equipment GPM Chg% 14.9 (5 4 . 6 ) FY 16 F FY 16 F New Old (14.2) 135 147 (8.7) (18.5) 64 74 (13.2) (20.8) 371 440 (15.6) (19.1) 570 661 (13.8) 134 (6.7) 137 147 (6.7) 401 (1.8) 434 442 (1.8) (11. 6 ) 1, 14 1 1, 2 5 0 (8 . 7 ) 1, 14 7 (720) (640) 294 508 29.0% 44.2% Chg% 12.6 (4 2 . 0 ) (764) (672) 376 578 33.0% 46.2% Chg% 13.7 (3 4 . 9 ) Distribution expenses (17) (17) (0.7) (20) (20) 1.0 (23) (22) 4.2 Marketing expenses (26) (30) (13.1) (30) (34) (11.6) (34) (37) (8.7) R&D (17) (20) (13.1) (20) (23) (11.6) (23) (25) (8.7) Other expenses (admin) (95) (110) (13.1) (112) (126) (11.6) (125) (137) (8.7) O pe ra ting e xpe nse s (15 6 ) (17 7 ) (11.8) (18 3 ) (2 0 4 ) (10.4) (2 0 5 ) (2 2 2 ) (7.5) Opex as % of revenue 18.0% 17.8% 18.0% 17.8% 18.0% 17.8% (40) (40) - (64) (64) - (88) (88) (3) (3) - 2 2 - 2 2 50 243 86 271 5.0% 21.2% 7.5% 21.7% D&A Others O pe ra ting profit Operating margin (17 ) - 2.0% Interest income Finance cost EBT EBT margin Effective tax rate NPM (reported) 7 - 7 7 - 7 7 (19) - (17) (17) - (17) (17) 5 18.9% 2 Ne t profit - re porte d (2 2 ) - 2.5% Ne t profit - re c urring 18.2% (15 ) 16 9 N/A 17.0% (32) N/A 18.9% (10) 12 8 N/A N/A 12.8% 13 5 NPM (recurring) - 1.7% 13.5% EP S - re c urring (0.01) 0.13 1080.4 1080.4 S ha re s outsta nding (mn) - ba sic a s a t 3 1 De c (79.2) 7 - 3.3% MI N/A (19) (2 9 ) Income tax 18 1 N/A 40 232 3.9% 20.2% (8) (44) 18.9% 18.9% (2) (13) 30 17 5 3.0% 15.3% 30 17 5 3.0% 15.3% N/A 0.02 0.17 - 1234.7 1080.4 (82.8) (82.8) (82.8) (82.8) (82.8) 75 260 6.6% 20.8% (14) (49) 18.9% 18.9% (4) (15) 57 19 6 5.0% 15.7% 57 19 6 5.0% 15.7% (85.5) 0.05 0.19 14.3 1234.7 1080.4 (68.3) (71.1) (71.1) (71.1) (71.1) (71.1) (75.7) 14.3 Source: RHB See important disclosures at the end of this report 3 Petro-King Oilfield Services (2178 HK) 6 January 2015 Rights offer raises concern over cash flow Rights offer raises concern over cash flow. Petro-King also announced that it will raise HKD151m through a rights offer at a price of HKD0.98 per rights share and on the basis of one rights share for every seven existing shares. Upon completion of the rights issue, its share capital will be enlarged by about 14% from 1,080.4m shares to 1,234.7m shares. We believe the rights offer is primarily driven by Petro-King’s tight cash flow position and negative outlook for operation in FY15. Yantai Jereh (002353 CH, NR) as an underwriter in the rights offer. Yantai Jereh (Jereh), a leading integrated oilfield equipment and services provider whose revenue is more than four times higher than Petro-King’s, joins the rights issue as an underwriter. Currently, Jereh holds 0.74% of Petro-King’s shares. In the event the rights shares cannot be fully sold, Jereh has a chance to raise its position in PetroKing to 5.44%. We see this as positive news, with the hope that Jereh may become a major shareholder of Petro-King. Share price rally on oil industry reform Optimism on oil industry ownership reform. On 5 Jan, shares of oilfield service providers rallied by 