CORPORATE UPDATE March 2015 Contents Tethys Petroleum Overview • • Vision, Strategy, Investment, Achievement & Value Reserves, Production & Resources – All time high & organic growth Tethys Kazakhstan • • • HanHong Farm Out – Transformational Deal Gas Growth Story – Akkulka & Kyzyloi Oil – Production and Exploration potential (Akkulka, Kul-Bas – Klymene Prospect) Tethys Tajikistan – Jewel in Tethys Crown • (Exceptional Resources, world class basin, global partnership) Tethys Georgia Tethys Investment for the future – SinoHan Deal Funds Utilization/Capex plans. Disclaimer Appendix 2 Tethys Petroleum Overview 3 Tethys Vision and Strategy is to become the leading Independent E&P “ “ Tethys Petroleum's Vision Company in Central Asia, by exercising capital discipline, by generating cash flow from existing discoveries and by maturing large exploration prospects within our highly-attractive frontier acreage. Our Strategy • • • • • • is to Be recognised as an ethically-responsible, transparent company, delivering safe, reliable, operations through a culture of safety & performance related delivery. Focus on cost structures and capital efficiency - Actively manage our portfolio by farming down / reducing our capital commitment whilst retaining materiality Increase production, revenue and cash flow from existing discovered reserves and monetize low risk gas and oil prospects Explore for ‘elephant’ prospects with ‘company making’ potential within existing acreage Ultimately look to supply the growing energy demand of China Combine international technical and management expertise with a strong local team New Executive Chairman, John Bell, on behalf of the Board of Directors of Tethys Petroleum Limited. 4 Investment case New Board with focus on a performance-based culture and shareholder value Current production capacity 5,000 boepd, (60% gas, 40% oil) with funded plans to grow this in 2015. 2P reserves of 27.08 MM boe, recoverable prospective resources of 10 billion boe* Supermajor partners in world class basins Intense focus on further G&A reductions in 2015 Near term value enhancing triggers § China gas pipeline to drive demand and pricing further § $75 MM capital injection from SinoHan or KazMuniaGaz farm-out § Extensive development and exploration work programme § Kazakhstan: § Drill shallow gas production and exploration wells § 3D Seismic program § Klymene oil exploration well § Tajikistan: § Seismic program * Unrisked Mean Prospective Resources as audited by Gustavson Associates as at April 2012. See “Basis of Presentation of Prospective Recoverable Resources” on page 31 5 New Team – First 100 days…. Corporate Corporate G&A* forecast reduction to • Re-balance of Board/ Executive Chairman • G&A and BD forecast reduction to $10.5 MM (from $20.6 MM) by end 2015* • $6 MM loan completed • Head count reduction of 21% since October 2014 Kazakhstan • New infrastructure, on time/budget, zero LTI’s • Doubled gas production Q1 2015 (520 MCM/day) • 2015 gas sales contract, 42% increase in pricing • Extension Akkulka Exploration Contract - 4-years • Extension Kyzyloi Gas Production Contract – 15-years $10.5 $6 MM* MM loan financing completed • Production Expense reduced: $13.5MMà$11.2MM (17%)** Tajikistan • Decreased G&A for JV • Reduced 2015 commitment from $24MM à c.$15MM • Farm Out process commenced Georgia • Restructured Georgian project/commenced farm-out process *On annualized basis Inc. BD **Expected annualized basis. See “Forward Looking Statements”. All $ figures are USD 6 Tethys G&A* 2014 $20.6 Total 2015 Estimated MM Target* $10.5 Total MM (annualised basis) *Inc. BD. Based on annualized basis. See “Forward Looking Statements”. 