Indonesia ASEANs Economic Powerhouse Indonesia ! With a population exceeding 250 million, making it the fourth most populous country in the world behind China, India and the US. Indonesia has a 2011 level of GDP per capita of $4,339 (in 2005 constant price purchasing power adjusted values). Irish exports to Indonesia amounted to €75.6 million in 2013. Its young population – the average age is 28 – and its rising consumer classes makes Indonesia a market of huge potential for Irish exports. ! Of the exports which were classified the main sectors are outlined in Figure 24 below! ! Figure 24 Ireland’s goods exports to Indonesia by goods category by main Category ! Category Value € million Dairy Products 13.2 Oils, Perfumes and Toiletries 12.7 Not Classified 49.7 Total* 75.6 Source: CSO 2013 Trade statistics.! *Total is non-additive in this table as some export destinations are excluded for presentation purposes! Imports of goods and services to Indonesia are, according to IMF forecasts, expected to grow by 52.2 per cent over the next five years, while manufacturing, agriculture and resources were amongst the strongest growth sectors during the last five years. © Asia Matters 2014 53 Indonesia, as the economic powerhouse of ASEAN, represents a great opportunity for Irish business. As cited earlier, McKinsey estimate that by 2030, Indonesia will become the 7th largest economy in the world. It predicts that Indonesia will have a consumer class of 135 million people and an urban population of 71%. In addition, McKinsey predict a $1.8 trillion market opportunity in services, agriculture and fisheries, resources and education. As mentioned above, there are huge opportunities for training and knowledge transfer from Ireland, as 20% of annual government spending is allotted to education and skills development for Indonesia’s young population. With this level of spending, a Government to Government Memorandum of Understanding between Ireland and Indonesia should help unlock major opportunities for Ireland’s education sector. ! In addition, Ireland’s competitive advantage in aviation finance will see opportunities as Indonesia’s aviation sector takes off. It is estimated that 229 new airports will be built in the country by 2030 and only last year a regional carrier, Lion Air, made the largest ever order of Airbus planes with a $24 billion investment for 234 planes.! Indonesia’s recent announcement to invest US$23 billion to upgrade broadband connectivity over the next 5 years will open up new opportunities for Ireland’s ICT sector.! Indonesia also plays an important role in driving economic activity across ASEAN, as the region approaches its 2015 deadline for the ASEAN Economic Community (AEC). Jakarta is home to the ASEAN Secretariat, a regional body with growing influence as a stakeholder in driving economic integration and convergence across the region.! At the EU level, Indonesia and EU have signed a comprehensive Partnership Cooperation Agreement (PCA) which came into force in 2014 following 5 years of negotiation. The agreement ensures greater cooperation across education, the environment, transport, health and civil society. Intensive talks have begun on opening negotiations for an EU Indonesia FTA. Indonesia also hosts the EU supported ASEAN IPR SME Helpdesk which provides assistance on IP protection for EU businesses in the region. In 2014, the EU announced it will create a post for EU Ambassador for ASEAN, which will undoubtedly improve cooperation between the two regions.! ! ! ! ! ! ! 54 © Asia Matters 2014 Indonesia Facts & Figures US$171.8 m Bilateral Trade with Ireland (2013) GDP (PPP) 2013: US$1.2 T GNP per capita: $4810 6.2% GDP growth Exports: 26.3% GDP The World s Most Stable Economy in the last 5 years The Economist▴ 1500000000 Billion US$ 12 1.4b 9 9.3 0 1.2b 1000000000 7.1 6 3 10.6 4 500000000 5.3 300m 0 Q1 2010 Q1 2011 Q1 2012 Q1 2013 Q1 2014 FDI has tripled since Q1 2010 China India US 240m Indonesia World s 4th most populous country ★ Population 250 m (2014) ★ Average age 28 ★ Rising middle class consumers Irish Trailblazers! Set up in 2010, Brandtone specialises in mobile solutions, brand marketing and is headquartered in Dublin with offices in 9 countries across the world - including China, India and Indonesia. They create large databases of permissioned brand shoppers to enable clients to engage with consumers via their mobiles. Working in emerging markets with high mobile and smart phone penetration, Brandtone have expanded to Indonesia in 2013 following a deal signed with Unilever in a bid to improve their reach via mobile marketing in key emerging markets. In terms of mobile internet access - Indonesia is the top country in Southeast Asia for mobile internet access per user. This is breeding a burgeoning e-commerce market that has opened opportunities for new players to enter the market. Through its groundbreaking ‘Konnect’ mobile marketing platform, Brandtone delivers instant insights into consumer behaviour and campaign results in the world’s fastest growing markets. 54 © Asia Matters 2014! ! © Asia Matters 2014 ! 55
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