7-13% (Petro-King was up by 10%), stimulated by news reports that CNPC has kicked off a mixed-ownership reform. According to Xinjiang local media, CNPC kicked off a mixed-ownership reform in Xinjiang with its sales marketing branch. On 1 Jan, CNPC officially changed the status of its sales marketing company in Xinjiang from a branch company to a locally-registered limited liability company, paving the way for future joint-venture cooperation with local companies in Xinjiang. Another news report by China Securities Daily also indicates that there will be more bold reform actions in 2015 to encourage private capital to participate in upstream E&P operations. If this materialises, we expect the mixedownership reform of China’s oil industry, particularly in the upstream E&P sector, to revive investments in the field and benefit oilfield service providers. Reduce earnings forecasts, maintain NEUTRAL Cut earnings forecasts, maintain NEUTRAL. We slash our recurring net profit forecasts for FY14/FY15/FY16 by 111%, 83% and 71% respectively. Given the company’s highly volatile earnings, we change our valuation to P/BV from P/E-based. Our new TP of HKD1.22 is based on 0.7x FY15F P/BV, 2SD below its forward P/BV mean. We believe this is justified by Petro-King's more uncertain earnings outlook. However, as its share price has dropped by about 9% since the announcement of the profit warning, we believe the negatives have been priced in, and we see its earnings returning to net profit in FY15. Thus, we maintain our NEUTRAL rating. Figure 3: Forward P/BV band 7 Share Price (HKD) 6 5 +2SD = 2.8x 4 +1SD = 2.3x Mean = 1.8x 3 -1SD = 1.3x 2 -2SD = 0.7x 1 0 Mar-13 Jun-13 Sep-13 Dec-13 Mar-14 Jun-14 Sep-14 Dec-14 Source: Bloomberg, RHB See important disclosures at the end of this report 4 Petro-King Oilfield Services (2178 HK) 6 January 2015 Figure 4: Peer Comparison Com pany Ticker Petro-King 2178 HK Price Mkt cap (USDm ) 1.21 169 3-m th avg t/o (USDm ) 0.3 P/E Hist (x) P/E FY1 (x) P/E EPS FY1 EPS FY2 3-Yr EPS PEG Div yld Div yld P/BV P/BV Rev FY2 YoY% YoY% Cagr (%) (x) Hist (%) FY1 (%) Hist FY1 Hist (x) (x) (x) (USDm ) 6.1 (85.9) 49.6 10.0 9.7 (106.8) (5.9) N/A 4.1 N/A 0.6 0.6 12.1 (1.0) 4.3 2.5 3.8 3.7 1.3 1.2 13.3 11.5 9.9 7.9 1.0 3.6 4.0 1.3 1.1 15.1 14.3 14.4 11.6 1.1 1.6 2.2 2.3 2.0 14.5 14.8 6.6 1.3 2.6 2.0 1.6 1.5 15.7 0.4 3.8 3.7 1.2 1.0 (10.6) N/A 3.6 1.3 1.5 1.4 HSI 23,721 HSCEI 12,207 8.5 8.0 7.2 7.3 CSI300 3,642 16.1 13.3 11.6 21.6 13.2 13.8 12.4 29.5 (4.4) Adjusted sector avg* 10.7 10.2 (65.7) 1.3 137 GPM Net ROE ROE Hist m argin Hist (%) FY1 (%) (%) Hist (%) N/A 18.5 23.6 13.2 16.2 13.9 386 N/A 12.5 16.9 16.5 407 44.3 15.1 11.4 6.0 4,399 N/A 24.5 20.4 18.6 44.3 17.4 16.2 13.7 HK listed oil & gas services Spt Energy Group 1251 HK 1.69 334 2.1 6.9 6.6 5.3 3.6 25.0 Anton Oilfield 3337 HK 1.87 533 7.4 8.4 31.9 16.5 (73.6) 93.6 China Oilfield-H 2883 HK 13.98 13,806 41.7 7.5 6.8 7.2 10.6 (5.8) 2.4 2.8 3.8 4.3 1.2 1.2 7.6 15.1 9.7 (19.8) 37.6 2.5 1.6 3.7 3.1 1.3 1.2 Average US