7 TPL Share Price (Net Asset Value) 0.60 TPL: Net Asset Value 0.50 GBP/Share 0.40 0.30 0.20 0.10 0.40 Current TPL Share Price 0.00 Cash End Jan MV Kazakhstan MV Tajikistan 2015 Georgia historical Costs MV Rigs less: loans & advances less: G&A Total Core NAV • Share of GBP 0.40/share based on Net Asset Value of $212.25 MM • Current share price: GBP 0.09/share (USD/GBP: 1.58) • Does not include value for Klymene exploration well or Tajikistan exploration well Company calculations. Please see appendix for assumptions underlying calculations of Market Value (MV) and Total Core NAV 8 Tethys Assets/Strategic Partnerships Kazakhstan • Oil and Gas Production • Sale of 50% to SinoHan (HanHong SPV - Beijing private equity) for $75 MM • Completion subject to receipt of final government consents • 27.08 MM BOE 2P Reserves*, 1.3 Billion bbls Prospective Resources** (gross pre-sale of 50%) • Growing gas production – mid-term goal to supply to China at higher prices • Integrating HSSE in the business and the company culture • Exciting oil exploration – Klymene 422 MM bbls prospective resources** drill ready Tajikistan • High impact exploration in world class basin • 113.9 tcf (3.22 tcm) prospective resources** of natural gas (32.3 tcf net to Tethys) • 8.5 billion barrels of oil/condensate (2.4 billion barrels net to Tethys) • CNPC and Total partners, Joint Operating Company • Total and CNPC, 33% each; Tethys net interest 28.33% (local partners 5%) Georgia • 3.2 billion boe prospective resources** (1.58 billion** net to Tethys) • Tethys reduced funding obligation and equity reduced to 49% (from 56%) • Farm out plan commenced *Proven and Probable reserves as audited by Gustavson (as at 31/12/14) ** Gross Unrisked Mean Prospective Resources as audited by Gustavson Associates. See “Basis of Presentation of Prospective Recoverable Resources” on page 31 9 Gross Reserves at December 31st 2014 (NI 51-101) Reserves Category Oil & Condensate (MMbbl) Gas (Bcf) BOE (MMboe) BOE NPV 10% After Tax ($MM) Total Proved 6.56 60.36 16.62 $108.32 Total Proved + Probable 12.36 88.29 27.08 $185.86 Total Proved + Probable + Possible 20.55 124.56 41.31 $287.13 The figures are prepared by Gustavson Associates in accordance with the NI 51-101 standard and are for Kazakhstan only. All figures are Gross to Tethys with the numbers being pre-SinoHan transaction completing, Gross implying before the application of Kazakhstan Mineral Extraction Tax (MET). 10 Gross Production & Reserves TPL Gross Production & NI 51-101 Reserves - Kazakhstan Business Unit - MM boe • 1P Proved reserves up 17% à 16.62 MM boe 50 Possible • Highest 1P volume in Tethys history. Probable 40 Proven • 2P Proved + Probable up 6% à27.08 MM boe • 3P Proved + Possible + Probable up 2% à 41.31 MM boe MM boe • 40% of total reserves Cumulative Production 30 20 10 • Increase of 1.52 MM boe in 2014 – after production 0 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 Year 11 Resources Unrisked Mean Prospective Recoverable Resources Kazakhstan Oil & Condensate (MMbbl) Gas (Bcf) BOE (MMboe) 1,230 634 1,336 2,411 32,272 7,790 1,427 889 1,576 5,068 33,795 10,702 (as of April 2012 – pre SinoHan transaction) Tajikistan (as of June 2012) Georgia (as of July 2013) Total The resources numbers are evaluated in accordance with NI 51-101 standard. See “basis of preparation of prospective recoverable resources and possible reserves”. All figures are net to Tethys with Kazakhstan figures being pre-SinoHan transaction completing. 12 Kazakhstan 13 Kazakhstan North Ustyurt Assets BOZOI-BEYNEU-SHYMKENT PIPELINE TOWARDS CHINA* *Dotted line indicates pipeline under construction 14 Han Hong Farm-out – Transformational Deal Closure key priority of new management team Key Terms • TPL currently 100% owners • US$75 MM for 50% to SinoHan • First US$9million Work Program (WP) carry for TPL • SinoHan released US$3.88 MM deposit for WP • Extended contract to 1st May 2015 • Tethys remains as operator – joint board control Conditions Precedent Base Consideration $75 MM Released $3.88 MM Deposit • Article 36 pre-emption waiver § Currently waiting KazMunaiGaz decision (state appointed company), expected Q1 2015 • Antimonopoly Agency § Application Submitted and in process • National Bank of Kazakhstan (NBK) permissions § Listing of Tethys Kazakhstan SA (transaction entity) on Kazakhstan Stock Exchange required – documents being finalized for submission. 