CT6: CMP Upgrade 2014/15 Page 1 Subject CT6 CMP Upgrade 2014/15 CMP Upgrade This CMP Upgrade lists all significant changes to the Core Reading and the ActEd material since last year so that you can manually amend your 2014 study material to make it suitable for study for the 2015 exams. It includes replacement pages and additional pages where appropriate. Alternatively, you can buy a full replacement set of up-to-date Course Notes at a significantly reduced price if you have previously bought the full price Course Notes in this subject. Please see our 2015 Student Brochure for more details. This CMP Upgrade contains: all changes to the Syllabus objectives and Core Reading. changes to the ActEd Course Notes, Series X Assignments and Question and Answer Bank that will make them suitable for study for the 2015 exams. The Actuarial Education Company © IFE: 2015 Examinations Page 2 CT6: CMP Upgrade 2014/15 1 Changes to the Syllabus objectives and Core Reading 1.1 Syllabus objectives 1.2 Core Reading There have been no changes to the Core Reading. © IFE: 2015 Examinations The Actuarial Education Company CT6: CMP Upgrade 2014/15 2 Page 3 Changes to the ActEd Course Notes Chapter 4 Page 7 One of the Core Reading equations wasn’t in a bold font as it should have been. A replacement page is provided. Page 8 Some extra explanatory Core Reading has been added to the derivation of P W w . A replacement page is provided. The Actuarial Education Company © IFE: 2015 Examinations Page 4 3 CT6: CMP Upgrade 2014/15 Changes to the Q&A Bank There have been no changes to the Q&A Bank. © IFE: 2015 Examinations The Actuarial Education Company CT6: CMP Upgrade 2014/15 4 Page 5 Changes to the X Assignments There have been no changes to the X Assignments. The Actuarial Education Company © IFE: 2015 Examinations Page 6 5 CT6: CMP Upgrade 2014/15 Other tuition services In addition to this CMP Upgrade you might find the following services helpful with your study. 5.1 Study material We offer the following study material in Subject CT6: ● Online Classroom ● Flashcards ● Sound Revision ● MyTest ● Revision Notes ● ASET (ActEd Solutions with Exam Technique) and Mini-ASET ● Mock Exam ● Additional Mock Pack. For further details on ActEd’s study materials, please refer to the 2015 Student Brochure, which is available from the ActEd website at www.ActEd.co.uk. 5.2 Tutorials We offer the following tutorials in Subject CT6: a set of Regular Tutorials (usually lasting three full days) a Block Tutorial (usually lasting three full days) a Revision Tutorial (usually lasting one full day) Live Online Tutorials (usually lasting three full days) Live Online Revision Tutorials (usually lasting half a day). For further details on ActEd’s tutorials, please refer to our latest Tuition Bulletin, which is available from the ActEd website at www.ActEd.co.uk. © IFE: 2015 Examinations The Actuarial Education Company CT6: CMP Upgrade 2014/15 5.3 Page 7 Marking You can have your attempts at any of our assignments or mock exams marked by ActEd. When marking your scripts, we aim to provide specific advice to improve your chances of success in the exam and to return your scripts as quickly as possible. For further details on ActEd’s marking services, please refer to the 2015 Student Brochure, which is available from the ActEd website at www.ActEd.co.uk. 5.4 Feedback on the study material ActEd is always pleased to get feedback from students about any aspect of our study programmes. Please let us know if you have any specific comments (eg about certain sections of the notes or particular questions) or general suggestions about how we can improve the study material. We will incorporate as many of your suggestions as we can when we update the course material each year. If you have any comments on this course please send them by email to CT6@bpp.com or by fax to 01235 550085. The Actuarial Education Company © IFE: 2015 Examinations All study material produced by ActEd is copyright and is sold for the exclusive use of the purchaser. The copyright is owned by Institute and Faculty Education Limited, a subsidiary of the Institute and Faculty of Actuaries. Unless prior authority is granted by ActEd, you may not hire out, lend, give out, sell, store or transmit electronically or photocopy any part of the study material. You must take care of your study material to ensure that it is not used or copied by anybody else. Legal action will be taken if these terms are infringed. In addition, we may seek to take disciplinary action through the profession or through your employer. These conditions remain in force after you have finished using the course. © IFE: 2015 Examinations The Actuarial Education Company CT6-04: Reinsurance Page 7 Question 4.2 Find E (Y ) when X has a Pareto distribution with parameters 200 and 6 , and M 80 . Under excess of loss reinsurance, the reinsurer will pay Z where: Ï0 Z =Ì ÓX - M if X £ M if X > M With a retention level of M , the mean amount paid by the reinsurer is: • E (Z ) = Ú ( x - M ) f ( x ) dx (1.3) M ( ) Similarly, we can calculate E Z 2 using: • ( ) = Ú (x - M ) E Z 2 2 f ( x)dx M ( ) 2 Then var ( Z ) = E Z 2 - ÈÎ E ( Z )˘˚ . More generally, the moment generating function of Z , the amount paid by the reinsurer, is: ( ) M t0 e 0 M Z (t ) = E etZ = Ú 1.2 • t x-M ) f M f ( x) dx + Ú e ( ( x) dx The reinsurer’s conditional claims distribution Now consider reinsurance (once again) from the point of view of the reinsurer. The reinsurer may have a record only of claims that are greater than M. If a claim is for less than M the reinsurer may not even know a claim has occurred. The reinsurer thus has the problem of estimating the underlying claims distribution when only those claims greater than M are observed. The statistical terminology is to say that the reinsurer observes claims from a truncated distribution. In this case the values observed by the reinsurer relate to a conditional distribution, since the numbers are conditional on the original claim amount exceeding the retention limit. The Actuarial Education Company IFE: 2015 Examinations Page 8 CT6-04: Reinsurance Let W be the random variable with this truncated distribution. Then: W = X -M|X >M Suppose that the underlying claim amounts have PDF f ( x ) and CDF F ( x ) . Suppose that the reinsurer is only informed of claims greater than the retention M and has a record of w = x M. What is the PDF g(w) of the amount, w, paid by the reinsurer? The argument goes as follows: P (W < w ) = P ( X < w + M | X > M ) = P ( X < w + M and X > M ) P(X > M) = P (M < X < w + M ) P(X > M) = ÚM = F (w + M ) - F (M ) 1 - F (M ) w +M f (x ) dx 1 - F (M ) (using Bayes' Formula) (since F (M ) = P(X < M )) This derivation also uses the result: b P (a < X < b) = Ú f ( x) dx = F (b) - F (a) a Differentiating w.r.t. w, the PDF of the reinsurer’s claims is g (w ) = f (w + M ) , w > 0. 1 - F (M ) (1.4) Note that this is just the original PDF applied to the gross amount w + M , divided by the probability that the claim exceeds M . Question 4.3 Using the notation above, if X is Exp( ) , find the distribution of W. IFE: 2015 Examinations The Actuarial Education Company
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