oil & gas services Schlumberger Ltd SLB US 85.67 110,240 944.0 16.8 15.4 16.8 9.0 (7.8) 3.1 5.0 1.9 1.9 2.7 2.7 45,266 21.9 14.9 17.3 17.5 Halliburton Co 39.49 33,466 1,057.6 16.7 10.0 11.7 67.3 (14.7) 16.5 0.6 1.6 1.6 2.2 2.1 29,402 15.2 7.2 24.0 22.9 Baker Hughes Inc BHI US 56.17 24,299 514.3 22.7 14.5 17.4 56.9 (16.6) 12.4 1.2 1.1 1.1 1.3 1.3 22,364 17.0 4.9 7.3 9.1 Weatherford Inte WFT US 11.65 9,015 176.1 N/A 11.3 12.1 N/A (6.8) (234.8) N/A N/A 0.0 1.1 1.1 15,263 19.4 (2.3) (4.6) 6.5 18.7 12.8 14.5 44.4 (11.5) (50.7) 2.3 1.5 1.1 1.8 1.8 18.4 6.2 11.0 14.0 HAL US Average A-share oil & gas services Yantai Jereh-A 002353 CH 31.74 4,898 70.3 28.9 20.8 14.8 38.5 40.4 38.3 0.5 0.5 0.7 3.9 3.6 590 43.26 26.84 22.76 22.74 China Oil Hbp-A 002554 CH 10.93 801 16.5 47.5 34.9 25.0 36.1 39.9 33.6 1.0 0.5 1.3 3.7 3.5 152 27.34 10.88 8.92 10.09 Gi Technologie-A 300309 CH 18.82 657 9.3 55.4 41.2 29.3 34.4 40.7 37.0 1.1 0.5 0.4 3.3 3.1 37 55.92 31.50 6.05 7.57 43.9 32.3 23.0 36.3 40.3 36.3 0.9 0.5 0.8 3.6 3.4 42.2 23.1 12.6 13.5 Average Oil equipm ents Hilong Holding 1623 HK 2.03 444 3.2 7.9 6.9 5.9 14.3 16.0 14.7 0.5 3.8 4.4 1.0 0.9 394 40.29 14.05 16.30 14.32 Honghua Group 196 HK 1.08 451 1.9 5.1 6.8 5.8 (24.7) 16.4 (0.4) N/A 5.6 4.3 0.6 0.6 1,294 23.68 6.68 10.73 8.43 6.5 6.8 5.9 (5.2) 16.2 4.7 4.3 0.8 0.7 32.0 10.4 13.5 11.4 Average 7.2 0.5 * adjusted sector average includes only HK and US listed oil & gas servicing companies Source: Bloomberg, RHB See important disclosures at the end of this report 5 Petro-King Oilfield Services (2178 HK) 6 January 2015 Financial Exhibits Profit & Loss (HKDm) Total turnover Dec-12 Dec-13 Dec-14F Dec-15F Dec-16F 1,057 1,060 867 1,014 1,141 Cost of sales (598) (497) (581) (599) (627) Gross profit 459 563 286 416 513 Gen & admin expenses (19) (28) (40) (64) (88) Selling expenses (23) (19) (17) (20) (23) (218) (249) (243) (284) (319) Operating profit 199 267 (14) 48 83 Operating EBITDA 218 295 38 124 184 Other operating costs Depreciation of fixed assets (7) (26) (39) (64) (88) Amortisation of intangible assets (12) (2) (13) (13) (13) Operating EBIT 199 267 (14) 48 - - Net income from investments (0) Other recurring income - 83 - (7) 3 (3) 2 Interest income 0 13 7 7 7 Interest expense (8) (13) (19) (17) (17) - - Other non-recurring income - - Pre-tax profit 232 270 (29) 40 75 Taxation (46) (49) 5 (8) (14) Minority interests 48 2 (15) 2 (2) (4) Profit after tax & minorities 180 (6) 207 (22) 30 57 Reported net profit 180 207 (22) 30 57 Recurring net profit 149 205 (15) 30 57 Dec-12 Dec-13 Dec-14F Dec-15F Dec-16F 199 267 (14) 48 83 19 28 52 76 100 (46) (674) Source: Company data, RHB Cash flow (HKDm) Operating profit Depreciation & amortisation Change in working capital Other operating cash flow Operating cash flow Interest received Interest paid 2 (8) 173 (387) 1,406 (1,474) (3) 1,442 (1,347) 0 13 7 7 7 (13) (19) (17) (17) (35) (37) 5 (8) Cash flow from operations 131 (424) 1,435 (1,365) (136) (403) (23) 172 (159) (231) (200) Dividends paid (13) (120) (53) Proceeds from issue of shares 441 948 Other investing cash flow Cash flow from investing activities Increase in debt Other financing cash flow 95 (430) 35 - (200) - (200) - (200) 6 (8) - - 137 - - - - - 863 84 6 Cash at beginning of period 73 137 345 1,665 Total cash generated 64 209 1,319 (1,559) Forex effects (0) - - - 345 (200) - 92 137 (14) 1,504 - (200) Cash flow from financing activities Implied cash at end of period 2 1,528 (8) Tax paid Capex 1,342 2 1,665 106 (8) 106 1,296 1,401 Source: Company data, RHB See important disclosures at the end of this report 6 Petro-King Oilfield Services (2178 HK) 6 January 2015 Financial Exhibits Balance Sheet (HKDm) Dec-12 Dec-13 Dec-14F Dec-15F Dec-16F Total cash and equivalents 172 506 1,825 266 1,562 Inventories 163 299 (132) 305 Accounts receivable 650 1,004 (197) 1,142 Other current assets 106 146 83 97 109 Total current assets 1,091 1,955 1,579 1,810 1,469 Tangible fixed assets 168 309 470 606 718 Intangible assets 572 570 557 544 532 2 15 15 15 15 742 894 1,042 1,165 1,265 Total other assets Total non-current assets Total assets (123) (79) 1,832 2,849 2,621 2,975 2,734 Short-term debt 199 233 371 371 371 Accounts payable 298 243 (44) 268 (32) Other current liabilities 233 132 131 135 141 Total current liabilities 730 609 458 773 479 Other liabilities 12 15 15 15 15 Total non-current liabilities 12 15 15 15 15 Total liabilities 741 624 472 788 494 Share capital 672 1,635 1,635 1,635 1,635 Retained earnings reserve 330 520 445 481 530 50 36 36 36 36 1,053 2,191 2,116 2,152 2,200 35 33 35 39 0 (0) Other reserves Shareholders' equity Minority interests 38 Other equity - - Total equity 1,091 2,226 2,149 2,187 2,240 0 Total liabilities & equity 1,832 2,849 2,621 2,975 2,734 Source: Company data, RHB Key Ratios (HKD) Dec-12 Dec-13 Dec-14F Dec-15F Dec-16F Revenue growth (%) 89.0 0.3 (18.2) 17.0 12.4 Operating profit growth (%) 83.7 34.5 (105.2) 0.0 73.6 Net profit growth (%) 128.4 14.9 (110.6) 0.0 88.5 EPS growth (%) 127.2 (13.3) (110.1) 0.0 88.5 7.0 46.2 (4.5) (11.0) 2.3 Operating margin (%) 18.8 25.2 (1.6) 4.7 7.3 Net profit margin (%) 17.0 19.5 (2.5) 3.0 5.0 Return on average assets (%) 11.7 8.8 (0.8) 1.1 2.0 Return on average equity (%) 17.7 12.7 (1.0) 1.4 2.6 2.5 (12.3) (67.7) 4.8 (53.2) 0.18 (0.43) 1.38 (1.11) 1.22 Bv per share growth (%) Net debt to equity (%) Recurrent cash flow per share Source: Company data, RHB See important disclosures at the end of this report 7 Petro-King Oilfield Services (2178 HK) 6 January 2015 SWOT Analysis The only China-based oilfield service company with turbine drilling technology Failure of payment by PDVSA Strong ties with Sinopec, winning a large number of multi-stage fracking jobs in bidding Foreign oilfield service companies bolstering business development in China Developing in-house oil servicing tools to enhance cost competitiveness Possibly larger exploration and production (E&P) spending by the new Venezuelan Government Severe global economic slowdown may