15 Gas Growth Story - Development Kyzyloi and Akkulka gas fields • Phase 1 Q4 2014 260 mcm/day • Phase 2 delivered Q1 2015 • 520 mcm/day (18.3 mmcf/day, 3,060 boe/day) • Completed pipeline and dehydrator infrastructure on time with zero LTI’s, • AKK 15,16,17,18 & 19 currently on production • Phase 3 on schedule – Q2/3 2015 • Put AKK14 and AKK05 on and add compressors to reach 570 mcm/day • Objective to maintain production throughout 2016 of c.560M mcm/day (natural 25% decline to be offset by more wells & compression) Gas sales • Increased gas price to US$75/mcm* (US$2.12/mcf) from January 2015 (by 42%) • Contract flexible should China gas sales commence in 2015 • Forecast materially higher prices upon commencement of gas sales to China *Contract denominated in Tenge fixed at year-end 2014 16 The Gas Growth Story - Kyzyloi Kyzyloi Gas Field • Contract recently extended to 31st December 2029 • KYZ110, KYZ112 production wells planned • Prospect E nearby Kyz-112 • Bright spots on seismic (2D) • High chance of success forecasted Kyz-110 Kyz Pros E 17 The Gas Growth Story - Akkulka Exp = Exploration prospects (most potential identified) Field = Development fields (drill ready) 18 The Gas Growth Story – Track record of exploration success Akkulka Gas • Very good exploration track record • 15 out of 20 successes, the last 13 consecutively • Circa 20 new prospects & leads identified • 4 drill ready in Akkulka field area • Bright spots on seismic • High chance of success forecasted • 3D seismic program planned 2015 in AKK Exp D,E,F No drilling pending higher gas price • Kyzyloi and Akkulka Proven + Probable 85.2 Bcf*(14.2 million boe) • Significant increase in well discovery following 2007 TPL modern seismic methodology * Gustavson Associates December 31st, 2014 19 Oil Production Oil production Doris oil field • Exploration success, first commercial oil discovery in area • Cretaceous Sandstone and Jurassic Carbonate • Doris sand at around 2,200 metres • Current production capability ~2,000 bopd • Light (46 API°), sweet crude oil Dione oil field • Jurassic Sandstone at around 2,500 metres Oil sales • Currently domestic sales only • Current pricing <$15/barrel net at field • Recent opex optimisation ensures still profitable • Q1 sales restricted by seasonal weather • Continue to produce but no more CAPEX until prices recover 20 Akkulka / Kul-Bas Area Deeper Oil and Gas Exploration 21 Klymene Prospect – Planned drilling 2015 Gross Unrisked Mean Prospective Resources (Gustavson) • Up to 422 MM barrels oil (106 MM barrels risked)* Defined on newly shot seismic • • • • Good four way dip closure Upper Aptian P50 Up to 130 MM barrels Mid Aptian Up to 213 MM barrels Jurassic Up to 78 MM barrels 422 Up to MM Barrels oil Potential at several levels • Well TD up to 2750m – Forecast cost of $7.3MM • Cretaceous sands (multiple) • Jurassic carbonate & Jurassic sands *.See “Basis of Presentation of Prospective Recoverable Resources” on page 31 22 Tajikistan 23 Amu Darya – World Class Basin S YOLOTAN 21.2 Tcm (749 Tcf)* YASHLAR 5.5 Tcm (176 Tcf)* DAULETABAD 1.7 Tcm (60 Tcf) All figures depicted in the map above are the resource estimate sourced from Gaffney, Cline and Associates or the report entitled "Petroleum Geology and Resources of the Amu-Darya Basin, Turkmenistan, Uzbekistan, Afghanistan and Iran, US Geological Survey" dated 2004. 24 Tajikistan: the “Jewel in the Tethys Crown” “Early mover” advantage § Tethys entered Tajikistan in 2007 Acquired large acreage • Bokhtar PSC, approximately 36,000 km2 (8.9 million acres) • 25 year initial term • Exceptional commercial terms § 91% of gas/oil in cost recovery stage § 70% of gas/oil in profit stage • Afghan-Tajik portion of the prolific Amu Darya basin Potential in deeper section for super-giant discoveries • Sub-salt Jurassic carbonate plays & Lower Cretaceous sands 25 Tajik Exploration – Exceptional Resource Base Gross 27.5 billion barrels oil equivalent1 comprising § 113.9 tcf1 (3.22 tcm) of natural gas § 8.51 billion barrels of oil/condensate § Gross mean unrisked prospective resources greater than the estimated remaining potential of UKCS2 § Net to Tethys 32.2 tcf gas and 2.4 billion bbls oil § Based on seismic (wide line 2D), graviometry, well data & field outcrops § Mainly in deep targets (likely gas condensate) 113.9 8.5 Tcf of natural gas Billion barrels of oil/ condensate Gross unrisked mean recoverable prospective resources from independent report prepared in accordance with Canadian NI 51-101 by Gustavson Associates (USA) – June 30, 2012, see “Basis of Preparation of Prospective Recoverable Resources and Possible Reserves” on page 31. 2 Oil & Gas UK forecasts between 14 and 24 billion barrels oil equivalent still to be recovered in the UK Continental Shelf (UKCS) 1 26 Bokhtar PSC Partnership Partners with Total and CNPC - Joint Operating Company (BOC) § 2013 Farm in to Tethys project § TPL, Total 33%, CNPC 33% § § § § Tethys net 28.33%, local partners 5% Excellent working relationship Each partner provides unique contribution 88.89% of first $80MM work programme funded by partners and 11.11% funded by Tethys § Value added through set up of trading operating company, commencement of work programs, establishment of supply chains, logistics etc § Currently acquiring 826km 2D Seismic program 27 Georgia Projects – in Kura Basin Partners with Georgian Oil and Gas (“GOG”) § § § § Tethys 49%, GOG 51% Block XIA, Block XIM, Block XIN Good potential acreage with both conventional and unconventional plays 1.6 Billion boe net unrisked mean prospective resources Currently being evaluated with the intention to farm down interest or sell. 1.6 49% 51% Billion boe net unrisked mean prospective resources* Tethys GOG * Unrisked Mean Prospective Resources as audited by Gustavson Associates as at July 2013. See “Basis of Presentation of Prospective Recoverable Resources” on page 31 28 Investment case New Board with focus on a performance-based culture and shareholder value Current production capacity 5,000 boepd, (60% gas, 40% oil) with funded plans to grow this in 2015. 2P reserves of 27.08 MM boe, recoverable prospective resources of 10 billion boe* Supermajor partners in world class basins Intense focus on further G&A reductions in 2015 Near term value enhancing triggers § China gas pipeline to drive demand and pricing further § $75 MM capital injection from SinoHan or KazMuniaGaz farm-out § Extensive development and exploration work programme § Kazakhstan: § Drill shallow gas production and exploration wells § 3D Seismic program § Klymene oil exploration well § Tajikistan: § Seismic program * Unrisked Mean Prospective Resources as audited by Gustavson Associates as at April 2012. See “Basis of Presentation of Prospective Recoverable Resources” on page 31 29 2015 Work Programme – Capex Minimum Total Requirements Kazakhstan Capex * 41.9 Tajikistan Capex** 15 Georgia Capex** TOTAL 2015 Capex 0.9 57.8 5 0.9 5.9 Exploration Development 21.3 15 36.3 Infrastructure & Other 4.4 11.2 4.4 11.2 *Main capital expenditure items – the Kyzyloi/Akkulka gas development & exploration program and the Kul-Bas exploration program Note: $21.3 MM Kaz exploration includes Kyzyloi/Akkulka Gas exploration – i.e. Low risk exploration (13 consecutive successes). *Capital expenditure programme contingent on closing of SinoHan Deal. Tethys funding 50% of the total $42 MM **Tethys share of costs as per the JV. Includes Taj JV G&A 30 Disclaimer and Forward Looking Statements All material information presented herein has been derived from Tethys Petroleum Limited’s (the “Company”) public disclosure documents filed with the Canadian securities regulatory authorities (which are available at www.sedar.com) and must be read in conjunction therewith (including the risk factors in the latest AIF). This presentation does not constitute an offer to issue or sell any of the securities of the Company nor does it constitute a recommendation regarding any of the securities of the Company. You are encouraged to seek individual advice from your personal, financial, legal, tax and other advisers before making any investment or financial decisions regarding subscribing for or purchasing any securities of the Company. 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It is a condition of your receiving this document that you represent and warrant to the Company and the Agent that (i) you are a Relevant Person; and (ii) you have read and agree to comply with the contents of this notice. Any investment activity to which this presentation relates in the United Kingdom is available to, and will only be engaged with such persons and this presentation should not be acted or relied upon in the United Kingdom by persons of any other description. This presentation should not be considered as the giving of investment advice by the Agent. Each party to whom this presentation is made available must make its own independent assessment of the Company after making such investigations and taking such advice as may be deemed necessary. In particular, any estimates or projections or opinions contained herein necessarily involve significant elements of subjective judgment, analysis and assumption