derail capex spending among national oil companies Strong demand for stimulation services due to newly-found low permeability oil and gas resources High reliance on Sinopec and PDVSA A relatively short track record P/E (x) vs EPS growth P/BV (x) vs ROAE 15% 140 1600% 1 13% 120 1300% 1 10% 100 1000% 1 8% 80 700% 0 5% 60 400% 0 3% 40 100% 0 0% 20 -200% 0 -3% 0 -500% 0 -5% P/E (x) (lhs) EPS growth (rhs) Source: Company data, RHB Jan-13 P/B (x) (lhs) Jan-16 1 Jan-15 1900% Jan-14 18% 160 Jan-12 1 Jan-16 2200% Jan-15 20% 180 Jan-14 1 Jan-13 2500% Jan-12 200 Return on average equity (rhs) Source: Company data, RHB Company Profile Petro-King Oilfield Services is an independent oilfield service company that provides high-end services to national oil companies in China and other countries. Founded in 2002, the company has grown from a consultant to a vertically-integrated oilfield service provider with production lines of packers, valves and control panels in Singapore and Shenzhen to support its well completion and production enhancement services. See important disclosures at the end of this report 8 Petro-King Oilfield Services (2178 HK) 6 January 2015 Recommendation Chart Price Close 2.10 3.38 4.47 4.20 6.20 Recommendations & Target Price na 6.50 5.50 4.50 3.50 2.50 1.50 Buy 0.50 Mar-13 Neutral Sell Aug-13 Trading Buy Feb-14 Take Prof it Not Rated Aug-14 Source: RHB, Bloomberg Date Recommendation Target Price Price 2014-08-28 Neutral 2.10 2.26 2014-03-24 Neutral 3.38 3.50 2013-12-13 Neutral 4.47 4.32 2013-11-15 Neutral 4.47 4.10 2013-08-27 Neutral 4.47 4.06 2013-07-22 Neutral 4.20 3.60 2013-05-29 Neutral 6.20 6.07 Source: RHB, Bloomberg See important disclosures at the end of this report 9 RHB Guide to Investment Ratings Buy: Share price may exceed 10% over the next 12 months Trading Buy: Share price may exceed 15% over the next 3 months, however longer-term outlook remains uncertain Neutral: Share price may fall within the range of +/- 10% over the next 12 months Take Profit: Target price has been attained. Look to accumulate at lower levels Sell: Share price may fall by more than 10% over the next 12 months Not Rated: Stock is not within regular research coverage Disclosure & Disclaimer All research is based on material compiled from data considered to be reliable at the time of writing, but RHB does not make any representation or warranty, express or implied, as to its accuracy, completeness or correctness. No part of this report is to be construed as an offer or solicitation of an offer to transact any securities or financial instruments whether referred to herein or otherwise. This report is general in nature and has been prepared for information purposes only. It is intended for circulation to the clients of RHB and its related companies. Any recommendation contained in this report does not have regard to the specific investment objectives, financial situation and the particular needs of any specific addressee. 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