and each recipient should satisfy itself in relation to such matters. The Agent is acting exclusively for the Company and no one else in connection with the proposed placing and will not regard any other person (whether or not a recipient of this document) as a client in relation to such matters and will not be responsible to any other person for providing the protections afforded to its clients, or for providing advice in connection with the proposed private placement, or any other matters referred to in this document. Additional information in respect of the Company’s projects in Georgia, Kazakhstan, Tajikistan and Uzbekistan including location, area, geologic age and lithology, depth, estimated costs and oil and gas marketing information, appears in the Company’s Annual Information Form dated March 31, 2014 available on the Company’s website. Barrels of oil equivalent (“BOE”) may be misleading, particularly if used in isolation. A BOE conversion ratio of 6 Mcf: 1bbl is based on an energy equivalency conversion method primarily applicable at the burner tip and does not represent a value equivalency at the wellhead. BASIS OF PRESENTATION OF PROSPECTIVE RECOVERABLE RESOURCES AND POSSIBLE RESERVES References to "Prospective Recoverable Resources" means those quantities of petroleum estimated, as of July 1, 2013 in respect of Project Iberia (Georgia), January 15, 2014 in respect of the Klymene prospect (Kazakhstan), April 30, 2012 in respect of Akkulka (Kazakhstan) and Kul-Bas (Kazakhstan), and June 30, 2012 in respect of Bokhtar (Tajikistan) to be potentially recoverable from undiscovered accumulations by application of future development projects. Prospective resources have both an associated chance of discovery and a chance of development. There is no certainty that any portion of these resources will be discovered. If discovered, there is no certainty that it will be commercially viable to produce any portion of these resources. These are Unrisked Prospective Resources as of July 1, 2013 in respect of Project Iberia (Georgia), January 15, 2014 in respect of the Klymene prospect (Kazakhstan), April 30, 2012 in respect of Akkulka (Kazakhstan) and Kul-Bas (Kazakhstan), and June 30, 2012 in respect of Bokhtar (Tajikistan) that have not been risked for chance of discovery or chance of development. If a discovery is made, there is no certainty that it will be developed or, if it is developed, there is no certainty as to the timing of such development. 31 Disclaimer and Forward Looking Statements (continued) The resources estimates contained or referred to in this presentation are estimates only and are not meant to provide a determination as to the volume or value of hydrocarbons attributable to the Company’s properties. There are numerous uncertainties inherent in estimating quantities of resources, including many factors that are beyond the control of the Company. For a non-exhaustive list of factors which may have a significant impact on the estimates of prospective resources contained herein, see the Company’s Annual Information Form dated March 31, 2014 available on the Company’s website. Possible reserves are those additional reserves that are less certain to be recovered than probable reserves. There is a 10% probability that the quantities actually recovered will equal or exceed the sum of proved plus probable plus possible reserves. FORWARD LOOKING STATEMENTS This presentation contains forward-looking statements that are generally identifiable by terms such as anticipated, believe, budget, intend, estimate, expect, outlook, plan or other similar words and includes projected G&A Expenses for 2015 and the expected sale of a 50% interest in the Companys Kazakhstan assets. Also, information relating to reserves and resources is deemed to be forward looking-statements, as it involves the implied assessment, based on certain estimates and assumptions, that the reserves and resources described exist in the quantities predicted or estimated, and can be profitably produced in the future. The reader is cautioned that assumptions used in the preparation of such information, although considered reasonable at the time of preparation, may prove to be incorrect, including the Companys ability to reduce its G&A costs for 2015 and future periods by the amount stated and that the sale of a 50% interest in the Companys Kazakhstan assets will be completed by April 30, 2015. Actual results will vary from the information provided herein as a result of numerous known and unknown risks and uncertainties and other factors. Such factors include those described in the Company’s Annual Information Form dated March 31, 2014 and include but are not limited to: general economic, market and business conditions; fluctuations in oil and gas prices, the results of exploration and drilling and related activities; fluctuations in foreign currency exchange rates; the uncertainty of reserve estimates; changes in environmental and other regulations; risks associated with oil and gas operations; that approvals for the sale of a 50% interest in the Company’s Kazakhstan assets will not be obtained and the risk that the Company will not be successful in all aspects of its cost reduction strategy; and other factors, many of which are beyond the control of the Company. 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IN THIS PRESENTATION ALL FINANCIAL FIGURES ARE IN US$ UNLESS OTHERWISE STATED 32 APPENDIX 33 New Tethys Board Executive Chairman John Bell Chief Executive Officer Julian Hammond Chief Financial Officer Denise Lay Non-Executive Director Non-Executive Director David R. Botting David R. Henderson Non-Executive Director Jim Rawls Non-Executive Director Non-Executive Director Marcus Rhodes J. David M. Roberts Joined 2014 34 TPL Net Asset Value Value (US$m) Value (GBPm) MV Kazakhstan MV Tajikistan Georgia historical Costs MV Rigs Cash less: loans & advances Less: G&A 160 45.75 12 15 7 (17) (10.5) 101.27 28.96 7.59 9.49 4.43 (10.76) (6.64) TOTAL Number of Outstanding Shares Value/Share 212.25 134.33 336 0.40 35 0.63 § Net Asset Value based on Market Value of Assets as calculated by Company: US$ 212.25m* § US$ /Share: 0.63 § GBP/Share: 0.40 (GBP/USD:1.58) * See assumptions on next page 35 TPL Net Asset Value MV Kazakhstan • Based on SinoHan transaction plus $10 million loan funded to date MV Tajikistan • Based on Total and CNPC farm-in deal value & back costs till December 2014. • $63M paid for 66.66% of Tajikistan; therefore 100% = $94.5M. • 100% of costs from inception to End of December 2014 = $41.2M. • Total: $135.7M • TPL Participating Interest (28.33%) = $38.44M • Add: Remaining Carry $7.31M (85% of $8.6M) • TPL Share: $45.75M MV Georgia • Based on investment to date (including Farm In consideration of $9.6M) MV Rigs • Market Value of Rigs (Independent Appraisal of $15M in 2014) Cash • Current cash balance Loans and advances • $6 million loan, Rig loan, released escrow funds Less G&A • One year 36 Bokhtar 2015/16 Work programme 2015/16 WP § Phase 1 (of 2) - an 826km 2D wide line seismic survey expected to finish in H2 2015 § Magnetotelluric acquisition § Jurassic petroleum geological survey § Cretaceous petroleum geological survey § Field work, G&G studies, well log digitization etc. § Reinterpretation and integration of previous Tethys (2009) seismic into model § JV Partners expect to receive the first fully processed data in late March 2015 and then in batches from September – November 2015 § Phase 2 of the wide line seismic survey planned to commence in Q4 2015 § All BOC and JV partners aim to have agreed a preferred first drilling location based on mapping by end 2015 37 Proven Drilling Track Record - Kazakhstan Kazakhstan Exploration Wells Kazakhstan Deep Wells 2800 140 2700 120 100 2600 80 2500 5000 300 4500 250 4000 3500 200 3000 2500 60 2400 40 2300 20 2200 0 AKD02 AKD04 AKD05 AKD06 AKD07 AKD09 Depth Days 150 2000 100 1500 1000 50 500 0 0 AKD01 KBD01 Depth AKD08 Days AKD03 excluded as drilling plan changed during drilling operations 38 Tethys Petroleum Contacts Tethys Petroleum Investor Relations Sabin Rossi Vice President Investor Relations E-mail: srossi@tethyspetroleum.com Financial PR Corporate broker FirstEnergy “Capital LLP” Hugh Sanderson / David van Erp Office: + 44 207 448 0200 Camarco Billy Clegg/ Georgia Mann Office: + 44 20 3757 4983 Company electronic communication E-mail: info@tethyspetroleum.com Web: www.tethyspetroleum.com Mobile site: m.tethyspetroleum.com Ticker: TSX:TPL LSE:TPL 39 40 Tethys sponsored horse racing on the Steppe, Bozoi, Kazakhstan
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